Europe Presentation II

8/8/2019 Europe Presentation II

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Arthur Danzi

The Green Guy

Sameer Agarwal

The Pacesetter

Gudmundur KristjanssonThe Challenger

Mauricio SuzukiThe Checker

Sri Hari Krishnan

The Skeptic

Project Members


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Agenda

B ack ground ScenariosSummary Q A


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F uture of the European Union in 2030 Situation

Europe's lon gest peace period Introduction of the Euro hi ghly successful EU politics and treaties evolvin g

Key QuestionsHow is the European Union Governed? What are the main bodies of the EU?

How does the EU take decisions? What is the main driver for the EU expansion? What are the policies of the EU? What does the Treaty of Lisbon mean for EU? What has been EU's environmental policy over past 5 years? EU's response to climate chan ge?

What is the GDP and Growth Rate of the EU? What can cause the instability of the Euro? What are trade statistics for the EU? Does European Union really bond its members to gether? What are the immi gration trends to EU for EU and Non-EU citizens? Population of the EU and how is it distributed?


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Why Ireland should vote No to the Lisbon Treaty The European Union - the New Soviet Union? Barroso: European Union is 'empire' Should the UK leave the European Union? Interview - Jose Manuel BarrosoEconomic future of EU is Green" Philippe Lamberts from EGP on EU ElectionsDavos Open F orum 2006 - The F uture of Europe in the World EU European Union Strasbour g Parliament Poster Penta grams

The Rise of the European SuperstateAn alternative view of the European UnionWhich future for Europe? The Re gression of the EU into an Anti-historic Europe of 27 Little F atherlands - 3 Day Conference

NIC Europe 2020 - Scenarios - Workshop Date: A pril 28-29, 2004 - Venue:Budapest, Hun gary New Technology Wave Scenarios for Europe in 2020 (pdf)European Ener gy to 2020 - A scenario approach (pdf)Water Scenarios for Europe and for Nei ghbouring StatesTrends and drivers of chan ge in the EU transport and lo gistics sector:Scenarios (pdf)Scenarios on the territorial future of Europe to 2030 Could we imagine another future for Europe? (very good resource)

Trends and drivers of chan ge in the EU ener gy sector: ScenariosEconomic Problems of European Union

Immi gration Problems in EU Immi gration in the European Union: problem or solution? Q& A: EU enlar gement About the European Union on Wikipedia

Anderson, M. (2000) States and nationalism in Europe. LondonB auman, Z., 1991. Modernity and Ambivalence. Cambrid ge: Polity

Press.B auman., Z., 1995. Life in F ragments: Essays in Postmodern Morality.Oxford: B lackwell.B auman/Europe: An Unfinished Adventure. F inal Proof 18/08/2004Drake, G. (1994) Issues in the new Europe. LondonF oucher, M. (1995) The new faces of Europe. Strasbour gHermet, G. (1998) A history of nations and nationalism in Europe.LondonLichtenber ger, H. (2000) Studying Europe: challen ges and prospectsfor European studies. B aden-B adenMarsden, W.E and V.M. (1989) Going into Europe. Edinbur gh

Morin, E. (1991) Europa denken.F

rankfurt Morris, J. (1998) F ifty years of Europe. London

Analysis References Hi ghli ghts

Scenario Reports Videos

Research Papers, Books and Chapters News & Other Sources

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Our view of the EU System

E conomyBoundary

Resources/ E nergy

Governance

Identity

Political Alignment

Immigration

Financial

Commerce/Trade

Population Change


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Getting down to ScenariosThe Blame Game The New Beginning The Gilded Cage

National Network Supranational union

Recession Fast Growth Slow Growth

Inward Outward -

Closed Border Open Border As is

Break Up Expansion Slow Decline

System Socialism Mix Capitalism

Restricted Free Free

Energy Scarcity Sources of energy Energy Scarcity

Reactive Liberal / Progressive Liberal / Progressive

Aging Europe Increasing Mobility Aging Europe

Governance

E conomy

Identity

Immigration

Boundary

Financial

Commerce/Trade

Resources/ E nergy

Political Alignment

Population Change


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The B lame Game

What is the focus politics on identity?

Scenarios for the F uture of the EU in 2030


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2010 2015 2020 2025 2030


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The B lame Game

The Gilded Cage


Is there capacity for renewal?



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2010 2015 2020 2025 2030


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The B lame Game

The Gilded Cage

New B eginning





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2010 2020 2025 20302015


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The B lame Game

The Gilded Cage

New B eginning





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Driving F orcesPolitical Driving F orces

Political Stability in Europe

Institutional & B ureaucratic DynamicsTo be a world power houseTurkey Joining the EU Movement Towards World UnificationIslamic F undamentalism

Technolo gical Driving F orcesAlternative sources of ener gy

Environmental Driving F orcesInterests of lesser developed member states and the cost of subsidizin g their practicesPressure from developin g countriesEffects of climate chan ge

Economic Driving F orcesEU as a Counterwei ght to AmericaEner gy Scarcity in EuropeThe increasin g globalization of markets

Societal Driving F orcesIncreasin g Mobility Aging EuropeUnemployment

Racism

Documents

Europe Presentation II