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Estimating the Reactive Component of Natural Attenuation of Dioxins in Sediments
Noémi Barabás, Peter Adriaens, Pierre Goovaerts (UM)
and Tim Dekker, Joe DePinto
Limno-Tech, Inc.Ann Arbor, Michigan
Technology Benchmarking Workshop:Technology Benchmarking Workshop:
Sediment and Floodplain RemediationSediment and Floodplain Remediation
March 25March 25--26, 200426, 2004
Presentation Overview
• Definition of Natural Attenuation (NA)• The components of NA• The role of reactive processes• A multivariate analysis technique for
estimating reactive contributions to field patterns
• Dioxin dechlorination patterns in sediments of the Passaic River, NJ
• Uncertainties• Practical considerations for the technique
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Benthos
Define Natural Attenuation in Contaminated Sediments
• Decline of contaminant concentrations in important receptors (fish, etc.)
• Decline of contaminant concentrations in sediments contributing to exposure:
Deep (when exposed):
surficial
Conceptual Model of Natural Attenuation
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Mixed Layer (~5-10cm)
Upstream Loading
UpstreamFlow
Runoff Loading TributariesAir-Water Exchange
Particle-boundchemical
Settling Resuspension
Particle-boundchemical
Burial
Partitioning
Dissolvedchemical
Partitioning
Benthos
Flow
Dispersion
AdvectionDiffusion
Dissolvedchemical
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
Primary modes of attenuation:
settling/burial, resuspension/advection, chemical decay/biodegradation, porewater
Diffusion
Porewater Flow
Porewater Flow
Current Focus of Natural Attenuation Applications
Observed Media: • Surficial sediments (remediation studies and fate
modeling/forecasting)• Sediment cores (studies of national trends)• Fish (remediation studies and studies of national
trends)NA processes:• Burrial: settling and resuspensionConclusions:• Mix of some decreasing trends (half-time ~10 years)
and some stabilization in sediments and fish (PCBs, DDT)
Knowldege Gaps in NA Modeling and Application
• Bioavailability is often ignored due to insufficient information
• Biogeochemistry is important determinant of bioavailability:– Biogeochemical reactions determine partitioning
characteristics and thus, bioavailability.– relative importance increases for residual contamination
after remedial action. – Exposure through extreme events can lead to
increased/decreased risk depending on nature of reactions– Often assumed negligible for PCBs, Dioxins, persistent
chemicals
• How are long-term risks modified by reactive processes during NA? – How prevalent are reactive processes in sediments?
Conceptual Model of Natural Attenuation
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Mixed Layer (~5-10cm)
Upstream Loading
UpstreamFlow
Runoff Loading TributariesAir-Water Exchange
Particle-boundchemical
Settling Resuspension
Particle-boundchemical
Burial
Partitioning
Dissolvedchemical
Partitioning
Benthos
Flow
Dispersion
AdvectionDiffusion
Dissolvedchemical
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
Primary modes of attenuation:
settling/burial, resuspension/advection, chemical decay/biodegradation, porewater
Diffusion
Porewater Flow
Porewater Flow
Role of Reactive Processes in NA
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Mixed Layer (~5-10cm)
Partitioning
Benthos
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
Primary modes of attenuation: chemical decay/biodegradation
Particle-boundchemical
Dissolvedchemical
Limited quantitative knowledge about presence, nature and role of reactive processes in NA, especially for dioxins, and especially in the field.
Diffusion
Porewater Flow
Porewater Flow
John Pardue: “presence of starting halorespirers”?
Mike Dybas: “where are the environments that support halorespirers”?
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Benthos
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
Primary modes of attenuation: chemical decay/biodegradation
Limited quantitative knowledge about presence, nature and role of reactive processes in NA, especially for dioxins, and especially in the field.
Polytopic Vector Analysis (PVA) as a tool to detect and estimate dechlorinationreactions involving dioxins in sediments.
Role of Reactive Processes in NA
PVA-Conceptual Model
FATE:FATE:Dechlorination
shifts initial ratios
2378T/PCDD = 0.3
Sediment PCDD Patterns
SOURCES:SOURCES:linear mixing
0
2
+0
1
0
+-
ClCl
Cl
Cl
O
O
Mixed source pattern
00.51
Hx4Hx6Hx9 Hp Pe T
Some Congeners increase others
decrease
00.51
Hx4Hx6Hx9 Hp Pe T
Sample
2378T/PCDD = 0.6 Source patterns are modified by
reactive processes
How do we infer this?
From this?
PVA
Traditionally PVA used to model source patterns
Modified PVA to model reactive patterns in dioxins/furans(M-PVA)
Algae
Benthos
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
PVA in the Scientific Literature on Sediments
• Most applications model PCB sources (Arochlors)
• Some work on the impact of biotic reactions on the ability of PVA to identify Arochlor sources in PCB mixtures
• Some work on identifying dechlorinationrelated PCB signatures
• Fewer applications of PVA to dioxin/furan source patterns.
• No PVA adaptations for estimating dechlorination of dioxins/furans
Modified PVA X = AF
0
2 43.78%
-1
1 40.67%
-1
1 9.00%
-1
1 -0.09%
-1
0
1
T Pe Hx4 Hx6 Hx9
Hp0.42%
How many end-members
(k)?
What is their pattern?
How important is each in each sample?
k
XA
F
40% 15%…
Modified PVA X = AF
0
2 43.78%
-1
1 40.67%
-1
1 9.00%
-1
1 -0.09%
-1
0
1
T Pe Hx4 Hx6 Hx9
Hp0.42%
1. Multivariate field data2. Principal Components
Analysis – PCA3. Outliers? Number of
end-members?4. Rotation of PC axes
until all elements of matrices A and F are positive except for elements of Fdechlorin
5. Compare PVA patternswith known source and dechlorination patterns
XA
F
40% 15%…
Basic Approach for Modeling Dechlorination
(Variance-based)
Atlantic OceanRaritanBay
HudsonRiver
NewarkBay
N.YHarbor
New York
New Jersey
PassaicRiver
Dioxins in Passaic River SedimentsPetroleumCSOChemical manuf.Paint245T outfall area
Adapted from Huntley 1997 and Wenning 1993 1 mi
M-PVA: Dechlorination EMs
• If variability overestimated by factor of 2, dechlorinationcontributes at least 1.5% overall.
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
T 2 3 4 5 Hp 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
2.88%
-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.0
T 2 3 4 5 Hp 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3.53%
-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.0
T 2 3 4 5 Hp 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
2.52%
10 + 2:
10 + 3:
10 + 4:
-1.500
-1.000
-0.500
0.000
0.500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
T Pe Hx4
Hx6
Hx9 Hp
TCD
F
Pe1F
Pe4F
Hx4
F
Hx6
F
Hx9
F
Hx4
6F
Hp6
F
Hp9
F
OCD
F
3 ± 1%
Model(pos+neg):
Pattern: Uncertainty:
Map of Dechlorination Loadings
0.0%
0.8%
1.6%
2.4%
3.2%
4.0%
0-2.5-5.0
Dep
th
651900652900
653900654900
655900
Easting
214433
213433
212433
211433
210433Northing
North
Site-wide contribution to variability: 2.88%
0.00.01 0.03 0.05 0.070.0
0.04
0.08
0.12Mean 0.03Std. dev. 0.01Maximum 0.07Minimum 0.00
• 3% means a 3% net change in dioxin and furan concentrations in a given sample due to dechlorination (distributed among the different kinds of dioxins).
Presence?!
Validation
• Convergence of laboratory and field methods:– Ratios above 0.5 are indicative of dechlorination activity as
indicated by laboratory experiments – As such, they correlate well with dechlorination loading
derived from field data.
Dechlorination Loading vs. Ratio
Fiel
d:D
echl
orin
atio
nLo
adin
g
Laboratory: Ratio0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80
0.0
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.07Correlation: 0.542
Correl 0.712
Consistent with Laboratory Results
How Has Dechlorination Affected Concentrations??
• On average dechlorinationcontributed 770 ng/kg to TCDD concentrations
• The proportion, can be as high as 100% relative to other sources of TCDD, in samples with low total concentration.
• At 33 ± 25%, dechlorination is the second most important contributor to 2,3,7,8-TCDD concentrations (after 2,4,5-T production, 60 ± 30%).
• Dechlorination is inversely proportional to total dioxin concentration.
0 2000 4000 6000 8000-30.48
-60.96
-91.44
-121.92
-152.4
Dep
th
Concentration (ng/kg)
Fractional contribution by dechlorination
DECHL proportion
TCDD concentrationDECHL contribution2,4,5-T contribution
0 0.5 1
Uncertainty Maps of Dechlorination
• There are three areas where dechlorination is very important (both maps) and these overlap with “contaminated” and “clean” locations
• Intermediate to high contributions cover about 30% of sediments.
• In the most contaminated areas dechlorination is least important
• “Contaminated” areas with high dechlorinationcontribution could be candidates for enhancement
Estimate0.850.460.07
Probability10.50
Estimate of contribution to 2,3,7,8-TCDD concentrations
Probability that contribution exceeds 50%
Demonstration of Uncertaintieswith Bootstrap Analysis
• 4 patterns!• How unique is the
dechlorinationsignature?
• Can the other patterns be interpreted?
• Re-partitioning during transport? Other pathways?
-1
0
1
2
7% of realizat ions3% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
2
40% of realizations5% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
243% of realizations4% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
2
8% of realizat ions
Prop
ortio
n
2% exp lained
T Pe Hx4
Hx6
Hx9
Hp
TCD
FPe
1FPe
4FH
x4F
Hx6
FH
x9F
Hx4
6FH
p6F
Hp9
FO
CD
F
-1
0
1
2
7% of realizat ions3% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
2
40% of realizations5% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
243% of realizations4% exp lained
Prop
ortio
n
-1
0
1
2
8% of realizat ions
Prop
ortio
n
2% exp lained
T Pe Hx4
Hx6
Hx9
Hp
TCD
FPe
1FPe
4FH
x4F
Hx6
FH
x9F
Hx4
6FH
p6F
Hp9
FO
CD
F
Conditions of Applicability of M-PVA
• Multivariate data set available (multiple congeners, multiple metals etc.)– Data-rich situations as opposed to finding similar
answer with satelite imagery.
• Candidate source/reactive patterns available for identification (fingerprints)
• Current method requires that sources dominate overall variability pattern (true for persistent contaminants)
Implementation Considerations for M-PVA
• Can only resolve patterns with differences in variability/patterns => similar patterns are lumped into single categories.
• Does not give information about reaction rates• Can we distinguish internal from external sources?• Variance-based approach makes pattern contribution to
individual samples most uncertain• Uncertainty analysis is important component (e.g.
Bootstrap, Monte-Carlo)• To assess performance efficacy, more research needed
with artificial data and laboratory experiments to determine:
• limits of pattern resolution, pattern uncertainty• effect of varying levels of dechlorination contribution on
uncertainty
Obstacles for Further Development/Use
• Requires implementation by experts familiar with multivariate statistics and reactive processes, due to:– Computational complexity of method
– Multiple levels of decisionmaking (statistical and interpretive)
• Availability of code/software
• Application is limited by uncertainties in the types of dechlorination/reactive patterns that can occur.
Conceptual Model of Natural Attenuation
Water
Algae
Buried Sediment
Mixed Layer (~5-10cm)
Upstream Loading
UpstreamFlow
Runoff Loading TributariesAir-Water Exchange
Particle-boundchemical
Settling Resuspension
Particle-boundchemical
Burial
Partitioning
Dissolvedchemical
Partitioning
Benthos
Flow
Dispersion
AdvectionDiffusion
Dissolvedchemical
Chemical Decay or Biodegradation
PVA gives partial answer to question about role of reactive processes in NA.
Diffusion
Porewater Flow
Porewater Flow
Integration of PVA in Site Assessment
Should be integrated with other methods and lines of evidence:
Statistics: indirect evidence
Interpolation
Sampling: direct evidence
Design: remediation
units
InterpolatedDechlorination
Map
H2, pε
RU-s
Transformation contribution
Sampling: no evidenceConcentrations
Uncertainty Uncertainty Uncertainty
Statistics: indirect evidence
Interpolation
Sampling: direct evidence
Design: remediation
units
InterpolatedDechlorination
Map
H2, pε
RU-s
Transformation contribution
Sampling: no evidenceConcentrations
Uncertainty Uncertainty Uncertainty