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EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS 5 th CCI Collocation Meeting 20-22 October 2014 29-Oct-14 1 Atmosphere Monitoring Service Richard Engelen

ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

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Page 1: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

!!

5th CCI Collocation Meeting!20-22 October 2014!

29-Oct-14! 1!

Atmosphere*Monitoring*Service*

Richard*Engelen*

Page 2: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Introduction!

•  ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)!

•  ECMWF coordinates MACC-III, a consortium of 36 European partners building and operating the pre-operational services!

29-Oct-14! 2!

Page 3: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

©*ECMWF*

MACC-III is the fourth in a series of FP6, FP7 and Horizon 2020 EU R&D projects (since 2005). !It is coordinated by ECMWF and the consortium comprises 36 partners from 13 countries. It runs until April 2015, when the operational Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service will kick-off.!The main aim of the series of projects was to develop pre-operational services in the wider field of atmospheric composition, which meet the needs of users.!

Page 4: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

From EO to policy-relevant products!

2010$

2011$

Over*60*EO*instruments*are*assimilated*in*the*global*system*

PolicyBrelevant*(here*health*indicator*for*ozone)*products*are*delivered.*They*are*“maps*with*no*gaps”,*which*observaMons*alone*don’t*provide*and*are*essenMal*to*assess*impacts.*

Boundary*condiMons*feed*an*ensemble*of*highBresoluMon*European*

AQ*systems*(in*order*to*assess*uncertainMes)*

More*data*are*assimilated*(in*parMcular*hourly*surface*AQ*concentrated*by*EEA/EIONET)*

Page 5: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Surface(fluxes:(

greenhouse(gases,(

fires,(emissions(

(GFAS,(MACCity,(

MACC/TNO)(

Global(

atmospheric(

composiEon(

h&p://atmosphere.copernicus.eu$Online$catalogue,$quicklooks$and$data$(>200*individual*products!)*

RadiaEon(and(

ozone(layer(

European(Air(

Quality(

Page 6: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

The*two*MACCBII*two*videos*produced*by*youris.com*have*been*broadcast*over*28*European*TV*staMons,*including*on*Euronews*in*13*languages.**They*covered*air*quality*and*solar*power*applicaMons.*They*have*been*viewed*by*approximately*664,000*people,*with*significant*social*media*uptake.**

Users and Outreach!

(Power)users*use*rouMnely*MACCBII*products*as*part*of*their*MmeBcriMcal*acMviMes*(newspapers,*apps,*higher*resoluMon*forecasts...).**

MACCBII*users*

Main$products$categories Users

Global*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 200*daily*users

Regional*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 125*daily*users

Global*Reanalysis 1200*users Solar*RadiaMon 110*users,*~20000*requests/yr Global*dp*(new*disseminaMon) 40*users

Copernicus*Atmosphere*A*dedicated*Youtube*channel*offers*training*videos*from*the*MACCBII*summer*school.*One*of*them**has*been*seen*more*than*1000*Mmes.*

Page 7: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Current*and*planned*satellite*data*usage*for*ECMWF*NWP*and*MACC*

NWP(

MACC(

Page 8: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 8!

Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$

Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*

O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*

O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*

O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*

O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*

O3* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*

CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

CO2*(radiances)* AIRS* Aqua*

CO2*(radiances)* IASI* MetopBA*

CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

Data$used$in$MACC$Reanalysis$–$2003K2012$

Page 9: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 9!

Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$

Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*

Aerosol*(AOD)* AATSR* Envisat* Column*

O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*

O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*

O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*

O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*

O3* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*

CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

NO2* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO2* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

CO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

CH4* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

Data$used$in$MACCKII$CCI$Reanalysis$K$2008$

Page 10: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

CCI and MACC!

29-Oct-14! 10!

•  ReBprocessing*of*data*with*stateBofBtheBart*algorithms*will*improve*future*reanalyses*

•  Easier*access*to*and*improved*documentaMon*of*data*sets*

•  RoundBrobin*provides*important*insight*in*quality*of*data*

Page 11: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Monitoring the ozone layer!

AssimilaMon*MLS*V3.4*(new)*AssimilaMon*MLS*V2*(control)*

MACCBII*operaMons**to*IndeIndependent*observaMons*

(A. Inness)!

Page 12: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Monitoring solar resources!

Missing*extreme*values*

Valla

dolid

(Spa

in)!

AOD (monthly climatology)! AOD (MACC-II daily values)!

Direct normal irradiance [W.m-2]*

Page 13: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 13!

Atmosphere*

Page 14: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

~2004*

~2006*

Present*

Present*

MACCKIII$is$funded$unDl$April$2015$

Page 15: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 15!

More of the same?!

More$budget$(12$M€/year,$total$76$M€$unDl$end$2020$–$midK2021)$=$more$resilient$systems$;$service$level$commitments$(new)$;$more$user$support$;$more$outreach$;$more$communicaDons$;$management$of$funds$and$contracts$(new).$R&D$at$a$similar$level$(or$slightly$increased).$

Page 16: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 16!

DerK3$R&D$$fundamental$RS$Next$generaDon$

DerK2$R&D$

DerK1$R&D$

operaDons$Includ

ed$in$CAM

S$

eKsuite$oKsuite$reanalysis$

6mK1y$integraDon$next$eKsuite$

1yK2y$R&D$AssimilaDon$&$forecast$systems$

H2020...$

Page 17: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 17!

CAMS$highKlevel$architecture$items

CAMS_1000:$Management$Tasks

CAMS_2000:$In$Situ$Data$Processing

CAMS_3000:$Global$ProducDon

CAMS_4000:$Global$System$Development

CAMS_5000:$Regional$ProducDon

CAMS_6000:$Regional$Systems$Development

CAMS_7000:$Supplementary$services$producDon

CAMS_8000:$ValidaDon$and$acDviDes$in$support$of$producDon

CAMS_9000:$User$interacDon,$training$and$communicaDons

CAMS structure!

Page 18: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Operational implementation!

Entrusted*EnMty*for*ImplementaMon*Tasks**

ITT(/(CompeEEve(calls(

Contractor* Contractor* Contractor*...(

SubBcontractor*

SubBcontractor*

SubBcontractor*

...(

Call(for(Expression(of(Interest(

NegoEaEon(

DelegaEon(Agreement(

PreparaEon(of(response(to(

ITTs(

Page 19: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Coming back to CCI!

CAMS*Reanalysis*

Meteorological*observaMons*

Land*&*ocean*surface*

observaMons*Atmospheric*composiMon*modelling*

ComposiMon*observaMons*

Page 20: ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

©*ECMWF*

Sent

inel

1a

laun

ch (3

Apr

il 201

4)!

h&p://[email protected]$

Copernicus$Atmosphere$