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EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
!!
5th CCI Collocation Meeting!20-22 October 2014!
29-Oct-14! 1!
Atmosphere*Monitoring*Service*
Richard*Engelen*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Introduction!
• ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)!
• ECMWF coordinates MACC-III, a consortium of 36 European partners building and operating the pre-operational services!
29-Oct-14! 2!
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
©*ECMWF*
MACC-III is the fourth in a series of FP6, FP7 and Horizon 2020 EU R&D projects (since 2005). !It is coordinated by ECMWF and the consortium comprises 36 partners from 13 countries. It runs until April 2015, when the operational Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service will kick-off.!The main aim of the series of projects was to develop pre-operational services in the wider field of atmospheric composition, which meet the needs of users.!
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
From EO to policy-relevant products!
2010$
2011$
Over*60*EO*instruments*are*assimilated*in*the*global*system*
PolicyBrelevant*(here*health*indicator*for*ozone)*products*are*delivered.*They*are*“maps*with*no*gaps”,*which*observaMons*alone*don’t*provide*and*are*essenMal*to*assess*impacts.*
Boundary*condiMons*feed*an*ensemble*of*highBresoluMon*European*
AQ*systems*(in*order*to*assess*uncertainMes)*
More*data*are*assimilated*(in*parMcular*hourly*surface*AQ*concentrated*by*EEA/EIONET)*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Surface(fluxes:(
greenhouse(gases,(
fires,(emissions(
(GFAS,(MACCity,(
MACC/TNO)(
Global(
atmospheric(
composiEon(
h&p://atmosphere.copernicus.eu$Online$catalogue,$quicklooks$and$data$(>200*individual*products!)*
RadiaEon(and(
ozone(layer(
European(Air(
Quality(
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
The*two*MACCBII*two*videos*produced*by*youris.com*have*been*broadcast*over*28*European*TV*staMons,*including*on*Euronews*in*13*languages.**They*covered*air*quality*and*solar*power*applicaMons.*They*have*been*viewed*by*approximately*664,000*people,*with*significant*social*media*uptake.**
Users and Outreach!
(Power)users*use*rouMnely*MACCBII*products*as*part*of*their*MmeBcriMcal*acMviMes*(newspapers,*apps,*higher*resoluMon*forecasts...).**
MACCBII*users*
Main$products$categories Users
Global*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 200*daily*users
Regional*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 125*daily*users
Global*Reanalysis 1200*users Solar*RadiaMon 110*users,*~20000*requests/yr Global*dp*(new*disseminaMon) 40*users
Copernicus*Atmosphere*A*dedicated*Youtube*channel*offers*training*videos*from*the*MACCBII*summer*school.*One*of*them**has*been*seen*more*than*1000*Mmes.*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Current*and*planned*satellite*data*usage*for*ECMWF*NWP*and*MACC*
NWP(
MACC(
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 8!
Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$
Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*
O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*
O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*
O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*
O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*
O3* OMI* Aura* Column*
CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*
CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*
NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
CO2*(radiances)* AIRS* Aqua*
CO2*(radiances)* IASI* MetopBA*
CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
Data$used$in$MACC$Reanalysis$–$2003K2012$
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 9!
Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$
Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*
Aerosol*(AOD)* AATSR* Envisat* Column*
O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*
O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*
O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*
O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*
O3* OMI* Aura* Column*
CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*
CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*
NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
NO2* OMI* Aura* Column*
CO2* IASI* MetopBA* Column*
CO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
CH4* IASI* MetopBA* Column*
CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*
Data$used$in$MACCKII$CCI$Reanalysis$K$2008$
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
CCI and MACC!
29-Oct-14! 10!
• ReBprocessing*of*data*with*stateBofBtheBart*algorithms*will*improve*future*reanalyses*
• Easier*access*to*and*improved*documentaMon*of*data*sets*
• RoundBrobin*provides*important*insight*in*quality*of*data*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Monitoring the ozone layer!
AssimilaMon*MLS*V3.4*(new)*AssimilaMon*MLS*V2*(control)*
MACCBII*operaMons**to*IndeIndependent*observaMons*
(A. Inness)!
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Monitoring solar resources!
Missing*extreme*values*
Valla
dolid
(Spa
in)!
AOD (monthly climatology)! AOD (MACC-II daily values)!
Direct normal irradiance [W.m-2]*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 13!
Atmosphere*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
~2004*
~2006*
Present*
Present*
MACCKIII$is$funded$unDl$April$2015$
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 15!
More of the same?!
More$budget$(12$M€/year,$total$76$M€$unDl$end$2020$–$midK2021)$=$more$resilient$systems$;$service$level$commitments$(new)$;$more$user$support$;$more$outreach$;$more$communicaDons$;$management$of$funds$and$contracts$(new).$R&D$at$a$similar$level$(or$slightly$increased).$
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 16!
DerK3$R&D$$fundamental$RS$Next$generaDon$
DerK2$R&D$
DerK1$R&D$
operaDons$Includ
ed$in$CAM
S$
eKsuite$oKsuite$reanalysis$
6mK1y$integraDon$next$eKsuite$
1yK2y$R&D$AssimilaDon$&$forecast$systems$
H2020...$
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 17!
CAMS$highKlevel$architecture$items
CAMS_1000:$Management$Tasks
CAMS_2000:$In$Situ$Data$Processing
CAMS_3000:$Global$ProducDon
CAMS_4000:$Global$System$Development
CAMS_5000:$Regional$ProducDon
CAMS_6000:$Regional$Systems$Development
CAMS_7000:$Supplementary$services$producDon
CAMS_8000:$ValidaDon$and$acDviDes$in$support$of$producDon
CAMS_9000:$User$interacDon,$training$and$communicaDons
CAMS structure!
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Operational implementation!
Entrusted*EnMty*for*ImplementaMon*Tasks**
ITT(/(CompeEEve(calls(
Contractor* Contractor* Contractor*...(
SubBcontractor*
SubBcontractor*
SubBcontractor*
...(
Call(for(Expression(of(Interest(
NegoEaEon(
DelegaEon(Agreement(
PreparaEon(of(response(to(
ITTs(
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
Coming back to CCI!
CAMS*Reanalysis*
Meteorological*observaMons*
Land*&*ocean*surface*
observaMons*Atmospheric*composiMon*modelling*
ComposiMon*observaMons*
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!
©*ECMWF*
Sent
inel
1a
laun
ch (3
Apr
il 201
4)!
h&p://[email protected]$
Copernicus$Atmosphere$