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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
1/7
WHY ENERGY MODELLING? Nature of Energy problem is
comple!Hence mo"elling #as to
be applie" to $or% out t#e solution!Eample&"eman"
forecasting canbe pre"icte" by mo"elling&location
of a site or petroc#em pro"uct mi'nalisation can be ac#ie(e"
t#rumo"elling!
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
2/7
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
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)*RIO+, MODELLING
ME-HOD,Energy Mo"elling
Econometric Optimisation,imulation
Non formal
*utonomous .on"itional Delp#i *nalogue.ogniti(e Decisional
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
4/7
E.ONOME-RI. MODEL +se of statistical tec#ni/ues in
"ealing $it# problems0say& for
forecasting energy "eman"!
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
5/7
O1-IMI,*-ION MODEL, 2y applying Linear 1rogramming or
Geometric progamming to sol(e
problems suc# as Location of a po$er plant site
1ro"uct mi of a re'nery
MI3 ofHy"el4-#ermal4Nuclear4Rene$able
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
6/7
,IM+L*-ION MODEL, 2rea%ing up t#e entire system into
(arious sub0systems an" t#en
analysing sensiti(ity of t#e $#olesystem $rt (ariation in
onesubsystem by
.ogniti(e system analysis0-a%ing
lessons from past Decisional system
analysis01lanner5s 6u"icious "ecision
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8/17/2019 Energy Modelling
7/7
NON 7ORM*L MODEL *nalogue mo"el0$#ic# 'n"s an analogy
of a similar country $#ere similar
situations too% place before an" ta%ingt#at country5s $ay
for$ar"!*pplicableto analyse a su""en 6er%8as it#appene" $it# cru"e
price rise "uring
Gulf $ar9 Delp#i Met#o"0applicable for sun0s#ine
areas0suc# as role of solar in future!
