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  • 8/13/2019 Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses (4541) - 2011.217.241.204

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    T r e n d s o f Y o u r B u s i n e s s

    E x c l u s i v e l y d i s t r i b u t e d b y

    Romania, 2011

    Please address all comments and enquiries to: [email protected]

    Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Contents Page

    1. Macroeconomic Scenario - 4

    2. Analysis of Investment Attractiveness - 5

    - Attractiveness Indicators - 5

    - Driving Forces of Attractiveness - 5

    - Risk-Profitability Maps - 7

    3. Concentration in the Sector - 9

    4. Analysis of Financial Ratios - 10

    - Distributions of Financials - 10

    - General Indicators - 11

    - Profitability Ratios - 14

    - Liquidity Ratios - 16

    - Financial Cycles - 18

    - Financial Leverage Ratios - 19

    - Production Factors - 21

    - Costs - 24

    - Structure of Current Assets - 26

    - DuPonts Pyramid - 28

    5. Companies from the Sector - 29

    - Top Players from the Sector - 29

    - Listed Companies from the Sector - 30

    - Mergers and Acquisitions - 31

    6. Key Concepts - 32

    - Definitions of Indices - 32

    - Definitions of Selected Concepts - 34

    ! This report has been compiled to the best of the authors knowledge, using information originating from verified

    sources. The authors of the report take no responsibility for the consequences of any decisions and actions taken as a

    result of the use of this report. This report refers to the Romanian economy.

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    EconTrends for Romania is the unique tool for analyzing various Romanian industries. It contains description of

    macroeconomic environment, analysis of investment attractiveness, detailed analysis of revenue as well as in-depth

    analysis of a wide scope of financial ratios. The report covers not the full sector but only its major part, since it is build

    on the bottom-up aggregated financial data from Creditinfo Romania and CCIR (Chamber of Commerce and Industry).

    Profitability of a given industry is evaluated on the basis of average forecasted dynamics of EBIT in two following

    years. Every industry has a granted profitability mark that ranges from 1 up to 5, which reflects its profitability versus

    other industries. Higher mark indicates higher profitability. Risk of an industry in turn is measured by the standard

    deviation of forecasted Profitability Index. Every industry has also an assigned risk mark that ranges from 1 up to 5,

    which reflects its risk versus other industries. Higher mark means here lower risk. Each industry is at the end

    characterized by the following two parameters its profitability and risk. They are used for evaluation of the short term

    investment attractiveness, that reflects preferences of investors seeking to maximize their rates of return and to

    minimize the risk they face.

    The final Short-Term Investment Attractiveness Ranking of an analyzed industry explains its relative attractiveness

    comparing to other sectors. The lower a position within the ranking the higher is attractiveness of an industry. Changes

    in this position replicate either changes in profitability or in risk. Additionally like in the case of profitability and risk

    measurement the final attractiveness is graded from 1 to 5, where the highest grade means the highest attractiveness.

    Lower grade means worseinvestment-weather conditions, so either lower profitability or higher risk. The Short-Term

    Investment Attractiveness Ranking is presented according to the structure of the North American Industry

    Classification System (NAICS). However the used system of industry classification is not fully compatible with the

    Romanian Classification of Activities due to Romanian statistics - specific factors.

    The Short-Term Investment Attractiveness Ranking developed for Romania under the EconTrends methodology is

    based on the so called Profitability Index, that shows forecasted dynamics of EBIT. It serves as a proxy for dynamics

    of dirty cash flows in enterprises from a given industry. Fundamental components of the Profitability Index like net

    sales and EBIT margin, are forecasted using econometric models. The behavior over time of all these categories is

    illustrated using appropriate pictograms in the Map of Forces.

    Analysed sector:

    Class Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

    There are no subclasses in analysed

    class.

    Only the subclasses marked by an arrow are covered by EconTrends reports.

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Macroeconomic ScenarioPeriod 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Nominal GDP Growth 97.4 104.3 110.7 106.5 103.8

    Real GDP Growth 93.4 98.3 102.5 100.9 101.8

    Inflation (CPI) 105.6 106.1 105.8 103.3 103.3

    Inflation (PPI) 101.9 106.3 108.9 106.2 104.5

    USD/RON exchange rate 3.05 3.18 3.05 3.47 3.35

    Datasource: ISI, EMIS, CEIC

    -> expected fall of

    GDP nominal growth

    in 2013

    -> expected slight

    fall of GDP real

    growth in 2013

    -> expected slight

    fall of CPI inflation

    in 2013

    -> expected slight

    fall of PPI inflation in

    2013

    -> expected

    weakening of

    USD/RON exchange

    rate in 2013

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Growth

    Period

    Nominal GDP Growth

    Forecast

    98

    100

    102

    104

    106

    108

    110

    112

    114

    Growth

    Period

    Inflation (CPI)

    Fore

    cast

    90

    95

    100

    105

    110

    115

    120

    125

    Growth

    Period

    Inflation (PPI)

    Forecast

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Analysis of Investment Attractiveness

    Attractiveness Indicators

    Driving Forces of Attractiveness

    - Profitability Index - y/y dynamics

    - Net Revenue per Company - y/y dynamics

    - EBIT Margin - y/y dynamics

    Current situation a d dForecasted situation e e e

    Map of forces for the sector Net revenue - Y/Y dynamics EBIT margin - Y/Y dynamicsProfitability index - Y/Y

    dynamics

    "+"

    "-"

    "o"

    Positive dynamics of "driving force"

    Negative dynamics of "driving force"

    Close to zero dynamics of "driving force"

    Fall of dynamics comparing to previous year

    Stabilisation of dynamics comparing to previous year

    Symbols orientation Rise of dynamics comparing to previous year

    Neutral impact on profits dynamics

    Symbols sign

    Symbol's colour Dynamics of profit

    Positive impact on profits dynamics

    Negative impact on profits dynamics

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Profitabilityindex-Y/Ydynamics

    Netrevenueper

    company-Y/Ydynamics

    Period

    Net revenue per company - Y/Y dynamics

    Net revenue per company - Y/Y dynamics Profitability index - Y/Y dynamics

    D

    Forecast

    5 0

    4 1

    3 1

    2 1

    1 1

    5 0

    4 0

    3 0

    2 0

    1 1

    ForecastedAttractiven

    ess

    Pro

    fitability

    Risk

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Forecasted Attractiveness5 0

    4 1

    3 1

    2 1

    1 1

    5 0

    4 0

    3 0

    2 0

    1 1

    CurrentAttractiveness

    Pro

    fitability

    Risk

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Current Attractivenessexpected rise of

    attractiveness in the

    sector

    -> expected

    stabilisation of

    profitability-> expected

    stabilisation of risk

    (expected

    stabilisation in risk

    mark shown on the

    chart)

    expected rise in

    dynamics of net

    revenue in 2012

    expected fall in

    dynamics of net

    revenue in 2013

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    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Profitabilityindex-Y/Ydy

    namics

    EBITMargin-Y/Y

    dynamics

    Period

    EBIT Margin - Y/Y dynamics

    EBIT Margin - Y/Y dynamics Profitability index - Y/Y dynamics

    Forecast

    expected rise in

    dynamics of EBIT

    margin in 2012

    expected fall in

    dynamics of EBIT

    margin in 2013

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    Risk-Profitability Maps

    -1.0

    -0.5

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Profitability

    Risk

    Risk - Profitability Map (current situation)

    All sectors

    Most efficient sectors

    subclasses belonging to selected class

    Selected sector (Class): Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

    Investors' utility function

    0.0

    0.1

    0.1

    0.2

    0.2

    0.3

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

    Profitability

    Risk

    Risk - Profitability Map (current situation)

    Zoom

    All sectors

    Most efficient sectors

    subclasses belonging to selected class

    Selected sector (Class): Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

    Investors' utility function

    risk - profitability

    map (current

    situation)

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    -0.5

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

    Profitability

    Risk

    Risk - Profitability Map (forecasted situation)

    All sectors

    Most efficient sectors

    subclasses belonging to selected class

    Selected sector (Class): Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

    Investors' utility function

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

    Profitability

    Risk

    Risk - Profitability Map (forecasted situation)

    Zoom

    All sectors

    Most efficient sectors

    subclasses belonging to selected class

    Selected sector (Class): Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses

    Investors' utility function

    risk - profitability

    map (forecasted

    situation)

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    Concentration in the Sector

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    C

    umulativemarketshare

    Cumulative share of companies from lower market share

    Distribution of net revenues in the sector (2011)

    Gini Coefficient69.72%

    Lorenz Curve

    Perfect Inequality Line

    Perfect Equality Line

    Market power

    concentration

    measured by

    Herfindahl-

    Hirschman Index

    was weak in 2011

    Net sales of top fivecompanies in the

    sector reached the

    market share of

    50.52% in 2011

    Market share of top companies in the sector

    Year 2011

    Number of analysed companies 63

    The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index 791

    Top 1 company 19.66%

    Top 2 companies 35.07%

    Top 3 companies 41.96%

    Top 4 companies 46.55%

    Top 5 companies 50.52%

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Analysis of Financial Ratios

    Distributions of Financials

    20% 40% 60% 80%

    2010 2011 I II III IV

    General Indicators

    Number of companies 60 63

    Y/Y dynamic s of net revenue per company [%] 52.07% -2.79% -20.11% -6.75% 13.81% 24.44%

    Y/Y dynamics of total operating cost per company [%] 51.03% -1.64% -19.55% -5.86% 4.95% 25.35%

    Y/Y dynamics of operating profit per company [%] 80.74% -29.29% -77.64% -26.77% 19.41% 141.19%

    Y/Y dynamics of operating profit per profit-making company [%] -34.16% -12.67% -48.46% -24.02% 12.19% 132.05%

    Y/Y dynamic s of gross profit per company [%] 136.03% -26.41% -75.60% -25.89% 39.35% 138.06%

    Y/Y dynamics of gross profit per profit-making company [%] -39.41% 5.95% -47.66% -6.51% 20.04% 154.72%

    Y/Y dynamics of net profit per company [%] 282.38% -30.72% -77.14% -24.97% 55.27% 158.65%

    Y/Y dynamics of net profit per profit-making company [%] -44.99% 2.33% -48.40% -9.40% 33.16% 249.93%

    Profitability Ratios

    Ope rating Sales M argin [%] 4.17% 3.05% -0.42% 1.04% 4.69% 11.97%

    Net Sales Margin [%] 2.53% 1.82% -2.26% 0.58% 2.69% 8.16%

    Return on Equity [%] 54.98% 4.52% -0.08% 15.25% 39.83% 90.94%

    Return on Ass ets [%] 10.23% 2.56% -5.24% 1.40% 5.28% 22.56%

    Effective tax rate [%] 16.81% 15.97% 14.08% 16.14% 18.46% 24.27%

    Share of profit-making companies [%] 71.67% 66.67%

    Liquidity Ratios

    Current ratio [%] 125.32% 106.94% 79.07% 102.00% 135.70% 240.13%

    Quick ratio [%] 81.71% 74.91% 38.87% 68.28% 84.16% 165.75%

    Super quick ratio [%] 29.96% 13.73% 1.95% 8.94% 23.45% 47.41%

    Receivables to liabilities ratio [%] 50.68% 60.02% 15.33% 40.94% 54.96% 96.89%

    Financial Cycles

    Days of coverage for Cash & Equivalent [days] -3 -8 -39 -11 8 33

    Days of coverage for rece ivables [days] 30 54 13 27 47 102

    Days of coverage for inventories [days] 26 28 3 15 35 73

    Days of coverage for short term liabilities [days] 59 90 30 51 85 197

    Financial Leverage Ratios

    Debt to Equity ratio [%] 76.43% 8.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 4.57%

    Equity to total assets ratio [%] 18.61% 56.67% -1.61% 14.46% 31.63% 54.32%

    Long-term liabilities to total liabilities ratio [%] 14.22% 4.58% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 18.17%

    Debt ratio [%] 81.18% 42.73% 45.25% 68.37% 83.92% 100.40%

    Ope rating profit coverage [years] 2.93 5.35 0.9 3.9 13.1 25.7

    Production Factors

    Av erage employment per company [person] 10 12 2 4 7 14

    Labour productivity [thou. RO N/person] 601.03 556.23 215.73 373.04 521.67 1 168.76

    Labour cost as the s hare in total operating cos ts [%] 3.55% 3.78% 0.87% 2.40% 3.91% 8.49%

    Fixed ass ets per employee [thou. RO N/person] 15.88 17.45 2.49 6.41 16.89 43.48

    Labour intensity of production [%] 3.41% 3.67% 0.94% 2.45% 3.92% 9.45%

    Material & energy intensity of production [%] 2.72% 3.25% 0.46% 0.91% 1.98% 3.89%

    Total assets turnover [%] 404.58% 142.22% 90.30% 223.32% 371.22% 568.65%

    Fixed assets productivity [%] 3542.39% 231.83% 214.89% 1368.84% 5348.12% 26241.39%

    Labour cost per employee [thou. RON/person] 22.94 22.05 10.26 16.37 23.45 31.57

    Costs

    Share of wages in total operating cos ts [%] 2.80% 2.98% 0.68% 1.85% 3.10% 6.65%

    Share of soc ial contributions in total operating cos ts [%] 0.76% 0.80% 0.16% 0.51% 0.83% 1.84%

    Share of external servic es in total operating cos t [%] 30.26% 25.32% 5.78% 17.92% 27.90% 43.95%

    Share of material & energy used in total operating cos ts [%] 2.84% 3.35% 0.14% 0.96% 1.74% 3.44%

    Share of taxes & fees in total operating cos ts [%] 0.30% 0.29% 0.01% 0.07% 0.16% 0.45%

    D I S T R I B U T I O N O F P A R A M E T E R S

    (The distribution of financial indicators in the sector)

    Average value for the

    sector in

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    General Indicators

    Number of companies

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value 20 18 60 63

    Y/Y increase 1 -2 42 3

    Net revenue per company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 4 367.07 4 156.83 6 321.29 6 144.78

    Y/Y dynamics [%] 8.34% -4.81% 52.07% -2.79%

    Total operating cost per company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 4 249.87 4 010.97 6 057.66 5 958.36

    Y/Y dynamics [%] 11.62% -5.62% 51.03% -1.64%

    rise of number of

    companies covered

    by database in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of net revenue per

    company in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of total operating

    cost per company in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    0

    1 000

    2 000

    3 000

    4 000

    5 000

    6 000

    7 000

    [thouRON]

    Net revenue & total operating costs per company

    Net revenue per company [thou RON] Total operating cost per company [thou RON]

    Operating profit per company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 117.21 145.86 263.63 186.42

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -47.59% 24.44% 80.74% -29.29%

    -700%

    -600%

    -500%

    -400%

    -300%

    -200%

    -100%

    0%

    100%

    200%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    Y/Ydynamicsofoperatingprofitpercompany[%]

    [thouRON]

    Period

    Operating profit per company [thou RON]

    Operating profit per company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of operating profit per company [%]

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of operating profit

    per company in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Operating profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 382.50 651.99 429.24 374.87

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -21.21% 70.46% -34.16% -12.67%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Y/Ydynamicsof

    operatingprofitperprofit-making

    company[%]

    [thouRON]

    Period

    Operating profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Operating profit per profit-making company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of operating profit per profit-making company [%]

    -5000%

    0%

    5000%

    10000%

    15000%

    20000%

    25000%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    Y/Ydynamicsofgrossprofitpercompany[%]

    [t

    houRON]

    Period

    Gross profit per company [thou RON]

    Gross profit per company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of gross profit per company [%]

    Gross profit per company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 52.30 87.12 205.63 151.31

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -83.21% 66.57% 136.03% -26.41%

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of operating profit

    per company in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    rise of Y/Y dynamics

    of operating profit

    per profit-making

    company in 2011

    comparing to thevalue in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Gross profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 417.49 574.44 348.05 368.77

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -8.95% 37.59% -39.41% 5.95%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Y/Ydynamicsofgrossprofitperprofit-making

    company[%]

    [thouRON]

    Period

    Gross profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Gross profit per profit-making company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of gross profit per profit-making company [%]

    -1400%

    -1200%

    -1000%

    -800%

    -600%

    -400%

    -200%

    0%

    200%

    400%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    Y/Ydynamicsofnetprofitpercompany[%]

    [th

    ouRON]

    Period

    Net profit per company [thou RON]

    Net profit per company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of net profit per company [%]

    Net profit per company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 15.52 41.80 159.85 110.74

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -93.75% 169.27% 282.38% -30.72%

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of gross profit per

    company in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of Y/Y dynamics

    of gross profit per

    profit-making

    company in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Net profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON] 344.20 550.57 302.84 309.89

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -10.22% 59.96% -44.99% 2.33%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Y/Ydynamicsofnetprofitperprofit-making

    company[%]

    [thouRON]

    Period

    Net profit per profit-making company [thou RON]

    Net profit per profit-making company [thou RON] Y/Y dynamics of net profit per profit-making company [%]

    Profitability Ratios

    Share of profit-making companies [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 45.00% 44.44% 71.67% 66.67%Y/Y increase [%] -39.21% -0.56% 27.22% -5.00%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Period

    Share of profit-making companies [%]

    Share of profit-making companies [%]

    fall of Y/Y dynamics

    of net profit per

    company in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of share of profit-

    making companies

    in 2011 comparingto the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Operating Sales Margin [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 2.71% 3.56% 4.17% 3.05%

    Y/Y increase [%] -2.87% 0.85% 0.61% -1.12%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    Period

    Operating Sales Margin [%]

    Net Sales Margin [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 0.38% 1.06% 2.53% 1.82%

    Y/Y increase [%] -5.81% 0.67% 1.47% -0.71%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    Period

    Net Sales Margin [%]

    Return on Equity [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 265.34% 47.51% 54.98% 4.52%

    Y/Y increase [%] 177.17% -217.84% 7.47% -50.46%

    0%

    50%

    100%

    150%

    200%

    250%

    300%

    Period

    Return on Equity [%]

    fall of operating

    sales margin in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of net sales

    margin in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of return on

    equity in 2011comparing to the

    value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Return on Assets [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 0.81% 2.51% 10.23% 2.56%

    Y/Y increase [%] -13.69% 1.70% 7.72% -7.67%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    Period

    Return on Assets [%]

    Effective tax rate [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 17.56% 14.79% 16.81% 15.97%

    Y/Y increase [%] 1.16% -2.76% 2.02% -0.84%

    Liquidity Ratios

    13%

    14%

    14%

    15%

    15%

    16%

    16%

    17%

    17%

    18%

    18%

    Period

    Effective tax rate [%]

    Current ratio [%]Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 98.61% 120.42% 125.32% 106.94%

    Y/Y increase [%] -25.93% 21.81% 4.90% -18.38%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    Period

    Current ratio [%]

    fall of return on

    assets in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of effective tax

    rate in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of current ratio

    in 2011 comparing

    to the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Quick ratio [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 58.38% 74.26% 81.71% 74.91%

    Y/Y increase [%] -24.37% 15.88% 7.45% -6.80%

    Super quick ratio [%]Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 15.34% 21.93% 29.96% 13.73%

    Y/Y increase [%] -3.42% 6.59% 8.03% -16.23%

    Receivables to liabilities ratio [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 43.04% 52.34% 50.68% 60.02%Y/Y increase [%] -20.91% 9.30% -1.66% 9.34%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Period

    Quick ratio [%]

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    Period

    Super quick ratio [%]

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Period

    Receivables to liabilities ratio [%]

    fall of quick ratio in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    fall of super quick

    ratio in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of receivables

    to liabilities ratio in

    2011 comparing tothe value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Financial Cycles

    Days of coverage for Cash & Equivalent [days]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [days] -23 -2 -3 -8

    Y/Y increase [days] -27 21 -1 -4

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    Period

    Days of coverage for Cash & Equivalent [days]

    Days of coverage for receivables [days]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [days] 56 50 30 54

    Y/Y increase [days] -5 -6 -20 24

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Period

    Days of coverage for receivables [days]

    Days of coverage for inventories [days]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [days] 53 45 26 28

    Y/Y increase [days] 13 -8 -19 2

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Period

    Days of coverage for inventories [days]

    fall of days of

    coverage for cash &

    equivalent in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of days of

    coverage for

    receivables in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of days ofcoverage for

    inventories in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Days of coverage for short term liabilities [days]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [days] 131 98 59 90

    Y/Y increase [days] 35 -34 -38 31

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Period

    Days of coverage for short term liabilities [days]

    Financial Leverage Ratios

    Debt to Equity ratio [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 4973.19% 488.73% 76.43% 8.09%

    Y/Y increase [%] 4852.63% -4484.46% -412.29% -68.35%

    0%

    1000%

    2000%

    3000%

    4000%

    5000%

    6000%

    Period

    Debt to Equity ratio [%]

    Equity to total assets ratio [%]Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 0.30% 5.28% 18.61% 56.67%

    Y/Y increase [%] -16.14% 4.98% 13.32% 38.06%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Period

    Equity to total assets ratio [%]

    rise of days of

    coverage for short

    term liabilities in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    fall of debt to equity

    ratio in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of equity to total

    assets ratio in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Production Factors

    Average employment per company [person]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [person] 20 19 10 12

    Y/Y dynamics [%] -6.74% -4.08% -44.35% 16.55%

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    Y/Yd

    ynamicsofaverageemployment

    percompany[%]

    [person]

    Average employment per company [person]

    Average employment per company [person] Y/Y dynamics of average employment per company [%]

    Labour productivity [thou. RON/person]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON/person] 263.04 266.25 601.03 556.23

    Y/Y dynamics [%] 22.36% 1.22% 125.73% -7.45%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Y/Ydynamicsoflabourproductivi

    ty

    [%]

    [thouRON/person]

    Labour productivity [thou. RON/person]

    Labour productivi ty [thou. RON/person] Y/Y dynamics of labour product ivity [%]

    Labour cost as the share in total operating costs [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 9.20% 9.75% 3.55% 3.78%

    Y/Y increase [%] -0.12% 0.54% -6.19% 0.23%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Labour cost as the share in total operating costs [%]

    rise of average

    employment per

    company in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of labour

    productivity in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of labour cost

    as the share in total

    operating costs in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Fixed assets per employee [thou. RON/person]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON/person] 19.44 18.05 15.88 17.45

    Y/Y dynamics [%] 9.60% -7.12% -12.02% 9.90%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    Y/Ydynamicsoffixedassets

    per

    employee[%]

    [thouRON/person]

    Fixed assets per employee [thou. RON/person]

    Fixed assets per employee [thou. RON/person] Y/Y dynamics of fixed assets per employee [%]

    Labour intensity of production [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 8.96% 9.41% 3.41% 3.67%

    Y/Y increase [%] 0.15% 0.45% -6.00% 0.26%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Period

    Labour intensity of production [%]

    Material & energy intensity of production [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 8.29% 7.71% 2.72% 3.25%

    Y/Y increase [%] 1.19% -0.58% -4.98% 0.53%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    Period

    Material & energy intensity of production [%]

    rise of fixed assets

    per employee in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    rise of labour

    intensity of

    production in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    rise of material &

    energy intensity ofproduction in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Total assets turnover [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 227.33% 249.62% 404.58% 142.22%

    Y/Y increase [%] -8.18% 22.29% 154.96% -262.36%

    0%

    50%

    100%

    150%

    200%

    250%

    300%

    350%

    400%

    450%

    Period

    Total assets turnover [%]

    Fixed assets productivity [%]Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 1343.99% 1463.94% 3542.39% 231.83%

    Y/Y increase [%] 148.27% 119.95% 2078.46% -3310.56%

    0%

    500%

    1000%

    1500%

    2000%

    2500%

    3000%

    3500%

    4000%

    Period

    Fixed assets productivity [%]

    Labour cost per employee [thou. RON/person]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [thou RON/person] 23.57 25.05 22.94 22.05Y/Y dynamics [%] 24.31% 6.28% -8.40% -3.90%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Y/Ydynami

    csoflabourcostper

    employee[%]

    [thouRON/person]

    Labour cost per employee [thou. RON/person]

    Labour cost per employee [thou. RON/person] Y/Y dynamics of labour cost per employee [%]

    fall of total assets

    turnover in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of fixed assets

    productivity in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of labour cost

    per employee in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Costs

    Share of wages in total operating costs [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 7.26% 7.63% 2.80% 2.98%

    Y/Y increase [%] -0.02% 0.37% -4.83% 0.19%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    Period

    Share of wages in total operating costs [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 1.95% 2.12% 0.76% 0.80%

    Y/Y increase [%] -0.11% 0.18% -1.36% 0.04%

    Share of social contributions in total operating costs [%]

    0%

    1%

    1%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    Period

    Share of social contributions in total operating costs [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011Value [%] 33.85% 37.93% 30.26% 25.32%

    Y/Y increase [%] -1.09% 4.08% -7.67% -4.94%

    Share of external services in total operating cost [%]

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    Period

    Share of external services in total operating cost [%]

    rise of share of

    wages in total

    operating costs in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    rise of share of

    social contributions

    in total operating

    costs in 2011

    comparing to the

    value in 2010

    fall of share of

    external services in

    total operating cost

    in 2011 comparing

    to the value in 2010

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 8.52% 7.99% 2.84% 3.35%

    Y/Y increase [%] 1.00% -0.53% -5.15% 0.51%

    Share of material & energy used in total operating costs [%]

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%9%

    10%

    Period

    Share of material & energy used in total operating costs [%]

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Value [%] 0.49% 0.47% 0.30% 0.29%

    Y/Y increase [%] 0.01% -0.01% -0.18% -0.01%

    Share of taxes & fees in total operating costs [%]

    0%

    0%

    0%

    0%

    0%

    1%

    1%

    Period

    Share of taxes & fees in total operating costs [%]

    rise of share of

    material & energy

    used in total

    operating costs in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    fall of share of taxes

    & fees in total

    operating costs in

    2011 comparing to

    the value in 2010

    other costs

    dominate in the coststructure

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

    Costs structure [%]

    Wages [%] 7.63% 2.80% 2.98%

    Social contributions [%] 2.12% 0.76% 0.80%

    Cost of external services [%] 37.93% 30.26% 25.32%

    Material and energy costs [%] 7.99% 2.84% 3.35%

    Taxes and fees [%] 0.47% 0.30% 0.29%

    O ther costs [%] 43.86% 63.04% 67.25%

    Period 2009 2010 2011

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2009 2010 2011

    Period

    Costs structure [%]

    Wages [%] Social contributions [%] Cost of external services [%]

    Material and energy costs [%] Taxes and fees [%] Other costs [%]

    3.0% 0.8%

    25.3%

    3.4%

    0.3%

    67.2%

    Costs structure [%] (2011)

    Wages [%] Social contributions [%] Cost of external services [%]

    Material and energy costs [%] Taxes and fees [%] Other costs [%]

    Structure of Current Assets

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

    short-term

    receivables

    dominate in the

    current assets

    structure

    Current assets structure [%]

    Inventories [%] 38.33% 34.80% 29.95%

    Short-term receivables [%] 43.46% 40.44% 56.12%

    Cash and equivalent [%] 18.21% 23.91% 12.84%

    O ther current assets [%] 0.00% 0.86% 1.09%

    Period 2009 2010 2011

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2009 2010 2011

    Period

    Current assets structure [%]

    Inventories [%] Short-term receivables [%] Cash and equivalent [%] Other current assets [%]

    29.9%

    56.1%

    12.8%

    1.1%

    Current assets structure [%] (2011)

    Inventories [%] Short-term receivables [%] Cash and equivalent [%] Other current assets [%]

    Source: ISI, EMI S, Creditinfo Romania, CCIR

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    ElectronicShoppingand

    Mail-OrderHouses

    DuPontsPyra

    mid

    Equity

    per

    company

    2011

    2448

    2010

    291

    2009

    88

    2008

    6

    Leverage

    2011

    1.76

    Assets

    per

    company

    2011

    4321

    2010

    5.37

    2010

    1562

    2009

    18.92

    2009

    1665

    ROE

    2011

    4.5%

    2008

    328.34

    TAT

    2011

    1.42

    2008

    1921

    2010

    55.0%

    2010

    4.05

    2009

    47.5%

    2009

    2.50

    2008

    265.3%

    ROA

    2011

    2.6%

    2008

    2.27

    Net

    revenue

    per

    company

    2011

    6145

    2010

    10.2%

    2010

    6321

    2009

    2.5%

    2009

    4157

    2008

    0.8

    %

    ROS

    20

    11

    1.8%

    2008

    43

    67

    2010

    2.5%

    2009

    1.1%

    2008

    0.4%

    Net

    profit

    per

    company

    2011

    111

    2010

    1

    60

    2009

    42

    2008

    16

    Returnon

    equity

    ROE=ROA*leverage

    Assetsturnover

    TAT=Netrev

    enueper

    company/Assetsper

    company

    Returnonassets

    ROA=ROS*TAT

    Netrevenuepercompany(*)

    [thouRON]

    (*)Netprofitpercompanyornetrevenuepercompanyfrom

    agivenyear

    (**)Valueofassetspercompanyorequitypercompanyfrom

    theendof

    year

    Equity

    percompany(**)

    [thouRON]

    leverage=Assetsper

    company/Equityper

    company

    Assetspercompany(**)

    [thouRON]

    Returnonnetsales

    ROS=Netprofitpercompany

    /Netrevenuepercompany

    Netprofitpercompany(*)

    [thouRON]

    *

    *

    /

    /

    /

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    ElectronicShoppingand

    Mail-OrderHouses

    CompaniesfromtheSector

    TopPlayersfrom

    theSector

    improveof

    taxshield

    o ++

    ++ o + + + +

    +

    leverage

    increase

    o + o + ++

    ++ o +

    + + + +

    cost

    cutting

    + + ++ + +

    + o ++ o + o +

    increas

    e

    ofrevenue

    ++ o + o + ++ o ++ + + + +++o

    9.56%

    95.89%

    30.97%

    14.01%

    28.81%

    28.01%

    16.21%

    31.92%

    ROS

    1.44%

    0.38%

    0.02%

    0.59%

    -27.28%

    16.58%

    0.25%

    2.12%

    1.41%

    9.92%

    0.54%

    TAT

    2.82

    8.71

    4.55

    8.84

    5.61

    1.34

    7.70

    2.48

    3.21

    2.98

    4.82

    ROA

    4.04%

    3.27%

    0.07%

    5.20%

    -152.98%

    22.18%

    1.94%

    5.26%

    4.54%

    29.58%

    -7.69%

    leverage

    44.61

    4.17

    33.72

    13.01

    -0.39

    1.20

    13.43

    -1.09

    2.25

    3.20

    11.41

    ROE

    180.45%

    13.63%

    2.36%

    67.59%

    59.05%

    26.61%

    26.07%

    -5.72%

    10.20%

    94.72%

    47.50%

    Employm

    ent

    44

    34

    15

    19

    14 5 7

    3150

    24

    42

    Asse

    ts

    [mnR

    ON]

    27.03

    6.8

    5

    5.8

    7

    2.0

    1

    2.7

    4

    9.5

    1

    1.5

    6

    4.8

    2

    3.6

    2

    3.2

    9

    6.7

    3

    Equity

    [mnRON]

    0.61

    1.64

    0.17

    0.15

    -7.10

    7.93

    0.12

    -4.43

    1.61

    1.03

    0.17

    Y/Y

    dynamics

    ofnetprofit

    141.57%

    33.64%

    101.49%

    -21.16%

    -119.67%

    277.81%

    -57.97%

    -42.24%

    1578.71%

    -1.83%

    189.04%

    NetProfit

    [mnRON]

    1.09

    0.22

    0.00

    0.10

    -4.19

    2.11

    0.03

    0.25

    0.16

    0.97

    0.08

    Y/Y

    dynam

    ics

    ofn

    et

    revenues

    111.5

    6%

    -17.2

    8%

    -26.5

    0%

    13.98%

    -29.9

    1%

    17.63%

    -12.5

    5%

    -3.10%

    24.38%

    22.00%

    10.02%

    Net

    Revenue

    [mnRON]

    76.12

    59.63

    26.70

    17.74

    15.36

    12.72

    12.02

    11.96

    11.62

    9.81

    25.37

    Market

    share

    19.66%

    15.40%

    6.90%

    4.58%

    3.97%

    3.29%

    3.11%

    3.09%

    3.00%

    2.53%

    6.55%

    Datafrom2011

    Shareofnetrevenue

    sof

    top10companiesinthe

    sector

    65.53%

    PCG

    ARAGE

    EPSDISTRIBUTIONGRUP

    TELEMARK

    ETING

    IDEALTECH

    TEL

    ECLUB

    ONLIN

    ESHOP

    GRADINABAKKERO

    LAND

    InfinitySRL

    InfopPerfection

    areSi

    DezvoltareSRL

    ANTICARIATO

    NLINE

    Average

    Highpotential

    Mediumpotential

    Lowpotential

    Mainindicators

    Thedatafor2010and

    2011arefromCreditinfoRomaniaandC

    CIR.Hence,thequalityofpresented

    dataisstrictlylimited

    bythequalityofdatainCreditinfoRomania&CCIR.

    *)PubliccompaniesrepresentsonlythesePLCthatarelistedon1stand2ndtierofBVBorRasdaq

    Public

    com-

    pany*)

    Strategicconclusions

    Potentialfor:

    Effective

    taxrate

    DuPontpyramid

    InduPontPyramidstockv

    ariablesarenot

    averagedovertimeforcalculationpurposes

    duetolackofthesedata

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    ElectronicShoppingand

    Mail-OrderHouses

    Listedcompaniesfrom

    thesector(BVB/Rasdaq;1stand2ndtier)

    U

    L

    U

    L

    P/BV

    P/E

    %P

    (y/y)

    P

    ++++++

    ROS

    TAT

    ROA

    leverage

    ROE

    Boo

    k

    Va

    lue

    [mn

    RON]

    Ne

    tPro

    fit

    [mn

    RO

    N]

    Ne

    t

    Revenue

    [mn

    RON]

    Marke

    t

    share

    Datafrom2011

    Liqu

    idity

    Mainindicators

    -highliquidity

    -averageliquidity

    -lowliquidity

    Market

    FinancialIndicators(2011)

    Effec

    tive

    taxra

    te

    DuPont'spyram

    id

    MarketIndicators(31/12/

    2012)

    Required

    returnrate

    Market

    multipliers

    Beta

    ()

    Company

    '

    smarke

    t

    va

    lue

    [mn

    RON]

    Price

    Averag

    e

    daily

    vo

    lume-

    las

    tye

    ar

    [thou

    RON]

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    ElectronicShoppingand

    Mail-OrderHouses

    MergersandAcquisitions

    Takingover

    company

    NaspersLtd

    NaspersLtd

    AmaradiaSprl

    PanatekInvestment

    Group

    FitDistribution

    Romanian-American

    EnterpriseFund

    (RAEF)*

    AsesoftDistribution

    SRL

    FitDistribution

    AllianceRoyal

    Computers

    Takenover

    company

    DanteInternationa

    l

    SRL

    FashionDays

    FunGift

    QuelleRomania

    PCGarage

    cel.ro*

    DanteInternationa

    l,

    Custom

    NetSolutio

    ns

    (formerEmag

    International)

    shopIT.ro

    CaroGroup

    Tran

    sactiondate

    Jul-30,2012

    Dec,2011

    Jul-15,2011

    M

    ar-30,2010

    S

    ep-23,2009

    M

    ay-27,2009

    A

    pr-24,2009

    M

    ar-12,2009

    J

    un-05,2008

    Buyer'sName

    NaspersLtd

    AsesoftDistributionSR

    AllianceRoyalCompute

    Seller'sName

    AsesoftWeb,Network

    OneDistribution,Radu

    Apostolescu-private

    investor

    Private

    owners/shareholders

    AndreiBucur-

    businessman,Eugen

    Catrina-businessman

    Target

    Company

    DanteInte

    rnational

    SRL

    DanteInte

    rnational,

    CustomNetSolutions

    (formerEmag

    International)

    CaroGrou

    p

    Transactiondate

    Jul-30,2012

    Apr-24,2009

    Jun-05,2008

    Valueofadeal

    [mnUSD]

    Statusofadeal

    123.18

    13.24

    1.55

    Last

    mergers

    Thela

    stmergersrefertothetransactions

    affectinganalysedsector.

    ThedatasourceisISIDealwatch

    Thelargestbuy/

    selloffers

    Thelargestbuy/sell

    offersrefertothetransactionsaffectinganalysedsector.ThedatasourceisISIDealwatch

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Key ConceptsDefinitions of Indices

    Number of companies Number of reporting companies V

    Net revenue per company [mn RON]Net revenue

    -----------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Total operating cost per company [mn RON]

    (including depreciation and amortization)

    Total operating costs---------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V---

    V

    Operating profit (EBIT) per company [mn RON]Operating profit - Operating loss

    ---------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Operating profit (EBIT) per profit-making company [mn RON]Operating profit

    ---------------------------------------------

    Number of profit-making companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Gross profit per company [mn RON]Gross profit - Gross loss

    ---------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Gross profit per profit-making company [mn RON]Gross profit

    ---------------------------------------------

    Number of profit-making companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Net profit per company [mn RON]Net profit - Net loss

    ---------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Net profit per profit-making company [mn RON]Net profit

    ---------------------------------------------

    Number of profit-making companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Operating Sales Margin [%]Operating profit - Operating loss

    -------------------------------------

    Net revenue

    V

    ---

    V

    Net Sales Margin [%]Net profit - Net loss

    ------------------------------------

    Net revenue

    V

    ---

    V

    Return on Equity [%]Net profit - Net loss

    ------------------------------------

    Equity

    V

    ---

    V

    Return on Assets [%]Net profit - Net loss

    ------------------------------------

    Total assets

    V

    ---

    V

    Effective tax rate [%]Gross profit - (Net profit - Net loss)

    -------------------------------------------

    Gross profit

    V

    ---

    V

    Share of profit-making companies [%]Number of profit making companies

    ---------------------------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    -----

    V

    Current ratio [%]Current assets

    ------------------------

    Short-term liabilities

    V

    ---

    V

    Quick ratio [%]Current assets - Inventory

    -------------------------------

    Short-term liabilities

    V

    ---

    V

    Super quick ratio [%]Cash & Equivalent

    ------------------------------------

    Short-term liabilities

    V

    ---

    V

    Receivables to liabilities ratio [%]Receivables

    ------------------------

    Short-term liabilities

    V

    ---

    V

    Days of coverage for Cash & Equivalent [days](Receivables + Inventories - Short term liabilities) * 360

    ------------------------------------------------------------------

    Net revenue of goods and services

    V

    ---

    V

    Days of coverage for receivables [days]Receivables * 360

    ------------------------------------

    Net revenue of goods and services

    V

    ---

    V

    Days of coverage for inventories [days]Inventories * 360

    --------------------------------------

    Net revenue of goods and services

    V

    ---

    V

    Days of c overage for short term liabilities [days]Short term liabilities * 360

    --------------------------------------

    Net revenue of goods and services

    V

    ---

    V

    Debt to Equity ratio [%]Long-term liabilities

    -----------------------

    Equity

    V

    ---

    V

    Equity to total assets ratio [%]

    Equity

    --------------Total assets

    V

    ---V

    Long-term liabilities to total liabilities ratio [%]Long-term liabilities

    -----------------------

    Total assets

    V

    ---

    V

    Debt ratio [%]Total liabilities

    -----------------

    Total assets

    V

    ---

    V

    Operating profit coverage [years]Total liabilities

    ----------------------------------------

    Operating profit - Operating loss

    V

    -----

    V

    V - Value for a given year

    Financialcycles

    Definition of index

    Generalindices

    P

    rofitabilityratios

    Liquidityratios

    Financialleverage

    ratios

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Average employment per company [person]Number of employees

    --------------------------

    Number of companies

    V

    ---

    V

    Labour productivity [thou. RON/person]Net revenue

    ---------------

    Employment

    V

    ---

    V

    Labour cost as the share in total operating costs [%]Wages + Social insurance & other contributions to employees

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V

    ---

    V

    Fixed assets per employee [thou. RON/person]

    Fixed assets

    ------------------Employment

    V

    ---V

    Labour intensity of production [%]Wages + Social insurance & other contributions to employees

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Net revenue

    V

    ---

    V

    Material & energy intensity of production [%]Material & energy costs

    ----------------------------

    Net revenue

    V

    ---

    V

    Total assets turnover [%]Net revenue

    ------------------

    Total assets

    V

    ---

    V

    Fixed assets productivity [%]Net revenue

    ------------------

    Fixed assets

    V

    ---

    V

    Labour cost per employee [thou. RON/person]Wages + Social insurance & other contributions to employees

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Employment

    V

    -----

    V

    Share of wages in total operating costs [%]Wages

    -------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V---

    V

    Share of soc ial contributions in total operating costs [%]Social insurance and other contributions to employees

    --------------------------------------------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V

    ---

    V

    Share of external services in total operating cost [%]External services

    -------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V

    ---

    V

    Share of material & energy used in total operating costs [%]Material & energy costs

    -----------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V

    ---

    V

    Share of taxes & fees in total operating costs [%]Taxes & fees

    -------------------------

    Total operating costs

    V

    ---

    V

    Costs

    V - Value for a given year

    Definition of index

    Productionfactors

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    Definitions of Selected Concepts

    EconTrends for Romania are based to large extent on the structure of the North American Industry

    Classification System (NAICS). Analyses made for respective industry divisions and groups are

    consistent with this classification. However the used system of industry classification is not fully

    compatible with the Romanian Classification of Activities due to Romanian statistics - specific factors.

    Moreover the reports are based on the bottom-up aggregation of individual companies financial data

    from the Creditinfo Romania and CCIR (Chamber of Commerce and Industry), which provides the

    financials not for all, but for all major companies from the sector. Hence the report covers not the full

    sector but only its major part.

    Forecasting models used in EconTrends have a hierarchical structure. The first layer consists of

    models that transmit behavior of macroeconomic variables like nominal GDP growth, increases in prices

    to the behaviors of financial parameters like net sales per company and EBIT margin in all analyzed

    economic divisions. EBIT margin should be understood as earnings before interest and taxes. The next

    layer of models translates the behavior of the above parameters in economic divisions into the groups

    within them, than into classess within groups and subclassess within classess. The econometric

    models that are used in respective layers have a linear structure and belong to a well known group of

    regression models.

    Risk-profitability maps show the location of sectors depending on the value of profitability and risk

    they achieve. Sectors singled out by being encircled by a red ring are most useful efficientfor

    investors, due to the relatively highest return at the lowest variability of profit (relatively high value of

    the Sharps index). On the basis of the coordinate values ofefficient sectors, the preferences of

    investors on the market are shown by a grey dotted line visible on the graphs this is a level line of

    the linear function of utility for investors (Investors Utility Function). The level line shows preferences

    of the majority of investors with regard to achieved profitability at a given risk. Sectors, which are

    placed above the linear function of usefulness are preferred by investors due to the possibility of

    achieving a high profitability, at a particular level of risk. Sectors lying below the level line are not as

    attractive for investors, due to the relatively high variability in profit as against their profitability.

    The forces map shows decompositions of the profitability index into particular driving forces. The idea

    of the strengths map is to show the effect of particular variables on the dynamics of profit both in

    current and forecasted situation.

    Several concentration measures are used to examine the degree of the market power concentration

    within the analyzed sectors. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (known as HHI), is a measure of the size

    of firms in relationship to the industry and an indicator of the amount of competition among them. It is

    defined as the sum of the squares of the market shares of each individual firm: ie the average market

    share, weighted by market share. As such, it can range from 0 to 10,000 moving from a very large

    amount of very small firms to a single monopolistic producer. Decreases in the Herfindahl index

    generally indicate a loss of market power and an increase in competition, whereas increases imply the

    opposite. The Lorenz curve in turn, is a graph showing the proportion of the distribution assumed by

    the bottom % market share values. It is used to represent market shares distribution, where it shows

    for the bottom x% of companies in the sector, what percentage y% of the market share they have.

    The percentage of companies is plotted on the x-axis, the percentage of market share on the y-axis.

    It is considered it to be a measure of inequality of the market shares within the given sector. The Gini

    coefficient is a measure of statistical dispersion in the market shares defined as the field between the

    diagonal and the Lorentz curve. It is defined as a rat io with values between 0 and 1. A low Gini

    coefficient indicates more equal market shares, while a high Gini coefficient indicates more unequaldistribution. 0 corresponds to perfect equality (all companies having exactly the same market share)

    and 1 corresponds to perfect inequality (where one monopolist has all the market share, while

    everyone else has zero share in the market).

    Forecasting models

    Risk-profitability maps

    The forces map

    Several concentration measures are used to examine the degree of the market power concentration

    within the analyzed sectors.

    The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (known as HHI), is a measure of the size of firms in relationship to the

    industry and an indicator of the amount of competition among them. It is defined as the sum of the

    squares of the market shares of each individual firm: ie the average market share, weighted by market

    share. As such, it can range from 0 to 10,000 moving from a very large amount of very small firms to a

    single monopolistic producer. Decreases in the Herfindahl index generally indicate a loss of market

    power and an increase in competition, whereas increases imply the opposite.

    The Lorenz curve in turn, is a graph showing the proportion of the distribution assumed by the bottom

    % market share values. It is used to represent market shares distribution, where it shows for the

    bottom x% of companies in the sector, what percentage y% of the market share they have. The

    percentage of companies is plotted on the x-axis, the percentage of market share on the y-axis. It is

    considered it to be a measure of inequality of the market shares within the given sector.

    Concentration measures

    Herfindahl-Hirschman Index

    Lorenz Curve

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    Elec tronic Shopping and Mail-O rder Houses

    The Gini coeffic ient is a measure of statistical dispersion in the market shares defined as the field

    between the diagonal and the Lorentz curve. It is defined as a ratio with values between 0 and 1. A

    low Gini coefficient indicates more equal market shares, while a high Gini coefficient indicates more

    unequal distribution. 0 corresponds to perfect equality (all companies having exactly the same market

    share) and 1 corresponds to perfect inequality (where one monopolist has all the market share, while

    everyone else has zero share in the market).

    Gini coefficient

    Forecasts presented in EconTrends for Romania relate to a period of two years ahead in relation to

    the end of the time period for which statistical data are available.

    Liquidity (of public company) - ranked accordingly to the averaged daily shares' turnover from the last

    Betas and Required Rates of Return - are calculated for listed companies under CAPM model.

    - rate of return from investments in shares of an analysed company,

    - Leveraged Beta,

    - Unleveraged Beta,

    - Required Rate of Return, where:

    DuPont Pyramid is a very useful tool to decompose Return on Equity (ROA) into various ratios like:

    Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Sales (ROS) and Total Assets Turnover (TAT). It enables easy

    drawing of c onclusions about the efficiency of an analyzed company in various areas of its act ivity.

    - effective tax rate.

    - required (by investors) rate of return from investments in the shares of an analysed company; i.e.

    the expected rate of return when the market stays in equilibrium under CAPM assumptions,

    - 5Y rate of return of a stock market index (BET),

    - 5Y expected rate of return of the stock market index (BET),

    - risk-free rate of return (of 12-month average Bucharest Interbank Bid Rate),

    - debt to equity ratio,

    Distributions of Financials present crit ical values of the distributions of various financials in the

    analyzed sector. The presented critical values represent quartiles of the empirical distribution i.e. they

    are calculated for 20%, 40%, 60% and 80% of the total populat ion of companies from the given

    sector. These distribut ions make possible easy comparison of an analyzed company to othercompanies in the sector, looking at it from various financial angles.

    Market multiples (P/E, P/BV) - are widely used for the valuation purposes. Price to Earnings (P/E) is

    calculated by dividing closury company's capitalisation in the year after analysed year by the earnings

    (net profits) from the last year. For the calculation of Price to Book Value (P/BV) the ending year book

    value is taken.

    Y/Y Increase, Y/Y Dynamics. Increases are calculated as absolute differences with respect to the

    preceding year (Y/Y). Dynamics are calculated as relat ive [%] differences with respect to the

    preceding year (Y/Y).

    M

    MiL

    RVar

    RRCov ,

    E

    DL

    U

    11

    iR

    iR

    MR

    MR

    fR

    E

    D

    fMfi RRRR

    Y/Y Increase, Y/Y Dynamics

    Forecasts

    Distributions of Financials

    DuPont Pyramid

    Market multiples (P/E, P/BV)

    Betas and Required Rates of Return

    Liquidity