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Electronic Commerce School of Library and Information Science What is demographics? The quantitative study of characteristics of human populations People, births, deaths, migration The data are used to develop snapshots of different populations at different points in time Demographic trend analysis is especially important for business Typically uses survey methodology to gather data US Census is the most extensive demographic survey in the world
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Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
I. Internet demographics • What is demographics? • How is demographic information collected? • Problems of net demographics II. Who is collecting net demographics? • What are the demographics of the net? • Who is here and what are we doing?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
“Understanding the evolution of internet demographics is an important ingredient in effectively using the internet for educational, research, and commercial applications. Hitting a moving target is challenging, and much remains to be learned”Virtual Laboratory, UC Berkeley (2002). http://elsa.berkeley.edu/vlab/sites2.html
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
What is demographics?The quantitative study of characteristics of human populations
People, births, deaths, migrationThe data are used to develop snapshots of different populations at different points in time
Demographic trend analysis is especially important for businessTypically uses survey methodology to gather data
US Census is the most extensive demographic survey in the world http://www.census.gov
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
How is demographic information collected?Face-to-face interviewTelephone interview
Survey This can be delivered in the presence of the researcher
It can be left in a public place It can be mailed It can be delivered electronically
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
F-2-F Mail Telephone Electronic
Cost High Low Moderate LowResponse rate High Low Moderate Low/Mod.Control High Low Moderate LowDiverse sample Mod. High Moderate HighDetailed info. High Low Low Low
Comparing survey delivery methods
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
An electronic survey can be delivered in several waysPersonal email or attachment and return
Email to a conference and return Downloaded from an FTP or a web site and return Form on a web page and submitWhat problems are involved in collecting net demographics? A low response rate A strong selection bias that makes representative
sampling difficult
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Site BasedCensus based
User/PC Based
Census basedDetailed tracking of entire siteAdvertiser audits for dynamically assigned ads Difficult to capture demographics and flow across sites
Sample based Not possible to capture complete usage across sitesDemographics information availableReach and frequency analysis Track usage across the Web
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Site level information tells us less and less about how content is being consumed
This is because more interactions are happening at the end users’ PCs
PC metering approach captures less and less of installed base of Internet capable devices
Especially with TVs, wireless laptops and palmtopsPC operating systems or browsers capture less and less of the complex interactions between media object and the user
This is due to the increasing use of plug-ins and other media objects
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
I. Internet demographics • What is demographics? • How is demographic information collected? • Problems of net demographics II. Who is collecting net demographics? • What are the demographics of the net? • Who is here and what are we doing?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
So how many people are there on the net?
World Total 605.60 millionAfrica 6.31 millionAsia/Pacific 187.24 millionEurope 190.91 millionMiddle East 5.12 millionCanada & USA 182.67 millionLatin America 33.35 million
Nua. (2003). How many online? http://www.nua.com/surveys/how_many_online/index.html
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Who is collecting Internet demographics?CommerceNet is a neutral, non-profit consortium dedicated to advancing the growth of global electronic trade through business process interoperability and the creation of open Business Service NetworksLaunched in Silicon Valley in 1994, its membership includes 500 companies and organizations worldwide They include the leading banks, telecom
companies, VAN's, ISPs, online services, and software and services companies, as well as major end-user
http://www.commerce.net
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Their mission is to transform the net into the world's largest and most efficient marketplace dramatically changing how the world transacts businessThey gather and disseminate information on technology, business processes and regulatory policies
They focus on “precompetitive” global and industry-wide issues so that members can benefit from economies of scale and avoid competing on the wrong thingsIt is a virtual organization, relying on the expertise and resources of members as well as other industry groups
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Nielsen Media Research (Dun & Bradstreet Corporation) is active in 40 countries and headquartered in the US
Provides competitive advertising intelligence information in the U.S. and 30 other markets worldwideNielsen Interactive Services (1995) provides research to advertisers, media, IT, and online service companiesFocus on growth and use of the net and interactive television technologiesNielsen//NetRatings is joint venture between Nielsen Media Research, ACNielsen and NetRatings
http://www.nielsenmedia.com
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
For the web:Nielsen//NetRatings offers eight services for market research needsAudience Measurement Services(sm)
Reports and user defined query capability with in-depth measurements of net user behavior at home and at workMonthly and weekly reports with audience size and composition down to the page level, time spent, advertising demographics, comprehensive trending
http://www.nielsen-netratings.com/
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
AdRelevance Service(sm)Comprehensive and timely intelligence on where, when, how and how much web marketers and their competition are advertising onlineCaptures virtually all advertising on the commercial web
@plan Services(sm)Target best prospects with comparative web site profiling informationFor advertisers, agencies, publishers and others who buy and sell Web advertising
Custom Measurement Service(sm)Custom-assembled net audience panel recruited to the requirements of the client to provide data analysis and reports for critical business decisions
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
eCommerce Strategies(sm)Provides information on customer loyalty and retention, sales conversion ratios, size and demographics of audiences
Global Internet Trends(sm)Provides an authoritative information on worldwide net access and usage trends
Internet Investment Strategies(sm)Meeting the needs of those involved in online financial markets by identifying breaking trends, emerging sectors and who is on the way up or down
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Internet Media Strategies(sm)Delivers information about popularity of streaming media, comparisons of media sites, for online media businesses
PRIZM Internet Targeting(sm)Provides comprehensive measures of user activity by lifestyle profile categories or clusters (income, employment, education, household composition, mobility, ethnicity, urbanization and housing)
WebRF(sm)A reach and frequency planning tool for evaluating impact of planned ad campaigns prior to launch using demographic information and a planning system based on real people and real activity
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
September 2002 Global Internet Index Average Usage*
September August %Change# of sessions per month 19 19 0.00# of unique domains visited 49 48 0.77Page views/month 778 785 -0.97Page views/session 40 41 -2.90Time spent/month 10:17:45 10:17:44 0.00Time spent/session 0:31:44 0:32:22 -1.95Duration of a page viewed 0:00:48 0:00:47 0.98Active net universe 220,444,008 218,038,452 1.10Current net universe estimate 385,564,028 385,998,080 -0.11*Home Internet Accesshttp://www.nielsen-netratings.com/hot_off_the_net.jsp
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Table 1: Nielsen//NetRatings Top Gifts & Flowers Sites, Week Ending February 8 (U.S., Work)
Brand or Channel Unique Audience(000) Unique Audience(000) % Growth Week of 2/8/04 Week of 2/9/03All Gifts & Flowers 2,686 687 291%Hallmark Shopping 798 687 16%RedEnvelope 498 266* 87%FTD.com 390* 170* 129%
Source: Nielsen//NetRatrings, February 2004* Site did not meet Nielsen//NetRatings’ minimum sample size requirements. Projected and average measures for these sites may exhibit large changes as a result.
Kim, G. and Wong, T. (2004). Valentine’s Day brings lovers and love seekers to the web, according to Nielsen//Netratings. http://www.nielsen-netratings.com/news.jsp
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Kim, G. and Wong, T. (2004). One in three Americans use a search engine, according to Nielsen//Netratings. http://www.nielsen-netratings.com/news.jsp
Table 1. Nielsen//NetRatings Top 5 Search Destinations, January 2004 (U.S., Home and Work)
Search Destinations Unique Audience (000) Active Reach (%)1. Google 59,327 39.372. Yahoo! Search* 45,774 30.383. MSN Search* 44,651 29.634. AOL Search 23,394 15.535. Ask Jeeves 12,792 8.49
Source: Nielsen//NetRatings NetView, January 2004 * Note: Domain AutoSearch error pages have been removed from the rankings for MSN Search and Yahoo! Search. The sites above that do not exclude Domain AutoSearch error pages consequently reflect higher audience traffic.
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
114.5 million (39% of Americans and 76% of active online users) used a search engine during January 2004
Each spent nearly 40 minutes using search engines during the month
Table 3. Nielsen//NetRatings Most Important Features of Search EnginesFeature % of Respondents Ranking Feature as
“Most Important”1. Can Find Relevant Information 51.8%2. Can Get Credible Results 34.2%3. Get Results Quickly 33.0%4. Has an Easy to Use Interface 18.6%5. Is Well Known 17.5%5. Has Cool Design 17.5%
Source: Nielsen//NetRatings WebIntercept Survey, November 2003
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
An example of an early net demographics study by Neilsen and CommercenetThe representative sample included three types of users in the US and Canada: net users, on-line service users and non-users
The baseline questionnaire was made up of more than 40 multiple-part questionsThe survey involved a gross sample of ~280,000 calls and yielded more than 4,200 completed interviews
This is a response rate of 1.5%
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Cell 1: Direct access to the net and have used it in the last three monthsMay or may not have an on-line service account
Cell 3: No recent net access in last 3 months and no on-line service.
Cell 2: Access to an on-line service and no direct net access
Sample frame:
Goal: 1,000 in each cell
http://www.nielsenmedia.com:80/ interactive/commercenet
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
PersonSelection
InternetUser track
Non-InternetUser track
Chat track
FTP track
Telnet track
Push track
email track
Web track
email track
Terminologyawarenesstrack
General Technologytrack
Demographics
What they did
Usenet track
http://www.nielsenmedia.com:80/interactive/commercenet/qcamp.htm
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Household income > $80,000
Have at least a college degree
Own a home computer
Have had a computer for five or more years
Are male
Consider them-selves computer professionals
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
U.S. population as a whole Newcomers Long time users
The study illustrates significant differences between long-time internet users, newcomers, and the US population as a whole(by percent)
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
The Pew Internet & American Life ProjectMission: create and fund original, academic-quality research on the impact of the net on children, families, communities, work places, schools, health care and civic/ political life
Goal: to be an authoritative source for timely information on the net’s growth and societal impactThe basic product will be phone and online surveysData-gathering efforts will involve reporting from government agencies, academics, and expertsObservations of what people do when they are onlineOther efforts that try to examine individual and group behavior
http://www.pewinternet.org/
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Rural Areas and the Internet (2004)Internet penetration has grown in rural communities,
but the gap between them and suburban and urban communities has remained constant over time
2000: 41% of rural, 51% of urban and 55% of suburban residents online2003: 52% of rural, 67% of urban and 66% of suburban residents online Rural net penetration is roughly 10% behind the national average in each of the last four years Rural income explains some of this variation 47% of rural families < $30K/yr. (39% urban, 29% suburban)
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Rural use of the netAge explains some of the variation 22% of rural population is >65 (14% urban, 16%
suburban)Lack of competition in ISP is also a factor 29% of rural users have one ISP (7% urban, 9% suburban)Broadband is more available outside of rural areas Rural home broadband users grew from 3%-19% of online population Urban home broadband users grew from 8%-36% Suburban home broadband users grew from 7%-32%
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
http://www.pewinternet.org/reports/chart.asp?img=112_exprace.jpg
Rural Areas and the Internet: Race/ethnicity
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Rural Areas and the Internet: Activities
http://www.pewinternet.org/reports/chart.asp?img=112_activitiesusr.jpg
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
A 2002 survey “The Growth in Online House Hunting” found that 40 million wired Americans have used the net to search for houses or apartments
2,259 Internet users were surveyed between March 1 and May 19, 200236% of the nation’s 111 million net users had done housing searches online27% of 89 million online adults had done such searches (March 2000)Internet house hunters are diverse and are distributed relatively equally along racial, gender, and income lines
http://www.pewinternet.org/reports/reports.asp?Report=84&Section=ReportLevel1&Field=Level1ID&ID=366
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Internet house hunters:Are between the ages of 18 and 29 47% between ages 18 and 29 with net access have looked for houses or apartments online 37% are ages 30-49 and 25% are 50-64 Have higher education levels in all income groups Those with college and graduate degrees are more experienced users 62% have been online for over 3 yearsAre unattached but well connected
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
They areSingle 58% looking for housing information online are unmarriedWired 46% of broadband users have house-hunted online Compared with 35% of those with slower
connections 58% of net house hunters are daily net usersSuburban professionals and executives 55% live in suburban areas 36% work in professional or managerial occupations
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
“Email at work” (2002) found that few workers feel overwhelmed and most are pleased with the way email helps them do their jobs
62% of employed Americans have net access and 98% - (57 million) use email on the jobThe large majority say their experience with email is manageableThey spend a modest amount of a typical workday reading and writing emailSome emails replace telephone calls, faxes or mail50% say that email volume has grown in the last year; for the other 50%, it has remained the same
http://www.pewinternet.org/reports/reports.asp?Report=79&Section=ReportLevel1&Field=Level1ID&ID=346
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Other findings:60% of work emailers receive 10 or fewer messages on an average day 23% receive more than 20 and 6% more than 5078% send 10 or fewer messages on an average day 11% send more than 2073% spend an hour or less per day on email 23% spend < 15 minutes per day handling email48% say email volume has increased over the past year 46% say work email volume has stayed the same over the past year
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Also53% say almost all of incoming email is work-related58% say almost all email they send is work-related 75% say a little of the email received or sent at work is personal 71% say only a little email they receive is spam72% say email helps them communicate with more people 62% say email makes them more available to co- workers 33% say email has made them too accessible85% prefer conversations when dealing with workplace problems and other sensitive issues
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
They surveyed 2,117 Americans, 1,017 of whom are net users, from May 19 to June 21, 2000 about trust and privacy online
We have great concerns about breaches of privacyWe also do a “striking number of intimate and trusting things” onlineThe overwhelming majority never had a seriously harmful thing happen to them online
We overwhelmingly want the presumption of privacy when online
A great many net users do not know how their online activities are observed and do not use available tools to protect themselves
http://www.pewinternet.org/reports/index.asp
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
UCLA Center for Communication PolicyThe 1st UCLA World Internet Report (2004)A recently completed 14 country survey of net useSlides are taken from the World Internet Project .ppt presentation at:http://www.ccp.ucla.edu/pages/NewsTopics.asp?Id=45
Finding: television viewing down among net users in all survey countries
High levels of trust in online informationThere is a gender-based “digital divide” in many countriesHigh levels of online use among the poorest citizens in all of the survey countries
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
UCLA World Internet Project: % of Internet Users
Stage 2 – Usenet (10-14-03)
59.2%
45.9%
17.5%
31.2%
50.4%
60.9%
32.9%
40.8%36.4%
66.1%
24.2%
71.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
UCLA World Internet Project: % of Males and Females
Who Use the Internet
Stage 4 – Usenet x Gender (10-14-03)
63.6%
50.4%
20.3%
41.7%
54.7%
67.8%
37.8%
47.2% 46.4%
67.7%
25.1%
73.1%
69.0%
27.2%
34.0%
28.8%
53.8%
46.2%
21.5%
15.1%
41.7%
55.0%
23.5%
64.4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Britain Germany Hungary Italy Japan Korea Macao Singapore Spain Sweden Taiwan USA
Percent of Respondents
Male Female
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
UCLA World Internet Project: Information on the Internet: Is it Reliable and Accurate? (Users Age 18 and above)
Stage 5 – RELIA x Usenet (10-14-03)
7.2%
18.5%
5.0%
25.3%
4.8%
18.3% 17.6%
36.0%
7.1%
54.0%
13.4%
53.1%
47.3%
54.9%
13.3%
59.7%
26.4%
58.0%
69.7%
32.3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Britain China(Urban)
Germany Hungary Japan Korea Singapore Spain Sweden USA
Perc
ent o
f Adu
lt U
sers
None of it or Some of it Most of it or All of it
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
UCLA World Internet Project: Internet Purchasers (Users)
Stage 2 – PurInt (10-14-03)
6.2%
20.5%
48.3%
3.4%
14.7%
30.5% 30.9%
11.4%8.1%
6.3%
41.3%
12.9%
38.2%
34.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Britain
Chile
(San
tiago
)
China
(Urba
n)
German
y
Hunga
ryIta
lyJa
pan
Korea
Macao
Singap
oreSpa
in
Sweden
Taiwan
USA
Perc
ent o
f Use
rs
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
The Dieringer Research Group is now the owner of several early net studies
Originally conducted by CyberDialogAmerican Internet User Survey (now Interactive Consumer)The Internet Consumer: A Continuous Advisory ServiceHistorical Internet Data: Demographic highlights of Internet usersHistorical Internet Data: Internet User Survey andHighlights
http://www.thedrg.com/
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
The American Interactive Consumer Survey is a large benchmarking survey
It uses multiple methods to measure and profile net users Online surveyFocus groupsTelephone sampling of both business and personal users of the web, email and other applications
The goal is to generate an overall picture of net user trends
Comparisons with use of other media are included
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
The survey includes: U.S. business, personal, academic and mobile net
activity from all types of access locations. Expanded coverage of non-users and “disconnectors”
who have tried and rejected online services Expanded coverage of email users Business data on use of intranets
New coverage of local information needs and usage
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Random sample telephone survey techniques were used to establish a random sample of 1000 net users
A 30-minute telephone interview was used with the questionnaire This was designed to parallel the online survey
Focus groups were designed to explore three levels of user experience:
Perceptions of current experiences User problems, unmet needs, and values Interest in emerging internet applications
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
http://www.thedrg.com/d/mcr/aics/bulletins/12112002_retail.htm
A new kind of eshopper
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Hypershoppers spend at least $500 online and $500 or more offline after first seeking information online
13.5 million (19% of net users ) who use the net in some way for shopping60% are men with an average 5+ years onlineThey tend to be better educated, making them more skilled at finding and manipulating informationThey are 40, married (70%), with kids (45%) and a household income of $66,100 (above the U.S. median of $37,600)
http://www.thedrg.com/d/mcr/aics/bulletins/12112002_retail.htm
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
They are significantly more likely than other shoppers to:Rely on print to find web sites for products and servicesUse high speed broadband online accessWatch TV while also going onlineGo to manufacturer sites or retailer sites for informationClick on ads and make online or offline purchases as a resultUse the Internet for music, movies and sports contentGo online for customer service more often than using the telephone
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Selected sources used by hyper-shoppers to find web sites with products & servicesChannel % of Shoppers Word of Mouth 74%Links from Another Site 68%Articles In Print Media 66%Print Ads 54%TV Ads 52%Online Advertising 40%Direct Mail 39%Radio Ads 31%Billboards 32%Children's Mention 24%http://www.thedrg.com/d/mcr/aics/bulletins/12112002_retail.htm
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
http://www.thedrg.com/d/mcr/aics/bulletins/11022002_branding.htm
The net influences our purchasing decisions and brand awareness
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
The Graphics, Visualization, & Usability (GVU) Center's World Wide Web User Surveys
The GVU lab is a research center affiliated with Georgia TechParticipation in the surveys is encouraged by the W3C
and other major net organizationsThe first survey was in conducted during January 1994The 10th Survey was run from October 10, 1998 through December 15, 1998
All results are made free to the public and there is access to the collected archivehttp://www.cc.gatech.edu/gvu/user_surveys/
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
Basic Sections:General demographics Technology demographics Data privacy Web and internet usage
Special Sections:Web authors Politics Webmasters Cultural issues
Ecommerce:Net Shopping Information gathering & purchasingOpinions about ecommerce
Contents of the survey
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
How old are we?
16.1% 26-3013.6% 31-3511.4% 36-4012.2% 41-45
http://www.cc.gatech.edu/gvu/user_surveys/survey-1998-10/graphs/ general/q54.htm
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
US Europe Other US Europe Other
23%
76%
35%
18%
64%
81%
What are we?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
2.7%
4.8%
7.3%
11.5% 11.2%
21%
11.8%12.4%
How much do we earn?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
How often do you do it?
9/day 5/day 1-4/day Few/wk 1/wk 1/mo
36.9%
19.9%
35.8%
6.6%
.5% .3%
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
And for how long?
.9%
9.2%11.0%
13.2%
34%
21.2%
10.6%
5-6 7-9 10-20 20-40 40+0-1 2-4
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
What do you look for?
30.7%
26.6%
8.9%
29.9%
8.2%
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
3.7%8.3%
50.2%
21.1%16.6%
Like a lot Some Dislike a lotLike a little Dislike a little
You like ads?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
You spend $$?
17.5%
7.9%
32.7%
37.5%
3.6%
<$50 50-100 1-500 >%500 D/N
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
10.7%
42.2%
29.6%
13.3%
3.6%.6%
Never <1/mo 1/mo >1l/mo 1/wk >1/wk Daily
How often?
Electronic Commerce
School of Library and Information Science
What do you dislike?
5.6%
20.9%
13.2%
10.8%
19.3%
23.2%
7.3%
Nothing Bad design Slow Other Confusing Obnoxious Couldn’t find