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EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th , 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd [email protected] 1

EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd [email protected]

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Page 1: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations

September 20th, 2014Keith Tolley

Director

Tolley Health Economics Ltd

[email protected] 1

Page 2: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

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Page 3: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

These are economically challenging times for health care payers!

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Page 4: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Pressures on the payers…Drug expenditures continue to rise

New drugs are rarely cost savingNew drugs for previously untreated conditionsAgeing, obesity, etcGrowing patient awareness

Budgets for health care becoming even more constrainedAlways been constrained - Economic austerity of last few years

meaning becoming even more constrained

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Page 5: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

In economically challenged times new innovative therapies need to represent good value for money!

Need to provide the patient, health service and societal benefits at a cost that payers are willing to pay

The more an unmet need is met the more payers may be willing to pay!

This willingness to pay can be expected to vary across healthcare payers in Europe (depending on budgets and health care priorities)

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Page 6: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Innovation is about addressing an unmet need!

Source: Morgan et al. 2008, Open Medicine 2 (1):E4-7

“Neither newness nor effectiveness separately or together constitute innovation”

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Page 7: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

COST

Health Benefit

RISK

Clinical Benefit

GETTING MARKETING AUTHORISATION

GETTING MARKET ACCESS

Page 8: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Not all drugs that get marketing authorisation get market access.

CONTROLLED by:

………..restrictions on the price for public reimbursement

……….limiting the level of reimbursement

……….controlling market access through Health Technology Assessment (HTA) – UK situation

Market access controls

Page 9: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Health Technology AssessmentHealth Technology Assessment (HTA) is “a form of policy

research that systematically examines the short-and long-term consequences, in terms of health and resource use, of the application of a health technology” (Henshall et al., 1997)

HTA has been used as a tool across many countries to help national and regional authorities and payers assess the added value new pharmaceuticals bring: To determine reimbursement and/or price at market access To inform clinical guidance/prescribing

HTA in Europe is co-ordinated through organisations such as EUnetHTA

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Page 10: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

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Decision makers:National reimbursement and HTA bodiese.g. NICE in UK,TLV in Sweden,IQWiG in Germany, AHTAPol in Poland Local Payers:

Local payers are health authorities and hospitals

Page 11: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

What are health care decision makers and payers willing to pay for?

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Not just newness, or new mechanism of

action alone, or new formulation!

But……

The health care benefits a drug brings: •Clinical benefits•Survival improvements•Quality of life (QoL) improvements

Healthcare resource savings:•Reductions in hospital inpatient use•Significant improvements in the quality of care

Wider Societal benefits: •Quality of life benefits for family members and caregivers•Improved economic and social returns

Page 12: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

What does a payer want to know?What offers best value – payers want value based assessments?

What can we afford?

Perspective and what is included within “value” is important and varies by country/type of payer: In Sweden a societal perspective is adopted In UK a healthcare and social service perspective is adopted, but moving more ‘societal’Regional payers (Spain, Italy) concerned with budget impact, cost offsetsLocal payers focussed on affordability in every country

Other factors could be important: orphan, unmet need, clinician and patient demand

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Page 13: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Assessments of cost-effectiveness

The QALY is growing in use around Europe as the ‘standard’ measure of the health benefits (and hence value) of new pharmaceutical interventions

Long established in UK and several other European countries

More recently seen to be adopted in European countries relatively new to the use of HTA e.g. Estonia, Croatia

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Page 14: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

UK Benchmark for decisions:incremental cost per QALY gained (Historical) UK Benchmark for decisions:incremental cost per QALY gained (Historical)

Source: Rawlins and Culyer, BMJ 2005;329:224-227

A = <£20,000 per QALY gained:-Considered an efficient use ofresources

B = >£30,000 per QALY gained-Would need specialcircumstances to accept

Increasing cost/QALY (log scale)

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Page 15: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Questions of value in haemophilia

Possible questions an HTA organisation could ask:

Which approach to the treatment of haemophilia A with inhibitors offers the best value?

Is the reimbursement of prophylactic use of factor VIII better value than treating bleeds on-demand in haemophilia A or B?

Do new recombinant factor VIII products offer good value for money for use in prophylaxis compared to existing recombinant products such that they should be reimbursed? What additional benefits do they bring e.g. less frequent administration?

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Page 16: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Published studiesMost attention given to cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis versus

on-demand factor VIII treatment (more recent attention on cost-effectiveness of inhibitors treatment)

Early health economic studies (90’s) did not have QALY as the outcome measure

Recent systematic review found 7 cost per QALY studies (CUA’s):Two were assessments of treatments for inhibitorsFive were assessments prophylaxis v on-demand

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Page 17: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Cost-utility analysesStudy Study design and countries Utility measure used

Ekert et al, 2001 CUA of recombinant factor VIIa (Novo7) v usual care for haemophilia with inhibitors

Before and after NovoSeven. Single hospital - Australia

Generic EQ 5D

Knight et al, 2003Alternative on-demand regimens for haemophilia A with inhibitors

Decision model - UK Generic EQ 5D

Miners et al. 2002 & Miners 2009Prophylaxis vs on-demand in severe haemophlia

Markov model – UK Generic EQ 5D

Lippert et al, 2005 Prophylaxis vs on-demand in severe haemophlia

Cross sectional study patients aged 14+ years – Ger, Swe, UK, Neth

Generic SF 6D

Risebrough et al 2008Tailored prophylaxis, vs primary prophylaxis vs on-demand in young children 0-6 years

Markov model - Canada Direct Standard gamble in general public

Colombo et al 2011Prophylaxis vs on-demand in severe haemophlia

Markov model - Italy Generic EQ 5D

Farrugia et al 2013Prophylaxis vs on-demand in severe haemophlia

Markov model – US, UK, Swe Generic EQ 5D/SF 6D

Page 18: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Key resultsStudy Treatment/patients

consideredIncremental costs

QALYs gained in a cohort

Cost/QALY Result

Miners 2009

Lifetime treatment with prophylaxis vs on-demand for severe haemophilia in UK (70 yrs follow-up)

£214,000 5.63 £38,000 per QALY gained for primary prophylaxis

Colombo, 2011

Lifetime treatment with prophylaxis vs on-demand for severe haemophilia in Italy (70yrs follow-up)

€787,000 16.03 €40,000 per QALY gained for primary prophylaxis

Ferrugia 2013

Lifetime treatment with prophylaxis vs on-demand for severe haemophilia in 4 countries

-£280,000 (UK)

SEK 5.3 million (Swe)

9.69

10.99

-

SEK 485,000 per QALY gained

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Page 19: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Importance of uncertainty! Cost-effectiveness prophylaxis vs on-demand is sensitive to:

Perspective adopted Dosage and cost of factor VIII assumed Probability of inhibitor with prophylaxis vs on-demand Time horizon and discounting Quality of life estimated for prophylaxis vs. on-demand:

19Source: Noone et al, 2013

Page 20: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

HTA and payer questions of value of a new treatmentWhat are the patient reported benefits – how many

QALYs can be gained for the population?

How high is the incremental cost per QALY gained – what is the opportunity cost of funding the new treatment?

How robust, how uncertain are we of the costs and benefit – how much risk do we want to take?

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Page 21: EHC Workshop on Economics and HTA’s for EU Member Organisations September 20 th, 2014 Keith Tolley Director Tolley Health Economics Ltd keith@tolleyhealtheconomics.com

Summary – HTA and payer perspective

HTA is a supportive tool for decision making, based on demonstration of value.

It takes a population rather than individual perspective, but what’s important in that perspective can vary.

Can expect closer HTA scrutiny of haemophilia in the future: focussed on what value do new haemophilia treatments bring, are they worth paying a premium price? What value for longer half life, less frequent administration?Will payers be willing to pay more for this?

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