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Education Writers Association
National SeminarMay 18-20, 2014
Presenter: Dr. Dan Showalter,Rural School and Community Trust
www.ruraledu.org
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The Future of Rural Education in the U.S.
Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities2
Why Rural Matters Report
• Every two years, beginning in 2001• Data• Definition of rural• Basic ranking concept• Content• Narrative• State pages• Gauge maps• Indicator charts 3
Why Rural Matters 2013-14
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A Caution About Averages: Example Using Poverty Rates in Rural New Jersey
Rural New Jersey19.4% Poverty Rate
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A Caution About Averages: Example Using Poverty Rates in Rural New Jersey
•Millville 65%• Commercial Township51%• Deerfield Township 46%• Lawrence Township 45%• Pemberton Township 44%
Overall poverty rate for rural NJ: 19.4%
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Sample Indicator ResultsPercent Rural Mobility
State Percent RankNevada 21.0% 1Arizona 18.4% 2Florida 15.7% 3Colorado 14.6% 4Hawaii 14.4% 5Arkansas 14.0% 6Rhode Island 4.1% 50
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Sample Indicator ResultsInstructional Dollars per Transportation Dollars
State Dollars RankWest Virginia $7.40 1Illinois $8.47 2Pennsylvania $8.50 3Louisiana $8.78 4New Jersey $8.85 5Alaska $27.08 49
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Sample Indicator ResultsRural Adult Unemployment Rate
State Percent RankMichigan 10% 1South Carolina 9.7% 2Alaska 9.6% 3Florida 9.0% 4California 8.9% 5North Dakota 2.9% 50
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Example State Page
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Importance Gauge
• Percent rural schools
• Percent small rural districts
• Percent rural students
• Number of rural students
• Percentage of state education funds to rural
districts 11
Student and Family Diversity Gauge
• Percent rural minority students
• Number of rural minority students
• Percent rural ELL students
• Percent rural IEP students
• Percent rural mobility
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Student and Family Diversity
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Educational Policy Context Gauge
• Rural instructional expenditures per pupil
• Ratio of instructional to transportation
expenditures
• Median organizational scale (x 100)
• State revenue to schools per local dollar
• Rural salary expenditures per instructional FTE15
Educational Policy Context
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Educational Outcomes Gauge
• Rural Grade 4 NAEP scores (math)
• Rural Grade 4 NAEP scores (reading)
• Rural Grade 8 NAEP scores (math)
• Rural Grade 8 NAEP scores (reading)
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Educational Outcomes
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Socioeconomic Challenges Gauge
• Percentage of rural adults with high school diploma
• Rural adult unemployment rate
• Rural median household income
• Percentage of rural students who are Title I eligible
• Percentage of rural students eligible for free or
reduced lunches19
Socioeconomic Challenges
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Takeaway Messages
•Message #1: The number of rural students in the U.S. is growing.
7,302,281 (2002)
8,522,506 (2005)
9,628,501 (2009)
9,765,385 (2011) 21
Takeaway Messages
•Message #2: The “rural student” is changing.
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Takeaway Messages
•Message #2: The “rural student” is changing.
- In the past decade, the number of rural Hispanic students more than doubled.
- Over 2.6 million rural students (26.7%) are from a minority population.
- The poverty rate among rural students has increased by over 10% since 2000. 23
Takeaway Messages
•Message #3: Regardless of the measures used, the states with the highest rural education needs remain the same year after year.
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Why Rural Matters: Priority Rankings Across Reports
20031. Mississippi2. Alabama3. Kentucky4. North Dakota5. South Dakota
20051. Mississippi2. New Mexico3. Kentucky4. Louisiana5. Alabama
20091. Alabama2. Arizona3. Mississippi4. Oklahoma5. New Mexico
2011-121. Mississippi2. Alabama3. Arizona4. South Carolina5. Louisiana
2013-141. Mississippi2. Alabama3. South Carolina4. North Carolina5. Arizona
20071. Mississippi2. Alabama3. Arizona4. North Carolina5. Oklahoma
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Takeaway Messages
•Message #4: Based on the available early childhood data, the future of rural education will grow even bleaker unless substantial intervention is taken.
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Thank you!
Dan Showalter ([email protected])
Rob Mahaffey ([email protected])
Rural School and Community Trust (www.ruraledu.org)
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