EDITD Denim Retail in 2015 (1)

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    DENIM RETAIL IN 2015Denim is a huge part of every retailers business, and everyconsumers wardrobe. There are over 150,000 denim productsin the US and UK markets today, and its a category thatsgrowing*. In recent years, the activewear market boomedbecause of consumer interest in health and tness. Also, the

    clever application of retail concepts from new market entrants

    BIGGEST RETAILERS OF DENIM

    gave the category a halo effect. This displaced some of thetraditional spending on casual apparel. Some might even nowargue that the default casual apparel styles are no longer jeans,and activewear will erode denims traditional place further. In thisreport, we use our global market data to analyse the commercial

    state of denim today, uncovering trends, brands and retailers.

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015

    *Based on the womenswear jeans arrivals from November 2014 to January 2015 vs. same period one year ago.

    US MASS/VALUE

    1. ASOS (US)

    2. Macys

    3. Kohls

    4. Zappos

    5. Dillards

    US PREMIUM/LUXURY

    1. Nordstrom

    2. Saks Fifth Avenue

    3. Bloomingdales

    4. Neiman Marcus

    5. Shopbop

    UK MASS/VALUE

    1. ASOS (UK)

    2. House of Fraser

    3. Debenhams

    4. Very

    5. Littlewoods

    UK PREMIUM/LUXURY

    1. Farfetch

    2. Selfridges

    3. My Theresa

    4. Matches

    5. Harvey Nichols

    Jeans

    Shorts

    Jackets

    Skirts

    Jeggings

    Dresses

    Shirts

    Accessories

    78%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    1%

    Skinny

    Boyfriend

    Jeggings

    Flared

    Turn-up

    Straight

    Mom

    76%

    10%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    1%

    1%

    DENIM ASSORTMENT BREAKDOWNBreakdown of womens denim market by garment

    based on product count of global womenswear data on January 23, 2015Breakdown of womens denim market by jean t

    based on product count of global womenswear data on January 23, 2015

    By number of products in stock on January 23, 2015

    MOST STOCKED BRANDS

    UK WOMEN

    1. J. Brand

    2. G-Star

    3. 7 For All Mankind

    UK MEN

    1. Diesel

    2. Levis

    3. G-Star

    US MEN

    1. Levis

    2. 7 For All Mankind

    3. Diesel

    US WOMEN

    1. 7 For All Mankind

    2. J. Brand

    3. Paige Denim

    VISUAL MERCHANDISING AT KEY RETAILERS

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    FARFETCH NORDSTROM NEIMAN MARCUSHOUSE OF FRASER

    Newsletters not featuring denim

    Newsletters featuring denim

    150

    120

    90

    60

    30

    0

    Both Farfetch and Nordstrom give high value to their denim

    offering in communications, frequently featuring jeans and other

    denim apparel in newsletters. House of Fraser, as one of the

    worlds biggest discounters of denim, may save price slashes by

    giving the category greater precedence.

    Chart data is based on email newsletters sent during the three

    month period of October 23, 2014 - January 23, 2015, which

    featured denim brands, denim styling or directed shoppers todenim category pages.

    HOW VISIBLE IS DENIM IN THE LAST 3 MONTHS OF PROMOS?

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    VALUE PREMIUMMASS LUXURY

    The value market is ercely

    competitive around price,

    with very few outliers. The

    bulk of the assortment is

    around the $20-40 pricepoints, which are well

    stocked and show the hottest

    competition.

    Theres more diversity of

    prices in the premium

    market, and it considerably

    overlaps mass and luxury.

    Premium retailers areincreasingly taking on the

    luxury segment.

    In the mass market, the $40-

    60 bracket is proportionally

    smaller compared to adjacent

    price points. Products above

    $80 tend to have detailing andnishes, such as faux leather

    or lace appliqu, to achieve a

    higher price point.

    Luxury denim products

    tend to incorporate higher

    end textiles, but other

    than brand, are otherwise

    undifferentiated fromPremium, by-and-large,

    so accordingly are priced

    nearer $200-$500.

    PRICE ARCHITECTURE

    Price pointsUSD

    $0-20

    $20-40

    $40-60

    $60-80

    $80-100

    $100-120

    $120-140

    $140-160

    $160-180

    $180-200

    Number ofproducts

    1,237

    5,624

    5,400

    5,862

    2,784

    1,760

    1,409

    832

    833

    476

    Price pointsUSD

    $0-100

    $100-200

    $200-300

    $300-400

    $400-500

    $500-600

    $600-700

    $700-800

    $800-900

    $900-1,000

    $1,000-1,100

    $1,100-1,200

    351

    1,131

    1,966

    1,625

    750

    347

    188

    75

    73

    50

    43

    31

    Number ofproducts

    Price pointsUSD

    $0-50

    $50-100

    $100-150

    $150-200

    $200-250

    $250-300

    $300-350

    $350-400

    $400-450

    $450-500

    $500-550

    $550-600

    123

    1,328

    1,512

    1,841

    1,149

    374

    362

    198

    150

    67

    22

    24

    Number ofproducts

    Price pointsUSD

    $0-10

    $10-20

    $20-30

    $30-40

    $40-50

    $50-60

    $60-70

    $70-80

    $80-90

    $90-100

    Number ofproducts

    69

    514

    1,000

    702

    459

    218

    39

    16

    18

    1

    Data taken from retailers globally looking at jeans as from January 23, 2015

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015

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    luxury has grown. UK luxury denim brands may want to consider

    greater emphasis on overseas stockists, and communicating their

    brand internationally.

    MARKET GROWTH

    +50%

    0

    -50%

    In the UK, the emphasis on the premium/luxury market has shrunk

    considerably as the mass and value markets take over.

    The opposite is evidenced in the States, where the mass and

    value markets have declined in the last 12 months, and premium/

    Value Mass Premium/Luxury

    -8%

    +52%

    +9%

    +29%

    -24%

    -2%

    ValueMass

    Premium/Luxury

    UK $315

    US $179

    US$30

    UK$26

    VALUE OF EACH MARKET SEGMENT

    The US and UK womenswear jeans markets are similarly

    positioned, but pricing data shows us country-specic price

    structures for the mass and premium/luxury market. In the UK,

    the mass and luxury markets are distinctly separate, with the

    upper tier of pricing retaining high value.

    In the US, the premium/luxury market suffers from lower average

    pricing and is far less distinguishable from the mass market. As

    the US premium/luxury market continues to grow, retailers and

    brands will need to work hard to communicate the quality and

    lift prices here.

    Across the board, luxury

    market apparel and

    accessories have a higher rate

    of discounting than in other

    markets.

    Biggest discounters:

    ASOS, House of Fraser, Kohls

    Most discounted brands:J. Brand, 7 For All Mankind,

    Current/Elliott

    DISCOUNTING

    Mass/Value Premium Luxury

    Average discount 13.5% Average discount 17%

    Based on the womenswear jeans arrivals from November 2014 to January 2015 vs. same period one year ago

    UK$57

    US$69

    39% 35% 45%61% 65% 55%

    Average discount 14%

    US

    UK

    Discounted

    Full price

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015

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    All the Traditionals: 37% of all denim currently online is blueBased on garments currently retailing

    All the Non-Blue denimBased on garments currently retailing

    J. BRAND TOPSHOP SELFRIDGES

    COLOR TRENDS

    7 FOR ALL MANKIND ASOSUS$69

    DENIM BOTTOMS VS. CASUAL BOTTOMSThe chart here shows the growth in the US and UK jeans

    market vs. the growth in casual pants, which include

    leggings, jeggings, treggings and sweatpants, over the

    past two years. Growth is based upon the number of new

    products arriving each month, as well as the number of

    products selling out each month.

    New arrivals of casual pants have grown by 98% this

    January, compared to one year ago. In the same period,

    new arrivals of jeans have only grown by 31%. The number

    of casual pants selling out this month have grown by 114%

    compared to January 2014. The number of jeans selling

    out have increased by a lesser 45%.

    We can see that casual pants began a climb in October

    2014. In November 2014, new arrivals of casual pants

    nearly met the number of jeans arriving into store.

    December offset that with a dramatic increase in jeans.

    Spring 2015s denim trend will propel jeans in the rst halfof this year, but the consumer shift towards more athletic

    styles of dress cannot be ignored.

    Jeans (new in)

    Casual bottoms (new in)

    Jeans (sell outs)

    Casual bottoms (sell outs)

    New in and sell outs over last 2 years

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,00025,000

    20,000

    15,000

    10,000

    5,000

    0Jan 13 Jun 13 Jan 14 Jun 14 Jan 15

    Blue and black are traditionally the most common colors for denim, but gray, white and more recently pink and brown, have started to see

    good performance across the market. Looking at the denim assortment breakdown by color we can see how deep retailers are buying in

    each shade.

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015

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    US

    1. Cropped jeans

    2. Printed denim3. Flared jeans

    4. Stone colored jeans

    5. Red colored jeans

    Distressed jeans have performed well in retail over the past 12 months. The products listed here arrived in store during that period,

    havent been discounted and have been replenished at least once.

    The top ve most discounted styles based on

    denim styles which arrived online Jan 27, 2013

    - Jan 27, 2014, and are still instock despite

    receiving 60%+ discounting.

    WHITE SUPER SKINNY JEANS

    REISS AT JOHN LEWIS

    QUILTED DENIM JACKET

    MANGO

    DARK DENIM ROLL SLEEVE DRESS

    MISS SELFRIDGE

    DARK BLUE HIGH RISE SKINNY JEANS

    NEW LOOK

    MOTO JAMIE BLACK SUPER RIPPED JEANS

    TOPSHOP

    511 SLIM FIT STRAIGHT JEANS

    LEVIS AT SELFRIDGES

    MIDWEIGHT DENIM SHIRT

    J. CREW

    OVERSIZED DENIM JACKET

    ASOS

    MID RISE STRETCH SKINNY JEANS

    TOPMAN

    DISTRESSED TAPERED LOW JEANS

    H&M

    UK MEN

    UK WOMEN

    NICO MID RISE SKINNY JEANS

    HUDSON AT NORDSTROM

    PS-J DENIM JACKET

    PROENZA SCHOULER AT NET-A-PORTER

    BROKEN IN BOYFRIEND JEANS

    J. CREW

    1969 RESOLUTION SLIM STRAIGHT JEANS

    GAP

    FLYING MONKEY MARY JEANS

    LULU

    SOUTH 4TH ST SKINNY JEANS

    WILLIAMSBURG GARMENT COMPANY

    LINED DENIM JACKET

    NORTH 40 AT KOHLS

    ACID WASHED DENIM SHIRT

    FOREVER 21 MEN

    DARREN EPIC LIGHTWEIGHT JEANS

    J BRAND AT NEIMAN MARCUS

    DISTRESSED 3301 TAPERED JEANS

    G STAR AT GILT

    US MEN

    US WOMEN

    UK

    1. Printed denim

    2. Grey denim3. Acid-wash denim

    4. Patchwork denim

    5. Multi-denim shirts

    THE TREND MISSES

    TOP MOVING TRENDS

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015

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    ABOUT EDITD

    TRENDS FOR 2015

    EDITD is the world leader in real-time market data and analytics with over 53 billion data points on the fashion industry. EDITD helps apparel

    brands like Gap Inc., ASOS and Harvey Nichols have the right products at the right price, at the right time. More info atwww.editd.com.

    Womens Trends

    Were expecting big growth in denim apparel for

    women, with the bulk of interest in non-jeans denim

    items. Dresses, co-ord sets, midi-length skirts and

    denim jackets will all have an influx of interest. Retailers

    will continue to invest in white denim, extremedistressing techniques and all in ones.

    Patchwork denim

    The luxury market is backing patchwork denim for

    both Spring and Fall 2015, but given the high rate of

    discounting seen in 2014, retailers should approach with

    caution and not experiment with new brands for this trend.

    Keep the look simple - opt for panels and tone similarity

    as opposed to all-out patchwork and pair with shapes and

    techniques already popular with consumers: skinny jeans

    and distressing.

    Wider legwear

    Wider trousers are a trend taking over 2015 beyond

    the denim category. Whilst flares can polarise opinion,

    designers should consider easing styles in mid-year. In the

    meantime, denim culottes are a great option that will work

    well following last years culotte success.

    Mens Trends

    The mens denim market would benefit from

    incorporating athletic and sporty styling into denim

    apparel in 2015, bridging the athleisure and workwear

    markets. Items such as jogger jean shapes and elastic

    detailing would work here.

    Outerwear

    Denim jackets, denim outerwear and shirting will remain

    critical pieces within any retailers menswear denimassortment. Clever design will play with linings and washes

    on these items, but the real retail wins will come from

    promoting items clearly within marketing.

    Menswear should also focus on a wider t in jeans, as

    retailers strive to nd the skinny jean replacement.

    MM6byMaisonMartinMargiela

    JamesLongFW15

    RobertoCav

    alliSS15

    AgnesBSS15

    ChristopheL

    emaireSS15

    E.

    TautzSS15

    Denim Retail in 2015 10 Feb 2015