Economic Sectors of Pakistan(1)

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    Economic sectors of Pakistan

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    INTRODUCTION

    OF TITLE

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    The Economy indicates the management of domestic matters, the instruction and govt. ofhousehold stuffs; especially as they concern expense or disbursement; as, a careful economy.

    The economy of country indicates the various aspects which affect the country in several

    ways.

    An economic sector of any country refers to as a division of that country's population basedupon the economic area in which that population is employed. The economy includes several

    sectors that evolved in successive stages.

    Here this report is specifically focuses on various economic sectors of Pakistan and includesthe information and overall investigation of the same. So, the detailed information of

    Pakistan Economic Sectors would help to know whether its a healthy country or

    not.Pakistan has a semi-industrialized economy which mainly encompasses capital market,

    chemicals, food processing, agriculture and other industries.

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    COUNTRY

    OVERVIEW

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    LOCATION

    Home to one of the worlds cradles ofevolution, Pakistan shares its eastern border withIndia and north-east with China, with Afghanistan running along the north-west and Iran

    in the south-west. Along the southern border of Pakistan runs the Arabian Sea withapproximately 1,000 kilometres of coastline. Pakistan covers an area of approximately

    803,940 square kilometres which is twice the size of California.

    POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS

    The sixth most populous Country of the world, Pakistans current population is ofapproximately 164 million, with a growth rate of 1.828% (2007 estimates). The majorityof southern Pakistans population lives along the Indus River; in the north, most of the

    people are focussed in the cities of Faisalabad, Peshawar, Islamabad and Lahore. Karachi,

    the capital of the Sindh province and the largest city in Pakistan, by quality of being a

    seaport, the financial and commercial midpoint. With a population of over 11million,

    Karachi is also the 5th most populous city of the World.

    97% of the Countrys population is Muslim, making Pakistan the 2nd largest Muslimcountry in the world and an important member of the Organization of the Islamic

    Conference. Hinduism and Christianity form the primary minority religions; other

    religious groups include Sikhs, Parsees, and also there are a small number of Buddhists.

    The constitution and law defines Pakistan as an Islamic nation and Islamic Shariah is thesupreme law of Pakistan.

    INTERNATIONAL TIME

    International time of Pakistan is GMT + 5.

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    LANGUAGE

    Pakistans national language is Urdu, but comparatively few people use it as their mothertongue. Punjabi is the most general language followed by Sindhi, Pashto, Saraiki, and

    alsoBaluchi respectively and english is extensively used by educated people and is the

    official language of Pakistan.

    CURRENCY

    The currency of this country is Rupee and the acronym used for the currency is PKR.

    THE CONSTITUTION AND LEGAL SYSTEM

    This country is a federal republic with four provinces, capital territory (Islamabad) andterritory consisting of tribal areas.

    Pakistan also administers Azad Kashmir and the Northern Areas and portions of theJammu and Kashmir region.

    The constitution of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan of 1973 provides for Parliamentarianform of Government and the Prime Minister is the head of Government and the President

    (collectively elected by the National Assembly and the Senate & the Provincial

    Assemblies) is the head of the federation. The National Assembly and Senate are the

    legislator institutes. The National Assembly has 342 members who are elected from all

    provinces and the capital territory and tribal areas on the basis of population. The Senate

    derives equal demonstration from all the four provinces and has a total membership of

    100 member.

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    Pakistans legal system is based on English common law and adapted for the needs of anIslamic state. High Court & Supreme Court of Pakistan are the highest forum of judiciary

    at regional and national level, respectively. And also the Shariah court is responsible for

    ensuring that the Countrys law are as per Islamic commands.

    HIGHLIGHTS OF THE ECONOMY

    Pakistan used to be heavily dependent on the agriculture sector but slowly & graduallythe industry and service sectors have increased their shares in latest years and they

    collectively account for around 3/4 of the GDP.

    In 2006-2007 Pakistan's real GDP at factor cost grew by 7% and inflation remainedaround 7.9%. During that period, there was a considerable increase in the level of FDI.

    Total exports amounted to US $17 billion 2006-07, growing by about 3.40 % andcrossing the $17 billion mark. Imports amounted to US$ 30.5 billion during the same

    period increasing by about 8.22%. Major exports are textiles (garments, cotton cloth, and

    yarn), leather, sports goods, and carpets & rugs. United States of America, United Arab

    Emirates, Germany & Hong Kong are the main export partners while major import

    commodities are petroleum & petroleum products, machinery, transportation equipment,

    edible oil, pulses, iron & steel and tea. The major import partners are Kuwait, Saudi

    Arabia, United Arab Emirates, United States of China andAmerica.

    Wheat, Cotton, Rice and Sugarcane are Pakistans main crops while main industries ofthese Country are cement, power,textiles, telecommunications, commercial& investment

    banking, agro-based produce, surgical goods, leather & leather goods, oil & gas, sports

    goods, and cutlery.

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    Rawalpindi,Karachi, Lahore, Islamabad, Gujranwala, Faisalabad, Hyderabad, and Sialkotare the Countrys key business centres. Gwadarand Karachi have the sea ports while

    Multan,Lahore, Hyderabad, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Sialkot, Peshawar and Quetta have

    the dry ports. Lahore, Islamabad, Karachi, Peshawar & Quetta have the International

    Airports.

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    GROWTH

    &

    STABILIZATION

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    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Pakistan expanded 3.67 %in 2012 from theprevious year and GDP Growth Rate in Pakistan is reported by the Pakistan Bureau of

    Statistics.

    Historically, from 1952 until 2012, Pakistan GDP Growth Rate averaged 4.98 %reachingan all-time high of 10.2 %in June of 1954 and a record low of -1.80 %in June of 1952.

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate provides an aggregated measure of

    changes in value of the goods and services produced by an economy. This countrys

    economy has suffered in the past from decades of internal political disputes, mixed levels

    of foreign investment, a fast growing population,& a costly ongoing confrontation with

    neighboring India.

    IMF-approved government policies, bolstered by foreign investment & renewed access toglobal markets and have generated a solid macroeconomic recovery during the last

    decade and this page includes a chart with historical data for Pakistan GDP Growth Rate.

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    Some Important Points:

    Real GDP growth for 2011-12:estimated: 3.7 %for 2010-11: 3.0 %

    The commodity producing sector has performed quite better in outgoing fiscal year ascompared to last year; the current year growth rate is 3.28%in compared with 1.47 %last

    year.

    Agriculture growth: 3.13 %current year against 2.38 %last year. Major Crops registered an accelerating growth of 3.18 %in comparison with a negative

    growth of 0.23 %last year.

    The major crops including Cotton, Sugarcane and Rice had growth in production of 18.6%, 4.9 %and 27.7 %respectively.

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    However, Wheat having a negative growth of 6.7 %mainly due to 2.6 %decline in areaunder cultivation. In addition to this sowing was also delayed because of late receding

    rain water in lower Sindh which resulted in a decline in both the acreage as well as the

    yields.

    Minor Crops growth declined by 1.26 %, because of rains affect in Sindh.

    Sector Result

    Minor crops Declined by 1.26 %

    Livestock Previous year : 3.97 % Current year : 4.04 %

    Fisheries Previous year : 1.94 % Current year : 1.78 %

    Forestry Previous year : 0.40 % Current year : 0.95 %

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    Industrial sector contains 25.4%of GDP. Sub sectors: manufacturing, mining &quarrying, construction, electricity and gas distribution.

    Manufacturing Sector registered growth at 3.56 %compared to the growth of3.06%last year.

    Small scale manufacturing maintained its growth of last year at 7.51 %andslaughtering growth is estimated at 4.46 %against 4.38 %last year.

    Large Scale Manufacturing has also witnessed a slight improvement. It has shown agrowth 1.05%in July-March 2011-12 as against 0.98%last year.

    Construction Sector has shown 6.46%growth as compared to negative growth of7.09%in last year.

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    Factor 2010-2011 2011-2012 Increase or Decrease

    Private consumption - - 75 %increase

    Public consumption - - 13 %increase

    Total consumption 83 % 88.35 % 5.35 %increase

    Real private consumption 3.7 % 11.6 % 7.9 %increase

    Real government consumption 5.2 % 8.2 % 3 %increase

    Per capita real income (in %) 1.33 % 2.33 % 1 %increase

    Per capita real income (in dollars) 1258 1372 1.09 %increase

    Total investment 13.1 % 12.5 % 0.6 %decrease

    Fixed investment 11.5 % 10.9 % 0.6 %decrease

    Private investment 8.6 % 7.9 % 0.7 %decrease

    Public investment 2.9 % 3.0 % 0.1 %increase

    National savings 13.2 % 10.7 % 2.5 %decrease

    Foreign direct investment 1292.9 % 666.8 % 49 %decrease

    Workers remittances (in $) 9046.61 10,876.99 20.23 %increase

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    Mining and Quarrying sector recorded positive growth of 4.38 %during the year2011-12 against the negative growth of 1.28 %last year.

    Electricity and gas distribution witnessed a growth of -1.62 %against the growth of -7.25 %last year.

    The Services sector has registered a growth rate of 4.02 %in 2011-12 against thegrowth of 4.45%in the last year. This performance is dominated by Finance and

    Insurance at 6.53%, Social and Community Services 6.77% and Wholesale and Retail

    Trade 3.58%. The contribution of communication,transport and storage is estimated

    at 1.25%.

    Source:-http://www.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.tradingeconomics.com/charts/pakistan-agriculture-value-added-percent-of-gdp-wb-

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    Education

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    According to the Pakistan Social and Living Standard Measurement (PSLM) Survey2010-11 and last PSLM 2008-09, the literacy rate for the population (10 years and above)

    is 58% during 2010-11, as compared to 57% in 2008-09 . Literacy remains much higher

    in urban areas than in rural areas & much higher for men than for women and Province

    wise data suggest that Punjab leads with 60% literacy followed by Sindh with 59%,

    Khyber Pakhtunkhwa with 50% and Baluchistan with 41%.

    In this country the Gross Enrolment Rates (GER) at the primary level excluding katchi(prep) for the age group 5-9 years at National level during 2010-11 increased slightly to

    92% from 91% in 2008-09. Amongst the provinces, Punjab shows a marginal increase

    from 97% in 2008-09 to 98% in 2010-11. Sindh remained stable with 84%, Khyber

    Pakhtunkhwa improved from 87% to 89% and Baluchistan declined slightly from75% to

    74% in 2010-11

    Source:-

    http://www.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_PSEkM9lXSh8/Sf43Cc98hdI/AAAAAAAADhs/RyO4mQ8n0GI/s400/

    LiteracyChart.jpg&imgrefurl=http://thepathans.blogspot.com/2009/05/for-many-pakistani-children-

    madrasas.html&usg=__NVuBVzXZ7pmUQNkPuf-

    5_UbLj88=&h=240&w=400&sz=21&hl=en&start=5&zoom=1&tbnid=uDMzjsiIJrxkiM:&tbnh=74&tbnw=124&ei=VRrIUMjYFo2yrAe

    a9IHQBw&prev=/search%3Fq%3Deducation%2Bin%2Bpakistan%2Bchart%26hl%3Den%26tbo%3Dd%26biw%3D1366%26bih%3

    D640%26tbm%3Disch&itbs=1

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    In Pakistan the Net primary level enrolment rates at the National/Provincial (excludingkatchiabadies) level for the age group 5 to 9 years. The NER at the National level during

    2010-11 slightly decreased to 56% from 57% in 2008-09. Punjab shows a decrease from

    62% in 2008-09 to 61% in 2010-11. Sindh also shows decrease from 54% to 53% in

    2010-11, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa witnessed a decrease from 52% to 51% and Baluchistan

    improved from 44% in 2008-9 to 47% in 2010-11.

    In this country the overall number of enrolments during 2010-11 were39900.30thousands as compared to 38202 thousands during the same period last year.

    This shows an increase of 4.4%. It is estimated to increase to 41596.50 thousands during

    2011-12. The number of institutes stood at 227.80 thousand during 2010-11 ascompared to 228.40 thousand during the same period from2009 to 2010. However, the

    number is estimated to increase to 228.30 thousand during 2011-12.

    Source:-

    http://www.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d3/Literacy_Fed

    eral_Areas_Pakistan.jpg/270px-

    Literacy_Federal_Areas_Pakistan.jpg&imgrefurl=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Education_in_Pakistan&usg=__UBd

    UPDwnzVp_DvGf_jaITt7yexU=&h=193&w=270&sz=15&hl=en&start=16&zoom=1&tbnid=u7AQIFIPjZh1BM:&

    tbnh=81&tbnw=113&ei=sR_IUM6wPI7QrQeGx4GoBg&prev=/search%3Fq%3Deducation%2Bin%2Bpakistan%2

    Bcharts%26hl%3Den%26tbo%3Dd%26biw%3D1366%26bih%3D640%26tbm%3Disch&itbs=1

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    In Pakistan the number of teachers during 2010-11 were 1409.40 thousand as comparedto 1386.10 thousand during the same period 2009-10 showing an increase of 1.7%. This

    number is estimated to increase further to 1445 thousand during the year 2011-12.

    In Pakistan the total of 134,118 youth received vocational and technical training underthe Presidents FunniMaharatProgramme and Prime Ministers Hunermand Pakistan

    Programme.

    In these country HEC is also playing its role in running different scholarship programmesto enhance the academic qualification at various levels on merit basis in line with

    requirement.

    In Pakistan during the period 2008-12 a number of 3996 scholarships were awardedunder different programmes,3572 scholars proceeded to avail these programmes on merit

    basis and a number of 1650 scholars completed their studies.

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    MONEY

    &

    CREDIT

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    The monetary policy of Pakistan intends to a stabilizing economic growth by a series ofchannels. The predicted economic and inflation activities are affected by the same. A

    sound fiscal position is essential for attaining macroeconomic constancy and it will be

    caused by efficient resource allocation and the mobilization of domestic savings.Because

    of this, the central bank through its monetary policy and strategies plays an influential

    role.

    The persistence of sound monetary management is to taking on the comprehensivechallenges which are faced by economy since it deals with major issues of price stability,

    money supply control and explanation of managed interest rate. In Pakistan, monetary

    management has mainly focused on calculating inflation. Inflation has steadily stayed in

    double digits in the last few years on account of difficult domestic and external economic

    environment.

    In difficult economic situation, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) followed a proactivepolicy which response to shave-off additional demand. Italso has contained the fiscal

    deficit of Pakistan economy. The SBP adopted an expansionary monetary policy duringthe fiscal year 2011-12.SBP lowered the discount rate by cumulative 200 bps points to 12

    %during first half of fiscal year 2011-12, to support in boosting the private sector credit

    and investment.

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    Recent Monetary & Credit Development:-

    Broad Money (M2) witnessed an expansion of 9.09% during July-11th May, 2011-12 ascompared to 11.47% during the same period in 2010-11.

    Net Domestic Assets (NDA) during July to 11thMay, 2012 stood at Rs 880.90 billionagainst Rs 481.60 billion during the same period last year, reflecting an increase of

    14.90% over the last year.

    On the other hand, Net Foreign Assets of the banking system during the period underreview declined to Rs 272.20 billion as compared to an increase of Rs 181.10 billion in

    the same period of 2010-11.

    Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan

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    The credit to private sector witnessed a net increase of Rs. 234.8 billion during July2011-11

    thMay, 2012 as compared to Rs 107.8 billion in the same period last year.

    The weighted average lending rate (including zero mark-up) on outstanding loans stoodat 12.80% while the weighted average deposit rate (including zero mark-up) stood at

    6.98% in March 2012.

    Government borrowing from the banking system for budgetary support and commodityoperations stood at Rs 1,003.30 billion during July to 11

    thMay, 2011-12 as compared to

    Rs. 506.50 billion in the comparable period of the last year. Government has borrowed

    Rs.442.30 billion from the State Bank of Pakistan, while Rs 642.10 billion borrowed

    from the scheduled banks.

    Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan

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    Commodity finance a aims to provide short term advances either to the government,public sector corporations or private sector for the procurement of the commoditiessuch

    as cotton on, wheat, rice sugar and d fertilizer. During July 2011-11th May, 2012 loans

    for commodity finance registered a net retirement of Rs 81.60 billion against the

    retirement of Rs 101.10 billion in the same period of fiscal year from 2010 to 2011. The

    retirement was primarily concentrated in the second quarter of fiscal year 2011-12 as

    the government released Rs 78 billion to procurement agencies for the settlement of

    accumulated subsidies.

    Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan

    During July 2011-11thMay, 2012 credit to public sector enterprises registered a sharpdecline from Rs 10.60 billion in 2010-11 to Rs 142.60 billion. The revival of private

    investment in the economy was one o of the main concerns for SBP to ease to the

    monetary policy stance in 2011-12. However, the desired boost in private investment

    demand could not take place due to energy shortages and an unfavorable law and order

    situation.

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    Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan

    Moreover, substantial government borrowing has packed out the private sector from receiving

    credit. This has limited the availability of credit. Similarly, due to rising NPAs, banks preferred to

    investin liquid assets rather than extending credit to private sector.

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    Transportation

    &

    Communication

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    In Pakistan there are 96% roads of inland merchandise and 92% of passenger traffic anddefinitely the backbone of Pakistans economy.

    In Pakistan heavy rains & floods severely damaged the transport and communicationsystem during last 2 years and initial estimates indicate that road approximately 8,385 km

    and 190 km railway lines were damaged including bridges and allied structures.

    Current road network of Pakistan is about 2,60,000 km which caters services to 11million automobiles of all type and also NHA roads network is around 12,000 km, which

    is merely 4% of the overall road network but takes 80% of Pakistans commercial traffic.

    There are 52 new design passenger coaches were imported from China at a cost of Rs. 4.1billion. Remaining 150 passengers coaches will be manufactured at Pakistan railways

    carriage factory Islamabad by 30th June 2013.

    All the 46 development projects include construction of roads, river Bridger, tunnels,flyovers, interchanges.

    In Pakistan during the current financial year, NHA has launched/awarded 16 new growthprojects covering a length of above 500 km inclusive construction of a number of

    flyovers, bridges & interchanges costing ofRs. 70,951 million.

    At present, 46 development projects having length of approximately 2000 km areongoing approximately at a cost Rs. 245 billion in different sections.

    In Pakistan NHA has completed 12 projects of bridges,flyovers, interchanges& road upgradation during the last one year at a cost of Rs. 19.60 billion.

    NHA is simultaneously constructing 12 Bridges across the rivers. These are: on riversSutlej 2, on rivers Chenab 4, on river swan 1 and 5 on river Indus.

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    In Pakistan Telecommunication arrangement includes damages to cellular sites, exchangecenters, equipment, power system and supporting civil works is amounting to $1.90

    million.

    There are six factories including Locomotive Factory Risalpur, Carriage FactoryIslamabad, and four concrete Sleeper Factories in Kohat, khanewal, sukkur, are Kotri, are

    being corporatized for eventual privatization subject to approval of the government.

    Pakistan cabinet committee of restructuring has approved a restructuring framework fortheir Railways and also during the last financial year, 16 kms of track was rehabilitated

    on Pakistan Railways network besides doubling more than 15 kms of track.

    In Pakistan ministry of Railway has also adopted a Track Access Policy (TAP) forprivate sector participation to operate freight and passenger trains on Pakistan

    infrastructure and they also created a Real Estate Development and Marketing

    Company as subsidiary of Ministry of Railways.

    There is a new dry port was set up at Prem Nagar near Raiwind industrial area andLahore through public private partnership approximately at a cost of Rs. 490 million.

    In Pakistan consolidated revenues of PNSC group during July-March 2011 to 2012 wereRs. 6640 million as compared to Rs. 6772 million last year and also the corporation

    intends to acquire four vessels through commercial loan/joint venture basis.

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    Following chart shows the growth of countries economic growth,

    In Pakistan two new destinations have been introduced during the year 2011: Karachi Madina and QuettaZahedan and also there are three new routes were introduced during

    the year 2011: PeshawarKaula Lumpur, Sialkot-Riyadh and Sialkot-Dammam.

    International Airlines Corporation of Pakistan earned increased revenue amounting to Rs.116 billion in year 2011 as compared to 107 billion last year. A purchase agreement of 5

    Boeings 777 has been signed.

    In Pakistan Karachi port trust handled cargo 27.8 million tonnes during the first 9 monthscurrent fiscal year.

    In Pakistan acquisition of two vessels in process, while two more vessels will be acquiredin next financial year.

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    22 passengers coaches have been rehabilitated at Pakistan Railway Carriage FactoryIslamabad during last year.

    The volume of cargo import during July-March 2011-12 stood at 14.7 million tones, andalso exports handled 4.90 million tones during July-March 2011-12.

    Pakistan Ministry of Communications has prepared a draft National Transport Policywhich covers all modes of transport sectors i.e. (i) Roads, (ii) Railways, (iii) Ports &

    Shipping and this policy also includes the National Transport Corridor Improvement

    Program. This programme has been launched in this country to revamp the whole

    transport sector including ports, roads, railway etc. and provides a frame work to develop

    and improve the North South corridor.

    In Pakistan the Total cargo handled on Gawadar port up till now is 4.10 million toneswhile Gawadar Port earned total revenue since its start of operation amounting to Rs.

    53.40 million and also in the Port Qasim Authority handled a cargo volume 19.70 million

    tones during July-March 2011-12.

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    There is the total mobile subscribers reached 118.30 million by the end of March 2012 ascompared to 108.90 million last year in Pakistan and subscribers of Local Loop (FLL +

    WLL) reached at approximately 6 million, out of which 3.1 million belong to FLL and

    2.8 million belong to WLL in these nation.

    So due to mobile substitution in Pakistan, Fixed Local Loop teledensity has beendeclining over the years and it stands now at 1.93% compared to 2.10% last year showing

    a0.17% decrease.

    The broadband subscribers reached 1.9 million at the end of February 2012 in Pakistanbecause of that the revenues of the telecom sector during the 2011-12, status at Rs. 363

    billion compare to the last year 344.20 billion show an increase of 5.40%.

    In Pakistan mobile perception rose 64.90% in 2011-12 next to 60.4% in 2010-11 whichshows an increase of 4.30% points in total teledensity.

    In Pakistan the Auction of 3G licenses is probable which will bring more FDI in thecountry.

    Telecommunication power and the State Bank of Pakistan have signed a memorandumof Understanding (MOU) both the institutions have shown their interest and promise in

    interesting mobile banking services in the country.

    In Pakistan cumulative investment of just about US $ 2.5 billion in the electronic mediaindustry.

    Because of increasing investment new jobs to more than 2 lakh people of diversifiedskills and qualifications have been provided. In addition, over 7 million people have been

    accommodate through circuitous employment.

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    In Pakistan with the current growth rate of more than 7% per annum, it is estimated thatthe cumulative investment in the electronic media industry will reach above $ 3 billion

    by the end of the current financial year.

    In the last year 2011, telecom sector invested US$ 495.80 million with cellular mobilesector being the major supplier And also telecom sector involved over US$ 79 million

    Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the country which is about 5% of the total FDI land

    in Pakistan in 2011.

    There is also a PBC outdoor Services, broadcast programmes for 08 hrs daily in 11foreign languages covering Afghanistan, Iran, China, India, Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri

    Lanka in Pakistan.

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    The total Central Production Units (CPU) manufacture music, drama, features,documentaries and programmers for special occasions and CPU has over 2 million

    minutes recording in its archives which are being digitized in the country.

    In these country the PBC News is putting on air 117 News bulletins daily.it includesExternal,National, Regional and Local News bulletins besides resume of National

    Assembly and Senate.

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    Large

    Scale

    Manufacturing

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    The industrialized sector grew at an average rate of 8% from the sixties to the eighties,

    but fell to 3.9% during the nineties. This was largely caused by lessening in investment levels

    due to lack of permanence and consistency in policies. Political shakiness law and order position

    in the major industrial centers, transport bottlenecks, as well as changeableness and inadequate

    ease of use of power supply at reasonably priced rates were additional factors pulling down the

    sector.

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    Some Important Points:

    During the first 9 months of the current fiscal year 2011-12, Large Scale industrializedposted a growth of 1.05% as compare to growth of 0.98% during the same period last

    year.

    The groups wise showing increase included: Pharmaceutical (10.9%), Paper and Board(8.4%), Wood Product (7.4%), Food Beverages and Tobacco (6.5%), Nonmetallic

    mineral Products (2.9%), Leather Product (1.8%) and Textile (0.8%).

    Items wise contribution in Large Scale Manufacturing indicates growth in GeneratingSets (143.9%), Blankets (109.9%), Electric Transformer (31.2%), Heavy Machinery

    &equipments (21.0%), Sugarcane Machine (19.2%), Sugar (15.3%), Liquids/Syrups

    (14.1%), Tea blended (13.3%), Tablets (10.7%), Jeeps & Cars (8.8%), Footwear (6.2%),

    LPG (3.4%), Cement (2.9%) and Sugar (15.3%).

    Automotive Industry such as Buses, Cars, LCVs and 2/3 wheelers managed significantgrowth at 23%, 9.1%, 5.7%and 3.1% respectively as compared to 24.7%, 16.4%, 23.3%

    and 12.6% during the same period last year.

    Mining and quarrying sector 4.4% in 2011-12 as against -1.3% last year. The maincontribution to this modest performance came from Flourite, Bauxite, Chromite, Chalk

    and Natural gas which posted a positive growth of 591.5%, 111.3%, 82.2%, 82.2% and

    4.0% respectively during the current financial year.

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    TEXTILE: AN IMPORTANT PART OF LARGE SCALE MANUFACTURING

    Pakistan's textile industry broadly comprises a large-scale organized sector, and a small-scale cottage sector and its integrated industry consists of subsectors including processes

    such as spinning, weaving, knitting, ginning, finishing, and apparel & textile product

    making-up; fibers such asman-made fibers, artificial silk, cotton, wool & jute; and end-

    products such as home textiles, towels, tents, hosiery, carpets, rugs, apparel and knitwear.

    The textile industry of Pakistan has a total conventional spinning capacity of 1550million kgs of yarn, weave capacity of 4368 million square meters of fabric and

    concluding capacity of 4000 million square meters. The industry has a manufacture

    capacity of 670 million units of garments 400 million units of knitwear and 53 million

    kgs of towels.

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    Auto mobile industry:

    KARACHI: The Pakistans auto industry has become a most important industrial sector

    that has attain development in the large-scale industrialized sector.

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    Pakistan Automotive Manufacturers Association (PAMA):

    In Pakistan licensed by the Ministry of Commerce, Government of Pakistan under theTrade Organizations Ordinance 2007 and registered under the Companies Ordinance

    1984 as a company with limited legal responsibility.

    Objective:

    To look after interest of Members It helps to play central role in all policy making process of the Government for the

    automotive industry of country

    To enable Pakistani Auto Industry attractive Global Player To provide the members high quality specialized service & create excellent

    communication amongst members

    To be the principal source of statistical data on the entire automotive industry of thecountry

    It helps to play its role to foster harmony and accord amongst all stakeholders

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    FISCALDEVELOPMENT

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    There are mainly four types in fiscal expansion as follows:

    A. Fiscal Policy Developments

    B. Revenue Measures

    C. FBR Tax Collection

    D. Fiscal Performance: July-March, 2011-12

    The significance of a prudent fiscal policy cannot be refused as it supports economicactivity through sustainable growth and poverty alleviation.

    The effective accomplishment of the policy endeavors to mobilize resources throughtaxes and public savings, which can fund much desirable public goods and services.

    It also helps to correct fiscal imbalance as well as promote investment and growth byoptimal allocation of possessions and through improving the tax system.

    Consequently, a well-structured fiscal policy ensure rapid economic growth andexpansion in the country.

    Pakistans economy, which largely remained impervious to the global financial crisis dueto its lower experience to international finance, faced comprehensive challenges on

    external and internal fronts mainly campaign against fanaticism, unbalanced law and

    order situation, persistent energy shortages and non-materialization of external inflows.

    Additionally the extraordinary calamity of floods in 2010 and thrashing rain in Sindh in

    2011 contribute further stress on the economy. However, the fiscal situation was well

    contained.

    Efforts to manage the fiscal deficit within good enough level through an disbursementmanagement strategy, austerity procedures and reforms in public sector enterprise have

    yielded results.

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    A. Fiscal Policy Developments

    Tax as a major source of proceeds and growth plays a vital role in construction upinstitutions and markets. A good tax system not only helps in equitable giving out of

    economic benefits for social justice but also attracts speculation at all levels of business

    activities. The nonappearance of an efficient tax system discourage well predictable

    investment and compels the country to rely on permanent borrowing from interior and

    external sources to finance the budgetary deficit, which may crowd out private

    speculation.

    Pakistans fiscal deficit for the financial year 2011-12 is report 4.0% as compare to 5.9%in fiscal year 2010-11.

    Further details can be shown from the following table of Fiscal Indicators as% of GDP.

    The sooner Pakistan improve its fiscal position by making sharp fiscal adjustment, thelesser the price it is likely to pay for its fiscal unruliness A sharp fiscal modification can

    reduce large external current explanation imbalances, restore the self-confidence of

    global investors, ease financing constraints, prop up growth and contain price rises.

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    B. Revenue Measures

    The government introduce reform initiative through presidential ordinance andwithdrawal of SRO based exemption; amendments were made in Income Tax Ordinance

    2001, the Sales Tax Act 1990and Federal Excise Act 2005. These measures were

    effective from 15th and 16th March, 2011 to meet the growing need of flood affected

    people and to reach the assigned target. These reforms include:

    15% surcharge on income and move forward taxes Increase in the rate of special excise duty from 1% to 2.5% , however special excise duty

    was abolished in 2011-12

    extraction of special regime of assessable price for levy of GST at 8% on actual value ofsugar

    Removal of SRO based exemption from fertilizer, pesticides, tractor and removal of zerorating from machinery, plants and equipment

    Constraint of zero rating to register person for export of textile, leather, carpets, sportsgoods and surgical goods.

    The withdrawal of exemption and the left over amount of 15% flood relief surchargecontribute a supplementary amount of around Rs 50 billion during July-March, 2011-12.

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    C. FBR Tax Collection

    Tax collection by the FBR was targeted at Rs 1952.30 billion for fiscal year 2011-12. Revenuecollections of FBR stood at Rs 1426 billion during July-April 2011-12, thereby shimmering

    24.0% growth over Rs 1149.8 billion self-possessed during the analogous period last year.

    Among the four federal taxes, the maximum growth 33.7% has been recorded in sales tax

    receipts, followed by civilization 17.7%, and direct tax 22.6%. It does not include Rs. 19 billion

    together by Sindh province on GST on Services.

    For July-April, 2012, direct taxes have been a major source of FBR tax revenue collectedworks, contributing 37% of total receipts. Net collected works was estimated at Rs. 528.90

    billion.

    Indirect taxes grew by 24.9% during July-April, 2012 and accounted for 62.9% of the total FBRtax revenue. Net compilation was estimated at Rs.897.20 billion.

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    D. Fiscal Performance: July-March, 2011-12

    Total spending of Rs. 3721.2 billion was predictable for the full year, comprise of Rs.2976.3billion of current disbursement (80% of total), and Rs. 744.9 billion of expansion disbursement

    and net lending (20% of total).

    During July-March, 2011-12 total expenditures amounted to Rs 2641.90 billion against Rs2262.60 billion in the same period last year. Current expenditures stood at Rs 2154.10 billion

    and enlargement expenditures and net lending recorded at Rs 428 billion during July to March,

    2011-12.

    Total revenues reached to Rs 1747 billion during July to March, 2011-12 against Rs 1495.30billion in the same period of last year and within Revenues tax revenues stood at Rs 1379.20

    billion including Rs. 1,321.50 billion of Federal and Rs 57.60 billion of provinces, and non-tax

    revenues remained at Rs. 367.90 billion during the same period of fiscal year 2011-12.

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    Energy

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    The total consumption of petroleum foodstuffs in the power sector was 8,139 million tonscompared to 8,814 million tones last year which in a weak position the growth in this

    sector, thus redeployment negative growth of 5.20% in this sector in this country.

    In the gas sector of Pakistan provide increased by 4.9% in July-March 2011-12 as theaverage manufacture of natural gas was 4236.06 million cubic feet per day during this

    period while it was 4,050.83 million cubic feet per day in analogous period last year.

    Source:-

    http://www.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-

    u8k7XfyD8jE/T9g53Vg1XqI/AAAAAAAABsE/8T5y3_NGVu0/s1600/Energy%2BGraph.png&imgrefurl=http://aikbaat.blogsp

    ot.com/2012/06/re-thinking-pakistans-energy-crisis.html&usg=__y0Y5UmRlwv8rwGhr-

    bpxsl8MRo0=&h=349&w=426&sz=16&hl=en&start=1&zoom=1&tbnid=0e5z05zogAO_1M:&tbnh=103&tbnw=126&ei=P6zG

    UPSGEsSOrgey1YCIDg&prev=/search%3Fq%3Denergy%2Bconsumption%2Bin%2Bpakistan%2B2011%26hl%3Den%26sa%

    3DX%26tbo%3Dd%26biw%3D1366%26bih%3D640%26tbm%3Disch&itbs=1

    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    In these country of Pakistan the most important energy supply during current year is64.52 million TOE compared to 63.09 million TOE last year thus performance an

    increase of 2.3%. The ease of use of energy per capita in 2011 remained 0.372 Tone Oil

    Equivalent TOE matched to 0.371 Tone Oil Equivalent (TOE) in 2010 posting a positive

    growth rate of 0.16%.

    In Pakistan the average crude oil manufacture during July-March 2011-12 remained66,032 barrels/day as against 65997 barrels per day during the analogous period of last

    year showing an increase of 0.05%.

    In Pakistan the natural gas in the form of CNG posted a constructive growth 10.8%during July-March 2011-12.

    In Pakistan the industrial sector had shown positive growth of 24.2% in the expenditureof petroleum products during July-March 2011-12 when compared with last year.

    The transfer sector in this country surprisingly showed a family member small growth of3.5% in the utilization of petroleum products as expenditure of petroleum product intransport sector remained 6,832.9 million tones during July-March 2011-12 compare to

    6,599.1 million tones during equivalent period last year in Pakistan.

    There is a total contribution of Hydel in electricity generation increased to 33.6% in2010-11 in this country.

    In Pakistan Water and Power expansion Authority (WAPDA) remain the maincontributor to electricity generation with 48.7% coming from this source.

    There is almost 96% work on the main dam at Mangla, spillway and allied amenities hadbeen completed and immigration work is in advancement Likewise 99.7% work on

    Satpara and 72.1% on GomalZam dam has been completed.

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    In this country there is one of the beneficiary of Tetra-collaborator power import projectunder the head of Central Asia-South Asia (CASA-1000) electricity trade.

    Karachi Electricity bring in Corporation (KESC), Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission(PAEC), KotAddu Power Company (KAPCO) and the Hub Power Company (HUBCO)

    have 8.3, 3.6, 6.2 and 9.1% , respectively.

    In Pakistan the Independent Power Producers (IPPs) have contributed almost 25% .

    Water and Power Development Authority is executing, on priority basis, the projects suchas 969 MW-Neelum Jhelum, 1410 MW-Tarbela 4th Extension, 7100 MW-Bunji, 4320

    MW-Dasu, 740-MW Munda Dam and most mentionable 4500 MW-DiamerBhasha Damprojects, to cope with the increasing demand of power in this country.

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    In Pakistan the household sector consumed 44% of the total electricity generatedfollowed by industrial (26%), government (12.3%), agriculture (10.4%) and commercial

    (6.8%) during July-March 2011-12.

    In Pakistan the major users of coal are the cement sector and brick kilns; about 60% oftotal coal is consumed by cement while 39% is consumed by the brick kiln industry

    during current year as compared to 62% consumption of coal in cement industry and 37%

    in brick kiln industry last year.

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    Agriculture

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    An Introduction:-

    Pakistan is one of the world's largest producer of the following merchandise according to

    FAOSTAT the arithmetical arm of the Food & Agriculture Organization of The United Nations

    given here with the 2008 ranking:

    Apricot (3rd) Buffalo Milk (2nd) Chickpea (3rd) Cotton, lint (4th) Cotton, Seed (3rd) Dates (5th) Mango (6th) Onion, dry (4th) Oranges (11th) Rice, paddy (11th) Sugarcane (5th) Tangerines, Mandarin Orange, Clementine (9th) Wheat (10th)

    Pakistan's most important natural resources are Arable land and water. About 25% of

    Pakistan's total land area is under cultivation and is watered by one of the principal irrigation

    systems in the world and Pakistan irrigates three times more acres than Russia. crop growing

    accounts for about 23% of GDP and employs about 44% of the labor force.

    ZaraiTaraquityBank Ltd. is the largest economic institution geared towards the enlargement

    of agriculture sector through provision of economic services and mechanical expertise

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zarai_Taraqiati_Bank_Limitedhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zarai_Taraqiati_Bank_Limited
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    Modernization should be adopted in Agriculture..

    PESHAWAR - More than 80% of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa populace is directly or in aroundabout way dependent on the cultivation sector and as a result on industries in the

    province Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Agriculture Minister ArbabAyub Jan said on Monday and

    If we have to rely on the agriculture sector and we should adopt modern irrigation

    system and latest technology for the enlargement of this sector he said.

    In Pakistan addressing the inaugural ceremony of a three-day international seminar onDairy Science Park held at Agriculture University Peshawar, he said the sector was on

    top of all sectors in developed countries purely because they had entirely concentrated on

    the research wing.

    Large number of agriculture scientists and specialist were present in KhyberPakhtunkhwa and there was a great demand for them in the entire world and he said the

    past governments did not pay heed to the fundamental sector adding together that the

    government had started an assortment of projects in the agriculture sector which would

    have constructive effects on it in future.

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    Pakistan has a rich and vast natural resource base, covering various ecological andclimatic zones; hence the country has great potential for producing all types of food

    commodities.

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    Agriculture has an important direct and indirect role in generating economic growth andthe importance of agriculture to the economy is seen in 3 ways: first: - it provides food to

    consumers and fibers for domestic industry; second: - it is a source of scarce foreign

    exchange earnings; and third: - it provides a market for industrial goods.

    The total geographical area of Pakistan is 79.6 million hectares. About 27% of the area iscurrently under cultivation. Of this area, 80% is irrigated and in this regard, Pakistan has

    one of the highest proportions of irrigated cropped area in the world and also the

    cultivable waste lands offering good possibilities of crop production amount to 8.90

    million hectares. Growth in cropped area is very impressive: from 11.60 million hectares

    in 1947 to 22.60 million hectares in 1997.

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    Agriculture:

    Factor 2010-2011 2011-2012 Increase/Decrease in% age

    Overall Growth 2.4% 3.1% 0.7%

    Cotton ( in bales ) 11,460 13,595 18.6%

    Wheat ( in thousand tons ) 25,214 23,517 -6.7%

    Rice ( in thousand tons ) 4,823 6,160 27.7%

    Sugarcane ( in million tons ) 55.3 58.0 4.9%

    Interpretation: Here it can be seen that there is an increase in the production of Cotton,Rice & Sugarcane while there is a decrease in the production of Wheat. The overall

    growth of the Agriculture is 3.1% in 2011-2012 as compared to 2.4% in 2010-2011

    which shows an increase of 0.7% .

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    Factor 2010-2011 2011-2012 Increase or Decrease

    Gram 496 thousand tons 291 thousand tons 41.3%

    Maize 3707 thousand tons 4271 thousand tons 15.2%

    Minor crops

    1. Mung2. Potatoes3. Chilies4. Onions5. Masoor

    22.0% increase

    17.5% increase

    78.3% decrease

    15.4% decrease

    12.8% decrease

    Credit disbursement 168.7% 197.4% 17%

    Agriculture credit disbursement of Rs. 197.4 in (July-March) 2011-12. It is higher by17.0%, as compared to Rs. 168.70 billion over the same period last year.

    The total availability of urea during Rabi 2011 to 12 was 3,526 thousand tonescomprising of domestic production 2,160 thousand tones. Imported supplies of 1,202

    thousand tones. Besides this the total off take was 2,710 thousand tones. Leaving a stock

    of 800 thousand tones for next season.

    The total estimated availability of urea during Kharif 2012 around 3487 thousand tonescomprising 800 thousand tones of opening stock, 2280 thousand tones of domestic

    production & 407 thousand tones of imported supplies. The total off take is estimated

    around 3200 thousand tones during Kharif 2012 which leaves a stock around 287

    thousand tones.

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    The Rabi 2011-12 started with 224 thousand tones of DAP as opening stock. The totalavailability of DAP was approximately 760 thousand tones including 271 thousand tones

    of imported supplies and approximately 260 thousand tones of domestic production.

    The off take of DAP during Rabi 2011-12 was about 572 thousand tones leaving behind177 thousand tones of opening stock for Kharif 2012 and also estimated DAP availability

    during Kharif 2012 will be around 838 thousand tones comprising 177 thousand tones of

    opening stock.

    361 thousand tones of domestic production and 300 thousand tones of imported suppliesand the estimated demand is around 620 thousand tones during Kharif 2012, which

    reflects comfortable situation.

    Source:-http://www.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.tradingeconomics.com/charts/pakistan-agriculture-

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    INFLATIONOF

    PAKISTAN

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    Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy overa period of time and when the general price level rises each unit of currency buys fewer

    goods & services. Consequently, the inflation also reflects an erosion in the purchasing

    power of money a loss of real value in the internal medium of exchange and unit of

    account in the economy and a chief measure of price inflation is the inflation rate and the

    annualized percentage change in a general price index (normally the Consumer Price

    Index) over time.

    Inflation's effects on an economy are various and can be simultaneously positive & negative andNegative effects of inflation include an increase in the opportunity cost of holding money

    uncertainty over future inflation which may discourage investment and savings and also if

    inflation is rapid enough, shortages of goods as consumers begin billboard out of concern that

    prices will increase in the future and also positive effects include ensuring that central banks can

    adjust real interest rates intended to mitigate recessions and encouraging investment in non-

    monetary capital projects.

    Economists generally agree that high rates of inflation and hyperinflation are caused byan excessive growth of the money supply Views on which factors determine low to

    moderate rates of inflation are more varied and low inflation may be attributed to

    fluctuations in real demand for goods & services, or changes in available supplies such as

    during scarcities as well as to growth in the money supply. So, the consensus view is that

    a long sustained period of inflation is caused by money supply growing faster than the

    rate of economic growth.

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    Inflation is an inevitable property of any economy in the world or we can say in simplewords, inflation is the rise of general level of prices. Though, inflation is a much more

    complex phenomenon than simply the increase of prices. Inflation is also identified with

    the fall of market value of money within a particular economic system. Though, some

    economists prefer to use the term inflation to describe a rapid increase in money supply

    in a single economy. Commonly, this is the main cause of the increase of prices.

    The first reaction to the term inflation is in most cases negative; however inflation is anindicator of a healthy economy. Commonly, mild inflation is a natural phenomenon of

    any economy no matter how strong and stable it may be andsome economists say that

    small steady inflation is greasing the wheels of commerce and one of positive effects of

    mild inflation in a separate economy is that it is easier to adjust some relative prices.

    Renegotiating these prices downward is much more difficult. Furthermore, some sectors

    might suffer immensely from constant price level because of so-called sticky

    downward prices that effect those sectors andso in an attempt to acquire 0 inflation,

    employment & profits in such sectors would drop. In addition, stable prices and zero

    inflation rate might trigger deflation, which in turn would entail recession, bankruptcy

    and can even entail depression.

    Whereas moderate and mild inflation is consider as a sign of healthy economy andinflation above these mild levels is considered to have a negative impact and when

    government increases the money supply, and therefore the taxes, people are eager to

    spend more money. With the growth of inflation, rate of taxes also increases and so

    people are even more willing to spend money for 2 core reasons: to avoid paying taxes on

    holding currency and to buy products before they increase in price. So, in such economic

    conditions the demand for various goods is rapidly growing which naturally causes the

    rise of prices and this collection of phenomena reinforces inflation, increases the velocity

    of money and it is referred to as the vicious circle. This process is very difficult to

    harness and in vast majority of cases it leads to hyperinflation.

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    The time value of money market expression is inseparable from inflation and from aparticular point of view inflation can be understood as a valid reason to invest money

    rather than save it and the value of accumulated wealth would gradually decrease because

    of inflation, which explains the expression above. Furthermore, there is a degree of

    uncertainty regarding what the actual value of a particular currency would be in several

    years but because of this uncertainty, investing is a correct activity.

    The inflation rate as measured by the changes in Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at10.8% during (July-April) during current fiscal year 2011-12, against 13.8% in the

    comparable period of last year.

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    The food inflation on average basis is estimated at 11.1% and non-food 10.7%, against18.8% and 10.8% in the corresponding period of last year.

    In these country the rise in non-food inflation has resulted from the upward adjustment inenergy, gas, electricity and fuel prices.

    Core inflation is estimated at 10.4% during July-April 2011-12.

    The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) during July to April, 2011 to 12 on annual averagebasis has recorded at 11.2% against 21.0% last year.

    The Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) recorded at 8.5% during July-April, 2011-12 against18.1% of last year.

    In Pakistan the increase in overall inflation has driven by rise in world commodity andfuel prices, disruption in domestic supply chain by the floods.

    Though, inflation has been contained during current fiscal year as compared to last yeardue to tight monetary policy better supply management & regular monitoring of prices

    and supply chain by the Cabinet & National Price Monitoring Committee.

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    MONETARY

    POLICY

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    The economy seems to have settled at an unenviable equilibrium of high inflation andlow growth and the protracted energy crisis and weak fiscal fundamentals are the main

    reasons behind this outcome. Similarly, the declining trend in private investment

    expenditures is continuing while strength of the balance of payment position remains

    contingent upon foreign financial inflows. The pace of increase in domestic debt is also

    considerabl