Ecobank Sonatel Equity Note

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  • 8/11/2019 Ecobank Sonatel Equity Note

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    S

    E

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    ONATEL:

    Sonatel, tproposed 1the stock sMillion.

    We believbourse; ouliquidity pr The stocksanticipateprincipallytrading fre

    obank Researc

    The first stock s

    Sonatel, the la10-for-1 stock s31 October 2outstanding shFriday, 23 Novprice of XOF14,this is Sonatelswill receive ninThe BRVM CI,telecom stocks:36% of the indSonatels highmovement witbasis.

    Sonatel share p

    The stock splitinvestor base iscould yield wiunchanged aftesuggest that thOn this accoustocks fair valuthe participatioWe also expecthanks to a refrequency. Hocompetition wiremains high ivaluation modeIn 2011, Sonatmobile phoneoff the back oaverage of 15.result, marginsprudent costproduct innovaits markets. Wthese declininvaluations. Horemains higheoperating in Af

    by the stock spl

    Highlights

    PLEASE SEE ANA

    ommentary

    dle Afri

    the stock

    e largest com0-for-1 stock split that will in

    that the stocr back of theofile in the mar

    free float willa strengthen

    due to the narrquency.

    | ecobankrese

    plit since listing

    gest companyplit proposed b12 the stock

    ares to 100m.mber 2012 on

    000. Although s first stock splite additional shwhich is mar

    : Sonatel andx. Although th

    price was c an average b

    rice will be mor

    is expected tolikely to widee swings bothr the split; howe stocks liquidit alone, we ae, although thisn level of the the stock spliuction of theever, with S

    ll likely intensin Mali due tol shows that thls revenues wusiness and th a continued d% both in Sen

    continue to banagement s

    ion pipeline ine believe thatg micro-fundaever, despite

    r than the avrica so the quan

    it.

    LYST(S) CERTIFIC

    ca Brief

    split to

    any by markeplit. Shareholdecrease the com

    k split will imenvelope calcuket could rise b

    remain unchaning in Sonatowing of the bi

    rch@ecobank.

    g

    by market capy managementsplit that wilrading of thethe BRVM stocktock splits are c since listing inares of commoet capitalizatinatel with So benchmark isrrying a heaeta Vs the mar

    re affordable

    improve the li, although an i

    ways. The stoever, our backty profile in thssign an additi quantum leap

    uninformed ret to improve Sid-ask spread

    onatels markfy, especially ipolitical uncer equity risk prre partly hit b end of tax ex

    owndraft in ARegal and Malie diluted andtrategies in aa bid to enhancequity markets

    entals anddecreasing marage profitabiltum of this do

    ATION(S) AND I

    ing Not

    nhance l

    t cap on the Brs approved onpanys outstand

    prove Sonatelslations suggest 15%.

    ged after the sls upside s

    id-ask spread a

    om

    on the BRVM e. Shareholdersl increase thesplit shares co exchange withommon for tele 1998 and each

    stock for eachn-weighted, hatel accountin

    not a price-weiy weight inket hovering at

    uidity of Sonatincrease in tradcks free floatf the envelope market couldonal 5% prem

    will likely be dail segment ofnatels upside

    arising from hits increasingl Senegal and

    ainty and asmium may rea a domestic primption in MaliPUs, which de

    over the past 2Sonatel has hdition to ram

    e competitive p will continueassign discoungins, Sonatelsity of telecomnside will likel

    MPORTANT DISC

    | Equit

    iquidity

    RVM executed31 October 20

    ing shares to 1

    liquidity on t that the stoc

    plit; however,ing moment

    rising from hig

    xecuted thepproved oncompanys

    menced ona post-split

    com shares,shareholdershare held.

    as just twog for nearlyhted index,

    the market1.5 on YTD

    el since theing volumeswill remaincalculationsise by 15%.ium on thependent onthe market.momentumher trading

    maturing,country risk

    result, ourh 9%.ce war in its. This comeslined by anyears. As ad to adopt

    ping up itsositioning into pre-pricets in theirprofitabilitycompanies

    y be capped

    LOSURES ON THE

    | BRV

    In BillionRevenuesEBITDAEBITDA MEBITNet ResulNet Margi

    CurrePerfoMarkMarkBeta52 W

    its1200

    heks

    emer

    Mark

    SONA

    Value tr

    Sourc

    LAST PAGE OF

    Profitabi

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    20000

    01/12

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    | SONA

    OF

    argin

    n

    t share price (mance YTD (%)t cap (Bn XOF)t cap (Bn US$)s BRVM CIrange (XOF)

    t statistics

    EL: Price and

    ded weekly o

    : BRVM, company

    HIS REPORT.

    lity of SONAT

    2009 01/12

    TEL 28

    2009562316

    56%223185

    33%

    OF)

    olume trade

    n SONATEL (M

    , Bloomberg, Ecob

    L

    2010 01/12

    Volume

    Sonatel BRVM

    ovember 2

    2010599324

    54%228184

    31%

    14

    1

    10,500 - 14

    illion XOF)

    ank Research

    /2011

    Price

    1

    12

    2011635334

    53%235154

    24%

    ,00016.7,400

    2.31.8

    ,400

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000

    500000

  • 8/11/2019 Ecobank Sonatel Equity Note

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    Mi

    Figures in MilTotal RevenuOperating IncNet Income t

    Cash and EquTotal CurrentTotal AssetsTotal CurrentTotal LiabilitiTotal Equity

    Cash From OCash From InCash From Fi

    Returns & MReturn on CoReturn on AsReturn on CaReturn on In

    Operating MIncrementalPretax MargiNet IncomeNet Income t

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Summary

    Source: Bloomb

    Growth of

    Source: Com

    dle Afri

    llion XOFesomeo Common

    ivalents Assets

    Liabilitiess

    erationsvestingancing

    rgins (%)mmon Equitysetspitalested Capital

    rginperating Mar

    argino Common Merg, n/a not avail

    ONATELs ac

    any

    ca Brief

    gin

    argin

    2010/09

    able

    tivities (%)

    ing Not

    FY632313

    2147

    1 04384459

    28-12-15

    FY

    011/10

    | Equit

    2011 F5 361 55 765 26 521 1

    4 769 21 557 40 937 1 01 718 38 615 42 322 5

    2 061 23 968 -14 984 -1

    2011 F25,913,322,424,1

    37,121,234,621,521,5

    | BRV

    2010 F9 002 58 044 29 631 1

    6 264 17 733 34 224 87 444 22 810 31 414 5

    4 580 38 702 -11 973 -1

    2010 F31,216,827,528,6

    38,111,436,826,626,6

    | SONA

    2009 F62 626 523 884 163 603 1

    56 644 150 522 384 103 856 522 227 219 356 884 5

    02 290 225 748 -106 387 -1

    2009 F33,919,130,330,3

    39,890,039,929,129,1

    TEL 28

    Y 200829 55294 10536 578

    14 09930 97031 83996 28723 90607 933

    11 62033 703 -42 303

    Y 200830,217,328,729,0

    36,7n/a

    36,525,825,8

    ovember 2

    Y 200770 58903 80540 967

    14 80764 11543 17516 03356 60686 569

    8 26566 55651 416

    Y 200734,120,233,735,0

    43,325,541,930,030,0

    2

    12

  • 8/11/2019 Ecobank Sonatel Equity Note

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    TddafaEURorA Tba

    Tnc

    T Tyrap Tp TFPGrL

    9 DIReTacre ImI.c II. III IV V. VI VI VI IX X. XI XI

    Mi

    is document was prcument was gathercument provides thfiliates do not in any direct or remote lI SA is a credit institE OF THIS PUBLICATIception of this publi any member of Ecocordingly, EBI SA (A

    is document is publien prepared withou investors individua

    e Research Divisiont discussed in thisnflicts in general ar

    e opinions presente

    e historical performu may not get backtes may adversely asitions or to obtain r

    e information contaiblished, in whole or

    EBI SA Groupe Ecobis note has been prer any question, pleaul-Harry Aithnardoup Head, Researchs Collines de l'Arche,

    057 Paris La DfensIS LOSURESesearch analyst certife research analyst(curately reflect theirsearch analyst in thi

    mportant disclosuresThe analyst(s) respompany.

    The company benefi

    . EBI SA or the Group

    . EBI SA or the Group

    EBI SA or the Group

    . EBI SA or the Group

    I. The company is a c

    II. EBI SA or the Grou

    . EBI SA or the Group

    EBI SA or the Group

    . EBI SA or the Group

    I. EBI SA and the issu

    dle Afri

    pared under the suped from reliable soue opinions, analyses

    way endorse the fiss or damage arisin

    ution authorized by tN FOR THE PURPOSEcation does not makbank Group is not amember of the Ecob

    shed for informationt regard to the indivil circumstances, risk

    and EBI SA have implreport. Further disclo available on reques

    d in this note may be

    nce of a security is nthe full amount invefect the value, priceeliable information

    ined in this documen in part, for any purp

    nk 2011. All Rightspared by Paul-Harryse contact:

    76 route de la Demi

    e Cedex France

    fications) primarily responsi personal views. Eac

    s research report.

    nsible for the prepar

    icially owns more th

    is a market maker i

    beneficially owns 5

    beneficially holds a s

    has been lead mana

    lient of EBI SA or the

    p has lead managed

    has received compe

    expects to receive, o

    has any liquidity co

    er have agreed that

    ca Brief

    ervision from the Rerces, but the analystand conclusions of tdings, views and co out of the use of all

    he Autorit de contrOF MAKING INVESTMe you a client or proting on behalf of thnk Group) will not b

    purposes only and idual financial circumtolerance and return

    lemented Chinese wsure regarding Ecob.

    changed without pri

    ot representative ofsted. Where an inve or income of that inbout its value or the

    t is confidential andose.

    eserved.Aithnard and the Eco

    -Lune

    ble for the preparath research analyst(s

    ation and content of

    n 5% in EBI SA or Ec

    the publicly traded

    or more of the equ

    ignificant interest of

    ger or co-lead mana

    Group.

    or co-lead managed

    nsation for investme

    r intends to seek, co

    tract between EBI or

    EBI will produce and

    ing Not

    Dsearch Division of EBI(s) and the publishehe Research divisionnclusions in this doc or any part of the inle prudentiel.NT DECISION EXPOSEide you with the pr

    e recipient of this de held accountable t

    s not an offer to solistances and risk and objectives. The inve

    lls procedures to preank policy regarding

    ior notice or cannot b

    the securitys futurestment is denominat

    estment. In case ofextent of the risk to

    is solely for use of t

    bank Research

    ion and content ofalso certify that no

    this report (as show

    bank Group (the Gr

    equity securities of t

    ity securities of the c

    the debt of the com

    ger over the previou

    a public offering of t

    nt banking services f

    pensation for inves

    related entity and t

    disseminate investm

    | Equit

    ISCLAIMERI SA (a member of Ecrs of this documentonly and is providement. EBI SA, Ecob

    formation contained

    YOU TO SIGNIFICANTtections afforded tocument and will no any recipient for pr

    cit, buy or sell any s return objectives oftments and shares r

    vent any conflict of i potential conflicts

    e depended upon if

    returns. Investmented in a currency othilliquid investmentswhich it is exposed.

    hose persons to wh

    all or any identifiedpart of their compe

    n on the disclaimer

    oup).

    he company.

    ompany.

    any.

    12 months of any p

    he securities of the c

    rom the company wi

    ment banking servi

    e issuer

    ent recommendatio

    | BRV

    obank Group), and isdo not hold themsel without any warra

    ank Group and its aff in this document.

    RISK OF LOSS.clients of EBI SA (Abe liable for provid

    oviding the protectio

    curity of any kind. Tindividuals who receeferred to in this doc

    nterest. Additional iof interest in the co

    used in the place of t

    in securities can be hr than the local currfor which there is no

    m it is addressed an

    portion of this resesation was, is, or w

    age of this report) h

    ublicly disclosed offe

    ompany within the l

    hin the last 12 mont

    es from the compan

    s on the said issuer

    | SONA

    not necessarily defies responsible for tties of any kind. Eiliates' Directors, Em

    ember of Ecobanking investment advins afforded to its cli

    his document does nive it. The appropriaument may not be s

    nformation may bentext of investment

    he investors indepe

    ighly risky as securitncy of the recipientorganized market it

    d may not be repro

    arch report herebyill be, directly or ind

    olds personal positi

    r of securities of the

    st 12 months.

    hs.

    during the next 3

    s a service to the iss

    TEL 28

    nitive, current or authe accuracy or compI SA and any membployees or Agents d

    roup). When distribce to any recipient ints.

    ot provide customiseness of a particularitable for all or cert

    vailable to EBI SA orresearch and Ecoba

    ndent judgment.

    y prices may go dow of the research repo may be difficult for i

    uced, further distrib

    certifies that all of tirectly, related to th

    ns in a class of com

    company.

    onths

    uer.

    ovember 2

    oritative. Data useleteness of data useer of Ecobank Group

    not accept any liab

    uting this document, relation to this doc

    d investment advice investment will depin categories of inve

    the Ecobank Groupk policy on disclos

    n in value as well asrt, changes in the exinvestors to exit inve

    uted to any other pe

    he views expressedview(s) expressed

    on equity securitie

    3

    12

    in thisd. Theand itsility for

    EBI SAument.

    . It hasend onstors.

    hich isre and

    up andchangestment

    rson or

    hereinby that

    of the