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EC Vision on 5G and Beyond
ONDM 2019
Athens, 13 May
Pavlos Fournogerakis
Programme Officer
European Commission
DG CONNECT E1- Future Connectivity Systems
Where we stand on 5G
5GPPP
5G Action Plan - towards 5G Deployment
5G European Readiness
B5G/6G Vision and technologies
Smart Networks and Services Partnership
3
5G vision - at the outsetGbps bandwidth
10 Mbps/m2 traffic density
1 million devices/km2
True ms latency
99,999% reliability
Phase 3 a) Verification Demo/Trial Platform- Integration radio+ network
Y2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Phase 2 - Demos PoC*- Core Techs Components
Phase 3 b) Integrated Verification Trial
- radio+network+applications -
Early 5G introductionLower frequency bands
Later 5G introductionHigher frequency bands
Phase I Core Technologies
User needs, cross industry partnerships with vertical industries
5G Connected Cars in EU: Cross border corridors
5G R&I for "Long Term Evolution"We are HERE
5G Public Private Partnership
Launched in 2013
Supporting EU technological leadership
€ 700 million IN H2020
5G PPP current PoC’s and trials
Supporting Vertical Pilots:
5G PPP E2E Infrastructure
Note
: Lis
t of
corrid
ors is n
on
exh
au
sti
ve a
nd
su
bje
ct
to e
xte
nsio
ns
3 Supporting Projects, to be expanded:
• 5G CARMEN, Brenner corridor
• 5G CROCO, Metz Merzig Corridor
• 5G MOBIX, PT-ES and EL-TK corridors
Next MFF: proposal towards operational deployment
Connected & automated Mobility over cross border corridors as
flagship initiative, the “Rome process”
H2020 Work programme 2020 (DRAFT)
• Scope: Leveraging 5G technologies towards innovation at service andproduct levels, at maintaining long term commitment to prepare for 5G"Long Term Evolution" and to bridge into smart connectivity platforms
• Subject to final MS approval (Planned adoption & the launch of Call 1 in July2019)
• Paving the way towards next MFF
• ICT-52-2020: 5G PPP – Smart Connectivity beyond 5G (….Provision ofseemingly infinite network capacity including usage integration andoptimised management of optical resources…)
• ICT-41-2020: 5G PPP – 5G innovations for verticals with third partyservices, ICT-42-2020: 5G PPP – 5G core technologies innovation (incl.Photonics based devices), ICT-53-2020: 5G PPP – 5G for Connected andAutomated Mobility (CAM)
NB: ICT Proposers' Day in Helsinki in September 2019!
Coordinated launch throughout single market
Comprehensive roll-out with geographical and sectorial focus
Early 5G launch in selected
areas
Commercial launch of 5G services
in at least one major city
in all MS
5G in all urban areas
and along main transport
paths
2018
2020
2025
5G Action Plan: European strategy for 5G introduction
10
3GPP standards evolution Source: 3GPP/Samsung
• Launched by Commissioner Gabriel at Mobile World Congress 2018
• Online platform on http://5gobservatory.eu/
• The second Quarterly Report just published
• The scope: to monitor, in the context of the 5G Action Plan:
- Main 5G market developments in the EU and internationally;
- 5G pre-commercial trials and commercial 5G launches;
- National strategies by the EU MS
- Spectrum assignments by public authorities
European 5G Observatory
Scoreboard Europe
12Source: IDATE DigiWorld
13
Trials: > 180 trials in 28 countries: 147 in 23 of the 28 MSs of the European Union
Beyond 5G/6G: Is it too early to start R&I?
Connectivity, Importance for Europe
Markets: Close to € 300 billion for ICT telecommunications corresponding to 37 % of total ICT.
About > 3% of EU GDP
Jobs: 1,1 million direct jobs in the mobile ecosystem, 1,4 million indirect jobs
Growth: Enabler of growth in the services domain from the increasing cooperation with
vertical sectors, 720 billion contribution expected in 2022, mostly due to improved
productivity driven by continued adoption of M2M and IoT technology
Digitisation: key Enabler of our policy objectives. Digital ecosystems are intimately coupled
with connectivity platforms
Critical infrastructures: Networks value in a multiplicity of critical applications
Global Competitiveness: how far we can respond to ambitious plans of other regions
Societal impacts: climate change, road fatalities….
Opportunities for the next decade
« Digital Industries » « Physical Industries »
Share of GDP 30% 70%
Digital Investment 70% 30%
Annual Productivity
Growth (15 Years avg)
3% 0,7 %
Automation and Industry: 3,5 to 10 Trillion € by 2025, 11% of economy (Mc Kinsey)
Network share prospects, 10%? Doubling current broadband revenues?
Industrial/Vertical applications will remain a strong
innovation driver over next decade
Source, Nokia quote from:The coming productivity boom, Michael Mandel, Brett Swanson
What we observe today:
- Social issues, coverage- 3,5 Billion people without wireless Internet
- Energy, sustainability in hyperconnected society- « Energy skyrocketing at the edge ».
- EMF raising concerns- What impact of untested spectrum usages? How to decrease exposure?
- Human centricity and trust, data control and governance
- Security and Autonomy- Coping with embedded critical infrastructres
Societal issues to gain accrued importance
5G Vision and focus Parameters: will they remain valid?
Use cases and drivers
• Capacity, still 50% traffic increase/ year
• local applications, sub-ms latency
• Gbps availability, e.g XR applications
• Extreme reliability beyond 5x9;
• mMTC “everywhere “
• Extreme energy efficiency
• Very high security/trust
• Very high mobility
• cm-level localizationSource: NetWorld from ITU-R Rec. M.2083 (modified)
Enhanced mobilebroadband (eMBB)
Massive machine typecommunications (mMTC)
Ultra-reliable and low latency
communications (URLLC)
Network traffic(exabytes/month)
Positioningaccuracy
Security
Distributed computing
Smart Networks &
Services
Example of requirements – technological approaches
- « Zero latency » Internet, local data governance Massive Edge cloud-device convergence and integration
- Ultra high capacity, BW hungry applications (e.g. real time XR beyond 8K) ultra high
density, “lamppost connectivity”
- Spectrum efficiency/sharing ultra high frequency spectrum, THz coms, FSO coms; Waveforms, Innovative spectrum use towards sensing and environment augmentation
- Cost efficiency, flexibility more use of unlicensed bands
- lower capex, new actors, micro ops, neutral hosts Pervasive SW and massive virtualisation, from NE to VF, towards cloud native, blurring device/network/cloud
- Lower cost, busines model diversity open/shared infrastructure, open source?
- Network automation, security, SON, AI/ML, blockchains
- Low latency AI based apps Network architecture for assisted AI
1. Network Architecture and Control
2. Radio Technology and Signal Processing
3. Optical Networks
4. Edge Computing and Meta-data
5. Network and Service Security
6. Satellite Technologies
7. Human Centric and Vertical Services
8. Future and Emerging Network Technologies
Source: Networld2020Networld 2020 SRIA – Strategic lines
Information Society Enablers
Source: Networld2020Optical networks
• Flexible Capacity Scaling: Coherent technologies and new wavelength bands
• New Switching Paradigms: FlexE, FlexOTN and Flexgrid, plus, SDN control
• Optical Wireless Integration: high capacity and control forRoF with signal QoS monitoring
• Optical Network Automation: common information model
• Optical Integration 2.0: Silicon Photonics & amplific.
Optical networks – Vision and challenges
• Optical community vision as target for 2030 to serve as federating umbrela and one level higher than the itemisedoptical technologies
• All optical networks, convergence with quantum computing towards sustainable infrastructure
• Impact of various B5G technologies on architecture(e.g. MEC/intelligence close to the user vs a few POPsremotely from the access point for OPEX minimization)
• Other market disruptions? (all optical routers)
Horizontal issue: Energy Efficiency
- Energy needs, significant increase since 2014,
expected to accelerate;
- by 2030, 10mio edge clouds , 9 Moi robo-cars
new architectures.
- Optical, virtualisation, densification: parts of the
solution
- Other techniques, energy harvesting and ambient
energy use
Towards EE as part of the network
management, « EFCAPS » + integrated
perspective
Source: Anders Andrae « best case », Nature News Feed, Sept 2018.
Unified &Access-agnostic
Authentication
Primary Authenticat
ion
Secondary Authenticat
ion
Increased Home
Control
Initial NAS Security
&Privacy
Visibility and
Configurability
Service Based
Architecture
Steering of Roaming
5GS – EPS Interworking Security
LTE-NR Dual
Connect. (Option-3)
PLMN Interconnect Security -
SEPP
RAN Security –
DU-CU Split
Network Slice Security
Long Term Key Update
256-bit Algorithms for 5G
KDF Negotiation
Vertical services and LAN
Single Radio Voice Continuity from 5G to UTRAN
Wireless and Wireline Convergence Security
Cellular IoT Security for 5G
5G Phase I 5G Phase II
“Journal of ICT Standardization” OpenAccess by River Publishers Special issues on “5G non-standard aspects” and “3GPP 5G specifications”
Beyond 5G?
Beyond SaaS
Interoperability, E2E
Quantum
AI based malware detection
GDPR
(Multiple) Identities
Horizontal issue: Security
Cross domains blockchains
………………
Value Chain Approach: Smart Networks and ServicesTarget: leverage connectivity to foster industrial developments across full value chain
Devices: types of
connected devices
potentially unlimitedIndustrial
Automation 360o VR/XRFully Automated
VehiclesHaptic
Communications for
surgery
Agri sensors
SmartphonesComputers
Mobile & Last
Mile
Networks:
numerous
implementation
scenarios, one
versatile
infrastructure
High
density
access
Corporate
nets
Indoor Short
Range
Dense
IoT
Fixed wired
access
OLT
CU
AW
G
RU
RU RUDU
Services:
computing and
storage, data
analytics
Business layer, business service/application requirements
en
d t
o e
nd
reso
urce
man
ag
em
en
t an
d e
nerg
yeff
icie
ncy
en
d t
o e
nd
Secu
rit
y a
nd
tru
st
Drones
Enabling tech, components.
A Possible Roadmap
2022 20242020 2026 2028 2030
Un-constrainedR&D
6G Design R&D
StandardsSI launch:2006
Trials Launches
Derived from Orange
~ Based on modified 5G Model
Need agility in case of accelerated commercial pressure
Value of the sequential model in Software age?
Our approach: a Partnership under Horizon Europe (FP9)
• Budget proposal: €97.6 billion
• Three pillars to be financed
Includes successor of LEIT programme
Open Science
Global Challenges
Open innovation
Health
[7.7 B€]
Creativity/Inclusive &
Secure Society
[2.8 B€]
Digital Industry and Space
[15 B€]
Climate, Energy and
Mobility [15 B€]
Food and Natural
Resources (10 B€]
Health throughout the life course Democracy Manufacturing technologies
Climate science and
solutions
Environmental
observation
Environmental and social health
determinants Cultural heritage
Key Digital technologies
Energy supply
Biodiversity and Natural
resourcesEmerging Technologies
Non-communicable and rare
diseases
Social and economic
transformations Advanced materials Energy systems and grids
Agriculture, forestry and
rural areas
Infectious diseases
Disaster-resilient
societies
Artificial intelligence and
robotics
Buildings and industrial
facilities in energy
transition Sea and oceans
Tools, technologies and digital
solutions for health and care Protection and Security
Next generation
internet Communities and cities Food systems
Health care systems CybersecurityHigh performance computing
and Big Data
competitiveness in
transport
Bio-based innovation
systems
Circular industries
Clean transport and
mobility Circular systems
Low carbon and clean industry Smart mobility
Space Energy Storage
Pillar 2 Structure: Intervention Areas
Commission Proposal amended by Trilogue
NGI Proposed Structure
Partnership, proposed Scope of activities
• Pillar 1: R&I challenges:
• Smart Networks and Services Enabling Technologies and architectures
• Includes IoT, Cloud, smart data and software-defined infrastructures
• Large scale technology validation, synergies to capacity building actions in DEP
• Building up on extended stakeholders SRIA
• Pillar 2: Deployment and capacity building of infrastructure for smart connectivity and associated services (focus on 5G Corridors for Connected and Automated Mobility) building on MS corridors support Stakeholders Strategic Deployment Agenda
• European federating umbrella for Beyond5G
Partnership StructureDEP & CEF
Targeted actions towards deployment and capacity building:
5G corridor deployment for CAM
Connectivity of socio economic drivers
Smart cities
AI/Cybersecurity /blockchaindeployment in networks
HORIZON EUROPE
Remaining and new challenges: Higher capacity – Zero Latency Internet Spectrum challenges (TeraHertz, flexible use) Advanced Radio processing Close user data control - IoT– Privacy/security Energy consumption
Opportunities and needs: Smart devices, (edge) Networks, Data Processing, Value Chain perspective Better involvement of Member States and
national initiatives
3 May – 27 June: Structured consultation of Member States (as part of strategic coordinating process)
May: Publication of draft Inception Impact Assessments and start of the Impact Assessment work
Mid-June until Open Public Consultation on future European Partnerships based on Article mid-September: 185/187
July SNS Stakeholders Workshop (extended, tentative)
24-26 September: European R&I Days (policy discussion and validation with stakeholders, covers all European Partnerships)
October SNS Stakeholders Workshop
End of 2019: Submission of Impact Assessment drafts to Regulatory Scrutiny Board
Early 2020: Adoption of Commission proposals for Article 185/187 initiatives
Early 2020 Finalisation of SNS SRIA and Roadmap (TBC)
Early 2021: Launch of first European Partnerships under Horizon Europe
Indicative timeline European Partnerships
7th G5GE and EuCNC 2019 – Kick Off ICT-19 Projects
https://5g-ppp.eu/ and https://www.eucnc.eu/announcement-eucnc-2019/
Conclusion
The B5G/6G journey has started. At this early stage, flexibility is key. We can today identify
as potential drivers:
• Networks in industrial environments, pushing the 5G limits
• Societal issues to get enhanced focus
• 5G design drivers duly complemented remain valid
• New innovation/disruptions to be integrated (AI/ML, DLT, mEC..)
• What is the optical community vision for 2030? (all optical networks, other disruptions)
• New system/stakeholders approach targeted
• Europe committed to support EU excellence in this critical domain via a partnership
Participation and support from Optical networking community is key for defining the B5G vision!
Thank you / Questions?