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2012 4
EAI : 2010 10
(The East Asia Institute: EAI) 2002 5 .
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
11
IV. . 30 10 . 2010 GDP 2 , 2009 1 . 2006 1 3 . 1 . 1 6.
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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[ 1]
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2000 8.4 65.1 22.4 12.5
2002 9.1 43.9 48.5 7.6
2004 10.1 39.5 54.5 6.0
2005 10.4 37.9 39.0 23.1
2006 12.7 40.0 43.9 16.1
2007 14.2 39.2 42.7 18.1
2008 9.6 43.5 47.5 9.0
2009 9.2 45.4 95.2 -40.6
2010 10.3 36.8 54.0 9.2
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
15
. GDP , .
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(: , )
GDP 4985 833 5067 3330 14119
1762 35.4 453 54.3 3020 59.6 1962 58.9 10001 70.8
220 4.4 33 3.9 14 0.3 156 4.7 -386 -2.7
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: Global Insight, SERI 330
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
16
. , . 20 . . . . .
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(: , )
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
17
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
18
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
22
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
23
2 5 ( ), ( ),
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
24
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EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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. 2011. . : . 2011. . . , 105-106. :
. . 2011. . : 2011. (). . 2011. . : (). . 2001. . : . , . . 2011. . : . . 2011. . . . :
. . 2011. . KDI Working Paper . 2010. 5 . : . . 2009. 21 . : . . 2011. 114 (): , , . 6, 2:
19-22. . 2011. . (CSF). 9 8.
http://csf.kiep.go.kr (). . 2011. . : . 2011. ? CSF. 105. http://csf.kiep.go.kr . 2011. Boom vs Doom.
(http://blog.joinsmsn.com/media/folderlistslide.asp?uid=woodyhan&folder=1&list_id=12201766)
(). . 2011. 2020 . : 21. . 2011. 18 . 8 17.
(http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2011/08/17/2011081700123.html) Li, Cheng. 2010. Chinas Midterm Jockeying: Gearing Up for 2012((Part 1-3). China Leadership
Monitor No. 31(February 15) . 2003. . 41~9.
. 2005. . 10. http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/
2005-10/19/content_79539.htm.
. 2007.. .
. 2007. : . .
. 2007. . ,
32-41.
EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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. 2007. . 11. http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2007
-11/15/content_806278.htm;
. 2007. : .1024.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2007-10/24/content_6931498.htm
. 2008. . .
. 2008. .10. http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2008-
02/28/content_904648.htm;
. 2010. 10 10. 8 28. http://observe.
chinaiiss.com/html/20108/28/a29ca5.html
.2011. 315.
. 2011. . 314.
http://2011lianghui.people.com.cn/GB/214392/14137332.html
. 2011. 2011310
. 310.
http://www.npc.gov.cn/wxzl/gongbao/2011-07/08/content_1665568.htm
EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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. 1996 . . , , . Chinas policy and influence on the North Korea nuclear issue: denuclearization and/or stabiliza-tion of the Korean peninsula? (), (), (), : . (, ). . ( ), LG ( ) .
EAI NSP Report 54 2010 10
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(EAI) (MacArthur Foundation) (Asia Security Initiative) 20091 (: ) .
,
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[EAI ]
.
. Tel. 02 2277 1683 ( 107) [email protected] Tel. 02 2277 1683 ( 108) [email protected]
100-786 158, 909 (4, )