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dtacQ3 2019
ticker symbol: DTAC
16 October 2019Alexandra Reich, CEO
Sensitivity: Open
2
Continue focusing on personalization and digitization
Never-stop network improvement
Q319 operational highlights
Service revenue excl. IC back to YoY growth of 0.6% (+2.3% QoQ)
Prepaid revenue growth QoQ for 2nd
consecutive quarter, with continuous postpaid revenue growth
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
Sensitivity: Open
21.3 20.6 20.4
Q318 Q219 Q319
Total subs (mm)
Resilient business amidst competitive market, trending on our turnaround strategy
3
• Service revenues excl. IC back to YoY growth of 0.6% (+2.3% QoQ)
• Subscriber loss 217k, primarily due to seasonal and rotational churn
• Prepaid acquisition packs with unlimited anynet voice introduced
nationwide
• Unlimited data packs for prepaid came back in Sep in some regions
• Continued good signs in B2B
15.7 15.4 15.8
Q318 Q219 Q319
Service rev excl. IC (THB bn)
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
+0.6%YoY
-4.1%YoY
Sensitivity: Open
Executing our strategy to win back customers
4
• Localized activities
• Expanding distribution footprint
• Retailer activation
DistributionProducts
• Personalized offers using analytics
• Increased gross adds momentum in prepaid with topping uptake and improved survival rate
• Postpaid portfolio simplification with dtac GO (the first to include international roaming in the main packs)
Sensitivity: Open
Continue focusing on personalization and digitization using mobile application
5
Q219 Q319
Mobile App Users +17.0% QoQ
Q219 Q319
Digital revenue +18.4% QoQ
Q219 Q319
% App installation in retailers +3pp QoQ
Q219 Q319
% of retailers performing sales
transaction on app +7pp QoQ
Sensitivity: Open
Continuous network improvement with preparation for the future
6
Network NPS Network complaints (daily avg)
Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19
2.6x -51%
• Extensively use analytics model to assure value based rollout
• Now with 16.4k 4G-2300MHz BTS installed
• 5G test on 28GHz, download speeds were clocked in at over 1.8 Gbps
• To start rolling out 900 MHz in Q419 and prepare for 700 MHz
dtacQ3 2019
ticker symbol: DTAC
16 October 2019Dilip Pal, CFO
Sensitivity: Open
8
Service revenue excl. IC grew 2.3% QoQand 0.6% YoY
Net profit grew 6.2% QoQ with consistently strong OCF and solid
financial position
Sequential EBITDA improvement of 2.9%
2019 guidance maintained
Q319 financial highlights
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
Sensitivity: Open
ARPU growth continued with growing data consumption
9
• Sub loss 217K
• Postpaid subs accounted for 31.3% of total sub base as of Q319
Subscribers (mm) ARPU (THB/sub/mth) Data usage (GB/sub/mth)
15.7 15.3 15.1 14.5 14.3 14.0
5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4
21.6 21.3 21.2 20.7 20.6 20.4
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Prepaid Postpaid
246 244 242 242 253
261
255 253 251 251
262 271
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
ARPU excl. IC IC
• Healthy ARPU growth with sequential improvement in both prepaid & postpaid
• Based on TFRS 15, ARPU in Q319 was +3.6% QoQ and +5.5% YoY
• Strong growth in data usage
• Smartphone penetration 84.1%
• 9.0m subs on 2300MHz network
8.2 8.6 8.9 9.3 10.5 11.7
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
-4.1%
-1.0%
+6.8%
+3.5%
+34.9%
+10.5%
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
Sensitivity: Open
Service revenue excl. IC back to YoY growth with Core service revenue +2.3% YoY
10
Service revenue excl. IC (THB bn) Total revenue (THB bn) TFRS15 impact (THB mm)
14.8 14.7 14.3 14.2 14.6 15.0
1.21.0
1.0 0.90.8
0.8
16.015.7
15.3 15.2 15.415.8
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Core service revenue Others
+0.6%
+2.3%
+14.3%
+1.3%
16.6 16.2 15.8 15.7 15.9 16.3
2.01.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.5
0.20.4
1.2 2.1 2.5 2.718.8
18.019.2 19.6
20.3 20.5
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Service rev Devices & SIM Other oper income
Revenue based on
IAS18Adjustment
Revenue based on
TFRS15
Service revenue
16,290 (209) 16,081
Device and SIM sale
1,535 202 1,737
• Core service revenue +2.8% QoQ and +2.3% YoY
• Increase in other operating income from higher revenue from CAT lease and TOT 2300 MHz
• Offset by lower handset sales
• Adoption of TFRS 15 resulted in slight reduction in total revenues
• Based on TFRS 15
• Service revenue excl. IC in Q319 +2.5% QoQand -0.7% YoY
• Core service revenue in Q319 +3.0% QoQand +0.9% YoY
• Total revenue in Q319 +1.3% QoQ and +14.3% YoY
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
Sensitivity: Open
• Regulatory cost increased from higher revenue
• Network OPEX maintained at the same level as three quarters earlier
• Higher other cost of services mainly driven by TOT 2300 MHz network roaming cost
Higher cost of services mainly from TOT roaming cost
11
Cost of services (THB bn)* CoS as % of Service rev excl. IC
+50.6%
+3.5%
9.8% 9.5% 8.3%
4.4% 4.2% 4.3%
11.4% 11.3%
19.7% 20.0% 19.3% 19.3%
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Regulatory costs Network opex
1.6 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.7
1.8 1.8 3.03.0 3.0 3.0
1.4 1.82.4 3.3 3.8 3.94.8 5.1
6.7 7.0 7.4 7.7
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Regulatory Network Others
(THB mm) Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 ∆ QoQ
CAT gross lease expenses** - 176 1,057 1,018 974 969 -5
CAT lease expenses**, net of revenue from lease agreements - 125 753 716 673 669 -4
TOT 2300MHz gross costs 864 1,328 1,943 2,875 3,360 3,537 +177
TOT costs, net of revenue from 2300MHz network rental 843 1,136 1,160 1,197 1,217 1,224 +7
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18* Excluding depreciation, amortization, and IC** Lease agreements signed with CAT at the end of the concession
Sensitivity: Open
SG&A increased slightly from higher activities but well under control
12
SG&A (THB bn)* SG&A as % of Total revenue
+0.1%
+4.2%
10.7% 10.6% 10.1% 10.3%9.3% 9.3%
5.7%6.5%
7.8%
5.9% 5.4% 5.7%
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Gen admin S&M
1.1 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.20.3 0.3
0.30.3 0.3 0.3
2.0 1.91.9
2.0 1.9 1.9
3.4 3.43.8 3.5 3.3 3.4
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
S&M Bad debt Gen admin
• S&M expenses increased QoQ from higher sales activities
• Flattish development in Bad debt
• Based on TFRS 15
• SG&A in Q319 +4.0% QoQ and +0.5% YoY
• S&M expense in Q319 5.8% of total revenue
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18* Excluding depreciation, amortization, and CAT settlement in Q418
Sensitivity: Open
Continued sequential EBITDA improvement
13
EBITDA (THB bn) EBITDA margin (% of Total rev)*
-5.4%
+2.9%
40.4% 40.0%
27.4%31.2% 32.6% 33.1%
40.4% 40.6%
29.1%34.7% 37.1% 37.9%
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Reported EBITDA % Normalized EBITDA %**
7.6 7.25.3 6.1 6.6 6.8
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
• EBITDA improve QoQ from higher core service revenue with higher ARPU
• Adoption of TFRS 15 had no material impact on EBITDA
• Based on TFRS 15, EBITDA in Q319 +3.2% QoQ and -5.7% YoY
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18* Reported and normalized EBITDA margin based on current accounting policy (TFRS 15) for 2019 is 33.0% and 37.8%, respectively** EBITDA margin based on total revenues excluding revenues from CAT lease agreements and TOT network rental in the denominator
Sensitivity: Open
Strong net profit and operating cash flow development
14
Net profit (THB bn) Capex (THB bn) Operating cash flow (THB bn)**
3.0
6.1 8.0
4.4 2.3 2.4
16.0%
34.2%44.1%
24.7%
13.0% 13.7%
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Capex Capex %*
N/A
+6.2%
0.2
-0.9
-4.9
1.4 1.7 1.8
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18* Based on percentage of total revenues excluding revenues from CAT lease agreements and TOT network rental in the denominator** EBITDA minus CAPEX
4.6
1.1
(2.7)
1.8 4.3 4.4
24.4%
6.4%
-15.0%
10.0%
24.0% 24.3%
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
OCF OCF %*
• Net profit improved from better EBITDA
• Adoption of TFRS 15 had no material impact on net profit
• Based on TFRS 15, Net profit in Q319 +7.2% QoQ
• Slight increase in CAPEX QoQprimarily driven by network investment
• Consistently strong operating cash flow development due to higher EBITDA and slightly higher CAPEX
Sensitivity: Open
Solid financial position with well-spread debt repayment schedule
15
Net debt (THB bn) Financial ratios (x)
+118.2%
+1.1%
Note: Figures are based on IAS 18
17.7 21.032.9 34.2
45.3 45.8
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
0.6 0.8
1.5 1.4
1.8 1.9
0.6 0.7
1.2 1.3
1.8 1.8
Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319
Net debt to equity Net debt to EBITDA
Debt maturity profile (THB bn)
12.0
6.0
4.0
12.0
10.0
2.5 3.0 1.5 2.0
6.0
1.5
7.0
3.0 2.5
Loan Debenture
• Net debt level maintained QoQ • Net debt:EBITDA ratio maintained at 1.8x
• Total debt THB 51 bn, comprising THB 18 bn bank loan and THB 33 bn bond
• THB 9 bn out of THB 12 bn bank loan expiring in Q419 can be rolled over
Sensitivity: Open
2019 guidance maintained
16
Service revenue excl. IC*
EBITDA
CAPEX
Low single-digit decline
THB 24 – 25 bn
THB 13 – 15 bn
Previous guidance
Low single-digit decline
THB 24 – 25 bn
THB 13 – 15 bn
Current guidance
-3.0%
THB 19.5 bn
THB 9.1 bn
Q319 YTD
* Based on IAS 18 for both 2018 and 2019
Sensitivity: Open
Disclaimer
Certain forward looking statements may be made in the course of the presentation. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of statements that include words or phrases such as dtac or its management “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “foresees”, or other words or phrases of similar import. Similarly, statements that describe dtac’s objectives, plans or goals also are forward-looking statements.
All such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statement. The forward-looking statements contained in the slides are not and should not be constructed as representations of the future performance of dtac and that such statements are an expression of the Company’s reviews based on its current view and certain assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions and currently available information.
Investor RelationsE: [email protected] T: +662 202 8882