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a Manufacturing Priority Agenda 2017 DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION … · This is the reason for theme undertaken in the MPA 2017 of ‘Driving Industrial Transformation For Job Creation and Inclusive

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Page 1: DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION … · This is the reason for theme undertaken in the MPA 2017 of ‘Driving Industrial Transformation For Job Creation and Inclusive

a

Manufacturing Priority Agenda 2017

DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

Page 2: DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION … · This is the reason for theme undertaken in the MPA 2017 of ‘Driving Industrial Transformation For Job Creation and Inclusive

Pillar OnePolicy, Legal and

Regulatory Reforms

• Ensure macroeconomic andfiscalpoliciespredictability

• CreateaLegalandRegulatory framework for industrial transformation

• SupportManufacturing under aDevolvedSystem

• FacilitateRegionaland International TradeSystems

Pillar TwoLevelplayingfieldfor manufacturing

in Kenya

• Fightillicittrade,contrabandandsubstandardgoods

• FormalisetheInformal Economy

• Curbthesurgeindumping

• StrengthentheprotectionoftheIntellectualPropertyRights(IPRs)

• MakeSEZsandEPZsFavourableforDomesticExportsDevelopment

Pillar ThreeCompetitiveLocal

Manufacturing Sector

• Promotetaxationthatencourageslocalcompetitiveproduction

• Streamlineregulatoryrequirements to ease compliance

• Reduceimportclearance time and costs for raw materials andindustrialinputs

• Promoteaccesstoquality,affordableandreliableenergy

• PromotePromptPaymentCulture

• EnhanceAccesstoLand

• EnhanceAccesstoWaterandSanitationfor industrial use

• TimelyInfrastructurerehabilitationanddevelopment

Pillar FourMake Kenya a

manufacturinghubforExports

• DevelopaNationalExportsDevelopmentStrategy

• Establishexportsdevelopmentlongtermfinancing

• ExpandRegionalandInternational Markets

• TargetedpromotionofForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)

Pillar FiveSecuringthefuture

of Industry

• AlignKenyaTradeandIndustrial Policies to FiscalPolicies

• Accesstoaffordablelongtermfinancingfor manufacturing investments

• Supportingskills-basedjobcreationagenda

• Innovationandtechnicalupgrade

• SupportthegrowthofSmallandMediumEnterprises(SMEs)

DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

ContributiontoKenyanGDP

InternationalTradeandForeignExchangeearnings

ContributiontoJobCreation

ConsumerbenefitsofManufacturing

Promote sustainable and inclusive industrialization (Green growth, SDG 9 and Agenda 2063 of the African Union)

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TABLE OF CONTENTSForewordAbbreviations

MPA 2017: DRIVING INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH 2017 Environmental Analysis and Economic Outlook

• ExternalEnvironmentandGlobalIndustry• KenyaEconomicOutlook

THE PERFORMANCE AND IMPORTANCE OF THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR TO THE ECONOMY • Introduction• Vision2030andtheKenyaIndustrialTransformationProgramme• KeyHighlightsoftheKAMBusinessDevelopmentPlan,2017-2019• ManufacturingSubSectorsinKenya• ManufacturingSectorOutput• ContributiontoKenyanGrossdomesticproduct(GDP)• DomesticandForeignDirectInvestmentsinManufacturing• ValueadditionbytheManufacturingSector• ContributiontoJobCreation• TradeandForeignexchangeearnings–tradeandimportanceoftradeinbringinginexport• ConsumerbenefitsofManufacturing• ContributiontoPublicFinance• Contributionofmanufacturingsectortoregionalintegration

PILLARS TO SUPPORT INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION FOR JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH

Pillar One: Policy, Legal and Regulatory Reforms • Ensuremacroeconomicandfiscalpoliciespredictability• CreateaLegalandRegulatoryframeworkforindustrialtransformation• SupportManufacturingunderaDevolvedSystem• FacilitateRegionalandInternationalTradeSystems

Pillar Two: Level playing field for manufacturing in Kenya • Fightillicittrade,contrabandandsubstandardgoods• FormalisetheInformalEconomy• Curbthesurgeindumping• StrengthentheprotectionoftheIntellectualPropertyRights(IPRs)• MakeSEZsandEPZsFavourableforDomesticExportsDevelopment

Pillar Three: Competitive Local Manufacturing Sector • Promotetaxationthatencourageslocalcompetitiveproduction• Streamlineregulatoryrequirementstoeasecompliance• Reduceimportclearancetimeandcostsforrawmaterialsandindustrialinputs• Promoteaccesstoquality,affordableandreliableenergy• PromotePromptPaymentCulture• EnhanceAccesstoLand• EnhanceAccesstoWaterandSanitationforindustrialuse• TimelyInfrastructurerehabilitationanddevelopment

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Pillar Four: Make Kenya a manufacturing hub for Exports• DevelopaNationalExportsDevelopmentStrategy• Establishexportsdevelopmentlongtermfinancing• ExpandRegionalandInternationalMarkets• TargetedpromotionofForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)

Pillar Five: Securing the future of Industry• AlignKenyaTradeandIndustrialPoliciestoFiscalPolicies• Accesstoaffordablelongtermfinancingformanufacturinginvestments• Supportingskills-basedjobcreationagenda• Innovationandtechnicalupgrade• SupportthegrowthofSmallandMediumEnterprises(SMEs)

SPOTLIGHT: Promote sustainable and inclusive industrialization (Green growth, SDG 9 and Agenda 2063 of the African Union)

REFERENCES

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ForewordInthepast,economicgrowthforcountrieshasbeenviewedasarushtoreachacertaingoalwithoutmuchconsiderationfortheprocess.Theproblemswroughtbythistypeofhastenedapproach has had a negative impact onmeaningful growth and any visions of economicsustainability. The setbacks have been detrimental, resulting in continued joblessness,environmentalpollutionandanincreasedgapineconomicequality.

Thepost2015SustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs)areawakeupcalltothefactthatthematerialwell-beingofanationcannotbesought in isolationandthatdevelopmenthastobeattheserviceofthecitizensofone’scountry.TheSDGGoalno.9inparticularaddressesitselftoindustry,inparticular,themanufacturingsectorcallingforinclusiveandsustainableindustrialisationofcountries.Therefore,the2017ManufacturingPriorityAgenda(MPA),seeksnotjusttoadvocateforbetterregulationsforbusiness,butratherforstrategicpoliciesthatwilladdressissuesofinclusivegrowthandeconomicstabilityforthenation.KAM’sstrategicfocusforthebusinessdevelopmentperiod2017-2019istodriveindustrialtransformation.Westronglybelieveindustrializationofourcountryshouldbeapriorityforallcitizens,withaviewtodrivethecreationofwealthandproductivejobs.KAMwillcontinuetoprovidestrategicadvocacytosupportthecountry’stransformationintoanewlyindustrializedeconomy.

ThisisthereasonforthemeundertakenintheMPA2017of‘DrivingIndustrialTransformationForJobCreationandInclusiveEconomicGrowth’withinourusualactivities,wewouldliketoensurethatnooneisleftoutasweindustrialiseandthatoureffortstoindustrialisearesustainable.

Top on ourAgenda this year is the need for a regulatory policy framework that addresses the concerns of themanufacturingsector.Wewouldliketoseeboththenationalandsubnationalgovernmentsaddresstheissuesraisedsofarwithregardtonationalpolicies,countyrevenuelaws,leviesandcharges.

Thesecondpillarcallsforgovernmenttomaximisedomesticbenefitsformanufacturersbyaddressingfactorsthatupset the levelplayingfield forsectorplayers.The thirdpillaraddressesways inwhich thesectorcan increase itsproductive activitiesby looking into inputs andother factors of production.The fourthpillar addresses theneedto deepen integration in global value chains through exports.The development of human capital, technologicalprocessesandSmallMediumEnterprises(SMEs)isaddressedinthefifthpillar.OurfocusontheSMEsectorisdirectedtowardsensuringthatWomenandYouthBusinessesareprioritised.Todothis,thegovernmenthasto incorporatevocationaltrainingintheeducationalcurriculumsoastoawakeninterestinthemanufacturingsectoratanearlyageandamongstwomenwhoareunderrepresentedinthesector.Toconclude,KAMalignsitsagendatoSDGgoalno.9,andAgenda2063oftheAfricanUnionbothofwhichcallforsustainableandinclusiveindustrialisation.

We acknowledge the great efforts led by government towards creating a suitable environment for both localbusinessesandinvestorstothrive.Inparticular,welaudKenya’sforayintothe100-markterritoryintheEaseofDoingBusinessIndexandtheforwardmarch,bytwopositions,intheGlobalCompetitivenessIndex.ThatKenyawasranked96thinthe2016-201indexandnumber3worldwideinthemostreformedcountriesisnosmallfeat.

Being an election year the above achievementneednot beunderminedby any relateddisruptions. Elections aresupposedtobeaprocessandnotadeterrenttoourcurrentdemocraticprogress.Henceasthebusinesscommunity,wewouldliketoseeashowofleadershipfromboththeoppositionandcurrentgovernmentinguidingapeacefulandtransparenttransition.Wearetokennthatthisyeardemonstratestotheworldandmostlytoourcitizensthattheleadershipofthiscountryprioritiseslong-termgrowthandstabilityoverdaytodaypolitics.

IwishtothanktheKAMBoardandallmembersforcontinuedsupportandinitiativesthathavemadeadifferencein strengthening institutional leadership towards theadvancementof themanufacturing sectoragenda inKenya.Ourmembers invaluable contributions is highly appreciated. Finally on behalf of KAM leadership,we extend ourappreciationtotheGovernmentofKenyawhohavecontinuallygivenusanopportunitytodialogueandasaresult,KAM contributions to industrial transformation has been immense.Our gratitude also goes to the developmentpartnersandallthestakeholderswhohavealsogiventheirtimeandeffortstowardstheindustrializationvisionforKenya.

Flora Mutahi,Chairlady, Kenya Association of Manufacturers

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Oureconomyneedsalargenumberofnewnon-agriculturaljobstodiversify,tocutpovertysharply,andtoemployouryoungpeople.Withoutastrongmanufacturingsector,ourchancesoffinding

manymorenon-agriculturaljobsarelow.

H.E President Uhuru Kenyatta, CGH, PresidentandCommanderinChiefoftheDefenceForcesoftheRepublicofKenya

-9thDecember,2014

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PrefaceSince1959,whenKenyaAssociationofManufacturers(KAM)wasformed,weasanassociationhave sought todevelop theKenyanmanufacturingbypushingoutward the fringesof thesectortonewproductiveareasandactivities.Wehavegrownfromasmallcluboflike-mindedmanufacturerswithacommonvisiontoapowerfulvoiceforthesectorinthiscountry.Ourrole has evolvedover time to champion theoverall goals outlined in 2008by theKenyangovernmentinVision2030whichseekstoturnournationintoanindustrialisednation.Kenyaseekstobeahighermiddleincomeeconomydrivenbyindustrialtransformation.

Thejourneytothisvision isstillunderwayaswecometoaclosewiththesecondMediumTermPlan(MTPII)thisyearandpreparetotransitiontoanotherphaseofdevelopment in2018withMTPIII.Wearecognisantoftheneednotonlytoaccelerateoureffortsbuttodosoinaperceptivemanner.TheKenyaIndustrialTransformationprogramme(KITP),inwhosedevelopmentKAMplayedanotablerole,providesforaroadmaptoenhancemanufacturingandvalueaddition,tostimulateexportsandsubsequentlytransformoureconomy.Amongthe key areas of focus ismanufacturing sector’s transformation, infrastructure expansion,enhancinglocalcontent,longtermfinanceaccess,SMEsexpansiontorisingstarsintheregionandimprovementofthemanufacturingsectorinvestmentenvironment.

Inthisindustrialdevelopmentprocess,KAMaimstobeaknowledgesuppliertoaworldclassmanufacturingsector.Ourobjectiveistooutlinethekeystrategicobjectiveswhichwillleadtothestructuraltransformationofthiscountryfromanagrobasedeconomyintoanindustrialone.Theseobjectiveshavebeendevelopedintofivepillarsandarederivedfromthetopmostchallengesthatmanufacturersfacedailyandwhich,ifresolved,couldleadtofastergrowth.Ourapproachisevidencebasedandfocusedonlyonviableinterventions.

However,wearenotjustkeentoattaineconomicgrowthbutwearefocusedonseeingthatthisgrowthisinclusiveandsustainable.InlinewiththeSustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs)wearecommittedtotheinclusionofwomenandyouththroughthedevelopmentoftheSMEsector.ThisdesireiscapturedinourthemeforthisyearandalsoinourfocusontheSDGno.9intheentiredocument.

TheManufacturingPriorityAgendaisourannualtakeonthesestrategicpolicyactionsparticularlyasweheadintoelections lateronthisyearandpartiespreparetheirmanifestos. It is importantforboththecurrentand incominggovernment to lookatour recommendationsandaddress theconcernsof thesector ifweare tocontinueonthegrowthtrajectorywehaveundertaken.

Finally,IwishtothanktheteamatthePolicyResearchandAdvocacyunitthatwasinvolvedinpreparingthisdocumentfortheirvaluable insights,aswellasallKAMstaffwhohavegiventheircommitmenttowardstheachievementofthesegoals.Aswemove forward,asKAMsecretariat,weseek toachieveexcellence inmeetingtheneedsofourmembersandmoreso,forourbelovedcountry.

Phyllis WakiagaChief Executive Officer

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ABBREVIATIONSACA AntiCounterfeitAuthority

ADR AlternativeDisputeResolution

AGOA AfricanGrowthandOpportunityAct

AU AfricanUnion

CET CommonExternalTariff

CFTA ContinentalFreeTradeAreaAgreement

COMESA CommonMarketforEasternandSouthernAfrica

CRA CommissionforRevenueAllocation

DRC DemocraticRepublicofCongo

EAC EastAfricanCommunity

EACHQ EastAfricanCommunityHeadquarters

EACMA EastAfricanCommunityManagementAct

EPZ ExportPromotionZones

ES EnterpriseSurvey

EU EuropeanUnion

FDI FinancialDirectInvestment

FTA FreeTradeAreaAgreement

GDP GrossDomesticProduct

GMO GeneticallyModifiedOrganisms

HCDA HorticulturalCropsDevelopmentAuthority

IBEC IntergovernmentalBudgetandEconomicCouncil

ICT InformationandCommunicationTechnology

IDF ImportDeclarationFee

IPOA IndependentPolicingOversightAuthority

KAM Kenya Association of Manufacturers

KARI KenyaAgriculturalResearchInstitute

KCB KenyaCopyrightBoard

KEBS KenyaBureauofStandards

KEPHIS KenyaPlantHealthInspectorateService

KIPI KenyaIndustrialPropertyInstitute

KITP Kenya Industrial Transformation Programme

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KNBS KenyaNationalBureauofStatistics

KRA KenyaRevenueAuthority

Ksh KenyaShilling

KWS KenyaWildlifeService

LAPPSET LamuPortandSouthSudanEthiopiaTransport

MSMEs Micro,SmallandMediumEnterprise

MTP II Medium Term Plan II

MITC MinistryofIndustryTradeandCooperatives

MW Megawatts

NACOSTI NationalCommissionforScience,TechnologyandInnovation

NEMA NationalEnvironmentManagementAuthority

NLC NationalLandCommission

NRICs NonResourceIntensiveCountries

NSSF NationalSocialSecurityFund

R&D ResearchandDevelopment

SADC SouthernAfricanDevelopmentCommunity

SCT SingleCustomsTerritory

SDGs SustainableDevelopmentGoals

SEZ SpecialEconomicZones

SME SmallMediumsizedEnterprises

SSA SubSaharanAfrica

STI Science,TechnologyandInnovation

TFDA TanzaniaFoodsandDrugsAuthority

TFTA TripartiteFreeTradeAgreement

TVETA TechnicalandVocationalEducationandTrainingAuthority

UAE UnitedArabEmirates

UK UnitedKingdom

US UnitedStates

USD UnitedStatesDollars

VAT ValueAddedTax

WDI WorldDevelopmentIndicators

WEF WorldEconomicForum

WRMA WaterResourceManagementAuthority

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2017 Environmental Analysis and Economic Outlook External Environment and Global Industry Global economic growth in 2017 is expected to be muted with a projected growth of 3.4%. ThisismainlyattributedtodepresseddemandbyadvancedeconomiesanduncertaintywithregardtotheBrexitvotewhichisexpectedtohavewidereachingeffectsparticularlyinEUstates.

Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) economies have been experiencing a slowdown asynchronous with global growth incontrasttopreviouscycles.Theperformanceoftheseeconomieswillbestructure-basedsinceNonResourceIntensiveCountries(NRICs)areexpectedtoperformbetterthanResourceIntensiveCountriesasthecommoditypriceslumpcontinuesinto2017.

SSAperformancein2016wasaffectedbypoorgrowthinthreeeconomiessusceptibletocommodityshocks,namelyAngola,SouthAfricaandNigeria.Thelargesizeoftheeconomiesdepressedthecontinentalaveragegrowthrate.OilexportgrowthinSSAshrunkby1.7%in2016leadingtoa(GrossDomesticProduct)GDPerosionofupto30%insomeoilexportingnations.Thisresultedininflationandexchangeratedepreciationinthesecountries.WearethereforelikelytoseedoubledigitinflationinsomeSSAcountrieswhichisexpectedtoaffectthepooranderoderealincome.

However,in2017,theoilmarketandnon-fuelcommoditieslikemetalsandagriculturalcommoditiesareexpectedtoimprovemarginally.Againstthisbackdrop,SSA growth is expected to be 2.9% in 2017 up from 1.4% projected for 2016asNigeria’srecessionends.Theslightincreaseingrowthisstillinsharpcontrasttothehugegrowthratesofthepast15years’experienceintheregion.

Kenya Economic OutlookKenya’s economic performance is projected to lie between 5.5% and 6% in 2017andexpectationsarehighthatthisgrowthtrendofover5.5%willcontinueoverthemidtermasshowninchart1.ThoughthisfallsshortoftheMTPIIexpectationsforadoubledigiteconomicgrowthrateofover10percent,theoutlookisoptimistic.Kenya’sgrowthstoodto5.7%inquarterthreeof2016slowingdownfromthatof6.2%inquartertwo.Kenya’sPMI–anindicatorusedtoforecastfutureGDPgrowth–asshowninchart2indicatesthatgrowthinquarterfourwillnotvarysignificantlyfromthe2016quarterthreegrowthrateandthatthiswilllikelytobringdowntheoverallgrowthratefor2016.Economicgrowthin2016wasdrivenmainlybyprivateconsumptionandgovernmentspendingwhichshouldcontinueinto2017asthegovernmentexpenditureoninfrastructureandenergydevelopmentisexpectedtocontinue.

Chart 1: Real GDP Growth

SSARealGDP SSAForecast

2009

1

3

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5

6

7

8

9

0

2

2010 2011 2012 20162013 20172014 20212015

KenyaRealGDP KenyaForecast

Source:IMF

Perc

enta

ge G

row

th

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Chart 2: Kenya PMI

Source:CFCStanbic/Markit

57

56

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491 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

PMI

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Headline Inflation has largely been contained within government policy parameters of 5% in themedium term.However,anoticeable increasewasobservedsinceMarch2016asa resultofpoor rainfallwhich in turn led toanincreaseinFoodInflation.Despitethis, inflation rates in 2016 performed much better than in 2015 and are expected to remain within policy limits in 2017asdepictedinchart3.

Chart 3: Inflation In 2016 - Kenya Inflation Rate (MoM)

0

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2016 2015 UpperLimit Lower Limit

4

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8

9

Perc

enta

ge ra

te

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rilMay

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ly

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Source:CBK

USDOLLAR STGPOUND EURO

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s

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5th-Dec

Source:KNBS,CBK

Exchange Rate:Theshilling remained largelystable in2016against theUSdollarandtheEurobutstrengthenedagainstthepoundduetotheU.KBrexitdecision.AsanimportanttradingpartnerforKenya,thedepreciationofthepoundislikelytoaffectthevalueofKenyanexportsingoodsandservicesnegatively.Forecastsfor2017pittheshillingtothedollarat105.6bytheyearend.Theshillinghashelditsownagainstregionalcurrencies.

Chart 4: Exchange Rate against Major Currencies in 2016

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Theamendmentofthe2015BankingActassentedtobythePresidentinAugust2016hascertainramificationsfortheeconomyandwillaffectcredittotheprivatesector.Theamendmentpeggedinterestratesto4.5%abovetheCentralBankRate(CBR)andintroducedaminimumrateofinterestondeposits.Interestrateshavesincedropped,butnottothelowlevelsanticipated.ThenormalyieldcurveinChart6inclinestothelikelihoodofincreasinginterestrates.Thecapisboundtoslowdownlendingifbanksfeelthattheycan’tpriceloansaccordingtorisk.Thoughtherelationshipbetweenprivatesectorcreditandeconomicgrowth isnot tooclear, therehavebeenfears thatsettingafloor forinterestratesmayactuallyhampereconomicgrowth.

Chart 5: Lending to the Manufacturing Sector - 2016 Credit Manufacturting (Ksh Billion)

Manufacturing

1

268.8

277.1280.4

275.5

297.9296.4

294.3292.1

287.5285.4

282.8

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Ksh

s B

illio

n

290.1

279.8 280.1

301.1

296.6

Source:CBK

In2016,thecentralbankcuttheCBRby150basispointsto10.0%.In2017,theMonetaryPolicyCommittee(MPC)isexpectedtomaintaintheCBRgiventheinterestratecapandthe91dayT-billhittingalowof7.1%.

Inthelastfewyears,thegovernmenthasworkedtowardsimprovingthebusinessenvironmentinthecountryandin2016,Kenyabreachedthe100markintheEaseofDoingBusinessIndex.ItalsoimprovedbytwopointsintheGlobalCompetitivenessIndextorank96.Theimprovedclimatewillaffordbusinessesasoundecosysteminwhichtooperate.Two internationalRatingagencies,StandardandPoor’sandMoody’s,bothhaveastableoutlookforKenya,whileFitchhasanegativerating.

Onthepoliticalfront,KenyawillholdelectionsinAugust2017.Economicgrowthhasbeennotedtoslowdowninthreeoutoffivepastelectionyears,thoughtheeconomygrewin2013,thelastelectionyear.Withthemanyuncertaintiesattendanttosuchyearswhatwillmostlikelyhappenisthatsectorssensitivetosecuritysuchastourismwillbeaffectedaspotentialvisitorswaitforthelaterpartoftheyeartovisit.Investorsarealsolikelytoholdoffpouringtheirmoneyintotheeconomytilltheresultsareannounced.The2017electionsthereforeintroduceanelementofuncertaintyinanotherwiseoptimisticeconomicoutlook.

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Chart 6: The Yield Curve - Kenya Government Bonds

Source:Highcharts.com

8

3months

5year

2year

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6months

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1 ye

ar

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THE PERFORMANCE AND IMPORTANCE OF THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR TO THE ECONOMY Introduction ThemanufacturingsectorhasbeeninexistenceinKenyasincepre-colonialtimesespeciallytheironindustrywhichprovidedimplementstobothpastoralistsandforagriculturaluse.However,withthebuildingoftherailwayin1896,themanufacturingindustryasweknowittoday,begantodevelop.Thesectorcurrentlyconsistsofabout3700firmswhichKAMclassifiesinto14sectors.

Vision 2030 and Kenya Industrial Transformation Programme (KITP)Kenya’s industrialisation is mapped out in two key policy documents; Vision 2030 and the Kenya IndustrialTransformationProgramme(KITP).

Vision2030isthelongtermplanforthedevelopmentofthecountrywhichincludesvariousprojectstobeundertakensothatKenyacanbeindustrialisedbytheyear2030.Theplanisdividedintofiveyeartermplans.Industrialisationprojectsfallundertheeconomicpillarandthegoalistoattainandsustainoureconomicgrowthat10percent.

KITPhasitsfoundationinVision2030butfocusesonthemanufacturingsector.ItgoesintothedetailsofhowKenyacancreateonemillionjobsandmultiplycurrentdomesticandForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)fivefoldandincreasethecontributionofmanufacturingto15percentofGDPthroughtheexploitationofalreadyexistingopportunities.Toachievethis,thegovernmentseekstocreateanindustrialdevelopmentfundtoprovidelongtermfinancingforindustry.

Key Highlights of the KAM Business Development Plan, 2017-2019 KAM’sStrategicintentforthenextthreeyearswasagreeduponbytheKAMBoardin2016andiscloselyalignedtoattainingtheaimsofvision2030andKITP.Ithasfivekeygoalsasfollows;

1.Drivingindustrialgrowthtorealize15%contributionofManufacturingSectortoGDPby2019

2.Supportingskillbasedjobcreationagendaandincreasingthemanufacturingsectorjobsgrowthby33%

3.Enhancingmarketaccessforproductslocallyandgloballytogrowexportsby33%in2019

4.Retainingandrecruitingabroadmembershipbase,and;

5.Operationalexcellencetoinpart,enhanceinstitutionalstrengtheningandsustainability.

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Contribution to Kenya’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP)GrowthintheKenyanmanufacturingsectorinthelastoneyearhasbeenonadownwardtrajectory,withthegrowthrateof1.9percentinthelastquarterof2016beingthesectorsworstperformancesince2015whenthecountrygrewat3.5%.AsshowninChart1,thisperformanceisalsoslowerthanthecountry’soveralleconomicgrowthrateandthedecelerationisatoddswithKenya’splantoindustrialiseby2030.ItalsofallsshortofthetargetsetintheMTPII(2012-2017)forthesectortogrowby8.7%.Thesectorcontributed10.3%toGDPin2015.

Chart 7: A Comparison of Kenya’s Economic and Manufacturing Growth

Source:KNBS

When compared to other rapidly industrialising nations, Kenya’smanufacturing sector growth rate is the lowest.VietnamhasgrownatitshighesteverrateinthelastfiveyearsbutitstillfallsshortofEthiopiawhichgrewat15.8%.

Chart 8: Manufacturing amongst peer countries - Manufacturing Growth and Comparator Countries

Source:WDI

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ManufacturingvalueadditioninKenyaisfaroutstrippedbyvalueadditioninothersectorsparticularlytheservicessector.ItisalsoanindicatorofthefactthatKenya’seconomyisnotexperiencingthestructuralchangeawayfromagricultural based activities to broader economic activities wheremanufacturing plays a larger role.Though thegrowthoftheservicesectorisapositivefactor,itsetsaworryingtrendforthecountryintermsofemploymentasitcouldleadtoJoblesseconomicgrowthwhichisunsustainableinthelongterm.Manufacturingonthehandtendstobelabourintensive.

Chart 9: Value Addition by sector in Kenya

Source:WDI

Manufacturing Sub Sectors in Kenya ManufacturingisoneofthelargestsectorsinKenyacontributing10.5%toGDPin2015.StilltheagriculturalsectorcontributedmosttoGDPwith30%.

Chart 10: Sector contribution to GDP In Kenya

Source:KNBS

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1979

1989

1999

2009

1963

1973

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2003

2013

1967

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2007

Agriculture,valueadded(constant2010US$)Manufacturing,valueadded(constant2010US$)

Services,etc.valueadded(constant2010US$)Industry,valueadded(constant2010US$)

Agriculture, Forestry&Fishing,30%

OtherSectors,32%

Manufacturing, 10%

InformationandTechnology, 1%

Real Estate, 8%

FinanceandactivitiesInsurance,7%

WholesaleandRetailtrade;Repairs 7%

Construction,5%

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Withinthemanufacturingsector,theFoodsub-sectoristhelargestsectorcontributingover50%oftotaloutputwhencombinedwiththebeverageandtobaccosubsectors.Manufacturingfirmssourcecriticalinputfromtheagriculturaleconomyanditishardlysurprisingthatthisisthelargestsubsector.

ItiscloselyfollowedcloselybyTextilesandApparel,chemicalsandfabricatedmetalsubsectorswhichcombinedmakeup30percentofthemanufacturing.

Chart 11: Breakdown of Sub sector contribution to Kenya

Manufacturing Sector OutputThesectorcomprisesofanestimated3,700manufacturersandmanufacturingoutputhasgrownbyover50%since2010.

Chart 12: Manufacturing Output in Kenya

Source:KNBS

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20151,200,000

1,300,000 1,258,527

ManufacturingOutputatBasicPrices

1,821,833

1,986,733

1,737,699

1,619,6221,580,775

1,400,000

1,500,000

1,600,000

1,700,000

1,800,000

1,900,000

2,000,000

2,100,000

FabricatedMetal,7%Printing and Media,4%

RubberandPlastic,5%

NonMetallicMinerals,4%

BasicMetals,2%

Paper,2%BasicPharmaceuticals,1%

Textile & Apparels,8%

Leather,1%

WoodandCork,2%

Machinery&Equipment,0%

TransportEquipment,2%

Furniture,3%

OtherManufacturing,3%

Other,9%

FoodProducts,43%

Beverage&Tobacco,8%

Chemicals,7%

Ksh

s M

illio

n

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Contribution to Job CreationEmploymentinthesectorrosefrom287,400personsin2014to295,400personsin2015,anincreaseof2.7percent.Employeecompensationbythemanufacturingsectorhasdoubledsince2010increasingby30percentfrom2014to2015.

Chart 13: Employee Compensation by the Manufacturing Sector in Kenya

Source:KNBS

Value addition in the Manufacturing Sector Valueadditioninthemanufacturingsectorhasalmostdoubledsince2010.

Chart 14: Manufacturing Value Addition

Source:KNBS

80

700,303

650,303

600,303

550,303

500,303

450,303

400,303

350,303

300,303

100

120

140

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EmployeeCompensation

ValueAdd

185,392

141,471

127,186

105,71497,819

91,864

644,057

356,718

437,841

539,388

469,502

498,537

2010

2010

2011

2011

2012

2012

2013

2013

2014

2014

2015

2015

Ksh

s M

illio

n

Ksh

s M

illio

n

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Domestic and Foreign Direct Investments in Manufacturing Oneofthekeyaimsofthemanufacturingsectoristoattractbothforeignanddirectdomesticinvestment.ProvisionalfiguresfromKenyaNationalBureauofStatistics(KNBS)showthatfinancialinstitutionsandcommercialbanksinthecountryapprovedatotalof251manufacturingprojectsin2015worthKshs291billion.Thiswasdoubletheamountapprovedin2014.

Accordingtothe2016WorldInvestmentReports,“Kenyaisbecomingafavouredbusinesshub,notonlyforoilandgasexplorationbutalsoformanufacturingexports,aswellasconsumergoodsandservices.”1KenyahasbeenworkingtowardsattractingmoreFDIbyallowing100%foreignownershipforcompanieslistedinthestockexchangeandiscurrentlyimplementingtheSEZAct2015soastoofferinvestmentincentivessuchastaxbenefitsandworkpermitsforskilledforeignemployees.Asaresult,Volkswagenre-openeditsvehicleproductionplantinKenyawhileToyota(Japan)hasalsoannouncedplanstoexpandinKenya.Inthelasttwoyears,122FDIprojectsareestimatedtohavecreated13,200jobs.

Chart 15: Greenfield FDI Projects in Kenya

1 World Investment Report 2016

Source:WorldInvestmentReport

Chart 16: Kenya FDI, Net inflows as a share of GDP

3,500

4,000 120

3,000

100

2,50080

2,000 60

1,50040

1,000

20500

0020102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Value,WorldasInvestors Number,WorldasInvestors

Mill

ion

USD

Num

ber o

f pro

ject

s

Foreigndirectinvestment,netinflows(%ofGDP)

2010200920080

0.5

1

1.5

Perc

enta

ge

2

2.5

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source:WDI

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Consumer benefits of ManufacturingManufacturing reduces Importdependencybyprovidingcheapandqualitygoods for local consumersboth in thecountryand in theEAC region.Without themanufacturing sector, consumerswouldnotbeable toaffordcertainproductsandconsumer’spurchasingpowerwouldbemuchlower.Manufacturingalsoprovideslocalalternativestocertainproductsofferingalternativesmoresuitedto localneeds.Themultipliereffectofthemanufacturingsectormeansthatmanyothersectorsrelyonlocallymanufacturedgoodsinordertothrivesincethemanufacturingsectorisalsoaconsumerofinputsandrawmaterialsfromothersectors.

International Trade and Foreign Exchange earningsManufacturingcontributesabout25%ofallforeignexchangeearningsexcludingremittances.2Thesectoristhereforeimportantfortradeinthecountryastradeinmanufacturedgoodscreatesemploymentandhelpstobringinmuchneeded foreign exchangewhile offsetting the tradebalance as shown in the table below.Kenya’s biggest exportmarketistheAfricancontinentfollowedcloselybytheEuropeanUnion.

Chart 17: Trade Balance in Kenya

Exports

Imports

Tradebalance

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

-25,000,000

-20,000,000

-15,000,000

-10,000,000

-5,000,000

USDThousand

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

Source:ITC

Chart 18: Kenyan Exports by Destination

2 Horticultural and Tea Exports excluded from computation of manufacturing exports

France

Norway

HongKong,China

SaudiArabia

Japan

China

AfghanistanIta

lyIndia

Rwanda

RussianFederation

Germany

Tanzania,UnitedRepublicof

Egypt

Pakistan

UnitedKingdom

Zambia

Netherlands

Uganda

UnitedStatesofAmerica

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0

USD

Tho

usan

d

Valueexportedin2015(USDthousand)

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Contribution to Public FinanceIntheFY2014/2015,Excisedutymadeup13%ofallcollectedtaxeswhile importdutymadeup8%.Excisedutyismainly collected frommanufacturingentities though importersdopaya certainpercentofexcise tax. ImportsofcapitalgoodswhichformcriticalinputsforthemanufacturingsectorattractDutyandotherleviessuchastheRailwayDevelopmentFundwhichcontributemorethantheKshs32billioninitiallyprojectedfortheStandardGaugeRailway.

Contribution of manufacturing sector to regional integration Themanufacturingsectorfostersregionalintegrationsincetheplayersinthissectorhavetolookforexternalmarketsandhowtoaccessthem.TheEACregionoffersKenyanmanufacturersamarketof145millionpeopleandintegrationtocreateonecommonmarketcanonlybebeneficialtopartnerstatesiftheirmanufacturedgoodscanbeexportedwithintheregion.

IntheEACregion,Kenya’smanufacturingsectorcontributesthehighesttototaloutput(GDP)intheEAC.However,thiscontributionhasdecreasedforallcountriesintheregionsince2006showingadeclineofthemanufacturingsectorregionwide.Thechartalsoindicatesthattheeconomicstructureoftheseeconomiesisnotchanging.Thiscouldbeasignofdecreasingvalueadditioninproductiveactivities.

Chart 19: Manufacturing Value Addition as a Share of GDP in EAC countries

2000

2006

2003

2009

2013

2001

2007

2004

2010

2014

2002

2008

2012

2005

2011

2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Perc

enta

ge

Kenya Burundi Uganda Tanzania Rwanda

Source:INDSTAT

If thechartabove iscomparedtothechartbelow,Kenyaappearstohavemorecapacity forproductionthanforexportsasonly36%percentof itsexportsweremanufactured in2013.Thiscouldbetheresultofvariousfactorswhichneedtobestudiedsoastodeterminehowtoincreasemanufacturedexportsfromtheregion.

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Chart 20: Manufacturing Exports as a Share of Total Exports in the EAC

Source:WDI

Industrial Capacity and Manufactured Export Capacity Kenyaleadsinregion’spartnerstatesintermsofindustrialcapacitytoproduceasisillustratedinchartbelowandthiscapacityhasbeengrowingsteadilyovertheyears.ItisthereforethemostindustrialisednationintheEACregion.

Chart 21: MVA per Capita in the EAC

2000

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KenyaKENManufacturersexports(%ofmerchandiseexports)

RwandaRWAManufacturersexports(%ofmerchandiseexports)

BurundiBDIManufacturersexports(%ofmerchandiseexports)

TanzaniaTZAManufacturersexports(%ofmerchandiseexports)

UgandaUGAManufacturersexports(%ofmerchandiseexports)

2008

2012

2005

MVA

per

cap

ita

(Cur

rent

US$

)

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2013

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0

Kenya Tanzania Burundi Rwanda Uganda

Source:WDI

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Italsoleadsinamongstpartnerstatesittermsofthevaluecompaniescontributeintermsofexports.However,unlikeinindustrialproduction,Kenya’smanufacturedexportscapacityhasfallenslightlyoverthelastyearsduetoamongotherstosluggishgrowthinthemanufacturingsector,tariffsandnontariffbarrierswithinandbeyondborders.

Chart 22: Manufactured Exports per Capita in the EAC (Current US$)

Source:WDI

Allinall,Kenyaneedstocontinueincreasingitstradeandindustrialcompetitivenessbyexploitingthepotentialthatexistswithintheregion.Kenyacanalsoleverageonitsleadingpositionintermsofindustrialandtradecapacities.

2010 2001 20120

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2013 2014 2015

KEN

TZABDI

RWAUGA

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0

Kenya

TanzaniaBurundi

Rwanda

Uganda

Source:WDI

Still, theEAC isabigmarket forKenya’sexporteventhoughthesharehasdeclined fromover25percent to23.4percentin2014.

Chart 23: Kenya’s Exports to the EAC

2010 2001

Perc

ent

20120

5

10

15

20

25

30

2013 2014

East African Community(EAC)Aggregation

Tanzania,UnitedRepublicof

BurundiRwandaUganda

Source:WDI

TheshareofGFCFtoGDPparameterrefersto investments intofixedcapitalfrombothprivateandpublicsourcesasashareofGDPandisusefulasaproxytogiveanindicationofacountry’sproductionability.TanzaniaisthebestperformeramongstallEACcountries,implyingastrongabilitytoattractcapitalwhileKenyalagsbehindmostoftheothercountries.Thefluctuationscouldpointtootherexternalfactorswhichaffectitsabilitytoattractcapital,suchaspoliticalstability.

Chart 24: Gross Fixed Capital Formation as a Share of GDP

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Pillars of Inclusive and Sustainable Industrial GrowthPillar One - Policy, Legal and Regulatory Reforms Objective:CreateahealthyManufacturingEcosystemthroughSoundRegulationImprovecompetitiveness in the localmanufacturingsectorbycreatingabusiness friendlyecosystem.Thiscanbeachievedbyenactingandimplementingpoliciesandlegislationandpolicythatsupportthegrowthofthesector.

Challenge:Themanufacturingsectorisaffectedbypooranddisparatepoliciesandregulationsbothattheregional,nationalandsub-nationallevelwhichhavecontributedgreatlytoitsgradualdecline.Thesectorcanonlythriveinafacilitativebusinessatmosphere.

Evidence (Indicators):

• Surgeindevolutionleviesandcharges• Littlestakeholderinvolvementindraftingoflawsthataffectindustries• Overlappingregulationsandinstitutions

InstrumentsEnsure the predictability of Macroeconomic and fiscal policies Interest rates and exchange rates are known to affect themanufacturing sector particularly the ability to attractfinance,thecostofborrowingandthevalueofreturnsfrommanufacturedexports.Highfiscaldeficitsanddebt-to-GDPratioalsoresultinhighertaxationforthesector.Macroeconomicstabilityisthereforekeytothegrowthofthesector.Inthepast,thecountryhasexperiencedvolatileperiodsforcingtheCentralbanktoraiseinterestratestocurbinflationarypressureswhicherodenationaloutput.

Macroeconomic factors inKenyaareaffected toa certainextentbypolitical factors and in this electionyear, thegovernment should curb unnecessary expenditure, rein in inflation and ensure that the elections are carried outpeacefullysoastosafeguardtheeconomy.

Support Manufacturing under a Devolved SystemSubnationalgovernmentswereintroducedinthe2010constitutiontobringservicesclosertothepeopleregardlessof political vagaries.The vision of inclusive and shared economic growth that led to devolution is admirable andpraiseworthybutthetransitiontothesystemhasnotbeeneasysincecountiesaremandatedtoregulatebusinessaccordingtoarticle209oftheconstitution.

Themajorchallengeshavebeenthelackofpropercountylawstoregulatebusinesswithinthecountyandoverarchingnationallawstoguidecountiesontradeandindustrialmatters.Thishasledtothecollectionofunlawfulleviesandwhatistantamounttodoubletaxationasmultiplecountieschargebusinessesthesamefeescollectedelsewherebyothercounties,parastatalsorregulatorybodiesparticularlywhengoodsmovefromonecountytoanother.

Counties also collect fees and charges without proffering the requisite services to businesses. Counties need toacknowledge that improving service delivery is the key to attracting investment in the county andwork towardsenhancing offer on issues such as roads, garbage collection, access towater etc.They also enact legislation andintroduce punitive levieswithout adequate stakeholder engagement. It is important for the national governmentharmonisethedisparatepoliciesinplaceatthecountylevelthroughaproperpolicyframework.

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Create a Legal and Regulatory framework for industrial transformationCurrentemergingpracticeswithregardtolegislationaffectingmanufacturers isthat lawsareenactedwithouttheantecedentdevelopmentofoverarchingpolicies.Thismeansthattheoperatingenvironmentisnotcapturedandlawsarepreparedwithoutanyreflectiononwhatisonthegroundduetoalackofimpactassesments.

Theraftofexistingpoliciesiscontradictoryandconfusinginnature.Toooftenregulationsaredraftedorenforcedinahaphazardmannerwithtotaldisregardoftherealitiesonthebusinesssector.Suchregulationsafterwardshavetoundergoseveraliterationsbeforetheycanactuallybeimplemented.

Eliminate Corruption Thegovernmentneedstobeabletodetectcorruptionwhenitoccursandthisrequiresstrongauditingmechanisms.Corruptionandbadmanagementpracticeseatintothenation’s’wealth,channellingmoneyawayfrompublicprojects.Countlessstudieshaveshownthathighlevelsofcorruptioncaninterruptinvestment,restricttrade,reduceeconomicgrowthanddistortthefactsandfiguresassociatedwithGovernmentspending.Corruptionalsoharmsthechancesofsuccessforsmallandmediumenterprisesandithasbeendemonstratedthataroundtheworld,smallbusinessespaymorethantwiceasmuchoftheirearningsaslargercompanies,limitingtheirabilitytogrowandcreatejobs.3

Corruptindividualsshouldbepunishedtothefullextentofthelaw.Agreaterauditingcapacitybygovernmentcontrolbodies and stiffer penalties for corruption, particularly in high profile cases,would set clear examples thatwouldencouragepublictrustandparticipationinrootingoutcorruptpractices.ThemovebyChiefJusticeDavidMaragatohastenproceduresforcorruptionandeconomiccrimescasesiscommendable.

Efficient Commercial Dispute ResolutionEfficientcommercialdisputeresolutionhasmanybenefitsandcourtsareessentialforbusinessastheyinterprettherulesofthemarketandprotecteconomicrights.Efficiencyincommercialdisputeresolutionnotonlyentailseffectivecourts,butmoreimportantly,theestablishmentofAlternativeDisputeResolution(ADR)Mechanismsintoregulatorybodies.ADRmechanismsofferfasterandcheapermechanismstoaddressdisputesinacontextofconfidentialityandneutralitythatisindifferenttothelaw,cultureorpracticeandtheydonotblockeventualrecoursetocourtsincaseofchallenges.

Maintain momentum to ensure implementation and usefulness of the Business Court Users Committee (BCUC)ThejudiciaryengagementwiththeprivatesectorwascementedwhentheBusinessCourtUsersCommittee(BCUC)waslaunchedinlate2015.Theaimoftheistoprovideaforumforprivatesectorandthejudiciarytodiscusswaysinwhichcommercialcasescanbeadjudicatedinafastandwellinformedmanner.Thereisaneedforcontinuousreviewmeetingstoensurethatjudicialprocessesaresensitivetothetimeboundnatureofbusinessactivities.Thiscanbedonebyclearingupthebacklogofbusinessrelatedcases,automatingpaymentprocessesandeliminatingdelaysinprosecutingcases.

Harmonise Regional and International Trade Systems Regional integration is important for the localmanufacturing sector. However, certain regional policies have theeffectofhamperingmarketaccessforourexportsandshouldbereviewed.Internationally,Kenyahasanumberofagreementswithsupporttraderelationswithothernations.Itisimportantforthecountrytofasttracksomeoftheseagreementsforbettermarketaccess.

3 Corruption Watch, http://www.corruptionwatch.org.za/content/about-us-0 retrieved on 23 January 23, 2015

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Intervention Areas

Policies • Enactanationalpolicyonpublicparticipation

Regulations • Push for the enactment and implementation of the key county revenue laws developedtogetherwithkeybusinessassociationstofacilitatemanufacturinge.g.publicparticipationbill,tradelicensingbills,revenueadministrationbill,propertyandratingbillandfinancebills.

• The Attorney General should expedite the gazettement of the advisory by the transitionauthoritysoastoregulateintercountytrade

• Counties should implement the requirementsof theStatutory InstrumentsAct 2013 so thatimpactassessmentsaredonebeforeanybusinessrelatedlegislationispassed

• ReviewtheVATActandExciseAct rates inaccordancewithKAMproposals tosupport localmanufacturers

• ImplementtheBriberyAct2016• FinaliseandimplementmeasuresoutlinedinthePPOAcodeofEthics• PassthefollowingEACbills-EACindustrialisationbill,EACAnticounterfeitbillandtheTradeRemediesbill

• AmendtheCustomsManagementActandRegulations• HoldCommonMarketProtocolConsultations• PrioritisetheEACTraderegulations

Incentives/ Disincentives

• Reviewandreduceintercountyfees,chargesandlevies• Reviewparallelfeesandratechargedbybothcountiesandparastatalsforthesameservice• Resolve outstanding issues related to duplicative branding and advertising charges across

counties• Reviewexcisedutyleviedonthebeveragesandexcisedutyrates• OfferincentivesforfirmsthatsignuptoandadheretotheKenyaCodeofEthics• Stiffpenaltiesforcompaniesengagingincorruption• Fast track judicial processes through automation of payments (E-payments via Mpesa orEcitizen)forservicestoreduce

• HarmonisationofDomesticTaxesi.e.nExciseandVATacrosstheRegionbusinesslosses• FinaliseandPasstheEACDraftRegulationsforMotorvehicleAssemblyandTrucks• ApprovetheNationalAutomotivePolicywhichgivesguidelinesonhowtheNationalAutomotiveCouncilshouldoperate

• Incentivise companies to comply with the stipulations of the PPOA code of ethics and therequirementsoftheBriberyAct2016

• Througharegulationbill,EasemovementofbusinesspersonsintheEACthroughacommonbusinessvisaforEACandtheTripartiteregion

Information • EACCtocarryoutsensitisationontheBriberyAct2016•OrganiseBusinessEthicsandIntegrityComplianceTrainingsforprivatesector• Auditcountyperformanceonbusinessfacilitationto improvecompetitivenessbyrollingoutthesubnationaleaseofdoingbusinessreporttoall47counties

• Continueengagementswithcountiessothattheycanpassfriendlybusinessrelatedbillsandwiththeduediligence,considerationsandconsultationwithallstakeholders

• PublishtheEACIndustrialCompetitivenessReport• Sensitisation forNTSA,KENAS,KEBs,KRAandTIITonMotor transportandManufacturingdonebytheMotorVehicleSector

• RealDataoncapacityutilisationintheManufacturingSector• PPOAtocarryoutsensitisationontheprocurementregulations

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Public Ownership

• StrengthentheIntergovernmentalBudgetandEconomicCouncil• EstablishAlternativeDisputeResolutionMechanism(ADR)withinallregulatorybodies•MakeiteasierforCountiestoestablishPPPsasanalternativesourceofrevenuesoastoreduceleviesandchargesonbusiness

• GovernmentagenciessuchasCRA,IGTRC,CAF,COGtoaddresscountytaxation• ApproveandestablishtheNationalAutomotiveCouncil

Key StakeholdersCountyGovernments,NationalGovernment,Parastatals,theJudiciary,COG,CAF.

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Pillar Two: Level playing field for manufacturing in KenyaObjective: MaximiseDomesticBenefitsforlocalfirmsCompetition requires a level playing field for all actors andwithout it localmanufacturers are not able to gain acompetitiveedge.

Challenge: Varioushindrancesexistinthedomesticmarketwhichmakeitdifficultformanufacturingfirmstogrow.Onlybycreatingalevelplayingfieldcanlocalmanufacturingfirmsgainacompetitiveadvantage.

Evidence (Indicators):

• Proliferationofsubstandardgoodsinthemarket• IncreaseinImportsandReductionofexports• DelaysatCustomsforexportorientedgoods

Agenda Fight illicit trade, contraband and substandard goods Theproductionandsaleofcounterfeitgoodsisaglobal,multi-billiondollarproblemandcounterfeitgoodsaccountfornearly10percentofworldwidetrade.KenyanmanufacturersloseoverKsh.30billion(US$42million)annuallyduetocounterfeitproducts.AccordingtoastudyconductedbyKenyaAssociationofManufacturersin2012todeterminetheseverityoftradeincounterfeitgoodsinKenya,conductedonfivekeysectorswithfastmovingconsumerproducts,itwasestablishedthatmanufacturersloseabout40%oftheirmarketsharetocounterfeiters

Thesecurityrisksposedbyillicittradeisserious.Organizedcrimenetworksexploitnewtechnology,differencesamongnationalregulatoryregimesandlinksbetweentheglobaleconomic,financeandtransportationsystemsfortheirowngain.Theyusetheprofitstofundothercriminalactivitiessuchasdrugtrafficking,peoplesmugglingandrobbery.

Lawenforcementagenciesshouldtakeatougherstandagainstcounterfeitersandthatstanceultimatelyhastobebackedupby relevantand comprehensive local laws.There is need for improved interagency coordination in thefightagainstillicitgoodsasthemandatetoenforceisvestedwithvariousagenciesincludingtheKenyaPolice,KenyaRevenueAuthority,AntiCounterfeitAgency,KenyaBureauofStandards,KenyaPlantHealthInspectorateServices,KenyaCopyrightBoard,KenyaWildlifeServices,PharmacyandPoisonsBoardandPublicHealthOfficers.

Curb the surge in dumping One of the biggest fears that localmanufacturers face is competition from foreign firms that tend to be heavilysupportedindustriesrenderingthelocalmarketsuncompetitive.Sometimesthesefirmsengageinpredatorypricingsothatsomeoftheimportedproductsinthesectorsareacquiredattheexpenseofgrowthofthelocalindustry.Othertimes,thecompetitivenessofthesefirmsisheavilysupportedbyWTOillegalsubsidies.

Worldwide,thesteelsectorhasbeenaffectedbyanoverabundanceofSteelinChinawhichtheworld’slargestproducerofsteel.ThisglobalglutwascausedbythedeclineoftheconstructionindustryintheeastAsiancountry.Thetextilessectorissimilarlyafflicted.

ThegovernmentneedstohaverecoursetoWTOremediescurbdumpinginthecountry.Thiscallsforcapacitybuildingandtheuseofappropriateregulatoryinstruments.

Accord Preference to Local content in Government ProcurementThe‘BuyKenya,BuildKenya’policyneedstobeimplementedbytheCabinetsothatitcaninformallgovernmentpurchasingdecisionsandpreferencecanbegivenforlocallymanufacturersgoods.Inlarge,infrastructureprojects,localmanufacturersshouldbe involvedfromtheprojectdesignstagesothattheycanupgradetheir facilitiesandcapacitiestoproducegoodstotherequiredstandardsandquality.

PPDAActandRegulationsthatnowallowforlocalpreferenceshouldalsobelookedintotosealloopholesthatallowprocurementagentstogivecontractstoforeignfirms.Theyshouldalsobestipulationsforsubcontractingtolargefirms.Formalmonitoringmechanismsaswellasperiodicreportingofunderperformanceincontractingarecritical.

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Strengthen the Protection of the Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs)Copyrightbasedorcreativeindustriesincludeawidespectrumofmanufacturingindustriesthatcontributetooveralleconomicgrowth.Manylocalmanufacturersfallundertwocategoriesofinterdependentcopyrightbasedindustrieswhoseactivitiescreateinstrumentsusedinthepromotionofcopyrightedworksandpartialcopyright-basedindustrieswhereonlyaportionoftheirworkiscopyrighted.AsKenyaseekstotransformitselfintoanindustrialandinnovationhub,moreawarenessoftheneedtoprotectintellectualpropertyisnecessaryparticularlyamongstSMEs.

Formalise the Informal Economy

Inmarkets tightly regulated throughamongothers licensing,overregulationcanbedeterrent to formalisation. Infact,“Mostentrepreneursandtheself-employedareamenabletoandwouldwelcomeeffortstoreducebarrierstoregistration.”4 Businessregistrationcanopendoorstoaccessbenefitsavailableintheeconomy,notablyaccesstocapitalorothersupportingservicesforSMEs,legalenforcementofpropertyrights,taxbreaksandincentives.

Make SEZs and EPZs Favourable for the development of Domestic Exports With the introductionofSEZs, in addition toEPZsmany incentiveswill beoffered to investorswho locate there.However, it is important toalsoextend incentives to localmanufacturersoutsidebothSEZsandEPZsso that theincentivesarenotdetrimentaltolocalproducerswhofeelthatothercountriesareexploitingloopholestoexportEPZproductstoKenya.Thiswouldalsoensurelevelplayingfieldas20%ofEPZexportsareallowedtodomesticeconomy.

Intervention Areas

Regulations • HarmoniseIPRlawsacrossEACpartnerstatessothatEACbecomesasingleIPTerritoryandisrecognisedassuchforeaseofenforcement

• DevelopLocalcontentrequirementsandreviewthe PublicProcurementandAssetDisposalAct,2015toincorporatethem

• ApprovetheBuyKenya,BuildKenyaPolicy• DevelopandenactaTradeRemediesBill• InstitutePoliciestoensuretheefficientprocessingofVATrefunds

Incentives/Disincentives

• HighlyPunitivefinesandjailtermsforthoseIPRoffenders• ExtendEPZandSEZlikeincentivestodomesticproducers• Offersubsidiestostrategicsectors(e.g.steel)withstronglinkages•Offer protection and safeguards against dumping for local Industries such as theSteel and

Textiles sector • Granttaxincentivesforfirmstostrengthenbackwardlinkage

Information • FinalisetheStudyontheEACIPRRegimeinordertoharmoniseIPRlawsintheEAC• CreateAwarenessfortheSGRPhaseIIandhavethegovernmentprocurealllocallyavailableproductsparticularlySteelandCementfromlocalmanufacturers

• Clusterfacilitation• Carryoutawarenesscampaignsforconsumersoncounterfeitsandillicittrade• Developmajorawarenesscampaignstosupportlocalindustry• CreateanEACPatentRegistrationOfficeforregistrationofpatentsandtrademarks• HoldawarenessseminarsforthenewintroductionsintheCompetitionAmendmentBill2016

Public Ownership

• EnforcethePublicprocurementofdomesticgoodswithingovernmententities

Key StakeholdersGovernmentprocuremententities,KIPI,KIRDI,MDAs.

4 UN Paper

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Pillar Three: Competitive Local ManufacturingObjective:IncreaseProductiveActivitiessothatfirmsincreasetheiroutput

Challenge:ThecostofinputsinKenyaisveryhighmakingKenyanmanufacturinguncompetitive.Ifthiscontinuesitcouldheraldacompetitivenesscrisis.Onlybyrelookingatthefactorsofproductionandmakingthemcheaperandmoreavailablecanthecompetitivenesscrisisbeaverted.

Evidence (Indicators):

• PendingVATrefunds• Latepaymentstomanufacturersfromlocalretailers• Highenergycostscomparedtoneighbouringcountries• HighcostandunavailabilityofLandformanufacturingactivities• IncreasingbusinessrisksassociatedwithWaterscarcity•MarketaccessissuesforAgriculturalInputs

AgendaPromote taxation that encourages local competitive productionAn effective and efficient tax regime can boost employment, investment, and productivity which in turn wouldaccelerateeconomicdevelopment.Fiscalincentivesareneededtofacilitatevalueaddedexports.

VAT refundsLateVAT refunds shift theTax burden from consumption into production.The issue of outstandingVAT refundsstillremainsabigpainformanufacturerswholookforwardtotheexpeditiouspaymentoftherefunds.KRAowesmanufacturersbillionofshillingsinunpaidrefundswhichhasresultedinseriouscashflowissuesinthesector.Asalastresort,manufacturersareforcedtogetintodebttokeepoperations.Thisleadsthemtoincurlossesastheyarerequiredtopayhighinterestratesonloanstokeepafloat.

Elimination of IDF and RDLWiththeintroductionofPre-ExportVerificationofConformity(PVOC)forexportstoKenya,theImportDeclarationFee(IDF)shouldhavebeentotallyeliminatedsinceitduplicatestheIDF.TheRailwayDevelopmentLevy(RDL)wasalsointroducedtemporarilytoraiseafixedfeeforthebuildingoftheSGR.ThesetwochargesshouldbedoneawaywithcompletelyastheyareduplicitousinnatureandtheymakeKenyangoodsnon-competitive.

Facilitate business compliance with regulation StreamliningthebusinessregulatoryenvironmentinKenyafurthertodevolutionwouldenhancecompliance.Thereisneedforsustenanceofbusiness regulatoryenvironment reformsundertaken.Withthenewdevolvedsystemofgovernment, thenationalgovernmentshouldcreateanationalpolicyand legislationtoharmonizethecriteria forintroductionandapplicationofnewfeesandchargesthataffectbusiness.Thiswouldalsoensureharmonizedandcoordinatedinstitutionalarrangementthatcurbsduplicationandmultipletaxation.

Promote Prompt payment cultureManufacturersformpartofalargesupplychaininwhichmoneyisconstantlymoving.Inorderforbusinesstothrive,cashflowisnecessaryasthecostofborrowingeatsintoprofits.AlatepaymentcultureisverydamagingparticularlytoSMEssinceeverybusinessunlocksitsvaluebykeepingmoneymoving.

Thegovernmentcanpromotearesponsiblepaymentcultureas latepaymentsforcecompaniestoturntodebttofinance theirproductiveactivities.This is anareawhere thegovernment can leadbyexample, subjecting itsownprocurementtothehigheststandard.

Reduce Import clearance Time and costs for raw materials and Industrial InputsKenyaneedstocontinuallyimproveportinfrastructure,customsprocessesandthecapacitytotrackandtracefreightgoods.Thiswillimproveefficiencyofportorairportsupplychainsreducecostsandsavetimeforimprovedefficiency

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oftradeinmanufacturing.AccordingtotheWorldBankDoingBusinessreport2015,importtimeandcostarebindingconstraintsthatmakeKenyaadifficultcountryfortradingacrossborders.5

ImplementingtheWTOtradefacilitationagreement,inpart,shouldprovidethemomentumtoaddressthesebarriers.Thegovernmentneedstodefineanagendaforitsimplementation,andensurethatotherEACcountriesfollowsuit.

Address Factors of Production for Competitive Manufacturing• Promote Access to quality, affordable and reliable energy InSeptember 2014, the country switched to geothermal generation and this lead to lower fuel cost charges andreducedelectricitycoststoconsumers.Thefallingpriceofcrudeoilworldwideinthelasttwoyearshascontributedtolowerenergycosts.

Kenya’stariffs,atanaverageofUS¢15/kWhforindustrialconsumersstillremainhighinthisregionincomparisontoourneighbourswhichhasledtoKenya’sindustrialsectorremaininguncompetitive.AninvestorseekingcheaperenergycostismorelikelytomovetheinvestmenttoneighbouringcountriesandsellmanufacturedgoodstoKenya.Thereisthereforeneedtorelookattheelectricitytariffstructurewithabroaderviewtodeliberatelybringthepricesdown.With Ethiopia, Egypt, andUganda electricity tariffs currently atUS¢ 4/kWh,US¢ 6/kWh andUS¢ 12/kWhrespectivelywhileTanzaniahadtheirtariffreviewedtoUS¢14/kWhandSouthAfrica’stariffisUS¢9/kWh,WhatthenmakesKenya’stariffsoexpensive?

Grantedthegovernmenthasdonealottoworkontheenergysituationinthecountry.Withamajorcomponentoftheenergymixbeingfromrenewablesources,thecostofenergyinKenyahassincedroppedfromUS¢18.7/kWhtothecurrentUSc15/KWh.Investorsarecomfortablewithstabletariffregimewheretheycanhavesteadyforecastsforbusinessrevenues.Tariffpricesshouldthereforebestableandpredictable.

OtherusefulinterventionsthattheserviceprovidercouldlookintoisaTimeOfUsemeteringwhichwouldintroduceanighttimeoranoffpeaktariffandencourage24hourproductionbyindustry.

• Enhance Access to Water and Sanitation for Industrial UseThereisademanddeficitproblemwheredemandismorethansupply.Oneofthewaysofaddressingthisshortfallintheshorttermistolookcarryoutwaterauditsinordertocurtailconsumptionwaste.Anotherwayistorethinktheexpansionofwatersources.

KAMbelievesthatthecurrentsituationcallsfortheimplementationoftheWaterAct2016whichwasassentedtoinSeptember2016tostreamlinewatermanagementinthecountry.

• Enhance Access to Land Land,isabasicfactorofproductionanditremainsanimportantcomponentforthemanufacturingsectorespeciallyAgroBasedindustries.ForAgroProcessors,whomakeupthelargestvalue-addsectorinKenya,landisanessentialinput.Asmoreandmorelocallyownedagro-processingindustriestakeshape,thereisneedtoensurethatthereiscertaintyonlandownership.

• Address the Agricultural Supply Chain and InputsFortheagroprocessingsectortogrow,thesupplyhastomeetdemand.Howeverthevagariesofarainfedagriculturalsystemmakesupplyerraticandthistendstohaveaneffectonagroprocessingfirms.Valueadditionshouldalsobeencouragedsoastonetinmoremoneyforgoodssoldoverseas.

• Green Growth and Sustainable DevelopmentClimate change is the new frontier on the sustainable development front. The African continent is particularlyvulnerabletotheadverseeffectsofclimatechangedespiteitslowcarbonemissionsduetoitsgeographicalposition,reliabilityonagriculture,thelackofmitigatingmeasuresandadaptivecapacity.KenyaisalsoatadisadvantagelikemostotherAfricancountriesbutinthelastfewyears,hasworkedtowardscomingupwithaclimatechangeactionplanevenastheeffectsofclimatechangesweepitslandscape.Withoutthepropermeasuresinplace,manufacturingcouldfaceadebilitatingblowshouldclimatechangedestroytheagriculturalsectoronwhichthesectorreliesonsoheavily.

Sustainabledevelopmentthereforeneedstotakeintoaccountgreengrowthandclimatechangeadaptationmeasurestosafeguardthecountryagainstthesethreats.

5 2016 Doing Business retrieved on January 2015 http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/kenya#trading-across-borders

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•Timely Infrastructure rehabilitation and Development WhilethecountryundertakeshugeinfrastructureprojectssuchastheStandardGaugeRailwayandenergydevelopmentprojects,itwouldbeusefulforboththenationalgovernmentandcountiestolookintoexistinginfrastructuretoensurethatitisrehabilitated.Manufacturersrelyheavilyontheexistingroadnetworksandissuessuchastrafficcauseuntoldlossestothesectorduetodelays.Accessroads,drainage,Sewagetreatmentetcareallissuesthataffectfactoriesinvariousindustrialareasandtheseshouldbelookedinto.

Intervention Areas

Policies • DevelopNationalpolicyandLegislationonharmonizationofcountyPoliciesandlegislationsonfeesandcharges.

Regulations • Simplificationofbusinessstart-upprocedures• ImposeExport-bansforunprocessedrawmaterialstoencouragelocalvalueaddition• ImposeImportbansandquotasforfinishedgoodssoastostopdumping• ImplementtheWaterAct2016andcreateregulationsforWaterConservation• Developanationalwaterpolicy• AssenttotheEnergyBill2015• CreateaLegislativeFrameworkforPromptPayment• ReviewuncompetitiveExciseDutyandVATratesforthemanufacturers• EliminatetheRailwayDevelopmentLevyandtheImportDeclarationFees• ClearupthebacklogofVATrefundsaccruedafter2013• StartprocessingVATrefundsefficientlytobepaidwithin60days• ImplementtheNationalClimateChangePolicyFramework• Validatecountyactionplansoncleanenergy• ImplementtheClimateChangeActbyestablishingvariousbodiessuchas theClimateChangeCouncil

• ReviewHarmoniseNCA,CountyandNEMAleviesrelatedtoBuildingandConstructiontoavoiddoubletaxationandoverregulation

• HavetheBuildingCodeenforcedattheMinistryofInfrastructureandhousing• EffectthePresident’sdecreetoremovetheOSlevy

Incentives • RecogniseIndustriesexcellinginEnergyManagement•Offerstartupfinanceformanufacturingentities• OffermanufacturingfirmsCapitalexpendituregrantsorpreferentialloans•OfferIncometaxexemptions• SetuplandbanksforIndustrialuse•Offerincentivesforwaterandwastewateraudits• IncentiviseenergyauditstoreduceGHG• EstablishanIndustrialDevelopmentBank•OfferLoanguaranteestoSMEs• IncentivisecommercialbankstoprovidelowrateloanstargetingmanufacturersandSMEs• PromoteSelfRegulationforManufacturersonEnvironmentalIssues•OfferManufacturersquality,reliableandcosteffectiveenergy•OfferaTimeofUsetariffforelectricity• Facilitateprearrivalclearanceforrawmaterialsusedinmanufacturing• ApplytheGreenClimateChangeFund• Recognisethecertificationmarkforresponsiblecare• HoldCleanEnvironmentAwardsCeremony

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Information • Entrepreneurshiptrainingprograms• Providemarketintelligenceonthemanufacturingsector• LaunchInvestmentpromotioncampaigns• Technologyextensionandtransferservices• HoldIndustrialtradefairs• CreateAwarenessontheNationalClimateChangePolicyFramework• HoldCleanEnergyAwarenessForumsinpartnershipwithNEMA,MinistryofEnergy&PetroleumandothercivilsocietiesandCountyGovernments

• CarryoutfeasibilitystudiesfornewventuresintheIndustrialsector• OfferCapacitybuildingonenergy,waterandwastewaterauditsandonWatermanagement• CreateAwareness on the EnergyManagement Regulations 2012 and on theConservation of

Water• HoldSeminarsonthenewPVOCregulations formanufacturersandclearingagents,ElectricalandE-wasteManagementforIndustry,

Public Ownership

• Createstateowneddevelopmentbanks• Publicinfrastructureinvestments

Key StakeholdersWRMA,KenyaPower,ERC,NEMA,TheNationalTreasury,AllregulatoryInstitutions.

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Pillar Four: Make Kenya a manufacturing hub for ExportsObjective:PromoteIndustrialExportsanddeepenGlobalMarketIntegrationIncreaseKenya’sengagementinglobaltrade,internationalinvestmentandwithmultinationalenterprises.

Challenge:Highcostofproduction,Non-TariffBarriers,Balanceofpayments,limitednationalresources,smallandlimitedaccesstodomesticmarkets.

Evidence (Indicators):

• Kenya’sdecliningshareofvalueaddedexportsintheEAC• Kenya’sinsignificantimpactinworldglobaltrade(Kenya’sshareofglobaltradeisonly0.03%)• Lackofexportsdevelopmentfiscalincentivesandfinancing

AgendaDevelop a National Exports Development Strategy Kenyanexportscomprisemainlyofprimaryagriculturalexportswithlittletonovalueaddition.Inordertopromotemorevalueaddition,particularlyinagroprocessing,anationalexportsdevelopmentstrategyisimperativetopowermoreexportsandreduceourtradebalance.ThisstrategyshouldbecloselyalignedtootherexistingframeworkssuchasKITPandIndustrialpoliciesandwilllaydownastrategyforthecountrytoexportmore.

SMEsinparticularneedthesupportofthegovernmentintermsofquality,standards,accesstomarketsandfinanceinordertoattaintheirtruepotentialandsuchastrategywillbemostbeneficialtothem.

Establish exports development long term financingInordertocompeteagainstotherregionalcountriesintheEACandCOMESAregionalblocs,Kenyaneedstoestablishawaytofinanceexports.CountriessuchasEgyptalreadyhaveanexportdevelopmentfundwhichwecannotcompeteagainstandwhichhasprovedverysuccessful.In2016,EgyptdecreaseditsimportsbyUSD7billionandincreaseditsexportsbyUSD1billion.

Withoutanexportsdevelopmentfund,Kenyacannoteffectivelysupportitsnationalexportsdevelopmentstrategysuccessfullynothopetorealiseanimportsubstitutionstrategy.TheefficientandquickverificationofVATrefundswillalsogoalongwaytoensuringexportsarenotjeopardised.

Expand Regional and International Markets Bilateral and Plurilateral negotiationsKenyahasanumberof tradenegotiations thatare stillpendingconclusionsuchas theSpecialStatusAgreementwithEthiopia,theTripartiteFreeTradeArea(TFTA),theratificationoftheEconomicPartnershipAgreement,andtheremovaloftraderestrictionsbetweenKenyaandNigeria.

RegionalIntegrationisstillongoingintheEastAfricanCommunityaspartnerstatesmoveforwardtowardsacommonmarket.

Access to EAC MarketsThe EAC is Kenya’s biggestmarket and as such problems such as Non-tariff barriers, harmonisation of the EACCommonExternalTariffframeworkandothertaxessuchasExciseandVATetc.,allneedtobetackledurgentlyin2017.SinglemarketsareattractivetoinvestorsHarmonisationofrules,regulationsandtaxesreducesnon-tariffbarriers.

Doubletaxationagreements(DTAs)withSouthAfricaneedtobeconcludedwhiletheDTAwithMauritius,ataxhaven,re-examinedtoensurethatKenyaisnotlosingoutondomesticrevenue.

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Targeted promotion of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)Through theSEZACT 2015, Kenya has the proper framework to attractmore foreign direct investment into thecountry.Thishowevercallsforthegovernmenttotargettherightcompaniesandinvestors,createopportunitiesfortheseinvestors,setupthefacilitiesasasoftlandingforinvestorsandofferincentivesforsuchcompaniestosetupheresuchaslowwagecosts.InordertopositionKenyaasanFDIdestination,thecountryshouldtargetexportorientedFDIandensurethetransferoftechnologyandskillsthroughbusinesspartnershipsandsubcontractingwithlocalfirms.

Intervention Areas

Regulations • Implement theSEZACT2015so that free tradezones, industrialparks, freeports, ICTparksagriculturalzones,touristandrecreationalareasbusinessserviceparksandlivestockzoneareestablishedinthecountry

• ReviewtheEACdutyremissionregulations2008andpartFoftheCustomsunionprotocoltofomentintra-regionaltrade

• FinalisethereviewoftheEACCommonExternalTariffandreviewthesensitive listofgoods,staysofapplicationandexemptionsregimewithintheEAC

• EnsureUniformityof• Developthe25standardsprioritisingthemosttradeablegoods• ReviewtheEACRulesofOrigin• RatificationofEPAbyall5partnerstatesbyJanuary2017• ContinueContinentalFTAnegotiations• ConcludeTFTAnegotiationsandratifytheagreement• DeveloptheNationalExportDevelopmentStrategy• AmendtheEliminationofNon-tariffBarrierstoTradeBill

Incentives •OfferExportsFinanceforlocalfirms• Uniformity in the implementation of the Single Customs Territory since Tanzania’simplementationisslightlydifferentfromthatoftheotherpartnersstates

• ReduceComplaintsrelatedtovaluationandclassificationofImportsandexportsspecificallyformanufacturersandclearingagentsastheyarenotclearonhowtodoit

• Fast track the elimination of the current 18NonTariff Barriers in the EAC through strongerIntegrationmechanisms

Information • CampaignstoattractinvestorsinKenyanSEZs• InformManufacturersandSMEsaboutSEZsandtheopportunitiesthatexist• OrganiseTradeSeminarsforManufacturers• CarryoutInvestmentCampaignstoattractforeigninvestorsintothecountryandhowtosetupintheSEZs

• Train manufacturers, particularly SMEs on international certification, labelling and qualitystandardssothatexportsmettherequirementofexportdestinations

• Createawarenessonrequirementsforpermitsandpassesapplications• HoldTradeMissions• HoldSeminarsonIndustrialSparepartsandEACdutyremission,HarmonisationofStandards,TechnicalBarrierstoTrade,Customs,MarineCargoInsurance

• HoldamanufacturingExpo• HoldsensitisationseminarsonAGOAVisaApplications

Public Ownership

• PublicProcurementfromSEZfirms• PublicinfrastructuredevelopmentinSEZs

Key StakeholdersEAC,COMESA,SADC,EuropeanUnion,EPC,MinistryofIndustryTradeandCooperatives,NationalTreasury,CBK.

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Pillar Five: Securing the future of IndustryObjective:GenerateProductiveEmploymentAchieveemployment-intensivegrowththroughthegenerationofemploymentopportunitiesinproductivesectors.

Challenge:Growth isnotgeneratingverymanyproductiveemploymentopportunities.Majorityof thepopulationarepoorbecausetheyarebasedininformalemployment.Skillstaughtininstitutionsdonotmatchskillsrequiredbyindustry.ManufacturingFirmsarealsonotasproductiveastheycouldbe.

Evidence (Indicators):

• Servicefirmsaremoreproductivethanmanufacturingfirms• Labourmisallocationinmanufacturingfirms• Technologicalgapsinthemanufacturingsector• ThelargeproductivitygapinKenyanfirms• Exportingfirmsaremoreproductivethannon-exportingfirms

Agenda Align Kenyan Trade and Industrial Policies to Fiscal policies CoherenceinpolicyisneededinKenyanTrade,IndustrialandFiscalpoliciesasthethreepoliciesdon’ttalktoeachotherinKenya.Areviewofourtradeandindustrialpoliciesshouldbedrivenbyaconcernforourneedsandsmallbutattainabletargets.

Access to affordable long term financing for manufacturing investments WhileKenyamanagedtoattractmoreFDIinvestmentsin2015thanin2014,existingmanufacturingfirmsfinditdifficulttoaccesslongtermcredittoexpandorsetuptheirplants.Itisimportantformanufacturerstohavealternativestobankloans,overdraftsandothercripplingdebtinstrumentswhicharedrivenbytheprofitconcernsofthelenders.

Domestic revenue mobilisation by encouraging people to increase their savings can generate revenue for themanufacturing sector. So far very few manufacturing companies are registered on the Nairobi Stock Exchangewhichmeansthatmanycompaniesareunabletoaccesscapitalfromthepublic.TheestablishmentofanIndustrialDevelopmentFundproposedbyKAMandnowintroducedintothetheKenyaIndustrialTransformationProgrammeshouldbe implemented. Such a fundwould allow the establishmentofmanufacturing enterprises and allow thepromotionofKenyanexports.

Support skills-based job creation agenda Authorities,academicsandteachersmuststepupeffortstoensurethathighereducationmeetstherequirementsofindustry.Thegovernmentshouldreviewcurriculatobedemanddrivenandbetteradaptedtoindustrialneeds.Schooladministrators should pursue innovative approaches to stimulate the interaction between students and industryduringtheirperiodofstudycombinedwithproblembasedlearningbringinginproblemsfromthe“outsideworld”.

TheprivatesectorhasexpresseditsinterestinsupportinginitiativestoestablishIndustryapprenticeshipprogramswhereuniversityandtechnicalschoolgraduatesarerecruitedintoindustryandtrained.Moreinvestmentstoscienceandtechnology,researchanddevelopmentandvocationaltrainingarealsoneeded.Further,establishmentofstronglinkages between tertiary institutions and industry would enhance production of competent and market readygraduates.Thegovernment should put particular emphasis on strengtheningNational polytechnics and technicalinstitutes by emulating best practice educational models inGermany. National polytechnics and other technicaltraininginstitutesalsoneedtohavetheirinfrastructureandcurriculaupgradedinordertomeettheneedsofindustry.KAM already supports government in these initiatives and currently runs the KAM Manufacturing Academy topromotethedevelopmentoftechnicalskillsandiscurrentlydevelopingaTVETapprenticeshipprogramtoencouragemanufacturing firms to take on students fromTVET institutions on internship programs so as to promote thedevelopmentofskillswhileundergoingtraining.

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Foment Innovation and technical upgradeInthisage,technologicaldevelopmentsarechangingtheglobalmanufacturinglandscapesorapidlythatit ishardfordevelopingcountriestokeepup. Itwillbedifficult forKenyato industrialisewithouttechnologicalgrowth.Forexample, the 2016 Industrial Development Report estimates that developing nations could earn $0.81 trillion to$1.86trillionperyear throughtheadoptionof the InternetofThings technology.Kenyastands to lose ifprogressinthisaspectisnotmadeingoodtime.Technologyisimportantforthemanufacturingsectorbecauseit increasesproductivity,sometimesexponentiallyandkeepscostsdownandleadstobetterproductsthatcancompete.Itcanalso lead to theproductionofnicheproducts.Because it isdifficult tomeasure technologyadoptionanduse, theindicatorsusedareproxieswhichcangiveanindicationofthestateofcertaindevelopments.

Kenyaalreadyhasinplacetheinstitutionalframeworkrequiredtosupportinnovationandtechnicalupgrades.However,itisimportanttoimplementtheScience,TechnologyandInnovationActof2013andtolookforotherwaysforlocalartisanstolearnfromglobaltechnologysuchassendingstudentsabroad,invitingmultinationalcompaniestosetuplocallyandengagingininternationalexchangesthatcanresultinmoreaccesstonewtechnologyandinnovation.TheuseofICTwillfurtheropenuptheseopportunitiestolearnanddosomethingnew.

Support the growth of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)Many thriving developed nations have a well-developed SMEs that specialise in niche manufacturing and hightechnology activities.These small firms offer specialised services to larger companies and support to their coremanufacturingactivities.Thisisbecauseinsuchnations,backwardandforwardlinkagesarewelldevelopedandallowSMEstotakeadvantageofthespillovereffectsofinteractingwithbiggerandmoredevelopedfirms.

Kenya’sdataonbackwardandforwardlinkagesshowsthelackofsuchlinkagesinmostmanufacturingsubsectorsexcept in the Agricultural sector and the Food and Beverage subsectors, which are key sectors for agro basedeconomies.OurmanufacturingintensityisalsolowbecausemostmanufacturingfirmsinKenyaarelowtechnologyindustrieswitha few falling intomedium-highandmedium- lowcategories. These two factorsare important foracountry todevelop its industrialcapacitiesbecause they touchon theability toabsorbandusenewtechnologythroughskillstransfer.

KenyacangrowitsSMEsbycreating linkagesanddevelopingasubcontractingframeworktodevelopsmallfirms.Byofferingtradefinancetoyoungpeopleandwomen,thegovernmentcancanalsoencouragethesegroupstostartsmallenterprisesinmanufacturingwhichinturncancreatejobsandofferemployment.

Intervention Areas

Regulations • Implementation of the Competence Based Education and Training (CBET) within traininginstitutionwithintheTVETACT2013

• FDIemploymentquotas• Formalisationregulations•Mandatoryeducationrequirements• Business-startupregulations

Incentives • Job-hiringincentives• Cashgrantsforstart-ups• SME-specificinstrumentsandcreditguaranteefacilities• Preferentiallendingforlabor-intensiveactivities• Taxexemptionsforjobhiresorsalaries• Trainingvouchers• Subsidizedapprenticeshipprograms• LandbanksforSMEs

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Information • FormationofSectorSkillsCouncils• Jobmatchingdatabanks• Trainingfortheself-employedandmicroenterprisesinbusinessliteracy• Informationonemploymentintensiveapproachestoproduction• 3Dprinting(DisruptiveTechnology)seminars• SMEsensitisationForumsonstandardsandmarketdevelopment• PopulariseTVETEducationandTrainingthroughSkillsShows

Public Ownership

• Government-runtrainingcentresspecialisingintechnicalmanufacturingskillssuchaswelding,plumbing,fitting,turning,moulding,casting,boileroperationsandplantmaintenance.

• Publicworksprograms• Publicprocurementbasedonemploymentgeneration• Cooperation between Industry and education institutions to ensure thatCompetence BasedEducationandTraining(CBET)

• IndustryinvolvementintheCurriculumDevelopmentofOccupationalStandards

Key StakeholdersIPOA,Counties,MinistryofIndustryTradeandCooperatives,MinistryofEducation,NITA,TVETA.

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Focus on promoting sustainable and inclusive industrialization Ashighlightedbyourthemeandwithinourpillars,KenyaAssociationofManufacturersintendstofocusonpromotingsustainableandinclusiveindustrialisation.ThisalignstheMPA2017totheSDG 11 and Agenda 2063 of the Africa Unionparticularlyonissuesrelatingtothegrowthofthemanufacturingsector,supportingSMEs,greengrowthandtheencouragingwomenandyouthtosetupmanufacturingenterprises.

ThestipulationsofSDG11whichwehavehighlightedarecontainedin5keypointswhicharemainlycoveredinPillar5whichlookstothefutureofthesector.

Agenda2063isthecontinentalblueprintwhichwasdevelopedin2013andlookstoattainsevenaspirationsin50years.Oneoftheseaspirationsis‘anAfricawhosedevelopmentispeopledriven,relyingonthepotentialofferedbypeople,especially its women and youth and caring for children.’Under this aspiration,Agenda 2063 targets that ‘YoungAfricanmenandwomenwillbethepathbreakersoftheAfricanknowledgesocietyandwillcontributesignificantlytoinnovationandentrepreneurship.Thecreativity,energyandinnovationofAfrica’syouthshallbethedrivingforcebehind the continent’s political, social, cultural and economic transformation.’The agenda has as one of its keyflagshipprojecttheContinentalFreeTradeArea(CFTA)andthoughIndustrialisationisnotcoveredexplicitlyintheAgenda,thereareplanstocreateregionalmanufacturinghubsanduseICTforinnovationinthemanufacturingsector.

ThetransformativeshiftsoftheSDGsandtheaspirationsofAgenda2063havebeenadoptedbytheKenyaAssociationofManufacturersparticularlyinPillarFiveandarewovenintoourstrategicvisiontoensurethatwehaveasustainableandinclusivemanufacturingsectorthatcreatesjobsforwomenandtheyouth.

Inparticular,wehavedevelopedanSMEadvisorycenterandarecurrentlyworkingonmentorshipprogramsforSMEcompaniesbybigcompaniesandsubcontractingprojectssothatmorecollaboration isachievedbetweenbigandsmallmanufacturingfirms.WearealsoworkingonaTechnicalandVocationalEducationandTraining(TVET)programtoofferinternshipstoyoungpeopleinthemanufacturingsector.

ThegovernmentofKenyaaccordspreference towomenandyoungpeople in its procurement so that 30%of itsprocurementgoestothesegroups.KAMfullysupportsthisinitiativeandwouldliketoseemoredoneintheseareastoreachouttothefutureofmanufacturing.

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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL 9Buildresilientinfrastructure,promoteinclusiveandsustainableindustrializationandfosterinnovation.

9.1Developquality,reliable,sustainableandresilientinfrastructure,includingregionalandtransborderinfrastructure,tosupporteconomicdevelopmentandhumanwell-being,withafocusonaffordableandequitableaccessforall

9.2Promoteinclusiveandsustainableindustrializationand,by2030,significantlyraiseindustry’sshareofemploymentandgrossdomesticproduct,inlinewithnationalcircumstances,anddoubleitsshareinleastdevelopedcountries

9.3Increasetheaccessofsmall-scaleindustrialandotherenterprises,inparticularindevelopingcountries,tofinancialservices,includingaffordablecredit,andtheirintegrationintovaluechainsandmarkets

9.4By 2030, upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sustainable, with increased resource-useefficiencyandgreateradoptionofcleanandenvironmentallysoundtechnologiesandindustrialprocesses,withallcountriestakingactioninaccordancewiththeirrespectivecapabilities

9.5Enhancescientificresearch,upgradethetechnologicalcapabilitiesofindustrialsectorsinallcountries,inparticulardevelopingcountries,including,by2030,encouraginginnovationandsubstantiallyincreasingthenumberofresearchanddevelopmentworkersper1millionpeopleandpublicandprivateresearchanddevelopmentspending

9.aFacilitatesustainableandresilient infrastructuredevelopment indevelopingcountriesthroughenhancedfinancial,technologicalandtechnicalsupporttoAfricancountries,leastdevelopedcountries,landlockeddevelopingcountriesandsmallislanddevelopingStates

9.bSupportdomestictechnologydevelopment,researchandinnovationindevelopingcountries,includingbyensuringaconducivepolicyenvironmentfor,interalia,industrialdiversificationandvalueadditiontocommodities

9.cSignificantly increase access to information and communications technology and strive to provide universal andaffordableaccesstotheInternetinleastdevelopedcountriesby2020.

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WorldBank(2016).KenyaEconomicUpdate:BeyondResilience.IncreasingProductivityofPublicInvestments.

WorldInvestmentReport(2016).

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Who we areEstablishedin1959,KenyaAssociationofManufacturers(KAM)isthelargestmanufacturingassociationinKenyarepresentingsmallandlargemanufacturersalikeineveryindustrialsector.KAMistheconsistentvoiceofthesectorandtheleadingadvocateforapolicyagendathathelpsmanufacturerstocreatejobsandcompetebothwithinKenya,regionallyandglobally.

Our Vision Tobeaworldclassbusinessmembershiporganisationeffectivelydeliveringservicestoitsmemberswherevertheyoperate

Our MissionTopromotecompetitivelocalmanufacturinginaliberalisedmarket

©2017.AllRightsReserved

ApublicationoftheKenyaAssociationofManufacturers(KAM)

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Kenya Association of Manufacturers15MwanziRoad,WestlandsBox30225–00100,NairobiKenya

Phone:+254(020)2324817,(20)2166657Fax:+254(020)3200030www.kam.co.keTwitter:@KAM_kenyaFacebook:www.facebook.com/KenyaAssociationOfManufacturers