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8/11/2019 Draft LTP Presentation Document
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Long-term Plan 2015 2025Options workshop
Presentations7 July 2014
8/11/2019 Draft LTP Presentation Document
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Feedback following the workshop?If you have any further feedback aftertodays workshop please send itthrough [email protected]
Copies of presentationsElected members: M:\Publications\LTP2015 - 2025\20140707_Options adviceworkshop
Staff: U:\CityWide\Permanent\LTP2015-2025\14 LTP Options 7 Julyworkshop
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Table of contents
A) Mayors Opening Address (Mayor Len Brown)
To be tabled
1
B) Transforming Auckland Stephen Town (CE) 5
C) Opportuni ties to create capacity & deliver better valueAndrew McKenzie (CFO)
To be tabled
19
D) Resourc ing for critical infrastructure 23
Water supply and waste water pricing and efficiencies (Brian Monk) 25
Transport strategic options (David Warburton) 35
Alternate funding (Peter Winder) 41
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Mayors Opening Address(Mayor Len Brown)
1
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To be tabled
3
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4
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Transforming AucklandStephen Town (CE)
5
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LongtermPlan20152025
Transforming
Auckland
Affordabilityrequiresfocusonthe
thingsthatwillmakethemost
difference
Approach
The Mayor has set the political direction
Today provides an overview of the
organisations response
The detail comes later Seven Budget Committee workshops
Local boards and IMSB consider and provide
feedback to the Mayor
Sept 1 Come together to consider Mayoral proposal
Nov 5 - Decision-making for draft LTP
6
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Delivering on our visionThis session will cover:
What were doing to deliver the Auckland Plan
What are we currently doing?
What is planned?
What else could we be doing?
The prioritisation tools that will be used toensure focus and affordability
TheAuckland
Planisourticket
tothe
global
competition
amongstcities
7
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The Auckland Plan
Two
Geographic
Projects
Six
Transformational
Shifts
Auckland
Plan
Outcomes
Prioritisation This LTP needs to align our 10 year budget and our 30
year vision in the Auckland Plan
Ensuring affordability means we cant afford to do
everything now
Lower rates increases will require a significant overall costreduction
Our prioritisation tools are:
1. Six Transformational Shifts
2. Two Geographic Priorities
3. Ten Spatial Priorities
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Prioritisation other things considered
LTP scene setting workshop
Draft Local Board Plans released today
Aspirations for local communities
Public transport and
quality urban living
seen as the key driversof transformation
Transformational Shifts
The six Transformational Shifts
describe the change required to
achieve our vision
PrioritisationTool1
9
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Move to outstanding public transport
within one network
Transf
ormingAuckland
What we do now to deliver this shift
Rail system carries over 11 million trips per year
Bus network carries 53 million trips per year
Integrated ticketing
What is currently planned
Enhance and extend Rapid Transit Network
City Rail Link
57 electric trains
Improve bus and ferry network Improve access to quality PT
Enable and support growth close to PT
Radically improve the quality of urban living
TransformingAuckland
What we currently do
Plan and implement enabling housing (HPO), PAUP, open space,
recreation and facilities network
Influence and design buildings and public spaces
Deliver and operate Community and recreational facilities
Encourage healthy lifestyles parks, facilities, walking/cycling
Transport, water, wastewater, stormwater
What else we could do
Further enhance Aucklands Waterfront
Focus on spatial priorities
Embed Te Aranga Maori Design Principles
Seismic Stabilisation Fund for Privately Owned Heritage Homes
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Significantly lift Mori social and
economic wellbeing
Transf
ormingAuckland
What we currently do
Events
Marae redevelopment and housing initiatives
Identification and protection of sites significant to
Maori
Co-management of parks and reserves
What else we could do
Te Whai Painga - Mori social well-being Te Whai Tiaki Mori cultural well-being
Te Whai Rawa Mori economic well-being
Treaty settlements
Mori effectiveness
Substantially raise the living standards for all Aucklanders
and focus on those most in need
TransformingAuckland
What we currently do
Knowledge, literacy, skills and competencies
Support economic growth at regional and local levels
Investment in events, innovations hubs and tourism infrastructure
Enable healthy, dry and warm homes
Community-based social development initiatives
What else we could do
Auckland Investment Office
Business, Attraction and Employment Growth Fund
Business Growth and Competitiveness
Transforming Aucklands Visitor Economy
Regional Innovation Hubs
Digital Auckland
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Transf
ormingAuckland
Dramatically accelerate the prospects of Aucklands
children and young people
What we currently do and have planned
I am Auckland Implement action plan
Playgrounds and play spaces
Youth development and civic participation
Youth facilities and community programmes
Youth grants and scholarships
Youth connections
What else we could do
Expand Youth connections across Auckland More Aucklanders, More Active, More Often
Auckland Skills and Employment Hub
Strategic Regional Grants Programme (all shifts)
TransformingAuckland
Strongly commit to environmental action and
green growth
What we currently do or have planned
Waste minimisation and resource recovery
Rural fencing and planting
Monitoring, research and investigations
Maintain and optimise storm water network
Plant / animal pest control
Central interceptor Investment in public transport
What else we could do
Waste Minimisation
Low Carbon Auckland
Healthy Waterways
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Discussion/questions?
Geographic Projects
PrioritisationTool2
13
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The Southern Initiative
Transf
ormingAuckland
What we currently do
Deliver, coordinate, facilitate, partner
What is currently planned
A cadetship programme between employers and MIT
Working with central government and NGOs to improve
numeracy and literacy in South Auckland
Support social and affordable housing projects
What else we could do
An integrated TSI Work Programme
City CentreThe City Centre
TransformingAuckland
What we currently do
Shared spaces
Parks and open spaces
Roading, cycling and pedestrian infrastructure
What is currently planned
Planning, design and construction of new shared spaces
Major street transformations - Quay Street, Victoria Street
Wynyard Quarter
Investment in PT infrastructure
Drive residential and commercial investment
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Discussion/ Questions?
LTP
Spatial
Priorities
SHAsNetwork
Requirements
Other
priorities
Auckland Development Strategy
identifies:
growth areas over 30 year
timeframe
network of centres
different roles and scales rural and future urban
areas Spatial prioritisation will enable
Council and CCOs to unlock
growth and development
opportunities
TransformingAuckland
Spatial Priorities
15
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Spatial Priorities
Spatial prioritisation includes:
10 proposed spatial priority areas
Proposed future planning spatial priorities
Special Housing Areas (SHAs)
Network requirements
Other priorities
Provides lens to help prioritise and focus Council and CCO work
programme still investing across Auckland
This spatial prioritisation will inform the next phase of 2015-2025 LTP
New spatial priorities expected around every 5-10 years
Transf
ormingAuckland
Spatial
prioritisationInitial areas of focus
10 proposed spatial
priorities in yellow
Approved SHAs in red
Proposed future
planning spatial
priorities in green
(initial work required
to complete strategic
frameworks)
TransformingAuckland
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Draft local board plans
Transf
ormingAuckland
Emerging themes align to Transformational Shifts
Protect, enhance and restore the natural environment
A transport system that is well connected and offers a range of
options
Communities with a sense of belonging
Places and opportunities for active and healthy lifestyles
Well planned vibrant town centres
Strong local economies
For consideration through this process
Discussion/questions?
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Feedback session 1
Transf
ormingAuckland
Where should our focus lie in
delivering the Auckland Plan in
a financially constrained
environment?
Does our current
plan provide the
right level of
focus on each
priority area?
Of the opportunities identified for
possible investment, what doyou see as the Top 3 to make a
difference?
Are there anygaps?
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Opportunities to create capacity& deliver better valueAndrew McKenzie (CFO)
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To be tabled
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Resourcing for criticalinfrastructure
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LTPOptionsandEvaluationPhase
7July2014
WatercareServicesLimited
FinancialManagementFunding
Funding
Watercareisselffunding noincomefromrates
Preventedbylawfrompayingadividend
Allrevenueisusedtofundourexistingoperationsandto
developnewinfrastructure
Primaryrevenuestreamscomprisewaterandwastewater
revenueandinfrastructure growthcharges(IGCs)whichcover
aportionofnewgrowthbasedcapitalexpenditure.
Watercaresrevenueandfinancingpolicyisalignedwith
AucklandCouncilguidingprinciples equity,transparency,
sustainability,efficiency
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Growth
AucklandCouncilsgrowthforecastsunderpin
Watercaresplanning
Populationgrowthwillincreasedemandfor
potablewater
800,000people(35yearsgrowthatmedium
forecast)
200,000m3/day
additional
water
demand
Growthcapexis42%oftotalcapitalspend
AlignmenttoAucklandCouncil
Plans Wherepossible,Watercareisprioritising
projectstodelivertheadditionalcapacity
requiredtosupportthegrowthprojectedinthe
AucklandPlan,
Unitary
Plan,
Special
Housing
Areas
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AssetManagementPlanning
Driversofcapitalinvestment Renewals: replacementofexistingassetsattheendof
theirlifetomaintaincurrentservicelevels
LevelsofServiceImprovement: upgradingofexistingassetsandtheprovisionofnewassetstomeethigherservicelevels
Growth: 1)upsizingofexistingassetsandtheprovisionofnewinfrastructuretoincreasecapacitytocaterforgrowth
2)Support
Auckland
Councils
plans
Infrastructureprojectsoftenaddressmultipledrivers
CapitalExpenditure
LastAMPforecast$4.8bn20152025
LatestAMPforecasts$4.1bn
Reductionof$700million
Currentyear
AMP
projected
$336
million
Yearendforecast$310million
Watercareisactivelylookingforopportunitiestoreduceexpenditure,optimisecapitalinvestmentanddeliverefficiencysavings
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Financial
Management
Pricing Pricing
Abalancebetweenfuturepriceincreasesanddebtlevelsis
requiredtofundtheAMP
Rangeofpriceincreasesmodelled
Projectedincreasesforwaterandwastewaterarecurrently
lookinglikeapprox.1%realperannum
IGCs
Fundnewgrowthcapitalexpenditure
Partiallysubsidisedbyexistingcustomers
Projectedincreasesatthisstageinlinewithwaterand
wastewater
FinancialManagementDebt
Debt
Alloptionstomitigateoveralldebtlevelsarebeing
reviewedincluding:
AMPexpenditureandtimingofexpenditure
Priceincreases
Expenditureefficiencies
Watercarestreasurystructureallowsaccesstobenefits
availabletoCouncil(lowerinterestrate)while
maintainingtheindependencethatensuresatight
focusonourfinancialobjectives,ourdebtandgearing
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Aucklandsnext
water
source
Waikato
Waikatoriveristheonlymajornextsource
Derisk ArdmoreandRedoubtRoad
Consentforadditional200,000m3/daywatertakelodgedwithWaikatoRegionalCouncillate2013
Lookingtosecureadditionaltakebyend2017
Contributionto
Auckland
Plan:
A
fair,
safe
andhealthyAuckland,wherepeoplevaluethe
excellentservicesandfacilitiesavailable
Whenwillitbeneeded?
Timingofthe2nd Waikatoplantandpipelinedependsonactualdemandvssupply
WaterDemandinfluencedbymanyfactors difficulttoforecastaccurately Climate
Demandsavings
(factored
in
15%
savings
to
2025)
Rateofpopulationgrowth
Customerbehaviours
Supplysidevariations Plantavailability
Lake(source)availability algalblooms
Peakcapacityaugmentation
Couldberequiredasearlyas2021
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Timingof
2nd
WaikatoPlant
&
Pipeline
TimingRiskMitigationPlans
HuiaWTPReplacement
Eliminatesludgebottleneckatexistingplant
Removeaverageandpeakcapacityconstraint
BoostpumpingexistingWaikatofrom150,000to
175,000m3/day
under
consideration
Requiresconsentforadditionaltake
Requiressecuringresourceconsentfortakeofwater
treatmentplantandnewpipeline
Planningandpreliminarydesignfor2nd PlantandPipelineFY20152016
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CentralInterceptor
Project
ReplacementfortheHillsboroughTunnelandManukauSiphon(Enterpriserisksassinglepointsoffailure)
ProvidescapacityforgrowthforInnerWestIsthmus,CentralCBDandEasternsuburbs
Reducesthefrequencyandvolumeofoverflowsfromthecombinedseweragesystem
ContributiontoAucklandPlanAgreenAuckland,
where
our
waterways
and
coastlines
are
clean
andfulloflife
NoadditionalriskstoManukauorWaitemataharboursactuallyreducesrisks
SchemeTiming
Mainspinetunnelcurrentlyprogrammedtobecompletein2023
CollectorsewersconnectingCSOstomaintunnelprogrammedtobecompletein2034
Schemetiming
could
be
modified
to
defer
capitalexpenditure
2Stageconstruction
Stage1fromMangereWWTPtoMaysRoad(toaddressEnterpriserisk)
Stage2fromMaysRoadtoWesternSprings
willdefercapitalbutathighertotalandNPVcost,limitsgrowthanddelaysenvironmentalimprovements
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CentralInterceptor
InService2023
CentralInterceptorOption
Constructin
Stages
CSOCollectorSewers
Progressivelyinservicefrom2025to2033
CentralInterceptor:Possiblealternative
staging
Stage1:MangereWTPtoMayRoad
Stage2:
May
Road
to
Western
Springs
AdditionalStagingCost
Demobilisation/Remobilisation
Additionalcivilworks
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3
AP & Basic Transpor t Networks 30yr Spend Profi le
Airport Rail Line and Mt Roskill Rail Spur Parnell Station and electrification Papakura to Pukekohe
Penlink and funding for regional arterials (e.g. Lake Road, GreatNorth Road, Great South Road, Mill Road)
Walking and cycling initiatives 20% less of the cycle networkdelivered by 2025
Higher amenity and customer friendly infrastructure supporting thenew integrated PT network
50% funding to remove rail level crossings North Western Busway and other bus rapid transit improvements 60% less funding for greenfield growth areas in second and third
decades Reduced renewal funding leads to decreased asset condition over
time and increased maintenance
AP Transport Netwo rk
Basic Transport Network
$m
$m
Example projects in the AP Transport Network
CRL completed Half Airport Rail Line & Mt Roskill Rail Spur or equivalent Regional arterial improvements Walking and cycling initiatives 60% of cycle network by 2025 Customer focussed new integrated PT network completed Funding to support removal of rail level crossings Rollout of busways and bus rapid transit in the North West and
South East Full delivery of transport infrastructure for greenfields Full funding to renew transport assets (to deliver existing levels of
service)
Under Auckland Plan priorit isation, projects unlikely inthe Basic Transport Network
AC providedenvelope inclNZTAsubsidy to AT(ExclsCRLand EMUs)
4
Level of service 2
No assets worse thancondition grade 4
Level of service 2
No assets worse thancondition grade 4
Increasin
grisksafety,public
perceptio
n,networkperformance
Renewals expenditure tomaintain level of service
Increasing m aintenance costs as conditi on deteriorates
New
Maintenancecosts $
Possible delay
Years
No delayBridge
Footpath
Optimising asset management / renewals
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5
Project lifecycle new capital
Glenfield Road Corridor Upgrade
Dominion Road Corridor Upgrade
6
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Auckland PlanTransport Network
BasicTransport Network
Renewals ActiveSystems, Local Board Initiatives etc SafetyRoads PT - other PT - EMUs PT - CRL
4yr CAPEX (2014/15 2017/18)
$b
Set as a response to AucklandPlan transport targets
Set basedon AucklandCouncilreducedfundingenvelope(2.5% rates)
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7
Potential 2014/15 Impacts
Reducedspendonrenewalsbasedon$45mreduction:
30%(70km)reductioninfootpathandcycleways pa
20%(90km)reductioninroadrehabilitationandresealingpa
30%reductioninspendonroading projects
40%reductioninspendonPTprojects(exclCRLandEMUs)
30%
reduction
in
spend
on
walking
and
cycling
initiatives
8
Challenges - transport
Industry
- impact on the construction sector
- productivity and momentum
- programme cant be turned on and off
PT new network infrastructure and services, limited RTN
Assets - levels of service
Freight economic impact on freight and commercial vehicle movement
Congestion managing a more congested roading network
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9
Challenges community / funders Community - expectation management
Reduced jobs
Growth supporting projected population growth acrossAuckland
Messaging to funders
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AlternativeTransportFunding
Phase2
IndependentAdvisoryBody
FormerlytheConsensusBuildingGroup
Newnamereflectstheneedtoactasan
advisortocouncilwhileretaining
independenceduring
the
LTP
consultation
period.
Theirroleistodeveloptwopotentialfunding
pathwaysforconsiderationbytheGoverning
Body.
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ProjectAim
TosupporttheGoverningBodytomakea
decisioninJune2015aspartoftheadoption
ofthe20152025LongTermPlan,onhowto
respondtotherecommendationsfromthe
CBG,byundertakingfurtherworktorefinethe
choiceoffundingpathway.
Projectobjectives
Tocompletetheanalysis,evaluationand
reportingnecessarytoenabletheGoverning
Bodytomakeaninformedandrobustdecision
over
which
funding
pathways
to
include
in
theDraftLongTermPlaninDecember2014.
Toproviderobust,evidencebasedadvicetothe
GoverningBodyonwhichfundingpathwaysto
includeforconsultationintheDraftLongTerm
Plan,basedontheviewoftheIAB.
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TheIAB
StewartMilne(Chairman)
GarryTaylor(EDS)
StephenSelwood(NZCID)
KimCampbell(AucklandBusinessForum)
TonyGarnier(AucklandBusinessForum)
ShaunAwatere(LandcareResearch)
DonnaWynd(ChildPovertyAction)
RobertReid(FirstUnion)
CameronPitches(CampaignforBetterTransport)
DavidAitken
(National
Road
Carriers)
PaulShortland(CycleActionAuckland)
AndySmith(WalkAuckland)
SimonLambourne(AIAL)
AucklandPlanTransportNetwork(withnewfunding)
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BasicTransportNetwork(without
new
funding)
FundingGapProfile
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Approachto
LTP
Transport Network StatusQuo(low
investment)
Existing toolsfunding
pathway
high
investment
Roadchargingfunding
pathway
high
investment
BasicTransport
Network
Auckland Plan
TransportNetwork
Fundamentalchoices:
Twolevelsofinvestment
Twofundingpathwaysforhighinvestment
FundingPathwayOptions
1. ExistingTools:
SignificantincreaseinRates,FuelExciseandRUCplus
Tollsonnewroads(i.e.Penlink,ornewHarbourCrossing)
Usesexistingfundingmechanisms
Exploringdifferent
targeted
rates
Exploringregionalvnationalfueltax
2. RoadCharging:
SingleCordon,IsthmusCordon,MotorwayNetwork
Charges
Motorwaynetworkchargeisthemostpromising
Requireslegislation
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Investigations RoadChargingSchemeDesignDeloitte
Stage1drawsoninternationalexperience
Stage2willdevelopanAucklandoperatingmodelandcostconstructionandoperation
ImpactonBusiness&Households MarketEconomics
Targetedinterviews
Econometricmodelingtodemonstrateimpactsandpossiblemitigation
Investigations
TransportSystemModelling Council,AT
UsesCouncilsART3model
SupportedbyAT
Exploringoptions
for
more
detailed
networkmodels
EvaluationandEconomicAnalysis
Multicriteriaassessmentprocess
EconomicevaluationbasedonNZTAmethod