Draft Kit 2010

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    TOP 200 RANKINGS...........................................................................................................

    RANKINGS BY POSITION......................................................................................................

    QUARTERBACK SEASON PROFILES..........................................................................................

    RUNNING BACK SEASON PROFILES.........................................................................................

    WIDE RECEIVER SEASON PROFILES........................................................................................

    TIGHT END SEASON PROFILES...............................................................................................

    KICKER SEASON PROFILES...................................................................................................

    TEAM DEFENSE SEASON PROFILES.........................................................................................

    INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE PLAYER SEASON PROFILES.....................................................................

    SLEEPERS & UNDERVALUED PLAYERS.....................................................................................

    BUSTS & OVERVALUED PLAYERS...........................................................................................

    IMPACT ROOKIES..............................................................................................................

    POSITION JOB BATTLES......................................................................................................

    TEAM DEPTH CHARTS........................................................................................................

    TEAM TENDENCIES............................................................................................................

    PLAYER STATS & 3-YEAR AVERAGES.......................................................................................

    PLAYER GRAPEVINE..........................................................................................................

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

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    1. Chris Johnson, RB, TEN

    2. Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN

    3. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC4. Ray Rice, RB, BAL

    5. Michael Turner, RB, ATL

    6. Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB

    7. Drew Brees, QB, NO

    8. Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT

    9. Ryan Mathews, RB, SD

    10. Pierre Thomas, RB, NO

    11. Frank Gore, RB, SF

    12. Andre Johnson, WR, HOU

    13. Randy Moss, WR, NE

    14. Peyton Manning, QB, IND

    15. Tom Brady, QB, NE

    16. Tony Romo, QB, DAL

    17. Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARZ

    18. Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL

    19. Brandon Marshall, WR, MIA

    20. Ryan Grant, RB, GB

    21. Steven Jackson, RB, STL

    22. Jamaal Charles, RB, KC

    23. Knowshon Moreno, RB, DEN

    24. Calvin Johnson, WR, DET

    25. Miles Austin, WR, DAL

    26. Greg Jennings, WR, GB

    27. Roddy White, WR, ATL

    28. Reggie Wayne, WR, IND

    29. Philip Rivers, QB, SD

    30. Chris Wells, RB, ARZ31. Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ

    32. Antonio Gates, TE, SD

    33. Vernon, Davis, TE, SF

    34. Steve Smith, WR, CAR

    35. Marques Colston, WR, NO

    36. DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI

    37. Sidney Rice, WR, MIN

    38. Michael Crabtree, WR, SF

    39. Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG

    40. Robert Meachem WR, NO

    41. Steven Smith, WR, NYG

    42. Dallas Clark, TE, IND

    43. Jahvid Best, RB, DET

    44. DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR

    45. LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI

    46. Cedric Benson, RB, CIN

    47. Matt Schaub, QB, HOU

    48. Eli Manning, QB, NYG

    49. Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR

    50. Brandon Jacobs, RB, NYG

    51. Ronnie Brown, RB, MIA

    52. Joseph Addai, RB, IND

    53. Felix Jones, RB, DAL54. Hines Ward, WR, PIT

    55. Mike Sims-Walker, WR, JAC

    56. Malcom Floyd, WR, SD

    57. Montario Hardesty, RB, CLE

    58. Cadillac Williams, RB, TB

    59. Ben Tate, RB, HOU

    60. Jermichael Finley, TE, GB

    61. Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL

    62. Brent Celek, TE, PHI

    63. Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC

    64. Chad Ochocinco, WR, CIN

    65. Pierre Garcon, WR, IND

    66. Joe Flacco, QB, BAL

    67. Matt Ryan, QB, ATL

    68. Jay Cutler, QB, CHI

    69. Kevin Kolb, QB, PHI

    70. Marion Barber, RB, DAL

    71. Darren McFadden, RB, OAK

    72. Clinton Portis, RB, WAS

    73. Steve Slaton, RB, HOU

    74. Owen Daniels, TE, HOU

    75. Visanthe Shiancoe, TE, MIN

    76. Antonio Bryant, WR, CIN

    77. Lee Evans, WR, BUF

    78. Braylon Edwards, WR, NYJ

    79. Percy Harvin, WR, MIN

    80. Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI81. Matt Forte, RB, CHI

    82. Justin Forsett, RB, SEA

    83. Kenny Britt, WR, TEN

    84. Dez Bryant, WR, DAL

    85. Santana Moss, WR, WAS

    86. Donald Driver, WR, GB

    87. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, SEA

    88. Chris Chambers, WR, KC

    89. Kellen Winslow, TE, TB

    90. Jason Witten, TE, DAL

    91. Laurence Maroney, RB, NE

    92. Thomas Jones, RB, KC

    93. Ricky Williams, RB, MIA

    94. Mike Wallace, WR, PIT

    95. Devin Thomas, WR, WAS

    96. Devin Hester, WR, CHI

    97. Johnny Knox, WR, CHI

    98. Mohamed Massaquoi, WR, CLE

    99. Alex Smith, QB, SF

    100. Donovan McNabb, QB, WAS

    101. Reggie Bush, RB, NO

    102. Brian Westbrook, RB, FA

    103. Julian Edelman, WR, NE104. Terrell Owens, WR, FA

    105. Derrick Mason, WR, BAL

    106. Wes Welker, WR, NE

    107. Vincent Jackson, WR, SD

    108. New York Jets, DEF

    109. San Francisco 49ers, DEF

    110. Minnesota Vikings, DEF

    111. Baltimore Ravens, DEF

    112. Carson Palmer, QB, CIN

    113. Tim Hightower, RB, ARZ

    114. Marshawn Lynch, RB, BUF

    115. Derrick Ward, RB, TB

    116. Chad Henne, QB, MIA

    117. Matthew Stafford, QB, DET

    118. Austin Collie, WR, IND

    119. Steve Breaston, WR, ARZ

    120. Torry Holt, WR, NE

    121. Zach Miller, TE, OAK

    122. John Carlson, TE, SEA

    123. David Garrard, QB, JAC

    124. Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT

    125. Brett Favre, QB, MIN

    126. Nate Kaeding, K, SD

    127. Santonio Holmes, WR, NYJ

    128. Jerricho Cotchery, WR, NYJ

    129. Kevin Walter, WR, HOU

    130. Jabar Gaffney, WR, DEN131. Greg Olsen, TE, CHI

    132. Heath Miller, TE, PIT

    133. Kevin Boss, TE, NYG

    134. Michael Bush, RB, OAK

    135. C.J. Spiller, RB, BUF

    136. Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG

    137. Devin Aromashodu, WR, CHI

    138. Roy Williams, WR, DAL

    139. Garrett Hartley, K, NO

    140. Matt Moore, QB, CAR

    141. Vince Young, QB, TEN

    142. Kyle Orton, QB, DEN

    143. Chester Taylor, RB, CHI

    144. Willis McGahee, RB, BAL

    145. Jerome Harrison, RB, CLE

    146. Donnie Avery, WR, STL

    147. Arrelious Benn, WR, TB

    148. Mario Manningham, WR, NYG

    149. Garrett Hartley, K, NO

    150. Carolina Panthers, DEF

    151. Green Bay Packers, DEF

    152. Dallas Cowboys, DEF

    153. Denver Broncos, DEF154. Mason Crosby, K, GB

    155. Stephen Gostkowski, K,NE

    156. Eddie Royal, WR, DEN

    157. Chaz Schilens, WR, OAK

    158. Bernard Berrian, WR, MIN

    159. Nate Burleson, WR, DET

    160. Chris Cooley, TE, WAS

    161. Fred Davis, TE, WAS

    162. Jeremy Shockey, TE, NO

    163. Ben Watson, TE, CLE

    164. David Akers, PHI, K

    165. Matt Cassel, QB, KC

    166. Jason Campbell, QB, OAK

    167. LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, NY

    168. Larry Johnson, RB, WAS

    169. Demaryius Thomas, WR, DE

    170. Justin Gage, WR, TEN

    171. Devery Henderson, WR, NO

    172. Anthony Gonzalez, WR, IN

    173. New England Patriots, DEF

    174. Ryan Longwell, K, MIN

    175. Dan Carpenter, K, MIA

    176. Lawrence Tynes, K, NYG

    177. Jacoby Jones, WR, HOU

    178. Golden Tate, WR, SEA

    179. Deion Branch, WR, SEA

    180. Pittsburgh Steelers, DEF181. Mark Sanchez, QB, NYJ

    182. Matt Leinart, QB, ARZ

    183. Matt Hasselbeck, QB, SEA

    184. Laurent Robinson, WR, ST

    185. Josh Morgan, WR, SF

    186. Washington Redskins, DEF

    187. San Diego Chargers, DEF

    188. Chicago Bears, DEF

    189. Robbie Gould, K, CHI

    190. Josh Freeman, QB, TB

    191. Sam Bradford, QB, STL

    192. Trent Edwards, QB, BUF

    193. Dustin Keller, TE, NYJ

    194. Todd Heap, TE, BAL

    195. Tony Scheffler, TE, DEN

    196. Jake Delhomme, QB, CLE

    197. Tarvaris Jackson, QB, MIN

    198. Matt Prater, K, DEN

    199. Rob Bironas, K, TEN

    200. Matt Bryant, K, ATL

    TOP 200 RANKINGS

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    QUARTERBACK

    1. Aaron Rodgers, GB

    2. Drew Brees, NO3. Peyton Manning, IND

    4. Tom Brady, NE

    5. Tony Romo, DAL

    6. Philip Rivers, SD

    7. Matt Schaub, HOU

    8. Eli Manning, NYG

    9. Joe Flacco, BAL

    10. Matt Ryan, ATL

    11. Jay Cutler, CHI

    12. Kevin Kolb, PHI

    13. Alex Smith, SF

    14. Donovan McNabb, WAS

    15. Carson Palmer, CIN

    16. Chad Henne, MIA17. Matthew Stafford, DET

    18. David Garrard, JAC

    19. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT

    20. Brett Favre, MIN

    21. Matt Moore, CAR

    22. Vince Young, TEN

    23. Kyle Orton, DEN

    24. Matt Cassel, KC

    25. Jason Campbell, OAK

    26. Mark Sanchez, NYJ

    27. Matt Leinart, ARZ

    28. Matt Hasselbeck, SEA

    29. Josh Freeman, TB

    30. Sam Bradford, STL

    31. Trent Edwards, BUF

    32. Jake Delhomme, CLE

    33. Tarvaris Jackson, MIN

    34. Byron Leftwich, CLE

    35. Brady Quinn, DEN

    RUNNING BACK

    1. Chris Johnson, TEN

    2. Adrian Peterson, MIN

    3. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC

    4. Ray Rice, BAL

    5. Michael Turner, ATL6. Rashard Mendenhall, PIT

    7. Ryan Mathews, SD

    8. Pierre Thomas, NO

    9. Frank Gore, SF

    10. Ryan Grant, GB

    11. Steven Jackson, STL

    12. Jamaal Charles, KC

    13. Knowshon Moreno, DEN

    14. Chris Wells, ARZ

    15. Shonn Greene, NYJ

    16. Jahvid Best, DET

    17. DeAngelo Williams, CAR

    18. LeSean McCoy, PHI

    19. Cedric Benson, CIN

    20. Jonathan Stewart, CAR

    21. Brandon Jacobs, NYG

    22. Ronnie Brown, MIA

    23. Joseph Addai, IND

    24. Felix Jones, DAL

    25. Montario Hardesty, CLE

    26. Cadillac Williams, TB

    27. Ben Tate, HOU

    28. Marion Barber, DAL

    29. Darren McFadden, OAK

    30. Clinton Portis, WAS

    31. Steve Slaton, HOU

    32. Matt Forte, CHI

    33. Justin Forsett, SEA

    34. Laurence Maroney, NE35. Thomas Jones, KC

    36. Ricky Williams, MIA

    37. Reggie Bush, NO

    38. Brian Westbrook, FA

    39. Tim Hightower, ARZ

    40. Marshawn Lynch, BUF

    41. Derrick Ward, TB

    42. Michael Bush, OAK

    43. C.J. Spiller, BUF

    44. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG

    45. Chester Taylor, CHI

    46. Willis McGahee, BAL

    47. Jerome Harrison, CLE

    48. LaDainian Tomlinson, NYJ49. Larry Johnson, WAS

    50. Donald Brown, IND

    WIDE RECEIVER

    1. Andre Johnson, HOU

    2. Randy Moss, NE

    3. Larry Fitzgerald, ARZ

    4. Anquan Boldin, BAL

    5. Brandon Marshall, MIA

    6. Calvin Johnson, DET

    7. Miles Austin, DAL

    8. Greg Jennings, GB

    9. Roddy White, ATL

    10. Reggie Wayne, IND

    11. Steve Smith, CAR

    12. Marques Colston, NO

    13. DeSean Jackson, PHI

    14. Sidney Rice, MIN

    15. Michael Crabtree, SF

    16. Hakeem Nicks, NYG

    17. Robert Meachem, NO

    18. Steven Smith, NYG

    19. Hines Ward, PIT

    20. Mike Sims-Walker, JAC

    21. Malcom Floyd, SD

    22. Dwayne Bowe, KC

    23. Chad Ochocinco, CIN

    24. Pierre Garcon, IND

    25. Antonio Bryant, CIN

    26. Lee Evans, BUF

    27. Braylon Edwards, NYJ

    28. Percy Harvin, MIN

    29. Jeremy Maclin, PHI

    30. Kenny Britt, TEN

    31. Dez Bryant, DAL

    32. Santana Moss, WAS

    33. Donald Driver, GB

    34. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, SEA

    35. Chris Chambers, KC

    36. Mike Wallace, PIT

    37. Devin Thomas, WAS38. Devin Hester, CHI

    39. Johnny Knox, CHI

    40. Mohamed Massaquoi, CLE

    41. Julian Edelman, NE

    42. Terrell Owens, FA

    43. Derrick Mason, BAL

    44. Wes Welker, NE

    45. Vincent Jackson, SD

    46. Austin Collie, IND

    47. Steve Breaston, ARZ

    48. Torry Holt, NE

    49. Santonio Holmes, NYJ

    50. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ

    51. Kevin Walter, HOU52. Jabar Gaffney, DEN

    53. Devin Aromashodu, CHI

    54. Roy Williams, DAL

    55. Donnie Avery, STL

    56. Arrelious Benn, TB

    57. Mario Manningham, NYG

    58. Eddie Royal, DEN

    59. Chaz Schilens, OAK

    60. Bernard Berrian, MIN

    61. Nate Burleson, DET

    62. Demaryius Thomas, DEN

    63. Justin Gage, TEN

    64. Devery Henderson, NO

    65. Anthony Gonzalez, IND

    66. Jacoby Jones, HOU

    67. Golden Tate, SEA

    68. Deion Branch, SEA

    69. Laurent Robinson, STL

    70. Josh Morgan, SF

    71. Brian Hartline, MIA

    72. Greg Camarillo, MIA

    73. Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAK

    74. Louis Murphy, OAK

    75. Josh Cribbs, CLE

    TIGHT END

    1. Antonio Gates, SD

    2. Vernon Davis, SF3. Dallas Clark, IND

    4. Jermichael Finley, GB

    5. Tony Gonzalez, ATL

    6. Brent Celek, PHI

    7. Owen Daniels, HOU

    8. Visanthe Shiancoe, MIN

    9. Kellen Winslow, TB

    10. Jason Witten, DAL

    11. Zach Miller, OAK

    12. John Carlson, SEA

    13. Greg Olsen, CHI

    14. Heath Miller, PIT

    15. Kevin Boss, NYG

    16. Chris Cooley, WAS17. Fred Davis, WAS

    18. Jeremy Shockey, NO

    19. Ben Watson, CLE

    20. Todd Heap, BAL

    21. Dustin Keller, NYJ

    22. Tony Scheffler, DEN

    23. Marcedes Lewis, JAC

    24. Brandon Pettigrew, DET

    25. Bo Scaife, TEN

    KICKER

    1. Nate Kaeding, SD

    2. Garrett Hartley, NO

    3. Mason Crosby, GB

    4. Stephen Gostkowski, NE

    5. David Akers, PHI

    6. Ryan Longwell, MIN

    7. Dan Carpenter, MIA

    8. Lawrence Tynes, NYG

    9. Robbie Gould, CHI

    10. Matt Prater, DEN

    11. Rob Bironas, TEN

    12. Matt Bryant, ATL

    13. Ryan Succop, KC

    14. David Buehler, DAL

    15. Adam Vinatieri, IND16. Jay Feely, ARZ

    17. Billy Cundiff, BAL

    18. Joe Nedney, SF

    19. Jeff Reed, PIT

    20. Nick Folk, NYJ

    21. John Kasay, CAR

    22. Graham Gano, WAS

    23. Olindo Mare, SEA

    24. Jason Hanson, DET

    25. Sebastian Janikowski, OAK

    26. Phil Dawson, CLE

    RANKINGS BY POSITION

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    27. Rian Lindell, BUF

    28. Josh Brown, STL

    29. Josh Scobee, JAC

    30. Connor Barth, TB

    31. Neil Rackers, HOU32. Mike Nugent, CIN

    DEFENSE

    1. New York Jets

    2. San Francisco 49ers

    3. Minnesota Vikings

    4. Baltimore Ravens

    5. Carolina Panthers

    6. Green Bay Packers

    7. Dallas Cowboys

    8. Denver Broncos

    9. New England Patriots

    10. Pittsburgh Steelers

    11. Washington Redskins

    12. San Diego Chargers

    13. Chicago Bears

    14. Philadelphia Eagles

    15. Arizona Cardinals

    16. Cincinnati Bengals

    17. Atlanta Falcons

    18. Miami Dolphins

    19. Indianapolis Colts

    20. Oakland Raiders

    21. Buffalo Bills

    22. New Orleans Saints

    23. Cleveland Browns24. New York Giants

    25. Houston Texans

    26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    27. Tennessee Titans

    28. Seattle Seahawks

    29. Jacksonville Jaguars

    30. St. Louis Rams

    31. Kansas City Chiefs

    32. Detroit Lions

    LINEBACKERS& DEFENSIVE LINEMEN

    1. Patrick Willis, SF, LB

    2. Jon Beason, CAR, LB

    3. Barrett Ruud, TB, LB

    4. London Feltcher, WAS, LB

    5. D'Qwell Jackson, CLE, LB

    6. David Harris, NYJ, LB

    7. Paul Posluszny, BUF, LB

    8. Kirk Morrison, JAC, LB

    9. James Laurinaitis, STL, LB

    10. Jerod Mayo, NE, LB

    11. D.J. Williams, DEN, LB

    12. Curtis Lofton, ATL, LB

    13. Ray Lewis, BAL, LB

    14. DeMeco Ryans, HOU, LB

    15. Brian Cushing, HOU, LB16. Jonathan Vilma, NO, LB

    17. Stephen Tulloch, TEN, LB

    18. Lance Briggs, CHI, LB

    19. Dhani Jones, CIN, LB

    20. Bradie James, DAL, LB

    21. DeMarcus Ware, DAL, LB

    22. Nick Barnett, GB, LB

    23. Rolando McClain, OAK, LB

    24. Demorrio Williams, KC, LB

    25. Gary Brackett, IND, LB

    26. E.J. Henderson, MIN, LB

    27. Karlos Dansby, MIA, LB

    28. Clint Session, IND, LB

    29. Lawrence Timmons, PIT, LB30. Michael Boley, NYG, LB

    31. James Harrison, PIT, LB

    32. Keith Brooking, DAL, LB

    33. Geno Hayes, TB, LB

    34. Keith Bulluck, FA, LB

    35. Calvin Pace, NYJ, LB

    36. James Farrior, PIT, LB

    37. Chad Greenway, MIN, LB

    38. Stephen Cooper, SD, LB

    39. Trent Cole, PHI, DE

    40. LaMarr Woodley, PIT, LB

    41. Jared Allen, MIN, DE

    42. Andra Davis, BUF, LB43. Keith Ellison, BUF, LB

    44. Lofa Tatupu, SEA, LB

    45. David Hawthorne, SEA, LB

    46. Justin Tuck, NYG, DE

    47. Kevin Burnett, SD, LB

    48. Mike Peterson, ATL, LB

    49. Larry Foote, PIT, LB

    50. Mario Williams, TEX, DE

    DEFENSIVE BACKS

    1. Yeremiah Bell, MIA, S

    2. Tyvon Branch, OAK, S

    3. Bernard Pollard, HOU, S4. Erik Coleman, ATL, S

    5. Eric Weddle, SD, S

    6. Louis Delmas, DET, S

    7. Roman Harper, NO, S

    8. Dashon Goldson, SF, S

    9. Antoine Bethea, IND, S

    10. Terrell Thomas, NYG, CB

    11. Eric Berry, KC, S

    12. Earl Thomas, SEA, S

    13. T.J. Ward, CLE, S

    14. Quintin Mikell, PHI, S

    15. Charles Woodson, GB, CB

    16. Brandon Meriweather, NE, S17. LaRon Landry, WAS, S

    18. O.J. Atogwe, STL, S

    19. Ryan Clark, PIT, S

    20. Dawan Landry, BAL, S

    21. Michael Lewis, SF, S

    22. Chinedum Ndukwe, CIN, S

    23. Antoine Winfield, MIN, CB

    24. Brian Dawkins, DEN, S

    25. Roy Williams, CIN, S

    26. Chris Hope, TEN, S

    27. Charles Tillman, CHI, CB

    28. Kerry Rhodes, ARZ, S

    29. Richard Marshall, CAR, CB30. James Butler, STL, S

    31. Tanard Jackson, TB, S

    32. Antrel Rolle, NYG, S

    34. Nick Collins, GB, S

    34. Jonathan Joseph, CIN, CB

    35. Abram Elam, CIN, S

    36. Adrian Wilson, ARZ, S

    37. Donte Whitner, BUF, S

    38. Ronde Barber, TB, CB

    39. Darren Sharper, NO, S

    40. Nick Harper, FA, CB

    41. Danieal Manning, CHI, S

    42. Gibril Wilson, CIN, S

    43. Kelvin Hayden, IND, CB

    44. Bryan Scott, BUF, S

    45. George Wilson, BUF, S

    46. Jordan Babineaux, SEA, S

    47. Mike Brown, FA, S

    48. Reed Doughty, WAS, S

    49. Melvin Bullitt, IND, S

    50. Kenny Phillips, NYG, S

    RANKINGS BY POSITION (cont...)

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    1. Aaron Rodgers, GBIn his second year as starter, Rodgers built upon the success of his

    first year, increasing his touchdown production (28 to 30) while cut-ting his interceptions in half (13 in 2008, only 7 in 2009). Relativeyouth and remaining projectability give him top rank among fieldgenerals.

    2. Drew Brees, NOHes not the first QB on this list, but he isnt far off, either. Breeshas thrown for 34 touchdowns each of the last two years, nor is theNew Orleans offense any weaker this year. Thats what helps sepa-rate him from the rest of the pack.

    3. Peyton Manning, INDManning has thrown the ball at least 550 times in three of the previ-ous four seasons, nor does that trend seem likely to stop in 2010.Fantasy owners might be worried about Mannings slightly inflated

    interception totals from last year (16), but that number is likely toregress.

    4. Tom Brady, NEIf you throw out the one giant year, and also the one completely lostto injury, Bradys been pretty much the same guy since 2003. Oneadvantage entering 2010: Brady hasnt spent the offseason rehab-bing. That might mean be cause for a slight improvement over lastyears already-fine numbers.

    5. Tony Romo, DALRomo preserved his touchdown total from 2008 (26) while cuttinghis interceptions by five this, despite playing three more games.Still, its good to be a little suspicious of any player who sets career

    highs as a 29-year-old.

    6. Philip Rivers, SDRivers has the skills to be ranked higher than this, but consider: afull 17 quarterbacks threw more passes than Rivers in 2009. In fact,Rivers has never topped the 500-pass threshold in a season. Now,with the fresh-faced Ryan Mathews replacing a hobbled LaDainianTomlinson, the chances of Rivers surpassing 500 are even lower.

    7. Matt Schaub, HOUJust as Rivers suffers from too-few pass attempts, Schaubs fanta-sy value is perhaps overstated by the sheer number of attemptshes bound to make. In 2009, Schaub led the NFL with 583attempts. Its good for Schaub that 170 of those were in AndreJohnsons direction.

    8. Eli Manning, NYGManning enters 2010 with something he didnt have at the samepoint last year: two dependable, talented receivers. With HakeemNiks going long and Steven Smith running underneath, therell beplenty of opportunities for Manning to find targets.

    9. Joe Flacco, BALThe Ravens have traditionally been a run-first team that much isobvious. But with Flaccos 2009 breakout and the additions of bothAnquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth, theres reason to thinkFlaccos fantasy stock is on the rise.

    10. Matt Ryan, ATLRyans success as a rookie was undermined slightly by his sopho-

    more season, which saw him battle turf toe en route to a decreasedyard-per-attempt rate (7.9 down to 6.5). Still, the young QB finishedthe season averaging 35 attempts over his last three games, withsix TDs against only two INTs.

    11. Jay Cutler, CHICutlers poor rate of touchdowns to interceptions (27 to 26 in 2009)doesnt necessarily speak well of his performance. Still, most fanta-sy leagues subtract only a single point for interceptions whileawarding either four or six for a touchdown. That makes Cutlersgambling worthwhile.

    12. Kevin Kolb, PHIMcNabbs departure leaves Kolb as the No. 1 quarterback onPhillys depth chart. With coach Andy Reids pass-oriented offense

    and a decent showing during Donovan McNabbs early-season ribinjury, Kolb is likely rosterable even in shallow leagues.

    13. Alex Smith, SFProrated over the course of a full year, Smiths 372 pass attemptsthrough 11 games in 2009 would come out to about 541. That totalwouldve placed him tied for sixth in the entire NFL with AaronRodgers and Kyle Orton.

    14. Donovan McNabb, WASApart from his 31-TD performance in 2004, McNabb has generallybeen lucky to top the 20-TD threshold, instead playing a more con-trolled game. Even with a new team and coach (Redskins, MikeShanahan) thats unlikely to change.

    15. Carson Palmer, CINEven discounting his injury-plagued 2008, when he played onlyeight games, Palmers TD numbers have been trending the wrongway, proceeding this way since 2005: 32, 28, 26, 21. Yeah, a quar-terback only has so much control over that, but Palmer is still aBengal, so great improvement cant be expected.

    16. Chad Henne, MIAThe addition of Brandon Marshall to the Dolphins receiving corps and another year of maturation makes Henne an interestingplay coming to 2010. The Dolphins already offer a pretty excellentoffensive line and varied running attack. Now with a legitimate deepthreat in the mix, Henne qualifies as a No. 2 QB with upside.

    17. Matthew Stafford, DETStafford presents an instance where we might have to continuevaluing pedigree over performance. No, Staffords 13:20 TD:INTfrom last season isnt particularly appetizing, but between his col-lege performance, optimism in the Lions camp, and the presence ofthe very talented Calvin Johnson, signs point to Stafford being apretty interesting No. 2 fantasy QB this year.

    18. David Garrard, JACIts appearing more and more likely that Garrards 2007, which sawhim post a crazy 18:3 TD:INT ratio, is a significant outlier. He stillhad one of the leagues better interception rates in 2009 (1.9% of al

    QUARTERBACK SEASON PROFILESPlayer Profiles are based on season outlooks and re-ranked as events warrant during training camp.

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    passes, compared to a league average of about 3%), but merelyaverage yards-per-attempt numbers suggest that Garrard isntexactly fantasy gold.

    19. Ben Roethlisberger, PITRoethlisberger enters 2010 set to miss six or, at the very least,four games due to suspension, making him an intriguing later-round pick, but not someone upon whom to stake your fantasysuccess. For what its worth, hes been going in the early-100s inmock drafts. Plan accordingly.

    20. Brett Favre, MINFavre has become the runaway bride of the NFL, and this year is noexception. As of press time, its unclear whether Favre intends toplay in 2010. If he does

    21. Matt Moore, CARMoore took over for the struggling Jake Delhomme towards the endof the season, starting the teams last five games. The Panthers

    went 4-1 over that stretch, which saw Moore average 7.9 yards perattempt and toss 8 TDs compared to just 1 INT.

    22. Vince Young, TENTaking over for Kerry Collins in 2009 after the Titans poor 0-6 start,Young distinguished himself by demonstrating an ability to takecare of the ball, throwing only 6 interceptions in the teams final 10games. That doesnt make him a superstar, but, combined with hisrunning ability, makes him a fine bye-week quarterback.

    23. Kyle Orton, DENOrton has actually improved both his yards-per-attempt and inter-ception rates each of the three years (2005, 08-09) hes receivedsignificant playing time. The only real problem with him is that he

    isnt Jay Cutler. In any case, so long as Brady Quinn doesnt some-how steal it from him, Orton should be the starting QB.

    24. Matt Cassel, KCLets be clear about this. In one full season with the perennially suc-cessful Patriots, Cassel had a 21:11 TD:INT and averaged 7.2 yardsper pass. In his first season with the frequently dismal Chief, thosenumbers went to 16:16 and 5.9, respectively. Cassel didnt change;his team did. Expect something more like the latter in 2010.

    25. Jason Campbell, OAKCampbells move to Oakland might be a case of bad things hap-pening to good quarterbacks. No, Campbells not a world-beater,but he was reasonable efficient as a Redskin. Now hell workbehind a Raider offensive line that was second-worst in adjusted

    sack rate last season.

    26. Mark Sanchez, NYJEven though there might be some reasons to be optimistic aboutSanchez future, the year 2010 might not be the one for the USCproduct. Of 32 qualified quarterbacks, Sanchez finished with thethird-worst interception rate in 2009 (5.5% of all passes thrown) andaveraged only 24 pass attempts per game.

    27. Matt Leinart, ARZLeinart steps into a starting role vacated by Kurt Warner, whoretired this offseason. Its hard to know exactly what to make of thelefty, who hasnt received anything close to regular playing time the

    last two seasons. When hes played, the results havent been fan-tastic. Now, with the departure of Anquan Boldin, theres no addi-tional reason for optimism.

    28. Matt Hasselbeck, SEAIf Hasselbecks 2009 was enough to deter you from picking him,consider this, as well: left tackle Walter Jones, widely consideredthe best at his position for a decade, announced his retirement thispast offseason.

    29. Josh Freeman, TBThere was a great deal of optimism surrounding Freeman during thethe teams spring workouts in particular, his blossoming relation-ship with QB coach Alex Van Pelt. Certainly Freeman has the physi-cal tools to be a fine quarterback. Unfortunately, his lack either ofexperience or a dependable offensive line make his fantasyprospects dismal for 2010.

    30. Sam Bradford, STLThough he went first overall in the real NFL draft, Bradford probablyshouldnt be picked at all in this years fantasy drafts. He does havethe benefit of a starting role with St. Louis, but between the Ramsincompetence and the steep learning curve associated with beingan NFL QB, Bradford might be in for a rough year.

    31. Trent Edwards, BUFThough Edwards took the majority of Buffalos snaps in 2007 and

    08, that honor belonged to Ryan Fitzpatrick in 2009. Neither guy

    really wowed onlookers, which is why incoming coach Chan Gailey

    has opted to open up the spot to a three-way competition with

    Edwards, Fitzpatrick, and Brian Brohm.

    32. Jake Delhomme, CLEIts not entirely clear how Cleveland coach Eric Mangini plans to useDelhomme. Early reports suggests that Delhomme might share

    snaps with other new signing Seneca Wallace, serving as more of a

    pocket passer while Wallace uses his legs as a more significan

    threat. In any case, he doesnt appear to be someone to roster right

    out of the draft.

    33. Tarvaris Jackson, MINYou think Jackson goes to the same therapist as Aaron Rodgers?

    Itd make sense, as the root of Jacksons angst is likely the same as

    Rodgers has been: Brett Favre. No, Jackson hasnt been excellent

    in his limited time as an NFL starter, but hes appeared to improve

    every year in the league. Thats as much as you can reasonably ask

    of a guy.

    34. Byron Leftwich, CLELeftwich presents an interesting case. Unlike the 33 QBs ahead of

    him in these rankings, he has no shot of topping the depth chart for

    his team. Thing is, the player at the top of said depth chart Ben

    Roethlisberger will be out of commission for the first four or six

    games. Given a full season of play, Leftwich would probably be

    about 23 or 24 on this list. Actually, nevermind. Thats not too great.

    35. Brady Quinn, DENBrady Quinn is on this list because 35 is a better number of quar-

    terbacks to rank than 34. Reports out of Denver have Quinn almost

    definitely starting the season as Denvers No. 2, behind Kyle Orton.

    QUARTERBACK SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    1. Chris Johnson, TENAfter only topping 20 carries once through the first six weeks,

    Johnson was very obviously the cream of the fantasy crop by theend of last season, finishing with 11 conscutive 100-yard rushingperformances. Offseason contract issues shouldnt affect his per-formance this season.

    2. Adrian Peterson, MINPeterson has played 16 games each of the last two seasons, goingsome way toward addressing concerns about his health. One con-cern remains about his 2009 performance, though: despite playinga full slate of games, Peterson only topped the 100-yard mark thrice.

    3. Maurice Jones-Drew, JACJones-Drew wont get the raw yardage totals of other elite backs,but his versatility (50-plus receptions the last two years) and centralrole in Jacksonvilles goal-line set give him excellent fantasy value.

    4. Ray Rice, BALRice is essentially a younger Jones-Drew. Like the former, Ricesversatility is the key to his fantasy value. In addition to somethinglike 1400 rushing yards, hes also a good bet for close to 80 recep-tions. Only thing: Willis McGahee will still likely be taking somegoal-line carries.

    5. Michael Turner, ATLTurners a likely candidate to bounce back, even if hes unlikely tomatch 2008s 377 carries. If you conceive of fantasy players interms of tiers, consider Turner the final member of the top RB tier.Theres probably about as much distance between him and ChrisJohnson as there is between him and Rashard Mendenhall.

    6. Rashard Mendenhall, PITIn his first shot at the job, Mendenhall established himself as theprimary ball-carrier for the Steelers last season. Now, with the off-season departure of Santonio Holmes, Pittsburgh has talked aboutan even greater commitment to the ground game. The main con-cern with Mendenhall is his durability, as he had fewer than 20 car-ries in seven of his 13 starts in 2009.

    7. Ryan Mathews, SDHeres whats notable: Mathews will likely fill a very similar role tothe one that a hobbled LaDainian Tomlinson occupied last year.Despite averaging only 3.3 yards per carry, LT still netted 12 TDs in2009. That bodes well for Mathews in his freshman campaign.

    8. Pierre Thomas, NOReports this offseason suggest that Thomas and the Saints areattempting to reach a long-term deal. Between that and the depar-ture of Mike Bell to Philly, signs point to Thomas taking on a featurerole in the backfield. He s been going 16th among RBs in earlymock drafts, and hes a steal that late.

    9. Frank Gore, SFGore still remains a vital component of the Niner offense, and hadhis best fantasy season since 2006 last year. Still, consider: his car-ries have decreased every year since a high of 300-plus in 2006,and hes unlikely to match last years career-high TD total.

    10. Ryan Grant, GBGrant is part of a slowly dwindling fraternity: the NFLs 300-carry

    club. Though he didnt quite hit the mark in 2009 (282), he did in2008 (312), and theres reason to believe hell approach the markagain this year. Its hard to say thats good for his future in theleague, but it makes him a valuable fantasy commodity in 2010.

    11. Steven Jackson, STLAfter recording an NFC-high 1,416 yards in 2009, Jackson under-went back surgery in early April to repair a herniated disc aninjury that he actually played through over the seasons last severalgames. Jacksons talent is undeniable, but his health and lack ofgoal-line opportunities (only 4 TDs last season) must be considered

    12. Jamaal Charles, KCCharles averaged a freakish 5.9 yards per carry and finished 2009with 1,120 yards and seven touchdowns, despite not seeing signifi-cant playing time until Week 9. The arrival of Thomas Jones pres-ents a challenge to Charles carry totals and goal-line opportunities.

    13. Knowshon Moreno, DENPlaying as a rookie last year, Moreno didnt meet the lofty expecta-tions that his final season with Georgia when he rushed for about1,800 yards and 18 touchdowns suggested he might reach. Still,the fact remains: Moreno carried the ball about 250 times in hisrookie campaign and enters 2010 as Denvers unidisputed number-one rusher. Those facts, combined with Morenos pedigree, makehim a compelling pick.

    14. Chris Wells, ARZThough officially behind Tim Hightower on the Arizona depth chart,

    Wells is very likely the bigger talent and better fantasy back. Still,Wells success will be tied to playing time. The departure of Warnerand Boldin might very well make Arizona a run-centric offense.

    15. Shonn Greene, NYJThe good news? Thomas Jones departure made Greene the princi-pal ball carrier for the Jets. The bad? The signing of LaDainianTomlinson calls that status into question. Left to his own devices,Greene could be a top-5 back. With Tomlinson around? Not likely.

    16. Jahvid Best, DETThough early reports suggest that the rookie Best might be easedinto a featured role, current backs Maurice Morris and Kevin Smitharent ultimately likely to pose much of a threat. Long-term, injuries

    might be a consideration for Best, but for 2010, he appears to be agood play.

    17. DeAngelo Williams, CARAs part of basically a 50/50 timeshare with Jonathan Stewart,Williams is less valuable than if he were a 300-carry back. Still, 1,000yards and eight TDs wouldnt be surprising totals from the Panther.

    18. LeSean McCoy, PHIMcCoys fantasy prospects were promising until late March, whenthe Eagles signed former Saint Mike Bell as his backfield partner.While McCoy is talented and will almost definitely get somewherenear 200 carries, Bell might be in for goal-line situations.

    RUNNING BACK SEASON PROFILESPlayer Profiles are based on season outlooks and re-ranked as events warrant during training camp.

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    19. Cedric Benson, CINBenson offers the advantage of dependable playing time: in only 13games last season, Benson recorded a full 301 carries. So, in thewords of Caddyshacks Carl Spackler, hes got that going for him.Unfortunately, Benson provides little in the way of yards per carry(lifetime 3.8) or TDs (6 last season, tying a career high).

    20. Jonathan Stewart, CARThe analysis of Stewart greatly resembles the one of his backfieldpartner, DeAngelo Williams: talented runner and fantasy producerwhod be ranked more highly if her were netting something closerto 250 or 275 carries. Is probably not quite the talent as Williams,however.

    21. Brandon Jacobs, NYGAfter the season, Jacobs had surgery on his knee, the injury ofwhich could very likely explain his drop in yards per carry from 5.0in both 2007 and 08 to a mere 3.7 per carry in 2009. Even if heonly gets halfway back to his previous levels, hell be an excellent

    pick at this point in the draft.

    22. Ronnie Brown, MIAPart of Browns fantasy value depends upon how well he heals froma right-foot fracture that ended his season. The other part of valuedepends upon the production of teammate Ricky Williams, whotopped 1000 yards and 10 TDs in Browns absence.

    23. Joseph Addai, INDWith the exception of his rookie season, in which he average 4.8yards per carry, Addais numbers have not been fantastic in thatcategory. Still, hes hit a double-digits TDs in two of the past threeyears and has taken on a considerably bigger role in the passinggame.

    24. Felix Jones, DALJones amassed only 116 carries over the course of 2009. The goodnews is that close to half of those (49) came in the final four weeksof the season. Overall, Jones averaged 5.9 yards per carry anumber that backfield partner Marion Barber is unlikely toapproach. The down sider for Jones is that, regardless of his abilityin the open field, Barbers a good candidate for goal-line opps.

    25. Montario Hardesty, CLEThe early-June OTAs saw Hardesty playing ahead of incumbentJerome Harrison. How that translates to regular-season responsibili-ties remains to be seen, but the Browns are projected to be run-heavy, which could bode well for Hardestys freshman campaign.

    26. Cadillac Williams, TBWilliams is a compelling No. 2 RB option. He enters 2010 complete-ly healthy something he hasnt been able to say the previous twooffseasons. Also, provided he can handle the rigors of it, hes likelyto take on something like a feature role in the Tampa Bay runningattack. Something north of 220 rushes isnt out of the question.

    27. Ben Tate, HOUTate enters 2010 with a rookie sheen. Were he to have a clear pathto the starting role, hed certainly be ranked higher than this. Onlyproblem is, Steve Slaton and Arian Foster also look set to take a fairnumber of carries this season.

    28. Marion Barber, DALAccording to reports, Barber played most of the 2009 season with atorn left quad muscle. That sounds painful. Even a healthy Barberwill be a somewhat risky fantasy play, unfortuntely, owing to theincreased relevance of Felix Jones to the Dallas running attack.

    29. Darren McFadden, OAKThe Raiders released Justin Fargas in March, leaving McFadden inposition to secure the starting running back role in 2010. He wasthe fourth pick in the draft just two years ago, so he figures to getthe first crack at the starting job ahead of Michael Bush.

    30. Clinton Portis, WASThe presence of both Larry Johnson and, more recently, WillieParker should raise some concerns among fantasy owners aboutrole with the Redskins. For now, incoming coach Mike Shanahanhas said that Portis is the teams starter. Its hard to say what thatmean exactly, but hes topped 300 carries for every year hes beenin Washington that hasnt been injury-shortened.

    31. Steve Slaton, HOUSlaton was a force in his rookie season, compiling 1,659 yards fromscrimmage with 10 touchdowns. Last year, problems with the fum-ble saw his fantasy value drop precipitously. Slaton claims that off-season surgery to a nerve in his neck will go some ways towardremedying the problem. Still, with the arrival of Ben Tate toHouston, its hard to say how many carries Slaton will see.

    32. Matt Forte, CHINew offensive coordinator Mike Martz has stated that Forte andnew signing Chester Taylor will share duties this year. Thats badnews for Forte, whos surpassed the 250-carry threshold in his firsttwo pro years.

    33. Justin Forsett, SEAForsett is projected to share time with Julius Jones this season.Hes likely to top last years 114 carries, but its unlikely barringinjury to Jones that Forsett will see 200 rushes. Its hard to bemuch of a fantasy force in that case.

    34. Laurence Maroney, NESammy Morris, Fred Taylor, Kevin Faulk: no, its not a list of playerswho retired this offseason; its the other running backs besidesMaroney who received 50-plus carries for the Pats last season.Maroneys nine TDs last season were great but are unlikely to bematched in 2010.

    35. Thomas Jones, KCThough it took some time for his career to get going, Jones now32 has rushed for 1000-plus yards in each of the last five sea-sons, including 2009s career-high 1,402. This year, now withKansas City, hell almost definitely share the backfield with JamaalCharles. Thats better for the Chiefs than it is fantasy owners.

    36. Ricky Williams, MIAWilliams low-ish ranking is less an indictment of his skills, per se,and more a recognition of two facts. For one, Ronnie Brown, whomissed time last year to a fractured foot, returns healthy this sea-son. For two, Williams is a little bit nutso. Last year, he was goodfor over a 1,100 yards and 11 TDs.

    RUNNING BACK SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    37. Reggie Bush, NODespite much being made of Bushs intention to run more oftenbetween the tackles, its likley that he just doesnt have the body tosupport a larger carry load. Mike Bells departure might mean alarger role, however, which with his versatility at least makesBush a possibility as a No. 2 running back on your team.

    38. Brian Westbrook, FATwo concussions and an ankle injury relegated Westbook to a mere61 carries and one TD in 2009 after hed averaged 250 and eightper season between 2006-08. Released by the Eagles, Westbrookhas yet to settle on a team. Its hard to project his playing time rightnow, but his yards-per-carry numbers dont really suggest the lossof athleticism you might expect from a 31-year-old back.

    39. Tim Hightower, ARZAs mentioned in the Chris Wells outlook, Hightower enters 2010 asthe nominal No. running back in Arizona, but could soon be passedover by his backfield mate. Ultimately, his playing time will remainuncertain till the season actually begins.

    40. Marshawn Lynch, BUFTo understand Lynchs value, one must first sort out the clutteredrunning-back situation in Buffalo. Among the likely scenarios is onewhich sees Buffalo deal the mercurial Lynch to give time to bothFred Jackson and No. 9 pick C.J. Spiller.

    41. Derrick Ward, TBWith Cadillac Williams down and almost out, Ward had the chanceto take over primary rushing duties for the Bucs last year.Unfortunately, his 3.6 yards per carry did little to impress. Some ofthat is clearly due to the teams poor offensive line (Williams himselfonly averaged 3.9 yards per carry), but Ward will likely be on the

    short side of a timeshare with Williams.

    42. Michael Bush, OAKAs mentioned in the Darren McFadden outlook, the departure ofJustin Fargas leaves only Bush and McFadden competing for car-ries in the Oakland backfield. McFaddens relative youth and pedi-gree sets him up as top choice, but injuries have also been a con-cern for him. Expect something like a 65/35 split in the meantime.

    43. C.J. Spiller, BUFSpillers role in the Buffalo run attack will be decided by a couplefactors, not the least of which is how the Bills choose to deal withthe difficult Marshawn Lynch. If Lynch stays, neither he nor Spillernor Fred Jackson will hold much value. If Lynch is dealth, Spiller

    whos been compared athletically to Reggis Bush might be aninteresting pick as a No. 2 RB.

    44. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYGBradshaws role in 2010 should be very similar to the one he occu-pied in 2009, when he shared time with Brandon Jacobs and car-ried the ball 163 times for 778 yards and 7 TDs. Both Jacobs (tornmeniscus) and Bradshaw (broken foot) had offseason procedures.

    45. Chester Taylor, CHIThough theyre probably best for the teams involved, running backtimeshares are super annoying for fantasy owners. The one withChicagos Matt Forte and Chester Taylor is maybe the most annoy-ing of them all. As a feature back, either might have value similar toCedric Benson. Teamed-up like this? Not so much.

    46. Willis McGahee, BALWillis McGahee will not be the center of the Ravens running attack that distinction belongs to the multi-talented Ray Rice. Earlyreports suggest, however, that McGahee will be getting time ingoal-line sets, suggesting he could accrue touchdown totalsbeyond what his mere carry numbers would suggest.

    47. Jerome Harrison, CLEHarrison had a crazy last three weeks of the 2009 season, rushing106 times (35 per game) for 561 yards (5.3 per carry) and 5 TDs. Asmuch as that should make fantasy owners excited about Harrisonsprospects for 2010, the offseason addition of Montario Hardestybasically ruins all those good feelings. Harrison will get carries, butwill probably be on the short end of a timeshare.

    48. LaDainian Tomlinson, NYJGreat 30-year-old running back isnt a term youre going to hear alot. Tomlinson, for however great he used to be, isnt an exception.His per-carry numbers have declined every year from an amazing2006 campaign that also saw him score 28 TDs. Now with the Jets,

    hell probably concede a lot of carries to the young and talentedShonn Greene, but might still end up being a goal-line threat.

    49. Larry Johnson, WASThe Redskins signed running back Willie Parker In April, adding to acrowded backfield that already included Johnson and ClintonPortis. The good news here is that Johnson was taking the goal-linesnaps during spring workouts, making him valuable beyond his pureyardage totals.

    50. Donald Brown, INDBrown's not even No. 2 running back fodder for the time being, solong as Joseph Addai is still around and getting about 75 percent ofthe team's carries. Still, Brown is young and had a solid showing

    while getting about eight carries a game during the 11 games hewas healthy last season.

    RUNNING BACK SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    1. Andre Johnson, HOUThe advantage with Johnson is that, thanks to Houstons pass-

    heavy attack and the frequency with which the wideout is target-ed by QB Matt Schaub he doesnt even need to post great TDtotals totals to qualify as an elite receiver. Even so, hes averagedabout eight TDs per year over the last three seasons.

    2. Randy Moss, NEMoss has led the NFL in TDs in five of 12 seasons in league andthats including his time with Raiders. At 33, hes likely to slowdown at some point, but this season probably isnt it. With TomBrady and the Patriot offense still in place, Moss is a good bet tofinish north of 10 TDs.

    3. Larry Fitzgerald, ARZFitzgerald hasnt changed, but his team has. This offseason sawthe retirement of Kurt Warner and departure, via trade, of Anquan

    Boldin. With Matt Leinart likely at the helm, and the receiving corpsslightly depleted, Fitzgeralds chances might be limited.

    4. Anquan Boldin, BALThings are looking up for Boldins draft stock, as not only does hemove out from under the shadow of the very talented LarryFitzgerald in Arizona, but he moves to a team in Baltimore thatappears to be emphasizing the pass more, attempting 510 passesin 2009 after just 433 in 2008. Boldin appears to be a lock toexceed his 129 targets from last season.

    5. Brandon Marshall, MIAAmazingly, Marshall has recorded more than 100 receptions eachof the last three years. Though hes skewed more and more

    towards being a possession-type receiver recording yards-per-catch averages of 15.5, 13.0, 12.2, and then 11.1 last year thesheer quantity of receptions makes him a top fantasy receiver.

    6. Calvin Johnson, DETTwo years ago, Johnson tied for the league lead in touchdowns.Last season, the league took note, sometimes assigning up to threeplayers to Johnson on any given play. This year brings with it twopositive notes: a more experienced Matthew Stafford at QB andmore talented second receiver in the newly acquired Nate Burleson.

    7. Miles Austin, DALAustin entered 2009 fourth on the Cowboys depth chart; 81 recep-tions later, hed established himself as Tony Romos favorite target.Barring injury, thats how Austin will enter the 2010 season.

    8. Greg Jennings, GBThough he didnt reach his TD totals from the previous two seasons(12 and 9 in 2007 and 08, respectively) there are a couple reasonsto like Jennings going into your draft. For one, hes almost sure toregress upwards to those two previous seasons. For two, hes thedeep-play threat in one of the NFLs best passing attacks.

    9. Roddy White, ATLWhite has been shockingly consistent over the last three season,always catching 80-something passes and netting something like1,200-1,300 yards. His TD total of 11 from 2009 may not be repeat-able, but hes a good pick in this area of the draft.

    10. Reggie Wayne, INDWayne is without a doubt a talented receiver, topping the 100

    reception mark in two of the last three seasons. Just beware of hisdropping yardage totals per catch, which look like this since 2006:15.2, 14.5, 14.0, 12.6. That might mark a loss of athleticism, whichwouldnt be all that surprising from a receiver who turns 32 thisyear.

    11. Steve Smith, CARSmith has been a consistently excellent fantasy player, despiteless-than-excellent talent at Carolinas quarterback position. Thelate-season success of Matt Moore, who took over for JakeDelhomme last season, should give owners some reason tobelieve that Smith, who turned 31 in the offseason, wont ride offinto the sunset just yet.

    12. Marques Colston, NOAfter missing five games in 2008 due to a thumb injury, Colstonreturned to roughly the same guy hed been the previous two sea-sons. Hell likely be that guy again in 2010, too.

    13. DeSean Jackson, PHIAfter bursting onto the scene in 2008 with 62 receptions, Jacksonspent 2009 substantially improving his yards per reception andtouchdown numbers (by four and seven, respectively). The ques-tion, of course, will be the degree to which Donovan McNabbsdeparture affects Jacksons production.

    14. Sidney Rice, MINRice had a breakout campaign in 2009, catching 83 passes andscoring eight TDs. And at just age 24, theres reason to believe

    theres still some upside. The question is wholl be throwing passesto Rice in 2010: Brett Favre or Tavaris Jackson. The former wouldbe much preferred by Rices fantasy owners.

    15. Michael Crabtree, SFIts hard to know exactly what to expect from Crabtree, as we onlyhave 11 games of data for him. Still, he possesses excellent physi-cal skills and enters 2010 as the undisputed top receiver in the SanFrancisco offense.

    16. Hakeem Nicks, NYGNicks announced in April that hed played all of last season on abroken toe that required offseason surgery. The wide receiver, whoshould be fine by training camp, is expected to be the teams pri-mary big-play threat on the outside this year.

    17. Robert Meachem, NOIt took some time for Meachem to find his way into New Orleansreceiving plans. Now that hes there hes likely to stick. Its notewor-thy that Meachem the Saints No. 2 wide-out occupies spacealongside other teams No. 1 receivers.

    18. Steven Smith, NYGThe nice thing about Smith is if you meant to pick Carolinas SteveSmith and accidentally picked the Giants version, youve hardly lostanything. This Smith caught over 100 passes last season as a slotreceiver in the Wes Welker mode. Given his usage, hes unlikely totop last years seven TDs, but hes not useless by any means.

    WIDE RECEIVER SEASON PROFILESPlayer Profiles are based on season outlooks and re-ranked as events warrant during training camp.

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    19. Hines Ward, PITLast year, Ward and Santonio Holmes each accounted for about aquarter of all targets by far the highest percentages on the team.With Holmes gone, Ward, now 34, might actually be in line for morereceptions than in recent years. One thing: QB Ben Roethlisbergerssix- or four-game suspension will leave Byron Leftwich in charge ofthe offense. Thats a less awesome alternative.

    20. Mike Sims-Walker, JACSims-Walker enters the season as the top receiver on the Jags.Thats a little less exciting than being Green Bays or New Orleanstop receiver, but itll do in a pinch.

    21. Malcom Floyd, SDFloyds value spikes greatly with the news that hold-out VincentJackson, the No. 1 wide receiver in San Diego, will most likely notappear in a Charger uniform till after Week 10. In the meantime, thatresponsibility will fall to the 6-foot-6 Floyd. Look for him to improvesignificantly on last years single touchdown reception.

    22. Dwayne Bowe, KCBowe would be a truly excellent buy-low candidate if there were aguarantee hed be starting this season. He had just over 1000 yardsreceving and 7 TDs in 2009. Last year, though, he missed fivegames between injury and suspension, and his numbers declined. Ifhe plays 16 games and approaches 2008s 162 targets, hell beworth a pick in this area.

    23. Chad Ochocinco, CINOchocinco caught at least 87 passes between 2003 and 2007,making him one of the more successful and more fantasy rele-vant receivers over that time period. Despite playing a full slateof games, Ochocincos 2009 merited only 72 receptions. Its unlikely

    that the 32-year-old will reach the frenzied heights of his peak, buthes still a draftable option, for sure.

    24. Pierre Garcon, INDGarcon is a bit hard to read at the moment. He caught only 47passes in 15 games last year, but managed a full 11 receptions inlast years AFC Championship game. The latter fact establishessomething like Garcons upside. Still, the presence of ReggieWayne, Anthony Gonzalez, Austin Collie, and tight end Dallas Clarkmake Garcons fortunes in 2010 difficult to predict.

    25. Antonio Bryant, CINAfter two years in Tampa Bay, Bryant will now line up oppositeChad Ochocinco in the Bengals offense. He was slowed by kneeissues last season, but in 2008 he had a career year with the Bucs,

    racking up 83 receptions for 1,248 yards and seven touchdowns.

    26. Lee Evans, BUFEvans was very probably the best fantasy player on the Buffalo Billslast season. Unfortunately, thats kinda like being the coolest guy tobe playing World of Warcraft: its something, but its not somethingmuch. The absence of Terrell Owens will make Lee Evans the prob-able No. 1 receiver, and also the No. 1 target of secondaries.

    27. Braylon Edwards, NYJEdwardss 80-catch season with the Browns back in 2007 is gettingsmaller and smaller in the rearview mirror of his career. His 16 TDsfrom that season now mark equal exactly half of his TD total over

    his five-year career. Perhaps a full year with the Jets and a moreexperience Mark Sanchez will bring Edwards success. Just dontbank on it.

    28. Percy Harvin, MINJust by the raw numbers, Harvin doesnt look much different thanMinnesotas other challenger for No. 2 receiver, Bernard Berrian.The pair had similar totals for targets, receptions, and TDs. Harvinhas one big advantage, though: youth. While Berian will play mostof the season as a 29-year-old, Harvin is just 22.

    29. Jeremy Maclin, PHIHowever you feel about new Philly QB Kevin Kolb ought to informhow strongly you feel about Maclin. If Kolb is roughly the same asDonovan McNabb, then Maclin is a good bet to surpass his rookieproduction. If not, then Maclin is probably nothing more than adecent No. 3 wide receiver for you.

    30. Kenny Britt, TENBritt came to spring practices out of shape. Thats unfortunate, con-sidering he certainly has the physical ability to occupy a startingspot on the Titans, as his 42 receptions and 701 yards suggest. Itsprobably best to consider him a No. 3 receiver with upside at themoment.

    31. Dez Bryant, DALThe 24th-overall selection in this years draft, Bryant will likely be acontributor at the NFL level at some point in the future. Whether2010 is the future in this case remains to be seen. With MilesAustin, Roy Williams, and even Patrick Crayton in the mix, Bryantmight have a problem getting targeted.

    32. Santana Moss, WAS

    The other Moss, Santana has no problems catching passes. Hesaveraged just a hair under 80 receptions in his five years with theRedskins. With the arrivals of Mike Shanahan and Donvan McNabbrespectively, that shouldnt change. Whats kept him from the ranksof the fantasy elite is the lack of TDs: only about five per year.

    33. Donald Driver, GBDriver had a pair of offseason knee clean-up surgeries a sign,perhaps, of Drivers age (now 35!) starting to catch up with him.However, if those procedures are, in fact, age-related, thats about itfor Driver, whos coming off his sixth straight 1,000-plus receivingyard campaign. Hell once again be working opposite GregJennings, with star fantasy QB Aaron Rodgers throwing to him.

    34. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, SEAHoushs reception totals since 2004 make almost a perfect bellcurve: 73, 78, 90, 112, 92, 79. Something in the 72-75 area appearsmost likely given those numbers. No, life doesnt usually work outthat cleanly, but theres little reason to believe Seattles aerial attackwill be much improved this season. In other words, expecting anyimprovement from Housh is probably foolish.

    35. Chris Chambers, KCChambers isnt a terrible pick, but he does have a bit of meh abouthim. Hes older (32 this year), hasnt been totally healthy for the pasttwo seasons, and plays for the Chiefs. Hell probably get picked inyour league, but he probably wont play a whole bunch forwhomever wins.

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    36. Mike Wallace, PITThe departure of Santonio Holmes should prove to be a double-edged sword for Wallace. On the one hand, it should give Wallace abigger part in the offense; on the other, it suggests less emphasison the passing game for the Steelers. Ben Roethlisbergers suspen-sion is also cause for concern. One final note: over half of Wallacestargets were greater than 15 yards the only wide receiver forwhom this was true in the NFL.

    37. Devin Thomas, WASThe opportunity is there for Thomas, whos slated to beWashingtons No. 2 wideout this season. The question is whetherhell take advantage of it. Reports out of spring OTAs suggest thatneither Shanahan (coach Mike and offensive coordinator Ryan) issuper excited about Thomass grasp of the offense. If he gets theplaying time, though, hes still a viable (if low-end) No. 3 receiver.

    38. Devin Hester, CHIIt appears as though Hester has avoided being pigeonholed as

    merely a talented kick returner. Hes caught 50+ passes each of thepast two seasons and looks set to catch even more this year, hav-ing won offensive coordinator Mike Martzs confidence duringspring activities.

    39. Johnny Knox, CHIKnox and Devin Hester were named the two starters at widereceiver by offensive coordinator Mike Martz. Fantasy ownersshould watch the situation, as Devin Aromashodu is likely to getdecent playing time, too. One concern about Knox: despite excel-lent speed, his yards-after-catch average of 3.4 last season putshim in the bottom half of receivers.

    40. Mohamed Massaquoi, CLE

    Massaquoi finished the season as the Browns top receiver with 34receptions for 624 yards and three scores, which isnt too bad giventhat he was fourth on the depth chart heading into the season. Ofcourse, being the best on the Browns isnt necessarily so hot interms of fantasy value.

    41. Julian Edelman, NEWith the injured Wes Welker unlikely to make a regular seasonappearance this season, Edelman looks set to take over Welkersslot receiving position. Comparisons have been made between thetwo in terms of quickness. That might be optimistic, but Edelmanshould have plenty of opportunties anyway in New Englands pass-heavy offense.

    42. Terrell Owens, FAOwens agent Drew Rosenhaus has linked the wideout to a numberof teams in the offseason, including Cincinnati, Oakland, andWashington. As of press time, however, Owens has yet to sign any-where. When he does sign, hell almost definitely become a starter.In fantasy terms, consider him nothing more than a No. 3 receiver instandard leagues.

    43. Derrick Mason, BALAt 36, Mason seems likely for a decline. Of course, one couldvemade a very similar comment three years ago and been verywrong in doing so. Mason has topped 1000 yards receiving and 5TDs each of the last three years ago. Playing opposite new acquisi-tion Anquan Boldin should help him get open, too.

    44. Wes Welker, NEAfter offseason surgeries to both his ACL and MCL, Welkers statusfor the 2010 season is up in the air. As of press time, reports havehim missing the first six weeks of the season. How hell performwhen he returns is also, obviously, a question. When healthy,Welker is a high-volume receiver, albeit one with low TD rates.

    45. Vincent Jackson, SDHere are Jacksons reception totals since his rookie season in 2005:3, 27, 41, 59, 68. Yes, Jackson has improved by at least nine recep-tions in every year of his career. Unfortunately, heres when Jacksonwill most likely start playing in 2010: not till Week 10. Yes, Jacksontcontract dispute will greatly affect his fantasy value.

    46. Austin Collie, INDThere are a lot of passes to go around in Indy, but there are also abunch of receivers. Collie caught 60 passes in 2009 thanks to theabsence of injured WR Anthony Gonzalez. With Gonzalez returningand third-year receiver Pierre Garcon also in the mix, Collies fanta-

    sy value is currently lower than his true talent.

    47. Steve Breaston, ARZThe departure of Anquan Boldin creates a vacancy at a startingwideout position that will almost definitely be filled by Breaston.Given the increase in snaps and targets, it makes sense to figureBreaston to catch something like 10-20 more passes in 2010.Enthusiasm should be curbed, though: the installation of MattLeinart at starting QB will likely mean a less dynamic passing gamein the desert.

    48. Torry Holt, NEThis offseason, Holt went from aging free agent to Official Memberof the New England Patriots. The move certainly makes him a more

    interesting target for fantasy owners. For one thing, New Englandranked fifth overall in pass attempts in 2009 (compared to Holtsmore recent team, Jacksonville, which finished 23rd). For another,the absence of Wes Welker is likely to create opportunities for Holtto catch passes.

    49. Santonio Holmes, NYJHeading into the season, the talented Holmes has at least twostrikes against him from a fantasy perspective. Strike one: hell bemissing the first four games of the season due to suspension. Striketwo: when he returns, itll be Mark Sanchez (and not BenRoethlisberger) throwing passes to him.

    50. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJThe concern about Cotchery are the same for any Jet receiver: theman throwing the ball in New York, Mark Sanchez. As a rookie,about 10 percent of the Sanchezs completed passes ended up inthe arms of the opposition. Factor in the likelihood of coach RexRyan going to young running back Shonn Greene and the mucholder LaDainian Tomlinson with some frequency, and Cotchery pro-files as a bye-week No. 3 receiver.

    51. Kevin Walter, HOUBeing the No. 2 receiver on a team with Andre Johnson is a mixedblessing. On the one hand, Johnson draws a lot of attention; on theother, Johnson is so amazing it kinda doesnt matter. The emer-gence in 2009 of WR Jacoby Jones isnt helping Walters value awhole bunch, either.

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    52. Jabar Gaffney, DENBrandon Marshalls departure to Miami leaves a gaping hole atopthe Bronco receiving depth chart. In theory, Gaffney is the guy to fillit. The problem is, hes never really profiled as a No. 1 receiver andEddie Royal is younger, with more upside.

    53. Devin Aromashodu, CHINew offensive coordinator Mike Martz indicated in May that histwo starters at wideout are Devin Hester and Johnny Knox. Thatsnot a good sign for Aromashodus fantasy value. Consider him awaiver wire option in the event that injuries or Martz himself shakeup the depth chart.

    54. Roy Williams, DALAs much as its possible for a former seventh-overall draft pick,Williams might actually be a bit of a sleeper entering 2010. Thoughhe conceded No. 1 receiving duties to teammate Miles Austin byyears end in 2009, his YAC and TD numbers (5.9 and 7, respective-ly) were either at or near career highs. Given even a decent number

    of targets, he could be a pretty great No. 3/bye-week option in 2010.

    55. Donnie Avery, STLAvery finished the 2009 season with 589 yards receving and fivetouchdowns both team-highs among wideouts. Even then, hewas only healthy for about half the season. The problem is, thatsbecome a trend in his short career. The other problem is, hell haverookie QB Sam Bradford running the offense in 2010.

    56. Arrelious Benn, TBEverything is up in the air for Tampa Bays passing attack in 2010 everything except quality passes, maybe. The rookie Bennlooked to be assured of a starting receiver spot entering springcamp, but Sammie Stroughter and fellow rookie Mike Williams both

    impressed. However the WR situation breaks down, neither QBJosh Freeman nor the Tampa offensive line inspire much confidence.

    57. Mario Manningham, NYGManningham looks to be a candidate for future fantasy success.His yards per target (8.3) and relative youth (only 24) suggest a tal-ented receiver with upside. Manninghams value for 2010, though, islimited by the number of opportunities hell receive. Both HakeemNicks and Steven Smith figure to get more looks.

    58. Eddie Royal, DENAs a rookie in 2008, Royal put up some crazy numbers, catching 91passes for close to 1,000 yards receiving. In 2009, the wideoutaveraged fewer than three receptions per game. Brandon Marshallsdeparture could mean more targets for Royal. The trick will be

    coming closer to 2008s catch rate (64.1%) than 2009s (46.8%).

    59. Chaz Schilens, OAKLast year, Schilens doubled 2008s reception total while playing inonly half the games (due to a foot injury that sidelined him for thefirst half of the season). He enters 2010 as the probable No. 1receiver on the Raiders. Being a No. 1 receiver is good; being onthe Raiders probably isnt.

    60. Bernard Berrian, MINThink what you want about the trickle-down theory in economics,its not so friendly to the fantasy owner where wide recievers areconcerned. Berrian was, at one point, considered a likely No. 1

    receiver for Minnesota. Now hes third on the depth chart. WithBrett Favre still a question mark at press time, Berrians prospectsarent entirely promising.

    61. Nate Burleson, DETBurleson might ultimately be more important to Detroit No. 1 receiv-er Calvin Johnson than he is to fantasy owners. Last year, Johnsonwas frequently triple teamed by opposing secondaries. Even so and despite playing in only 14 games he was targeted 48 moretimes than second-most thrown-to receiver Bryant Johnson. Theidea is that Burleson will receive enough attention to allow Johnsonmore opportunities.

    62. Demaryius Thomas, DENA first-round pick in the 2010 draft, Thomas has actually found him-self in a pretty good situation. With the departure of BrandonMarshall that, and only Eddie Royal and Jabbar Gaffney in hisway Thomas might actually find himself a targeted pretty oftenthis year. Moreover, Denver actually has a decent passing attack

    even with Kyle Orton running the show.

    63. Justin Gage, TENGage suffered multiple fractures to the vertebrae in his back andmissed most of the second half of last season. As such, he mightbe a bit of a forgotten man in fantasy circles. Hes not worth a draftpick, most likely, but so long as hes not relegated merely to third-receiver duties, he might work as depth on your roster.

    64. Devery Henderson, NOHenderson actually had his best professional season in 2009, beat-ing his previous high in targets (56) by almost 30. What to expect ofhim in 2010? Likely, more of the same. Hes not a draft target instandard leagues, but he is a member of a stable pass-heavy offense

    65. Anthony Gonzalez, INDAfter hurting himself in Week One last year and missing the rest ofthe season, Gonzalez returns in 2010 to more crowded receivingcorps, as Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon also contend for targets.The one plus here is that Indy throws the ball a lot, finishing secondin pass attempts in 2009.

    66. Jacoby Jones, HOUWhile Kevin Walter is the nominal No. 2 entering training camp,Texans head coach Gary Kubiak made it clear this spring that heexpects Jones to challenge Walter for a starting job. Its not neces-sarily a reason to draft Jones, but it could be good enough to keephim on your radar in the early weeks of the season.

    67. Golden Tate, SEATate was the 60th-overall pick in the 2010 draft. He becomes partof a Seattle receiving corps populated by decent but unimpressivenames: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Deion Branch, and Deon Butler. Animpressive showing in training camp could catch coach PeteCarrolls eye and his confidence.

    68. Deion Branch, SEABranch hasnt become the go-to receiver Seattle thought they weregetting when they signed him to a $39 million, six-year contract inSeptember of 2006. Its likely that he never was that receiver. Still,the departure of Nate Burleson and the arrival of new coach PeteCarroll could create opportunities for Branch in 2010.

    WIDE RECEIVER SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    69. Laurent Robinson, STLThe good: Robinson is his teams No. 1 or, at worst, No. 2 receiver. The bad: the team in question is the St. Louis Rams. St.Louis was tied for third-worst in receiving TDs last year with (12).Its hard to see that number getting much better with rookie QBSam Bradford at the helm.

    70. Josh Morgan, SFSan Franciscos offense is an interesting one coming into 2010, asthe installation of Alex Smith at quarterback appeared to spark pro-duction in the latter half of 2009. Morgan appears to be in line forNo. 2 receiving duties, opposite second-year man MichaelCrabtree. The formers targets nearly double between his rookie andsophomore seasons.

    72. Greg Camarillo, MIAThe prognosis on Camarillo is almost exactly the same as the onefor fellow Dolphin Brian Hartlines: Marshall is the No. 1 receiver,Davone Bess will likely man the slot, and the No. 2 receiver position

    will be decided in camp.

    71. Brian Hartline, MIAThe acquisition of Brandon Marshall means that Hartline will becompeting for the No. 2 spot. Receiver Davone Bess is likely des-tined for the slot position, which means that Greg Camarillo is

    Hartlines primary opposition. Its a battle that probably wont bedecided till preseason, and the winner will have value as a benchplayer in standard leagues.

    73. Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAKThe news from the Raiders spring OTAs is that Heyward-Bey is amuch improved. Obviously, one needs to take offseason praise witha grain of salt, but when the praise comes from a head coach inthis case, Tom Cable it carries a bit more weight. Reports alsosuggests that the wideout has established on-field rapport withincoming QB Jason Campbell.

    74. Louis Murphy, OAKMurphy netted an impressive 97 targets last season, but when theguy throwing the ball (in this case, mostly JaMarcus Russell) has acompletion rate below 50%, thats doesnt mean as much. Thisseason sees the arrival of a new quarterback but a similar offensiveline and perhaps too much competition in Darrius Heyward-Bey.

    75. Josh Cribbs, CLECribbs is the type of player youll see occasionally in the League:wildly athletic, but with no real position to speak of. Cribbs hasmade his name primarily as a return man, in which role hes record-ed at least one TD in each of his five NFL seasons. His productionas a wide receiver has been considerably more spotty.

    WIDE RECEIVER SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    1. Antonio Gates, SDIf youre looking for warts, youll be hard-pressed to find any with

    Gates. Hell turn 30 before the season, but age shouldnt be anissue. Otherwise, hes basically a lock for 70-something receptionsand eight or nine TDs.

    2. Vernon Davis, SFDavis developed an excellent rapport with quarterback Alex Smith,as the pair connected for 10 touchdowns during the 11 games inwhich Smith played. Smith should be back at quarterback next sea-son, and Davis will remain a big part of the offense in 2010.

    3. Dallas Clark, INDAlong with Antonio Gates and Vernon Davis, Clark rounds out thetop tier of fantasy tight ends. Fantasy owners shouldnt expect anencore performance of 2009s 100-catch season. Still, hes a goodbet to settle somewhere between there and 2008s 77 receptions.

    4. Jermichael Finley, GBFinley basically had two seasons last season: his first six games,over which span he was targeted 21 times; and then his last sevengames, during which his name was called 50 times. Its not a lot ofdata off which to make a serious investment, but the upside isthere. Really, it comes down to which of Finleys seasons youthink is the one indicative of his talent.

    5. Tony Gonzalez, ATLIf youre looking for value, Gonzalez is likely your man. Mock draftshave him going sixth at his position behind Gates, Clark, Davis,Finley and Witten. Thing is, his quarterback, Matt Ryan, was injuredand Gonzalez actually received more red zone targets in 2009 (25)

    than he did in 2008, when he scored 10 TDs. Some peopel willmark him down because of age. Dont be one of those people.

    6. Brent Celek, PHICelek finished in the top five among tight ends last year in bothreceiving yards and touchdowns. Nor ought the installation of KevinKolb at quarterback (with the departure of Donovan McNabb toWashington) change that too much. In his two starts, Kolb targetedCelek a full 20 times close to 20 percent of Celeks season total.

    7. Owen Daniels, HOUBy standard scoring, Daniels finished last season third in fantasypoints per game, ahead of names like Antonio Gates, Brent Celek,and Kellen Winslow. Unfortuntely, he tore his ACL in Week Eightand was done for the season. As of press time, Daniels is reportedto be on time for training camp in July. Other fantasy owners mightnot remember his hot start in 2009.

    8. Visanthe Shiancoe, MINShiancoe isnt thrown as many passes as other draftable tight ends receiving just under five targets per game in 2009 but hisimportance to Minnesotas red zone offense makes him a commodi-ty. Shiancoe has scored 18 TDs over the last two seasons, and hasincreased his targets each of the last three, as well.

    9. Kellen Winslow, TBThe Tampa Bay offense certainly isnt one that youd describe asdynamic. As such, Winslows numbers will suffer accordingly. On

    the plus side, Winslow will probably be the main target for a Bucssquad that seems likely to be starting two rookies (Arrelious Bennand Mike Williams) at wideout.

    10. Jason Witten, DALWitten has been spectacularly reliable the last three season, finish-ing with more than 80 catches and 950 yards in all three, and top-ping 90 catches and 1000 yards in two. Unfortunately, Witten does-nt appear to be integral to the Cowboys red zone offense: he wastargeted on 23.3% of passes overall, but just 9.7% of passes insidethe 20-yard line.

    11. Zach Miller, OAKMillers reception totals and receiving yards have increased each ofthe last three seasons, as hes become more of a focus in theOakland offense. But like the even more talented Kellen Winslow,Miller is a victim of his teams incompetence. The Raiders scored al

    of 10 passings TDs last year i.e. fewer than either Vernon Davisor Visanthe Shiancoe, and the same as Dallas Clark.

    12. John Carlson, SEACarlsons sophomore numbers were almost idential to those fromhis rookies season, as he posted 51 catches (versus 55 in 08) and574 yards (versus 627). The good news, too, is that Carlson contin-ued receive looks in the red zone, accumulating seven TDs after2008s five TDs. All in all, if not a week-in, week-out fantasy play,Carlson is right there on the cusp.

    13. Greg Olsen, CHIOlsen was the most-targeted tight end within both the 10-yard and5-yard lines (17 and 10, respectively) in 2009. And even though thatdidnt translate into tons of touchdowns (eight), its something thatgenerally correlates to touchdown scoring. Unfortunately, with MikeMartz now in charge of the Bear offense, the teams red zone phi-losophy is likely to change.

    14. Heath Miller, PITThe question for Miller and for his potential fantasy owners isthe degree to which hell hold on to the gains he made in 2009.Here are Millers target numbers over the last five years: 52, 55, 61,65, 98. Its always possible that he could match that number in2010, but the more likely occurence especially withRoethlisbergers absence for the beginning of the season is thathe regresses closer to his career numbers.

    15. Kevin Boss, NYG

    Boss has something that fantasy owners like to see in a player namely, an upward trend in production. Here are Bosss target num-bers for the past three years: 14, 53, 69. Here are his receiving yardtotals: 118, 384, 567. Of course, hes no lock for fantasy domi-nance, but hes probably a smart pick as a second TE late in drafts.

    16. Chris Cooley, WASCooley was targeted over 95 times every season from 2005 to2008. Last year, he was on the same sort of pace until he wentdown with a broken ankle in Week Seven. Hes now recovered fromthe ankle injuryt, but its possible that Cooleys fantasy value wontrecover from something else namely, the emergence of FredDavis at tight end. As of press time, the two look set to split time.Thats not good from a fantasy perspective.

    TIGHT END SEASON PROFILESPlayer Profiles are based on season outlooks and re-ranked as events warrant during training camp.

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    17. Fred Davis, WASWashingtons starting tight end Chris Cooley was forced to leavethe Redskins Week Seven contest against Philadelphia with a bro-ken ankle. In the same game, Davis who had been targeted onlyeight times over the seasons first six games was targeted 10times for eight catches and 78 yards. Though both would be single-game highs for the season, Davis appears set to split time withCooley this season, thus making both risky fantasy picks.

    18. Jeremy Shockey, NOThough Shockey certainly has some memorable exploits both onand off the field in his past, but its never really translated intofantasy excellence. His perfomances around the goal line, in partic-ular, have left fantasy owners wanting: Shockey has scored only sixtouchdowns over the last three years and thats while playing inthe very productive New Orleans offensive scheme.

    19. Ben Watson, CLEAfter spending the first six years of his career with the Patriots,

    Watson signed a multi-year deal with the Cleveland Browns this off-season. Though Clevelands offense ius unlikely to be anywherenear as productive as the Pats, that might end up actually being agood thing for Watson, who was more or less buried by NewEnglands considerable talent.

    20. Todd Heap, BALHeaps fantasy production has never really recovered from aninjury-shortened 2007. During the two years prior, he had averaged114 targets; in the two years after, only about 70. Now with tworookie tight ends in the fold, Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta, Heaplooks set for nothing more than bye-week relevance.

    21. Dustin Keller, NYJKeller has caught just shy of 50 passes each of the last two years,for just over 500 yards receiving in both cases. Those arent bad

    numbers certainly not from a player in his first couple seasons but with the barely competent Mark Sanchez in control of a decid-edly run-heavy offense, its tough to imagine Keller getting the num-ber of opportunities required of a draft-worthy tight end.

    22. Tony Scheffler, DENScheffler might be a bit of a forgotten man in fantasy circles afterhis production slipped last season on a Broncos teams that ignoresthe tight end in the passing game. Before that, however, Schefflerhad shown numbers worthy of at least a bench spot on a fantasyteam. Traded to the Lions this offseason, Scheffler will providedepth at tight end while incumbent Brandon Pettigrew recoversfrom knee surgery.

    23. Marcedes Lewis, JACTheres nothing too exciting here. Lewis has been in the league forfour years, has never been targeted more than 71 times, and hasnever scored more than two touchdowns. Now, he has the otherZach Miller (i.e. not the one on Oakland) competing with him for

    playing time.

    24. Brandon Pettigrew, DETPettigrews 2009 came to an end in Week Twelve when he tore hisACL against Green Bay. Surgery was successful, but given theinjury, its unclear whether Pettigrew will be available either for train-ing camp or the beginning of the season. Considering last yearsnumbers, theres reason to think that Pettigrew could be good for600 yards and four or five touchdowns over a full 16 games.

    25. Bo Scaife, TENIf not for an early-season knee injury, Scaife wouldve very likelyhad a similar season in 2009 as he did in 2008, when he recorded562 receiving yards and two touchdowns. The TD totals have neverbeen high, which means hell probably never be a fantasy starter,

    but what seems like an understanding between him and QB VinceYoung could gain him more targets and the yards that go with them

    TIGHT END SEASON PROFILES (cont...)

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    1. Nate Kaeding, SDThe Chargers have scored at least 46 TDs in each of Kaedings six

    seasons, during which time league average has generally settledaround 40. The offense will likely be without WR Vincent Jacksonfor 10 games, which might hurt San Diegos ability to move the ball,but the replacement of the aging LaDainian Tomlinson with rookieRyan Mathews will likely help balance things out.

    2. Garrett Hartley, NOHartley actually didnt even kick for the first 11 games last year;those honors belonged to John Carney. But after Carney disap-pointed, going only 13-for-17 on field goals (including just 11-for-13from inside the 40), the Saints installed Hartley. Really anyone kick-ing for New Orleans explosive offense is going to have value. Ifanything, the Saints are too efficient in their TD-scoring.

    3. Mason Crosby, GBNot only did the Packers finished third in touchdowns last year with58, but they also tied for second in field-goal attempts at 36. WithAaron Rodgers at the helm in Green Bay and a largelyunchanged offensive unit those totals figure to be roughly stable.The frozen tundra of Lambeau Field is always a factor to consider,but the Packers likely offensive success make Crosby a good pick.

    4. Stephen Gostkowski, NEWith Brady back under center, the Patriots offense improved byseven touchdowns last year, and Gostkowski had nine fewer fieldgoal attempts after an NFL-leading 40 in 2008. Still, Gostkowski stillranked a solid sixth in kicker scoring. And heres another good sign:Gostkowski attempted three 50-yarders (making two) in 2009, morethan his first three seasons combined.

    5. David Akers, PHIIdeally, for Akers potential owners, Philadelphias year-in, year-outoffensive production has been more the product of coach AndyReids schemes and less the product of Donovan McNabbs talent.Well find out this year. If the former is the case, theres little toworry about: the Eagles have finished either first or tied for first infield-goal attempts each of the last two seasons.

    6. Ryan Longwell, MINLongwells 2010 production will be tied, at some level, to BrettFavres annual decision to play another year or retire. The quarter-backs track record suggests the former is likely especially afterplaying well in 2009 but the alternative, Tarvaris Jackson, wouldconstitute a downgrade in the Vikings offense.

    7. Dan Carpenter, MIACarpenter actually might be a decent late-round sleeper at kicker.Why? Well, for one, theres the offseason acquisition of talented WRBrandon Marshall. Two, theres the continued development of QBChad Henne. And finally, theres this: Miami scored touchdowns on64.8% of their red-zone possessions, good for second in the NFL.Despite an improved offense, that number is unlikely to repeat itself.

    8. Lawrence Tynes, NYGAfter registering only a single attempt for the Giants in 2008, Tynanreturned to full-time duty in 2009. Thats not to say his job wascompletely safe: as late as October, New York worked out Matt

    Stover and Matt Bryant. Still, he took all of the teams 32 FGA (con-verting 27) and will remain the starter for a Giants squad that shouldcover some yards. The one concern as is usual for kickers in the

    Meadowlands is the wind and cold of Tynes home stadium.

    9. Robbie Gould, CHIWill Jay Cutler throw 27 interceptions again in 2010? Probably not,but even when he did in 2009, Gould still finished around 10th-12thplace among kickers by most formats. Fewer Bear turnovers willequal more scoring possessions. Whether those extra possessionsare field goals or touchdowns, Gould stands to be stronger play thisseason than last.

    10. Matt Prater, DENPrater is 7-of-9 from 50-plus yards the last two seasons. Thats oneof the benefits of selecting the one kicker who plays half his gamesa mile above sea level, regardless of who he is. There are other rea-

    sons to be less bull-ish on Prater: the departure of WR BrandonMarshall, for one; whomevers replacing Brandon Marshall, for two.Praters worthy of a draft pick, but theres no need to reach, either.

    11. Rob Bironas, TENThe Tennessee Titans lost their first six games of the season, aver-aging only 14 points per game over that stretch. (By comparison,the league-best Jet defense allowed 14.75 points per game.) Evenso, Bironas ended up finishing among the Top 5 kickers by mostformats. Much of his production came with Vince Young leading theoffense. Young will lead the offense in 2010.

    12. Matt Bryant, ATLBryant only played in five games last year for the Falcs, but his pro-rated fantasy production wouldve only left him in the middle of thepack and thus, undraftable. Of course, that was on a team withan injured quarterback (Matt Ryan) and injured running back(Michael Turner). If those two guys are right in 2010 and put upnumbers more like their respective 2008s, then Bryants probably agood selection among the latter kickers.

    13. Ryan Succop, KCSuccop is another guy on this list along with Miamis DanCarpenter and Baltimores Billy Cundiff who (a) will almost defi-nitely be available towards the end of a draft and (b) could very easily produce a season as good as anyone else on this list. WithCharlie Weis installed as the new offensive coordinator and JamaalCharles and Thomas Jones likely to form an above-average runningtandem, K.C.s offense is likely to step forward.

    14. David Buehler, DALHeres something to note: despite playing all 16 games in 2009,Buehler has yet to make or even attempt a field goal in theNFL. Thats because he spent all of last season as Dallass kickoffspecialist. But after Nick Folk and Shaun Suisham were unable todistinguish themselves, Buehler is slated to take over field-goalduties, too. The former USC kicker stands out for his strong leg: heforced a league-leading 29 touchbacks in 2009.

    15. Adam Vinatieri, INDItd make sense to see Vinatieri ranked higher after all, he kicksfor one of the most productive offenses in the NFL. Unfortunately

    KICKER SEASON PROFILESPlayer Profiles are based on season outlooks and re-ranked as events warrant during training camp.

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    for their kicker, the Colts are able to translate that offensive produc-tion into touchdowns more often than not, recording the third-bestred-zone conversion rate in the NFL in 2009 (64.6%). Unlike someother teams towards the top of that particular chart, Indy is actuallya high-powered offense.

    16. Jay Feely, ARZThe Cardinals attempted a league-low 19 field goals in 2010 notbecause their offense was bad at getting into good field position,but rather because t