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1 Preliminary Results for the Year ended 31 December 2018

DPEU 2018 Prelims vF - dpeurasia.com · DPEU Papa John's Dodo Russian expansion • Having successfully implemented the castle strategy in Moscow, we are continuing to expand, further

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  • 1

    Preliminary Resultsfor the Year ended 31 December 2018

  • 2

    This Presentation is not an offer to buy or sell any securities. Save where otherwise indicated, the Company is the source of thecontent of this Presentation and, accordingly, although care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this Presentation areaccurate and that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, ismade by any of the Company, any of its directors, officers, employees, affiliates, advisors, shareholders or representatives as to,and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinionscontained herein. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees, affiliates, advisors or representatives shall haveany liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contentsor otherwise arising in connection with the Presentation.

    Certain statements in this Presentation are not historical facts and are “forward looking” statements. These forward-lookingstatements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms “believes”, “estimates”, “anticipates”,“expects”, “intends”, “plans”, “may”, “will” or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology.None of the Company, its directors, officers, employees, affiliates, advisors, shareholders or representatives intend or have anyduty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation or toupdate or to keep current any other information contained in this Presentation. The information and opinions contained in thisPresentation are provided as at the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without notice. As a result, you arecautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward looking statements.

    Disclaimer

  • 3

    HighlightsAslan Saranga – Chief Executive Officer

    Operational ReviewGüvenç Dönmez – Chief Executive Officer of Russian Operations

    Financial ResultsSelim Kender – Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Investor Relations

    Current Trading & Management GuidanceAslan Saranga

    ConclusionAslan Saranga

    Q&A

    Today’s Agenda

  • HighlightsSECTION 1:

  • 5

    2018 highlights

    - - -

    9.3%(2017: 10.0%)

    16.0%(2017: 28.9%)

    LIKE-FOR-LIKE GROWTH

    36.8%

    REVENUE

    TRY 856.9m(2017: 626.5m)

    STORE COUNT

    SYSTEM SALES Adjusted EBITDA

    TRY 1,125.3m(2017: 859.8m)

    TRY 110.6m(2017: 90.8m)

    21.8%

    60.8%(2017: 51.8%)

    30.9%

    ONLINE DELIVERY

    81

    724(2017: 643)

    9.0% points

    TRY 96.5m(2017: 80.9m)

    TRY 23.9m(201711.2m)

    19.4% 112.2%

  • Operational ReviewSECTION 2:

  • 7

    Innovation is at our core: Strong product pipeline

    Source: Company Information

    First co-branded KitKat®chocolate pizza with Nestlé®

    Chicken pizzaDopdolu, a meat based value pizza

    Value Turbo line for take away / eat in Wrap as a new side

  • 8

    Innovation is at our core: Technology developments

    Source: Company Information

    • GPS Tracker launched with a national ad campaign in Turkey in January 2019• Delivery labour efficiencies already beginning to show• To be advertised periodically with campaigns to keep it fresh in consumers’ minds

    Restaurant screensCustomer screens

  • 9

    38%

    10%

    34%

    9%

    Online Total2017 2018

    79%

    29%44%

    16%

    Online Total2017 2018

    Like-for-Like performance

    LfL performance continues to be strong...System sales LfL growth, %

    Russia

    Turkey

    88%112%

    2017 2018

    70%

    278%

    2017 2018

    ...with the revamped apps leading the chargeApp System sales LfL growth, %

    Russia

    Turkey

  • 10

    67%44%

    76%

    52%

    Delivery Total2017 2018

    48%32%

    54%39%

    Delivery Total2017 2018

    52%35%

    61%43%

    Delivery Total2017 2018

    Digital growth

    Share of online ordering growing healthilyOnline system sales, %

    RussiaTurkey

    Group

    Source: Company Information

  • 11

    Store count growth

    …with Russia increasing the pace for the 5th consecutive year# of stores at period end

    Turkey approaching 550 stores...# of stores at period end (1)

    # of stores at period end

    Continuous and significant store rollout

    Source: Company Information Source: Company Information

    495522

    545

    450

    550

    2016 2017 2018

    72121

    179

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    2016 2017 2018

    +23

    +49

    +58

    370 432 466495 522 545

    1319 43

    72 121179

    80 103130 160

    219289

    383451 509

    567643

    724

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    +23+27 +30

    +59 +70+94

    +68+58

    +58+76

    DP RussiaDP Turkey

    Source: Company Information

    +27

    Notes:1. Includes Azerbaijan and Georgia

    +81

  • 12

    43

    72

    116

    149

    4252

    70

    92

    13

    37

    61

    99

    2015 2016 2017 2018

    DPEU Papa John's Dodo

    Russian expansion

    • Having successfully implemented the castle strategy in Moscow, we are continuing to expand, further building upon our growing market presence

    • Greater Moscow is the key region for Russia, that shows very high demand and still has highpotential for further growth

    • Key focus outside Moscow

    ‒ 30 stores out of Greater Moscow

    ‒ New cities have a population of more than1 million people, which provides convenient delivery from commissaries

    ‒ Continuing planned roll out to further cities

    • Yekatarinburg commissary operational with 60 store capacity

    • Russia franchise store mix at 44%, from a standing start 2 years ago.

    Progress in Greater Moscow has been rapid

    Expansion outside of Greater Moscow progressing wellEuropean part of Russia

  • Financial ResultsSECTION 3:

  • 14

    Capex and cash conversion(2)

    TRY MM %

    Adjusted EBITDA with margin a function of sales mix effect

    91111

    2017 2018

    860

    1,125

    2017 2018

    Year on year growth

    241 238

    402 486

    643724

    2017 2018Corporate Franchise

    DP Eurasia: Financial snapshot

    System Sales, TRY MM

    78 79

    14%

    29%

    2017 2018

    Capex Cash Conversion

    63%

    37%

    # of Outlets

    31%

    TRY MM

    Growth in system sales supported by store roll-out

    Source: IFRS Combined and Consolidated Financial Information, Management Accounts

    Notes:1. As % of System Sales2. Cash conversion defined as (Adj. EBITDA – Capex ) / Adj. EBITDA

    10.6%

    Adj. EBITDA Margin(1)

    9.8%

    67%

    33%

  • 15

    System Sales, TRY MM

    TRY MM %

    # of Outlets

    TRY MM

    System Sales

    Adjusted EBITDA and margin Capex and cash conversion(4)

    Store count(2)

    DP Turkey: Financial snapshot(1)

    8197

    2017 2018

    654 752

    2017 2018

    Year on year growth

    142 137

    372 398

    514 535

    2017 2018Corporate Franchise

    72%

    28%

    14%

    Source: IFRS Combined and Consolidated Financial Information, Management Accounts

    Notes:1. Including contributions from Azerbaijan and Georgia2. Turkey only

    12.4%

    Adj. EBITDA Margin(3)

    12.8%

    74%

    26%

    3. As % of System Sales4. Cash conversion defined as (Adj. EBITDA – Capex ) / Adj. EBITDA

    37 37

    55%62%

    2017 2018

    Capex Cash Conversion

  • 16

    System Sales, TRY MM

    TRY MM

    # of Outlets

    TRY MM

    System Sales

    Adjusted EBITDA Capex

    Store count

    DP Russia: Financial snapshot

    11

    24

    2017 2018

    205

    374

    2017 2018

    Year on year growth

    99 101

    22

    78121

    179

    2017 2018Corporate Franchise

    82%

    Source: IFRS Combined and Consolidated Financial Information, Management Accounts

    Notes:1. As % of System Sales

    5.5%

    Adj. EBITDA Margin(1)

    6.4%

    18%

    82%

    42 42

    2017 2018

    44%

    56%

  • 17

    14%

    86%

    TRY RUB

    38%

    56%

    6%

    TRY EUR RUB

    Cash flow generation

    2017 gross debt by currency 2018 gross debt by currency

    Debt profile of DP Eurasia

    Cash flow generation and debt profile

    Notes:1. Adjusted for activities that are not part of the normal course of business and are non-recurring including share-based incentives, IPO costs and severance costs for Turkey and Russia2. Adjusted net debt is calculated as sum of short-term borrowings and long-term borrowings, less cash and cash equivalents and adjusted for non-recurring items including long term deposit for loan guarantee and delay in

    collection/payment day coinciding on a weekend

    91 111

    (78) (79)

    12 32

    2017 2018Adj. EBITDA Capex Adj. EBITDA - Capex Cash Conversion

    107 155

    121 61

    228 216

    1.2x 1.4x

    2017 2018Adj. Net Debt Gross Debt

    TRY MM TRY MM

    Source: IFRS Combined and Consolidated Financial Information

    14% 29%

    (1) Adj. Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA(2) (1)(2)

    FX debt completely refinanced

  • SECTION 4

    Current trading and management guidance

  • 19

    Current trading

    (1) Consumer Confidence Indec

    Situation

    • Inflation and interest rates improving from Q3’18 peaks

    • FX stabilized; however, TRY still undervalued according to CBT’s Real Effective Exchange Rate

    • Election free until 2023 – reforms?

    Situation

    • Focus on expanding the pizza market via proven castle strategy

    • LfL averaging over 30% for the past 4 years

    • Regions to enter LfL bucket in 2020

    • Healthy ramp ups in new stores

    Action Plan Initiated• Continued product innovation• New websites and loyalty programme improvements• Focused marketing on key price points (hero prices)

    – Mar’19 3 week LfL at 8.4%• Product repricing in line with internal inflation

    (Domino’s food inflation low double digits)• Labour cost optimisation with GPS Tracker

    Action Plan Initiated

    • Improving corporate store economics

    • Optimizing supply chain margins

    • Continued product innovation

    • Streamlining HQ

  • 20

    Management guidance

    LfL(medium term)

    Targeted net store openings per year

    (medium term)

    Total potential store count

    CAPEX program

    ● High single digit LfL growth ● 2019: High single digit LfL growth● Thereafter: Low to mid-teens LfL growth

    ● 900 ● 1,500

    ● 25 – 30 stores● We expect franchise stores to be the main driver of

    new store openings

    ● 40 – 60 stores ● We expect franchise and corporate stores to be

    the main drivers of new store openings

    ● c. TRY 30 MM in 2019 ● c. RUB 450 MM in 2019

  • ConclusionSECTION 5:

  • 22

    Conclusion

    Source: Company Information

    • Record number of store openings for the Group and Russia

    • Online share increasing: 60.8% of delivery (+9.0% year-on-year)

    • No change to business fundamentals

    • Adjusted EBITDA in line with expectations

    System Sales EBITDA Margin(2)

    Turkey(1) +14.9% +19.4% +0.5%

    Russia +81.8% +112.2% +0.9%

    Notes:1. Includes Azerbaijan and Georgia2. Adjusted EBITDA as % of System Sales

  • AppendixSECTION 6:

  • 24

    12.4% 12.8%

    2017 2018

    Future growth driven by four core strategy pillars

    Innovation and online ordering to drive like-for-like growth

    Source: Company information

    Potential to export the platform

    Large whitespace opportunity in countries of presenceDomino’s stores, #

    Source: Company estimates

    Notes:1. Excluding Azerbaijan and Georgia

    Russia Adj. EBITDA / System Sales, %

    Source: Company information

    Leverage scale advantage to further improve profitability

    System sales LfL growth, %

    38%

    10%

    34%

    9%

    Online Total

    79%

    29%

    44%

    16%

    Online Total

    Turkey Russia

    2017 2018

    2018 Total Potential

    535

    c. 900

    2018 Total Potential

    179

    DP

    Rus

    sia

    DP

    Turk

    ey

    c. 1,500

    (1)

    Turkey Adj. EBITDA / System Sales, %

    DP Eurasia

    1 2

    3 4

    Adj. EBITDA / System Sales

    5.5%6.4%

    2017 2018

  • 25

    Attractive investment opportunity with high growth potential and proven business model

    Leading market positions1

    Highly attractive, underpenetrated markets with substantial growth potential in the Group’s addressable segments2

    Strong online capabilities underpin DP Eurasia’s growth3

    Globally proven business model successfully applied and adapted to DP Eurasia’s local markets4

    Simple and scalable, asset-light business model5

    Track record of resilient and profitable growth as well as strong cash conversion7

    Founder-led, experienced management team8

    Highly attractive customer proposition and strong brand equity6

  • 26

    DP Eurasia: Financial summary

    Key KPIs

    DP Eurasia income statement

    System sales ● Sales generated by the Group’s system stores (both corporate and franchise)

    Corporate revenue ● Revenue from the Group’s corporate stores

    Franchise revenueand royalty

    ● Consists of revenue from commissary sales to franchise stores and royalties calculated based on franchise store sales to customers, including the contribution to national advertising

    Cost of sales

    ● Corporate store costs; production related costs of the Group’s commissaries, such as merchandise and raw materials; ingredients and non-food items (including those sold to the Group’s sub-franchisees); labour; rent; utilities and other, including D&A of corporate stores and commissaries

    General and administrative

    expenses

    ● Consists of headquarters expenses such as personnel (excl. marketing and selling personnel), rent, utilities, commissaries’ rents and non-production related personnel and headquarters-related D&A expenses

    Marketing and selling expenses

    ● Includes marketing and selling personnel costs, royalties paid by the Group (on-going fees) and promotion and advertising expenses

    Source: Company Information, IFRS Combined and Consolidated Financial Information, Management Accounts

    Notes:1. One-off items include activities that are not part of the normal course of business and are non-recurring including share-based incentives, IPO costs and severance costs for Turkey and Russia

    2018 2017 Change

    Corporate Store Count 238 241 (3)

    Franchise Store Count 486 402 84

    System sales (TRY MM) 1,125.3 859.8 30.9%

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017 Change

    Revenue 856.9 626.5 36.8%

    Cost of Sales (566.3) (398.7) 42.0%

    Gross Profit 290.6 227.8 27.6%

    General Administrative Expenses (136.1) (108.7) 25.3%

    Marketing and Selling Expenses (104.3) (82.6) 26.2%

    Other Operating Income / (Expense) 3.105 (3.6) n.m.

    Operating Profit 53.3 32.8 62.3%

    Foreign Exchange (losses)/gains (18.8) (11.7) 60.9%

    Financial Income 5.5 1.2 355.6%

    Financial Expense (43.9) (21.6) 103.0%

    Profit / (Loss) Before Tax (3.9) 0.7 n/a

    Tax Expense (7.2) (0.6) n.m.

    Net Income (11.1) 0.1 n/a

    Adjusted EBITDA 110.6 90.8 21.8%

    Adjusted net income (6.7) 16.9 -139.8%

  • 27

    DP Eurasia: Revenue & Expense Breakdown

    Notes:1. One-off items include activities that are not part of the normal course of business and are non-recurring including share-based incentives, IPO costs and severance costs for Turkey and Russia

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017 Change 2018 2017

    System sales 1,125.3 859.8 31%

    Corporate 481.9 370.7 30% as a % of system sales 42.8% 43.1%

    Franchise 643.4 489.1 32% as a % of system sales 57.2% 56.9%

    2018 2017 Change 2018 2017

    Revenue 856.9 626.5 37%

    Corporate 481.9 370.7 30% as a % of revenue 56.2% 59.2%

    Franchise 301.3 226.6 33% as a % of revenue 35.2% 36.2%

    Other revenue 73.2 29.2 151% as a % of revenue 8.5% 4.7%

    Cost of Sales (566.3) (398.7) 42%

    Cost of Food/Non-Food/Transportation (292.7) (213.8) 37% as a % of system sales 26.0% 24.9%

    Corporate Store Expenses (234.5) (155.5) 51% as a % of corporate system sales 48.7% 42.0%

    Depreciation and Amortization (38.9) (29.4) 33%

    Gross Profit 290.6 227.8 28% as a % of system sales 25.8% 26.5%

    General Administrative Expenses (136.1) (108.7) 25%

    Overhead (Including Commisary) (117.8) (80.1) 47% as a % of system sales 10.5% 9.3%

    Depreciation and Amortization (14.3) (11.7) 22%

    Share based incentives (2.5) (1.5) n.m. as a % of system sales 0.2% 0.2%

    IPO Costs & Other One-offs (1.5) (15.3) n.m.

    Marketing and Selling Expenses (104.3) (82.6) 26%

    Marketing and Advertising (52.3) (43.4) 20% as a % of system sales 4.6% 5.1%

    Corporate Store Local Marketing (7.2) (4.9) 46% as a % of corporate system sales 1.5% 1.3%

    Royalty (44.9) (34.3) 31% as a % of system sales 4.0% 4.0%

    Other Operating Income / (Expense) 3.1 (3.6) n.m.

    of w hich One-off (0.0) - n.m.

    Operating Profit 53.3 32.8 62%

  • 28

    Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt calculation

    DP Turkey DP Russia

    DP Eurasia

    Notes:1. Excludes income and expenses which are not part of normal course of business and are non-recurring items

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017System Sales 373.5 205.4

    Revenue 372.2 205.9

    Operating profit (3.2) (4.2)

    D&A 24.4 14.0

    EBITDA 21.2 9.9 Non-recurring (income)/expenses 2.7 1.4

    Adjusted EBITDA 23.9 11.2 % of system sales 6.4% 5.5%

    Adjusted EBIT (0.5) (2.8) % of system sales -0.1% -1.4%

    Capital expenditures 42.2 41.7 Cash conversion n.m. n.m.

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017Short term bank borrow ings 36.5 136.9Short-term portions of long-term financial lease borrow ings 7.8 5.2

    Long-term bank borrow ings 161.6 74.5

    Long-term financial lease borrow ings 9.7 11.2

    Total borrowings 215.6 227.9

    Cash and cash equivalents 28.4 76.1

    Net debt 187.2 151.8

    Non-recurring items

    Long term deposit for loan guarantee (32.5) (28.2) Adjusting delay in collection/payment day coinciding on a weekend - (16.8) Adjusted net debt 154.6 106.7

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017System Sales 751.8 654.3

    Revenue 484.7 420.6

    Operating profit 66.5 51.7

    D&A 28.9 27.1

    EBITDA 95.5 78.8 Non-recurring (income)/expenses 1.1 2.0

    Adjusted EBITDA 96.5 80.9 % of system sales 12.8% 12.4%

    Adjusted EBIT 67.6 53.8 % of system sales 9.0% 8.2%

    Capital expenditures 36.8 36.7 Cash conversion 61.9% 54.6%

    (TRY MM) 2018 2017System Sales 1,125.3 859.7

    Revenue 856.9 626.5

    Operating profit 53.3 32.8

    D&A 53.3 41.1

    EBITDA 106.6 74.0 Non-recurring (income)/expenses 4.0 16.8

    Adjusted EBITDA 110.6 90.8 % of system sales 9.8% 10.6%

    Adjusted EBIT 57.3 49.7 % of system sales 5.1% 5.8%

    Capital expenditures 79.0 78.5 Cash conversion 28.6% 13.6%

  • 29

    Exchange Rates

    Period ended 31 December

    2018 2017

    Currency Period End Period Average Period End Period Average

    EUR/TRY 6.028 5.679 4.516 4.116

    RUB/TRY 0.075 0.076 0.065 0.062

    EUR/RUB 79.461 73.950 68.867 65.901

    Source: Company Information

  • 30

    62% 62%

    38% 38%

    2017 2018Delivery Take-away / Eat-in

    63% 63%

    37% 37%

    2017 2018

    Delivery Take-away / Eat-in

    60% 60%

    40% 40%

    2017 2018

    Delivery Take-away / Eat-in

    Delivery – Take-away / Eat-in mix

    % of system sales

    RussiaTurkey

    Group

    Source: Company Information