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Issue 175 24•September•2014 Week 38 Turkey’s pipeline planning Turkey’s BOTAS has started the process to construct a gas import pipeline from Iraq to Turkey despite no gas export agreement having been finalised with the government in Baghdad. Weighing up the market NewsBase talks to EPConsult Energies about growth opportunities in Africa, as the international engineering firm weighs up the industry. Aramco looks at Asia acquisition Saudi Aramco is reported to be considering purchasing a 40% stake in a greenfield refining and petrochemicals complex being developed by ailand’s PTT in the south central coast region of Vietnam.

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  • Issue 175 24September2014 Week 38

    Turkeys pipeline planning Turkeys BOTAS has started the process to construct a gas import pipeline

    from Iraq to Turkey despite no gas export agreement having been finalised with the government in Baghdad.

    Weighing up the market NewsBase talks to EPConsult Energies about growth opportunities in Africa,

    as the international engineering firm weighs up the industry.

    Aramco looks at Asia acquisition Saudi Aramco is reported to be considering purchasing a 40% stake in a

    greenfield refining and petrochemicals complex being developed by Thailands PTT in the south central coast region of Vietnam.

  • COMMENTARY 3

    Turkey moves to establish Iraq-Turkey gas pipeline 3

    Downstream momentum develops for Africa 4

    Egypt on the rise 5

    POLICY 7

    UFG may drop Egyptian lawsuit 7

    REFINING 8

    Aramco linked with Vietnam mega-refinery 8

    Bahrain pushes on with Sitra refinery expansion 8

    FUELS 9

    UAE, IDB to help ease Egyptian fuel shortage 9

    PETROCHEMICALS 10

    KNPC plots Al-Zour petchems integration 10

    Industries Qatar shelves Al-Sejeel 11

    KBR wins Algerian fertiliser design deal 11

    Iran plans to boost petchem feedstock 12

    PIPELINES 12

    Oxy eyes part-sale of Dolphin stake 12

    Poor security in Iraq delays delivery of Irans pipeline gas 13

    IS uses diverse smuggling tactics 13

    TERMINALS & SHIPPING 14

    Egypt secures financing for Suez Canal expansion 14

    TENDERS 14

    Aramco retenders for Ras Tanura upgrade 14

    NEWS IN BRIEF 15

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 3

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Turkeys state gas importer and transit

    pipeline operator BOTAS has begun the

    bureaucratic process for the development

    of a gas transit conduit through the

    countrys south eastern Mardin and

    Sirnak provinces. With the line set to

    terminate at the countrys border with

    Iraq, it has clearly been designed as an

    import pipeline. The process involves the

    preparation of a 272-page environmental

    impact assessment (EIA), which has been

    submitted to Ministry for Environment

    and Urban Affairs, which in turn has

    made the report available for public

    scrutiny ahead of a public consultation

    meeting to be held in the region on

    October 1.

    According to investment plans

    published previously by BOTAS, the

    Mardin-Sirnak line should be nothing

    more than an extension of the transit

    branch line currently being constructed

    from Diyarbakir to Mardin, designed to

    link Turkeys far south eastern provinces

    to the countrys expanding gas

    transmission infrastructure and allowing

    for the establishment of urban gas

    distribution and gas fired power plant.

    This is borne out by the detailed plans

    in the EIA which indicates the

    construction of a 185-km line with five

    take-off points at major urban

    conurbations and a branch line running

    from the town of Cizre, to the regional

    capital of Sirnak.

    However, a line designed purely for

    regional gas transmission has no need to

    continue to the Turkey-Iraq border along

    a route with minimal population, running

    for the final few hundred metres to the

    border, through a cordon sanitaire

    which already carries the existing

    Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil line.

    Nor would it need to cross the border

    at the KRG controlled town of

    Fishkabour, the site of the junction

    between the KRGs main crude pipeline

    and the Kirkuk-Ceyhan line, and the

    KRGs metering crude oil station.

    More significantly still, a line designed

    purely for regional transmission could be

    expected to be constructed using 10 inch

    (254 mm) pipe exactly what is being

    used for the Cizre-Sirnak branch.

    Pipeline progress

    As with the Diyarbakir Mardin line,

    which BOTAS says will be completed in

    early 2015, the Mardin-Sirnak gas line

    will be constructed using 40-inch (1,016

    mm) pipe, giving it a maximum capacity

    of up to 20 billion cubic metres per year.

    This figure depends on a number of

    factors, such as the wells supplying the

    line and the number and capacity of

    compressor stations installed, but as a

    ball-park maximum serves to indicate

    both the lines potential maximum

    capacity, and its likely use.

    With Turkeys total gas consumption,

    most of which is accounted for by the gas

    and power demands of the main cities

    west of Ankara, set this year to reach

    only 49 bcm it does not take much to

    understand that 20 bcm per year is far in

    excess of whatever demand could be

    expected in two of Turkeys most

    impoverished regions whose combined

    population barely tops 1 million.

    The line is clearly designed for

    importation of gas from Iraq, and given

    the potential volume of gas involved

    which is far in excess of what Turkey

    requires for its own needs well into the

    next decade, also offers the potential for

    significant exports to Europe.

    Squaring the triangle

    In a week in which Turkey and

    Azerbaijan were more than happy to

    trumpet the breaking of ground for an

    expansion of the South Caucasus gas

    pipeline, which will feed the planned 31

    bcm Trans-Anatolian gas pipeline

    (TANAP) line, of which around 25 bcm

    per year can be exported to Europe, it

    could be considered unusual that a

    planned import line from Iraq which

    could supply close on 20 bcm per year to

    Europe has attracted almost zero

    publicity.

    Especially as Iraqi gas could help fill

    the 15 bcm of capacity in the TANAP

    which has yet to be allocated.

    COMMENTARY

    Turkey moves to establish

    Iraq-Turkey gas pipeline

    Turkeys BOTAS has started the process to construct a gas import pipeline from Iraq to

    Turkey despite no gas export agreement having been finalised with the Iraqi central

    government

    By David OByrne

    BOTAS has submitted an environmental impact assessment (EIA) for the 185-km project The Mardin-Sirnak line will have a maximum capacity of up to 20 bcm per year Despite being designated for transmission within Turkey, it was likely designed with imports in mind

    The Mardin-Sirnak gas

    line will be constructed

    using 40-inch (1,016 mm)

    pipe, giving it a maximum

    capacity of up to 20 billion

    cubic metres per year

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 4

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Given the current parlous situation in

    Iraq however, Turkeys reticence in

    publicising this latest planned addition to

    its gas import portfolio is perhaps

    understandable.

    Turkish plans for importing gas from

    Iraq and for transiting Iraqi gas to

    Europe, began in 2008 with talks with

    the central government in Baghdad over

    the possible importation of gas from

    Iraqs southern Basra region.

    However, in 2012, relations with the

    Baghdad government of Nouri al-Maliki

    had all but collapsed, while those with

    the Kurdistan Regional Government

    (KRG) had prospered.

    In early 2013, then Turkish Prime

    Minister Tayyip Erdogan announced that

    Turkey had formed a joint venture with

    ExxonMobil to extract gas from fields in

    the Kurdistan Region for export to

    Turkey while later in the year Turkey and

    the KRG signed an agreement to allow a

    Turkish state company to develop other

    exploration blocks thought to hold gas.

    More recently Anglo-Turkish upstream

    operator Genel Energy has announced

    that the Miran and Bina Bawi gas fields

    to which it holds rights could be

    developed to supply 4 bcm per year for

    export by late 2017, rising to 20 bcm per

    year by 2020.

    Although such a timetable could be

    viewed as optimistic given how little

    exploratory work has been done on the

    fields, it would fit neatly with the

    possible development of the Mardin-

    Sirnak line which can reasonably be

    expected to be completed within the next

    three years.

    All that remains then is for Turkey, the

    KRG and the new government in

    Baghdad to reach an agreement on the

    export of hydrocarbons from the

    Kurdistan Region. An eventuality

    difficult enough without the insurgency

    of Islamic State (IS) militants in the

    northwest of the country against whom

    an international US-led coalition has

    already begun taking action.

    The irony being that the one country

    missing from the coalition, is that which

    appears most likely to benefit from the

    expulsion of IS, Turkey.

    In an exclusive interview with

    NewsBase, Martin Larsen, managing

    director of EPConsult Energies, talked of

    difficulties posed by instability in the

    Middle East and the opportunities for

    growth in Africa. The Middle East is

    important in terms of reserves and the

    provision of hydrocarbons to the world

    but politically it is unstable at the

    moment with volatility in Iraq, Syria and

    Yemen, he said. There is plenty of

    planning and development work for new

    projects but less implementation.

    The challenge for the region is to

    balance production while maintaining the

    price of oil, he added, noting his

    companys role in trying to bring

    stability to projects.

    Our role is to optimise the potential of

    a project in its implementation we use

    cost-benefit analysis in everything we do

    to keep cost to a minimum while seeking

    to maximise outcome, said Larsen.

    In respect to the fourth gas train project

    at the Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery for the

    Kuwait National Petroleum Corp. (KPC),

    EPConsult Energies was commissioned

    to identify improved ways for the

    implementation activities of engineering,

    procurement and construction (EPC).

    Once in production, the new gas plant

    train will have a capacity of 805 million

    cubic feet (22.8 million cubic metres) per

    day in addition to 106,000 barrels per

    day of condensates. On this project,

    Value Engineering was geared to identify

    [the] optimum way for implementation

    considering that it was a fast-track

    project, Larsen said.

    One area in the Middle East that is

    implementing new projects is Saudi

    Arabia as it sets out to expand production

    from its gas sector. It is not an area

    where EPConsult Energies is currently

    very active, although the firm recently

    completed Value Engineering study for

    Al Khafji Joint Operations (KJO) and has

    also supported Saudi Aramco with study

    work to prepare them for increased gas

    production from their offshore fields.

    The work involves optimising the

    offshore support fleet, looking to reduce

    operating expenditure (OPEX) without

    compromising HSE risks.

    EPConsult Energies is more

    established in Oman, which wants to

    develop its offshore industry.

    COMMENTARY

    Downstream momentum

    develops for Africa

    EPConsult Energies talks to NewsBase about growth opportunities in Africa, as the

    international engineering firm weighs up the industry

    By Jon Stibbs

    While there is frustration about the present instability in the Middle East, Oman is a focus for growth The firm has bid for the Kenya-Uganda oil pipeline project, which could release East Africas oil potential De-risking projects is defined as essential to the complete project undertaken by EPConsult Energies

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 5

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    The company has prepared a

    Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) for

    Occidental Petroleum (Oxy) and worked

    in the sultanate for Oman Oil Refineries

    and Petroleum Industries Co. (ORPIC),

    conducting hazard and operability

    (HAZOP) study. Although we have

    nothing immediate lined up, we have

    good contacts in Oman I love it there

    and we plan to go ahead with new

    projects, said Larsen.

    Omans government has asked

    Petroleum Development Oman (PDO) to

    increase production to 600,000 bpd from

    its long-term plateau of 500,000-550,000

    bpd, which is has held for the three years.

    The country also plans to double the

    number of fields at which enhanced oil

    recovery (EOR) techniques are used to

    30% over the next 10 years, although the

    move to EOR will bring significant cost

    increases. Larsen highlighted that

    because Omans fields are smaller than

    Saudis, Oman can expect its unit

    technical costs (UTC) per barrel will be

    significantly higher than its neighbour.

    For the oil, gas and petroleum industry

    the African continent is expected to be

    important in the foreseeable future. We

    have worked in all the Middle East

    countries, as well as all of North Africa

    and in East and West Africa, he said,

    noting that assessing and identifying risk

    is an essential component of EPConsult

    Energies work.

    What clients always want is for us to

    de-risk a project by selecting the best

    design or selecting the optimum

    production operations approach. This

    typically involves studying ways to

    minimise CAPEX and OPEX while at

    the same time reducing the risk to

    personnel, environment, asset and

    reputation. Larsen said. Where risks are

    high, the company suggests ways of

    mitigating the issues and assessing

    whether they can be made acceptable.

    Looking forward

    Looking forward, Larsen predicted that

    EPConsult Energies would maintain its

    role in Europe including the North Sea

    the Middle East, south-east Asia, where

    Indonesia and Malaysia will be

    important; he also singled out India.

    However, he said: We think Africa will

    be most important in terms of growth.

    EPConsult Energies worked on the

    West African Gas Pipeline (WAGP)

    project in Nigeria and Benin, which

    Larsen described as, very interesting,

    politically and technically, after they

    were pulled in at a late stage to perform a

    QRA. Given the timing, the project was

    mainly focused on the implementation of

    risk-reduction measures through changes

    in procedure. The project infrastructure

    had been damaged by a third party

    interaction, which is a challenge in

    several parts of the world where the oil

    and gas industry operates. Sabotage is

    something we need to live with because

    it is a simple way for terrorists to get

    attention and pipelines make easy

    targets, he said. It is costly but possible

    to engineer around this challenge.

    EPConsult Energies has bid to

    participate in the Kenya-Uganda crude

    oil pipeline project, which could be

    extended into Rwanda and Sudan, and

    has the potential to open up East Africas

    oil exporting potential. The project is

    complicated by the various political and

    national interests involved, as well as the

    risk of pipeline attacks. Its an exciting

    project, said Larsen but the technical

    challenges are not the most difficult

    aspect. There are also social and cultural

    aspects associated with the pipeline that

    need to be tackled. EPConsult Energies

    said it would contract local companies

    for their support in the engagement with

    communities along the route to the coast

    of Kenya to ensure the smooth running of

    the project.

    The firm sees its best prospects for

    growth from its existing references in

    West Africa and the East African gas

    bonanza from Mozambique through

    Tanzania, Kenya and Ethiopia, and also

    the waxy crude of Uganda. The opening

    up of these markets promises huge

    changes to the region and could reshape

    the hydrocarbon-producing world. The

    issue for Africa will be to locate the

    finance to pay for the downstream

    projects required to make their industries

    develop and flourish.

    Few have benefited from the incursion of

    Islamic State (IS) militants into Iraq and

    Syria, but the situation may have its

    advantages for Egypts new President

    Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.

    Not only has his draconian crackdown

    on the moderate Islamists of the Muslim

    Brotherhood been given a spurious

    legitimacy, but both Western and

    regional powers are now queuing up to

    offer financial support to Cairo.

    Bilaterally, and through various

    financial institutions, they hope such

    funds will buttress the political stability

    of the regions most populous country

    and ensure Al-Sisis acquiescence in

    military moves against the militants.

    COMMENTARY

    Egypt on the rise

    Despite lenders and donors queuing up to help Egypt, and investors tentatively returning,

    the region needs more long-term stability as considerable challenges remain

    By Clare Dunkley

    Foreign oil firms are bidding for and winning new oil licences, despite government payment problems Domestic investors have responded positively to the Suez Canal project share sale

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 6

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Domestically, a population weary after

    three years of political upheaval have

    accepted sweeping fuel subsidy cuts

    imposed by the new government

    relatively quietly compared to the

    reaction to its Islamist predecessors

    attempt to do the same.

    Meanwhile, the sale of investment

    certificates launched in early September,

    restricted to Egyptian nationals and

    institutions, appears to have signalled a

    degree of confidence in the new regime.

    The newly announced national project to

    expand the Suez Canal openly billed by

    Central Bank of Egypt governor Hesham

    Ramez as a patriotic duty reached its

    60 billion Egyptian pound (US$8.4

    billion) target, aided somewhat by its

    generous rate of return. All in all, it

    seems Al-Sisi is being given the benefit

    of the doubt. The five-year, non-tradable

    Suez Canal investment certificates

    formally part of the Long Live Egypt

    Fund went on sale on September 4.

    Sales hit target eleven days later, a clear

    success for the government in its

    determination to eschew further foreign

    debt. While the proportion of retail rather

    than institutional investors is unknown,

    the 12% return was far higher than that

    obtainable on ordinary savings deposits.

    There are also concerns surrounding

    the sapping of local liquidity and the

    management of the Suez Canal project.

    The scheme calls for the construction of

    a 72-km parallel channel allowing north

    and southbound vessels to pass each

    other, thus enabling uninterrupted

    passage, reducing costs and security

    worries for traders. Cairo predicts an

    almost doubling of throughput and

    almost trebling of annual revenues, to a

    projected US$13 billion, over the coming

    decade. Casting doubt on the

    thoroughness of the planning process,

    Al-Sisi called in August for the

    implementation timeframe to be

    shortened to one year from three. The

    onshore work which accounts for about

    US$4.5 billion of the investment has

    also been announced by successive

    governments, with no palpable progress.

    However, with international demand for

    new capacity present, and with the

    government sorely needing to boost state

    revenue sources in the face of a widening

    budget deficit, the Suez capital-raising

    can be considered an important success.

    Call to alms

    In spite of Al-Sisis determination to deal

    with the countrys economic woes, three

    years of domestic unrest investment and

    falling tourism have taken a downturn,

    necessitating a wide search for

    international financial assistance, and

    calls for foreign firms to continue or

    resume investing. Both appear to be

    being heeded, with a slew of institutions

    lining up in August and September to

    extend monetary help, and with other

    firms hydrocarbon investment activities

    bearing fruit. Since the ousting of former

    president Mohamed Morsi, the Gulf

    monarchies of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and

    the UAE fearful of domestic Islamist

    threats have been eager to prop up the

    new regime.

    On September 1, a US$9 billion deal to

    finance the import of oil products came

    into effect between Egyptian General

    Petroleum Co. (EGPC) and Abu Dhabi

    National Oil Co. (ADNOC), reportedly

    repayable at 2-3% over four years. Two

    weeks later, an agreement was reached

    for ADNOC to supply the fuel. A

    shortage of gas is posing a huge problem

    for the government from various angles.

    The diversion of national gas output

    away from exports and towards domestic

    demand has reduced foreign currency

    income, leaving the government indebted

    to the tune of some US$5.9 billion to

    international oil companies (IOCs) and,

    as a consequence, deterred both existing

    and future investors in the sector.

    However, the alternative of permitting

    fuel shortages to occur would be

    politically suicidal at a time when the

    public is just reluctantly adapting to

    the higher fuel prices brought in by the

    strict 2014/15 budget effected on July 1.

    This years financial plan cut fuel price

    subsidies by one third, to 100 billion

    Egyptian pounds (US$14 billion), in an

    attempt to rein in the budget deficit to

    10% of GDP, from 12% the previous

    year. On September 16, Finance Minister

    Hany Kadry told a conference in Cairo

    that the government intended to cut the

    overall subsidy bill by 90% over the next

    four years, while promising careful

    targeting to ease the burden on the

    poorest.

    On top of the direct budgetary rewards

    of the new regimes fiscal austerity, such

    reforms are also a condition for the IMF

    releasing a proposed US$4.8 billion loan

    package which has been under

    negotiation since 2011. An agreement is

    therefore expected soon again likely to

    have both direct and indirect benefits for

    the countrys perceived creditworthiness

    in foreign investors eyes. As a harbinger

    of its improved relationship with the

    fund, Cairo has requested that its delayed

    Article IV economic assessment be

    conducted as soon as possible, ahead of a

    planned investment conference in

    February.

    We hope that the [IMF] report comes

    in favour of Egypt and contributes to the

    return of foreign flows, either directly as

    investments in the real economy or

    indirectly by improving the stock

    market, the finance ministry stated on

    September 13. International institutions

    are also playing their part in funding

    specific fuel-related projects to ease Al-

    Sisis economic woes. On September 11,

    the international co-operation ministry

    announced that the World Bank had

    extended a US$500 million, 30-year loan

    to fund a project to connect 850,000

    Egyptian homes to the natural gas grid.

    The ministry added that the EU was

    planning 700 million euros (US$900

    million) in financial assistance by the end

    of the year, as part of the European

    Neighbourhood and Partnership

    Instrument scheme.

    COMMENTARY

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 7

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Meanwhile, the finance ministry

    announced on September 14 that the

    Jeddah-based Islamic Development Bank

    had approved a US$198 million, 15-year

    loan towards the delayed upgrade of the

    Assiut refinery, to convert low-grade fuel

    oil to more useful products.

    New growth

    While the willingness on the part of the

    international community to ease the path

    of the new government is undoubtedly

    welcome, it is the return of investors and

    tourists that will be crucial to more

    sustainable economic health.

    The urgent need for both the proceeds

    and the products of the oil and gas

    industry make the call to this sector

    particularly pressing, but the recent

    history of debt and export diversion, as

    well as fears of physical and political

    security, has made both new and existing

    partners wary. Major investors, such as

    the UKs BG, have been explicit in their

    anger and frustration, the company

    warning the government in July that debt

    repayment was a prerequisite for any

    further investment. As operator of one of

    the countrys two LNG projects BGs

    stance is understandable, having been

    pushed to declare force majeure to

    customers and sustain losses as a result

    of Cairos requisitioning of gas supplies.

    In July super-major BP, also owed over a

    billion dollars by the government,

    publicly refuted a claim by Oil Minister

    Sherif Ismail that its US$10 billion

    development of the West Nile

    Delta/North Alexandria concession had

    resumed, indicating that further

    discussions were required to regain trust.

    However, several investment green

    shoots appeared in late August and early

    September. The results of last years

    December bid round were announced,

    resulting in seven deals worth a total

    US$187 million. Signatories included

    Germanys RWE Dea, Tunisias HBSI

    and Italys Edison Canadas TransGlobe,

    for blocks in the Gulf of Suez and the

    Western Desert, though full licence

    details have not yet been released.

    Shortly beforehand, South Africas

    Sacoil even risked investment in an

    exploration asset the Lagia licence in

    Egypts dangerous Sinai region, where a

    home-grown Islamist militant group is

    based. More immediately important

    given the severe fuel shortage, was

    RWEs late August start-up of gas

    production from the Disouq development

    in the West Nile Delta, and BPs work

    with Eni on the Denise-Karawan project

    in the East Nile Delta. Egypt is

    undoubtedly still suffering severe

    economic challenges, but the past

    months string of financial and

    investment achievements suggest that

    Cairo is confident of attaining the IMFs

    provisional seal of approval, should it

    consent to return. It seems that in the

    midst of a turbulent region, the

    comparable stability provided by the Al-

    Sisi administration may be enough to

    stoke renewed interest in the country.

    Union Fenosa Gas (UFG) may drop a

    multi-billion dollar lawsuit against

    Egypt, if the government allows the

    company to import Israeli gas to its idle

    liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plant

    in Egypt. The arbitration has not been

    suspended but UFG would be ready to

    talk about it under certain circumstances

    In a September 16 filing Reuters

    reported that UFG, a joint venture largely

    owned by Spains Gas Natural and

    Italys Eni, may negotiate its position.

    The arbitration has not been suspended

    but UFG would be ready to talk about it

    under certain circumstances... its on the

    negotiation table, said an anonymous

    source who spoke with the news agency.

    UFG launched the lawsuit for breach

    of contract in the International Chamber

    of Commerce last year, after gas

    shortages led the Egyptian government to

    divert supplies towards growing

    domestic needs, forcing the company to

    suspend exports from its plant at

    Damietta in 2012. While Egypts oil

    ministry did not respond to a Reuters

    request for comment, UFGs willingness

    to drop the lawsuit may help unlock the

    Israeli import deal after Egyptian

    authorities in May said that approvals

    could not otherwise be granted. In May

    2014, Houston-based Noble Energy,

    which owns a 36% stake in the Tamar

    gas field offshore Israel, announced the

    execution of a non-binding letter of

    intent (LOI) between the Tamar partners

    and UFG for the sale of 70.8 billion

    cubic metres of gas over 15 years.

    Turning the letter into a viable contract,

    however, ultimately requires the

    Egyptian governments approval. Egypt,

    which is facing its worst energy crisis in

    years, owes around US$5.9 billion to

    foreign oil and gas firms operating in the

    country, including UFG, after it diverted

    energy supplies earmarked for export.

    They [UFG] are confident that the

    Egyptian government will not block this

    project because it makes economic sense

    and it has some compelling long-term

    benefits for Egypt and its people, by

    restoring investor trust and freeing up

    more gas for domestic use, Reuters

    source added. As with the negotiations

    between Israel and Jordan which have

    yielded three letters of intent for the

    export of natural gas so far this year the

    US is also understood to be involved in

    discussions with Egypt. Indeed, as US

    State Department Acting Special Envoy

    and Coordinator for International Energy

    Affairs, Amos Hochstein tweeted two

    weeks ago: Good day of mtgs in #Egypt

    on energy challenges & opportunities.

    constructive atmosphere. optimistic &

    hopeful w/ministry ldrshp #EastMed.

    COMMENTARY

    POLICY

    UFG may drop Egyptian lawsuit

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 8

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Saudi Aramco is reported to be

    considering the acquisition of a 40%

    stake in a greenfield refining and

    petrochemicals complex being developed

    by Thailands PTT in the south central

    coast region of Vietnam.

    The move would be consistent with the

    Saudi behemoths strategy of

    downstream investment in major,

    primarily Asian, markets that has already

    born fruit in China and South Korea.

    However, some doubts have been cast

    over the projected cost of the joint

    venture (JV), which would require a far

    higher financial commitment than

    Aramcos previous refining investments

    in the region. Furthermore, Vietnam is

    not a major importer of the kingdoms

    crude.

    While reports of the Saudi firms

    proposed involvement are new, PTT has

    been planning the integrated Nhon Hoi

    refinery complex in Binh Dinh province

    for some time. A feasibility study

    recently submitted to the Industry &

    Trade Ministry scales back the refinerys

    capacity from the 660,000 barrels per day

    earlier mooted to 400,000 bpd and

    correspondingly lowers the projected

    cost to US$22 billion from US$28.7

    billion. An integrated petrochemicals

    complex would add a 1.4 million-tonne

    per year ethane cracker and downstream

    units. Construction is seen as beginning

    in 2016, with completion scheduled for

    2021.

    Under the latest plan submitted to the

    government, PTT and Aramco would

    each take 40% stakes, with local

    investors sought for the remainder.

    Chairman of the Binh Dinh provincial

    committee Le Huu Loc was quoted in the

    local press as saying that bringing

    Aramco on board would secure crude

    supply, as is the norm and aim in the

    companys global refining JVs.

    However, the key difference is that

    while Vietnam lacks refining capacity, it

    is a net exporter of crude. The implied

    investment of US$8.8 billion is also very

    large compared with earlier foreign

    investments, such as that for a 25% stake

    in Chinas US$5 billion Fujian Refining

    & Petrochemical Co. JV with

    ExxonMobil and Chinas Sinopec, and

    most recently the US$2 billion paid by

    Aramco for an additional 28.4% stake in

    South Korean refiner S-Oil, which

    operates a refining capacity of 670,000

    bpd.

    Nonetheless, Vietnam is clearly an

    attractive downstream proposition for

    major oil producers. The countrys only

    existing refinery, Dung Quat in the

    central Quang Ngai province, is a JV

    between state-owned PetroVietnam and

    Russias Gazprom while the second

    Nghi So in the north central Vung Ro

    province, on which ground is due to be

    broken in October is being developed

    as a partnership involving Kuwait

    Petroleum International (KPI) alongside

    PetroVietnam and Japans Idemitsu

    Kosan and Mitsui Chemicals.

    The planned integration with

    petrochemicals also mirrors Aramcos

    wider strategy. Even as other companies

    are retrenching, we will be investing to

    build a vertically and horizontally

    integrated, top-tier refining, marketing,

    petrochemicals, lubes and power

    business with much of that expansion

    coming in the form of joint ventures with

    other leading global firms at home and

    abroad, President and CEO Khalid al-

    Falih pledged in late August.

    In 2013, Aramcos overseas venture

    produced 2.4 million bpd of refined

    products, only slightly less than the 2.5

    million bpd produced at home. The

    company is also considering investing in

    a second Chinese refinery at Yunnan and

    signed a memorandum of understanding

    (MoU) in 2012 for a JV refinery and

    petrochemicals plant in Indonesia with

    state-owned PT Pertamina.

    A subsidiary of Technip has been

    awarded a contract to develop front-end

    engineering design (FEED) services for

    four main work packages as part of a

    planned expansion and upgrade of the

    Bahrain Petroleum Co.s (BAPCO)

    267,000 barrels per day refinery at Sitra,

    on Bahrains eastern coast. Under the

    contract, Technip Italy will carry out

    FEED work on units designed to process

    bottom-of-the-barrel components into

    high-value petroleum products, as well as

    all associated offsites and utilities

    necessary to integrate the proposed units

    with existing installations at the refinery,

    Technip said in a September 16 release.

    The overall project aims to enhance the

    refinerys configuration and profitability

    by increasing its crude processing

    capacity to 360,000 bpd and improving

    its yield of products. According to

    Technip, it will execute the reimbursable

    contract through a co-ordinated effort of

    its operating centres in Rome and Abu

    Dhabi. It said the FEED contract is

    scheduled to be completed at the end of

    2015.

    REFINING

    Aramco linked with

    Vietnam mega-refinery

    Bahrain pushes on with Sitra

    refinery expansion

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 9

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    A notice from the Bahraini government

    said the contract was awarded in June

    2014 with a value of around US$56

    million. Bahrains refinery modernisation

    programme will take around six years to

    complete in a series of phases. It is a key

    structural project within the

    governments plan to develop the

    countrys oil and gas sector and generate

    increased financial returns for the

    national economy.

    The project has three major elements,

    consisting of boosting refining capacity,

    concentrating on production of middle

    distillates, and reducing or eliminating

    fuel oil by adding residual conversion

    units, according to a 2014 presentation

    from BAPCO.

    The modernisation will include the

    staged implementation of at least five

    units, including a residue hydrocracker,

    vacuum gas oil hydrocracker, diesel

    hydrotreater, sulphur recovery unit, and a

    delayed coker, BAPCO said.

    In June, BAPCO let a contract worth in

    excess of US$82 million to Chevron

    Lummus Global, a joint venture between

    CB&I and Chevron, to prepare an

    engineering design package for a residue

    hydrocracking unit at the refinery.

    A flurry of financial and economic good

    news for Egypt emerged in mid-

    September, as the UAE followed a deal

    in August to lend US$9 billion to Cairo

    for the purchase of desperately-needed

    oil products with an agreement to supply

    the bulk of these products for the next

    year, while the board of the Jeddah-based

    Islamic Development Bank (IDB)

    approved a loan to kick-start the

    expansion of the Asyut refinery which

    had been delayed owing to funding

    problems.

    Buoyed by the positive sentiment,

    Cairo called on the IMF to return to the

    country to carry out a postponed Article

    IV economic assessment ahead of a

    planned investment conference in

    February 2015, evidently foreseeing a

    favourable report.

    The fuel supply deal approved by the

    Egyptian cabinet on September 17 entails

    Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC)

    covering around 65% of the countrys oil

    products needs including diesel,

    gasoline, heavy fuel and LPG for one

    year. While the cabinet statement said

    only that the sales price was

    appropriate, reports of the oil products

    financing deal in late August between

    ADNOC and state-owned Egyptian

    General Petroleum Co. (EGPC) valued it

    at US$9 billion and quoted petroleum

    ministry officials indicating that

    repayment would be at a concessionary

    2-3% rate spread over four years.

    Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) figures

    put the spending on fuel product imports

    in 2012/13 at US$9.4 billion, costing the

    government crippling sums in subsidies,

    and prompting the swingeing cuts to

    price support enacted with the 2014/15

    budget on September 1, which aims to

    reduce the cost of subsidies to 100 billion

    Egyptian pounds (US$14 billion) from

    143 billion pounds (US$20 billion).

    In spite of having Africas largest

    refining capacity, Egypts ability to meet

    its own oil product demand is hampered

    by dilapidated facilities running well

    below capacity coupled with delayed

    upgrade and expansion projects.

    The estimated US$890 million

    addition of a hydrocracking unit at the

    47,000 barrel per day Asyut refinery, to

    convert low-quality heavy fuels to higher

    quality products such as gasoline and

    LPG, is one such scheme on hold since

    2011, partly as a result of financing

    difficulties and the Jeddah-based IDBs

    approval at its latest meeting of a

    US$198-million, 15-year loan to the

    scheme will be welcome.

    In late 2013, the government publicly

    reaffirmed its backing for the more

    critical project to construct a new US$3.7

    billion, 82,000 bpd refinery at Mostorod,

    on the outskirts of Cairo, due on stream

    in 2016 and designed to more than halve

    required the countrys diesel imports.

    Along with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia,

    the wealthy Gulf states have extended

    financial aid totalling around US$30

    billion since the accession of President

    Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in 2013 in an

    attempt to cement the defeat of the

    Islamists of the Muslim Brotherhood and

    buttress the regime of the former general

    as a bulwark against regional Islamic

    militancy.

    REFINING

    FUELS

    UAE, IDB to help ease

    Egyptian fuel shortage

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 10

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    However, the new government is eager

    to tap sources other than Gulf largesse,

    and the subsidy reform was imposed

    partly to satisfy the IMFs conditions for

    extending a US$4.8 billion loan package

    under negotiation since 2011. As a sign

    of Cairos growing confidence in its

    economic policy, a finance ministry

    statement on September 13 called on the

    fund to conduct an Article IV

    consultation and publish the results

    before a planned investment conference

    in February. We hope that the report

    comes in favour of Egypt and contributes

    to the return of foreign flows, either

    directly as investments in the real

    economy or indirectly by improving the

    stock market, it said.

    State-owned downstream operator

    Kuwait National Petroleum Co. (KNPC)

    has appointed the UKs KBC Advanced

    Technologies as technical consultant on

    the proposed integration of the New

    Refinery Project (NRP) at Al-Zour with

    the two long-planned petrochemicals

    plants on the project slate of its sister

    firm, Petrochemical Industries Co. (PIC).

    While the major new olefins and

    aromatics projects have been on the

    drawing board for many years, expansion

    of the sector has been constrained by lack

    of progress on the expansion and upgrade

    of the refining sector as well as the

    perennial problem of scarce gas

    feedstock.

    However, with the NRP enjoying a

    new lease of life over the past year, and

    bids for the main construction contracts

    due in November and January, PICs

    plans are back on the agenda.

    Fluor of the US was selected in 2013

    to conduct a pre-feasibility and market

    study for the countrys third cracker

    project, called Olefins III, which would

    comprise a 1.4 million tonne per year

    (tpy) mixed-feedstock cracker fed by

    naphtha and LPG from Al-Zour and

    returning hydrogen and pygas for use in

    the refinery.

    Project costs have been estimated at

    US$7-10 billion, with start-up targeted

    for 2019/20 and a tentative product slate

    comprising linear low-density

    polyethylene (LLDPE), high-density

    polyethylene (HDPE), monoethylene

    glycol (MEG), polypropylene (PP),

    ethanolamine, polyols and emulsion

    styrene butadiene rubber (E-SBR). Also,

    in late 2013, Foster Wheeler of the US

    was awarded a similar contract covering

    a proposed US$5 billion aromatics plant

    to produce paraxylene (PX) and benzene.

    The existing hub of Kuwaits

    petrochemicals industry is Shuaiba,

    where the existing refinery is to be shut

    down as part of the ongoing Clean Fuels

    Project (CFP) for the upgrade and

    expansion of the Mina al-Ahmadi and

    Mina Abdullah plant.

    The countrys first cracker, brought on

    stream in 1997, was built as a joint

    venture between PIC and the US Dow

    Chemical Co., called Equate, which went

    on to manage the Olefins II project, as

    well as the first aromatics project

    commissioned in 2009 to produce PX

    and benzene and a 450,000 tpy styrene

    plant.

    A complex shareholding structure

    divides equity interests in the various

    project companies between Dow, PIC

    and local private sector firms Qurain

    Petrochemical Industries Co. (QPIC) and

    Boubyan Petrochemical Co.

    Equates total current stated capacity

    stands at 1.8 million tpy of ethylene,

    825,000 tpy of polyethylene (PE), 1.2

    million tpy of ethylene glycol (EG),

    830,000 tpy of PX, 450,000 tpy of

    styrene monomer, 140,000 tpy of PP and

    393,000 tpy of benzene.

    One problem confronting PIC in

    implementing the two new projects

    would be the choice of foreign partner.

    Relations with Dow soured badly in 2008

    when PIC was forced by parliamentary

    opposition to withdraw from a planned

    US$17.4 billion joint venture with the

    US giant, for which Kuwait was forced

    to pay US$2.2 billion in compensation in

    2013.

    Implementation is also obviously

    contingent on the estimated US$14

    billion NRP finally going ahead: bids are

    due for two of the five engineering,

    procurement and construction (EPC)

    packages on November 9 and for the

    remaining three on January 13, but the

    scheme has reached the award stage

    before only to be returned to the drawing

    board.

    The second KNPC refining flagship

    the US$16-18 billion CFP covering

    expansion of the combined capacity of

    Mina Abdullah and Mina al-Ahmadi to

    800,000 barrels per day from 730,000

    bpd and an upgrade of the product slates

    is more advanced, with construction

    due to start in October following the

    award of the main EPC contracts in

    April. The much-delayed scheme took a

    further step forward in mid-September

    with the award of a financial advisory

    mandate to National Bank of Kuwait

    (NBK), which will be responsible for

    evaluating the funding requirements,

    determining the optimal financing

    structure and raising the required

    funds.

    FUELS

    PETROCHEMICALS

    KNPC plots Al-Zour

    petchems integration

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 11

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    State-controlled Industries Qatar has put

    its plans to build the multibillion dollar

    Al Sejeel petrochemical complex project

    on hold as it looks for alternative

    investments. The company announced

    last week that it was evaluating a new

    petrochemical project that will yield

    better economic returns, in a statement

    posted on the Qatar Exchange.

    Al Sejeel was to be one of the worlds

    largest mixed-feed steam crackers and it

    was scheduled for completion in 2018 as

    part of Qatars large-scale expansion of

    its petrochemicals sector. The project

    was valued at US$5.5-6 billion, Hamad

    Rashid Al Mohannadi, chairman of Qatar

    Petrochemical Co. (QAPCO), a unit of

    Industries Qatar, said in late 2013.

    Al Sejeel was also part of Qatars two

    planned petrochemical plants expected to

    be built before the end of the decade, the

    second being Al Karaana, to be built by

    Qatar Petroleum (QP) in partnership with

    Royal Dutch Shell. Before the end of this

    year, QP was planning to raise US$13

    billion for the plants, and the Royal Bank

    of Scotland Group had already been

    hired in 2013 to arrange financing for Al

    Karaana, which is valued at US$6.5

    billion.

    QP and QAPCO signed an agreement

    in February 2012 to jointly develop the

    Al Sajeel mega-complex in Ras Laffan.

    QP holds a 80% stake while QAPCO

    owns the remaining 20%, and Industries

    Qatar owns 20% of QAPCO.

    Qatar is focusing on the petrochemical

    market to diversify away from exports of

    LNG into using gas for industrial

    enterprises and domestic power

    generation. The country plans to double

    petrochemical output to around 23

    million tonnes per year (tpy) by 2020,

    Energy Minister Mohammed Al-Sada

    said in January.

    US firm KBR has been awarded a

    contract by the Spanish-local joint

    venture (JV) Fertial for the expansion of

    the companys ammonia plants at Arzew

    and Annaba.

    The engineering giant had already been

    selected to carry out preliminary studies

    on the project in late 2013 and progress

    towards the plans implementation

    follows Fertials agreement in April with

    the government resolving the thorny

    issue of gas prices.

    Omans Suhail Bahwan Group (SBG)

    and Egypts Orascom Construction

    Industries (OCI), the foreign partners on

    two recently completed greenfield

    fertiliser schemes in the country, reached

    similar deals in early September and late

    2013 respectively.

    KBRs latest contract covers

    technology licensing and basic

    engineering design on the upgrade of

    Fertials ageing facilities, described in a

    KBR statement as 1970s vintage

    plants. Capacity, which currently stands

    at around 1 million tonnes per year (tpy),

    will be expanded in phases by around

    50%.

    The Arzew plant, in the Oran industrial

    hub, produces nitrogenous fertilisers and

    that at Annaba, on the east coast, supplies

    phosphate-based products including

    ammonium phosphate (AP), sulphuric

    acid, phosphoric acid, diammonium

    phosphate (DAP) and sodium

    tripolyphosphate (STP), the last supplied

    mainly to the local Socit Nationale des

    Industries Chimiques (SNIC) for

    detergent manufacture.

    Fertial, which has been majority-

    owned by Spains Grupo Villar Mier

    since 2005 with the remainder held by

    the local Asmidor, faced a period of

    dispute with Algiers in 2013 over state-

    owned Sontarachs gas supply to the

    plant and other issues related to shipping

    permits that led the firm to declare force-

    majeure on ammonia exports normally

    accounting for around 80% of output in

    October.

    However, an improvement in relations

    was signalled in April in an opaque

    announcement that Fertial and Sonatrach

    had reached an agreement to amend the

    terms of their 2005 deal, reportedly

    settling on an internationally determined

    price for gas destined for export.

    The rocky period in relations between

    Algiers and foreign investors in local

    fertiliser production was not confined to

    those with Fertial.

    OCI and SBG also saw the

    commissioning of greenfield JV facilities

    at Arzew delayed.

    OCI owns 51% alongside Sonatrach in

    the Sofert JV created in 2008 to develop

    an 800,000 tpy ammonia and 1.4 million

    tpy urea plant, which was finally

    commissioned late last year after a

    revised partnership deal was signed. Also

    in 2008, a 51:49 JV was formed between

    SBG and the state oil company called

    Algerian Omani Fertiliser Co. for a 1.5

    million tpy ammonia plant and a 2.6

    million tpy urea plant, and on September

    8, a deal to amend the terms was

    announced by Sonatrach through the

    states Algerian Press Service.

    PETROCHEMICALS

    Industries Qatar shelves Al-Sejeel

    KBR wins Algerian

    fertiliser design deal

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 12

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    The new deal was said to rebalance

    the economic and operational interests of

    both parties [and to ensure the plant

    would] ultimately satisfy the demand of

    the domestic agricultural sector for

    fertiliser at competitive prices. Both

    ventures were geared mainly towards the

    export market, taking advantage of

    Algerias favourable geographic location

    and plentiful natural gas to serve

    European demand.

    A senior official with Irans National

    Petrochemical Co. (NIPC) has said that

    the country is planning to use more than

    20% of its total natural production as

    petrochemical feedstock by 2025.

    Marzieh Shahdaei, the companys

    project manager, told the Shana news

    agency that the move forms part of

    NIPCs plan to become the biggest

    producer of petrochemicals in the world.

    Efforts are under way to be able to get

    the top spot in terms of value of

    petrochemical production by 2025, she

    said. Moreover, we intend to be using

    21% of the countrys total natural gas

    production, or 86 billion cubic metres,

    for feeding this industry, she added.

    According to Fars, the Iran

    Petrochemical Commercial Co. (IPCC)

    the NIPCs sales division exported

    US$838 million of petrochemicals during

    the first four months of the current

    calendar year, which started on March

    21. During the previous year, Iran

    produced 40 million tones per year (tpy)

    of petrochemicals, with around US$9

    billion exported.

    The country has said that it plans to

    increase its petrochemical exports to

    US$12 billion this year.

    However, on September 21, Irans oil

    minister Bijan Namdar Zangeneh said

    that the countrys annual exports of

    petrochemical products could reach

    US$25 billion.

    In 1997, he added, this stood at just

    US$1 billion.

    This followed comments earlier this

    month from NIPC head Abbas Sheri-

    Moqaddam, who said in an interview

    with the semi-official Fars news agency

    that sanctions against Iran were

    continuing to hold back the sector,

    despite being temporarily eased earlier

    this year.

    What is important in exports is the

    transfer of revenues from selling

    products. Unfortunately, sanctions

    continue to cause obstacles, he added.

    The sanctions on the petrochemical

    industry have apparently been lifted, but

    in practice, this industry remains under

    sanctions [owing] to the difficulty of

    transfer of money into the country.

    The Abu Dhabi-owned Mubadala

    Development is in talks to buy at least

    one fifth of Occidental Petroleums

    (Oxy) 24.5% stake in Dolphin Energy.

    Mubadala is quite keen to do the deal ...

    they even want to buy Oxys entire stake

    [in Dolphin] but Qatar is unlikely to

    accept that because of the political

    situation with the United Arab Emirates,

    said one person close to the talks, quoted

    on September 17 by the Wall Street

    Journal.

    The report cited another person close

    to the discussions who said that Oxy,

    which bought its stake in Dolphin Energy

    for US$310 million in 2002, might

    conclude the sale before the end of 2014.

    Mubadala owns 51% of the gas

    pipeline project, which is valued at

    US$3.5 billion. Frances Total holds a

    24.5% stake. Qatar has to give its

    approval to any deal because Dolphin

    Energys assets are in the emirate.

    The two parties are hopeful a smaller

    stake would get Qatar to eventually agree

    on the deal, the person said. Dolphins

    assets include upstream gas projects and

    a pipeline with the capacity to transport

    up to 3.2 billion cubic feet (90.6 million

    cubic metres) per day of gas from Qatar

    to the UAE and Oman.

    A previous plan by the Houston-based

    Oxy to sell 40% of its Middle East assets

    to a consortium of Gulf-based firms was

    held back by political tension.

    The proposal involved the Oman Oil

    Co. (OOC), Qatar Petroleum

    International (QPI) and Mubadala linking

    up to buy a share of Oxys regional

    assets, but fell through because of a

    political rift between Qatar and other

    Gulf countries over Dohas support for

    the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.

    NewsBase understands that Oxy is also

    involved in discussions to sell as much as

    a 30% stake in the US$10 billion Shah

    natural gas project in the UAE to

    Mubadala.

    PETROCHEMICALS

    Iran plans to boost

    petchem feedstock

    PIPELINES

    Oxy eyes part-sale of Dolphin stake

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 13

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Poor security in Iraq brought about by

    the military advance of the Islamic State

    (IS) militant group will delay the start-up

    of a natural gas pipeline connecting Iran

    with Iraqi power generation

    infrastructure, Iranian media reported last

    week.

    The first section of the pipeline, 97 km

    in length with a diameter of 48 inches

    (1,220 mm), cannot be tested because of

    security concerns, officials at Iranian

    companies said.

    Operations for the construction of

    Iran-Iraq gas pipeline are complete and

    we are now in the pre-start-up testing

    phase, after which the pipeline will be

    ready to initiate test-run gas injection by

    early October, said Alireza Gharibi,

    managing director of the Iranian Gas

    Engineering and Development Co.

    (IGEDC). But he added: Based on

    negotiations between Iran and Iraq,

    Irans gas cannot be exported to Iraq

    under the current insecure conditions.

    Hence it will be exported to Iraq early

    next year. The final decision in this

    regard will be made by senior officials.

    The Iranian New Year begins in March

    2015. Meanwhile, the head of the

    National Iranian Gas Export Co.

    (NIGEC), Alireza Kameli, said Iran will

    be ready to export gas to Iraq as of next

    year but the start of gas export operations

    definitely depends on establishment of

    normal conditions in the country.

    Iraq and Iran in July 2013 reached a

    gas supply agreement whereby Iraq will

    receive an initial 4 million cubic metres

    per day, with volumes eventually rising

    to 25 mcm per day and ultimately 45

    mcm per day through the pipeline.

    The gas is to be used to feed one power

    station in Sadr and another near

    Baghdad. The gas supply will originate

    in Irans offshore South Pars gas field.

    The Islamic State (IS) militant group is

    using diverse methods to get oil from

    captured Syrian fields to markets in

    Turkey, a recent report in the Wall Street

    Journal has said.

    IS, known also as ISIS or ISIL, and

    other rebel groups have since the start of

    the civil war in Syria been reported as

    smuggling oil in order to finance their

    wars. The WSJ report maps out how the

    smuggling operations work.

    The group has captured a number of

    oilfields in northeast and central Syria

    that were once contracted to international

    oil companies (IOCs), including Total

    and Royal Dutch Shell.

    Crude produced at those fields or

    stolen from pipelines is taken by truck to

    rudimentary refineries located primarily

    in Syrias Raqqa Province and the

    products are then transported to the

    Turkish border by trucks, horses or

    mules, the daily reported.

    Some of the products are hauled to

    Iraq. The report said that fuel had also

    been floated across rivers on rafts or

    pumped through underground

    pipelines and had wound up in the

    markets of southeastern Turkey.

    Crude oil and products have long been

    smuggled from Syria and Iraq to the

    Turkish border and over the years

    Ankara has done little to halt the trade.

    But since the start of the Syrian war,

    smuggling activity has increased.

    With the gains made by the IS creating

    widespread concern, Turkey has come

    under international pressure to do more

    to stop the trade.

    Ankara has been reluctant to do so, or

    to take any action against IS, out of fear

    for the lives of 46 diplomats who were

    captured in Mosul in June, when the

    jihadists took the city. However, the

    Turkish diplomats were released on

    September 20, and returned to Turkey

    under circumstances that Ankara has not

    yet fully explained.

    According to the WSJ report, IS is

    becoming increasingly reliant on

    smuggling. The daily said that the fields

    it controls produced around 100,000

    barrels per day and that most of that was

    refined and smuggled out of Syria. The

    revenue is estimated at US$2 million per

    day. The report said that during the early

    weeks of September, Turkish forces

    confiscated more than 3,540 gallons

    (16,093 litres) of fuel, more than 2,300

    metres of pipe used to smuggle the fuel

    and other equipment at the Turkey-Syria

    border. Most of this was confiscated

    along the Orontes River near Turkeys

    Hatay Province. Some 450,000 litres of

    fuel and 80 persons were arrested in the

    border town of Hacipasa in July, the

    report said. IS main refinery is located

    near the town of Akrish.

    The products refined there are taken by

    truck to the Turkish border, and some

    goes into parts of Iraq controlled by IS.

    Other media reports have said that IS is

    earning more than US$3 million per day

    from fuel smuggling, human trafficking,

    theft and extortion.

    PIPELINES

    Poor security in Iraq delays

    delivery of Irans pipeline gas

    IS uses diverse smuggling tactics

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 14

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Egypt has raised a total of 64 billion

    Egyptian pounds (US$8.79 billion)

    through the sale of certificates to

    Egyptian buyers that will be used to

    finance the expansion of the Suez Canal.

    In announcing the results of the

    certificate issue, Central Bank Governor

    Hisham Ramez said the sale had

    surpassed the original target of 60 billion

    pounds (US$8.4 billion) and that 82% of

    the buyers were private individuals.

    The certificates were sold exclusively

    to Egyptians at the insistence of

    President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in

    denominations of 10 pounds (US$1.4),

    100 pounds (US$14) and 1,000 pounds

    (US$140) at a rate of 12%, the highest

    rate ever offered by Egyptian banks for

    such instruments.

    The certificates were sold at Bank

    Misr, the National Bank of Egypt,

    Banque du Caire and Suez Canal Bank.

    The issue is now closed.

    Ramez said the certificates attracted 27

    billion pounds (US$3.8 billion) in fresh

    cash to Egyptian banks.

    He said a total of US$1.5 billion was

    converted into Egyptian pounds inside

    the banking system to buy the certificates

    and Egyptian expatriates bought 350

    million pounds (US$49 million) worth.

    Al-Sisi is pushing the expansion

    project as a means to stimulate the

    economy and restore national pride, and

    had insisted that the project be financed

    by the Egyptian public in Egyptian

    currency.

    A new 72-km waterway will run

    parallel with a section of the existing

    161-km canal. Work began in August

    and will cost around US$4 billion for the

    canal alone, with a further US$4.4 billion

    invested in the entire Suez Canal area

    with the addition of three new ports, an

    industrial zone and a technology area

    near Ismailia.

    The new channel will reduce a vessels

    waiting time from 11 hours to three. It

    will enable 97 vessels per day to pass

    through the canal compared to the

    current 49.

    Sections of the existing waterway will

    be widened and deepened, allowing

    larger, modern vessels to transit. The

    plan includes six road and rail tunnels

    that will pass beneath the canal.

    Egypt earns US$5 billion per year

    from the canal. The expansion project is

    expected to boost earnings to US$13

    billion by 2023.

    Government-owned Saudi Aramco has

    released the revised tenders for the main

    contracts on the Ran Tanura refinery

    clean fuels and aromatics project to

    upgrade the kingdoms largest refinery,

    supplier of nearly 33% of domestic fuel

    requirements.

    The estimated US$2-3 billion scheme

    is designed to reduce the sulphur content

    of output and widen the product range,

    with a view to feeding new downstream

    industries: future connection with a

    petrochemicals facility is also envisaged,

    as part of Aramcos wider plans to

    pursue such integration. The projects

    scope was revised and scaled back after

    initial offers submitted late in 2013 came

    in significantly over budget a problem

    of which even the wealthy state

    behemoth has become increasingly aware

    over the past year as construction prices

    rise throughout the region.

    Prequalifiers are now being invited to

    bid on two rather than three engineering,

    procurement and construction (EPC)

    packages with a proposed paraxylene

    (PX) unit abandoned, leaving the naphtha

    and toluene plant and offsites and

    utilities (O&U). The former will include

    a 140,000 barrel per day naphtha

    hydrotreater, a 90,000 bpd catalytic

    cracking reformer, a 70,000 bpd toluene

    unit and a 65,000 bpd isomerisation unit.

    Technical and commercial bids for

    both contracts are due by December, with

    an award scheduled by the end of the

    first quarter of 2015 followed by a 36-

    month construction period. The 10-strong

    shortlist comprises Daelim Industrial, GS

    Engineering & Construction, Hanwha

    Engineering & Construction, Hyundai

    Engineering & Construction and

    Samsung Engineering, all of South

    Korea, Foster Wheeler of the US,

    Japanese firm JGC Corp., Saipem and

    Tecnimont, both of Italy, and Spains

    Tecnicas Reunidas. A site visit took

    place on September 17-18.

    During the previous tendering, Aramco

    was negotiating with Daewoo and JGC

    for the process packages and with JGC

    alone as the sole bidder for the O&U:

    the client will be hoping to attract greater

    interest in the latter during the rebid.

    TERMINALS & SHIPPING

    Egypt secures financing

    for Suez Canal expansion

    TENDERS

    Aramco retenders for

    Ras Tanura upgrade

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 15

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    Jacobs Engineering of the US carried

    out the original front-end engineering

    and design (FEED) and the

    reconfiguration.

    Ras Tanuras current capacity totals

    550,000 bpd, and facilities include a

    325,000 bpd crude distillation unit and a

    225,000 bpd gas condensate distillation

    unit, as well as a 50,000 bpd hydrotreater

    and a 107,000 bpd catalytic refining unit.

    Over-budget bids for major projects

    also posed a problem for Aramcos

    integrated combined-cycle gas turbine

    (CCGT) power plant planned at Jizan, on

    which initial prices totalled more than

    US$10 billion for a scheme allocated

    around US$5 billion. As with Ras

    Tanura, firms were obliged to retender

    the project with a reduced scope in this

    case a smaller power generation capacity

    in a process only just nearing

    completion, with a formal award

    expected imminently to Germanys

    Linde for the fifth and final package, for

    oxygen supply.

    Aramco President and CEO Khalid al-

    Falih laid out the cost escalation

    problems faced at all stages of the

    companys myriad projects, both up- and

    downstream, in a speech in late August.

    Rising costs and cost overruns are

    dragging many projects, he said. These

    project challenges are driven in part by

    shortages and bottlenecks in our supply

    chain, including drilling contractors,

    shipyards, EPC firms, and materials and

    equipment suppliers, which have led to

    growing quality, schedule and cost

    pressures.

    The following news items are sourced

    from local and international news

    sources. NewsBase is not responsible for

    the contents of the stories and gives no

    warranty for their factual accuracy.

    POLICY

    Iran to comply with

    terms of nuclear deal

    Iran is taking further action to comply

    with the terms of an extended interim

    agreement with six world powers over its

    disputed atomic activities, a U.N. nuclear

    watchdog report obtained by Reuters

    Friday showed. The findings in a

    monthly update by the International

    Atomic Energy Agency though no

    major surprise may be seen as positive

    by the West as negotiations resumed in

    New York this week on ending the

    decade-old nuclear standoff. The IAEA

    document made clear that Iran is

    continuing to meet its commitments

    under the preliminary accord that it

    reached with the United States, France,

    Germany, Britain, China and Russia late

    last year and that took effect in January.

    In addition, as agreed when the deal was

    extended by four months in July, it is

    using some of its higher-grade enriched

    uranium in oxide form to produce fuel

    a step that experts say would make it

    more difficult to use the material for

    bombs. The IAEA is tasked with

    checking that Iran is living up to its part

    of the temporary agreement, which was

    designed to buy time for current talks on

    a comprehensive settlement of the

    dispute.

    DAILY STAR, September 20,

    2014

    REFINING

    SATORP hits

    capacity as Total,

    Vitol see EU slump

    The newest oil refinery in Saudi Arabia

    reached full capacity last month,

    increasing the international competition

    that Vitol SA and Total SA said will

    force the closing of more European

    plants.

    The SATORP refinery, a venture

    between Total and Saudi Arabian Oil

    Co., processed crude at a rate of 400,000

    barrels a day on Aug. 1, Patrick

    Pouyanne, Totals president of refining

    and chemicals, said at a conference in

    Brussels yesterday. Europes refineries

    are too small and not sophisticated

    enough to compete with new plants,

    Chris Bake, executive director at Vitol,

    the worlds largest oil trader, said at a

    separate conference in Fujairah, in the

    United Arab Emirates yesterday.

    Rationalisation is a necessity for

    Europe, Pouyanne said at the Platts

    European Refining Summit. We are

    facing a global overcapacity and

    companies in Europe should close about

    10 percent of refining capacity by 2020

    because of falling domestic demand and

    rising competition.

    European refineries are shutting or

    converting to storage depots at the fastest

    pace since the 1980s after demand for oil

    products dropped for seven years and

    competition from other regions

    intensified. Seventeen plants closed in

    the past six years, according to the

    International Energy Agency, the Paris-

    based adviser to 29 nations. Another 10

    refineries need to close, equating to 1.5

    million to 2 million barrels of daily

    capacity, Pouyanne said.

    Reduce Surplus

    Theres quite a need to cut refinery

    capacity further beyond what is

    happening today, Toril Bosoni, an IEA

    analyst, said at the Brussels conference

    yesterday. The outlook for margins is

    not looking so good next year.

    Another 4.8 million barrels of daily

    capacity would have to be cut worldwide

    by 2019 to increase the average refinery-

    utilisation rate to the levels last seen

    before the 2008 financial crisis, Bosoni

    said. This may be done by closing

    existing plants or delaying or cancelling

    new projects, she said.

    TENDERS

    NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 16

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    European refiners are at risk of closing

    because theyve been under-investing

    for too long and are too small to compete

    with the biggest refineries in the Middle

    East and India, said Vitols Bake.

    SATORP is the first of three new Saudi

    refineries. Saudi Arabian Oil Co., known

    as Aramco, is constructing another

    400,000 barrel-a-day plant at Yanbu on

    the Red Sea coast with Chinas Sinopec

    Group. The project is in the

    precommissioning stage, Aramco

    Chief Executive Officer Khalid Al-Falih

    said on Sept. 10. The Jazan refinery

    project in the kingdoms southwest will

    also process 400,000 barrels a day of

    crude and is planned to begin operations

    in 2016, according to Aramcos website.

    In the Middle East, 27 new refineries or

    expansions to existing plants will be

    completed through 2020, adding 5.4

    million barrels a day to capacity,

    according to a presentation by Amrita

    Sen, chief oil analyst at consultant

    Energy Aspects, at the Brussels

    conference yesterday.

    BLOOMBERG, September 24,

    2014

    El Sharara field

    operating, but

    Zawiya still closed

    Libyas El Sharara oilfield is operating,

    but the Zawiya refinery it connects to is

    still closed after storage tanks there were

    damaged during fighting between armed

    groups, a Libyan oil official said on

    Wednesday. Libyas oil output has

    recovered to 800,000 barrels per day

    (bpd) after the restart of production at El

    Sharara. It had risen as high as 870,000

    bpd before El Sharara was closed last

    week. On Tuesday, the National Oil

    Corporation had said Zawiya may restart

    within a couple of days. There were no

    immediate details on the state of repairs

    at the refinery.

    REUTERS, September 24, 2014

    Dangote orders

    refinery equipment

    The quest by Africas richest man, Aliko

    Dangote to make an intervention in

    Nigerias long standing fuel supply

    hiccups is being pursued vigorously with

    advance orders believed to have been

    made for equipment that will be used to

    build his proposed US$8 billion refinery

    and petrochemical plant in Lekki, Lagos.

    BusinessDay learnt yesterday that the

    orders for these equipment were made

    ahead of government granting a Licence-

    To-Establish (LTE) a refinery which

    Dangote received only a few days ago.

    The equipment ordered include Long

    Lead Items and a power plant, which

    ordinarily would take between 18 and 21

    months from time of order to time of

    delivery. It is anticipated that these

    advance orders may cut short the take-off

    time of the project. The Dangote

    Refinery and Petrochemical Plant, is

    scheduled to become operational third

    quarter of 2017 with capacity to process

    400,000 barrels of petroleum per day.

    BUSINESS DAY, September 24,

    2014

    Bahrain refinery

    contract goes to

    Technip

    Technip was awarded by The Bahrain

    Petroleum Company (BAPCO) a

    significant contract on a reimbursable

    basis to develop the Front-End

    Engineering Design (FEED) of the

    refinery located in the Kingdom of

    Bahrain.

    The FEED contract covers four main

    work packages that include units aimed

    at processing the bottom of the barrel

    components to high value products, and

    all associated offsites and utilities to

    provide seamless integration with

    existing refinery facilities earmarked for

    retention post this major modernization.

    The project aims at enhancing the

    refinery configuration, by increasing the

    throughput from 267,000 to 360,000

    barrel per day as well as improving the

    product slate and profitability.

    Technips operating centre in Rome,

    Italy, in cooperation with Technips

    operating centre in Abu Dhabi, United

    Arab Emirates, will execute the contract,

    scheduled to be completed at the end of

    2015.

    Marco Villa, Technip Region B (2)

    President said: We are proud to be

    associated to BAPCO for this major

    development of the refinery. The award

    confirms Technips leading position as

    partner of choice to provide high-end

    services for strategic investments. This

    reflects at the same time the importance

    to follow the client and have keen

    understanding of its needs, since the very

    early stage of an initiative.

    TECHNIP, September 19, 2014

    Khartoum refinerys remarkable success

    story

    Khartoum Refinery deserves the social

    responsibility award, for the total

    commitment and services it has rendered

    to the local community residing in the

    nearby area,

    Since it foundation as joint project

    between the between government Sudan

    represented by ministry of Petroleum and

    China National Petroleum Corporation.

    The Refinery has changed the life of the

    people in a nearby villages and the area

    of scrub land into one of the countrys

    most industrialized areas. It provides

    employment and stable living conditions

    for the local people living in the area, and

    who are far from the whole country. The

    workforce is drawn from different parts

    of Sudan. The Refinery also provides the

    villages with primary health care

    facilities and helps in primary education.

    Most of the people in area are getting

    benefits in one way or other from the

    Refinery.

    The Refinery also provides business

    opportunities for various service

    industries, restaurants, Banks in the area,

    Moreover, the Khartoum Refinery

    produces benefits for Sudan, both in

    terms of employment and services and

    valuable skill experience in addition to

    many others valuable funds generated by

    the refinery.

    The Refinery helps Sudan to produce oil

    and the end of shortage which used to be

    in the past. The refinery can produce a

    number products in the future.

    SUDAN VISION, September 23,

    2014

    NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Downstream Monitor MEA 24 September 2014, Week 38 page 17

    Copyright 2014 NewsBase Ltd.

    www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm

    All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All

    reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents

    India ships in 50%

    more Iranian oil

    Indian imports of Iranian oil rose by

    nearly half to 271,000 barrels per day

    (bpd) in January-August from a year ago,

    when refineries cut purchases due to

    worries about insurance coverage for

    processing crude from Tehran, data from

    trade sources shows. India, the Islamic

    states top client after China, had boosted

    imports in the first quarter of this year to

    make up for the cuts in 2013 and to hit its

    target of importing 220,000 bpd from

    Iran in the fiscal year to March 31. India

    shipped in 273,500 bpd of Iranian oil in

    August, up 30% from the previous month

    and about 81-per cent higher than a year

    ago, the data showed. Shipments in

    August were bolstered as Indian Oil

    Corp., the countrys biggest refiner,

    bought Iranian oil after a two-month gap,

    shipping in nearly 2 million barrels.

    REUTERS, September 18, 2014

    FUELS

    Abuja residents call

    for DPR intervention

    Some residents of Abuja on Saturday

    appealed to the Department of Petroleum

    Resources (DPR) to monitor the

    distribution of fuel in the metropolis. The

    News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) reports

    that many filling stations had long

    queues on Saturday. A housewife, Mrs

    Linda Candy, said she had been on the

    queue for more than six hours with no

    hope that she would access the product.

    Candy, who said that she came out to buy

    fuel in preparation for resumption of

    schools on Monday, appealed to the DPR

    to intervene. Duru Chibuzor, a journalist

    who had been at the filing station since

    Friday, told NAN that many residents

    were tired of staying on the queue

    with