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Domestic Sweet / WTIDomestic Sweet / WTISpecifications Specifications
COQA- October 2009
Dennis Sutton- Marathon Petroleum
3
A Decade Ago
Development of LLS Specifications API Gravity, Sulfur, Metals, MCRT, HTSD, Light
Ends, TAN (added later)
Extensive Basin Quality Work Led by Aaron Dillard and Others
4
COQG Efforts
January 2005 - John Maurer of Valero initiated discussion on specs for major crudes at Domestic Trading Centers
A subcommittee was formed to pursue this work West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Cushing, OK
were agreed to be our greatest interest and impact High Temperature Simulated Distillation (HTSD),
acidity (TAN), API gravity, sulfur, carbon residue (MCRT) and metals were identified as important quality parameters
5
2006 - 2008
Data was obtained that showed Domestic sweet to be a light, sweet, very low TAN stream but there was a great deal of variability in the metals and HTSD data. Also, some uncertainty about exactly where and how some samples were obtained.
An article in the July 17, 2008 Oil Daily highlighted COQG’s efforts in developing more comprehensive Domestic Sweet specifications
Clifford Mills (consultant) has been invaluable in handling the data
6
2009
John Maurer reassigned within Valero In 2009, conference calls have been used to
complement the COQG meetings to progress in a more timely manner.
In order to set appropriate specification limits, we agreed further analytical testing was needed with tightly defined sampling and lab procedures.
Commercial labs were surveyed to determine their capabilities and interest in conducting analyses.
7
2009 March ASTM Crude Oil Sample (CO0903) was WTI/Domestic Sweet Over 80 labs worldwide submitted data on
this sample Data was provided for a wide slate of
parameters by multiple test methods including all of the tests we are interested in
While only one sample, this provided excellent information on the reproducibility of the methods
8
CO0903 Results - API & Sulfur
API Gravity and Sulfur are tests we are concerned about that currently have specifications defined by NYMEX.
NYMEX has ≤0.42 wt%; no desire to change; what happens when it exceeds 0.42%? Over half the labs reported >0.42%.0.0370.042860.424
Sulfur, wt %, by D4294
NYMEX has 37-42; no concern.0.440.506439.4API Gravity, by D287
CommentsReproducibility
This SampleASTM
Reproducibility
Number of Valid ResultsMean
Sample: CO0903
9
CO0903 Results - RVP & Pour Point
While we are not seeking to add specifications for Viscosity, RVP, or Pour Point, NYMEX does have published specs for these parameters. Are these monitored at Cushing?
NYMEX has a published spec of ≤ 50°F. WTI should be nowhere near this limit. 16.39.061-3Pour Point, °F, by D97
This sample reproducibility is much worse than quoted ASTM value; NYMEX has a published spec of <9.5 psi1.4790.296326.07RVP, by D5191
CommentsReproducibility
This SampleASTM
Reproducibility
Number of Valid ResultsMean
Sample: CO0903
10
CO0903 Results - Yields
While the precision from this large group is poor, some labs do quite well.
This is just 100 - (% at 1020°F).2614.3% >1020°F
Value interpolated since % at 1020°F is not directly reported.2685.7% at 1020°F
Reproducibility is large.792755450% point (°F)
Reproducibility is large.522826420% point (°F)
CommentsReproducibility
This SampleASTM
Reproducibility
Number of Valid ResultsMean
Sample: CO0903 - HTSD by D7169
11
CO0903 Results - Others
TAN, Carbon Residue (MCR) and Metals (Nickel & Vanadium) are parameters for which we desire to implement specifications. These four parameters are part of the LLS specifications.
2.9Only stated for values >50 ppm1712.9
Vanadium by D5708B
The small number of valid results is due to the fact that not all labs use D5708B.
2.1Only stated for values >10 ppm185.9Nickel by D5708B
0.260.23661.94MCR by D4530
0.110.16800.11TAN by D664
CommentsReproducibility
This SampleASTM
Reproducibility
Number of Valid ResultsMean
Sample: CO0903
12
In Progress
Thanks to the efforts of various companies, we are collecting and analyzing approximately 40 Domestic Sweet/WTI samples, taken at Cushing.
Samples are being collected from multiple operators, over several weeks time, utilizing three different commercial labs.
Data is flowing to Clifford Mills for workup. Clifford has received about half of the data so far.
13
Domestic Sweet - Lab Testing
The following slate of analytical testing is being conducted on the whole crude sample as received:
1. API Gravity by ASTM D2872. Total sulfur by ASTM D4294
Centrifuge to eliminate free water3. Total Acid Number (TAN) by ASTM D664 using the first
inflection point4. Nickel by ASTM D5708B5. Vanadium by ASTM D5708B6. MCRT by D45307. High Temperature GC Simulated Distillation (HTSD) by
ASTM D7169. Report 20% point, 50% point, and Recovery @ 1020F.
15
Status of project
Some data received from four sources Data was obtained at four different
laboratories (Three were slated in the project) Data development continues
16
Preliminary Observations API Gravity levels have trended up since the previous study Sulfur levels continue to exceed the NYMEX maximum on many
samples and have increased slightly since the previous study TAN values are consistent with the previous study
There appears to be some between laboratory bias MCRT values are consistent with the previous study Ni & V data significantly lower than previous study and less
variable Simulated distillation data is still suspect
17
Preliminary API Data
API - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers removed
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
5/1/1996
9/1/1996
1/1/1997
5/1/1997
9/1/1997
1/1/1998
5/1/1998
9/1/1998
1/1/1999
5/1/1999
9/1/1999
1/1/2000
5/1/2000
9/1/2000
1/1/2001
5/1/2001
9/1/2001
1/1/2002
5/1/2002
9/1/2002
1/1/2003
5/1/2003
9/1/2003
1/1/2004
5/1/2004
9/1/2004
1/1/2005
5/1/2005
9/1/2005
1/1/2006
5/1/2006
9/1/2006
1/1/2007
5/1/2007
9/1/2007
1/1/2008
5/1/2008
9/1/2008
1/1/2009
5/1/2009
9/1/2009
API data Average 2 Sigma limits NYMEX Limits
18
Preliminary Sulfur Data
Sulfur - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers eliminated
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.4
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
5/1/
1996
9/1/
1996
1/1/
1997
5/1/
1997
9/1/
1997
1/1/
1998
5/1/
1998
9/1/
1998
1/1/
1999
5/1/
1999
9/1/
1999
1/1/
2000
5/1/
2000
9/1/
2000
1/1/
2001
5/1/
2001
9/1/
2001
1/1/
2002
5/1/
2002
9/1/
2002
1/1/
2003
5/1/
2003
9/1/
2003
1/1/
2004
5/1/
2004
9/1/
2004
1/1/
2005
5/1/
2005
9/1/
2005
1/1/
2006
5/1/
2006
9/1/
2006
1/1/
2007
5/1/
2007
9/1/
2007
1/1/
2008
5/1/
2008
9/1/
2008
1/1/
2009
5/1/
2009
9/1/
2009
Wt%
All Data Received Average 2 Sigma Limits NYMEX Maximum
19
Preliminary TAN Data
TAN - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers eliminated
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
7/7/
2000
10/7
/200
0
1/7/
2001
4/7/
2001
7/7/
2001
10/7
/200
1
1/7/
2002
4/7/
2002
7/7/
2002
10/7
/200
2
1/7/
2003
4/7/
2003
7/7/
2003
10/7
/200
3
1/7/
2004
4/7/
2004
7/7/
2004
10/7
/200
4
1/7/
2005
4/7/
2005
7/7/
2005
10/7
/200
5
1/7/
2006
4/7/
2006
7/7/
2006
10/7
/200
6
1/7/
2007
4/7/
2007
7/7/
2007
10/7
/200
7
1/7/
2008
4/7/
2008
7/7/
2008
10/7
/200
8
1/7/
2009
4/7/
2009
7/7/
2009
mg
KO
H /g
m
Data Average 2 Sigma Limit
20
Preliminary MCRT Data
MCRT - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers Removed
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
10/2
5/20
04
12/2
5/20
04
2/25
/200
5
4/25
/200
5
6/25
/200
5
8/25
/200
5
10/2
5/20
05
12/2
5/20
05
2/25
/200
6
4/25
/200
6
6/25
/200
6
8/25
/200
6
10/2
5/20
06
12/2
5/20
06
2/25
/200
7
4/25
/200
7
6/25
/200
7
8/25
/200
7
10/2
5/20
07
12/2
5/20
07
2/25
/200
8
4/25
/200
8
6/25
/200
8
8/25
/200
8
10/2
5/20
08
12/2
5/20
08
2/25
/200
9
4/25
/200
9
6/25
/200
9
8/25
/200
9
mg/
kg
MCRT Data Average 2 Sigma limits
21
Preliminary Nickel Data
Nickel - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers eliminated
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
10/2
5/20
04
12/2
5/20
04
2/25
/200
5
4/25
/200
5
6/25
/200
5
8/25
/200
5
10/2
5/20
05
12/2
5/20
05
2/25
/200
6
4/25
/200
6
6/25
/200
6
8/25
/200
6
10/2
5/20
06
12/2
5/20
06
2/25
/200
7
4/25
/200
7
6/25
/200
7
8/25
/200
7
10/2
5/20
07
12/2
5/20
07
2/25
/200
8
4/25
/200
8
6/25
/200
8
8/25
/200
8
10/2
5/20
08
12/2
5/20
08
2/25
/200
9
4/25
/200
9
6/25
/200
9
8/25
/200
9
mg/
kg
Data Average 2 Sigma limits
22
Preliminary Vanadium Data
Vanadium - Cushing Domestic SweetOutliers eliminated
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
10/2
5/20
04
12/2
5/20
04
2/25
/200
5
4/25
/200
5
6/25
/200
5
8/25
/200
5
10/2
5/20
05
12/2
5/20
05
2/25
/200
6
4/25
/200
6
6/25
/200
6
8/25
/200
6
10/2
5/20
06
12/2
5/20
06
2/25
/200
7
4/25
/200
7
6/25
/200
7
8/25
/200
7
10/2
5/20
07
12/2
5/20
07
2/25
/200
8
4/25
/200
8
6/25
/200
8
8/25
/200
8
10/2
5/20
08
12/2
5/20
08
2/25
/200
9
4/25
/200
9
6/25
/200
9
8/25
/200
9
mg/
kg
Data Average 2 Sigma limits
23
Simulated Distillation (1)
Reported total recovery data has varied from 92 to 100% recovery
Reported 1020°F recovery has varied from 78.8 to 91.9% recovery
Reported 20% recovery temperatures have varied from 206 to 286°F
Reported 50% recovery temperatures have varied from 494 to 599°F
24
Simulated Distillation (2)
Preliminary data indicates possible between laboratory biases Always ~100% recovery Never 100% recovery
Complete review of data will follow when all labs are equally represented
25
Where do we go from here
Continue to compile data Compare data from different sources Compare data from different labs Agree on control limits for the various components
26
Early Thoughts - Not Conclusions
The results obtained to date are encouraging! Better definition of the sampling and
analytical testing requirements has resulted in better precision.
Our data, from multiple terminals at Cushing, over several months, will provide a basis for the development of meaningful specifications for WTI/Domestic Sweet.
28
Future Plans - Development of Specifications Complete current testing survey. This should be finished by the
end of the year. Clifford Mills will evaluate and distribute data without sample submitters or laboratories.
Review this data, the CO0903 crosscheck data, previous COQG results and own individual in-house information.
Agree on specifications for Domestic Sweet API >37 and <42 Sulfur <0.42 weight percent Nickel and Vanadium (ppm) MCRT TAN 20%, 50% and recovery @1020F by HTSD
29
Future Plans - Implementation
COQA representatives should contact their individual anti-trust attorneys and be sure legal is aware of COQA’sefforts and to provide appropriate counsel.
By January 1, be prepared to discuss how best to implement the specifications.
30
Final Thoughts
NYMEX currently has published WTI specifications for: API Gravity, Sulfur, Viscosity, RVP, Basic Sediment, and Pour Point. There are no requirements on how these properties should be monitored.
Current LLS specifications include: API, Sulfur, MCRT, Light Ends, HTSD, Metals and TAN. The Capline owners and operator have determined the monitoring and enforcement programs.
Our current efforts to develop and implement more meaningful WTI/Domestic Sweet specs are an extension of programs that have run successfully for years!