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Dolutegravir transition and weight gain: an update Aug 2020 Professor Francois Venter Ezintsha, University of the Witwatersrand

Dolutegravir transition and weight gain: an update F 2020806.pdf · 2020. 8. 12. · Predicted 10-year risks of diabetes and cardiovascular disease in the ADVANCE trial Andrew Hill

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  • Dolutegravir transition and weight gain:

    an updateAug 2020

    Professor Francois Venter

    Ezintsha, University of the Witwatersrand

  • Case studies: (1)

    • 1) A healthy person starts the new dolutegravir-containing regimen. They gain 20kg, and are classified “obese”, but there are no other complications. The person is satisfied and wants to continue the treatment, but the nurse is worried.

  • Case studies (2)

    • Previous case but:• Person now morbidly obese, with hypertension and has

    developed diabetes;

    • Nurse insisting on taking her off treatment, but she is saying she is happy with her weight and gaining more and is fine with the risk.

    • What to do?

  • ADVANCE: Study design

    Inclusion criteria: treatment-naïve, HIV-1 RNA level ≥ 500 copies/mL, no TB or

    pregnancy, no baseline genotyping

    Open-label, 96-week study in Johannesburg, South Africa

    Study visits at Baseline, Week 4, 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 84, and 96

    1053 Participants

    TAF/FTC+DTG

    N=351

    TDF/FTC/EFV

    N=351

    TDF/FTC+DTG

    N=351

    96 weeks

  • Baseline characteristics (1/2)

    CharacteristicTAF/FTC+DTG

    (n=351)

    TDF/FTC+DTG

    (n=351)

    TDF/FTC/EFV

    (n=351)

    Age, mean (SD), years 33 ± 8 32 ± 8 32 ± 7

    Female 61% 59% 57%

    Black 99% 100% 100%

    Baseline HIV-1 RNA

    ≤100,000 copies/mL 78% 80% 77%

    >100,000 copies/mL 22% 20% 23%

    CD4+ cell count, mean (SD),

    cells/mm3349 ± 225 323 ± 234 337 ± 222

    And representative by race and gender and geography

  • Baseline characteristics (2/2)

    CharacteristicTAF/FTC+DTG

    (n=351)

    TDF/FTC+DTG

    (n=351)

    TDF/FTC/EFV

    (n=351)

    Weight, mean (kg)

    Male 67.9 67.1 67.3

    Female 68.8 69.5 70.2

    BMI, mean (kg/m2)

    Male 21.7 21.6 21.8

    Female 25.6 26.1 26.1

    Categories of BMI, n (%)

    Underweight (< 18.5) 42 (12%) 35 (10%) 37 (11%)

    Normal (18.5-25) 177 (51%) 190 (54%) 193 (55%)

    Overweight (25-30) 96 (27%) 78 (22%) 77 (22%)

    Obese (> 30) 35 (10%) 48 (14%) 44 (13%)

    Weight was high even pre-ART!

  • Mean change in weight (kg) to Week 96: women

    n= 606 590 563 546 519532 206 152513 379 164506 493

    +8,2 kg

    +12,3 kg

    TAF/FTC+DTG

    +4,6 kg

    +7,4 kg

    TDF/FTC+DTG

    +3,2 kg

    +5,5 kg TDF/FTC/EFV

    0 4 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    Wei

    gh

    t (k

    g)

    Week

  • +5,2 kg

    +7,2 kg

    TAF/FTC+DTG

    +3,6 kg

    +5,5 kg

    TDF/FTC+DTG

    +1,4 kg

    +2,6 kg TDF/FTC/EFV

    0 4 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144-1

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    Wei

    gh

    t (k

    g)

    Week

    Mean change in weight (kg) to Week 96: men

    n= 419 403 388 377 369375 144 113357 292 119355 344

  • Treatment-Emergent Obesity at Week 96

    27%

    7%

    17%

    3%

    11%

    2%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Women Men

    Pe

    rce

    nt

    of

    pa

    tie

    nts

    (%

    )

    TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV

  • % Weight Change from Baseline to Week 144

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    0 4

    12

    24

    36

    48

    60

    72

    84

    96

    108

    120

    132

    144

    Weig

    ht

    change f

    rom

    baselin

    e (

    %)

    Week

    TAF/FTC + DTG TDF/FTC + DTG

    + 11.1%

    + 18.3%

    +7.7%

    Week

    TAF/FTC + DTG TDF/FTC + DTG

    + 10.6%

    +8.6%

    + 3.9%

    MalesFemales

  • Linear regression model: predicted mean percentage

    change in weight from baseline over 5 years in females

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    0 4

    12

    24

    36

    48

    60

    72

    84

    96

    10

    8

    12

    0

    13

    2

    14

    4

    15

    6

    16

    8

    18

    0

    19

    2

    20

    4

    21

    6

    22

    8

    24

    0

    25

    2

    26

    4

    We

    igh

    t g

    ain

    fro

    m b

    ase

    line

    (%

    )

    Week

    Predicted: TAF arm Predicted: TDF arm

    +32.2%

    +18.7%

    +14.9%

  • Predicted 10-year risks of diabetes and cardiovascular disease

    in the ADVANCE trial

    Andrew Hill1, Kaitlyn McCann2, Ambar Qavi2, Bryony Simmons2 ,Victoria Pilkington2,Michelle Moorhouse3, Godspower Akopmiemie3, , Simiso Sokhela3, Celicia Serenata3, Alinda Vos4,

    Francois Venter3

    1 Liverpool University, Pharmacology, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 2 Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, London, United Kingdom 3 Ezintsha, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Johannesburg, South Africa; 4 University Medical Center Utrecht, Epidemiology, Utrecht,

    Netherlands

  • QDIABETES Equation Results: Females (Linear Predictions)

    *TAF/FTC/DTG risk significantly higher than TDF/FTC/DTG at Week 96 (p=0.028); Year 3 (p= 0.025); Year 4 (p= 0.015); Year 5 (p= 0.014)

    Treatment arm / 10 year diabetes risk

    Median change from baseline to:

    Baseline Week 96 (Observed)

    Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

    TAF/FTC/DTGn = 120

    0.30% +1.20% +1.40% +2.00% +2.50%

    TDF/FTC/DTGn = 111

    0.40% +0.50% +0.60% +0.90% +1.30%

    TDF/FTC/EFVn = 116

    0.30% +0.80% +1.00% +1.30% +1.50%

    12 additional cases of diabetes in TAF vs TDF per 1000 females over 30 treated for 5 years

  • OPERA: Longitudinal Prospective Cohort Analysis

    Routine EHR data collected from ~ 8% of US PWH receiving care (> 115,000 individuals across 65 cities in 19 states and Puerto Rico)

    Current analysis restricted to adults receiving TDF-containing 3-drug ART at BL with ≥ 2 consecutive HIV-1 RNA < 200 copies/mL who switched TDF to TAF

    Mallon. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAB0604. Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com

    Anchor Agent by Class, % (n) Maintained Other ARVs (n = 5479)

    INSTIs (n = 3281)

    Elvitegravir/cobicista

    t

    Dolutegravir

    Raltegravir

    73 (2389)

    20 (643)

    8 (249)

    NNRTIs (n = 1452)

    Rilpivirine

    Nevirapine

    Efavirenz

    Etravirine

    85 (1238)

    12 (176)

    2 (26)

    1 (12)

    Boosted PIs (n = 746)

    Darunavir

    Atazanavir

    Lopinavir

    Fosamprenavir

    68 (504)

    28 (211)

    3 (22)

    1 (9)

  • OPERA: Weight Change With Switch From TDF to TAF

    While Also Switching to an INSTI

    Mallon. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAB0604. Reproduced with permission. Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com

    Mos From Switch

    We

    igh

    t (k

    g)

    92

    90

    88

    86

    84

    82

    80

    78

    0-60-54 -48-42 -36-30-24-18-12 -6 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48

    EVG/c

    BIC

    DTG

    Estimated Weight

    Δ by Time From

    TDF to TAF Switch,

    kg/yr (95% CI)

    EVG/c

    (n = 1120)

    DTG

    (n = 174)

    BIC

    (n = 129)

    -60 to 0 mos0.24

    (0.04 to 0.43)

    0.22

    (-0.08 to 0.52)

    0.01

    (-0.38 to 0.39)

    0 to 9 mos2.55

    (1.86 to 3.24)

    3.09

    (1.26 to 4.93)

    4.47

    (0.81 to 8.13)

    9+ mos0.26

    (-0.10 to 0.61)

    -0.23

    (-1.62 to 1.16)

    -9.97

    (-23.79 to

    3.85)

  • Integrase inhibitors associated with larger rises in weight

    Sax et al Clin Inf Dis Sept 2019

  • Dolutegravir and bictegravir associated with largest rises in weight

    Sax et al Clin Inf Dis Sept 2019

  • CYP2B6 Genotype and Weight Gain Differences Between Dolutegravir and Efavirenz

    Rulan Griesel, Gary Maartens, Simiso Sokhela, Godspower Akpomiemie, Francois Venter, Michelle Moorhouse, Phumla Sinxadi

  • How on earth did we get here?

  • • Uganda/ US/ UK – ‘higher life expectancy that matched populations

    • HIV positive people are going to get old

    Thanks: Julie Fox, Guys

  • So HIV-positive people are leading normal lives – which means they will gain weight

  • Lots of people stand to gain or lose from this being a side effect

    • Pharmaceutical companies

    • Governments, donors and budgets

    • Researchers

  • People make a LOT of money from making you feel horrible about your

    body – implicated in everything from depression to anorexia

  • And we aren’t really sure what is a “healthy diet”

  • Nature, 2013

  • Weight is culturally sensitive…

    • Different communities = different perceptions of what is healthy, desirable, sexy

    • Stigma that skinny = HIV, TB, other illness

    • Advertising and magazines – steadily skinnier models

    • Self-perception is important (and flawed)

  • But obesity IS an issue…

    “The associations of both overweight and obesity with

    higher all-cause mortality were broadly consistent in four

    continents.”

  • Being obese is linked to lots of issues

    • Diabetes (glucose)

    • Hypertension (blood pressure)

    • Lipids (cholesterol, LDL (‘bad cholesterol’)

    • Strokes

    • Heart attacks

    • Cancer

    • Joint pain

    • Mental health issues

    • Poor COVID outcomes

  • Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections 2020

    CHANGES IN BODY MASS INDEX AND THE RISK OF

    CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE: THE D:A:D STUDY

    Kathy Petoumenos, Locadiah Kuwanda, Lene Ryom, Amanda Mocroft, Peter

    Reiss, Stephane De Wit, Christian Pradier, Andrew Philips, Camilla I

    Hatleberg, Antonella d’Arminio Monforte, Rainer Weber, Caroline Sabin, Jens

    Lundgren, Matthew G Law

    On behalf of the D:A:D Study group

  • Conclusion

    • Increases in BMI across all levels of baseline BMI were consistently associated with increased risk of DM

    • Increases in BMI across all levels of baseline BMI were not associated with an increased risk of CVD

    Some evidence of an increased risk of CVD with a decrease in BMI (especially at low baseline BMI)

    • The extent to which these results apply to PLHIV with increased weight while receiving contemporary ART are uncertain

    • Further analysis of weight change, INSTI/TAF and clinical events is needed

  • African HIV Burden

  • First-line for >30 million people…

    XTCTDF EFV

    Toxicity driver

    Pill size

    Low genetic barrier

    Cost

    Contraception drug

    interactions

    Desirable Property EFV/TDF/FTC

    High resistance barrier No

    Well tolerated Not initially

    No lab tox monitoring TDF creat

    Safe in pregnancy Yes

    Low pill burden Yes FDC

    Once a day Yes

    Use with TB (rif) Yes

    Toxicity

    Pill size

    Cost

  • Why INSTI?

    • All well tolerated

    • Highly effective

    • New reference for ‘’third drug’’

  • Which INSTI agents are we talking about?

    • Raltegravir • Well studied, relatively widely registered

    • Can be used in paeds (>4 weeks)

    • Had a role in PEP, Rx

    • Expensive, high mg, twice daily till recently, no FDC

    • Use in lower income countries largely confined to third line

    • Unlikely to change in next 5 years – cost, co-formulation, TB, resistance barrier

    • Role in children

    • ? Any role in adults

    • Elvitegravir • QUAD-Stribild

    • First drug registered as FDC

    • ’Boosted’’ – lots of drug interactions

    • Limited registration, Gilead drug

    • Expensive, but potential for price reduction

    • Unlikely to change in next 5 years – cost, TB, pregnancy

    • In fact, unlikely to be around!

    • Bictegravir• Very similar to dolutegravir

    • Co-formulated with TAF

    • Very limited data in Africa

    • Almost no pregnancy data

    • TB data – high drug interaction potential

    • ?role in our setting

    • Cabotegravir

    • Phase 2-3 as prevention and treatment

    • Injectable

    • 4 or 8 weekly

    • For treatment: switch strategy with injectable rilpivirine

    • Remarkably well tolerated! May be a more popular than first blush

  • Why dolutegravir?

    • Very well tolerated

    • Highly effective• Low mg, co-formulation with TDF and TAF by generics (ABC

    co-formulation registered)

    • Resistance profile compelling

    • Creatinine clearance issue?

    • TB a problem, but ?double dosing

  • “Dolutegravir in first line therapy has by far the highest impact in getting to the last 90 for South Africa”

    Professor Gesine Meyer-Rath -Boston

    University/HE2RO

  • WHO 2019 guidelines

    Population First-line regimens Second-line regimens Third-line regimens

    Adults and adolescents

    (incl. women of childbearing

    potential and

    pregnant women)

    Two NRTIs + DTG Two NRTIs + (ATV/r or LPV/r)

    DRV/r + DTG + 1–2 NRTIs

    (if possible, consider

    optimisation using

    genotyping)

    Two NRTIs + EFV Two NRTIs + DTG

    Children (0–10 years) Two NRTIs + DTG Two NRTIs + (ATV/r or LPV/r)

    Two NRTIs + LPV/r Two NRTIs + DTG

    Two NRTIs + NNRTI Two NRTIs + DTG

    • Guidelines include recommendations on the selection of ARV drugs in response to high levels of

    DR1

    − Recommend countries consider changing their first-line ART regimens away from NNRTIs if

    levels of NNRTI DR reach 10%

    1. http://www.who.int/hiv/pub/arv/arv-2016/en/World Health Organization. HIV treatment interim guidance. Accessed August 2018

  • What about drug interactions?

    InSTI Backbone Key drug interactions

    All regimens

    Polyvalent cation–containing

    supplements/medication

    (including antacids), rifampicin

    BIC FTC/TAF Metformin

    DTG

    ABC/3TC

    FTC/TAF

    FTC/TDF

    Metformin

    RPV Metformin, PPIs

    EVG/

    COBI

    FTC/TAFStatins, inhaled/injected/systemic steroids

    FTC/TDF

    RALFTC/TAF

    FTC/TDF

  • DTG 50 mg daily

    TB: DTG and rifampicin

    Dooley KE et al, JAIDS 2013;62:21−7

    AUC0-24 DTG 50 mg/d 32.1

    DTG 50 mg 12 hourly + rifampicin 42.6

    DTG 50 mg 12 hourly + rifampicin

    DT

    G c

    on

    cen

    tra

    tio

    n

    Time after dose (h)

  • Ceiling price agreement announced

    • This ceiling price agreement could yield billions of rand in savings through TLD rollout and enable widespread access to a clinically superior regimen

    • The TLD agreement lasts four years: 01 April 2018 – 31 March 2022

    • Applies to over 90 countries

    • Results of collaboration from many partners: Governments of Kenya and South

    Africa, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Clinton Health Access Initiative;

    Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria; President’s Emergency

    Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR); United Kingdom’s Department for International

    Development; Unitaid; UNAIDS; and USAID, with Mylan Laboratories and

    Aurobindo Pharma.

    2002

    d4T/3TC/NVP

    $280 $240 $300 $75

    Historical launch prices for new regimens2006

    AZT/3TC/NVP

    2010

    TDF/3TC/EFV

    2018

    TDF/3TC/DTG

  • Works in first line, works in second line….

    • Cheaper and better!

    • Massive move to DTG – double dose in TB, safe if started in pregnancy

    • Investment by PEPFAR, Global Fund, other agencies –unprecedented switch

    • 2 million in Africa on DTG/TDF/3TC often in absence of VL

    • 3-4 million South Africans about to transition

  • New drugs in the REAL real world…

    Discontinuation due to neuropsychiatric AE

    Factors associated with DTG discontinuation

    Hoffmann et al. HIV Medicine 2017; Libre et al. CROI 2017 abstract #615; Hsu et al. CROI 2017 abstract #664

    AIDS 2016

  • DTG in the real world…

    Discontinuation due to neuropsychiatric AE

    Factors associated with DTG discontinuation

    Hoffmann et al. HIV Medicine 2017; Libre et al. CROI 2017 abstract

    #615;

    Hsu et al. CROI 2017 abstract #664

  • The recent signal

    Zash R, et al.AIDS 2018 Session TUSY15.

    NTDs: neural tube defects

    • 4 cases of severe NTDs among 426 women in women on DTG periconception

    • Approx 45% of all births• ± 600 more exposures

    • 0.9% versus 0.1%

    • No clear time trend or obvious explanation

  • Efavirenz controversy: conflicting evidence

    Preclinical data

    • NTDs in primate study

    Clinical data: T1 EFV exposure

    • 4 retrospective • 1 prospective

    case report of NTDs in humans

    1. Ford N, et al. AIDS. 2011;25:2301-2304. .

    Meta analysis (2011):

    1 NTD

    Incidence: 0.7 (95% CI 0.002 – 0.39%)

    = NO association

  • Overall health benefit DALYs and cost-adjusted (net) DALYs averted per year compared with TLE

    mean over 3 month periods from 2018-2038; cost adjustment based on cost effectiveness threshold $500 / DALY averted

    Policy option

    TLE

    TLD VL dependent in men /

    TLE in women

    TLD in men / TLE in women

    TLD VL dependent

    TLD

    Number

    net DALYs

    DALYs

  • Tsepamo Update: Prevalence of NTDs by ARV Exposure

    Zash. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAXLB01. Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com

    Parameter

    Conception PregnancyHIV Negative

    (n = 119,630)DTG

    (n = 3591)

    Non-DTG

    (n = 19,361)

    EFV

    (n = 10,958)

    DTG

    (n = 4581)

    Total NTDs per exposures, n/N 7/3591 21/19,361 8/10,958 2/4581 87/119,630

    NTD prevalence, % (95% CI)

    April 2019

    April 2020

    0.30

    (0.13-0.69)

    0.19

    (0.09-0.40)

    0.10

    (0.06-0.17)

    0.11

    (0.07-0.17)

    0.04

    (0.01-0.11)

    0.07

    (0.03-0.17)

    0.03

    (0.00-0.15)

    0.04

    (0.01-0.16)

    0.08

    (0.06-0.10)

    0.07

    (0.06-0.09)

    Prevalence diff. with DTG

    conception, Apr 2020, % (95%

    CI)

    Ref0.09

    (-0.03 to 0.30)

    0.12

    (0 to 0.32)

    0.15

    (0 to 0.36)

    0.12

    (0.01 to 32.0)

    NTDs per exposures between

    April 2019 and April 2020, n/N2/1908* 6/4569 5/2999 1/741 17/30,258

    *Includes 1 lumbosacral myelomeningocele (spina bifida) and 1 encephalocele.

  • Weight gain likely to have a much greater impact…

    On pregnancy outcomes than DTG teratogenicity!

  • Predicting the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes due to ART-induced weight gain

    Sumbul Asif1, Evangelina Baxevanidi1, Andrew Hill2, Celicia Serenata3, WD Francois Venter3,

    Lee Fairlie3, Masebole Masenya3, Nomathemba Chandiwana3, Simiso Sokhela3

    1. Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, London, United Kingdom, 2. Liverpool University, Department of Translational Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 3. Ezintsha, Wits RHI, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa

  • APO

    Baseline TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV

    96-weeks 96-weeks 96-weeks

    Preterm delivery 70 73 71 70

    Gestational Hypertension 28 39 34 29

    Gestational diabetes mellitus 16 23 19 16

    Pre-eclampsia 25 35 30 26

    Postpartum haemorrhage 112 115 114 112

    Caesarean section 213 232 224 215

    Small-for-gestational-age infants 89 87 88 89

    Large-for-gestational-age infants 134 154 145 137

    Low birthweight infants 64 65 64 64

    Macrosomia 31 37 34 31

    Stillbirth 4 4 4 4

    Neonatal death 2 2 2 2

    Neural tube defect 0 0 0 0

  • So what are the issues in moving from EFV to DTG?

    • Resistance – what if failing virologically?

    • Side effects• Pregnancy – issues re teratogenicity

    • CNS

    • Weight gain

  • • Cape Town model – if you act on detectable viral loads FAST, >1/2 will suppress!

  • Outcomes after HIV RNA >50 at Week 48

    TAF/FTC + DTG arm

  • Outcomes after HIV RNA >50 at Week 48

    TDF/FTC + DTG arm

  • Proportion of participants with HIV-1 RNA level

  • But…

    • Deenan Pillay (CID): Rising NNRTI resistance in

    large rural community, poor virological outcomes

    • But didn’t affect response to NNRTI-based

    treatment!

  • Addressing pretreatment TDR

    Potent fixed-dose

    combination

    regimens

    • Suppress HIV-RNA

    • High adherence

    • Promptly switch individuals with confirmed VF to

    second-line treatment

    • Minimize time spent on a failing regimen with

    resistant virus

    • Perform viral load monitoring

    • HIV-DR testing with failure

    VL monitoring

    • Change first-line regimen at a national level,

    from an NNRTI-based regimen to DTG- or bPI–

    based regimen

    Use agents with

    high genetic barrier

    • Which is the more cost-effective strategy?

    Improve adherence • Strengthen adherence support

    ↓ chance of transmitting resistant virus

    http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/255896/9789241512831-eng.pdf

  • Conclusions for me

    • Weight gain is real – definitely associated with DTG, and with TAF

    • DTG may not be as perfect as we hoped – but at the moment, only have efavirenz!

    • No data on what to do if someone is gaining weight on either DTG or EFV (or anything else)

    • When can we say “too much weight” and stop treatment (against the patient’s wishes)?

    • Summary: switch when VL undetectable ideally (in context of drug stock outs); counsel re side effects –and probably try EFV/rilp until newer drugs come out

  • Thank you!