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ED 060 533 TITLE INSTITUTION PUB DATE NOTE EDRS PRICE DESCRIPTORS ABSTRACT DOCUMENT RESUME EA 004 082 Priority Problems in Education and Human Resources Development the 1970s. Agency for International Development (Dept. of State), Washington, D.C. Office of Education and Human Resources. Nov 70 41p.; Revised edition VF-$0.65 HC-$3.29 *Developing Nations; *Educational Economics; *Educational Technology; Females; Higher Education; *Human Resources; *Manpower Development; Manpower Utilization This report discusses the identification of seven key problem areas concerning education and human resources, describes how three priority problem areas were selected, and presents brief discussions of all seven problem areas. The three priority problem areas cover the potential of educational technology, the economic aspects of education, and nonformal educational programs. The other areas include education and employment, reorientation of teacher training institutions, new directions in higher education, and new roles for women. Appendixes contain (1) general guidance for problem identification and (2) an account of the sequence of steps followed in the problem identifying process. (Auth(mejF)

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Page 1: DOCUMENT RESUME Development INSTITUTION 41p.; Revised ... · in this area led us to believe that it fully merits inclusion in the final list of priorities. It has been identified

ED 060 533

TITLE

INSTITUTION

PUB DATENOTE

EDRS PRICEDESCRIPTORS

ABSTRACT

DOCUMENT RESUME

EA 004 082

Priority Problems in Education and Human ResourcesDevelopment the 1970s.Agency for International Development (Dept. ofState), Washington, D.C. Office of Education andHuman Resources.Nov 7041p.; Revised edition

VF-$0.65 HC-$3.29*Developing Nations; *Educational Economics;*Educational Technology; Females; Higher Education;*Human Resources; *Manpower Development; ManpowerUtilization

This report discusses the identification of seven keyproblem areas concerning education and human resources, describes howthree priority problem areas were selected, and presents briefdiscussions of all seven problem areas. The three priority problemareas cover the potential of educational technology, the economicaspects of education, and nonformal educational programs. The otherareas include education and employment, reorientation of teachertraining institutions, new directions in higher education, and newroles for women. Appendixes contain (1) general guidance for problemidentification and (2) an account of the sequence of steps followedin the problem identifying process. (Auth(mejF)

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PeNteN111

AGENCY FOR LNTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT

C>.Ja

BUREAU FOR TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE

OFFICE OF EDUCATION AND HUMAN RESOURCES

C:21

174

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH.EDUCATIONA WELFAREOFFICE OF EDUCATION

THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN REPRO-

DUCED EXACTLY AS RECEIVED FROM

THE PERSON OR ORGANIZATION ORIG-

INATING IT. POINTS OF VIEW OR OPIN-

IONS STATED DO NOT NECESSARILY

REPRESENT OFFICIALOFFICE OF EDU-

CATION POSITION OR POLICY.

PRIORITY PROBLEMS IN EDUCATION AND PITMAN RESOURCES

DEVII,OPMENT- TRP. 1970s

Prepared May 1970Revised November 1970

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FOREWORD

The several sections of this document indicate the background ofinvestigation, analysis and consultation which resulted in theselection of the three problem areas for concentrated attentionby the office of Education and Human Resources of the Bureau forTechnical Assistance.

No contention is made that these problems are the highest prioritiesin education and human resources development in all countries, orthat they will not be supplemented or superseded by other prioritiesas our experience unfolds. They have been selected on the basis ofexacting criteria and therefore merit the serious and sustained at-tention of all appropriate elements oftthe Agency for InternationalDevelopment.

The primary objective of the Office of Education and Human Resourcesis to advise and assist the Regional Bureaus and Field Missions inidentifying significant opportunities to ameliorate these problemsand in mobilizing the resources required for effective action.

The principal staff responsibility for development of the Staffpaper was borne by Dr. W. Steen McCall, Deputy Director, Office ofEducation and Human Resources. An indication of the large numberof contributors to the substance of the paper and to the ultimatedecision on the three problem areas selected is contained in Annex B.

John F. BilliardDirector

Office of Education and Daman ResourcesBureau for Technical Assistance

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INDEX

ACTION SUMMARY

I. Summary of Staff Paper

II. Staff Paper: Priority Problemsin Education and Human Resources - The 1970s

1

5

A. Introduction 5B. Important Facts and FactorsC. Preliminary Considerations 9D. Problem Areas in Brief 11

1. Econamics of Education 112. Education and Employment 133. Strengthening Non-formal Education 164. Reorientation of Teacher Training 185. New Directions in Higher Education 196. New Roles for Tubmen in Development 237. Educational Technology 25

III. Annexes

A. General Guidance for Problem Identification A-1B. Sequence of Steps in Problem Identifica-

tion Process B-1

3

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ACTION SUMMARY

The Technical Assistance Executive Committee of the Agency forInternational Development in July 1970 concurred in three key problemareas of the education and human resources field for concentrated"in-depth" attention by the Technical Assistance Bureau in cooperationwith A.I.D. Regional Bureaus, Regional and Country Missions.

The priority problem areas are:

P-zoblem Area One: To explore the potential of educationaltechnology, as broadly defined, to achieve major gains orbreakthroughs in quantity, quality and cost factors in LDCeducation and human resources development.

Problem Area Two: To evaluate the experience of the LDCs(and the U. S.) with non-formal eclacational programo and tofoster experimentation and transfer of knowledge of successfulexperiences between the LDCs.

Problem Area Three: To foster evaluation, research, andexperimentation with various modes of educational finance,and to increase the usefulness and use of economic measurementtools in educational planning, decision-making and management.

In reaching the aforementioned consensus, the Technical AssistanceExecutive Committee considered the Summary Paper, Section I, onproblem identification in education and human resources, and an earlierdraft of the Staff Paper which, in revised form, constitutes Section IIof this document.

The Summary and Staff Papers also discuss four additional problems which,while not assigned the same status as the three problem areas selectedfor concentrated "in-depth" attention, remain of considerable interestto the Technical Assistance Bureau as well as to the Agency as a whole.These other problem areas involve: education and employment; thereorientation of teacher-training institutions; new directions inhigher education; and new roles for women in development.

The process resulting in the identification of key-problem areas ineducation and human resources, as well as other fields, is explainedin the Technical Assistance Bureau. Notice on "General Guidance forProblem Identification" which appears as Annex A to this document.A brief and informal account of the steps followed in identifyingproblems in the education and human resources field is contained inAnnex B.

4

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SECTION I - SUMMARY OF STAFF PAPER

Key Problem Identification - Education and Human Resources

This memorandum identifies the three key problem areas for "in-depth"attention by the Office of Education and Human Resources (EHR) inthe Technical Assistance Bureau (TAB). It also describes briefly theprocess leading to the selection of the three problem areas, and notesthe disposition of several other problem areas considered in the selectionof the three areas for primary attention during the next one to three years.

The Process

The process by which the key problem areas in education and humanresources were identified was as foll,:ws:

(1) examination of the dommentation of the experienceof A.I.D. and the assistance agencies during the pastdecade, (2) study of the literature relevant to changingeducational problems and priorities for the 1970s,(3) preparation of a series of working papers on variousproblem areas, (4) extensive discussions with A.I.D. staffmembers, Bureaus and Offices, other government departments,foundations, IBRD and a panel of experts formed to advice0/EHR, (5) preparation of a Staff Paper, and discussion witha large number of A.I.D. offices, two field missions, andnon-governmental authorities on education and human reoources.

This process narrowed the problem areas to be considered for finalselection to seven:

1. Certain economic aspects of education2. Education and employment3. Strengthening non-formal education4. Reorientation of teacher training institutions5. New directions in higher education6. New roles for women in development7. Educational technology

Comments within A.I.D. were stimulated by dissemination of the draftStaff Paper, coupled with briefing sessions to which members of theTAEC, as well as others, were invited to send participants. Thesecomments have had a decisive influence on the final selection of thekey problem areas.

As a result of the comments received, it was concluded that the numberof problem areas identified (seven) was too many, considering theresources available and the intended "in-depth" concentration of effort.It was also concluded that real "in-depth" attention to a smaller

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number of problem areas would be likely to yield both a higher prospectof success and be of more service to the Agency and to the LECs.

The further major conclusion was that two of the problem areas(educational technology and non-formal education) clearly led all theothers in terms of interest expressed and the desire for special"in-depth" solution seeking activity in which the TAB as well asother components of the Agency should be involved.

Relatively few comments on the problems noted in the section dealingwith "Certain Economic Aspects of Education" were received. This isbelieved due to the lack of familiarity with these matters by many ofthe recipients rather than a lack of interest in them or non-recognitionof their importance. Those commenting on this problem area, primarilypersons with an economics background, singled out work on the economicmeasurement tools as the segment of the problem area preferred forspecial attention. Additbnal considerations have suggested thedesirability of making explicit the relationship of measurementtechniques to the planning, decision-making and management processes.

Although there was relatively little comment on the search foralternative sources fur financirg education, the facts adduced in theStaff Paper, and consultation with institutions conducting researchin this area led us to believe that it fully merits inclusion in thefinal list of priorities. It has been identified as a major problemby. many LDC governments, by the Development Banks and by the Instituteof International Educational Planning. Indeed, it is deeply interwovenwith the other key problem areas af educational tecimology and non-formaleducation.

The Three Problem Areas

The three problem areas selected for "in-depth" attention by TAB/EHRare indicated below as single sentence problem statements.

Problem Area One: To explore the potential of.educationtechnology, as broadly defined, to achieve major gainsor breakthroughs in quantity, quality and cost factors InLDC education and human resources development.

Problem Area Two: To evaluate the experience of the LDCs(and the U.S.) with non-formal educational programs and tofoster experimentation and transfer of knowledge af success-ful experiences between the LDCs.

Problem Area Three: To foster evaluation, research, andexperimentation wdth various modes of educational finance,

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and to increase the usefulness and use of economic measure-ments tools in educational planning, decision-making andmanagement.

All these problem areas are of concern to manyother official andprivate assistance agencies. Every effort will be ma.de to concert andcoordinate our efforts with them in order to achieve maximum impactof research, experimentation and implementation. Similarly, it isrecognized that any successful attack on these problems must be madeas a joint enterprise between the TA/EHR, Regional Bureaus, Missions,governments and private institutions in the LDCs. Particularattention wdll be given to fostering such partnerships.

Disposition of Other Problem Areas

Comments from within and fram outside the Agency reflect the view thatthe other four problem areas provisionally selected are important.However, the general view, which we share, is that they are either(1) not effectively and directly actionable by A.I.D., or (2) arebeyond the resources which the Agency can reasonably hope to provide,or (3) they can, in part, be addressed by effective performance in thethree problem areas selected.

For example, the employment of people emerging from the educationalsystems will be perhaps the most crucial human resource problem of the1970s. The role of women in development clearly is a matter of greatimportance, particularly as it relates to population programs, educationand health. Reorientation of teacher education, and greater relevance ofhigher education to development likewise merit serious and sustainedattention.

Although these problems have been, for the reasons cited above, excludedfrom those to be dealt with in depth, we feel there is a useful role forTA/EHR to play in these areas, insofar as time permits, by (1) assistingin the clearer conceptualization of the problems, (2) stimulation ofthought, research and experimentation by other assistance agencies andLDC govammients, (3) relating our e2forts in these selected problem areasto them in conscious and sensible ways.

Action

Two of the basic criteria for selecting the three key problem areaswere that (1) they are basically important, and (2) actionable by A.I.D.

Obviously few significant actions can be taken. by TAMKIR alone. Theserequire a full and effective joint effort by all appropriate elementsof A.I.D., coordination and cooperation with other assistance agencies,

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and assistance to the LDCs (through the USAMID Missions) in identifica-tion and action upon their own problems.

Beyond these, action will be augmented by mobilization of institutionaland individual talents and bringing these resources to bear sharply andcontinuously upon real problems in their social, economic and politicalcontexts.

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SECTION II - PRIORITY PROMEMS IN EDUCATION AND HUMAN

RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT - The 1970s

A STAFF PAPER

INTRODUCTION

Education and human resource development and the problems relatingthereto do not exist in isolation. They are an integral part of thewhole pattern of development within each of the less developed countries(LDCs). Education demands a large share of national resources in eachof the LDCs, and it can operate either to help solve or furtherexacerbate problems in their overall development. The nature andquantity of education in each country and its concern with overall humanresource development is an expression of that nation's philosophy, aimsand atrategy of development - or, in same cases, a lack of these things.

Similarly, the priority problems in education and human resource develop-ment selected for attention by A.I.D. depend upon its philosophy, aimsand strategy In assisting the LDCs in a variety of areas in which edu-cation is only one of many components. Thus, identification of priorityproblem areas in education and human resource development outside thecontext of our general strategies, priorities, commitments and capabilittesbecomes relatively meaningless.

For example, the relative emphasis that will be given to transforming therural sector and the means adopted to bring about this transformationshould exert a major influence on the direction of educationprogram. ,If an overall decision is made that A.I.D. will in fact attackthe problems of bringing about a rural transformation more vigorously,that relatively greater resources will be devoted to this cluster ofproblems, and that a greater diversity of devices will be used, theproblems of the rural sector should be given high priority in the A.I.D.education strategy for the next decade. If such a cammitment is notmade, improvement in rural education and human resource development canbe useful but of an entirely different order of importance.

Similar observations apply to other major areas of development such asindustrial development, modernization of agriculture, urban problemsand population.

In other words, the identification of priorities for education dependsin very large part on the overall development objectives selected by acountry and toward which is prepared to commit a major share ofits resources in a variety of ways. This Staff Paper has been preparedwithout precise authoritative guidance with regard to overall objectives

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which the LDCs will be willing and able to support. Nonetheless, itis based on several reasonable, though not necessarily correct, assump-tions. Briefly stated, they are:

1. That there will be a major effort toward rural trans-formation.

2. That urgent and sustained efforts will be made to provideexpanding employment in the modern, intermediate andtraditional sectors, but that the largest component ofemployment must derive from the traditional and intermediatesectors.

3. That serious and perceptive efforts will be made to relateall aspects of education more directly and more meaningfullyto development problems, needs and possibilities.

4. That a major effort will be made to control populationgrowth, both in total terms and in distribution, and thatthis effort will be broadened to envisage the overall functionof women in development.

5. That population growth and social demand will maintaingrowing pressures for larger quantitied of education, inthe face of declining rates of growth in educationalexpenditures.

6. That political as well as social and economic realitieswill compel much more serious concern with non-formaleducation and human rdsource development for non-schoolpopulations.

7. That increasing reliance will be placed upon new technologiesfor many developmental purposes.

There are, of course, other major and many subordinate assumptions whichare relevant to the construction of a set of priority problem areas ineducation for development. However, those listed seem to us at this timeto issue most logically from an appraisal of development now and for theyears ahead.

Based upon these assumptions, this Staff Paper identifies a series ofproblems involving education and human resource development in the LECs.The problems identified are a selection from among a vast number of suchproblems with which the LDCs are confronted.

The fundamental selection criteria were:

1. That the problem be common to many of the LECs;

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2. That it be a critical problem for which a solution, partialsolution or even a significant degree of alleviation wouldrepresent a substantial gain in national development;

3. That the problem, or at least same important camponent ofit, be accessible to and actionable by an external donor,5such as A.I.D.; and

4. That A.I.D. efforts to assist in resolving the problem wouldrepresent the best use of our resources, i.e., their highestmarginal utility.

This document is a severe condensation of extensive consultation witha wide variety of professionals concerned with the subject both withinand outside of the Government, accompanied by an extensive review ofthe literature and advisory group disaussions of informal working papers.

It is recognized that at best this document can be only a first "roughapproximation" of the priority proW.ems toward which effortsshould be directed. Subsequent annlytical work on each of the problemareas should yield a more precise understanding of each of the problemsas well as the range of alternatives and options available to worktoward solutions of them.

Same of the Mbre Important Facts and Factors

The critical problems for education and human resources occur within,are sometimes caused by, and must be solved in relationship to anenvironmental context. In fact, one of the primary findings of thisreview has been that many of the more important problems for educationand human resol;Irces in the LDCs are not education problems per se andare not problems which are solvable by educators alone.

The general environmental factors of the IDCs are so well known as notto require repetition here. However, the impact of such factors on educa-tion and some of the data on education itself may be less widely knownand same appreciation of them is essential in any useful analysis. Thefollowing data are therefore presented to highlight same of the moreimportant facts and factors cammon to many of the IDCs.

The IBC quantity gain in education in the past twenty years has beenimpressive. Since 1950 primary enrollments have more than doubled andsecondary and higher education enrollments have virtually quadrupled.

Even today, however, there are more school-age children (about 300 million)outside of the formal educatian system than are enrolled, within it. Andthe gross educational deficits of the past may be measured by the roughly2 out of 3 adult illiterates in the LDCs.

ii

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The social demand for education is very strong - a potent social,econamic and political force in each of the LDCs. As a result, LDCexpenditures of their awn funds for education rose form about $1.5billion in 1950 to an estimated $11 billion in 1969. In recent years,education expenditures on the average have been increasing over 12%annually, more than twice as fast as the growth in GNP. Education hasbeen claiming proportionately larger shares of public budgets each year.

Quality has not kept pace with the gains in the quantity of education inthe LDCs. There are, however, same notable exceptions, particularly inindividual institutions within the various LDCs which have been therecipients of substantial attention, and supplemental resources fromexternal donors in cooperation with host countries. Given an assumed

trade-off between quantity and quality in a competition for scarcedamestic resources, responsible LDC officials, faced with the actualities'of social demand, generally have opted in favor of quantity, whileexternal agencies, at some distance from these pressures, have favoredmore attention to quality, and generally have directed their resourcesto this end.

Sheer demography is central to the education and human resource problemsof the LDCs. Typically, one hplf of the current population of thesecountries is less than 20 years old, while the median age in a developednation is in about the mid-thirties. Using another measure, about onefifth of a developed countryls people are in the 5.- 16-.year age groupwhile in many LDCs about one third of the entire population are in thiscritical school-age group. The needs of LDC education systems for theircurrent population are therefore proportionately much higher than thoseof the developed countries, as measured by the proportion of children inthe school-age graup.

Population growth in the LDCs will be central to their education and humanresource problems of the fixture. General population increases of 2 to 3%in the LDCs mean 3 to 4% increases in their school-age populations.During the 15 years fram 1965 - 1980, the 5 - 14 age group in Europe isexpected to remain constant; in North America to increase by about 13%;and in the LDCs to increase by about 50%. Most of this basic school-agepopulation for the decade of the 1970s is already born, and cannot beaffected by any potential alleviation through advances in populationcontrol.

The imbalance hetween the supply and effective demand for educated manpowerat all levels has been changing rapidly in recent years. This phenomenonis well established in some LDCs, ami will became more pronounced in manyothers during the decade ahead. The numbers of new secondary school anduniversity graduates are rapidly increasing. Meanwhile, new ethployment

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opportunities in the government and other modern sectors of a typicalLDC appear to be only about 3 to 5 percent annnpily. Under currentconcepts of development and employment, it is almost certain that the1970s will see an increase in the educated unemployed in most of theLDCs.

Education - long identified as a precondition for development - is alsoa serious problem of development when it is insufficiently related tothe real needs and circumstances of development. The blessing is notunmixed, and education, viewed as a panacea in the 1950s and 1960s, isbecoming suspect in the 1970s.

The tradition-bound nature of education systems in the LDCs has been amajor factor in the past and will continue to be in the decade ahead.Nhile there are rapidly advancing doctrines of change and nmodernization"of education, the painfully slow rate of change in education systems isunderstandable, and, to a considerable degree, inescapable.

The inadequacy of domestic research, experimentation and innovation inthe education systems of the LDCs is evident and of real concern to bothinternal and external observers. Without condoning this lack, it isperhaps inevitable that the propensity to experiment is somewhat lessin an environment in which the average resource per pupil is about $50per year as contrasted with a school system quite open to experimentation,such as that of New York city, in which the cost per pupil for the elemen-tary grades is $750 per year, and for secondary school about $1,200 peryear. Actually, of course, the need to.experiment mgy be the highest inthe situation with the least available resources.

A:review of the conventional means to increase the quantity and improvethe quality of education in the LDCs does not reveal any instrument witha high potential for a really critical breakthrough in the so-called"world educational crisis" for the LDCs. Educational techndlogym: havea potential for a partial solution of some of the educational problems ofthe LDCs.

A.I.D. obligations for education in F.Y. 1969 totaled $115 million about1% of the LDCs1 own expenditures or about 20 cents per school age childin the LECs. It is essential that our resources be used only for themost productive purposes.

Several Preliminary Considerations

Definitions: For working purposes, we are using education to refer to anysystematic and sustained effort, formal or informal, to impart a substan-tial body of knowledge. Human resources development is used with reference :

to the totality of efforts, educational or otherwise, which result inincreasing the ability of human beings to contribute usefully to theirsociety.

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Interrelationships: It is recognized that education and human resourceproblems do not ex±st in isolation from many other problems. Forbrevity, however, these interrelationships are not outlined in thispaper.

Categories: Education problems may be presented in a variety ofcategories. Same have the virtue of more familiarity than those usedhere, but all tend to have considerable overlapping among them. Thoseused, while far short of a logical ideal, did evolve naturally from theanalYsis undertaken and reflect the selected areas of emphasis as wellas leading to the specific camponents of problems which are actionableby

Some Important Words: A.I.D. discussions of the education and humanresource problems of the LDC.often focus on such important words as:quality, research, relevance, experimentation, innovation, change,modernization, strategy, planning, management, aurriculum, methods,science, technology, administration, reform and the like. All areimportant words, concepts and problem areas in themselves. Asgeneralizations, however, they often are not directly actionable andonly achieve real meanirg when related to problems stated in otherterms. For brevity, the discussions of the problems selected nse thesefamiliar terms sparingly. It should be understood, however, that impor-tant ingredients of planning, research, experimentation, modernization,reform, etc., will enter the search for solutions to the problemsidentified.

Relative Emphasis: Some important problems to -which our resources mightbe directed already are receiving substantial attention by the LDCs,various external donors or others. Other problems or certain aspectsof these same problems may be receiving little if any attention. Ingeneral - and given matters of equal importance - we have tried to focusour attention on those problems or important aspects of problems whichappear to require a new, different, or added emphasis.

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The Proposed problem Areas In Brief

1. Certain Economic Aspects of Education

There are important economic considerations in virtually all ofthe problems discussed in this paper. An neconomicn point of view,and the perspective provided thereby, is needed within our entirestaff of education professionals. This economic perspective withinthe whole of our professional education staff is as important as,but certainly should not be confused with, the application ofeconomic science and analytical techniques to education. The con-tributions of professional economists will be of increasing importanceto education and human resource development in the LDCs. At the sametime, however, they cannot be a substitute for the effective exerciseof economic perspective and judgment as a continuing matter by theentirety of our professional education staff.

Virtually all LDCs in the 1970s will face a confrontation between thesocial demand for education and the availability of resources forthis purpose. we have ndted earlier the political strength of thesocial demand for education which is reflectedin the larger sharesof public revenues being allocated to this sector. However, thiscannot be a never-ending process.

Even with full recognition of the political potency of the socialdemand for education, there probably is sone finite point - v3ryingwithin and among the LDCs - at which increasing financial avail-abilities for education from pullic budgets will have to be cor-related much more closely with increased public revenues and withincreases in the GNP. At this point, either a slowdown of edu-cational growth or an actual retrenchment would be required, andfurther educational development wauld depend upon generatingadditional financial resources for education. This equationintroduces a specific problem toward which AID efforts usefullymay be directed, i.e., assisting the LDCs in the search foradditional and alternative sources from which to financeeducational endeavors.

CertFrirOy the LDCs should not delay the search for alternativesuntil such a nfinite point" is actually reached. And certainlyAID or other external donors should not foresee such a condi-tion and simply await its arrival before considering the possi-bilities for assistance in this area. One of the derivativebenefits of such a search is that it night well reveal alternative

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sources of financing for a variety of important non-formal educa-tional purposes, as well as for the forth-al school system. ThuS,the very-process of developing a broader base of resources foreducation may-became an instrument for educational innovation.

Much of the interest of economic science in education is of quiterecent origin, with most of the professional work in this fieldoccurring since the mid-1950s. There is now a substantial growthof inquiry in this area which can be expected to continue. Thus,we may expect an increasing array of insights, derived fromeconomic analysis, to be available for education. We may alsoexpect the refinement of current analytical techniques and thedevelopment of new methods and techniques specifically designedfor education and human resource purposes.

Economics already has contributed mUch to our understanding ofeducation problems and their possible solution. Of the many possi-bilities suggested, it is believed that the further development anduse of "measurement" techniques maybe the mdMt useful in the shortrun in A.I.D. efforts to assist the LDCs in their education andhuman resource problems. (Such useful "measurement" instruments, ofcourse, are not confined to economic science per se. The othersocial sciences and such fields as management and planning amongothers also should have much to contribute in this area.)

Such measurements can be particularly-helpful in evaluating alter-native means to achieve the same objective; in comparing the costsand benefits between current practices and proposed c.hanges; incomparing optional uses of reso-rces; in predicting T.he financialfeasibility of many types of accivities; and in attempting toinsure that our resources, as well as those of host countries, areused for the most productive purposes. The problem area is how tobring to bear most effectively the contribution of the variousmeasurement techniques to our full range of concerns and those ofthe LDCs in the education and human resource area.

Simply as one example, a variety of measurement techniques wouldbe very-helpful in assessing the efficiency of education and Inproviding constructive insights in how to strengthen,the produc-tivity of the process. It should be noted immediately, of course,that a great deal of work needs to be done on the measurementtechniques available and their validity-before. any really seriousclaims can be made concerning our real abilities to offer trulyreliable measurements of educational efficiency. Even recogniz-ing such severe limitations, there is a very important role for

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experimentation with such measurements even if they succeed onlyin raising questions and challenging complacent assUmptions with-out offering definite evidence or conclusive proofs.

The efficiency of education systems, of course, has both an internaland an external component. Internal efficiency relates to theeffective use of resources for the production of the product.External efficiency relates to the suitability of the end productfor the market for which it is intended. We do not need a seriesof measurements, contributed by economics or other fields, nor dowe need any additional degree of sophistication or technique toknow that the education systems of the LDCs are grossly inefficientas viewed from either an internal or an external standpoint. Suchinsight is not unique to ourselves; such matters are well under-stood within the LDCs. The problem is one of having techniquesavailable, such as a variety of measurement instruments, which willenable LDC planners, managers and decision-makers to focus on andunderstand the nature of the inefficiencies Or the present in a,context which will offer alternate means through which to achievehigher levels of efficiency both within and outside of the educa-tion systems.

2. Education and EMployment

Education and employment tend to operate as somewhat independentvariables in the LDCs. The problem area is often described as theinability of the education system to provide to the employment marketpeople who are either trained or trainable in the particular killsfor which there is an effective demand - actual employment opportunities.In real life, this interrelationship between education and employmentis less than ideal in any country. However, the problem is wellknown and many techniques have been designed ta facilitate the processthrough which the education system can adjust its programs and itsproduction of certain skills and potentials to the varying needs ofthe market place.

The LDCs have been provided with considerable information and varioustechniques relating to this type of problem over the years. Althoughthe pace of change may seem glacial to those professionally concern-ed, education systems in the LDCs increasingly are recognizing thisproblem area and may be expected to adjust somewhat more effectivelyto the requirements for trained manpower. For same years to come,however; progress in this field will remain slaw for at least threemajor reasons: (1) development produces a constantly changing set

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of manpawtr requirements in both skills and numbers, particularlyin the unplanned sectors; (2) a large proportion of the effectiveemployment opportunities will be in the least desired occupations;and (3) in gross numbers, there will be a larger future output of"educated" manpower than the governmental and modern sectors ofmost LDC economies can absorb.

Although all of these problems are important, the last two are6rucia1, and are problems for which there are no tested andreliable solutions.

The problem of inducing people to accept and continue in what theyconsider undesirable employment has never.been fully-solved, evenin states operating under autocratic rule. In relatively demo-cratic societies, it requires application of a wide variety ofincentives - income, amenities, and general social improvement.Nbt the least of such problems is the modification of the occupa-tional value system through different kinds of education.

It seems quite probable that even with all incentives wilich can beprovided by the LDCs, at least some of them will be forced to takecoercive measures to distribute manpawer more in accord with develop-ment needs than is likely to occur otherwise. These should be regard-ed as last resorts, and the educational system adapted in everypossible way to produce needed skills and the motivations to use them.

The growing divergence between the gross output of "educated" man-polier and the effective demand for it is perhaps the greatest problemnow for same LDCs and for many more in the future.

From the beginning of the development mov.ement (roughly 1950) to thelate 1960s, there were, as a generalization, very iieal requiretentsfor people at all levels of education in most LDCs. It was thiscircumstance that may- have led maw to the belief that education wasa panacea for development.

Throughout the past decade, however, the overall supply of educatedmanpower has been increasing very-rapidly, and the education systemsof the LDCs Lfl be producing substantially larger nuMber of educatedmanpower in the 1970s.

The early success story in education is proving to be the precursor-of a set of serious second generation problems in a growing numberof the LDCs - that of creating employment for large numbers of people

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whose skills and expectations have been sharpened by education.The probltm is no less real because the skills were often irrel-evant and the expectations unrealistic.

The time at which this problem becames apparent, of course, variesin each of the LDCs. Bat it appears to be universal in characterand of a dimension which is beyond solution through simply adjust-ing the product designs of the education system.

The growing problem of employment for the educated is not as newas we might assume. Ibr example:

a. In the Philippines reportedly only about one-third ofthe high school graduates under age 35 have been in fulltime employment throughout the decade of the 1960s.

b. In India, rising unemployment araong both high school anduniversity graduates was noted as eaxly as the middle1950s and more recently has included widespread unemploy-ment among graduate engineers and agriculturists, cate-gories in critically short supply only ten years earlier.

c. Many-Latin American countries have experienced substantialunemployment among secondary school and universitygraduates for same years.

d. EVen some African countries are becoming concerned aboutserious unemployment among secondary school leavers andpotential surpluses of university graduates.

e. Informal reports fram Afghanistan - a late starter inthe education race - suggest that there may be employmentopportunities for only a minority of its future universitygraduates.

The dimensions of this problem will increase as even larger numbersof "educatedu people are produced each year, in contrast with therelatively limited capability (about 3 to 5% annually) of the govern,-ment and modern sectors of the economies of the LDCs to absorb thesurplus. The potential explosiveness of the problem need not bedetailed. Without alleviation, the repercussions may be expectedto became increasingly serious during the 1970s.

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3. Strengthening Non-Formal Education

In contrast to formal education systems, there have been very fewoverall studies of non-formal education systems in the mostdeveloped countries. As for the LDCs, studies of their overallnon-frmal education systems are virtually non-existent.

Perhaps this is understandable in view of the loose and wide-ranging conglomerate of educational activities which comprise thenon-formal system in each country. The non-formal educationsystem often uunsists of a miscellaneous grab-bag identified bysuch words and phrases as: continuing education, in-servicetraining, career development, work-study programs, extension, cor-respondence, apprenticeship, adult education, skill training,on-the-job training, labor education, worker participation pro-grams, self-help learning, community education, home studycourses, and the like.

The difficulties of getting a precise fix on such an elusivetarget, or of using calipers to measure the existence and im-portance of the non-formal education system may excuse thelack of study of thi& subject. However, it should not obscurethe tremendous importance of non-formal education systems ineach country. For example, one of the few overall studies ofthis matter is the U.S. and the USSR indicated that the non-formal education gystems in these countries were roughlyequivalent in size with their total formal education systems.In the U.S. there were individual corporations with educationalestablishments as large as those of good-sized universities, andthe education activities within our armed services alone areequal in size to the total formal education efforts of severalstates combined.

The growth of all developed countries was accelerated by non-formaleducation activities designed to stimulate, train and motivatetheir large non-school populations. This had the effect ofgreatly broadening the base of education for work and life. Inthe process, it brought important new insights to the need forrelevance in the formal educational system.

The foregoing is not to suggest that the LDCs should launch sub-stantial non-formal education efforts simply because of the sizeand importance of non-formal systems in the developed countries.Further, it certainly is not to suggest that we embark on a"mirror-imaging" of the American non-formal education gystem asa parallel to the export of our formal education system. It is tosuggest, however, that the non-formal education system has a moreimportant role in the scheme of things in the LDCs than is..nowgenerally recognized in any real and meaningful sense.

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Virtually all of the LDCs now have a non-formal education systemwhether it is recognized as such or not. Often very little isknown about it. It simply exists. It enjoys little status andis often either ignored or given at best a glancing blow in theoverall education planning mechanism. It seldom receives realrecognition in such forms as the allocation of resources. And itis not given the organization, prestige, and leadership designedto truly nurture and strengthen it as a major instrument ofdevelopment for non-school populations.

Many years ago, activity to strengthen non-formal education systemswas an important theme in-U.S. assistance. Today, such activitiesare sparse. The decline did not occur as the result of consideredprogram judgment. Instead, it occurred simply as a natural andlargely unnoticed byproduct of the bureaucratic decline of suchinternal sponsoring agents as the Industry and ProductivityDivision and other organizational units.

There are at least four major reasons for concentrating effortson improvement of non-formal education at this time.

First, traditional, formal education is becoming prohibitivelyexpensive for many of the developing countries in sheer terms ofnumbers of students and availability of financial resources.In most countries costs for schools are increasing faster thanenrollments and faster than national incomes.

Second, the skilJs, knowledge and capacities of the labor force,as_indicated above, are developed as much if not more throughexperience, on-the-job training, and other kinds of non-formaledulation as through formal schooling. Formal education, however,enjoys high prestige and status. More attention to and moremoney invested in the most productive programs of non-formaleducation will undoubtedly increase its prestige and effectivecontribution to national development.

Third,, a very large proportion of the present and.future populationof most newly developing countries will have had little or noformal education at all. Its only chance for skill and knowledgedevelopment, therefore, is through some kind of non,-formal education.

Fourth, in the past decade, most external assistance has beenchannelled into formal education while non-formal education andtrainingheve been largely neglected. It would appear now, how-ever, that the highest payoff s for new.investment in humanresource development are in the non-formal area.

Owing to these and other factors, there is a new base of growinginterest in the non-formal education systems in the LDCs. As oneresult,,these countries themselves, with UNESCO assistanceorebeginning to gather systematic data on their non-formal education

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activities. It is believed that a proper use of AID assistance in thenon-formal education system area can be highly productive. Eopa]ly,it is hoped that our assistance would be designed to support a trulyindigenous growth of non-formal education rooted in their needs andin accord with their resources.

4. Reorientation of Teacher Training

During the past generation, teacher training has received more con-centrated AID attention and interest - at least as measured by num-bers of project - than any other element of education. Thiscertainly is not inappropriate as, next to students, teachers arethe largest and most important component of an education system.AID achievements in the teacher training field in the LDCs are sub-staintial and properly are considered among our more importantcontributions to development during the past decade.

Our long involvement in teacher training is so familiar and oftenreported as to require little if agy review in this paper as abackground for the problem area to be identified. This veryfamiliarity, in fact, nay be a reason why teacher training has notattracted during recent years a prominent place in either internalor external discussions about fresh and important new directionsin education. Teacher training has tended to become a standardizedactivity, compounded of traditional methodology and concepts ofeducational development formulated fifteen or twenty years ago.Any realistic look at the present status and future prospects ofdevelopment indicates a need for a major change and reorientationof teacher training, both in subject-matter and.in. methodology.

we now are compelled by experience and by insights into the rate anddirections of development to conclude that irrelevant education resultslargely from teaching teachers to teach irrelevant things - to propa-gate unrealistic values and to cling to educational traditionalism.It seems clear that to relate education more effectively to developmentneeds there is a prime requirement for a reorientation of teacher training.

Reorientation is much more than tinkering with curriculum and the apara-tus of instruction. It requires recognition of the need for reallysignificant and sweeping changes - an overhaul and reform in thephilosophy of education, the mission of teacher training and theteacher train-Ing institutions. Some dimensions of this problem areamay be noted in the contributions by two distinguished educationalauthorities to the International Conference on the world Crisis inEducation at williamsburg, Virginia, in 1967. (The first quotationis from the excellent basic documentation for the Conference, preparedby Nr. Philip H. Coombs with assistance by the staff of the InternationalInstitute for Educational Planning. The second is from the summary re-port of the Conference Chairman, Dr. James perkins.)

4.

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n. educational systems will not be modernized untilthe whole system of teacher training is drastically over-hauled, stimulated by pedagogical research, made intel-lectually richer and more challenging, and extended farbeyond preservice training into a gystem for continuousprofessional renewal for all teachers . . reformalong such lines carries with it exciting possibilities

It

n The proper preparation of teachers . will requirea new definition of institutions for teacher training.These institutions must be deeply involved in researchand experimentation and be themselves influentialcenters of innovation. They must be prepared to dis-seminate the tested results of research and to encouragetheir practical application.n

There are two primary reasons for serious consideration ofteacher education as a priority problem area for AID:(1) nearly all the LDCs are now conducting their educationalprograms with teachers who are insufficient in number, inade-quately prepared to use the most effective teaching methods,and trained to teach subjects frequently only marginally re-lated to the present and projective lives of their pupils, ana(2) the very large past investment of Alp in teacher education,part of which has been productive and part of which has helpedto propagate the problems which now confront the LDCte.

5. New Directions in. Higher Education

The past two decades have produced an enormous growth in thenumbers of institutions called nuniversitiesn in the lessdeveloped countries. A good many of them qualify as authenticuniversities by the breadth and quality of their educationand research. It would be difficult to discover apy which havebecome deeply and purposefully concerned with the central pur-pose of the nations which support them. This purpose, at itsbest, is the accelerated improvement of the political, social,and economic life of their people.

Even many of the better universities in the LDCs cling to traditionaldisciplines and methods of instruction. Universities anduniversity-level institutes founded primarily to provide trained man-power for development largely have evaded direct, purposeful andcoherent commitment to the real and immediate problems of develop-ment. Their contributions to development continue to be regardedas a byproduct and their educational philosophy generally doesnot embrace a commitment, in a direct and immediate may, to theservice of society. Thus, they have remained (as has become in-creasingly clear in our own universities) remote and largely

irrelevant to the problems and needs of the developing countries.

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AID (and its predecessor agencies) has been a party to the creationor development of many universities in the developing countries.From the beginning of the technical assistance program, theUnited States perceived the need for direct relevance by the uni-versities in the LDCs to development problems. This perception,however, took the land-grant college as its main prototype. Schoolsof mPnnoement, engineering, science and others were modeledessentially upon the industrial and agricultural cultures of theUnited States. Mhile these responses were by no means whollyincorrect, they clearly have not produced institutions appropriateto and vitally engaged in the real problems of nation-building anddevelopment. Hampered by traditional conceptions of educationalready deeply imbedded in the LDCs, these institutions generallyhave remained academic enclaves, remote from immediate and para-mount problems, diffuse in their educational purposes, and devoidof a sense,-of urgency and moral commitment.

During this same period new problems were emerging or being recog-nized to which the LDC universities could not properly remainindifferent:

A. Rapid growth in population and rising demand for educationat all levels.

B. Changing and accelerating demands for trained human resourcesto_meet thel.needs of sedtai; ecoileinic- and paitiadaVdeveloPment.

C. Migration of large nuMbers of people to urban centers cam-pounding both rural and urban problems.

D. Demonstration that the modern sectors of industry, commerce,agriculture and government could not provide employment forall the educated, even at the university graduate level.

E. Realization that with mass education, the traditional'primary and secondary schools would fina it difficult orimpossible to provide students-adequately prepared for highereducation. The sheer_numbers of students seriously inhibitedadequate imprøvement of the quality of education at these levels.

F. The requirements for faculty, physical plant, equipment, insti-tutional capabilities and funds made university development,particularly of the technical faculties, a very long-term problem.

There have been various concepts of ways in which AMID might assist LDCuniversities in casting themselves in a more development oriented roleand in becoming organic with, rather than apart from, the societiesthey serve.

Perhaps the most extreme such concept is that AM might help selectedcountries create a new kind of experimental universiK, which generi-cally night be called a Development University.

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Such a university would be based on a more revolutionary conceptthan scattered efforts at curriculum improvement and inter-facultylinkages: It mould have a clear and explicit purpose and doctrine -a direct, immediate and urgent commitment to development in all itsaspects. At a mi.nimum it should be:

1. Founded on a single guiding concept - development -in which all strands of study and research would bewoven together to give them a coherence and visiblepurpose.

2. Directed toward equipping young people to do somethingabout development problems in the special settings oftheir own nations and environments.

3. Characterized by an emphasis on the moral content ofeducation and the values associated with service tosociety, rather than personal affluence and prestige.

Such a university would not offer courses in every field, but onlyin those where the cutting edge of development needs to be sharpened.This still would be a fairly wide spectrum, for development of anation requires usable skills in politics as well as agriculture,the humanities as well as engineering, the arts as well as economics,and the social as well as the physical sciences.

But there woad be several important differences in theDevelopment University.

1. The overriding purpose of every offering in the curri-culum would be to relate it to relevant problems andpurposes of development.

2. Every specialization wou1d*be itructured to give it auseful synthesis with other specializations. Allshould contain a major component of concepts of theaims of development as well as the means by- whichthese aims maybe achieved.

The campus would be a country or a region within acountry - not an enclave. Students and faculty-wouldspend at least half their time engaged with realproblems, and their libraries and laboratories wouldbe designed to sharpen understanding of these problems.

4. The university as an institution would undertake seriousoperational responsibilities for appropriate aspects ofdevelopment - leadership in reform and improvement of

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the whole educational system, propagation of non,formaleducation and learning programs, experiments in improve-ment of rural life, experimental population controlprograms and others.

5. It should emphasize high standards for admission -but not just academic standards. It should give fullcredence to non-academic talent, demonstrated potential,and personal commitment to service to society. Admis-sion to the Development University should be a recogni-tion of the individual, not of a secondary schooldiploma or a mark on an examination.

6. The university should consciously strive to-create anew mystique of education, simplify ritual, honorpractical achievement, exemplify spartan standards.

There are, of course, some very real and imaginary problems involvedin constituting a Development University. The forces of tradi-tionalism and the educational Establishment are likely to view suchan institution with skepticism or alarm. Institutional involvementwith non-academic problems is difficult and unfamiliar. Recruit-ment of faculty would present a problem, for it would require akind of person as well as a kind of professional competence. The,process of student selection would require more time and greaterdiscrimination than is now common.

There are probably a few existing universities with vision enoughto undertake a revolutionary venture in education. In somecountries Development Universities would have to be created fromscratch. But the experience with higher education in developmentthus far would seem to require experimentation with a new and moregenerative form of university.

Whether or not AID should seriously pursue the creation of Develop-ment Universities on an experimental basis, it should continueits interest in and support of higher education in the LDCs. How-ever, except in rare and unusual instances, it should diminishand ultimately cease its support of \overall university development.Greater selectivity should be employed in the institutionsassisted and this support more sharply,focused upon those elementsof the institution which are (1) highly significant to nationaldevelopment, (2) receiving serious and sustained commitment hy thehost institution and government, and (3)\apable of achieving alevel of competence or excellence within a reasonable period of time.

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Assistance to universities will be predicated upon their takinga problem-solving approach to both internal university problemsand problems of their societies. This implies serious partici-pation in identifying and solving human resource problems suchas requirements for sub-professional personnel (for health,education, government, industpy and agriculture); reform ofcurricula and teaching methods; adaptation of research to realproblems of development; and economic management of faculty, staffand physical resources.

During the 1970s A.I.D. should encourage and support a growingassumption of leadership on the part of developing universitiesin policy formulation, planning and management. we feel thatmany of them are capable of doing this well, but we should re-spond to requests for assistance in these areas where such assis-tance seems necessary and we are able to provide it.

We envisage in the 1970s that developing universities will be-come more problem oriented, will forge more constructive linkswith their governments, industry, agriculture and with othereducation and research institutions. To facilitate thispartnership, A.I.D. has moved toward new institutional arrange-ments with U.S. universities which provide for (1) greaterflexibility in their cooperation with LDC universities, (2)joint effort between host country (or regional) institutions andU.S. institutions, (3) efforts to be more related to the envi-ronment of the host countries, (4) a more positive and problem-oriented approach to research.

6. New Roles for Wbmen in Development

Almost invariably, discussions of human resource development,as well as those of development generally, proceed in a frame-work which presumes the non-existence of one half of thehuman species - the female component. This vacuum concerninga role for women in development might well continue except thattheir fecundity is now seen to threaten seriously any realprospect for successful development. Of course, this indictmentis perhaps too harsh. It is true that most developing countrieshave somewhat improved the educational, social and employment

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opportunities for their female populations. The dimensions of suchchange, however, are Of a magnitude which might have been describedas "tokenism,' before this word assumed its present high emotionalcontent. Nowhere in the LDCs is there a range of political, socialand economic roles for women anything like those for men. Nowherehas a concept of women as full and essential partners in thedevelopment process gained a firm foothold.

Actually, the development of human resources, widely proclaimed asessential to overall national development, includes everyone (maleor female) who performs a useful role in society, economic ornon-economic, political or artistic, manual or intellectual,important or unimportant. This is not merely a semantic orhumanistic point. Failure to understand it leads to fundamentalmisjudgments about society and as to haw development can and doesproceed.

Wbmen indisputably carry a large share of the most responsiblework in every society. Within all the LDCs, they bear andsignificantly educate Children, shape family attitudes, per-petuate values, and perform an enormous amount of unpaid manuallabor. However, much of the essential work of women for theirsociety is either not performed for economic gain or is outsideof the monetary sector of the economy. Thus, they are notconsidered as a part of the labor force, and they are notincluded among the human resources. As a consequence, they are notwithin the focus of attention of development planners who arepreoccupied with those directly engaged in economic activity,disregarding the support forces, aften women, who provide thefacilities, services, motivations, and frequently the attitudesof the economic labor force.

This seems particularly odd in a situation where change is themajor objective. Women in almost all societies, and particularlyin developing societies, are known to be among the most tradition-bound, conservative, and apprehensive of change elements of thepopulation.

This has tremendous relevance to population growth. Womencannot reasonably be expected to give up willingly their onlysocially recognized and respected function. A reduction inpopulation growth rates occurs in societies where women areaccorded opportunities to enrich their lives and to plgy avariety of respected and recognized roles.

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This also' has tremendous relevance to development, particularlyif we are able to see through the modern sector of the econagyto the society as a whole. Every society is half female.According full status as human beings to women in the LICs isan essential element to strengthening their developmentalefforts. It will add a new dimension and meaning to the wholeeffort toward development. A broad base of policies and actionprograms is required. As a beginning, we might encourage andassist the LECs in effectively increasing educational opportu-nities of all types for women.

7. Educational Technology

The conventional means to increase the quantity and improve thequality of education do not offer apy substantial potential fora really critical breakthrough in the so-called *world educationalcrisis" of the LDCs. The resource requirements for satisfactionof the social demand for education by conventional means are beyondthe capabilities of most of the LDCs. Overall quality improvement,through conventional means, is both expensive and painfully slaw.

Our primary interest in educational technology stems from thepossibility that it may have a potential for a significant improve-ment in the quantity and quality educational problems of the LDCs.It may also be a prime instrument for overall educational reform.It is the importance of exploring such potentials which leads tothe indlusion of educational technology among our selected problemareas.

Actually, technology permeates educational systems everyWhere atthe present time. However, its -forma - buildings; books, logisticalarrangements, etc. - are so familiar, as contrasted with-the exoticnew instruments, that we tend to overlook the presence and influenceof technology on the conventional education. process. To understandits role, we should begin with the broad Perspective that "educationaltechnology . . . includes all the different methods, materials,equipment and logistical arrangements employed by education tofurther its work." Fram this perspective, the entire system andprocess to induce learning is permeated with applications oftechnoloav which are an integral part of the system and whicheither advance or retard the learning process itself.

It is this broad perspective, encompassing the whole of education'stechnology, which yields the most interesting and exciting questionin this area. That is, would it be possible to analyze and

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evaluate all of the old and the new throughout the whole of educa-tional technology-with a view toward synthesizing a fundamentallynew process and system which would produce the highest benefitsin terms of human learning at various levels of cost.

Such a comprehensive endeavor, of course, would be well beyond-the capabilities or realities of an individual UDC. It mightwell be beyond the scope and talents of an individual externaldonor working in isolation, particularly since many of the mattersinvolved might not be accessible to or actionable by an externaldonor. However, an individual external donor, such as A.I.D.,could initiate the beginning of a catalytic effort in this areathrough one or a series of 211(d) type grants. Evidence ofpromising work in this search for a new configuration of educa-tion's overall technology would attract the attention and co-operation of other external donors and of the LECs themselves.

The effort to synthesize a new configuration of education's tech-nology - even over an ex-bended period of years - might never yielda superior process for education per se. After all, real educa-tion is a very complex affair far transcending the limits of trans-mitting knowledge, information and skills.

Such a new configuration of education's technology, at best, mightachieve only a distinct improvement in the transmission of basicknowledge, useful information and common skills to a large numberof people at an acceptable cost. Or, it might only provide learningopportunities for the majority of the people in the LDCs who arenow excluded from the formal eelcation system or who, by the lack ofconventional literacy, are now barred effectively from knowledgewhich could be available to them. Or, the use of such a new configu-ration might be feasible ony for a selected group, such as thoseattending teacher trairing institutions, with the possibility ofimbuing a whole generation of teachers with a new outlook on theeducation process and system.

Such possibilities, as those noted above, are modest goals incontrast with the overall objective cited earlier. Yet, standingalone, the actual achievement of any one of these more modest goalswould appear to justify a substantial effort to generate a newsynthesis of the overall technology of education to enhance thelearning process.

It is, of course, the application of the latest and most advancedinstruments of technology to education - satellites, television,computers, etc. - which have stimulated the current wave of

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interest in this subject. Given the momentum of such interest,there are a variety of ways in which it might be focused. It isurged that our emphasis be on examining the potentials of educa-tional technology for critical breakthroughs in the education,human resource development and allied knowledge transmissionproblems of the LDCs - if, indeed, such potentials do exist infact.

Developing and retaining this focus on examining the potentialsfor really major gains is one of the special difficulties ineducational technology particularly concerning the more exoticinstruments. The subject matter is of intense interest both tothose who have little knowledge of it and to those who becomeenmeshed thoroughly within it. Asa result, there is a substantialrisk that involvement in the many intriguing aspects of the subjectmatter can divert our attention from the essentially high-riskendeavor of exploring the "potentials" of educational technologyfor at least partial solutions to the really vital problemsconfronting the LDCs.

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ANNEX A

TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE BUREKU NOTICE

ACTION MEMORANDUM TO ALL DIRECTORS OF OFFICES AND STAFFS IN THETECHNICAL ASSISTANCE BUREAU

SUBJECT: General Guidance for Problem Identification

Purpose: This document establishes the objectives, generalprocedures and schedule for the initial problem-identificationprocess of the Technical Assistance Bureau.

Back'ground: The TAB is charged with the responsibility for leadingAgency efforts to mobilize professional attention in depth onthe most important problems impeding achievement of the mod-ernization and development purposes pursued by the developingcountries with United States support. This involves severalinterrelated Phases:

1. Work with the regional bureaus, missions, otherA.I.D. offices and outside entities or individuals toidentify these major problems and the relatedknowledge gaps.

2. Identify requirements and formulate proposals foressential activities such as research, advisory services,exploratory probes, etc., to further define these keyproblems and solve them or achieve interim steps towardstheir solution.

3. Provide the knowledge and the tools for applicationof improved methods to technical assistance planners andpractitioners.

4 Sponscr and synthesize innovative thinking andplanning on long-term problems of LDC modernization.

This problem identification process is concerned with the first ofthe above phases. The results of-this process are to be followedby the activities necessary for problem solution and the dissemina-tion of this knOwledge to technical assistance planners and practitioners.In reality, the key problems cannot all be identified at a given time.There will inevitably be a series of approximations, necessarilylimited by the constraints of time, data and manpower. This first

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approximation, therefore, is not meant to terminate the processbut hopefully to provide the starting point of a self-adjusting,dynamic system for problem solving. This first phase is tohave an arbitrary cut-off point and to be conducted largely withthe staff resources available within A.I.D. to meet the followingObjectives.

Objectives: The problem-identification phase should:

1. permit the Agency to concentrate its resources(time, energy, manpower, funds arid knowledge) on thoseproblems whose solution promotes the ultimate objectiveof the greatest benefit for the modernization objectivesof the LDCs and the U.S.;

2. build a service capability within the TAB over alonger time period to enable it to respond to theregional bureaus' and missions' requests for assistance;

3. provide a guidance base for the TAB programming tooccur next spring as part of A-I.D.'s annual planning-programming-budget process;

4 help the TAB to determine its reauirements forfunds, manpower and organizational structure;

5. permit a more effective interaction of theprofessional community within A.I.D. and outsideA.I.D. and an efficient division of labor in contri-buting to problem solution. An explicit criterion ofthis process is to more fully utilize the technical com-ponents in the regional bureaus, staff offices and missions.

Identification of Problem Areas: In general terms, the problemareas to be identified are those: 1) in which performance lagsresult in major bottlenecks to the progress of economic, socialand political development; 2) which 1iwit the effectiveness ofAgency assistance operations, and 3) whose prevalence among A.I.D.cooperating countries is sufficiently broad to warrant concern ofa central staff organization.

The problem statements in each technical field will identify themajor problem areas, and to the extent possible the key problemswithin such areas, as well as field projects that may serve aslaboratories from which lessons can be learned or solutionstested. The selection of projects for TA Bureau concentrationin depth should include the more important Agency projects ineach problem area, having in mind the professional servicesreinforcement of the project that will result from the con-centration of professional expertise on it.

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Examples of problem areas might include:

- The inadequacy of formal or traditional educationsystems to meet the human development needs of largesegments of the population.

- The Inadequacy of agricultural research capabilitiesto develop the technological inputs that are essentialto accelerate and sustain the expansion of food out-put and to improve food ctality.

- The 'highly inefficient use in agriculture of waterresources already availaW.e in farming areas for on-farm applications (i.e., the 'water management"problem).

- Inability to plan and implement projects.

- General lack of application of economic analysis indevising agricultural development strategies, 1

investment programs, research and extensionpriorities, etc.

- Rural and urban unemployment.

Inadequate participation of the population atlarge in establishment of development goals, inthe execution of development programs, and in theincome gains from development (i.e., the "Title IX"problem, for which PPC -will continue to provide theAgency professional leadership).

We are deliberately maintaining a loose and flexible definition ofthe scope of problem areas to be selected for concentrated attention.

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Some may be much broader than others. The test should be thebreadth of the matters on which A.I.D. concentration would be.particularly beneficial and administrative convenience inorganizing reasonably discrete "chunks" of work.

Although problems occur in a specific time and place context,the attempt will be to identify those aspects of key problemswhich tend to occur in several countries over time. The currentexercise is primarily intended to identify problem areas for TABureau attention. In the process, there will also occur somefuller definition of the specific nature of the individualproblems within the selected areas. It is not expected that.theanalysis will go to the point of searching for alternativesolutions, nor of establishing the criteria and constraintsfor evaluating alternatives and testing solutions. This firstphase may but need not, suggest specific proposals for research,technical projects, or institutional grants. These solution-seeking activities ordinarily will evolve from the following phases.The correct identification of problems is a_critical, difficultand often most Important part of the solution-seeking activity.The central concern of the problem-identification phase is tobegin this diagnosis and steer professional attention into theright areas of diagnosis. As greater professional attentionis mobilized in these problem areas in later phases, its firstand most critical task will be to sharpen further the identifi-cation of the specific nature of the individual problems thatshould be addressed within the selected prohem areas (or perhapsoutside them), i.e. sure that we are asking the right questionsin our answer-seeking activities.

Preparation of Staff Papers: Problem-identification statements,referred to hereafter as "Staff Papers;'eventually will be preparedin the following fields: Agriculture, Fisheries, DevelopmentAdministration, Education and Human Resources, Health, Nutritionand Population. The Staff Papers are not restricted to thesefields; there may additionally be statements urban development,science and technology and other multi-disciplinary subjectmatter areas. (See the section on "Staff Responsfbilities.")

For each subject matter Staff Paper, a Staff Officer designatedby the Assistant Administrator of the Technical Assistance Bureau,with the advice of the pertinent Office Director, will be responsiblefor preparing the final document. The Stoff 'Officer will normallybe assigned full-time to the task. He is responsible forplanning and carrying out the work involved in the proceduralsequence described below, including arrangements for anynecessary consultants or other staff help. The problem statementthat evolves is to be a staff product rather than a personaldocument of the Staff Officer.

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As a means of organizing at least a common point of departurefor this,problem-identification process, a separate documentwill be 'available to the action officers suggesting selectioncriteria, definitions, methodology and reporting formats.

Nulti-Dizciplinary Panel: The problem-identification processbegins with the technical sectors but it is essential that italso incorporate multi-disciplinary inputs, to assure theachievement of analysis that is broadly perceptive, technicallysound, and innovative. In order to provide these broaderdimensions to the problem-identification process, a Multi-Disciplinary Panel will be established. Detailed functions andstructure mill be provided in essence it will do the following:

- Provide cross-sectoral advice and assistance in eachsubject-matter field upon which problem papers are tobe written.

- Initiate exploratory Staff Papers on pToblem identificationin key cross-sectoral areas not otherwise being addressedwhen it considers such areas deserve attention.

- Provide or arrange for additional multi-disciplinarydata and expertise to the extent appropriate, as anextra resource for the Staff Officers.

The Panel will have a Chairman and will provide expertise ineconomic development, political development, social development,and administrative development- The Office of Science andTechnology (TA/OST) will parthipate in the Panel reflecting itsperspective in the problem-identification process. Additionaldisciplines may be called upon depending on the specific contextof the problems. For selected areas, sub-panels may be convenedif needed. It is expected that members of the Panel will comelargely from experienced A.I.D. personnel.

Procedural Sequence: The following sequence of steps would betypical in developing the Staff Paper, but is subject tovariation depending on the specific context of each situation. TheStaff Officers mill normally:

- Consult documentary sources (memory bank evaluations, PARsand executed PROPs selected via Activity CharacteristicsSheets and ACS summaries, Country Field SUbmissions,special studies, reports of other agencies, i.e., WorldBank and U. N., etc.) for leads to major problem areas.

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- Consult with the Multi-Disciplinary Panel for assistancein the approach to the problem and suggestions for resourcedata and people from other disciplines.

- Gather the contributions of technical offices, programofficers and other knowledgeable persons in the regionalbureaus, PPC and other central staff offices. Qualifiedsources outside of A.I.D. can be included although thetime constraint Precludes involvement of extensive numbersof people or formation of special advisory groups orconferences for this purpose in this first.round of problemidentification. For similar reasons, it is not plannedto conduct visits to field missions, although missioncontributions should be obtained by review of countryfield documents, interviews of field officers inWashington, selective correspondence and in sane casesby request for particular field officers to participatein the preparation of the Staff Papers.

- Prepare a draft statement of the key problems and consultwith the appropriate regional bureau e-echnical personneland the Multi-Disciplinary Panel. The consultation at thisstage should include, as a minimum, a meeting with theappropriate technical counterparts of the regional bureausand interested Agency staff offices to disduss the draftpaper. The purpose of this consultation is to obtain theadvice and suggestions of the respondents; and seek asfull a consensus as possible,. The methods for theseconsultations are flexible, but ordinarily they are expectedto be fairly informal, professional discussions with afree give and take of viwpoints. The purpose is profes-sional interchange rather than organizational agreement.

- Submit the Staff Paper to *the Assistant Administratorfor the TA Bureau who will review it with the advice andassistance of appropriate members of the Bureau's staff.

The Assistant Administrator of the TA Bureau will then submit theStaff Paper for consideration by the TA Executive Committee, consistingof himself and the Deputy Assistant Administrators of the RegionalBureaus and PPC. The meetings will normally involve the RegionalBureau Program Officer and appropriate Technical Officers for thesubject matter under discussion, as well as the Staff Officer andkey officers of the Technical Bureau and such other central staffoffices as appropriate.

Schedule: While the cadence for this process cannot be rigidlyset, it is expected to proceed as rapidly as possible, contingentupon a reasonable quality of effort. For planning purposes, submissionof initial Staff Papers to the TA E-ecutive Committee is scheduledas follows:

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Education and Human DevelopmentAgricultureHealth

Development Administration -

Population

January 1970January 1970February 1970

February 1970To be scheduled later

Staff Responsibilities: To meet the schedules, work will need tobe pushed ahead promptly and pursued vigorously in order to accomplishwell the sequence envisioned above. The Associate Assistant Administratorfor Operations is responsible for the direction and coordination of thiseffort. The Office of Program and Methodology (TA/PM) will be responsiblefor further development of the guidance on procedure and meihodologyfor the problem identification process. The Office will monitor theentire process, coordinate sugaestions for changes in the procedureand evaluate the system for its continuing Improvement. As problemstatements are adopted and become the basis for identifyingappropriate solution-seeking activities, TA/PM will coordinate thisprocess with TA Bureau programming.

Directors of each office for which a staff paper is scheduledare responsible for ensuring the timely preparation of that paper.In same cases the Office Director will be the "Staff Officer"preparing the paper. When, by agreement, another person is sodesignated, the Office Director is responsible for praviding theStaff Officer advice and ensuring appropriate logistic and othersupport by his office. The Associate Assistant Administrator forOperations will expect to be consulted by the Staff Officer fromtime to time regarding general policy and coordination.

'he Heads of the Offices of Research, Science and Technology andOrban Development will advise and assist the Bureau AssistantAdministrator in the determination of the key prdblems. Duringthe process, these staff offices will contribute to the delib-erations of the Multi-Disciplinary. Panel, advise.and assist theStaff Officers in their respective ireas, and initiate separateproblem statements for subject matter which, in their judgment,is not adequately covered otherwise.

Joel BernsteinAssistant Administrator for

Technical Assistance

cc: A.I D./W Bureaus and Central Staff 0:fices

October 29, 1969No. 70-3 Ref. 1590 38

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ANNEX B

Steps Followed and Persons Contacted in the EducationProblem Identification Process

This is an outline of the proeedural sequences in the development ofthe Key Problem Identification Paper for Education and Human Resources.Needless to point out, the overall background for this or for anylike paper is the previous involvement of the writers and theirassociates in the subject area.

Given this background, DT. W. Steen McCall spent several monthsduring the fall of 1969 reviewing literature on education and humanresources generated within and outside of A.I.D. Among docu-ments consulted were: the Congressional Presentation series;statementx on bilateral education and human resource develop-ment projects; and a wide variety of other £I.D. Washington andMission papers and studies on the subject.

A variety of fruitful sources outside of A.I.D. were reviewed.Some of the major institutional sources of material were pmblicationsby the:

American Association of Colleges for Teacher EducationAmerican Institutes of ResearchBrookings InstitutionEducation and World .AffairsFord FoundationInternational Manpower Planning InstituteInstitute of International Education PlanningNatIonal Planning AssociationOrganization for Edonomic Cooperation and DevelopmentOrganization of American StatesUnited Nations Economic and Social OrganizationU.S. Department of LaborU.S. Office of EducationWorld Bank

Alert from such institutional sources of publication, variouswritings by individual authors were reviewed, including:C. Arnold Anderson (Chicago), W. G. Armytage (Sheffield), Thomas Balogh(Oxford), Gary S. Becker (Colombia), Charles S. Benson (California),George Z. F. Bereday (Columbia), M. Blaug ( Manchester), Rudolph C. Blitz(Vanderbilt), Mary Jean Bowman (Chicago), R. Louis Bright (Baylor),R. Freeman Butts (Columbia), Lynton K. Caldwell (Indiana),Raymond Carpenter (Pennsylvania State), Ladislav 2erych (AtlanticInstitute), Harold Clark (Cilumbia), Philip Coombs (InternationalCouncil for Educational Development), and Robert Craqe (Duke).

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Others were: Adam Curle (Harvard), Nicholas DeWitt (Indiana),Louis A. Doyle (Michigan State), Alvin C Eurich (Acwlemy forEducational Development), Philip J. Foster (Chicago), Eli Ginzberg(Columbia), Torsten Hagerstrand (London), H. W. Hannah (Illinois),W. Lee Hansen (California), Arnold C. Harberger (Chicago),Frederick Harbison (Princeton), H. Field Haviland (Tufts),Clark Kerr (California), Arthur Lewis (Manchester), L. J. Lewis(London), Joseph Margolin (George Washington), Mar F. Millikan (NIT),and John Montgomery (Harvard).

Still Others were: Robert Mbrgan (Florida State), Selma Mushkin(Georgetown), C.A. Myers (Princeton), Gabriel D. Ofeish (Catholic),Herbert Passin (Columbia), William J. Platt (Stanford ResearchInstitute), Simon Rottenberg (Buffalo), Wilbur Schramm (Stanford),Theodorelg. Schultz (Chicago), B. F. Skinner (Harvard), Eugene Staley(Stanford), Warren D. Stevens (Indiana), and Leon Weintraub (ManpowerEValuation and Development Institute).

Throughout this period and continuing into the winter of 1969-70,there were personal consultations and meetings with knowledgeablereople within and outside of this Agency. Withir A.I.D., for example,this included -- with their then Bureaus identification in parentheses --such persons as: Clifford Blodk (Technical Assistance), Walter Boehm(Africa), Glenn Coombs (Latia America) Edward Fei (Program and PolicyCoordination), Samuel Fuhr (Africa), Michel Herve (Program and PolicyCoordination), John Hilliard (Technical Assistance), Frank Holmes(Latin America) David Jones (Vietnam), Jack Koteen (TechnicalAssistance), Princeton Lyman (Program and Polio- Coordination), andBernie Merson (Labor Affairs).

Others mere: James Murray (East Asia), Burton Newbry (Near East),Leonard Fbmpa (Near East), Edward Rizzo (Technical Assistance),Rcbert Rupard (Africa), Louis Sleeper (Latin America), Philip Sperling(Vietnam), Edward Trethaway (Africa), Myron Vent (Technical Assistance),William Williams (East Asia), Harold Winer (Vietnam),

Outside of key problems in education were discussed with manyexperts in the field. Some of these discussions were formal and lastedfor an entire day. Others were simply informal idea sessions.These consultations included personnel from such varied organizationsas the Wbrld Bank, Ford Foundation, Organization of American States,the New York City school system, several universities and others.Additionsrly, relevant issues were discussed with theMulti-Disciplinary Panel.

An advisory group was formed to facilitate both the identificationof problems and the selection process among them. It consisted ofGeorge Baldwin (World Bank), J. Freeman Butts (Columbia University),Frederick Harbison (Princeton University), Charles Kidd (American

-Nciation of Universities), and Ralph Smuakler (Michigan State University),

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The advisory group was an active working boay. It met officiallythree times on informal working papers in different problem areas.This group was particularly helpful in selecting the seven problemareas included in the Staff Paper.

The above indicates the general process. The Staff paper, aspresented to the Assistant Administrator at the End of January1970, was the interaction and synthesis of the above elements.

Comments on the staff paper within and elsewhere werestimulated by its dissenination coupled with several briefing sessions.These camments had a decisive influence on selecting the final threeproblan areas. The names and Bureau or other affiliations of someof those submitting written comnents were: Martin J. Forman (TechnicalAssistance), Michel Berve (Progran and Policy Coordiination),Abraham M. Hirsch (Technical Assistance), Lee M. Howard (TechnicalAssistance), David P. Jones (Vietnam), Lenni Kangas (TechnicalAssistance), Berman Kleine (Latin America), Alvin Lackey (TechnicalAssistance).

Others were: Kenneth Levick (Technical Assistance), Erven Long(Technical Assistance), Princeton Lyman (Program and Policy Coordination),Burton Newbry (Near East), Glenn Patterson (Near East), Gordon Potter(Technical Assistance), David Shear (Africa), Alfred 'White (Near East),and William Wi ams (East Asia) .

Several university personnel submitting comments were: John Lewis(Princeton), John Montgomery (Harvard), Frank Moore (Stanford), andRobert Schmeding (Harvard).

Other unplanned reviews also took place. ha unexpected opportunityoccurred in February 1970 to discuss the paper with personnelin Thailand and Vietnam. In Thailand, the problems were discussedextensively with such persons as Rdbert Jaccibs, Rdbert Johnson,Robert Van Duyn, Rdbert Crawford and others. In Vietnam, T.C. Clarkand the Mission education staff were involved. These discussions weresupportive of the problem areas identified.

Additionslly, a key prdblem seminar was organized with six visitingNigerian educatOrs and another meeting on the subject was held -withthe Director of Elementary Education of Ethiopia. In both cases,the key problem areas were discussed fruitfully.