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Page 1: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

XLR8UH.COM

Page 2: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Financial Workshop Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation

methodologies

July 21st, 2016

By: Tarik Sultan

Page 3: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Hi! I’m Tarik

XLR8TH

I work with Startups at Sultan Ventures and XLR8UH.

@sultanventures

@XLR8UH

Page 4: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Valuation and Dilution Over Time

XLR8UH

What is it, why it’s important, what is “normal”

Page 5: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Valuation Considerations

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•  Pre-Money | Raise | Post-Money •  Simple Math

•  Pre-Money Valuation: $2M •  Raise: $1M •  Post-Money Valuation: $3M •  Quick Quiz:

•  $1M in exchange for 25% of your business? •  Pre-Money vs. Post-Money?

•  Option Pool •  Valuation Over Time

•  Why Dilution is OK

Page 6: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

What is the Right Amount per Round

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•  Investor has to have enough skin in the game •  They get diluted down too •  “Seeking 5x in 3 years or 10x in 5 years”

•  Reality: •  Seeking more earlier on •  A little less later on

•  Rule of Thumb: •  25% per round •  3-4 rounds

•  What should founders end up with? •  Hint: You’re probably not the next Zuck (statistically

speaking)

Page 7: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Founding Team

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*NOTE: Founding team should never split equity directly down the middle (i.e. 50/50, 25/25/25/25, etc.). Can result in stalemate

$6,250 25%

$6,250 25%

$6,250 25%

$6,250 25%

Founding Team - $25,000

Founder 1

Founder 2

Founder 3

Founder 4

•  Inception – 100% •  Founding Team

•  Founder 1: 25% •  Founder 2: 25% •  Founder 3: 25% •  Founder 4: 25%

Page 8: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Founding Team (with Employee Option Pool)

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$5,000 20%

$5,000 20%

$5,000 20%

$5,000 20%

$5,000 20% Founder 1

Founder 2

Founder 3

Founder 4

Employee Option Pool

Founding Team With Employee Option Pool – STILL $25,000 •  Founding Team

•  Founder 1: 20% •  Founder 2: 20% •  Founder 3: 20% •  Founder 4: 20% •  Option Pool: 20%

Page 9: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Founding Team (with Employee Option Pool)

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$150,000 15%

$150,000 15%

$150,000 15%

$150,000 15%

$150,000 15%

$250,000 25% Founder 1

Founder 2 Founder 3 Founder 4 Employee Option Pool Seed Investor

Seed Round - $250,000 •  Seed Stage •  Seed Investor: 25% •  Founder 1: 15% •  Founder 2: 15% •  Founder 3: 15% •  Founder 4: 15% •  Option Pool: 15%

Page 10: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Series A

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Series A - $2,500,000 •  Series A

•  Series A Investor: 25% •  Seed Investor: 19% •  Founder 1: 11% •  Founder 2: 11% •  Founder 3: 11% •  Founder 4: 11% •  Option Pool: 11%

$1,125,000 12%

$1,125,000 11%

$1,125,000 11%

$1,125,000 11% $1,125,000

11%

$1,875,000 19%

$2,500,000 25%

Founder 1 Founder 2 Founder 3 Founder 4 Employee Option Pool Seed Investor Series A

Page 11: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Series B

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$3,375,000 9% $3,375,000

9%

$3,375,000 8%

$3,375,000 8%

$3,375,000 8%

$5,625,000 14%

$7,500,000 19%

$10,000,000 25% Founder 1

Founder 2 Founder 3 Founder 4 Employee Option Pool Seed Investor Series A Series B

Series B - $10,000,000 •  Series B •  Series B Investor: 25% •  Series A Investor: 19% •  Seed Investor: 14% •  Founder 1: 8% •  Founder 2: 8% •  Founder 3: 8% •  Founder 4: 8% •  Option Pool: 8%

Page 12: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dilution – Series C

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$5,062,500 7%

$5,062,500 6% $5,062,500

6%

$5,062,500 6%

$5,062,500 6%

$8,437,500 11%

$11,250,000 14%

$15,000,000 19%

$20,000,000 25%

Founder 1 Founder 2 Founder 3 Founder 4 Employee Option Pool Seed Investor Series A Series B Series C

Series C - $20,000,000 •  Series C

•  Series C Investor: 25% •  Series B Investor: 19% •  Series A Investor: 14% •  Seed Investor: 11% •  Founder 1: 6% •  Founder 2: 6% •  Founder 3: 6% •  Founder 4: 6% •  Option Pool: 6%

Page 13: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Series C Investor Perspective

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•  Series C à $20M Investment •  Seeking

•  5X in 3 Years; or •  10X in 5 Years

•  Equates to •  $100M RETURN in 3 Years; or •  $200M RETURN in 5 years

•  A $20M investment at 25% equity stake, seeking a startup valuation upon EXIT: •  $400M in 3 Years; or •  $800M in 5 Years

Page 14: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Exit – Why Dilution is OK

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•  Series C à $20M Investment = •  $400M Exit in 3 years •  $800M Exit in 5 years

•  ROI •  Series C Investor: 25% = $100 - 250M •  Series B Investor: 19% = $75 – 150M •  Series A Investor: 14% = $56 - 112M •  Seed Investor: 11% = $42 - 84M •  Founder 1: 6% = $25 – 50M •  Founder 2: 6% = $25 – 50M •  Founder 3: 6% = $25 – 50M •  Founder 4: 6%= $25 – 50M •  Option Pool: 6% = $25 – 50M

Page 15: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Vesting and Equity Splits

XLR8UH

What is it, market standards, and how to determine equity splits.

Page 16: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Vesting

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•  Why Vest? •  2 Main Reasons

•  Incentivizes team •  Removes dead weight

•  EVERYONE VESTS •  Founders – set up a vesting schedule and

include yourself in it along with your team •  Money doesn’t vest

•  You may WILL have to restart the vesting process again with VCs

Page 17: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Vesting

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•  Typical Vesting •  Length of Vesting

•  3-4 Years •  Cliff

•  1 Year •  Post Cliff Vesting Schedule

•  Monthly / Quarterly •  Triggers

•  Accelerated Vesting

Page 18: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

How to Determine Equity Split

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•  “50 / 50” not a good idea •  Have the uncomfortable conversation early •  Multiple ways to calculate

•  Examples •  Simulation Tools •  Dynamic Equity

Page 19: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Founders Suite Calculation

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DeterminingFoundersSharesSimulta3onTool

EnterNameofFounders Nathan Todd Name Name Name

Founder#1 Founder#2 Founder#3 Founder#4 Founder#5

EnterWeight

ForeachFounder,ranktheira9ributeonascaleof1to10(i.e.Ifone

foundercameupwiththeidea,he/shewouldreceivea10outof10);

Seeresultsonnexttab,"FounderSplit"

IdeaContribu=on 10% 9 2

PlanDevelopment 20% 4 3

DomainExper=se 20% 6 4

Network/Connec=ons 35% 9 5

LevelofCommitmenttoProject 10% 3 3

LeadershipResponsibili=es 5% 2 3

100%

Page 20: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dynamic Equity

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•  Month 1 Investment •  Time

•  Bill (Seasoned Exec): •  100 hours @ $200/hour = $20,000

•  Frank (Young Talent): •  100 hours @ $100/hour = $10,000

•  Capital •  Bill - $5,000

•  Cash has higher value (harder to save $5K than earn $5K)

•  Relative value 4x = $20,000

Page 21: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dynamic Equity

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Page 22: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dynamic Equity

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•  Month 2 Investment •  Time

•  Bill: 100 hours @ $200/hour = $20,000 •  Frank: 100 hours @ $100/hour = $10,000 •  Sally: 100 hours @ $100/hour = $10,000

•  Equipment •  Sally - $10,000

•  Equipment has higher value (but not as high as money)

•  Relative value 2x = $20,000

Page 23: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Dynamic Equity

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Page 24: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Equity Split Conclusion

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•  KISS Model •  Don’t be greedy •  It’s not going to be perfect •  Speak to the Experts

•  PACE •  XLR8UH •  Sultan Ventures

•  Recruit an Expert!

Page 25: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Questions?

XLR8TH

Page 26: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Valuation Methodologies

XLR8UH

Page 27: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Valuation Methodologies

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1. Related Transactions •  Acquisitions/Financings

2. Public Comparables •  SEC-disclosed performance benchmarks

3. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) •  The value of your future earnings (cash)

•  Other Sources of Value •  Intellectual Property, Team, Customers

Page 28: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

DCF, ROI, NPV, IRR, LOL, FML

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•  DCF = Discounted Cash Flow

•  ROI = Return on Investment

•  NPV = Net Present Value

•  IRR = Internal Rate of Return

Page 29: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Discounted Cash Flows

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•  Picking A Discount Rate •  Startups seeking money: 50+ % •  Early Startups: 40-60 % •  Late Startups: 25-50% •  Mature Companies: 15-25%

•  Why high discount rates for new ventures: •  Reduced marketability/liquidity •  Limited number of investors willing to invest •  Higher risk •  Overly optimistic forecasts by enthusiastic

founders.

Page 30: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

What is the Right Amount per Round

XLR8TH

•  Investor has to have enough skin in the game •  They get diluted down too •  “Seeking 5x in 3 years or 10x in 5 years”

•  Reality – they’re seeking way more •  Rule of Thumb:

•  25% per round •  3-4 rounds

•  What should founders end up with? •  Hint: You’re probably not the next Zuck

(statistically speaking)

Page 31: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

How to Find Comps & Exit Metrics

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Comparables+ Investments+ Valua2on+ Year+

Startup'1' Bought'by'Company'1' $170M' 2009'

Startup'2' $15M'VC'Fund'1'and'VC'Fund'2;'$16.5M'To'Date'

$60B100M' 2012'

Startup'3' $20M'from'VC'Fund'3;'$95M'To'Date'

$80B200M' 2013'

Revenue Valuation Multiple YearShutterfly $600,000,000 1,000,000,000$9 1.679999999999999999999999999999999999999 2013Flickr 35,000,000$9999999 2005Tumblr 13,000,000$999999999999999999999 1,100,000,000$9 84.6299999999999999999999999999999999999 2013

100,000,000$999999999999999999 1,100,000,000$9 11.0099999999999999999999999999999999999 2013

Acquiree Acquired Value DescriptionGoogle Bump 35,000,000$9999999Dropbox Mailbox 100,000,000$99999Facebook Instagram 1,000,000,000$9

Genline9AB 7,200,000$999999999ProGenealogists9 1,100,000$999999999iArchives 27,000,000$9999999DNA9assets9of9Sorensen9 11,700,000$9999999Archives.com 100,000,000$999991000memories 14,500,000$9999999

Average 144,055,556$99999Average9Less9Instagram 37,062,500$9999999Shutterfly9Multiple 58,067,217999999999

Ancestry

http://www.forbes.com/sites/tjmccue/2013/01/07/shutterflyXlooksXlikeXdavidXyahoosXflickrXisXgoliath/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/20/technology/yahooXtoXbuyXtumblrXforX1X1Xbillion.html?_r=0http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2013/05/20/yahooXreallyXonlyXpaidX262XmillionXforXtumblr/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/20/technology/yahooXtoXbuyXtumblrXforX1X1Xbillion.html?_r=0

Mailbox:)Email&app&for&iOS&devices&that&helps&organize&mobile&inboxes.&BUMP:&allows&for&photo&sharing&between&mobile&devices&by&motion&of&“bumping”&phones&together

Total&Dividends&(6&Yrs) Dividend&ROI Acquisition&($106M)4,130$ '''''''''''''''''''''''''''' 8.3'X 9,338$ '''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''

Total&Return Multiple IRR13,468$ &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&& 26.9&X 105%

Seed&Investor&Returns&$(000s)

Page 32: Dilution Equity Split and Valuation - PACEHawaiipace.shidler.hawaii.edu/sites/pace.shidler.hawaii.edu/...Dilution over time, equity split, and valuation methodologies July 21st, 2016

Thank you!

XLR8TH

•  Questions?