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Development of AFL Players & Lists Recommendations from AFL finals statistics 93-00 and correlations with elite Sport. LORIS BERTOLACCI

Development of AFL Players & Lists

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Development of AFL Players & Lists. Recommendations from A FL finals statistics 93-00 and correlations with elite Sport. LORIS BERTOLACCI. IS AFL AN ELITE SPORT?. IS AFL AN ELITE SPORT? Approx 700 AFL Players Very few AUSSIE athletes get past heats or even qualify for the Olympics. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Development of AFL Players & Lists

Recommendations from AFL finals statistics 93-00 and correlations with elite Sport.

LORIS BERTOLACCI

Page 2: Development of AFL Players & Lists

IS AFL AN ELITE SPORT?

IS AFL AN ELITE SPORT? Approx 700 AFL Players Very few AUSSIE athletes get past heats or even qualify for the Olympics. Most AFL players do not exhibit elite physiological profiles. Therefore what is required is 1) A “good” physiological profile 2) good

techniques taught when young 3) experience at junior and more importantly at AFL level over a period of time that parallels their maturational period.

Nobody is born an elite AFL player. There may be 50 elite players in the AFL? who would have been our

overseas imports if they had played soccer? Therefore in my opinion we can influence greatly the development of most

AFL players who come into the game with reasonable genetics and good junior coaching.Forget the stars.They in a way are not part of this investigation.

THE SPORT IS ELITE BUT ONLY 10% OF PLAYERS MAYMAY BE ELITE.

Page 3: Development of AFL Players & Lists

QUOTES

“IN GOD WE TRUST,EVERYONE ELSE MUST BRING DATA.”

“Demming” Famous USA statistician who helped Japanese manufacturing in 50’s.

DIRTY HARRY

“Opinions are like arseholes,everyone has got one.”

Page 4: Development of AFL Players & Lists

FAST TRACKING ?

Is fast tracking possible ?

Does development of players fall into line with normal maturational processes unless a player is exceptional in ability and/or physical development ?

Page 5: Development of AFL Players & Lists

General Sports Development FROM BOMPA Theory and Methodology of Training “The motor and physiological functions reach an optimal

level between the ages of 25-30 for men.”

SPEED : Acquiring maximum speed is achieved by athletes around 20-24.

STRENGTH & ENDURANCE : Performed optimally by athletes approaching the age of 30.

HOW LONG TO DEVELOP? DECISION MAKING ? TACTICAL KNOWLEDGE? PSYCHOLOGICAL TRAITS?

TECHNIQUE DEVELOPMENT?

Page 6: Development of AFL Players & Lists

CRICKETBEST CRICKET NATIONS 01 AVE AGE 30 SD 3.6

STATE COMP AUSSIE AVE AGE 28 SD 3.5

Mainly technique & psychological traits. *(a lot of players still have to have basic athletic qualities)

Takes a long time to develop these qualities.Get better with age. * (note better at older in National teams.)

HOW MANY YOUNG AFL PLAYERS CAN PLAY IN AN AFL SIDE?

Page 7: Development of AFL Players & Lists

General Sports Development AGE TO REACH HIGH PERFORMANCE (Bompa)

TENNIS: 22-25 WRESTLING 24-28 BASKETBALL 20-23 BOXING 20-25 VOLLEYBALL 20-25 FENCING 20-25 SOCCER 18-24 WEIGHT LIFTING 21-28

Page 8: Development of AFL Players & Lists

TRACK & FIELD

AVERAGE AGE WORLD CHAMPIONS AT EDMONTON IN MALE TRACK and FIELD

( eliminated throws due to age of athletes who are nearly all 30 plus and represent the long time it takes to gain strength).

25.5

(this is replicated in Olympics and past Worlds).

Page 9: Development of AFL Players & Lists

TRACK and FIELD

Top 30 100m sprinters 01

Ave 25.0 (range 19-34)

STDEV 3.1

Top 30 3000 steeple runners 01

Ave 25.8 (range 19-34)

STDEV 3.8

Top 30 Shot Putters 01

Ave 27.3 (range 19-35)

STDEV 3.9

AVERAGE of three 26 (higher than Edmonton due to Shot Put).

Page 10: Development of AFL Players & Lists
Page 11: Development of AFL Players & Lists

AUSTRALIAN TITLES 2001

OPEN U/ 20100 10 19 10 80

200 20 59 21.44

400 45 87 47.39

800 1 47 1.53

1500 3 41 3.52

110 HURDLES 13 55 14.35

400 HURDLES 49 89 52.6

HIGH JUMP 2 22m 2 11m

POLE VAULT 5 65m 5 30m

LONG JUMP 7 97m 7 72m

TRIPLE JUMP 16 96m 14 81m

Page 12: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Olympic Weightlifting

AVERAGE AGE 00/96 Olympics & last 2 Worlds.

AVE 25.6 SD of 4

SPEED/STRENGTH (not slow/like AFL)

Page 13: Development of AFL Players & Lists

EFC 1st year picks 94-99ESSENDON 1st year DRAFTS on list 2001

Development Stage AFL

99 2000 200194

Blumfield 5 6 7Caracella 5 6 7Moorcroft 5 6 7

Lucas 5 6 7Lloyd 5 6 7

96Heffernan 3 4 5JohnsonJ 3 4 5

*JohnsonM (rookie) 3 4 5McAlister 3 4 5

97Solomon 2 3 4Bolton 2 3 4

98Ramanauskas 1 2 3

McVeigh 1 2 3Henneman 1 2 3

Jacobs 1 2 3

99Hille 1 2

Average Developmemt AFL 3.0 3.8 4.8

Page 14: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Baby Bombers ?

BABY BOMBERS 93

DraftedCalthorpe 20 90 3rd year or 2? ( in system in 90 in reserves & U/19).

Fletcher 17 92 1st yearHills 21 88 5th yearHird 20 90 3rd year or 2? ( in system in 90 in reserves & U/19).

Long 23 88 5th yearMercuri 19 90 3rd year or 2? ( in system in 90 in reserves & U/19).

Misiti 19 90 3rd year or 2? ( in system in 90 in reserves & U/19).

Olarenshaw 20 90 3rd year or 2?

Wanganeen 20 89 4th year

Page 15: Development of AFL Players & Lists

1993

ESSENDON CARLTON

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDBewick 25 6 Alvin 31 11Calthorpe 20 3 1990 Athorn 25 7DaniherC 27 7 Bradley 29 11Denham 24 7 Brown 23 5Fletcher 18 1 1992 Christou 21 3Grenvold 27 8 Gleeson 26 8Harvey 28 11 Hanna 27 9Hills 21 5 1988 Heaver 22 2Hird 20 3 1990 Hogg 24 6Long 23 4 1989 Kernahan 30 11Mercuri 19 3 1990 Madden 32 13Misiti 19 3 1990 McKay 23 3O'Donnell 28 10 Powell 25 7Olarenshaw 20 3 1990 Ratten 22 5Salmon 28 10 Sexton 22 4Somerville 25 7 Sholl 22 3Thompson 29 11 Silvagni 25 8Wallis 24 6 Spalding 28 8Wanganeen 20 4 1989 Welsh 23 4Watson 32 15 Williams 29 11

AVE AGE 23.9 AVE AGE 25.5

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.6 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.7

9 5yrs & under 8 5yrs & under

Page 16: Development of AFL Players & Lists

WCE 94 GEE94

Dvt Dvt Brennan 29 8 Ablett 33 13Evans 25 5 Bairstow 31 8Hart 30 8 Barnes 25 8Heady 24 5 Breuer 22 3Jakovich 21 5 Brown 25 6Kemp 24 6 Brownless 27 9Ball 22 3 Colbert 19 2Banfield 20 2 Couch 29 10Lewis 25 8 Handley 24 5Mainwaring 28 8 Hickmott 22 4Matera 25 6 Hinkley 28 10McIntosh 21 4 HockingG 25 8McKenna 25 7 HockingS 29 11Pyke 25 7 Mansfield 23 5Sumich 26 8 McGrath 23 6Hynes 27 7 Mensch 22 3Turnbull 23 4 O'Reilly 21 3Waterman 26 7 Pickering 25 7Worsfold 26 7 Riccardi 21 3BondS 21 3 Tudor 24 6Wilson 31 11 Wills 22 4

AVE AGE 25.0 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE AGE 24.8 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 6.1 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 5.9 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0! AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0!No players 5yrs & uder DVT 8 No players 5yrs & uder DVT 9

Page 17: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Carlton 95 GEE95

Dvt Dvt Bradley 31 13 Ablett 34 14Brown 25 7 Graham 22 3Camporeale 20 2 Barnes 26 9Christou 23 5 Breuer 23 4Clape 26 6 Brown 26 7Dean 30 12 Brownless 28 10Hanna 29 11 Colbert 20 3Hogg 26 8 Couch 30 11Kernahan 32 13 Tanner 24 4Koutafides 22 4 Hickmott 23 5Madden 34 15 Hinkley 28 10Manton 22 4 HockingG 26 9McKay 25 5 Lord 20 3Pearce 24 4 Mansfield 24 6Ratten 24 7 McGrath 24 7Rice 27 9 Mensch 23 4Sexton 24 6 Sholl 22 4Silvagni 27 10 Pickering 26 8Spalding 25 6 Riccardi 22 4Whitehead 20 2 Tudor 25 7Williams 31 13 Handley 24 5

AVE AGE 26.0 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE AGE 24.8 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 7.5 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 6.3 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0! AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0!No players 5yrs & uder DVT 7 No players 5yrs & uder DVT 10

Page 18: Development of AFL Players & Lists

1996

SYDNEY KANGAROOS

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDBayes 29 11 Allison 29 11Chapman 20 3 1993 Anderson 22 5 1990Creswell 25 7 Archer 24 6Dunkley 28 10 Bell 21 3 1993Dyson 29 9 Blakey 31 13Garlick 21 3 1993 Capuano 22 4 1992Grant 19 2 1994 Carey 26 8Heuskes 20 3 1993 Crocker 29 11Kelly 27 9 Fairley 30 12Kickett 34 14 Freeborn 24 6Lewis 27 9 King 25 6Lockett 30 13 Laidley 29 11Luff 26 7 Martyn 29 11Maxfield 24 6 McKernan 24 6McPherson 21 3 ??? Roberts 32 14Mooney 23 5 1991 Rock 27 9O'Brien 26 8 Schwass 29 11O'Loughlin 19 2 1994 Scott 28 10Roos 33 15 Sholl 30 12Seymour 20 3 1993 Simpson 21 3 1993Stafford 22 4 1992 Stevens 26 8

AVE AGE 24.9 AVE AGE 26.6

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.9 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 8.6

Page 19: Development of AFL Players & Lists

1997

ADELAIDE ST KILDA

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDBickley 28 10 Brown 20 3 1994Bond 24 6 Burke 27 9Caven 27 9 Cook 24 6Connell 25 7 Cripps 21 3 ?Edwards 21 3 1994 Danieks 26 8Ellen 26 8 Hall 20 2 1995Goodwin 18 1 1996 Harvey 26 8Hart 23 5 Heatley 25 7James 25 7 Hudghton 21 2Jamieson 27 9 Jones 21 3 1994Jarman 29 11 Keogh 26 8JohnsonK 19 2 1995 Lappin 21 4 1993Keating 23 5 ? Loewe 29 12Koster 24 6 Neill 23 5Mcleod 21 4 1994 Peckett 26 7Pittman 28 10 Shanahan 30 12Rehn 26 8 Sierakowski 23 5 WAFLRintoul 23 5 WAFL Sziller 25 7Robran 26 8 Thompson 25 6Sampson 21 4 1994 Wakelin 23 5 SANFLSmart 28 10 Winmar 32 14

AVE AGE 24.4 AVE AGE 24.5

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.4 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.5

Page 20: Development of AFL Players & Lists

1998

ADELAIDE KANGAROOS

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDBickley 29 11 Abraham 24 5 ?Caven 28 10 Allison 30 12Connell 26 8 Archer 25 7Eccles 19 2 1996 Bell 22 4 ?Edwards 22 4 1995 Blakey 32 14Ellen 27 9 Capuano 23 5Goodwin 19 2 1996 Carey 27 9Hart 24 6 Freeborn 25 7James 26 8 Grant 21 4 1994Jarman 30 12 Harvey 20 3 1995JohnsonK 20 3 1995 King 26 7Koster 25 7 Martyn 30 12Marsh 22 4 ? McCartney 24 6Mcleod 22 5 1994 McKernan 25 7Pittman 29 11 Pickett 21 3 1996Rehn 27 9 Pike 26 8Ricciuto 23 5 Roberts 33 15Robran 27 9 Rock 28 10Smart 29 11 Scott 29 11Stevens 23 5 ? Sholl 31 13Thiesen 24 6 Simpson 22 5 1993Vardy 22 4 1995 Stevens 27 9

AVE AGE 24.7 AVE AGE 26.0

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.4 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 8.0

Page 21: Development of AFL Players & Lists

1999

CARLTON KANGAROOS

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDAllan 24 6 Abraham 25 6Beaumont 24 6 1993 Allison 30 12Bradley 36 14 Archer 26 8Brown 29 11 Bell 23 5 Freo?Camporeale 24 6 1994SA Blakey 33 15Christou 27 9 Capuano 24 6Franchina 22 3 1996 Carey 28 10Hamill 22 5 1994 Freeborn 26 8Hickmott 27 9 Grant 22 5 1994Hogg 31 13 Harvey 21 4 1995Koutafides 26 8 King 27 8Lappin 23 6 1993 Martyn 31 13Manton 26 8 Sholl 32 14Massie 19 1 1997 McKernan 26 8McKay 29 11 Pickett 22 4 SA?Murphy 23 6 1993 Pike 27 9Nelson 22 4 1996SA Longmire 30 12Ratten 28 10 Clayton 21 4 1995Rice 31 13 Motlop 21 2 1998Sexton 28 10 Mooney 20 3 1996Silvagni 32 14 Simpson 23 5 ?Whitnall 20 3 1996 Stevens 28 10

AVE AGE 26.0 AVE AGE 25.7

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 7.9 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 7.6

Page 22: Development of AFL Players & Lists

2000

ESSENDON MELBOURNE

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDAlessio 29 9 Beams 22 3 1998?Barnard 27 8 Collins 23 6 1994Barnes 31 13 Farmer 23 6Bewick 32 13 Febey 31 13Blumfield 23 6 1994 Green 19 1 1999Caracella 23 6 1994 Grgic 21 4 1996Fletcher 25 8 Ingerson 31 13Hardiwck 28 9 Johnstone 20 3 1997Heffernan 21 4 1996 Leoncelli 26 8Hird 27 10 McDonald 28 10JohnsonJ 22 4 *1996 Neitz 25 7JohnsonM 22 4 1996 Nicholson 22 4 1996Lloyd 22 5 1995 Powell 24 6Long 31 13 Rigoni 26 7Lucas 23 6 1994 Robertson 22 4 1996Mercuri 26 9 Schwartz 28 9Misiti 26 9 Simmons 22 3 1999Moorcroft 24 6 1994 Walsh 24 6Ramanauskas 20 2 1998 Ward 23 6Solomon 20 3 1997 White 23 6 1994Wallis 31 13 Wowodin 24 5 ?Wellman 26 8 Yze 23 6 1994

AVE AGE 25.4 AVE AGE 24.1

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 7.6 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.4

Page 23: Development of AFL Players & Lists

2001 TEAMS HAVING GOOD YEARS

PORT ADELAIDE RD22 BRISBANE RD22

Dvt DRAFTED Dvt DRAFTEDBishop 26 5 1998 rookie Akermanis 24 7 1994BurgoyneP 23 5 1996 Ashcroft 30 12 1988Carr 23 4 1998 Black 22 4 1997CollinsChe 26 8 1993 Bradshaw 23 6 1995CornesC 22 4 1997 Brown 20 2 1999Dew 22 5 1996 Hart 30 11 1989Francis 28 11 1990 Headland 20 3 1998Francou 27 8 1997 JohnsonC 26 8 1993French 26 5 1998 Keating 25 6 1995Guerra 20 2 1999 Lappin 25 8 1993James 26 7 1997 Leppitsch 26 9 1992Kingsley 26 8 1995rookie Lynch 33 14 1986Mead 30 10 1997 Mc Rae 28 9 1993Montgomery 27 7 1996 McDonald 22 4 1997Murray 21 3 1998 Michael 24 5 1997rookiePaxman 31 11 1990 Notting 23 5 1996Primus 26 7 1995 Pike 29 9 1993Schofield 26 9 1992 Power 21 4 1997StevensN 22 4 1997 ScottB 25 7 1996Tredrea 23 5 1996 ScottC 25 8 1993Wakelin 27 8 1994 Voss 26 9 1991Wanganeen 28 11 1989 White 28 11 1990

AVE AGE 25.3 AVE AGE 25.2

AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 6.9 AVE YEARS in SYSTEM 7.1

5*5 2*53*4 3*41*3 1*31*2 1*210 players 5 years or under AFL development 7 players 5 years or under AFL development

Page 24: Development of AFL Players & Lists

2001 GEELONG vs CARLTON RD 22

GEELONG CARLTON

Dvt Games Dvt Games

Bizzell 25 6 74 Beaumont 26 7 5years AFL or under DVT in 2003

Chapman 20 2 12 Bradley 36 15Clarke 21 4 56 Camporeale 26 7 Age Dvt Yr

Enright 20 2 16 Fevola 20 4 Fevola 20 4

Foster 19 2 4 Fletcher 23 5 Fletcher 23 5

Graham 27 9 151 Franchina 24 5 Franchina 24 5

Harley 22 5 54 Freeborn 23 5 Freeborn 23 5

Hocking 33 14 272 Hickmott 29 10 Houlihan 20 2

Hunt 19 1 5 Hotton 27 6 Hulme 24 4

Kilpatrick 29 10 133 Houlihan 20 2 Plunkett 22 4

King 22 6 101 Hulme 24 4 Porter 24 5

Kingsley 23 5 27 Koutafides 28 9 Prendergast 21 3

McGrath 30 12 223 Lappin 25 7 Whitnall 22 5

Mensch 29 10 157 Mansfield 30 12Milburn 24 6 84 Manton 28 10 22

Murphy 25 8 108 McKay 31 11 Ave Yrs Dvt AFL 5 years & under

Rahilly 22 4 54 Plunkett 22 4 Ave Game 5yrs & under AFL

Sanderson 27 9 146 Porter 24 5Scarlett 22 4 46 Prendergast 21 3Spriggs 20 2 42 Ratten 31 12Street 21 3 3 Silvagni 33 15Wojcinski 21 3 19 Whitnall 22 5

STATS USING GRANDFINALLISTS FROM 93 to 2000 STATS USING GRANDFINALLISTS FROM 93 to 2000

AVE AGE 23.7 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE AGE 26.0 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8)

AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 6.0 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8) AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 7.1 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE GAMES for 22 Players 81 AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0!

Page 25: Development of AFL Players & Lists

WCE 92 (older players?)MOST TALENTED TEAM IN HISTORY ?

Dvt GamesBrennan 27 6Evans 23 3 Age Dvt Yr

Harding 27 6 Evans 23 3

Heady 22 3 Heady 22 3

Jakovich 19 3 J akovich 19 3

Kemp 22 3 Kemp 22 3

Lamb 27 6 Matera 23 4

Langdon 26 6 McIntosh 19 2

Lewis 23 6 McKenna 23 5

Mainwaring 26 6 Pyke 23 5

Matera 23 4 White 19 2

McIntosh 19 2McKenna 23 5Pyke 23 5 21

Sumich 24 6 Ave Yrs Dvt AFL 5 years & under

Turley 27 7 Ave Game 5yrs & under AFL

Waterman 24 6White 19 2Wilson 27 9Worsfold 24 6

STATS USING GRANDFINALLISTS FROM 93 to 2000

AVE AGE 23.8 (AVE 25.2/STDEV 0.8)

AVE YEARS in AFL SYSTEM 5.1 (AVE 7.2/STDEV 0.8)AVE GAMES for 22 Players #DIV/0!

PLAYERS 5years DVT in AFL or LESSAVE GAMES = or < 5 years Dvt AFL #DIV/0! (AVE 45/STDEV 8.4)No. Players = or < 5 years Dvt AFL 9 (AVE 7/STDEV 0.8)AVE YEARS AFL = or < 5 years Dvt 3 ( EFC 2000 4.6)AVE AGE Player = or < 5 years Dvt 22

Page 26: Development of AFL Players & Lists
Page 27: Development of AFL Players & Lists

GRAND FINALISTS 93-00Average of 1/2/3/4/5 year players of bothGF teams (eg 44 players)."Best" list?

5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st < or = 5yrs

93 4 3 6 2 1 16.0

94 6 4 6 2 0 18.0

95 3 8 3 2 0 16.0

96 2 2 6 2 0 12.0

97 5 3 4 3 1 16.0

98 4 4 4 2 0 14.0

99 4 4 3 2 1 14.0

2000 2 6 4 1 1 14.0

AVE 3.4 3.8 4.2 2.0 0.6 14.0

Average 1/2/3/4/5 year players of Grand Final Winner

5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st < or = 5yrs

93 2 1 3 2 1 9.0

94 4 2 2 1 0 9.0

95 1 3 0 2 0 6.0

96 1 1 2 2 0 6.0

97 2 2 1 1 1 7.0

98 2 2 1 2 0 7.0

99 3 3 1 1 0 8.0

2000 1 3 1 1 0 6.0

2.0 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.3 7.3

Page 28: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Grand Final Teams

GRAND FINAL TEAMS 93-00

* Only 14 players of 44 in GrandFinals 93-00 were on average 5 yrs Development or less in AFL.

* Winning Grand final teams have on average 7 players with 5 years or under of AFL development.

Page 29: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Ages Grand Final Teams 93-00

Ages 96-2000 GF TEAMS23.925.525

24.826 AVE 25.1

24.824.9 1 SD 0.826.6 2 SD 1.524.4 3 SD 2.324.524.7 24.3 to 26.5 68%

26 23.6 to 26.6 95%

26 22.8 to 27.5 99%

25.725.424.1

Page 30: Development of AFL Players & Lists

AGES of LISTSAGES

AFL (top 8 01) SOCCER O/S AFL GF 93-01List List ( ave no 22)(ave no 46) (ave no 30) ( best team)

( no draft)23.6 24.7 25.1

0.5 0.9 0.823.1 - 24.1 23.8 - 25.6 24.4 - 25.9 ( 68% of players fall in this range)

ENGLAND SQUAD (no 23) AVE AGE 25

25 ALWAYS SEEMS TO POP UP !COACHES PICK THE BEST TEAM WHICH ALWAYSSEEMS TO AVERAGE 25 YO.

Page 31: Development of AFL Players & Lists

AVERAGE GAMES in GF 93-00 for 5 yrs Dvt & Under

AVE GAMES 5 YEARS & UNDER AFL DVT IN GF's 93-00TEAMS No <= 5 YRS AVE GAMES

ESS 93 9 33CAR 93 7 46WCE 94 7 45GEE 94 9 43CAR 95 7 47GEE 95 8 41 AVERAGE 44SYD 96 9 40KANG 96 4 32 1 SD 7 37 to 51ADE 97 7 39 2 SD 15 29 to 59ST K 97 8 47 3 SD 22 22 to 66KANG 98 6 57ADE 98 9 50 AVERAGE 5 years DvT & Under

KANG 99 5 54 7CAR 99 7 43 1 SD 1 6 to 8MELB 2000 8 36 2 SD 2 5 to 9ESS 2000 6 53 3 SD 3 4 to 10

Page 32: Development of AFL Players & Lists

Games Played

FOR PLAYERS WHO HAVE ON AVERAGE BEEN IN THE SYSTEM 5 YEARS OR UNDER IT TAKES 44 GAMES TO BE AT THE LEVEL TO ACHIEVE THE REQUIRED EXPERIENCE AND GAME KNOWLEDGE THAT IS REQUIRED FOR AFL.THIS IS AN ABSOULTE MINIMUM REQUIREMENT FOR “GAME” DVT SINCE ONLY 7 PLAYERS IN GRAND FINALS FIT INTO THIS CATEGORY.

Page 33: Development of AFL Players & Lists

AVERAGE AFL DEVELOPMENT

AVERAGE DEVELOPMENT TIME OF ALL PLAYERS IN GF’s 93-00

7 years

1 SD = 0.8 ( 6.2-7.8) 2 SD= 1.6 ( 5.4-8.6)

Page 34: Development of AFL Players & Lists

DEVELOPMENT AFL PLAYER

AVERAGE DVT TIME IN AFL OF GF PLAYERS 93 to 2000 7 years with 1 SD of 0.8 THUS AN ASSUMPTION CAN BE MADE THAT IT CONSERVATIVELY TAKES AT

LEAST 6 YEARS IN THE SYSTEM AND OVER 50 GAMES IN THE AFL ON AVERAGE TO DEVELOP AN AFL PLAYER AS AN ABSOLUTE MINUMUM.

KEY FACTORS INVOLVED 1) SKILLS ACQUISITION & DECISION MAKING: Skills require a certain amount of

experience that cannot be achieved apart from 50 to 70 games. 2) CONDITIONING AND TRAINING AGE: This seems to fall into line with 5 to 7

years of hard training and games.Fitness tests are slightly less important than conditioning needs such as strength/power/core/technique.

3) NORMAL MATURATIONAL PROCESSES: Generally agreed that maturation on average at about 25 years of age.

Page 35: Development of AFL Players & Lists

CONCEPT OF A DEVELOPMENT PLAN * 44 is AVE for DVT Group

CURRENT STATUS 2001 GAMES PLAYED Games required foradequate development.

NAME AGE DVT AFL TOTAL GAMES 97 98 99 2000 2001 2002PLAYER 21 4 5 2 3 20PLAYER 25 6 75 4 17 20 21PLAYER 19 2 0 22PLAYER 28 7 116PLAYER 20 2 13 4 9 16PLAYER 21 4 57 13 22 22PLAYER 19 2 18 5 13 15PLAYER 24 5 53 15 17 15 5 0PLAYER 20 2 17 17 13PLAYER 19 2 5 2 3 21PLAYER 27 9 152 24 12 22 22 22PLAYER 23 5 55 1 10 23 22PLAYER 23 6 61 14 1 10 21 14PLAYER 19 1 7 7 18PLAYER 29 11 134PLAYER 22 6 102 22 11 17 23 16PLAYER 22 4 28 8 4 16 10PLAYER 20 2 22 10 12 12PLAYER 24 6 34 3 15 15 1PLAYER 31 224PLAYER 22 4 4 2 0 2 20PLAYER 29 156PLAYER 24 5 85 10 15 21 21 22PLAYER 22 5 27 11 6 12 8PLAYER 26 110PLAYER 22 3 8 8 0 18PLAYER 22 4 55 17 11 8 16PLAYER 29 199PLAYER 28 147PLAYER 22 4 47.0 1 5 23 20PLAYER 29 154.0PLAYER 24 6 68 13 16 21 15 3PLAYER 20 2 43 21 22 1PLAYER 21 3 4 4 20PLAYER 29 167PLAYER 21 3 22 5 9 6 12PLAYER 21 4 2 2 22PLAYER 19 1 22PLAYER 19 1 22PLAYER 19 1 22

AVERAGES 23.1 4.0 66.9

Page 36: Development of AFL Players & Lists

FITNESS TESTING

Whilst fitness testing is critical in terms of judging speed and overall capacity it now seems to me that it is a guide only.It’s importance lies in not recruiting players that fall too far outside norms required. (eg Barnard /Sanderson /Lloyd). After that development is the main need required.Trying to find “stars” may need the whole assessment of fitness/skills etc.But because a player does a 15 beep test and runs 2.9 may only mean he will take 4 years to develop and not 5.His body is not mature and his AFL experience is non-existent.