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Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Monitoring Index for Use With Mobile Health Technologies Q12 Welmoed K. Van Deen, * ,A. E. van der Meulen-de Jong, N. K. Parekh, § E. Kane, * A. Zand, * C. A. DiNicola, * L. Hall, * E. K. Inserra, * J. M. Choi, * Ch. Y. Ha, * E. Esrailian, * M. G. H. van Oijen, * ,jj and D. W. Hommes* Q1 *UCLA Center for Inammatory Bowel Diseases, Melvin and Bren Simon Digestive Diseases Center, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands; § Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California; and jj Department of Medical Oncology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands BACKGROUND & AIMS: Mobile health technologies are advancing rapidly as smartphone use increases. Patients with inammatory bowel disease (IBD) might be managed remotely through smartphone applica- tions, but no tools are yet available. We tested the ability of an IBD monitoring tool, which can be used with mobile technologies, to assess disease activity in patients with Crohns disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC). METHODS: We performed a prospective observational study to develop and validate a mobile health index for CD and UC, which monitors IBD disease activity using patient-reported outcomes. We collected data from disease-specic questionnaires completed by 110 patients with CD and 109 with UC who visited the University of California, Los Angeles, Center for IBD from May 2013 through January 2014. Patient-reported outcomes were compared with clinical disease activity index scores to identify factors associated with disease activity. Index scores were validated in 301 patients with CD and 265 with UC who visited 3 tertiary IBD referral centers (in California or Europe) from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS: We assessed activity of CD based on liquid stool frequency, abdominal pain, patient well-being, and patient-assessed disease control, and activity of UC based on stool frequency, abdominal pain, rectal bleeding, and patient-assessed disease control. The indices identied clinical dis- ease activity with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.90 in pa- tients with CD and 0.91 in patients with UC. They identied endoscopic activity with area under the receiver operating characteristic values of 0.63 in patients with CD and 0.82 in patients with UC. Both scoring systems responded to changes in disease activity (P < .003). The intraclass correlation coefcient for test-retest reliability was 0.94 for CD and for UC. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a scoring system to monitor disease activity in patients with CD and UC that can be used with mobile technologies. The indices identied clinical disease activity with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.9 or higher in patients with CD or UC, and endoscopic activity in patients with UC but not CD. Keywords: Patient-Reported Outcomes; Telemedicine; Severity; Management. Abbreviations used in this paper: AUC, area under the curve; CD, Crohns disease; CDAI, Crohns disease activity index; DA-VAS, disease activity visual analogue scale; HBI, Harvey Bradshaw index; Hgb, hemoglobin; IBD, inammatory bowel disease; LUMC, Leiden University Medical Center; mHealth, mobile health; mHI, mobile health index; NPV, negative predictive value; pMayo, partial Mayo score; PPV, positive predictive value; PROs, patient-reported outcomes; ROC, receiver operating char- acteristics; SCCAI, simple clinical colitis activity index; SES-CD, simple endoscopic index for Crohns disease; UC, ulcerative colitis; UCI, University of California, Irvine; UCLA, University of California, Los Angeles; VAS, visual analogue scale. © 2015 by the AGA Institute 1542-3565/$36.00 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2015.10.035 Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2015;-:-- FLA 5.4.0 DTD ĸ YJCGH54544_proof ĸ 11 December 2015 ĸ 12:31 pm ĸ ce CJ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116

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Page 1: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

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Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2015;-:-–-

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Development and Validation of an Inflammatory BowelDiseases Monitoring Index for Use With MobileHealth Technologies

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Welmoed K. Van Deen,*,‡ A. E. van der Meulen-de Jong,‡ N. K. Parekh,§ E. Kane,*A. Zand,* C. A. DiNicola,* L. Hall,* E. K. Inserra,* J. M. Choi,* Ch. Y. Ha,* E. Esrailian,*M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W. Hommes*

*UCLA Center for Inflammatory Bowel Diseases, Melvin and Bren Simon Digestive Diseases Center, David Geffen Schoolof Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California; ‡Department of Gastroenterology andHepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands; §Division of Gastroenterology andHepatology, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California; and jjDepartment of Medical Oncology, Academic MedicalCenter, Amsterdam, the Netherlands

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BACKGROUND & AIMS:

Abbreviations used in this papedisease; CDAI, Crohn’s diseasvisual analogue scale; HBI, HaIBD, inflammatory bowel diseCenter; mHealth, mobile healthpredictive value; pMayo, partivalue; PROs, patient-reportedacteristics; SCCAI, simple clin

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Mobile health technologies are advancing rapidly as smartphone use increases. Patients withinflammatory bowel disease (IBD) might be managed remotely through smartphone applica-tions, but no tools are yet available. We tested the ability of an IBD monitoring tool, which canbe used with mobile technologies, to assess disease activity in patients with Crohn’s disease(CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC).

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METHODS:

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We performed a prospective observational study to develop and validate a mobile health indexfor CD and UC, which monitors IBD disease activity using patient-reported outcomes. Wecollected data from disease-specific questionnaires completed by 110 patients with CD and 109with UC who visited the University of California, Los Angeles, Center for IBD from May 2013through January 2014. Patient-reported outcomes were compared with clinical disease activityindex scores to identify factors associated with disease activity. Index scores were validated in301 patients with CD and 265 with UC who visited 3 tertiary IBD referral centers (in Californiaor Europe) from April 2014 through March 2015.

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RESULTS: 93

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We assessed activity of CD based on liquid stool frequency, abdominal pain, patient well-being,and patient-assessed disease control, and activity of UC based on stool frequency, abdominalpain, rectal bleeding, and patient-assessed disease control. The indices identified clinical dis-ease activity with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.90 in pa-tients with CD and 0.91 in patients with UC. They identified endoscopic activity with area underthe receiver operating characteristic values of 0.63 in patients with CD and 0.82 in patients withUC. Both scoring systems responded to changes in disease activity (P < .003). The intraclasscorrelation coefficient for test-retest reliability was 0.94 for CD and for UC.

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CONCLUSIONS:

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We developed and validated a scoring system to monitor disease activity in patients with CDand UC that can be used with mobile technologies. The indices identified clinical disease activitywith area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.9 or higher in patientswith CD or UC, and endoscopic activity in patients with UC but not CD.

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Keywords: Patient-Reported Outcomes; Telemedicine; Severity; Management.

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r: AUC, area under the curve; CD, Crohn’se activity index; DA-VAS, disease activityrvey Bradshaw index; Hgb, hemoglobin;ase; LUMC, Leiden University Medical; mHI, mobile health index; NPV, negativeal Mayo score; PPV, positive predictiveoutcomes; ROC, receiver operating char-ical colitis activity index; SES-CD, simple

endoscopic index for Crohn’s disease; UC, ulcerative colitis; UCI,University of California, Irvine; UCLA, University of California, Los Angeles;VAS, visual analogue scale.

© 2015 by the AGA Institute1542-3565/$36.00

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2015.10.035

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The shift from symptom-oriented to prevention-oriented care delivery has accelerated the devel-

opment of mobile health (mHealth) technologies and isthought to radically transform health care delivery.1

Smartphone adoption is increasing rapidly, with 64%of Americans using smartphones in 2014 of which 62%used their telephones to look up health information.2

Many health apps are available, most of which providehealth information or support data collection.3 For pa-tients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), appsare available that assist in tracking symptoms, loggingmeals, and managing medications.4,5 These apps cancreate reports for providers but do not allow for real-time interactions between patient and provider.

Self-monitoring and self-management for chronicdiseases is widely practiced in diabetes care6 and anti-coagulation therapy.7 Additionally, e-technologies forsymptom reporting between patients and providers areincreasingly used in chronic diseases.8 Several systemsfor online symptom reporting and disease managementhave been developed for IBD. In the Danish Constant-Care web system, patients with ulcerative colitis (UC)filled out a clinical symptom score and logged fecal cal-protectin levels weekly; based on these scores the sys-tem made real-time recommendations for adjustingmesalamine dosing. This approach was shown toempower patients and decrease relapse duration.9,10

Similarly, individualization of infliximab dosing in pa-tients with Crohn’s disease (CD) was reported to bepractical and feasible.11 A study evaluating another hometele-management system in UC (UC-HAT) did not showsignificant differences in disease activity and quality oflife between users and control subjects, and more thanone-third of the patients discontinued participation.12 Anongoing multicenter randomized controlled trial istesting the use of a mobile tele-management system us-ing text messaging in IBD. This system sends personal-ized alerts and educational texts, and assesses symptomsand side effects, based on which treatment can bemodified.13

Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are increasinglyused to evaluate health status, and the importance ofPROs in outcome measurement, symptom management,and quality improvement efforts is increasingly recog-nized.14 Furthermore, the use of PROs as primaryoutcome measures for evaluating effectiveness of IBDinterventions is progressively supported by the Food andDrug Administration.15 Therefore, PROs are promisingfor use in mHealth apps. An example is the Health-PROMISE app, which tracks patient-reported quality oflife scores in patients with IBD and provides decisionsupport to physicians.16 However, accurate e-monitoringtools for disease activity in IBD are yet to be developed.Previous efforts have aimed to develop PRO question-naires by adjusting existing scores.17–19 We aimed toidentify the most optimal PRO score to use on an IBDdisease-monitoring app. The best PROs were selected

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from an exhaustive list of PROs in a prospective cohort ofpatients with IBD. Subsequently, the developed scoreswere tested prospectively in an independent cohort at 3independent IBD centers.

Methods

Design

We performed a prospective, observational study thataimed to develop and validate an mHealth index (mHI)for CD and UC that accurately monitors IBD diseaseactivity using PROs. The study consisted of 2 phases: adevelopment phase and a validation phase. During thedevelopment phase the mHIs were developed usingcollected PROs and clinical disease activity indices.During the validation phase the developed mHIs werevalidated in an independent cohort.

Population

Development phase. Patients with IBD were identi-fied during clinic visits between May 2013 and January2014 at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)Center for IBD. Patients with esophageal or anal CDinvolvement alone, patients with a pouch or stoma, andpregnant women were excluded. Eligible patients filledout disease-specific questionnaires assessing PROs ofmost common clinical disease activity indices: partialMayo (pMayo), simple clinical colitis activity index(SCCAI), and modified Truelove and Witts index for UC;Harvey Bradshaw index (HBI) and CD activity index(CDAI) including a 7-day diary before the visit(Supplementary Figure 1) for CD. Additionally, patientswere asked to assess their symptoms and perceiveddisease activity using visual analogue scales (VAS). ThePROs were categorized into 10 domains: stool fre-quency, abdominal pain, general well-being, urgency,stool consistency, rectal bleeding, fever, anorexia,nausea/vomiting, and perceived disease activity(Table 1).

During clinic visits, vital signs were measured andphysicians collected the physician-reported outcomesrequired for the clinical disease activity indices(Table 1). Hemoglobin (Hgb), hematocrit, white bloodcell count, platelets, albumin, C-reactive protein, anderythrocyte sedimentation rate were requested.Furthermore, stool testing for calprotectin was reques-ted either at the patient’s preferred laboratory or usinga free stool kit (Genova Diagnostics, Asheville, NC)picked up at the patient’s home. A dedicated studynurse (E.K.I.) followed up with patients via telephone ore-mail to ensure laboratory and stool tests wereperformed.

Validation phase. Eligible patients with IBD wereidentified during clinic and endoscopy visits between

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Table 1. Collected PROs and Clinical Markers in CD and Patients With UC

Domain Question CD UC

1. Stool frequency Number of liquid/very soft stools for each of the last 7 days XHow many stools did you have yesterday during the day? X XHow many stools did you have yesterday during the night? X XHow many stools do you have normally during the day? X XHow many stools do you have normally during the night? X X

2. Abdominal pain Abdominal pain for each of the last 7 days (no/mild/moderate/severe) XAbdominal pain (no/mild/moderate/severe) XAbdominal pain (no abdominal pain/with bowel actions/continuous) X XRate your abdominal pain on a scale from 0 to 10 (VAS) X X

3. General well-being General well-being for each of the last 7 days (very well/slightly below par/poor/very poor/terrible)

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General well-being (very well/slightly below par/poor/very poor/terrible) XGeneral well-being (perfect/very good/good/average/poor/terrible) XWell-being (no impairment/impaired, but able to continue activities/activities reduced/unable

to work)X X

Rate your well-being on a scale from 0 to 10 (VAS) X X4. Urgency Urgency of defecation (no urgency/hurry/immediate/incontinence) X X5. Stool consistency Stool consistency (normal or variably normal/semiformed/liquid) X X

Do you take opiates or lomotil/imodium for diarrhea? X XHow often do you take antidiarrheals? (0–10 VAS) X X

6. Rectal bleeding What % of bowel movements contains visible blood? (none/less than 50%/50% or more/blood alone)

X X

Amount of blood in stool (none/trace/occasionally frank [bright red]/usually frank) X XHow often do you experience rectal bleeding? (0–10 VAS) X X

7. Fever Fever on each of the last 7 days X8. Anorexia Loss of appetite (yes/no) X X9. Nausea/vomiting Nausea and/or vomiting (yes/no) X X10. Disease activity How well do you feel your disease is under control? (0–10 VAS) X X11. Clinical markers Temperature X X

Weight and height XPulse XAbdominal tenderness XAbdominal mass XExtraintestinal manifestations X XPhysician global assessment of disease activity X XHgb, hematocrit, white blood cell, platelets, albumin, C-reactive protein, erythrocyte

sedimentation rate (blood) and calprotectin (stool)X X

- 2015 mHealth Index for IBD Monitoring 3

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April 2014 and March 2015 in 3 tertiary IBD referralcenters (UCLA; University of California, Irvine [UCI]; andLeiden University Medical Center [LUMC], theNetherlands). Patients who participated in the devel-opment phase of the study were excluded. For patientswith CD, the developed mHI-CD and HBI werecompleted during clinic visits; during endoscopic visits,the simple endoscopic score for CD (SES-CD) was addi-tionally completed. For patients with UC, the mHI-UCand pMayo were collected during clinic visits, and theMayo endoscopic subscore was additionally obtainedduring endoscopic visits. Patients at LUMC completed aDutch version of the mHI-CD and mHI-UC. After trans-lation to Dutch, the questionnaires were translated backto English by an independent translator; the Dutchquestionnaire was then revised and retested. To assesssensitivity of the mHI to detect changes in clinical dis-ease activity, a subset of patients was included a secondtime during scheduled follow-up visits. To assess test-test reliability, a subset of UCLA patients was asked to

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complete a second questionnaire at home after theirclinic visit.

Definitions

For CD, clinical disease activity was defined as an HBI>4 or a CDAI >150. A change of �3 in HBI wasconsidered a clinically relevant change.20 Endoscopicdisease activity was defined as an SES-CD >3. For UC,clinical disease activity was defined as a pMayo >2, a PTI>3, or an SCCAI >2. A change of �3 in the pMayo wasconsidered a clinically relevant change.18 Endoscopicdisease activity was defined as a Mayo endoscopic sub-score >1.

Ethical Considerations

All patients consented to participate in this study.This study was approved by the institutional review

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boards of participating centers under the followingprotocol numbers: UCLA, IRB#13-000402; UCI, HS#2014-1231; and LUMC, P14.158.

Statistical Analysis

Descriptive statistics were used for clinical charac-teristics and demographic information. Numeric valuesare presented as mean and standard deviation or medianand range. SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) wasused for statistical analyses.

Development phase. Univariate logistic regressionwas performed using disease activity (HBI >4 for CD orpMayo >2 for UC) as the dependent variable and thePROs as independent variables. For each of the PROs,different cutoffs were used, which roughly created linearassociations between the groups and the chance of activedisease. Because different PROs represented the samedomain (Table 1), the variables with the highest Waldchi-square value for predicting clinical disease activitywere selected within each domain for inclusion in themultivariate logistic regression models. If 2 variableswithin the same domain had a similar predictive value(difference between Wald chi-square values <0.5), bothwere tried in separate models unless the question typewas less preferable. Because of usability on a mobileapplication VAS, yes/no, or numeric questions werepreferred over categorical questions; within those,questions with less response options were preferred.Variables with a P value >.1 in the univariate analysiswere omitted from subsequent analyses. Stepwise for-ward multivariate logistic regression was performedwith clinical disease activity as the dependent variableand the selected PROs as independent variables. A sig-nificance level of P < .1 was required for entry in themodel and a significance level of P < .1 to stay in themodel. Several models were performed using differentclinical disease activity indices to define clinical diseaseactivity as the dependent variable.

Composite scores were created using the regressioncoefficients of independent predictors in the multivariatemodel. Spearman correlation coefficients were estimatedbetween the newly developed mHIs and clinical diseaseactivity indices. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curves were used to assess the capability of the mHI todiscriminate active versus nonactive disease usingdifferent clinical disease activity indices, and the areasunder the curves (AUC) were calculated. The compositescore with overall highest AUC using different goldstandards was selected.

Because the main aim of the developed score was toidentify patients at risk for active disease, we defined theoptimal cutoff for disease activity as a negative predic-tive value (NPV) of �95% and a sensitivity of �85%while maintaining maximum specificity. The overallprevalence of active disease was estimated at 22% basedon cross-sectional cohort data from UCLA.

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Validation phase. To validate the mHI against clinicaland endoscopic disease activity indices, the mHI-UC wascompared with the pMayo and the endoscopic subscoreof the Mayo; the mHI-CD was compared with the HBI andSES-CD. Spearman correlation coefficients between thescores were calculated and ROC curves to assess theability to predict clinical and endoscopic disease activitywere generated. To assess sensitivity to change, wecompared patients who clinically improved, remainedstable, and deteriorated. A Kruskal-Wallis test was usedto compare groups. Test-retest reliability was assessedby the intraclass correlation coefficient. The performanceof the VAS for patient-reported disease activity (DA-VAS)as single predictor for clinical and endoscopic diseaseactivity also was assessed.

Results

Development Phase

In total, 219 patients (110 CD and 109 UC) wereincluded in the development phase of the study(Figure 1A, Table 2). In 108 out of 110 patients with CDthe HBI was calculated, whereas the CDAI could only becalculated in 93 out of 110. The pMayo, SCCAI, andmodified Truelove and Witts index were calculated in allpatients with UC. Complete laboratory and stool testswere obtained from only 48% of patients. Despiteintensive follow-up by a dedicated research nurse(E.K.I.), 39% of patients did not perform stool testing and13% did not have laboratory values drawn. Additionally,14% of patients had blood drawn, but laboratory setswere incomplete because of protocol deviations.

Univariate logistic regression was performed forPROs and blood and stool tests (Supplementary Tables 1and 2). Stool frequency, abdominal pain, general well-being, urgency, and patient-reported disease activitywere all strong predictors for clinical disease activity inboth CD and UC (P < .0001). Incontinence was onlypresent in 3% of patients and did not predict diseaseactivity in either CD (P ¼ .54) or UC (P ¼ .99). In CD theuse of antidiarrheals was predictive for disease activity(P ¼ .019) but not in UC (P ¼ .96), whereas the VASassessing frequency of antidiarrheal use was a predictorfor neither CD (P ¼ 1.00) nor UC (P ¼ .26). Rectalbleeding was a predictor for disease activity in both UC(P < .0001) and CD (P ¼ .019). Anorexia was predictivein both CD (P ¼ .019) and UC (P ¼ .0025), whereasnausea and vomiting predicted only CD disease activity(P ¼ .035) and not UC disease activity (P ¼ .14). High C-reactive protein (P ¼ .0009), high erythrocyte sedimen-tation rate (P ¼ .0022), low Hgb (P ¼ .022), and lowalbumin (0.034) were predictors for clinical disease ac-tivity in CD. High calprotectin was not a significant pre-dictor for CD disease activity (P ¼ .054), althoughcalprotectin as continuous variable had predictive value

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Figure 1. Inclusion flow-charts for developmentphase (A) and validationphase (B).

- 2015 mHealth Index for IBD Monitoring 5

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(P ¼ .011). Low platelets (P ¼ .98), low hematocrit (P ¼.28), and high white blood cell (P ¼ .11) were not pre-dictive in CD (Supplementary Table 1). In UC highC-reactive protein (P ¼ .0067), high calprotectin (P ¼.022), high white blood cell (0.013), high erythrocytesedimentation rate (P ¼ .028), and low hematocrit (P ¼.0047) were all predictive for clinical disease activity.Low albumin (P ¼ .98) was not predictive for clinicalactivity in UC, although albumin as continuous variablewas (P ¼ .02). Low platelets (P ¼ .99) and low Hgb (P ¼.13) were not predictive for disease activity in UC,whereas Hgb as continuous variable (P ¼ .032) was(Supplementary Table 2).

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The most representative PROs were selected for in-clusion in the multivariate regression model(Supplementary Tables 1 and 2). Because of lowcompletion rates of laboratory testing despite intensivefollow-up, laboratory tests were initially excluded fromthe multivariate analysis and score development. In CD, 4composite scores were developed (SupplementaryTable 3); in UC, 11 composite scores were evaluated(Supplementary Table 4). Addition of laboratory vari-ables to the selected models decreased the sample sizeand therefore the power of the regression models;addition of the laboratory variables to the model did notresult in inclusion of these variables in the models,

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Table 2. Demographics of Included Patients in Development and Validation Phase of the Study

Development phase Validation phase

CD UC CD UC

N 110 109 301 265Median age, median (range) 33 (19–79) 35 (18–81) 33 (18–75) 42 (18–86)Male, n (%) 56 (51) 57 (52) 144 (48) 132 (50)a

Smoking, n (%) 9 (8) 7 (6)a 19 (6)b 12 (5)c

Age at diagnosis, median (range) 24 (8–68) 28 (10–81) 25 (8–66) 29 (2–76)Disease duration, median (range) 8 (0–46) 6 (0–52) 8 (0–52) 7 (0–59)Surgical history, n (%) 48 (44) 1 (1) 132 (44)d 13 (5)d

CD fistulizing disease, n (%) 5 (5)a — 59 (20)a —

Active disease (HBI >4 /pMayo >2), n (%) 32 (30)a 37 (34) 82 (27) 82 (31)

an ¼ 1 unknown.bn ¼ 8 unknown.cn ¼ 9 unknown.dn ¼ 2 unknown.

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because they did not reach the required significance levelof P < .1 for entry in the model.

For CD the selected composite score (Table 3) had anAUC of >0.95 for predicting clinical disease activity,using both CDAI and HBI as gold standards (0.951 and0.963, respectively). The Spearman correlation co-efficients were 0.837 and 0.830, respectively(Supplementary Table 3). The optimal cutoff for themHI-CD to predict clinical disease activity was set at�5.5, resulting in an NPV of 96%, positive predictivevalue (PPV) of 63%, sensitivity of 88%, and specificityof 85%. For UC the selected composite score (Table 3)had an AUC of >0.91 to predict disease activity usingpMayo, SCCAI, and modified Truelove and Witts indexas gold standards (0.960, 0.915, and 0.913, respec-tively). The Spearman correlation coefficients were0.820, 0.832, and 0.790, respectively (SupplementaryTable 4). The optimal cutoff for the mHI-UC to predictclinical disease activity was set at �4.99, resulting in anNPV of 97%, PPV of 72%, sensitivity of 89%, andspecificity of 90%.

Table 3. Calculation of the mHI-CD and mHI-UC

mHI-CD questions Answer Score

Number of liquid/very soft stools/day 0 0.0000 How mhave1–2 1.6983

�3 3.3966Abdominal pain No 0.0000 Rate yo

scaleYes 2.3868

Rate your well-being on a scale from0 to 10 (0 ¼ worst, 10 ¼ best)

8–10 0.0000 How of(0 ¼4–7 2.1336

0–3 4.2672How well do you feel your disease is

under control (0 ¼ no disease activity,10 ¼ worst disease activity)

0–2 0.0000 How w(0 ¼3–6 2.1175

7–10 4.2350Total score (SUM) Total s

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Validation Phase

A total of 301 patients with CD (UCLA, n ¼ 127; UCI,n ¼ 82; LUMC, n ¼ 92) and 265 patients with UC (UCLA,n ¼ 119; UCI, n ¼ 67; LUMC, n ¼ 79) were analyzed inthe validation phase (Figure 1B, Table 2). For CD theSpearman correlation coefficient was 0.75 (P < .0001)between HBI and mHI-CD, the AUC of the ROC for pre-dicting clinical disease activity was 0.90, and a sensitivityof 94% and specificity of 67% were achieved using acutoff of �5.5 (Figures 2A and 2B). To achieve theoptimal NPV of 95% and sensitivity of 85%, the cutoff inthis cohort would be �6.38, which would result in 85%sensitivity, 80% specificity, 95% NPV, and 55% PPV. ThemHI-CD was poorly correlated with the SES-CD (r ¼ .30;P ¼ .0039), with an AUC of 0.63 (Figures 2A and 2C).

For UC the Spearman correlation coefficient was 0.72(P < .0001) between pMayo and mHI-UC, the AUC of theROC for predicting clinical disease activity was 0.91, anda sensitivity of 73% and specificity of 90% specificitywere achieved using a cutoff of �4.99 (Figures 2D and

mHI-UC questions Answer Score

any stools did youyesterday?

�2 0.00003–4 1.4428>4 2.8856

ur abdominal pain on afrom 0 to 10 (0 ¼ none, 10 ¼ worst)

0–2 0.00003–6 1.03927–10 2.0784

ten do you experience rectal bleeding?none, 10 ¼ always)

0–3 0.00004–10 2.2019

ell do you feel your disease is under controlno disease activity, 10 ¼ worst disease activity)

0–2 0.00003–5 1.75576–10 3.5114

core (SUM)

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Figure 2. Performance of the developed mHI scores to detect disease activity in CD (A–C) and UC (D–F). ROC curves of themHI to predict clinical and endoscopic disease activity (A and D), scatter plot of the mHI versus clinical disease activity scores(B and E), and endoscopic disease activity scores (C and F).

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2E). The optimal cutoff in this cohort would be �3.2,which would result in 85% sensitivity, 80% specificity,95% NPV, and 55% PPV. The mHI-UC was stronglycorrelated with the Mayo endoscopic subscore (r ¼ .60;P < .0001), with an AUC of 0.82 (Figures 2D and 2F).

Sensitivity to change was assessed in a subset of 50patients with CD and 44 patients with UC. Median timebetween questionnaires was 46 days (range, 2–352) forCD and 57.5 days (range, 3–275) for UC. Four (8%) pa-tients with CD deteriorated, 31 (62%) had stable diseaseactivity, and 15 (30%) improved. Of the patients with UC,5 (11%) deteriorated, 27 (61%) remained stable, and 12(27%) improved. There was a significant difference inmHI between patients who clinically improved, remainedstable, or worsened, with either CD (P ¼ .0030) or UC(P ¼ .0025) (Figures 3A and 3C). Test-retest reliabilitywas assessed in a subset of 40 patients with CD and 37patients with UC. The median time to second question-naire completion was 21 hours (range, 7–36) for the mHI-CD and 23 hours (range, 11–144) for the mHI-UC. Theintraclass correlation coefficient was 0.94 (confidencelimits, 0.89–0.97) for the mHI-CD and 0.94 (confidencelimits, 0.89–0.97) for the mHI-UC (Figures 3B and 3D).

One question in both the mHI-CD and the mHI-UCassessed patient-reported disease activity using a VAS(DA-VAS). In patients with CD (n ¼ 301) the DA-VAS had

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a Spearman correlation of 0.63 (P < .0001) with the HBI,and the AUC for predicting clinical disease activity was0.83 (compared with r ¼ .75 and AUC ¼ 0.90 for the fullmHI-CD). The CD DA-VAS was weakly correlated with theSES-CD (r ¼ .21; P ¼ .040), and had an AUC to predictendoscopic disease activity of 0.59 (compared with r ¼0.30 and AUC ¼ 0.63 for the full mHI-CD). The DA-VASwas not significantly different among patients whodeteriorated, remained stable, or improved (P ¼ .12). Inpatients with UC (n ¼ 265) the DA-VAS had a Spearmancorrelation of 0.67 (P < .0001) with the pMayo, and theAUC for predicting clinical disease activity was 0.86(compared with r ¼ .72 and AUC ¼ 0.91 for the full mHI-UC). The UC DA-VAS was also correlated with theendoscopic component of the Mayo score (r ¼ .55; P <.0001), and had an AUC to predict endoscopic diseaseactivity of 0.79 (compared with r ¼ .60 and AUC ¼ 0.82for the full mHI-UC). A significant difference between theDA-VAS of patients with UC that deteriorated, remainedstable, or improved was observed (P ¼ .0052).

Discussion

We developed 2 questionnaires of 4 items consistingsolely of PROs for remote monitoring of patients with

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Figure 3. Sensitivity tochange (A and C) and test-retest reliability (C and D)of the mHI-CD (A and B)and mHI-UC (C and D).

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IBD, which can be used on mobile technology. Thequestionnaires were validated in a multicenter validationstudy and showed excellent characteristics to monitorclinical disease activity and symptom changes. As previ-ously shown, UC clinical disease activity highly correlateswith endoscopic disease activity, whereas correlationbetween CD symptoms and endoscopic findings is poor.21

Although previous studies have aimed to identifyPROs for disease monitoring either by adjusting existingquestionnaires,16 or by using subcomponents of existingquestionnaires,18,19 we were able to prospectively iden-tify PROs relevant for clinical disease monitoring andvalidate those in an independent cohort. Interestingly,patient-reported disease activity was shown to be anindependent predictor for clinical disease activity inpatients with UC and patients with CD, even after in-clusion of common IBD symptoms, such as stool fre-quency and abdominal pain. Patient-reported diseaseactivity alone had a comparable performance with thecomplete mHI in both CD and UC for detecting clinicaland endoscopic activity, although responsiveness tochanges in disease activity was reduced in particular inpatients with CD.

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A limitation of this study is the potential for recallbias in CDAI calculation. Although 7-day diary formswere sent out in advance, we did not log whether diarieswere filled out daily or by recall. Additionally, in thevalidation cohort, optimal cutoffs of the mHI for detec-tion of disease activity were higher than expected for CDand lower than expected for UC. This might be caused bythe reduction of questionnaire items from >20 PROs tojust 4, or by differences in the patient population. Thevalidation phase of the study most accurately representsthe real-life situation. Therefore, we implemented thecutoff for optimal sensitivity and specificity as observedin the validation cohort in clinical practice.

This study was not primarily designed to evaluatecorrelations between PROs and endoscopic healing. In at-risk patients, clinical assessments remain warranted,which may lead to further endoscopic evaluation. Thistool offers an optimal screening method to monitor andevaluate disease activity in and outside of clinical prac-tice with a high NPV. The mHIs are currently imple-mented in the UCLA eIBD patient app (SupplementaryFigure 2) and automated messages are sent to a nursecoordinator when the mHI indicates disease activity. The

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app is currently available to patients treated at the UCLACenter for IBD and can be downloaded in iOS or Androidby searching for “UCLA eIBD.”

The calculation of the mHI is complex. However,simplifying the score would most likely result in loss ofaccuracy. Because the index is meant to be automatedand implemented on digital platforms, we believe thatusing the more complex calculations is justified.

Cloud-based health technologies are predicted torevolutionize care delivery and patient engagement. Pa-tients can participate in their care by signaling meaningfulhealth outcomes during year-round monitoring. Barriersfor more widespread implementation of mHealth in IBDcare include policies affecting reimbursement and regula-tory requirements,22 and privacy and security concerns.1

In summary, we developed the mHI-CD and mHI-UCfor remote monitoring of patients with CD and patientswith UC. The scores are specifically designed for imple-mentation on a mobile application and are currentlyavailable to patients with IBD treated at the UCLA Centerfor IBD. Prospective randomized studies need to assessthe effect of remote monitoring on disease control,quality of life, patient satisfaction, and health care costs.

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Supplementary Material

Note: To access the supplementary material accom-panying this article, visit the online version of ClinicalGastroenterology and Hepatology at www.cghjournal.org,and at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2015.10.035.

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1. Steinhubl SR, Muse ED, Topol EJ. The emerging field of mobilehealth. Sci Transl Med 2015;7:283rv3.

2. The Smartphone Difference. Pew Research Center, April2015. Available at: http://www.pewinternet.org/2015/04/01/us-smartphone-use-in-2015/. Accessed: May 11, 2015.

3. Kuehn BM. Is there an app to solve app overload? JAMA 2015;313:1405–1407.

4. Available at: http://www.medivo.com/gi/.

5. Available at: http://www.ibdetermined.org/Tracker.aspx.Accessed: May 13, 2015.

6. Haas L, Maryniuk M, Beck J, et al. National standards for dia-betes self-management education and support. Diabetes Care2013;36(Suppl 1):S100–108.

7. Heneghan C, Ward A, Perera R, et al. Self-monitoring of oralanticoagulation: systematic review and meta-analysis of indi-vidual patient data. Lancet 2012;379:322–334.

8. Johansen MA, Henriksen E, Horsch A, et al. Electronic symptomreporting between patient and provider for improved health careservice quality: a systematic review of randomized controlledtrials. part 1: state of the art. J Med Internet Res 2012;14:e118.

9. Elkjaer M, Shuhaibar M, Burisch J, et al. E-health empowers pa-tients with ulcerative colitis: a randomised controlled trial of theweb-guided ’Constant-care’ approach. Gut 2010;59:1652–1661.

10. Pedersen N, Thielsen P, Martinsen L, et al. eHealth: individual-ization of mesalazine treatment through a self-managed

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web-based solution in mild-to-moderate ulcerative colitis.Inflamm Bowel Dis 2014;20:2276–2285.

11. Pedersen N, Elkjaer M, Duricova D, et al. eHealth: individuali-sation of infliximab treatment and disease course via a self-managed web-based solution in Crohn’s disease. AlimentPharmacol Ther 2012;36:840–849.

12. Cross RK, Cheevers N, Rustgi A, et al. Randomized, controlledtrial of home telemanagement in patients with ulcerative colitis(UC HAT). Inflamm Bowel Dis 2012;18:1018–1025.

13. Cross RK, Jambaulikar G, Langenberg P, et al. TELEmedicinefor Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease (TELE-IBD):design and implementation of randomized clinical trial. ContempClin Trials 2015;42:132–144.

14. Jensen RE, Rothrock NE, DeWitt EM, et al. The role of technicaladvances in the adoption and integration of patient-reportedoutcomes in clinical care. Med Care 2015;53:153–159.

15. Williet N, Sandborn WJ, Peyrin-Biroulet L. Patient-reportedoutcomes as primary end points in clinical trials of inflam-matory bowel disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2014;12:1246–1256.e6.

16. Atreja A, Khan S, Rogers JD, et al. Impact of the MobileHealthPROMISE platform on the quality of care and quality oflife in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: study protocolof a pragmatic randomized controlled trial. JMIR Res Protoc2015;4:e23.

17. Evertsz FB, Hoeks CC, Nieuwkerk PT, et al. Development of thepatient Harvey Bradshaw index and a comparison with aclinician-based Harvey Bradshaw index assessment of Crohn’sdisease activity. J Clin Gastroenterol 2013;47:850–856.

18. Lewis JD, Chuai S, Nessel L, et al. Use of the noninvasivecomponents of the Mayo score to assess clinical response inulcerative colitis. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2008;14:1660–1666.

19. Khanna R, Zou G, D’Haens G, et al. A retrospective analysis: thedevelopment of patient reported outcome measures for theassessment of Crohn’s disease activity. Aliment Pharmacol Ther2015;41:77–86.

20. Vermeire S, Schreiber S, Sandborn WJ, et al. Correlation be-tween the Crohn’s disease activity and Harvey-Bradshawindices in assessing Crohn’s disease severity. Clin Gastro-enterol Hepatol 2010;8:357–363.

21. Falvey JD, Hoskin T, Meijer B, et al. Disease activity assessmentin IBD: clinical indices and biomarkers fail to predict endoscopicremission. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2015;21:824–831.

22. Adler-Milstein J, Kvedar J, Bates DW. Telehealth among UShospitals: several factors, including state reimbursement andlicensure policies, influence adoption. Health Aff 2014;33:207–215.

Reprint requestsAddress requests for reprints to: Welmoed K. Van Deen, MD, Center forInflammatory Bowel Diseases, Melvin and Bren Simon Digestive DiseasesCenter, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California at LosAngeles, 10945 Le Conte Avenue, #2114, Los Angeles, California 90095.e-mail: [email protected]; fax: (310) 206-9906.

Conflicts of interestThe authors disclose no conflicts.

FundingThis study was partly supported by a grant from Genova Diagnostics. GenovaDiagnostics provided stool collection kits and performed fecal calprotectintesting during the study.

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SupplementaryFigure 1. Seven-day diaryform, which was sent topatients to log symptomsduring the 7 days beforethe clinic visit for calcula-tion of the CDAI.

web4C=FPO

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Supplementary Figure 2. Screenshots of the mHI as implemented in the UCLA eIBD patient app available to patients treatedat the UCLA IBD Center.

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Supplementary Table 1. CD Variables, Univariate Logistic Regression Outcomes for Prediction of Active Disease (HBI>4)

Domain Variable n Cutoffs MLE SE Chi-square P value Modela Var#

Stool frequency Number of liquid/very soft stoolsper day

108 Continuous 1.63 0.35 22.34 <.0001 —

0/1–3/>3 3.49 0.73 23.11 <.0001 —

0/1–2/>2 3.55 0.66 28.58 <.0001 1 V1.10/>0 3.36 0.77 19.10 <.0001 —

How many stools did you haveyesterday during the day?

108 Continuous 0.85 0.19 20.09 <.0001 —

0–1/>1 2.00 0.65 9.53 .0020 —

Number of stools more thannormal per day

108 Continuous 0.87 0.36 5.88 .015 —

0/>0 0.84 0.51 2.69 .10 —

Total number of stools per day 108 Continuous 0.97 0.20 22.75 <.0001 —

�1/>1 1.75 0.77 5.08 .024 —

0–2/>2 2.58 0.55 22.19 <.0001 —

0–1/2–4/>4 2.64 0.58 20.79 <.0001 —

0–2/3–4/>4 2.16 0.40 28.49 <.0001 2 V1.2Stools at night How many stools did you have

last night?108 Continuous 0.88 0.26 11.59 .0007 —

0/>0 1.15 0.44 6.90 .0086 —

0/1/>1 0.99 0.30 11.01 .0009 —

0/1–2/>2 1.28 0.36 12.29 .0005 1, 2 V2Abdominal pain Abdominal pain (no–severe) 108 No/mild/moderate/severe 2.68 0.50 28.11 <.0001 —

No/yes 3.72 0.62 35.35 <.0001 1, 2 V3Abdominal pain (no pain–continuous) 108 No abdominal pain/with bowel actions/continuous 1.52 0.31 23.97 <.0001 —

Abdominal pain VAS 108 Continuous 0.51 0.10 24.99 <.0001 —

0–3/>3, <8/8–10 2.02 0.41 24.17 <.0001 —

<3/3–6/>6 1.94 0.39 25.03 <.0001 —

General well-being General well-being (very well– terrible) 108 Very well slightly below par/poor/very poor/terrible 1.31 0.30 18.93 <.0001 —

Well-being VAS 108 Continuous 0.47 0.11 18.44 <.0001 —

<4/�4, <7/�7 1.42 0.35 16.76 <.0001 —

�2/>2, <7/�7 1.80 0.40 20.09 <.0001 1, 2 V4Well-being (no impairment–unable

to work)108 No impairment/impaired but able to continue

activities/activities reduced/unable to work1.21 0.83 17.90 <.0001 —

Urgency Urgency of defecation(no urgency–incontinence)

108 No urgency/hurry/immediately/incontinence 1.30 0.32 16.99 <.0001 1, 2 V5No incontinence/incontinence 0.88 1.43 0.38 .54 —

Stool consistency Stool consistency 108 Normal or variably normal/semiformed/liquid 2.09 0.48 19.06 <.0001 1, 2 V6Do you take opiates or lomotil/imodium

for diarrhea?108 No/yes 1.22 0.52 5.47 .019 —

Antidiarrheals VAS 108 Continuous 0.00 0.09 0.00 1.00 —

Rectal bleeding Rectal bleeding VAS 108 Continuous 0.16 0.09 3.06 .080 —

�3/>3 1.22 0.52 5.47 .019 1, 2 V7What % of bowel movements contains

visible blood?108 None/<50%/�50%/blood alone 0.36 0.34 1.08 .30 —

Amount of blood in stool 108 None/trace/occasionally frank/usually frank 0.61 0.28 4.72 .030 —

Fever Did you have fever yesterday? 108 No/yes 14.53 913.40 0.00 .99 —

Anorexia Loss of appetite 108 No/yes 1.04 0.45 5.51 .019 1, 2 V8Nausea/vomiting Nausea and/or vomiting 108 No/yes 1.03 0.49 4.44 .035 1, 2 V9

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Page 13: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

Disease activity Disease control VAS 108 Continuous 0.42 0.09 21.88 <.0001 —

�3, >3, <7/�7 1.60 0.32 24.41 <.0001 —

�2, >2, <7/�7 1.80 0.36 24.58 <.0001 1, 2 V10Laboratory studies C-reactive protein (mg/dL) 93 Continuous 0.27 0.14 3.80 .051 —

�0.8/>0.8 1.77 0.53 11.11 .0009 —

Calprotectin (mg/g) 63 Continuous 0.00 0.00 6.45 .011 —

<163/�163 1.22 0.63 3.71 .054 —

<50/�50 0.28 0.66 0.18 .67 —

White blood cell count (*103 cells/mL) 96 Continuous 0.15 0.08 3.20 .074 —

�9.95/>9.95 1.06 0.66 2.60 .11 —

Albumin (g/dL) 94 Continuous -1.55 0.61 6.47 .011 —

�3.7/<3.7 1.92 0.90 4.51 .034 —

Platelets (*103 cells/mL) 96 Continuous 0.00 0.00 1.43 .23 —

�143/<143 15.17 770.20 0.00 .98 —

Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/hr) 85 Continuous 0.05 0.02 7.28 .0070 —

�22 (F) or �10 (M)/>22 (F) or >10 (M) 1.62 0.53 9.38 .0022 —

Hemoglobin (g/dL) 95 Continuous -0.10 0.14 0.59 .44 —

>11.6 (F) or >13.5 (M)/�11.6 (F) or �13.5 (M) 1.15 0.50 5.24 .022 —

Hematocrit 96 Continuous -3.34 5.39 0.38 .54 —

>0.349 (F) or >0.385 (M)/�0.349 (F) or �0.385 (M) 0.61 0.57 1.15 .28 —

F, female; M, male; MLE, maximum likelihood estimate, SE, standard error.aVariables selected for multivariate regression models (Supplementary Table 4).

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Page 14: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

Supplementary Table 2. UC Variables, Univariate Logistic Regression Outcomes for Prediction of Active Disease (pMayo >2)

Domain Variable n Cutoffs MLE SE Chi-square P value Modela Var#

Stool frequency How many stools did you haveyesterday during the day?

109 Continuous 0.87 0.79 20.57 <.0001 —

<3/3–4/5–6/7–9/>9 1.61 0.33 23.11 <.0001 —

<4/4–6/>6 2.24 0.50 19.69 <.0001 —

<4/4–6/>6 2.32 0.49 22.35 <.0001 —

Stools more than normal 109 Continuous 0.99 0.33 9.23 .0024 —

0/1–2/3–4/>4 1.65 0.41 16.17 <.0001 —

0/1–2/>2 1.78 0.41 19.18 <.0001 —

Total number of stools/day 109 Continuous 0.78 0.16 23.03 <.0001 —

<3/3–6/>6 2.24 0.42 28.86 <.0001 —

0–4/>4 3.57 0.62 32.79 <.0001 1, 2 V1.10–2/3–4/>4 1.95 0.34 32.46 <.0001 3, 4 V1.2

Stools at night How many stools did youhave last night?

109 Continuous 0.95 0.26 12.77 .0004 —

0/>0 1.48 0.43 11.79 .0006 —

0/1–3/>3 1.49 0.38 15.01 .0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V2Abdominal pain Abdominal pain (no– severe) 109 No/mild/moderate/severe 0.78 0.25 9.60 .0019 —

No/yes 1.47 0.45 10.62 .0011 —

Abdominal pain (no– continuous) No abdominal pain 1.02 0.30 11.44 .0001 —

Abdominal pain VAS 109 Continuous 0.40 0.09 19.21 <.0001 —

<3/�3, �6/>6 1.75 0.37 21.84 <.0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V30/>0, �4/>4 1.40 0.33 18.20 <.0001 —

General well-being General well-being? (very well–terrible) 109 Very well/slightly below par/poor/very poor/terrible 1.27 0.34 14.12 .0002 —

General well-being (perfect–terrible) 109 Perfect/very good/good/average/poor/terrible 0.91 0.23 16.08 <.0001 1, 3 V4.1Well-being VAS 109 Continuous 0.43 0.11 15.30 <.0001 —

�3/>3 1.62 0.45 13.31 .0003 —

�3/>3, �6/>6 1.42 0.36 15.73 <.0001 2, 4 V4.2Well-being (no impairment–unable

to work)109 No impairment/impaired but able to continue

activities/activities reduced/unable to work1.14 0.36 15.93 <.0001 —

Urgency Urgency of defecation 109 No urgency/hurry/immediate/incontinence 2.01 0.40 24.82 <.0001 —

No urgency/hurry/immediate 2.03 0.40 25.13 <.0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V5No incontinence/incontinence 14.13 826.90 0.00 .99 —

Stool consistency Stool consistency 109 Normal or variably normal/semiformed/liquid 2.13 0.46 21.68 <.0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V6Do you take opiates or

lomotil/imodium for diarrhea?109 No/yes -0.03 0.59 0.00 .96 —

Antidiarrheals VAS 109 Continuous 0.05 0.09 0.26 .26 —

Rectal bleeding Rectal bleeding VAS 109 Continuous 0.59 0.11 27.82 <.0001 —

�3/>3 2.71 0.49 29.97 <.0001 —

<2/�2, <5/�5, <8/�8 1.66 0.31 28.15 <.0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V7What % of bowel movements

contains visible blood?109 None/<50%/�50%/blood alone 2.84 0.59 22.89 <.0001 —

None/<50%/�50% 2.95 0.60 24.26 <.0001 —

None/>0% 3.86 1.04 13.76 .0002 —

Amount of blood in stool 109 None/trace/occasionally frank/usually frank 1.83 0.35 27.22 <.0001 —

None/trace/more than a trace 1.95 0.37 27.53 <.0001 —

Anorexia Loss of appetite 109 No/yes 1.44 0.48 9.10 .0025 1, 2, 3, 4 V8Nausea/vomiting Nausea and/or vomiting 109 No/yes 0.72 0.49 2.12 .14 —

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Page 15: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

Disease activity Disease control VAS 109 Continuous 0.46 0.10 21.67 <.0001 —

�3/>3, <7, �7 1.44 0.31 21.37 <.0001 —

�2/>2, �5/>5 1.82 0.36 25.86 <.0001 1, 2, 3, 4 V10�2/>2, <7/�7 1.68 0.36 21.76 <.0001 —

Labs C-reactive protein (mg/dL) 91 Continuous 1.03 0.42 5.87 .015 —

�0.8/>0.8 1.50 0.55 7.35 .0067 —

Calprotectin (mg/g) 70 Continuous 0.00 0.00 4.31 .038 —

<163/�163 1.29 0.56 5.22 .022 —

<50/�50 1.96 0.80 6.06 .014 —

White blood cell count (*103 cells/mL) 93 Continuous 0.20 0.08 5.91 .015 —

�9.95/>9.95 1.39 0.56 6.19 .013 —

Albumin (g/dL) 88 Continuous -1.52 0.66 5.39 .02 —

�3.7/<3.7 14.36 610.50 0.00 .98 —

Platelets (*103 cells/mL) 93 Continuous 0.00 0.00 2.54 .11 —

�143/<143 -12.66 805.50 0.00 .99 —

Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/hr) 85 Continuous 0.04 0.01 8.38 .0038 —

�22 (F) or �10 (M)/>22 (F) or >10 (M) 1.04 0.47 4.81 .028 —

Hemoglobin (g/dL) 93 Continuous -0.31 0.15 4.59 .032 —

>11.6 (F) or >13.5 (M)/�11.6 (F) or �13.5 (M) 0.75 0.50 2.25 .13 —

Hematocrit 93 Continuous -9.46 5.91 2.66 .10 —

>0.349 (F) or >0.385 (M)/�0.349 (F) or �0.385 (M) 1.84 0.65 7.99 .0047 —

F, female; M, male; MLE, maximum likelihood estimate, SE, standard error.aVariables selected for multivariate regression models (Supplementary Table 4).

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Page 16: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

Supplementary Table 3. Development and Evaluation of Composite Scores for CD

Composite score development AUC ROC curves P value

Dependent variable Model Variables in composite scoresa HBI CDAI HBI CDAI

HBI 1 V1.1; V3 0.981 0.912 0.903 0.7392 V1.2; V3; V10 0.956 0.898 0.750 0.702

CDAI 1 V1.1; V3; V4; V10 0.951 0.963 0.837 0.8302 V3; V4; V10 0.900 0.942 0.731 0.771

V1.1, number of liquid/very soft stools per day; V1.2, total number of stools per day; V3, abdominal pain; V4, well-being VAS; V10, disease control VAS.aSee Supplementary Table 1 for full details on each variable.

Supplementary Table 4. Development and Evaluation of Composite Scores for UC

Composite score development AUC ROC curves P value

Dependent variable Model Variables in composite scoresa pMayo SCCAI MTWI pMayo SCCAI MTWI

pMayo 1, 2 V1.1; V3; V7; V8; V10 0.960 0.865 0.849 0.769 0.769 0.7031, 2b V1.1; V3; V7; V10 0.957 0.879 0.883 0.797 0.803 0.762

3 V1.2; V3; V7; V8; V10 0.964 0.908 0.890 0.808 0.812 0.7483b V1.2; V3; V7; V10 0.960 0.915 0.913 0.820 0.832 0.7904 V1.2; V 4.2; V7; V10 0.956 0.920 0.909 0.809 0.838 0.787

SCCAI 1 V2; V4.1; V5; V7 0.872 0.974 0.896 0.711 0.907 0.8362, 4 V2; V3; V4.2; V5; V7; V10 0.904 0.971 0.883 0.765 0.911 0.810

3 V1.2; V2; V4.1; V5; V7 0.885 0.981 0.923 0.721 0.914 0.869MTWI 1 Unbalanced model NA NA NA NA NA NA

2 V1.1; V2; V6; V7; V8 0.928 0.879 0.937 0.801 0.806 0.8553 V1.2; V2; V4.1 0.880 0.907 0.984 0.712 0.797 0.9334 V1.2; V2; V4.2; V7; V8 0.906 0.894 0.950 0.777 0.810 0.866

MTWI, modified Truelove and Witts index; NA Q11; V1.1 and V1.2, number of stools per day; V2, number of stools at night; V3, abdominal pain VAS; V4.1, generalwell-being; V4.2, well-being VAS; V5, urgency of defecation; V6, stool consistency; V7, rectal bleeding VAS; V8, anorexia; V10, disease control VAS.aSee Supplementary Table 2 for full details on each variable.bIn these models loss of appetite was excluded as independent variable because of a clinically irrelevant negative value in the model.

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Page 17: Development and Validation of an Inflammatory Bowel ...download.xuebalib.com/2sn1bVMjztGa.pdf · Q1 M. G. H. van Oijen,*,jj and D. W ... from April 2014 through March 2015. RESULTS:

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