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Design of an Experiment

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Page 1: Design of an Experiment
Page 2: Design of an Experiment

2

Design of an Experimenti. Define experimental unit

ii. Define treatment/factor

iii. Define levels of treatment/factor• This will be cost associated during

the implementation

iv. Define response variable• The effects that you expect to see

v. Allocate treatment levels to experimental units based on some selection probability• Completely Randomized Design

(Single-factor / 2-factor Experiment)

A. Experimental unit • An experiment unit is an individual or plot or area

that receives a treatment randomly assigned to it• Measurement of effects can be done with the

experimental unit as a whole or some portion of the experimental unit

B. Treatment • Applied to experimental units such as fertilization• “Factorial experiment” = “Treatment experiment”

❑ Two factors = two treatments = two groupsC. Treatment Level

• Specify how to implement a treatment on experimental units

• One treatment may have two or more ways of applying it on experimental units with each “way” being a specific amount or quantity

Page 3: Design of an Experiment

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1. Goal/Objectives:• Infer causation (effects) between treatments and

response

• Will be able to do controlled (manipulative) experiment to some extent

2. Procedures i. We start with a uniform population

ii. Randomly divide the population into subpopulations

iii. Apply a treatment for each subpopulation that we expect to influence the subpopulations’ means

iv. We measure effect by examining variation within each treatment to variation between each treatment

v. If treatment:• No Effect: Treatment means are the same with the

population and the between treatment variation will equal 0 (Treatment variation ‹ Population variation)

• Have Effect: Big differences between treatment means (Treatment variation › Population variation)

vi. We will test differences in means by assessing proportions of variation

Page 4: Design of an Experiment

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• With just one treatment of two or more levels

(Thinning spacing with five levels)

i. Objective: Effect of spacing on tree height

ii. Define experimental unit:20 plots

iii.Define treatment/factor: Thinning spacing

iv.Define levels of treatment/factor:No thinning / 1m / 2m / 3m / 4m

v. Define response variableMean height growth for each plot

Page 5: Design of an Experiment

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Ho: There is no difference in means between treatments

Ha: There is difference(at least one) in means between treatments

• Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) F‐test is a common way to tests the differences between means by comparing the amounts of variability explained by different sources

• In ANOVA, the hypothesis set up

Treatment S0 S1 S2 S3 S4

Reduced (Equal means) Model µ µ µ µ µ

Full (Separate means) Model µ0 µ1 µ2 µ3 µ4

Page 6: Design of an Experiment

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Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Squares F-statistic

Between

treatmentt-1

Within

residualt(r-1)

Total tr-1

2

. ..

1

( )t

i

i

SST r =

= −

2

.

1 1

( )t r

ij i

i j

SSR = =

= −

2

..

1 1

( )t r

ij

i j

SSTOT = =

= −

1

SSTMST

t=

( 1)

SSRMSR

t r=

MSTF

MSR=

t= the number of treatment levels

r= the number of replicates

Page 7: Design of an Experiment

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•Model is :( )ij i j iT = + +

µ= fixed constant

ε𝑗(𝑖)~𝑁𝐼𝐷(0, σε2)

Source DFExpected Mean Squares

Fixed Random

𝑇𝑖 t-1

𝜀𝑗(𝑖) t(r-1)

2

Tr +

2

2

2 2

Tr +

2 0i TT = =

2

10;

t

i

i

Ti i

r T

SST rt

T = = =−

− =

Page 8: Design of an Experiment

8

SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squares

𝑇𝑖

𝜀𝑗(𝑖)

Step 1: Write the variable terms in the model as row headings, include subscripts and bracketed subscripts.

Page 9: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖

𝜀𝑗(𝑖)

Step 2: Write the subscripts in the model as column headings and the number of observations.

Page 10: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖 4

𝜀𝑗(𝑖)

Step 3: For each row, copy the number of observations under each subscript, providing the subscript does not appear in the row heading.

Page 11: Design of an Experiment

11

SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖 4

𝜀𝑗(𝑖) 1

Step 4: For any bracketed subscripts, place a “1”under those subscripts that are in the brackets.

Page 12: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖 0 4

𝜀𝑗(𝑖) 1 1

Step 5: Fill the remaining cells with “0” or “1”, depending upon whether the factor is Fixed (0) or Random (1).

Page 13: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖 0 4

𝜀𝑗(𝑖) 1 1

Step 6: Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row, these products are the coefficients for the factor contribution to expected mean squares.

24 T +

Page 14: Design of an Experiment

14

SourceFixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresi = 5 j = 4

𝑇𝑖 0 4

𝜀𝑗(𝑖) 1 1

Step 6: Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row, these products are the coefficients for the factor contribution to expected mean squares.

24 T +

2

Page 15: Design of an Experiment

15

i. Objective: Effects of spacing and fertilization on tree height

ii. Define experimental unit:20 plots

iii.Define treatment/factor: Thinning spacing / fertilization

iv.Define levels of treatment/factor:No thinning / 1m / 2m / 3m / 4m

No fertilization / With fertilization

v. Define response variableMean height growth for each plot

• With two or more treatments of two or more levels

• Thinning spacing with 5 levels;

• Fertilization with 2 levels

Page 16: Design of an Experiment

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•Model is : abr a b ab abrA B AB = + + + +

Source DFExpected Mean Squares

Fixed Random

Aa a-1

Bb b-1

ABab (a-1)(b-1)

εr(ab) ab(r-1)

Total abr-1

2

Arb +

2

2

22 2

A ABr rb + +2

Bra +2

ABr +

22 2

B ABr ra + +22

ABr +

Page 17: Design of an Experiment

17

Step 1: List factors.

SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎

𝐵𝑏

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏)

Page 18: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏)

Step 2:If the subscript does not appear in the row heading, copy the number of observations under each subscript.

Page 19: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1

Step 3:For any bracketed subscripts in the model, place a “1” under those subscripts.

Page 20: Design of an Experiment

20

SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 0 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 0 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 0 0 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1 1

Step 4:Fill the remaining cells with “0” or “1”, depending upon whether the factor is Fixed (0) or Random (1).

Page 21: Design of an Experiment

21

SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 0 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 0 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 0 0 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1 1

Step 5:Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row.

24 A +

Page 22: Design of an Experiment

22

SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 0 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 0 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 0 0 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1 1

Step 5:Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row.

24 A +

210 B +

Page 23: Design of an Experiment

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SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 0 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 0 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 0 0 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1 1

Step 5:Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row.

24 A +

210 B +

22 AB +

Page 24: Design of an Experiment

24

SourceFixed Fixed Random

Expected Mean Squaresa=5 b=2 r=2

𝐴𝑎 0 2 2

𝐵𝑏 5 0 2

𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑏 0 0 2

𝜀𝑟(𝑎𝑏) 1 1 1

Step 5:Cover the column(s) that contain non-bracketed subscript letters; multiply the remaining numbers in each row.

24 A +

210 B +

22 AB +

2

Page 25: Design of an Experiment

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SourceExpected Mean Squares for Mixed Factor Models

A Fixed B Random A Random B Fixed

Aa

Bb

ABab

εj(ab)2

22

ABr +

22

ABArb r + +22

ABra + 22

ABBra r + +

22

ABrb +

22

ABr +2

a=Number of treatment A levels = 5

b=Number of treatment B levels = 2

r=Number of replicates = 2

Page 26: Design of an Experiment

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•What happened to the F-statistics if we use fixed and random, respectively?

• The use of random models result in losing many degrees of freedom

Treatment Fixed Random

A F(0.05,5-1,20-9)=3.4 F(0.05,5-1,(5-1)*(2-1))=6.4

B F(0.05,2-1,20-9) F(0.05,2-1,(5-1)*(2-1))

Only determined by number of treatment levels

Page 27: Design of an Experiment

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• F-value > F-critical

• P-value < α• Treatment effect is significant

• Reject the null hypothesis

• F-value < F-critical

• P-value > α• Treatment effect is

not significant

• Fail to reject the null

hypothesis

Page 28: Design of an Experiment

Design of Your Experimenti. What is your experimental

unit?

ii. What treatment you want to test?

iii. How many levels of your treatment are?

iv. What observed responses

you need to collect?