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Demographic and Economic Trends in Oklahoma and Johnston County
- Department of Agricultural Economics -
- Division of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources -
- Oklahoma State University -
Tishomingo National Fish HatcheryPaddlefish
National Guard Armory
By:
Suzette Barta, Asst. Extension Economist
OSU, Stillwater
Susan Trzebiatowski, Student Assistant
OSU, Stillwater
Jack Frye, Community Development Specialist
OSU, Ada
Virginia McCarthick, County Extension Director
OSU, Tishomingo
Mike Woods, Extension Economist
OSU, Stillwater
Part I
Rural Development in Oklahoma
Population Loss
•Oklahoma’s population increased by 9.7% from 1990-2000, according to the Census Bureau.
•The US population increased by about 13.2%.
•As a result, Oklahoma’s number of Representatives to the House decreased from 6 to 5.
Employment Opportunities
If I could change one thing about my community, it would be:
“…better paying jobs and more of them.”
Pushmataha County Community Survey, AE-02024, March 2002
Old Frisco Depot in Antlers
Low Income
Why does Per Capita Income in Oklahoma lag the rest of the nation? Some possibilities:
•Low Educational Attainment
•Cost of Living
•Cultural Attitudes
•Different Occupational Mix than U.S.
•Inadequate Transportation Systems
Oklahoma League of Economists, Spring 1999 Policy Survey of Members
Population Trends... • Across the United States, population growth in the
“bread basket” states is slow relative to the rest of the country.
• In Oklahoma, the fastest growing counties are those in the central and eastern portions of the state--often bordering Tulsa and Oklahoma Counties.
• Western counties in Oklahoma are losing population.• In general, non-metro counties are losing population
relative to metro counties.
...In Oklahoma and Nationwide
20.0 to 66.3
10.0 to 19.9
5.0 to 9.9
0 to 4.9
Percent Change in Population by State: 1990 to 200014.0
20.140.0
8.9
30.6
29.666.3
28.5
12.9
20.4
13.8
21.1
26.4
23.5
22.8
21.4
17.6
12.4
13.7
16.7
14.4
10.5 10.1
15.1
11.4
10.8
6.9
9.6
9.3
5.4
5.9
9.7
8.5
8.4
8.5
0.5
8.6 9.7
9.7
8.9
8.2
5.55.5
4.7
3.8
3.4
0.8
3.64.5
9.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent Change in Population by County: 1990-2000
U.S. = 13.2
50.0 - 191.025.0 - 49.9
0.0 - 13.1-9.9 - -0.1
-42.3 - -10.0
13.2 - 24.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population Change 1990-2000
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CIMARRON
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREER
HA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
More than 9% decrease
-9% to 0
0 to 4%
4% to 12%
12% to 20%
Percent Decrease
Percent Increase
More than 20%
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau
3.3%
7.1%5
Percent of Population Living in Non-Metropolitan Areas for Each State
0%-14% Non-metro Population
51% or more Non-metro Population
26%-50% Non-metro Population
15%-25% Non-metro Population
0%
1.5%
7.3%
7.9%
8.2%8.6%
11.7%
13.4%
15.1%
15.1%
15.4%
16.1%
16.9%
17.8%
20%
18.8%
21.8%
23.5%
24.6%
27.8%
26.8%
27.8%
29.5%
30%
30.1%30.7%
32.2%
32.1%
32.1%
32.4%
37.6%
39.2%43%
43.3%
47.3%
51%
51.2%
54.6%
55.7%
57.6%
58.5%
59.7%
60.6%
63.9%
65.3%
66.1%67.3%
70%
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis for 1999.
Population: Metro vs. Non-Metro
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
1980 1990 2000
Metro Non-Metro
57% 59% 61%
3,025,487 3,145,576 3,450,654
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Over 930
Average for the state of Oklahoma = 50.2
100-388
50-99
Population Density for Oklahoma Counties Population per Square Mile (2000)
10-49
Less than 10
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGANCREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
Equal to State Average
Below State Average
CIMARRON
State Average: 25.9%
Above State Average
Percent of Total Population Under 18 Years
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGANCREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
Above State Average
Below State Average
CIMARRON
State Average: 13.2%
Percent of Total Population Over 65 Years
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Employment Trends...
• Employment growth has been greatest in the eastern half of the state.
• Western counties are losing jobs relative to eastern counties.
• Unemployment rates are higher in non-metropolitan counties.
...In Oklahoma
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Percentage Employment Growth 1990-2000
Over 22% Growth
10%-22% Growth
0 to 10% Growth
Negative Growth
Shades of purple indicate growth that is slower than the state’s growth of 22%.
Oklahoma Unemployment Rates, 1990-2001, State, Metro & Non-Metro Areas
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
NonMetro State Metro
Employment Growth in Metro and Non-metro Oklahoma, 1995-2000
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
Ag
Serv
Con
st
FIR
E
Mfc
g
Ret
ail
Serv
ices
Tra
nsp
Who
lesa
le
Gov
t
Far
m
Min
ing
Metro Non-Metro
Source: Regional Economic Information System, BEA
Manufacturing Employment for Non-metropolitan Areas in Oklahoma, 1980-2000
50000
55000
60000
65000
70000
75000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Manufacturing Employment as a Percent of Total Employment for Oklahoma Counties, 1999
Greater than 20%
15.1% to 20%
9.63% to +15%
Less than 9.63%
State percent is 9.63%.
U.S. percent is 11.76%
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Greater than 1.0
0.75 - 0.99
0.50 – 0.74
1999 County Trade Pull Factors
0.25 – 0.49
Less than 0.25
Source: Oklahoma Business Bulletin, October 2000
Income Trends...
• Oklahoma per capita income falls behind most of our surrounding states.
• Non-metro PCI in Oklahoma lags metro PCI.• Although all counties show some growth in
income, Central Oklahoma and the far eastern counties show the fastest growth in total personal income.
...In Oklahoma
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Total Personal Income Percentage Growth,1990-2000.
Greater than 60%
41%-60%
21%-40%
0-20%
Shades of green indicate growth that is slower than the state’s rate of growth of 60%.
Per Capita Income for Oklahoma and Surrounding States: 1990-2000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Arkansas
Colorado
Kansas
Missouri
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas
Ok Metro
Ok Non-metro
Source: Regional Economic Information System, BEA
OK-Metro
OK-Nonmetro
OK
Average Wage per Job, 1999
$21,276
$27,132$25,336
$32,711
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
U.S. OK Total OK Metro OK Non-Metro
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Housing Cost Index
00.1
0.2
0.3
0.40.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.91
US OK Tulsa OKC
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Top Ten Counties with Greatest Percent of Total Personal Income from Farm Earnings, 2000
ADAIR
ALFALFA
ATOKA
BECKHAM
BLAINE
BRYAN
CANADIAN
CARTER
CH
ER
OK
EE
CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND
COMANCHE
COTTON
CRAIG
CUSTER
DE
LA
WA
RE
DEWEY
ELLISGARFIELD
GRADY
GRANT
GREERHA
RM
ON
HARPER
JACKSON
JEFFERSON
KAY
KIOWA LATIMER
LOVE
MAYES
MURRAY
MUSKOGEE
NOBLE
NOWATA
OKLAHOMA
OK
MU
LG
EE
OSAGE
OTTAWA
PAWNEE
PAYNE
PUSHMATAHA
ROGER MILLS
ROGERS
SEQUOYAH
STEPHENSTILLMAN
TULSA
WAGONER
WASHITA
WOODS
WOODWARD
WA
SHIN
GT
ON
SHALLMAR-
MAJOR
KINGFISHER
BEAVERTEXAS
LOGAN
CREEK
LINCOLN
OKFUSKEE
McINTOSH
CADDO
MCCLAIN
GARVIN
SEM
INO
LE
PO
TT
A-
WA
TO
MIE
HUGHES
PITTSBURG
HASKELL
LE FLORE
COAL
JOHNSTON
PONTOTOC
MCCURTAIN
CIMARRON
Employment growth and per capita income growth greater than US average.
PCI Average Annual Growth Rate for the US =5.06%
Employment Average Annual Growth Rate for the US= 2.01%
Employment growth greater than US average. Per capita income growth less than US average.
Employment growth less than US average. Per capita income growth greater than US average.
Employment growth and per capita income growth less than US average.
Average Annual Employment and Per Capita Income Growth by County 1990-2000: Relative to U.S. Average.
Part II. A Summary of Economic Conditions in Johnston County
Bank of the Chickasaw Nation
Murray State College
Blue River
Population for Johnston County1980 1990 2000 % Change
1990-2000Bromide 180 162 163 0.6%Mannsville 568 396 587 48.2%Milburn 376 259 312 20.5%Mill Creek 431 336 340 1.2%Ravia 487 395 459 16.2%Tishomingo 3,212 3,167 3,162 -0.2%Wapanucka 472 401 445 11.0%Remainder of County
4,630 4,916 5,045 2.6%
Johnston Co. 10,356 10,032 10,513 4.8%
Population of Johnston County, Oklahoma, 1980-2000
9,000
9,500
10,000
10,500
11,000
11,500
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population, Housing Units, and Average Household Size for Johnston County, Oklahoma 2000
Avg. Household Size for Oklahoma: 2.49 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population Total Housing Units
Avg HH Size
Johnston Co 10,513 4,782 2.53Bromide 163 80 2.59Mannsville 587 253 2.66Milburn 312 124 2.74Mill Creek 340 147 2.72Ravia 459 201 2.62Tishomingo 3,162 1,407 2.39Wapanucka 445 208 2.56
Percent of Total Housing Units in Johnston County, 2000
Rest of County50%
Milburn3% Mill Creek
3%
Wapanucka4%
Ravia4%
Mannsville5%
Bromide2%
Tishomingo29%
Total Housing Units in Johnston County – 4,782 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Johnston County Population for Age Groups 65 & Over and Under Age 19, 1990-2000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Under 19 65 & Over
Source: Woods and Poole, 2002
Percent of Total Enrollment in Johnston County, Oklahoma, 2000
Elementary School (1-8)46%
High School (9-12)22%
College or Graduate School
19%
Nursery School, Preschool
7%
Kindergarten6%
Total Enrollment for Johnston County – 2,768 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Education Attained in Johnston County for Persons Age 25 and Over, 2000
Graduate or Prof Degree
5%
No High School Diploma
31%High School
Graduate56%
Bachelors Degree
8%
Total persons 25 years and over in Johnston County –6,759 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Education Attained in Oklahoma for Persons Age 25 and Over, 2000
No High School Diploma
19%Bachelor's
degree13%
High School Graduates
61%
Grad or Prof degree
7%
Total persons 25 years and over in Oklahoma – 2,203,173 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Total Employment for Johnston County, OK, 1990-2002
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Source: Oklahoma Employment Security Commission
Unemployment Rates for Johnston County and Oklahoma, 1990-2002
0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0
10.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002Johnston Co Oklahoma
Source: Oklahoma Employment Security Commission
Location Quotients for Johnston County, 1995-2000
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Farm
Ag Ser
v.
Min
ing
Constr
Man
uf
Trans a
nd Pub U
til
Whol
esal
e
Retai
l Tra
de
F.I.R.E
.
Servic
es
Fed. G
ovt
Mili
tary
St & L
oc G
ovt.
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Per Capita Income for Johnston County and Oklahoma
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Johnston Co Oklahoma
Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Transfer Payments by Type for Johnston County, Oklahoma, 1990-2000
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
$20,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Retirement Medical Pymts Income MaintenanceUnemployment Veterans Pymts
=
Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Sales Subject to Sales Tax for Johnston County 1992-2002
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
$Mil
lion
s
Johnston County
Source: ORIGINS
Total Farm Labor and Proprietors’ Income for Johnston, Oklahoma
-$5,000
-$3,000
-$1,000
$1,000
$3,000
$5,000
$7,000
$9,000
$11,000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Selected Farm Characteristics of Johnston County, Oklahoma, 1997
Number of Farms 624
Avg. Farm Size (acres) 535
% Land Area in Farms 81.0%
Avg. Age of Operator 53.4
Avg. Mkt. Value of Ag. Products Sold per Farm
$44,165
Source: 1997 Census of Agriculture
Part III. Retail Trade Analysis for Communities in Johnston County
Prepared by the Oklahoma Cooperative Extension Service
Bell at Chickasaw Capitol Bldg
Fish HatcheryTishomingo
Population for Tishomingo and Other Towns in Johnston County
1980-2000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Tishomingo
Wapanucka
Ravia
Mannsville
Milburn
Mill Creek
Sales Tax Collectionsfor Tishomingo, OK, 1980-2002
$0.00
$50,000.00
$100,000.00
$150,000.00
$200,000.00
$250,000.00
$300,000.00
$350,000.00
$400,000.00
$450,000.00
$500,000.0019
80
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Tishomingo Mannsville Ravia
1%-3%
2%
1%-3%
Estimated Taxable Salesfor Tishomingo, OK, 1980-2002
$0.00
$5,000,000.00
$10,000,000.00
$15,000,000.00
$20,000,000.00
$25,000,000.00
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Tishomingo Actual Inflation-Adjusted
What isTrade Area Capture?
• Trade Area Capture estimates the number people that shop in your town annually.
• TAC is estimated from your town’s estimated taxable sales figures obtained from the Oklahoma Tax Commission.
Trade Area Capture for Tishomingo, OK 1980-2002
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Tishomingo Milburn Mill Creek
What is a Pull Factor?• A Pull Factor is an index calculated so that trade
areas can be compared across different cities and towns.
• A Pull Factor is the town’s Trade Area Capture Divided by the town’s Population.
• A PF > 1.0 implies that a town is drawing in shoppers over and above its own population.
• A PF < 1.0 implies that a town is not capturing the retail dollars of its own residents.
Pull Factors forTishomingo, OK, 1980-2002
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
Pull Factors for Cities and Townsin Johnston County, 1980-2002
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Milburn
Mannsville
Mill Creek
Tishomingo
Wapanucka
Ravia
Pull Factors By Average City Size
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Less 1000 1000-5000 5000-1000010000-25000 25000-50000 Greater than 50000
Pull Factors for Tishomingo & for Citieswith Population 1,000-5,000: 1980-2002
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Tishomingo 1,000-5,000
•Sales gap coefficients are interpreted in exactly the same way as pull factors.
•The only difference is that 8 distinct retail categories are analyzed--based on SIC codes.
SIC Codes for Gap Analysis
Description SIC CodeBuilding, Gardening & Merchandise 52General Merchandise 53Food Stores 54Automobile Dealers & Gas Stations 55Apparel & Accessory Stores 56Furniture & Home Furnishings 57Eating & Drinking Places 58Miscellaneous Retail 59
Gap Analysis for Tishomingo:1998-2002
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
52-Bldg 53-Gen 54-Food 55-Auto 56-Cloth 57-Furn 58-Rest 59-Misc
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Gap Analysis for Mill Creek:1998-2002
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
52-Bldg 53-Gen 54-Food 55-Auto 56-Cloth 57-Furn 58-Rest 59-Misc
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Gap Analysis for Ravia:2000-2002
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
52-Bldg 53-Gen 54-Food 55-Auto 56-Cloth 57-Furn 58-Rest 59-Misc
2000 2001 2002
Questions?
