Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    1/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Vote Summary Table ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    Total Answering UNWT (871) (1016) (145) (713) (271) (272) (286) (358) (56) (415) (130) (216) (112) (298) (66)2-3-2 Dem 35 35 36 33 100 - - 75 - - 83 71 - - 23Ind 31 31 30 30 - 100 - 25 100 29 17 29 26 30 22Rep 33 32 29 35 - - 100 - - 71 - - 74 70 7

    3-1-3 Dem 46 47 52 44 100 37 - 100 - - 100 100 - - 32Ind 6 7 11 6 - 20 - - 100 - - - - - 12Rep 46 44 33 49 - 43 100 - - 100 - - 100 100 7

    DIRECT Right 28 28 30 27 55 22 4 54 19 4 62 48 7 2 34Wrong 62 61 58 64 31 68 91 32 64 92 26 38 85 95 41(DK/Ref) 10 10 12 9 14 10 5 14 18 4 12 14 7 3 24

    OBAMA JOB Approve 46 46 48 45 85 39 12 83 40 10 91 79 15 8 48Disapprove 49 48 41 51 11 54 85 12 44 87 6 16 81 89 33(DK/Ref) 5 6 11 4 4 7 3 4 15 4 3 5 4 4 18

    CONG VOTE Dem 44 44 48 41 87 34 8 84 18 7 92 78 16 4 49Rep 43 42 37 45 6 39 86 6 24 83 1 9 76 86 23(Other) 3 4 5 4 0 9 1 3 11 2 2 4 4 2 1(Und/Ref) 10 10 11 10 6 18 5 7 47 7 5 10 4 8 26

    HC CLEAN READ Favor 41 40 37 39 74 36 10 74 37 8 85 68 15 5 38Oppose 53 52 48 56 16 60 85 17 56 88 9 22 78 93 46(DK/Ref) 7 8 15 5 10 4 4 9 6 3 7 10 7 2 16

    31 Economy Dems Bttr 38 38 40 37 80 28 2 76 23 2 85 71 3 2 34Reps Better 44 43 33 47 8 43 85 8 29 83 3 11 75 87 25(Both/Nthr/DK/Ref) 18 19 27 16 12 29 13 16 48 15 11 18 22 12 41

    53A Vote Dems Economy 42 44 53 41 79 38 8 80 27 7 82 78 7 7 38Vote Reps to protest 49 46 34 53 14 50 86 14 38 86 12 16 90 84 35(Both/Nthr/DK/Ref) 9 10 13 7 8 12 6 6 35 8 6 6 4 9 27

    Vote Difference Table ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)2-3-2 PARTY Dem-Rep 2 3 7 -1 100 - -100 75 - -71 83 71 -74 -70 17

    3-1-3 PARTY Dem-Rep . 3 18 -5 100 -6 -100 100 - -100 100 100 -100 -100 26

    DIRECT Right-Wrong -34 -33 -29 -37 24 -46 -86 21 -45 -89 36 10 -78 -93 -7

    OBAMA JOB App-Disapp -3 -1 8 -6 75 -15 -73 71 -4 -77 85 62 -66 -81 15

    CONG VOTE Dem-Rep 1 2 11 -4 81 -6 -79 78 -6 -76 90 69 -60 -83 26

    HC CLEAN READ Fav-Opp -12 -12 -10 -17 58 -24 -75 57 -19 -80 76 46 -63 -88 -8

    31 The economy -7 -4 6 -10 72 -15 -82 68 -6 -82 82 60 -72 -85 9

    53A Econ/Dms-Prot Reps -7 -3 18 -12 65 -12 -78 66 -12 -79 71 63 -83 -78 3

    Dem Performance Table ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)CONG VOTE Dem - 3-1-3 D -2 -2 -4 -2 -13 -3 8 -16 18 7 -8 -22 16 4 17OBAMA JOB App - 3-1-3 D 0 0 -3 1 -15 2 12 -17 40 10 -9 -21 15 8 16

    Net Performance Table ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)NET Cong Vote - 3-1-3 1 -1 -8 1 -19 1 21 -22 -6 24 -10 -31 40 17 0

    P

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    2/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    ote Summary Table ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    Total Answering UNWT (871) (151) (278) (383) (335) (401) (218) (576) (365) (459) (323) (491) (57) (68) (56) (94)

    2-3-2 Dem 35 71 42 13 68 6 68 17 64 7 63 11 51 68 60 76nd 31 20 34 33 26 29 24 34 26 34 27 35 19 32 40 24

    Rep 33 9 23 53 6 65 5 47 8 57 8 52 22 - - -

    3-1-3 Dem 46 86 58 18 89 7 88 24 83 11 84 15 62 100 100 100nd 6 3 9 5 3 4 4 6 5 6 6 7 6 - - -

    Rep 46 11 32 76 7 89 6 68 10 81 9 77 24 - - -

    DIRECT Right 28 54 33 11 55 2 100 - 57 1 61 3 22 12 28 18Wrong 62 32 56 83 29 95 - 100 27 97 24 94 39 76 59 63DK/Ref) 10 14 11 7 16 3 - - 16 1 15 3 38 12 13 19

    OBAMA JOB Approve 46 83 55 22 88 7 94 20 100 - 92 9 56 - 62 51Disapprove 49 15 39 74 8 91 2 77 - 100 5 87 15 73 30 38DK/Ref) 5 3 5 4 4 2 3 3 - - 3 4 29 27 8 11

    CONG VOTE Dem 44 84 51 18 82 8 85 22 79 12 84 11 55 63 - 61Rep 43 11 32 68 8 81 8 62 11 75 8 72 30 12 35 15Other) 3 2 5 3 3 2 2 4 2 5 2 5 - 11 19 8Und/Ref) 10 4 12 11 8 9 5 12 8 9 7 12 15 15 46 16

    HC CLEAN READ Favor 41 78 49 17 78 6 88 16 81 4 100 - - 25 38 -Oppose 53 15 43 79 14 92 7 80 11 94 - 100 - 60 51 65DK/Ref) 7 7 8 4 8 2 5 4 8 2 - - 100 15 11 35

    31 Economy Dems Bttr 38 77 44 15 74 3 79 16 73 6 75 7 56 49 37 54Reps Better 44 12 33 70 9 82 6 67 10 79 9 74 23 26 24 21Both/Nthr/DK/Ref) 18 11 23 15 17 15 15 18 17 16 16 19 21 26 39 25

    53A Vote Dems Economy 42 74 50 22 83 9 79 22 77 12 81 12 48 58 54 58Vote Reps to protest 49 19 41 69 11 84 13 69 12 81 12 79 29 34 31 29Both/Nthr/DK/Ref) 9 6 9 9 6 7 8 9 11 7 6 9 23 8 15 13

    ote Difference Table ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    2-3-2 PARTY Dem-Rep 2 62 18 -40 62 -60 63 -30 55 -49 55 -42 29 68 60 76

    3-1-3 PARTY Dem-Rep . 75 26 -58 82 -82 82 -44 73 -70 75 -62 38 100 100 100

    DIRECT Right-Wrong -34 22 -23 -72 26 -94 100 -100 30 -96 36 -91 -17 -64 -30 -46

    OBAMA JOB App-Disapp -3 68 16 -53 79 -84 92 -57 100 -100 87 -77 41 -73 31 14

    CONG VOTE Dem-Rep 1 73 19 -50 75 -73 77 -40 68 -63 76 -60 25 51 -35 46

    HC CLEAN READ Fav-Opp -12 63 6 -62 64 -85 82 -64 70 -89 100 -100 - -36 -13 -65

    31 The economy -7 66 10 -55 65 -78 73 -51 64 -73 66 -67 32 23 12 34

    53A Econ/Dms-Prot Reps -7 55 9 -47 71 -75 66 -47 65 -70 69 -67 19 25 23 29

    Dem Performance Table ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)CONG VOTE Dem - 3-1-3 D -2 -2 -7 . -7 1 -3 -2 -4 0 0 -3 -7 -37 -100 -39OBAMA JOB App - 3-1-3 D 0 -3 -3 3 -1 0 7 -4 17 -11 8 -5 -6 -100 -38 -49

    et Performance Table ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)NET Cong Vote - 3-1-3 1 -2 -7 8 -8 9 -5 4 -5 7 2 2 -13 -49 -135 -54

    age 2

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    3/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Defectors...3-1-3 Party by Initial Vote ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    Dem/Not Obama approve 8 9 14 7 15 8 - 17 - - 9 21 - - 6Dem/Not Cong Dem 7 8 13 7 13 10 - 16 - - 8 22 - - -Dem/Not HC Clean Read 12 13 21 11 26 9 - 26 - - 15 32 - - 9

    Q4 Voted 2008 election ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Voted 98 98 95 100 99 96 99 99 96 98 98 100 98 97 97Not reg/Inelig/Young 2 2 5 - 1 4 1 1 4 2 2 0 2 3 3

    Q5 Whether voted in 2006 ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Voted 94 82 24 100 94 91 97 92 99 95 93 91 91 97 95Not reg/Inelig/Young 6 6 8 - 6 9 3 8 1 5 7 9 9 3 5Did not vote - 8 51 - - - - - - - - - - - -(Cant remember/DK) - 3 17 - - - - - - - - - - - -

    Q9 Chance of voting in 2010 ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Almost certain 84 76 34 100 81 86 88 82 74 89 85 82 84 92 60Probably 15 16 20 - 19 13 12 18 23 11 15 18 16 8 3750-50 - 5 28 - - - - - - - - - - - -Will not vote - 3 17 - - - - - - - - - - - -(DK) 0 0 0 - 0 1 0 0 4 0 - 0 - 0 4(Ref) - . 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -

    Core voter 80 67 - 100 77 79 85 77 72 85 81 76 78 88 58

    Q10 Direction of the country ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Right direction 28 28 30 27 55 22 4 54 19 4 62 48 7 2 34

    Wrong track 62 61 58 64 31 68 91 32 64 92 26 38 85 95 41(DK/Ref) 10 10 12 9 14 10 5 14 18 4 12 14 7 3 24

    Right - Wrong -34 -33 -29 -37 24 -46 -86 21 -45 -89 36 10 -78 -93 -7

    Q11 Obama job approval ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Strongly approve 28 28 24 29 60 20 3 57 17 2 65 50 4 1 34Somewhat approve 18 19 25 16 25 18 9 27 23 7 26 28 11 6 15Somewhat disapprove 10 11 15 10 6 7 18 7 5 15 4 9 27 10 4Strongly disapprove 39 36 25 41 4 47 67 5 40 72 2 7 54 79 30(DK/Ref) 5 6 11 4 4 7 3 4 15 4 3 5 4 4 18

    Total approve 46 46 48 45 85 39 12 83 40 10 91 79 15 8 48Total disapprove 49 48 41 51 11 54 85 12 44 87 6 16 81 89 33

    Approve - disapprove -3 -1 8 -6 75 -15 -73 71 -4 -77 85 62 -66 -81 15

    P

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    4/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Defectors...3-1-3 Party by Initial Vote ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    Dem/Not Obama approve 8 8 11 5 9 5 3 9 - 11 5 9 17 100 38 49Dem/Not Cong Dem 7 7 13 4 11 4 7 7 10 5 7 7 12 37 100 39Dem/Not HC Clean Read 12 13 17 7 18 5 7 12 13 9 - 15 62 75 62 100

    Q4 Voted 2008 election ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Voted 98 98 99 98 100 100 98 98 98 99 99 98 97 100 100 99Not reg/Inelig/Young 2 2 1 2 - - 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 - - 1

    Q5 Whether voted in 2006 ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Voted 94 93 93 95 94 97 92 95 93 95 94 96 82 89 92 90Not reg/Inelig/Young 6 7 7 5 6 3 8 5 7 5 6 4 18 11 8 10Did not vote - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Cant remember/DK) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    Q9 Chance of voting in 2010 ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Almost certain 84 85 81 90 83 88 82 87 83 87 81 88 73 78 85 83Probably 15 15 18 10 17 11 18 12 17 12 18 11 27 20 15 1750-50 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Will not vote - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -DK) 0 - 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 - 2 - 1Ref) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    Core voter 80 81 77 85 79 87 77 83 78 84 77 85 66 71 80 77

    Q10 Direction of the country ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Right direction 28 54 33 11 55 2 100 - 57 1 61 3 22 12 28 18

    Wrong track 62 32 56 83 29 95 - 100 27 97 24 94 39 76 59 63DK/Ref) 10 14 11 7 16 3 - - 16 1 15 3 38 12 13 19

    Right - Wrong -34 22 -23 -72 26 -94 100 -100 30 -96 36 -91 -17 -64 -30 -46

    Q11 Obama job approval ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Strongly approve 28 57 34 9 58 1 69 10 62 - 61 4 24 - 33 26Somewhat approve 18 25 21 12 30 6 26 10 38 - 31 6 32 - 28 25Somewhat disapprove 10 5 15 10 5 16 2 15 - 21 3 16 12 43 17 20Strongly disapprove 39 10 24 64 3 75 1 61 - 79 2 71 3 30 14 17DK/Ref) 5 3 5 4 4 2 3 3 - - 3 4 29 27 8 11

    Total approve 46 83 55 22 88 7 94 20 100 - 92 9 56 - 62 51Total disapprove 49 15 39 74 8 91 2 77 - 100 5 87 15 73 30 38

    Approve - disapprove -3 68 16 -53 79 -84 92 -57 100 -100 87 -77 41 -73 31 14

    age 4

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    5/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Means ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    25A Small businesses 73.3 72.9 70.7 75.2 67.4 75.9 77.2 68.7 77.0 77.3 75.1 65.7 74.2 79.2 63.923B Medicare 56.7 56.3 54.2 57.3 64.2 55.7 49.6 63.3 61.4 49.4 69.9 60.2 56.0 46.5 53.318 The N.R.A. 55.6 55.7 56.3 55.9 38.1 58.3 71.5 40.6 53.6 70.9 25.2 49.4 63.0 74.0 54.822B Soc Sec 55.0 54.5 52.2 55.9 63.9 49.6 49.3 62.1 56.1 46.7 69.2 57.8 58.5 41.9 63.626 Personal finances 54.0 53.5 50.6 55.4 52.7 49.8 59.2 52.5 49.6 56.1 58.2 48.7 58.8 55.1 53.316 Dem Incumbent 53.6 53.6 53.2 53.1 67.8 45.6 39.8 68.0 43.5 36.1 74.1 64.1 50.0 30.1 58.315 Barack Obama 51.1 51.7 55.2 49.8 80.9 43.3 26.2 79.0 46.2 23.1 83.7 75.6 35.0 18.4 61.519 Pro-life groups 49.9 50.4 53.2 50.7 38.0 46.8 65.2 38.1 40.8 62.9 27.6 44.3 52.5 67.2 50.616 Rep Incumbent 49.7 48.5 41.8 50.0 35.5 42.2 64.9 33.0 38.1 60.7 30.1 34.5 56.9 61.6 64.813 Dem Party 43.7 44.7 49.8 42.0 70.6 34.4 23.5 67.1 32.0 21.4 73.9 62.7 30.7 17.6 54.020A Big Corporations 41.8 41.1 37.6 43.5 36.1 41.1 47.8 33.8 31.4 50.7 28.8 36.8 48.7 52.1 37.912 Rep Party 41.6 41.4 40.2 41.8 25.1 35.4 64.0 24.7 32.9 59.0 16.4 29.9 58.7 59.2 43.917 Reps in Congress 40.9 40.8 40.1 40.7 26.4 35.4 60.6 25.7 33.3 56.4 19.8 29.9 54.0 57.6 39.214 Dem Congress 40.1 40.9 45.3 38.2 66.6 32.6 19.1 63.7 31.5 17.8 69.5 59.2 27.0 14.3 54.521 Gay marriage 37.5 36.9 33.5 37.1 54.5 36.9 21.7 55.3 33.6 21.6 76.6 42.3 35.8 16.0 29.824 State of econ 31.2 31.0 29.9 31.2 41.2 27.4 23.8 40.3 26.7 22.5 41.5 39.9 27.3 20.6 30.727 Fed Deficit 22.9 22.6 21.0 21.9 37.3 17.2 12.7 34.7 16.0 11.8 37.0 33.0 17.7 9.7 32.5

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)12 Rep Party Warm 31 29 20 32 9 19 65 8 15 56 4 10 56 57 25Cool 48 47 44 49 72 57 15 75 52 22 86 69 21 21 38Neutral 19 21 30 17 16 22 18 15 31 21 8 18 21 21 28Over 75 12 11 7 12 3 6 26 2 6 22 2 2 22 22 6Under 26 35 34 30 36 57 41 8 57 48 12 75 46 10 13 25ID 98 97 94 98 97 99 99 97 99 99 98 98 98 99 91Dont ID 2 3 6 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 9Warm - Cool -17 -18 -25 -17 -63 -38 51 -67 -37 35 -81 -59 34 35 -13Mean 41.6 41.4 40.2 41.8 25.1 35.4 64.0 24.7 32.9 59.0 16.4 29.9 58.7 59.2 43.9

    13 Dem Party Warm 35 35 39 34 72 23 6 68 6 5 84 59 6 5 38Cool 46 44 34 50 9 56 78 12 51 80 6 16 66 86 26

    Neutral 17 18 24 15 18 20 14 19 37 13 10 24 27 8 31Over 75 18 18 18 19 40 6 3 34 1 2 42 30 3 2 27Under 26 36 34 24 39 4 45 62 6 38 66 2 9 46 73 23ID 98 98 96 98 99 99 98 99 95 99 99 99 98 99 95Dont ID 2 2 4 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 5Warm - Cool -11 -9 5 -15 63 -33 -71 56 -45 -75 78 43 -59 -82 12Mean 43.7 44.7 49.8 42.0 70.6 34.4 23.5 67.1 32.0 21.4 73.9 62.7 30.7 17.6 54.0

    14 Dem Congress Warm 32 32 37 31 64 23 5 61 10 4 74 53 8 3 41Cool 50 48 39 53 13 59 82 17 57 83 10 22 69 89 28Neutral 16 16 21 14 18 17 11 18 32 11 14 21 20 8 20Over 75 14 13 11 14 31 7 1 28 3 1 36 21 2 1 30Under 26 39 38 29 43 5 47 68 9 40 70 3 12 51 78 23ID 97 97 97 98 96 99 98 96 99 99 98 96 96 100 90Dont ID 3 3 3 2 4 1 2 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 10Warm - Cool -19 -16 -3 -23 51 -37 -78 44 -46 -79 65 31 -61 -86 12Mean 40.1 40.9 45.3 38.2 66.6 32.6 19.1 63.7 31.5 17.8 69.5 59.2 27.0 14.3 54.5

    15 Barack Obama Warm 49 49 51 47 86 41 16 84 45 13 92 79 24 9 54Cool 41 40 34 43 6 47 72 7 38 75 2 11 61 81 28Neutral 9 9 12 8 7 9 10 7 11 9 6 9 14 8 12Over 75 33 32 27 33 63 25 7 62 17 5 70 55 7 4 46Under 26 34 32 23 37 3 42 61 5 30 65 2 7 46 72 24ID 98 98 98 98 99 97 98 99 93 98 100 99 99 97 94Dont ID 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 1 7 2 - 1 1 3 6Warm - Cool 8 9 17 5 80 -6 -56 77 7 -62 89 69 -36 -72 26Mean 51.1 51.7 55.2 49.8 80.9 43.3 26.2 79.0 46.2 23.1 83.7 75.6 35.0 18.4 61.5

    P

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    6/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Means ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    25A Small businesses 73.3 74.2 72.7 74.5 71.7 76.3 73.9 73.5 72.0 74.8 71.1 74.8 74.6 60.7 72.2 66.523B Medicare 56.7 66.9 59.7 49.8 63.5 48.2 70.1 50.0 67.5 46.7 70.4 46.3 54.1 43.8 51.5 43.28 The N.R.A. 55.6 29.9 52.4 70.6 39.7 71.3 38.9 65.1 38.9 70.9 37.5 69.9 52.7 64.6 58.9 56.7

    22B Soc Sec 55.0 67.6 62.8 42.2 61.5 46.3 66.5 48.3 65.1 44.1 66.5 45.5 58.7 45.1 56.2 50.526 Personal finances 54.0 59.1 52.7 52.9 53.2 55.8 58.8 52.5 54.8 54.3 57.8 51.9 47.4 48.6 47.4 41.56 Dem Incumbent 53.6 69.0 60.4 37.5 68.9 36.6 75.8 40.6 70.8 33.7 73.7 34.0 61.9 50.9 38.5 48.45 Barack Obama 51.1 77.9 59.8 30.0 81.1 20.8 85.7 31.7 83.4 19.4 83.9 23.5 63.7 45.4 64.1 58.29 Pro-life groups 49.9 29.5 45.1 63.6 38.1 63.8 38.8 55.7 39.9 59.7 39.5 58.3 47.7 41.8 42.3 41.66 Rep Incumbent 49.7 32.4 44.7 58.2 34.4 60.3 37.1 54.8 36.3 57.2 33.3 57.9 57.2 22.2 52.2 35.73 Dem Party 43.7 68.0 49.3 26.9 67.3 21.1 72.8 27.9 67.6 20.8 68.6 23.0 55.8 46.6 50.0 52.1

    20A Big Corporations 41.8 30.9 39.3 49.0 34.2 50.4 37.1 44.3 34.0 49.3 32.7 49.7 33.8 33.7 39.0 40.12 Rep Party 41.6 21.2 39.0 53.0 25.5 58.7 24.6 50.2 27.6 54.7 26.0 53.8 40.1 32.9 33.3 33.47 Reps in Congress 40.9 24.4 36.7 52.5 25.8 56.5 26.9 48.4 27.8 53.0 26.2 52.4 38.7 33.5 36.5 34.94 Dem Congress 40.1 63.7 45.0 24.1 63.9 17.8 69.9 24.1 64.1 17.5 64.6 19.6 55.0 43.5 47.2 50.5

    21 Gay marriage 37.5 73.4 42.7 17.4 55.0 20.1 58.4 26.8 53.7 22.9 58.0 21.8 41.2 44.5 53.3 38.624 State of econ 31.2 38.7 35.2 24.6 40.1 22.7 46.6 23.5 41.4 21.3 41.8 22.3 36.8 27.9 36.9 32.527 Fed Deficit 22.9 34.2 26.6 14.2 34.7 11.0 40.8 13.5 36.7 9.9 38.2 10.8 28.6 14.0 23.6 21.8

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    2 Rep Party Warm 31 11 26 46 9 55 10 43 13 49 12 46 32 17 14 15Cool 48 78 53 31 74 21 77 35 69 29 73 29 41 64 60 59Neutral 19 9 20 21 16 22 12 21 16 20 14 23 16 12 23 20Over 75 12 6 8 17 3 21 5 16 4 19 5 18 - 2 - 2Under 26 35 68 36 20 56 13 60 24 54 17 57 18 32 41 44 42D 98 97 99 98 98 99 98 99 99 98 99 99 89 93 97 94

    Dont ID 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 11 7 3 6Warm - Cool -17 -66 -27 15 -65 34 -67 8 -56 20 -62 17 -10 -46 -46 -44Mean 41.6 21.2 39.0 53.0 25.5 58.7 24.6 50.2 27.6 54.7 26.0 53.8 40.1 32.9 33.3 33.4

    3 Dem Party Warm 35 72 36 16 67 6 75 14 66 7 69 8 40 36 36 40Cool 46 12 37 71 12 79 7 69 12 80 11 77 16 40 33 27

    Neutral 17 16 25 11 20 13 17 16 21 12 19 13 39 17 28 30Over 75 18 36 18 8 34 3 46 5 35 2 37 3 13 11 15 12Under 26 36 6 25 59 6 66 3 56 6 66 6 63 9 22 18 15D 98 100 99 98 99 98 100 98 100 98 100 98 94 94 97 96

    Dont ID 2 0 1 2 1 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 6 6 3 4Warm - Cool -11 60 -1 -55 55 -73 68 -55 55 -73 57 -69 24 -4 2 13Mean 43.7 68.0 49.3 26.9 67.3 21.1 72.8 27.9 67.6 20.8 68.6 23.0 55.8 46.6 50.0 52.1

    4 Dem Congress Warm 32 64 33 14 61 4 71 11 61 5 63 6 38 33 34 37Cool 50 16 43 74 16 84 9 74 16 84 16 81 17 46 37 30Neutral 16 17 21 10 19 11 18 13 21 9 19 11 31 10 22 24Over 75 14 31 11 7 28 1 39 3 29 1 30 1 13 7 9 10Under 26 39 9 29 63 7 71 4 60 7 71 8 67 9 28 19 17D 97 97 97 99 96 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 86 88 92 91

    Dont ID 3 3 3 1 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 12 8 9Warm - Cool -19 48 -10 -60 45 -79 62 -63 45 -79 47 -74 21 -13 -3 7Mean 40.1 63.7 45.0 24.1 63.9 17.8 69.9 24.1 64.1 17.5 64.6 19.6 55.0 43.5 47.2 50.5

    5 Barack Obama Warm 49 84 61 22 89 11 95 24 94 8 93 14 53 30 62 52Cool 41 8 31 65 5 77 2 64 2 80 3 74 12 36 24 24Neutral 9 8 8 9 6 8 3 10 4 9 4 9 32 29 11 21Over 75 33 62 37 14 65 4 73 12 68 1 71 4 20 5 38 20Under 26 34 7 22 58 4 67 1 54 1 69 2 63 1 25 16 14D 98 100 99 97 100 97 100 97 100 97 100 97 96 95 97 97

    Dont ID 2 - 1 3 0 3 0 3 - 3 0 3 4 5 3 3Warm - Cool 8 75 30 -43 84 -66 93 -40 91 -72 90 -60 41 -6 38 28Mean 51.1 77.9 59.8 30.0 81.1 20.8 85.7 31.7 83.4 19.4 83.9 23.5 63.7 45.4 64.1 58.2

    age 6

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    7/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    16 Dem Incumbent Warm 41 38 21 42 53 35 28 54 27 25 69 46 31 23 35Cool 26 25 13 28 12 35 37 12 29 43 8 14 29 50 24Neutral 13 13 14 14 16 8 12 14 10 11 13 15 18 8 8Over 75 23 22 12 24 34 20 9 34 9 9 44 29 21 4 32Under 26 22 21 13 24 8 30 34 8 25 39 3 10 23 46 23ID 79 76 47 83 81 79 78 80 66 80 91 75 79 81 66Dont ID 21 24 53 17 19 21 22 20 34 20 9 25 21 19 34Warm - Cool 15 14 9 14 41 1 -10 42 -2 -18 61 32 2 -27 11Mean 53.6 53.6 53.2 53.1 67.8 45.6 39.8 68.0 43.5 36.1 74.1 64.1 50.0 30.1 58.3

    16 Rep Incumbent Warm 35 33 25 38 11 29 59 12 19 54 12 11 57 53 24Cool 32 31 27 33 47 34 19 46 32 22 49 48 23 22 8Neutral 12 13 21 12 19 11 7 16 13 9 19 15 12 8 11Over 75 19 17 7 20 5 11 37 5 5 31 5 5 26 32 13Under 26 22 22 23 24 30 28 12 33 28 15 43 29 17 14 4ID 79 78 72 83 77 74 86 74 63 86 79 73 93 83 43

    Dont ID 21 22 28 17 23 26 14 26 37 14 21 27 7 17 57Warm - Cool 3 3 -2 5 -35 -5 40 -34 -14 32 -37 -36 34 31 16Mean 49.7 48.5 41.8 50.0 35.5 42.2 64.9 33.0 38.1 60.7 30.1 34.5 56.9 61.6 64.8

    17 Reps in Cong Warm 30 28 20 30 11 17 61 10 10 52 9 11 48 54 22Cool 48 48 44 49 68 60 17 72 49 25 80 67 28 24 48Neutral 18 20 27 18 17 20 19 15 26 21 10 19 20 21 19Over 75 11 11 9 11 3 7 24 2 6 21 2 2 16 23 6Under 26 34 33 30 35 54 39 10 54 38 14 67 46 12 15 33ID 96 96 91 97 96 96 98 97 85 98 98 97 96 99 89Dont ID 4 4 9 3 4 4 2 3 15 2 2 3 4 1 11Warm - Cool -19 -19 -24 -19 -57 -43 43 -62 -40 27 -71 -56 20 30 -26Mean 40.9 40.8 40.1 40.7 26.4 35.4 60.6 25.7 33.3 56.4 19.8 29.9 54.0 57.6 39.2

    18 The N.R.A. Warm 46 45 40 47 26 49 65 29 40 65 16 36 55 68 39Cool 30 30 30 31 49 29 11 48 26 12 67 39 18 10 24Neutral 15 15 19 14 14 15 15 14 20 15 7 17 21 12 21

    Over 75 30 30 31 32 16 30 45 18 21 44 8 24 30 50 27Under 26 23 23 22 24 40 21 7 39 23 8 58 28 12 6 20ID 91 90 89 92 89 93 91 91 87 92 90 91 93 91 84Dont ID 9 10 11 8 11 7 9 9 13 8 10 9 7 9 16Warm - Cool 16 15 10 17 -23 20 54 -20 14 52 -51 -2 37 58 15Mean 55.6 55.7 56.3 55.9 38.1 58.3 71.5 40.6 53.6 70.9 25.2 49.4 63.0 74.0 54.8

    19 Pro-life groups Warm 40 40 41 41 26 37 59 27 28 55 20 30 40 61 36Cool 38 37 33 38 51 42 20 52 47 23 68 43 28 20 32Neutral 17 17 19 16 19 15 16 17 19 16 9 21 25 13 24Over 75 27 27 30 28 14 24 43 14 16 41 13 15 19 50 22Under 26 30 30 26 30 41 35 15 41 42 18 63 29 21 16 24ID 95 94 93 95 96 94 95 96 93 94 98 94 94 95 92Dont ID 5 6 7 5 4 6 5 4 7 6 2 6 6 5 8Warm - Cool 2 3 8 4 -26 -5 39 -25 -19 33 -48 -13 12 41 4Mean 49.9 50.4 53.2 50.7 38.0 46.8 65.2 38.1 40.8 62.9 27.6 44.3 52.5 67.2 50.6

    20A Big Corportns Warm 25 25 25 27 21 27 29 20 16 32 14 23 27 34 19Cool 45 47 58 43 54 47 36 59 58 31 59 58 40 28 39Neutral 25 23 12 26 20 23 31 18 22 32 22 16 28 33 31Over 75 11 11 11 12 4 11 16 3 7 18 3 4 12 21 7Under 26 30 31 36 27 37 34 19 41 47 17 51 36 15 17 35ID 95 95 94 96 95 97 95 96 95 95 94 97 95 95 89Dont ID 5 5 6 4 5 3 5 4 5 5 6 3 5 5 11Warm - Cool -20 -22 -33 -16 -34 -20 -7 -39 -42 1 -45 -35 -13 7 -20Mean 41.8 41.1 37.6 43.5 36.1 41.1 47.8 33.8 31.4 50.7 28.8 36.8 48.7 52.1 37.9

    P

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    8/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    6 Dem Incumbent Warm 41 61 41 30 54 26 64 27 59 21 61 23 32 33 18 29Cool 26 13 17 42 12 41 7 37 10 43 7 46 6 22 32 28Neutral 13 15 17 8 14 10 12 13 13 12 13 10 35 14 17 19Over 75 23 39 28 9 37 8 43 13 37 8 39 9 14 16 4 14Under 26 22 9 13 38 8 37 4 32 7 39 5 40 - 17 24 18D 79 89 76 79 80 78 83 78 82 76 80 80 73 70 67 76

    Dont ID 21 11 24 21 20 22 17 22 18 24 20 20 27 30 33 24Warm - Cool 15 48 24 -12 42 -14 58 -10 49 -22 54 -23 27 11 -14 1Mean 53.6 69.0 60.4 37.5 68.9 36.6 75.8 40.6 70.8 33.7 73.7 34.0 61.9 50.9 38.5 48.4

    6 Rep Incumbent Warm 35 18 29 46 16 53 17 43 17 48 16 47 18 3 24 9Cool 32 47 36 26 46 24 42 28 41 27 48 24 16 55 19 38Neutral 12 17 16 8 14 11 14 10 16 10 16 11 4 3 6 7Over 75 19 7 13 27 7 31 9 24 7 27 8 25 10 - 11 -Under 26 22 42 23 17 32 16 29 19 30 19 36 16 6 38 10 22D 79 82 81 80 76 88 74 81 74 85 79 82 38 60 49 54

    Dont ID 21 18 19 20 24 12 26 19 26 15 21 18 62 40 51 46Warm - Cool 3 -29 -7 21 -30 29 -25 15 -24 21 -33 23 3 -52 4 -29Mean 49.7 32.4 44.7 58.2 34.4 60.3 37.1 54.8 36.3 57.2 33.3 57.9 57.2 22.2 52.2 35.7

    7 Reps in Cong Warm 30 15 23 43 8 53 11 40 12 47 11 44 30 16 17 16Cool 48 73 57 30 71 24 72 37 68 31 71 31 45 57 55 56Neutral 18 10 18 22 17 20 15 21 16 19 14 23 10 17 23 21Over 75 11 6 6 17 2 20 4 15 3 19 4 18 - 3 1 3Under 26 34 62 37 19 53 15 54 25 51 19 55 19 32 41 35 37D 96 98 97 96 96 97 98 98 97 97 97 98 85 90 96 93

    Dont ID 4 2 3 4 4 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 15 10 4 7Warm - Cool -19 -58 -34 13 -63 29 -62 3 -56 16 -60 13 -14 -41 -38 -40Mean 40.9 24.4 36.7 52.5 25.8 56.5 26.9 48.4 27.8 53.0 26.2 52.4 38.7 33.5 36.5 34.9

    8 The N.R.A. Warm 46 22 40 62 28 64 27 58 27 64 25 64 33 53 49 44Cool 30 63 32 14 48 12 47 20 50 13 51 15 22 19 27 30Neutral 15 7 20 13 15 15 17 14 15 15 15 13 23 14 11 15

    Over 75 30 13 22 45 18 44 14 40 16 44 15 43 23 35 32 31Under 26 23 55 23 9 40 7 38 15 41 8 42 10 16 11 23 22D 91 92 92 90 91 91 91 92 92 92 92 92 78 87 87 88

    Dont ID 9 8 8 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 22 13 13 12Warm - Cool 16 -41 8 48 -21 52 -20 37 -23 52 -27 49 11 34 22 14Mean 55.6 29.9 52.4 70.6 39.7 71.3 38.9 65.1 38.9 70.9 37.5 69.9 52.7 64.6 58.9 56.7

    9 Pro-life groups Warm 40 20 31 57 28 56 26 47 29 52 28 49 41 29 25 30Cool 38 65 41 23 52 22 50 32 50 27 51 28 34 44 38 45Neutral 17 12 23 14 16 16 19 16 17 16 17 17 18 17 26 19Over 75 27 14 13 44 14 41 12 34 16 38 15 37 22 18 15 20Under 26 30 59 28 19 42 16 37 27 39 22 41 23 27 38 31 35D 95 97 95 94 96 94 95 95 96 95 96 94 92 90 89 94

    Dont ID 5 3 5 6 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 6 8 10 11 6Warm - Cool 2 -45 -9 33 -25 34 -24 16 -21 25 -22 20 7 -15 -12 -15Mean 49.9 29.5 45.1 63.6 38.1 63.8 38.8 55.7 39.9 59.7 39.5 58.3 47.7 41.8 42.3 41.6

    20A Big Corportns Warm 25 18 20 34 20 32 20 27 19 32 18 33 8 25 23 27Cool 45 56 54 33 59 33 54 41 57 33 61 32 52 60 55 47Neutral 25 20 24 28 17 30 20 28 19 32 16 31 33 7 18 20Over 75 11 9 4 17 6 18 3 14 5 16 5 16 - - 2 5Under 26 30 50 30 21 41 19 34 28 41 19 44 19 32 39 35 30D 95 94 98 95 96 95 95 97 95 96 96 95 93 92 97 94

    Dont ID 5 6 2 5 4 5 5 3 5 4 4 5 7 8 3 6Warm - Cool -20 -39 -34 0 -39 0 -34 -14 -38 -1 -43 1 -44 -34 -32 -20Mean 41.8 30.9 39.3 49.0 34.2 50.4 37.1 44.3 34.0 49.3 32.7 49.7 33.8 33.7 39.0 40.1

    age 8

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    9/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    21 Gay marriage Warm 30 29 23 29 49 26 15 48 22 13 72 34 27 8 21Cool 51 52 54 52 33 49 71 32 54 69 13 42 51 77 60Neutral 13 14 16 14 13 15 12 13 18 13 9 17 18 11 9Over 75 22 22 19 22 39 19 10 38 15 8 64 22 15 6 20Under 26 48 49 52 49 31 45 69 29 47 67 13 37 47 74 58ID 94 94 93 95 95 90 98 93 93 96 94 92 96 96 91Dont ID 6 6 7 5 5 10 2 7 7 4 6 8 4 4 9Warm - Cool -21 -23 -32 -22 15 -22 -56 17 -32 -56 59 -8 -24 -69 -39Mean 37.5 36.9 33.5 37.1 54.5 36.9 21.7 55.3 33.6 21.6 76.6 42.3 35.8 16.0 29.8

    22B Soc Sec Warm 46 46 41 48 56 45 38 55 58 36 66 47 46 31 59Cool 31 31 36 29 20 40 35 23 32 39 20 25 24 46 17Neutral 18 18 19 19 21 12 20 17 10 20 10 23 19 20 21Over 75 26 25 19 27 33 25 17 33 36 16 42 27 24 13 31Under 26 22 21 18 21 12 31 26 14 32 29 9 17 17 34 10ID 95 95 95 96 96 97 93 96 100 94 96 95 89 97 98

    Dont ID 5 5 5 4 4 3 7 4 - 6 4 5 11 3 2Warm - Cool 16 14 5 18 36 5 3 32 25 -3 47 22 22 -15 42Mean 55.0 54.5 52.2 55.9 63.9 49.6 49.3 62.1 56.1 46.7 69.2 57.8 58.5 41.9 63.6

    23B Medicare Warm 43 42 34 44 53 45 31 53 58 32 65 45 38 30 43Cool 31 32 37 30 24 34 34 27 29 34 19 32 24 39 34Neutral 20 20 20 20 16 17 27 14 9 27 9 17 33 25 18Over 75 26 25 21 28 34 26 17 34 39 16 40 32 20 15 19Under 26 14 14 14 15 7 17 19 8 17 20 4 10 12 24 21ID 94 93 91 94 94 96 92 94 95 93 93 94 94 93 95Dont ID 6 7 9 6 6 4 8 6 5 7 7 6 6 7 5Warm - Cool 13 10 -3 15 29 11 -3 26 29 -2 46 13 14 -9 9Mean 56.7 56.3 54.2 57.3 64.2 55.7 49.6 63.3 61.4 49.4 69.9 60.2 56.0 46.5 53.3

    24 State of econ Warm 13 13 14 13 25 9 5 23 4 4 27 20 7 3 16Cool 70 70 72 71 52 77 84 53 83 85 53 54 80 87 63Neutral 16 16 13 16 22 14 11 23 12 10 19 26 13 9 12

    Over 75 2 2 2 2 4 1 1 4 3 1 3 4 2 1 1Under 26 46 46 44 46 28 51 61 28 53 64 28 28 55 68 43ID 99 99 99 100 99 99 100 100 99 99 100 100 100 99 91Dont ID 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 - - 1 9Warm - Cool -57 -57 -58 -58 -27 -68 -79 -30 -79 -81 -26 -33 -72 -84 -46Mean 31.2 31.0 29.9 31.2 41.2 27.4 23.8 40.3 26.7 22.5 41.5 39.9 27.3 20.6 30.7

    25A Small busins Warm 72 71 70 73 63 75 77 66 86 76 73 63 75 77 59Cool 13 13 15 12 16 11 12 16 7 11 9 20 16 9 12Neutral 10 11 14 10 17 8 5 14 4 7 12 13 6 8 22Over 75 53 51 44 56 40 61 61 45 61 61 60 37 63 60 30Under 26 7 7 6 6 9 7 6 8 2 7 8 9 9 6 8ID 95 96 99 95 96 95 95 95 97 95 94 96 97 94 94Dont ID 5 4 1 5 4 5 5 5 3 5 6 4 3 6 6Warm - Cool 59 58 54 61 47 64 65 50 78 64 64 42 58 69 47Mean 73.3 72.9 70.7 75.2 67.4 75.9 77.2 68.7 77.0 77.3 75.1 65.7 74.2 79.2 63.9

    26 Personal fincs Warm 46 46 45 48 46 39 54 47 34 48 55 41 58 44 42Cool 29 29 31 27 31 35 22 31 40 26 23 35 23 26 35Neutral 19 19 16 19 19 20 19 18 20 21 17 19 17 23 11Over 75 21 20 16 21 20 17 25 19 23 22 25 15 24 20 21Under 26 18 19 23 16 20 22 14 20 27 16 17 22 16 15 22ID 95 94 92 95 96 95 95 96 94 94 96 95 98 93 89Dont ID 5 6 8 5 4 5 5 4 6 6 4 5 2 7 11Warm - Cool 17 17 14 21 15 4 32 15 -5 22 32 6 35 18 7Mean 54.0 53.5 50.6 55.4 52.7 49.8 59.2 52.5 49.6 56.1 58.2 48.7 58.8 55.1 53.3

    P

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    10/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    21 Gay marriage Warm 30 70 32 10 49 12 51 19 47 15 52 13 31 34 44 30Cool 51 17 40 75 32 71 28 63 34 68 30 69 41 41 31 48Neutral 13 8 20 10 12 14 11 14 12 14 12 14 16 21 17 16Over 75 22 61 20 7 39 6 42 12 37 9 42 8 21 23 33 19Under 26 48 17 36 72 30 69 25 60 31 65 27 66 38 37 29 45D 94 95 93 95 93 97 91 96 92 97 93 96 88 96 93 94

    Dont ID 6 5 7 5 7 3 9 4 8 3 7 4 12 4 7 6Warm - Cool -21 53 -8 -64 17 -59 23 -45 13 -53 22 -56 -11 -8 13 -18Mean 37.5 73.4 42.7 17.4 55.0 20.1 58.4 26.8 53.7 22.9 58.0 21.8 41.2 44.5 53.3 38.6

    22B Soc Sec Warm 46 63 54 31 56 36 63 39 60 33 63 34 41 31 34 33Cool 31 21 19 46 24 40 17 40 18 45 18 41 23 47 25 35Neutral 18 11 21 20 17 19 16 17 19 17 15 20 28 11 17 27Over 75 26 42 30 14 33 16 35 20 35 16 38 16 22 16 18 17Under 26 22 12 13 35 17 29 11 30 11 34 12 31 6 33 16 22D 95 95 93 97 97 95 96 96 97 95 96 95 92 90 76 95

    Dont ID 5 5 7 3 3 5 4 4 3 5 4 5 8 10 24 5Warm - Cool 16 41 35 -15 32 -4 46 -1 42 -12 44 -7 17 -15 9 -2Mean 55.0 67.6 62.8 42.2 61.5 46.3 66.5 48.3 65.1 44.1 66.5 45.5 58.7 45.1 56.2 50.5

    23B Medicare Warm 43 61 46 32 53 32 62 34 59 30 63 29 33 24 34 21Cool 31 21 26 39 26 37 15 38 18 41 15 41 47 65 44 66Neutral 20 12 22 22 16 23 18 21 17 22 17 23 16 11 10 11Over 75 26 38 27 20 36 15 40 19 38 15 42 14 26 19 23 17Under 26 14 8 11 20 9 21 3 20 5 24 5 23 6 26 26 21D 94 94 94 94 95 93 95 94 94 93 94 93 97 100 87 98

    Dont ID 6 6 6 6 5 7 5 6 6 7 6 7 3 - 13 2Warm - Cool 13 40 20 -7 27 -5 47 -3 40 -12 48 -12 -14 -41 -10 -46Mean 56.7 66.9 59.7 49.8 63.5 48.2 70.1 50.0 67.5 46.7 70.4 46.3 54.1 43.8 51.5 43.2

    24 State of econ Warm 13 24 16 6 22 5 31 5 24 4 25 4 13 6 13 9Cool 70 59 63 81 53 85 43 84 52 88 51 86 59 74 59 66Neutral 16 17 21 12 24 9 25 11 24 8 23 9 27 19 28 25

    Over 75 2 2 3 2 3 1 5 1 4 1 4 1 3 - 1 2Under 26 46 32 37 60 27 65 15 61 26 66 25 64 37 48 35 41D 99 100 100 99 100 100 99 99 100 100 99 99 98 99 100 100

    Dont ID 1 0 - 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 - -Warm - Cool -57 -35 -48 -75 -30 -80 -12 -79 -28 -84 -26 -82 -46 -68 -46 -56Mean 31.2 38.7 35.2 24.6 40.1 22.7 46.6 23.5 41.4 21.3 41.8 22.3 36.8 27.9 36.9 32.5

    25A Small busins Warm 72 73 75 70 71 74 75 71 71 72 70 72 82 58 70 60Cool 13 11 13 15 12 13 8 16 12 15 13 14 3 30 18 18Neutral 10 10 9 9 13 8 14 8 13 8 13 8 9 9 8 18Over 75 53 60 52 53 50 60 51 56 50 59 48 57 48 36 57 46Under 26 7 9 5 9 5 8 1 10 5 10 5 9 3 18 6 13D 95 94 97 94 96 95 97 95 96 95 96 94 95 96 96 96

    Dont ID 5 6 3 6 4 5 3 5 4 5 4 6 5 4 4 4Warm - Cool 59 62 62 56 58 62 68 55 59 57 56 58 79 28 52 41Mean 73.3 74.2 72.7 74.5 71.7 76.3 73.9 73.5 72.0 74.8 71.1 74.8 74.6 60.7 72.2 66.5

    26 Personal fincs Warm 46 56 47 41 48 47 54 44 49 46 52 43 33 46 39 34Cool 29 23 31 29 30 26 22 31 28 28 25 32 30 36 40 43Neutral 19 17 19 21 18 21 19 20 18 20 18 20 24 13 18 19Over 75 21 28 18 19 20 22 24 19 22 20 25 18 13 14 14 7Under 26 18 17 18 19 20 16 13 20 17 17 14 21 25 28 25 34D 95 96 98 92 96 94 95 94 95 94 96 94 88 94 97 95

    Dont ID 5 4 2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 4 6 12 6 3 5Warm - Cool 17 33 17 12 18 21 32 13 21 18 27 12 3 10 -1 -9Mean 54.0 59.1 52.7 52.9 53.2 55.8 58.8 52.5 54.8 54.3 57.8 51.9 47.4 48.6 47.4 41.5

    age 10

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    11/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    27 Fed Deficit Warm 10 9 8 9 18 6 3 16 3 4 16 16 7 3 7Cool 70 71 77 73 49 79 85 54 78 87 47 59 76 91 45Neutral 15 14 7 14 27 10 7 25 14 6 29 20 7 5 29Over 75 3 3 3 3 5 3 1 4 1 2 3 5 2 2 3Under 26 60 60 59 63 35 69 80 38 67 82 35 42 70 87 31ID 95 95 93 96 94 96 96 94 95 97 92 96 90 99 81Dont ID 5 5 7 4 6 4 4 6 5 3 8 4 10 1 19Warm - Cool -61 -62 -69 -63 -31 -73 -82 -38 -75 -82 -32 -43 -70 -87 -38Mean 22.9 22.6 21.0 21.9 37.3 17.2 12.7 34.7 16.0 11.8 37.0 33.0 17.7 9.7 32.5

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)Dem candidate 39 40 43 38 81 26 8 75 12 7 84 69 15 4 44Lean Dem candidate 4 5 5 3 6 7 - 8 6 0 8 9 1 0 5Rep candidate 39 38 33 41 4 34 81 4 21 77 1 6 70 79 20

    Lean Rep candidate 4 4 3 4 2 5 5 1 3 7 - 2 6 7 4(Other candidate) 2 3 4 3 0 7 1 3 9 2 2 3 3 1 1Lean (Other candidate) 1 1 1 1 - 2 0 0 2 1 - 1 1 1 -(Undecided) 7 7 6 6 5 12 4 5 35 5 2 8 3 5 19(Ref) 3 3 5 3 1 6 1 2 12 2 3 2 1 3 7

    Total Dem candidate 44 44 48 41 87 34 8 84 18 7 92 78 16 4 49Total Rep candidate 43 42 37 45 6 39 86 6 24 83 1 9 76 86 23Total (Other candidate) 3 4 5 4 0 9 1 3 11 2 2 4 4 2 1

    Dem - Rep candidate 1 2 11 -4 81 -6 -79 78 -6 -76 90 69 -60 -83 26

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names... Dem-held districts ...Total answering (395) (444) (49) (332) (161) (109) (114) (202) (22) (160) (72) (123) (49) (110) (20)Dem candidate 46 46 50 46 76 34 14 75 11 13 85 69 29 5 59Lean Dem candidate 4 4 1 3 6 5 - 7 4 0 9 6 - 1 4

    Rep candidate 31 30 27 33 4 31 69 3 30 66 2 4 58 70 15Lean Rep candidate 6 6 6 6 3 4 11 2 3 10 - 3 8 11 5(Other candidate) 2 2 1 2 1 5 - 2 9 1 - 3 1 1 3Lean (Other candidate) 0 0 - 0 - 1 - - 5 - - - - - -(Undecided) 9 8 5 8 9 12 5 8 26 6 2 12 3 8 9(Ref) 3 4 10 3 1 8 1 2 12 3 2 2 1 4 5

    Total Dem candidate 50 50 51 48 83 39 14 83 15 13 94 75 29 6 63Total Rep candidate 36 36 33 39 7 35 80 5 33 77 2 8 66 81 20Total (Other candidate) 2 2 1 2 1 6 - 2 14 1 - 3 1 1 3

    Dem - Rep candidate 13 14 18 10 76 4 -66 77 -18 -64 92 67 -37 -76 44

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names.. Rep-held districts ...Total answering (328) (393) (65) (269) (86) (117) (118) (120) (27) (174) (44) (71) (42) (130) (17)Dem candidate 31 33 40 31 86 20 4 77 11 4 91 67 6 3 29

    Lean Dem candidate 4 4 6 3 8 5 - 7 9 0 - 12 2 - -Rep candidate 47 45 36 50 4 40 87 6 16 82 2 9 72 85 26Lean Rep candidate 3 3 1 3 1 5 2 1 4 4 - 1 4 4 2(Other candidate) 4 4 8 4 - 10 - 6 10 2 6 5 7 - -Lean (Other candidate) 1 1 2 1 - 2 1 - - 2 - - 3 2 -(Undecided) 7 7 5 5 - 13 4 2 38 4 - 3 6 4 32(Ref) 3 3 2 4 1 5 2 1 12 2 1 2 1 2 11

    Total Dem candidate 35 37 46 33 94 24 4 84 20 4 91 79 7 3 29Total Rep candidate 50 48 37 53 5 45 89 7 20 86 2 10 76 89 28Total (Other candidate) 5 6 10 5 - 13 1 6 10 4 6 5 10 2 -

    Dem - Rep candidate -15 -11 9 -20 89 -21 -85 78 1 -82 89 70 -69 -86 1

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    12/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q12-27 Summary: Thermometers ... Warm/Cool/ID ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    27 Fed Deficit Warm 10 14 13 6 16 4 18 6 17 3 18 3 8 - 12 6Cool 70 50 69 83 52 89 45 86 51 91 46 90 60 84 78 77Neutral 15 28 13 9 25 5 28 6 26 4 29 4 23 9 10 12Over 75 3 3 4 3 4 2 5 2 5 2 5 2 2 - 5 4Under 26 60 40 54 78 38 84 26 79 35 86 31 84 50 73 59 64D 95 92 95 98 93 98 92 97 93 98 93 97 91 93 100 95

    Dont ID 5 8 5 2 7 2 8 3 7 2 7 3 9 7 - 5Warm - Cool -61 -36 -56 -78 -37 -85 -27 -81 -34 -87 -29 -86 -53 -84 -66 -71Mean 22.9 34.2 26.6 14.2 34.7 11.0 40.8 13.5 36.7 9.9 38.2 10.8 28.6 14.0 23.6 21.8

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)Dem candidate 39 77 45 16 74 7 79 19 72 10 76 10 44 47 - 50Lean Dem candidate 4 7 6 2 8 1 6 3 7 1 8 1 10 15 - 11Rep candidate 39 10 29 62 6 75 8 56 9 68 7 64 27 8 27 10

    Lean Rep candidate 4 1 3 6 2 6 1 6 2 7 0 7 3 4 8 5Other candidate) 2 2 4 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 3 - 8 16 7

    Lean (Other candidate) 1 - 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 - 2 3 2Undecided) 7 2 9 8 5 6 3 9 6 7 4 9 13 13 33 14Ref) 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 13 2

    Total Dem candidate 44 84 51 18 82 8 85 22 79 12 84 11 55 63 - 61Total Rep candidate 43 11 32 68 8 81 8 62 11 75 8 72 30 12 35 15Total (Other candidate) 3 2 5 3 3 2 2 4 2 5 2 5 - 11 19 8

    Dem - Rep candidate 1 73 19 -50 75 -73 77 -40 68 -63 76 -60 25 51 -35 46

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names... Dem-held districts ...

    Total answering (395) (83) (142) (152) (200) (160) (123) (244) (196) (185) (176) (193) (26) (38) (35) (59)Dem candidate 46 79 51 20 75 10 84 25 75 16 80 14 48 47 - 44Lean Dem candidate 4 9 4 1 6 2 2 4 5 3 4 3 11 14 - 14

    Rep candidate 31 7 23 53 5 63 5 46 5 60 6 55 18 10 19 9Lean Rep candidate 6 1 4 9 3 10 1 7 3 9 1 10 6 7 12 7Other candidate) 2 - 2 3 1 2 - 3 1 3 - 4 - 3 10 6

    Lean (Other candidate) 0 - 0 1 - - 1 0 0 0 1 0 - - - -Undecided) 9 2 13 9 8 8 5 10 8 7 6 11 13 16 48 19Ref) 3 2 3 4 2 5 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 12 2

    Total Dem candidate 50 88 56 21 82 13 86 30 81 19 84 17 59 61 - 57Total Rep candidate 36 8 26 62 8 72 6 54 8 69 7 65 24 17 30 16Total (Other candidate) 2 - 2 3 1 2 1 3 2 3 1 4 - 3 10 6

    Dem - Rep candidate 13 80 29 -41 74 -60 80 -24 73 -50 77 -48 35 44 -30 41

    Q28 Congressional vote with candidate names.. Rep-held districts ...

    Total answering (328) (53) (104) (157) (124) (158) (76) (219) (129) (182) (109) (203) (16) (17) (19) (26)Dem candidate 31 80 38 10 72 5 68 15 68 7 74 8 36 58 - 65

    Lean Dem candidate 4 - 8 2 8 0 10 1 8 0 10 - 5 10 - 3Rep candidate 47 14 31 71 7 82 15 62 13 71 7 69 40 6 37 10Lean Rep candidate 3 - 2 5 1 4 - 4 1 4 - 5 - - 6 4Other candidate) 4 5 9 - 5 1 4 4 3 5 4 4 - 26 36 13

    Lean (Other candidate) 1 - 1 2 - 1 - 2 - 2 - 2 - - - -Undecided) 7 - 6 8 4 5 2 9 5 7 2 9 14 - 12 3Ref) 3 0 4 3 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 3 4 - 9 3

    Total Dem candidate 35 80 47 12 80 5 78 16 76 8 85 8 41 68 - 68Total Rep candidate 50 14 33 76 8 87 15 66 14 75 7 74 40 6 43 14Total (Other candidate) 5 5 10 2 5 1 4 5 3 7 4 6 - 26 36 13

    Dem - Rep candidate -15 66 14 -64 73 -82 63 -50 63 -68 77 -66 1 62 -43 54

    age 12

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    13/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q30 Obama Health Care Proposal ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    Strongly favor 24 23 20 23 50 17 2 46 18 2 61 37 4 1 27Somewhat favor 17 17 18 16 25 19 8 28 20 6 24 31 11 4 12Somewhat oppose 8 9 15 7 8 7 10 9 3 9 6 11 20 4 6Strongly oppose 45 43 33 48 8 53 76 8 53 80 3 11 58 89 40(DK/Ref) 7 8 15 5 10 4 4 9 6 3 7 10 7 2 16

    Total favor 41 40 37 39 74 36 10 74 37 8 85 68 15 5 38Total oppose 53 52 48 56 16 60 85 17 56 88 9 22 78 93 46

    Favor - Oppose -12 -12 -10 -17 58 -24 -75 57 -19 -80 76 46 -63 -88 -8

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job ... Dem - Rep ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)34B Mid Cls tax burden 5 6 11 1 77 -3 -64 76 -28 -61 78 77 -21 -80 21

    33 Being on your side 3 7 27 0 81 -4 -72 78 0 -71 88 72 -54 -77 18

    37B Jobs/employment 0 2 11 -2 77 -4 -79 74 17 -78 79 72 -65 -83 26

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd -1 2 19 -9 69 1 -79 70 1 -74 84 62 -58 -79 7

    39A Helping Sm Bus -7 -4 10 -14 64 -18 -72 60 3 -75 70 54 -47 -86 -2

    31 The economy -7 -4 6 -10 72 -15 -82 68 -6 -82 82 60 -72 -85 9

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed -9 -4 16 -11 56 -17 -71 53 -21 -70 76 41 -43 -82 14

    36A Gov spending -11 -6 16 -14 50 -16 -71 50 -22 -71 61 44 -42 -81 -4

    38B Budget deficit -13 -11 -1 -12 58 -31 -73 50 -47 -72 65 40 -60 -78 18

    32A Taxes -14 -8 20 -21 57 -21 -82 47 18 -79 61 39 -65 -84 -5

    3-1-3 PARTY Dem-Rep . 3 18 -5 100 -6 -100 100 - -100 100 100 -100 -100 26

    CONG VOTE Dem-Rep 1 2 11 -4 81 -6 -79 78 -6 -76 90 69 -60 -83 26

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Total Dems ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)34B Mid Cls tax burden 45 45 46 44 84 37 13 83 17 12 85 84 27 5 44

    33 Being on your side 42 43 49 40 85 32 6 82 21 5 90 77 8 3 37

    37B Jobs/employment 42 42 46 42 82 37 5 80 39 5 84 79 10 3 37

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 40 42 50 38 78 37 4 77 24 5 86 73 10 3 32

    39A Helping Sm Bus 39 40 42 37 76 31 7 74 29 5 79 72 14 2 27

    31 The economy 38 38 40 37 80 28 2 76 23 2 85 71 3 2 34

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 37 38 43 37 71 28 9 68 15 9 83 61 17 5 35

    32A Taxes 34 35 44 31 70 24 4 64 33 4 71 60 5 4 25

    36A Gov spending 32 34 40 32 62 27 6 63 12 5 69 59 14 2 25

    38B Budget deficit 31 32 38 33 68 18 3 62 10 3 71 57 5 2 37

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    14/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q30 Obama Health Care Proposal ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    Strongly favor 24 54 22 10 48 1 56 8 49 1 58 - - 10 19 -Somewhat favor 17 24 27 6 30 5 32 8 32 3 42 - - 15 19 -Somewhat oppose 8 6 13 6 7 10 2 11 6 10 - 16 - 26 29 33Strongly oppose 45 10 30 73 7 82 4 69 5 83 - 84 - 34 23 32DK/Ref) 7 7 8 4 8 2 5 4 8 2 - - 100 15 11 35

    Total favor 41 78 49 17 78 6 88 16 81 4 100 - - 25 38 -Total oppose 53 15 43 79 14 92 7 80 11 94 - 100 - 60 51 65

    Favor - Oppose -12 63 6 -62 64 -85 82 -64 70 -89 100 -100 - -36 -13 -65

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job ... Dem - Rep ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 5 67 34 -51 65 -64 72 -35 64 -55 71 -51 42 49 61 50

    33 Being on your side 3 67 26 -46 74 -66 81 -37 71 -60 74 -55 33 42 38 45

    37B Jobs/employment 0 56 17 -45 67 -71 82 -44 65 -65 69 -59 30 42 45 48

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd -1 70 18 -49 72 -71 73 -41 71 -67 72 -58 11 18 17 31

    39A Helping Sm Bus -7 59 20 -57 62 -71 62 -45 60 -68 61 -62 30 6 10 28

    31 The economy -7 66 10 -55 65 -78 73 -51 64 -73 66 -67 32 23 12 34

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed -9 66 2 -56 46 -71 40 -39 39 -58 42 -52 25 50 13 49

    36A Gov spending -11 45 12 -54 50 -66 48 -42 46 -61 49 -61 30 17 13 27

    38B Budget deficit -13 47 1 -57 44 -74 62 -54 43 -70 46 -65 33 0 7 16

    32A Taxes -14 50 5 -57 51 -73 52 -49 49 -68 47 -64 27 3 1 25

    3-1-3 PARTY Dem-Rep . 75 26 -58 82 -82 82 -44 73 -70 75 -62 38 100 100 100

    CONG VOTE Dem-Rep 1 73 19 -50 75 -73 77 -40 68 -63 76 -60 25 51 -35 46

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Total Dems ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 45 78 58 19 78 10 82 25 78 14 82 15 60 63 71 67

    33 Being on your side 42 80 50 17 79 7 85 20 78 9 81 10 50 56 51 58

    37B Jobs/employment 42 73 49 21 75 8 86 21 75 10 78 13 47 57 63 63

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 40 80 47 18 79 7 81 19 78 8 80 11 39 46 41 48

    39A Helping Sm Bus 39 73 52 15 76 8 77 20 75 9 75 11 49 42 40 53

    31 The economy 38 77 44 15 74 3 79 16 73 6 75 7 56 49 37 54

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 37 76 41 14 63 8 62 23 60 13 63 15 47 65 47 64

    32A Taxes 34 66 39 16 67 7 66 16 65 8 64 9 45 36 29 48

    36A Gov spending 32 61 43 13 63 6 65 17 61 8 63 8 48 37 33 45

    38B Budget deficit 31 62 35 11 59 3 69 11 60 2 61 5 47 29 34 44

    age 14

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    15/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Dems Much More ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 27 25 15 26 58 18 2 54 13 2 70 45 4 1 19

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 27 27 30 26 57 20 1 54 10 1 67 46 2 - 43

    33 Being on your side 26 26 22 27 60 16 1 54 15 1 69 43 1 1 27

    37B Jobs/employment 25 25 24 26 56 19 - 52 20 0 63 43 - 0 36

    39A Helping Sm Bus 21 20 19 21 45 14 0 42 11 0 50 37 - 0 23

    31 The economy 21 21 22 21 48 14 0 44 11 0 57 36 1 - 22

    38B Budget deficit 18 18 20 18 39 10 1 35 10 1 46 27 1 1 29

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 17 18 22 19 38 10 2 35 3 1 45 29 5 - 20

    36A Gov spending 15 14 11 15 31 13 1 31 7 0 40 25 2 - 19

    32A Taxes 14 15 18 13 36 4 - 29 1 - 34 26 - - 25

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Total Reps ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)32A Taxes 47 43 25 52 13 45 86 16 14 83 10 21 70 88 30

    39A Helping Sm Bus 46 44 32 51 12 49 79 14 26 80 9 18 61 88 29

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 45 42 27 48 15 44 80 15 35 78 7 20 60 86 22

    38B Budget deficit 44 43 39 45 10 49 76 12 57 75 6 16 65 80 19

    31 The economy 44 43 33 47 8 43 85 8 29 83 3 11 75 87 25

    36A Gov spending 43 40 24 46 12 43 77 13 34 76 8 15 56 83 28

    37B Jobs/employment 42 41 35 44 5 41 84 6 22 82 5 6 75 86 12

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 42 40 31 46 9 36 82 8 23 79 2 11 68 83 25

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 40 39 35 43 7 40 77 8 44 73 8 8 48 85 23

    33 Being on your side 38 36 22 40 5 36 78 4 21 76 3 6 62 81 19

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    16/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Dems Much More ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 27 65 29 9 55 2 63 10 54 4 57 4 24 25 13 27

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 27 58 29 7 51 1 60 8 53 2 57 4 17 16 40 25

    33 Being on your side 26 61 26 10 53 1 63 9 54 1 58 2 27 15 22 21

    37B Jobs/employment 25 54 22 13 49 1 63 8 49 2 53 4 27 30 21 29

    39A Helping Sm Bus 21 44 22 9 43 2 42 10 41 4 42 4 27 30 19 30

    31 The economy 21 51 22 7 43 0 50 7 42 2 45 3 20 22 14 23

    38B Budget deficit 18 40 15 7 33 2 47 4 36 1 38 2 16 2 7 14

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 17 41 16 6 32 1 37 7 33 3 35 4 9 10 8 19

    36A Gov spending 15 34 16 6 31 1 32 6 32 1 32 2 16 4 20 16

    32A Taxes 14 29 15 7 30 1 33 4 30 1 30 2 18 8 6 15

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Total Reps ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    32A Taxes 47 16 33 73 16 79 14 66 16 76 18 73 18 33 27 23

    39A Helping Sm Bus 46 14 32 73 14 79 15 64 14 77 15 73 18 37 30 25

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 45 11 38 70 18 79 22 61 22 71 21 67 22 15 34 15

    38B Budget deficit 44 15 34 69 14 77 7 65 18 72 15 70 13 29 27 28

    31 The economy 44 12 33 70 9 82 6 67 10 79 9 74 23 26 24 21

    36A Gov spending 43 16 30 67 13 72 18 59 15 69 14 68 18 20 20 17

    37B Jobs/employment 42 17 32 66 8 79 4 64 11 74 9 71 17 15 19 15

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 42 10 29 67 7 78 9 60 7 74 8 68 28 28 24 17

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 40 12 24 69 13 75 10 59 14 69 11 67 18 14 10 17

    33 Being on your side 38 13 24 63 6 72 4 57 7 68 7 65 18 14 13 13

    age 16

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    17/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Reps Much More ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    32A Taxes 26 23 11 29 5 22 51 5 10 48 5 6 42 50 16

    39A Helping Sm Bus 24 23 18 27 3 29 43 5 17 45 3 6 25 53 9

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 23 21 14 25 2 21 47 2 22 44 - 4 24 53 5

    31 The economy 23 21 12 25 2 22 46 2 14 46 1 2 35 50 16

    38B Budget deficit 21 21 22 23 1 21 41 3 19 39 1 4 22 47 13

    37B Jobs/employment 21 20 15 23 1 19 44 1 13 42 - 2 29 48 6

    36A Gov spending 21 19 9 22 5 23 39 4 19 40 3 5 37 40 16

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 20 19 15 23 0 19 43 1 17 40 - 2 20 49 14

    33 Being on your side 20 19 10 22 1 18 43 1 12 41 0 2 31 44 13

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 19 17 9 21 1 20 38 1 12 38 1 0 31 41 12

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... First - Second ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)55B No cut-Cut fix dfct 31 33 42 31 49 26 18 45 41 17 49 40 7 22 37

    49A Bush-Obama rsp econ 17 21 43 11 67 16 -39 71 49 -44 85 64 -22 -52 49

    50B Bush-Obama rsp dfct 15 18 35 12 73 10 -41 71 20 -41 88 58 -16 -53 36

    54A No tax-Tax fix dfct 8 7 -1 8 -5 12 17 -5 5 21 -12 -2 34 14 25

    52B Invest-Cut tax/govt -1 -1 3 -1 55 -10 -49 57 -44 -51 72 44 -22 -65 13

    51B Crtng jobs-Bailouts -2 -1 1 -4 58 -14 -54 54 -37 -53 62 46 -39 -59 29

    48A Averted-Failure -3 0 15 -4 60 -5 -67 65 1 -71 78 58 -53 -78 8

    53A Econ/Dms-Prot Reps -7 -3 18 -12 65 -12 -78 66 -12 -79 71 63 -83 -78 3

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    18/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q31-40 Summary: Better job...Dems or Reps ... Reps Much More ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    32A Taxes 26 8 15 43 4 49 3 39 4 46 5 44 2 13 12 9

    39A Helping Sm Bus 24 3 12 45 4 45 3 36 3 45 4 43 - 11 17 10

    40B Help Sm Bus succeed 23 3 13 42 4 48 4 34 5 42 4 40 - 6 7 8

    31 The economy 23 5 13 40 3 45 3 35 3 43 4 40 13 7 6 4

    38B Budget deficit 21 4 11 38 5 41 6 31 5 38 4 36 - 5 4 4

    37B Jobs/employment 21 8 10 37 1 44 1 33 1 41 2 38 - 5 6 4

    36A Gov spending 21 9 15 32 5 39 7 31 4 38 4 37 - 7 11 7

    34B Mid Cls tax burden 20 3 9 38 3 41 5 30 5 37 5 34 3 1 1 1

    33 Being on your side 20 6 11 35 2 41 2 31 3 38 3 36 5 5 2 3

    35A Mid Cls liv stndrd 19 4 11 32 2 37 1 28 1 35 3 32 12 4 2 2

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... First - Second ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    55B No cut-Cut fix dfct 31 43 31 24 49 13 42 24 43 21 39 25 33 30 22 55

    49A Bush-Obama rsp econ 17 76 41 -31 83 -48 79 -18 81 -42 84 -38 52 13 37 35

    50B Bush-Obama rsp dfct 15 82 32 -34 72 -51 78 -22 72 -40 74 -34 37 40 61 53

    54A No tax-Tax fix dfct 8 -11 -1 23 -6 24 -14 21 -9 29 -11 26 -17 11 19 16

    52B Invest-Cut tax/govt -1 64 18 -50 58 -64 63 -34 52 -50 59 -50 9 7 29 20

    51B Crtng jobs-Bailouts -2 46 17 -44 55 -63 72 -44 57 -61 60 -57 53 -18 25 10

    48A Averted-Failure -3 69 16 -49 72 -68 65 -43 73 -70 72 -62 26 1 55 40

    53A Econ/Dms-Prot Reps -7 55 9 -47 71 -75 66 -47 65 -70 69 -67 19 25 23 29

    age 18

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    19/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Strongly ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    50B Bush resp deficit 47 48 50 46 83 42 15 81 46 15 92 73 25 11 55Obama resp deficit 32 31 25 33 10 33 54 9 27 55 4 13 41 62 13

    55B No cuts/deficit 46 46 49 47 57 42 38 53 63 37 52 53 33 38 50Cuts to fix deficit 20 19 12 21 10 26 24 14 24 25 10 17 28 24 17

    49A Bush resp econ 45 48 59 43 79 44 10 80 54 9 86 77 10 8 50Obama resp econ 25 24 18 28 11 28 38 9 15 43 6 10 25 50 16

    52B Invest 39 38 37 39 63 33 19 65 21 16 71 60 24 12 44Cut tax and govt 39 38 33 39 14 45 60 14 45 63 11 17 46 71 33

    54A No tax/deficit 38 37 32 40 27 43 44 30 30 47 25 32 51 45 42Taxes to fix deficit 24 24 23 26 26 24 22 27 24 21 32 24 23 21 16

    48A Averted crisis 33 32 24 35 61 27 10 59 24 9 76 50 12 7 24

    Deficit/failure 39 36 22 42 10 44 66 8 42 70 6 9 52 78 21

    53A Econ/Dems 32 32 27 32 64 25 5 64 13 4 73 59 1 5 30Protest Reps 38 35 18 43 8 37 72 7 27 71 7 7 62 75 21

    51B Creating jobs 32 33 35 31 62 26 6 60 25 5 72 53 3 7 38Bailouts 34 34 38 34 8 42 53 12 40 54 9 15 52 55 20

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Somewhat ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)55B No cuts/deficit 15 16 18 14 13 15 18 14 5 18 15 13 16 19 10Cuts to fix deficit 10 10 12 9 11 5 13 9 3 12 9 10 15 11 6

    54A No tax/deficit 14 14 14 11 19 9 12 17 12 10 19 15 14 10 18Taxes to fix deficit 20 20 24 18 25 16 17 24 13 16 24 25 8 19 19

    48A Averted crisis 12 15 29 10 16 17 3 20 21 3 11 26 9 1 19Deficit/failure 9 10 16 8 7 5 14 7 3 12 3 9 23 8 14

    51B Creating jobs 12 12 12 11 14 12 10 15 3 11 8 16 21 6 22Bailouts 13 12 8 13 10 9 18 8 25 15 8 9 10 17 10

    53A Econ/Dems 10 12 25 8 14 12 3 16 14 3 10 20 6 2 8Protest Reps 11 12 17 10 5 13 14 7 11 14 5 9 27 9 15

    52B Invest 8 9 11 7 11 9 5 11 - 7 14 9 11 5 8Cut tax and govt 8 9 12 9 5 8 13 5 19 10 1 8 11 10 5

    50B Bush resp deficit 6 7 13 5 2 6 10 2 - 10 2 3 14 8 -Obama resp deficit 6 6 3 6 2 5 12 3 - 11 1 4 13 10 6

    49A Bush resp econ 5 6 7 5 4 4 9 3 10 7 6 2 17 3 16

    Obama resp econ 9 8 5 9 4 4 20 3 - 16 - 5 25 14 -

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    20/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Strongly ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    50B Bush resp deficit 47 86 56 20 81 10 85 27 80 16 82 19 52 60 78 68Obama resp deficit 32 7 22 54 11 57 11 45 9 55 10 50 21 10 7 10

    55B No cuts/deficit 46 51 47 42 54 38 43 46 51 41 47 44 50 57 46 68Cuts to fix deficit 20 14 20 24 14 26 14 22 15 24 16 24 12 16 14 9

    49A Bush resp econ 45 80 57 21 85 10 84 25 83 13 83 15 66 50 63 61Obama resp econ 25 9 13 42 6 46 5 36 6 44 5 42 12 22 17 18

    52B Invest 39 68 46 18 64 12 67 24 62 17 66 17 42 46 47 48Cut tax and govt 39 13 26 63 15 67 15 53 15 63 11 62 37 31 19 28

    54A No tax/deficit 38 28 32 47 29 49 23 46 27 50 25 49 29 35 45 41Taxes to fix deficit 24 33 26 19 29 19 28 20 29 18 29 17 46 20 28 22

    48A Averted crisis 33 71 36 15 65 9 69 15 65 6 67 8 31 14 43 31

    Deficit/failure 39 10 26 64 6 70 7 59 5 70 6 67 9 26 12 16

    53A Econ/Dems 32 65 35 16 66 5 68 14 63 7 67 7 30 29 30 32Protest Reps 38 13 27 60 6 71 7 55 5 67 7 63 24 21 23 15

    51B Creating jobs 32 62 34 16 60 4 72 13 60 5 64 6 39 28 29 34Bailouts 34 18 27 48 14 55 5 51 10 58 9 56 9 40 12 29

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Somewhat ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    55B No cuts/deficit 15 13 15 17 15 16 22 12 16 15 16 14 13 - 6 5Cuts to fix deficit 10 8 11 10 6 14 9 12 9 11 9 9 18 11 15 10

    54A No tax/deficit 14 16 14 11 17 11 18 12 17 11 18 11 11 18 12 15Taxes to fix deficit 20 22 22 17 23 17 28 16 24 14 25 17 11 21 10 17

    48A Averted crisis 12 11 19 7 18 6 12 10 18 6 17 8 16 30 31 33Deficit/failure 9 3 13 8 6 12 9 10 5 13 6 12 12 17 7 9

    51B Creating jobs 12 8 19 7 15 8 12 10 15 8 14 9 27 8 26 16Bailouts 13 7 9 18 6 20 7 16 9 17 9 17 4 15 18 11

    53A Econ/Dems 10 9 15 5 17 4 11 8 15 4 15 5 18 30 24 26Protest Reps 11 6 14 9 5 14 6 14 6 14 5 15 5 12 8 14

    52B Invest 8 12 9 5 13 4 11 7 11 6 11 6 10 4 14 10Cut tax and govt 8 3 10 10 3 13 1 11 6 10 6 11 7 13 13 10

    50B Bush resp deficit 6 5 6 7 3 8 3 7 4 8 3 7 10 5 - 5Obama resp deficit 6 1 8 7 0 13 - 10 2 10 1 11 4 16 10 10

    49A Bush resp econ 5 5 7 3 4 6 4 6 5 5 7 5 - 2 - 3

    Obama resp econ 9 1 10 13 0 18 4 13 1 16 1 16 2 17 8 11

    age 20

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    21/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Total ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    55B No cuts/deficit 61 62 67 60 70 57 56 67 67 55 67 67 49 57 60Cuts to fix deficit 30 29 25 30 21 32 37 23 27 37 18 27 43 35 23

    50B Bush resp deficit 53 55 62 52 85 48 25 83 46 25 94 75 39 19 55Obama resp deficit 38 36 28 40 12 38 66 12 27 66 6 17 54 72 20

    49A Bush resp econ 51 53 66 47 82 48 19 83 63 16 91 79 28 12 65Obama resp econ 34 32 22 37 15 32 57 12 15 59 6 15 50 64 16

    54A No tax/deficit 51 51 46 52 46 52 56 46 42 57 44 47 64 54 61Taxes to fix deficit 43 44 47 44 52 40 38 51 37 37 56 49 30 40 35

    52B Invest 47 47 48 47 75 42 23 76 21 22 84 69 35 17 52Cut tax and govt 48 47 46 48 20 52 73 19 65 73 12 25 57 81 39

    48A Averted crisis 45 47 53 46 77 45 13 79 46 12 87 76 21 9 43

    Deficit/failure 48 47 38 50 17 49 80 14 45 82 9 18 74 86 35

    51B Creating jobs 44 45 47 42 76 38 16 75 28 16 80 69 24 13 60Bailouts 46 46 46 47 18 52 71 20 64 69 17 24 62 72 30

    53A Econ/Dems 42 44 53 41 79 38 8 80 27 7 82 78 7 7 38Protest Reps 49 46 34 53 14 50 86 14 38 86 12 16 90 84 35

    Q44 Talk about the deficit with family ...Total answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)A lot 41 38 20 46 27 49 50 31 48 52 28 33 45 55 21Some 33 33 34 32 38 28 30 37 25 29 40 35 30 29 42Hardly ever 18 19 27 16 24 14 14 22 14 13 25 21 15 13 19Never 8 10 19 6 9 9 5 10 13 5 7 10 8 3 15(DK/Ref) 1 1 0 1 1 - 1 0 - 1 - 0 2 0 4

    A lot/Some 74 71 53 78 66 78 80 68 73 81 68 68 75 83 63

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    22/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q48-55 Summary: Paired Statements ... Statement Total ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    55B No cuts/deficit 61 65 62 58 69 54 65 58 67 56 64 58 63 57 52 73Cuts to fix deficit 30 21 31 34 20 40 23 34 24 35 25 33 30 28 29 18

    50B Bush resp deficit 53 91 62 27 84 18 88 34 83 24 85 27 62 65 78 73Obama resp deficit 38 9 30 61 12 69 11 55 11 65 11 61 25 25 16 20

    49A Bush resp econ 51 85 64 24 89 16 88 31 88 18 89 20 66 52 63 64Obama resp econ 34 10 23 55 7 64 9 49 7 60 6 58 14 39 26 29

    54A No tax/deficit 51 44 46 58 46 59 41 58 44 61 43 59 40 53 57 56Taxes to fix deficit 43 55 47 36 52 35 56 36 53 32 54 33 58 42 38 39

    52B Invest 47 80 55 23 76 16 78 31 73 23 76 23 52 50 61 58Cut tax and govt 48 15 37 73 18 80 16 64 21 73 17 73 43 44 32 38

    48A Averted crisis 45 82 55 23 83 14 81 26 84 13 84 16 47 44 73 64

    Deficit/failure 48 14 39 72 12 82 16 68 10 83 12 79 21 43 18 24

    51B Creating jobs 44 71 53 22 75 12 84 22 76 13 78 15 66 36 54 50Bailouts 46 25 36 66 20 75 12 67 19 74 18 72 12 55 29 40

    53A Econ/Dems 42 74 50 22 83 9 79 22 77 12 81 12 48 58 54 58Protest Reps 49 19 41 69 11 84 13 69 12 81 12 79 29 34 31 29

    Q44 Talk about the deficit with family ...

    Total answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)A lot 41 30 37 53 30 53 29 49 28 55 28 53 27 39 34 33Some 33 38 35 27 37 29 40 30 37 30 36 31 29 37 33 36Hardly ever 18 25 18 14 22 13 22 14 23 11 23 12 28 15 19 24Never 8 7 9 6 10 4 9 6 11 4 11 4 15 6 14 7DK/Ref) 1 - 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 - 0

    A lot/Some 74 67 72 79 67 82 68 80 65 85 65 84 56 77 67 69

    age 22

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    23/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q45 Deficit Open-End ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (345) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (68) (122) (51) (141) (20)

    NEGATIVITY NET 51 51 51 52 37 49 67 38 47 64 44 35 64 65 30General bad 18 18 17 18 16 16 22 14 21 22 19 10 30 19 13Too big 16 17 21 16 13 13 22 15 12 18 22 11 15 19 14Mismanaged 14 12 5 16 8 14 20 7 8 21 8 6 20 22 6Financial burden 7 6 4 8 1 10 10 3 9 10 - 5 10 10 4Ridiculous 2 2 3 1 1 4 1 1 10 2 - 1 - 2 -Terrible 2 2 3 2 1 2 3 1 - 2 - 2 2 3 3Depressing 1 1 3 1 1 2 - 1 2 1 - 2 - 1 -Confusing 1 1 4 1 2 - - 1 - - - 2 - - -

    DESCRIPTIVE NET 29 30 33 30 25 25 39 25 29 34 19 28 34 35 27Government spending 18 16 7 20 12 16 27 13 20 23 11 14 17 26 19The national debt 7 8 14 6 8 3 11 7 6 8 5 8 8 8 5How much gov owes 2 3 6 3 3 4 1 4 4 1 4 4 - 2 2Debt to foreigners 2 3 6 3 2 3 1 3 - 2 3 3 1 2 -Taxes 2 2 - 2 1 2 3 1 - 3 - 1 7 2 -

    ACTIONS NET 16 16 13 15 21 10 17 19 - 15 21 19 7 18 5Fix it, general 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 9 - 3 14 7 2 4 -Fixing the economy 4 4 2 3 8 1 4 7 - 3 3 10 3 2 1Cant be fixed 3 3 3 3 0 2 7 0 - 6 - 1 2 8 1Work together to fix 2 2 4 2 4 1 1 3 - 1 3 3 - 1 3Stop spending so much 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 - 2 4 1 - 3 -

    BLAME NET 15 14 10 16 16 21 7 18 21 10 18 18 5 12 23George W. Bush/Reps 7 7 9 7 12 7 - 13 3 - 17 12 - - 12Barack Obama/Dems 4 4 2 5 2 6 5 2 3 7 - 3 - 9 2Congress 3 3 - 3 - 6 4 0 7 5 - 1 5 5 -Politicians 2 2 - 2 2 4 - 3 10 0 1 3 - 1 4The government 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 5 1 - 2 - 1 5

    OTHER RESPONSES 17 17 15 15 24 19 8 24 20 9 10 30 19 6 32DK/Ref 5 6 10 4 9 5 1 8 2 2 4 8 1 2 24

    It is getting better 0 1 1 1 - 0 1 - 2 1 - - 3 - -Other 11 10 4 10 15 14 5 16 16 6 6 22 15 3 8

    Q46 Deficit: Crisis or no ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (345) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (68) (122) (51) (141) (20)Crisis 50 49 41 54 28 56 67 29 46 71 27 31 66 73 43Major problem 43 45 53 41 61 38 30 61 49 26 58 62 32 24 46Minor problem 4 4 6 3 6 3 1 6 5 1 7 5 2 1 3Not much of a problem 2 2 - 1 4 2 1 4 - 2 7 2 - 2 -(DK/Ref) 1 1 0 0 0 1 - 1 - - 0 1 - - 8

    Q47 Employment situation: Crisis or no ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (338) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (75) (109) (60) (134) (22)Crisis 46 46 43 50 40 56 46 44 66 47 35 51 51 45 38Major problem 48 49 50 46 55 41 48 52 34 47 63 44 39 51 51

    Minor problem 3 3 4 2 4 4 2 3 - 4 1 5 6 2 4Not much of a problem 1 2 2 2 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 4 2 2(DK/Ref) 0 1 1 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 4

    Q56 Realistic 4-year goal for cutting the deficit ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (345) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (68) (122) (51) (141) (20)Eliminate completely 8 8 6 8 4 8 11 5 6 11 - 7 4 13 11Cut the deficit in half 27 27 22 30 24 23 35 22 15 34 21 24 45 30 23Get headed down 44 42 34 45 45 47 41 48 48 40 53 45 35 43 34Keep frm getting bigger 15 17 30 13 21 13 10 19 20 10 21 18 11 9 17Not pay much attention 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 3 - 1 4 3 - 1 3(DK/Ref) 4 4 6 3 4 5 2 3 10 4 1 3 6 3 11

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    24/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q45 Deficit Open-End ...

    Total answering (425) (81) (144) (183) (179) (190) (122) (266) (192) (213) (170) (226) (29) (32) (33) (52)

    NEGATIVITY NET 51 50 40 61 36 66 38 57 38 63 38 60 45 47 52 44General bad 18 19 17 18 12 24 13 20 14 23 15 20 19 14 12 13Too big 16 21 10 19 16 16 16 15 17 15 16 15 25 7 17 13Mismanaged 14 10 10 19 8 20 7 18 8 20 8 19 9 14 2 10Financial burden 7 4 6 9 3 10 3 9 3 10 4 9 5 3 7 3Ridiculous 2 - 2 2 0 2 1 2 1 3 1 3 - 3 3 2Terrible 2 - 1 3 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 4 4 2Depressing 1 - 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 - 6 2 4Confusing 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 0 1 - 1 - 7 9 5

    DESCRIPTIVE NET 29 19 34 30 26 33 28 31 25 32 27 31 26 19 20 13Government spending 18 11 19 21 14 22 13 21 13 22 13 22 21 11 7 10The national debt 7 5 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 8 8 7 5 6 5 3How much gov owes 2 3 3 2 4 1 4 2 4 1 4 1 2 2 8 1Debt to foreigners 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 - 2 7 -Taxes 2 - 3 2 0 4 1 3 1 3 1 3 - - - -

    ACTIONS NET 16 19 14 17 21 12 21 15 20 13 19 14 10 5 13 14Fix it, general 6 12 6 4 10 3 14 3 9 3 9 3 7 2 4 7Fixing the economy 4 3 7 4 7 2 7 4 6 2 8 2 3 5 2 2Cant be fixed 3 1 0 6 1 5 - 4 1 5 1 5 - - - -Work together to fix 2 3 2 1 3 1 3 2 3 1 2 2 - - 11 5Stop spending so much 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 - - - -

    BLAME NET 15 16 17 12 17 12 19 14 17 13 18 12 16 18 18 15George W. Bush/Reps 7 15 9 0 13 - 15 2 13 0 14 0 12 6 4 7Barack Obama/Dems 4 - 2 8 1 8 1 6 1 7 1 7 - 5 5 3Congress 3 - 3 4 0 4 1 4 1 5 1 5 - - - -Politicians 2 1 4 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 7 8 5 5The government 1 - 2 1 0 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 - 2 4 2

    OTHER RESPONSES 17 12 25 12 25 8 24 12 23 10 23 12 23 28 23 30DK/Ref 5 4 5 4 7 1 8 3 8 3 6 4 12 10 4 14

    t is getting better 0 - 1 - - 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 - - - -Other 11 8 18 8 19 6 15 8 15 7 17 7 11 18 19 16

    Q46 Deficit: Crisis or no ...

    Total answering (425) (81) (144) (183) (179) (190) (122) (266) (192) (213) (170) (226) (29) (32) (33) (52)Crisis 50 28 43 66 28 71 21 64 26 72 27 68 49 58 49 44Major problem 43 58 52 30 61 29 66 32 63 26 62 29 42 37 50 51Minor problem 4 7 4 2 7 0 9 2 6 2 7 1 - 5 - 2Not much of a problem 2 6 1 2 4 - 4 2 4 1 3 2 1 - - 2DK/Ref) 1 0 0 0 1 - 1 0 1 0 1 0 7 - 2 1

    Q47 Employment situation: Crisis or no ...

    Total answering (425) (87) (141) (178) (205) (172) (115) (262) (200) (203) (176) (223) (27) (32) (30) (48)Crisis 46 40 51 47 46 48 35 53 42 53 42 51 35 43 37 46Major problem 48 58 42 48 50 48 57 43 51 43 50 45 63 56 51 54

    Minor problem 3 1 5 3 2 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 - 1 8 -Not much of a problem 1 1 2 1 2 1 4 0 3 0 3 - - - 4 -DK/Ref) 0 - 0 1 - 1 - 1 0 1 - 1 2 - - -

    Q56 Realistic 4-year goal for cutting the deficit ...

    Total answering (425) (81) (144) (183) (179) (190) (122) (266) (192) (213) (170) (226) (29) (32) (33) (52)Eliminate completely 8 1 5 13 4 12 8 9 5 10 5 10 9 2 7 4Cut the deficit in half 27 19 29 30 22 31 23 28 22 31 22 30 41 36 21 27Get headed down 44 54 45 40 51 42 54 40 52 38 52 42 18 26 43 35Keep frm getting bigger 15 22 14 12 20 10 12 15 18 12 17 12 24 20 21 22Not pay much attention 2 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 - 10 5 7DK/Ref) 4 1 5 3 2 3 1 5 2 5 2 5 9 7 4 5

    age 24

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    25/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q57 Biggest problem about federal deficit ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (345) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (68) (122) (51) (141) (20)

    Burden future generatns 30 28 18 31 28 35 29 30 28 31 29 30 31 32 24Slow economy/job growth 14 14 10 15 14 8 21 13 3 17 11 13 17 17 18Economy less competitiv 12 12 13 12 12 12 11 12 25 10 13 12 9 10 9Cuts in SocSec/Medicare 12 13 19 10 19 8 5 16 5 6 26 12 7 5 25Higher taxes 9 10 18 8 9 9 8 11 3 8 5 14 9 8 4(All) 16 15 10 17 8 18 22 8 30 22 6 9 22 22 5(Some) 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 2 - 3 2 2 3 3 -(DK/Ref) 6 6 8 5 9 6 2 9 7 3 9 8 2 3 15

    Q58 Most effective in reducing the federal deficit ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (338) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (75) (109) (60) (134) (22)Spending cuts 71 72 74 70 53 76 87 55 83 87 36 69 79 90 52Tax increases 18 17 14 18 33 13 7 30 5 8 49 16 18 3 25(Both) 6 6 6 7 9 7 2 9 9 2 9 9 1 2 7(Neither) 2 2 4 2 2 1 3 2 - 2 - 4 1 3 -(DK/Ref) 3 3 2 3 4 3 1 3 3 2 6 1 1 2 17

    Q59 Responsible for the deficit ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (338) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (75) (109) (60) (134) (22)Wars in Iraq/Afghanistn 36 36 35 34 54 38 14 58 31 14 59 60 20 12 25Obamas stimulus plan 20 18 11 22 2 26 32 2 27 36 3 2 22 43 9Bailouts for banks/auto 17 18 27 16 11 17 23 10 18 23 10 9 18 26 21The economic recession 10 10 11 10 5 10 16 6 13 13 5 7 17 12 14The Bush tax cuts 9 9 7 9 19 4 4 16 - 3 19 16 7 2 1Medicare Drug benefit 1 1 1 2 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 1 1(Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 2 1 - 5(All) 3 2 - 3 4 2 1 3 9 1 2 2 1 1 14(None) - 0 1 - - - - - - - - - - - -(DK/Ref) 4 4 6 4 3 3 6 2 3 5 1 2 8 4 11

    Q60 Spend stimulus as planned or pay back ...

    Total answering (425) (508) (83) (338) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (75) (109) (60) (134) (22)Spend stimulus planned 52 54 61 52 81 49 26 79 52 25 89 77 48 15 43Cancel remain stimulus 45 43 35 46 16 50 71 18 47 72 10 21 47 83 31(DK/Ref) 3 3 4 3 3 1 3 3 1 3 1 2 5 1 26

    Q61 Approach to reducing deficit: Pair ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (345) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (68) (122) (51) (141) (20)1st stmt strongly 22 22 21 20 25 23 16 25 28 18 27 24 18 17 351st stmt not strongly 21 22 26 21 25 16 22 21 22 21 17 23 24 21 52nd stmt not strongly 21 20 16 21 23 15 24 22 20 20 24 21 21 20 242nd stmt strongly 27 27 24 29 18 35 30 23 20 33 19 26 28 34 17(Both) 0 0 - 0 1 - - 0 - - - 1 - - -(Neither) 2 4 10 3 3 3 1 3 2 2 6 1 5 1 -(DK/Ref) 6 6 4 6 5 7 7 6 7 6 7 5 3 6 19

    Total 1st stmt 43 44 47 41 50 40 38 46 51 39 44 47 42 38 40

    Total 2nd stmt 48 47 39 50 41 50 54 45 40 53 43 47 49 54 40

    1st - 2nd -5 -3 8 -9 9 -11 -16 1 10 -14 2 0 -7 -16 0

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    26/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q57 Biggest problem about federal deficit ...

    Total answering (425) (81) (144) (183) (179) (190) (122) (266) (192) (213) (170) (226) (29) (32) (33) (52)

    Burden future generatns 30 28 31 31 27 33 27 30 30 29 29 32 23 30 40 28Slow economy/job growth 14 9 15 15 14 17 13 16 11 17 10 17 17 14 17 17Economy less competitiv 12 15 14 9 16 9 14 9 15 8 17 8 6 6 3 4Cuts in SocSec/Medicare 12 22 8 9 17 6 21 7 17 7 16 6 26 11 5 17Higher taxes 9 6 11 9 10 7 10 8 9 8 10 7 10 13 7 13All) 16 10 15 19 6 24 5 22 6 25 7 23 7 19 14 11Some) 2 2 1 3 2 2 - 3 2 2 1 3 - - 7 4DK/Ref) 6 9 5 5 9 2 10 4 9 3 9 3 12 6 8 6

    Q58 Most effective in reducing the federal deficit ...

    Total answering (425) (87) (141) (178) (205) (172) (115) (262) (200) (203) (176) (223) (27) (32) (30) (48)Spending cuts 71 42 73 87 54 91 53 81 56 86 56 83 78 65 45 61Tax increases 18 45 16 5 30 4 30 12 28 8 29 11 7 28 36 30Both) 6 8 8 3 9 3 11 3 10 2 11 2 2 - 2 -Neither) 2 - 2 3 2 1 4 1 2 2 2 2 6 - 8 3DK/Ref) 3 6 1 2 4 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 7 7 9 5

    Q59 Responsible for the deficit ...

    Total answering (425) (87) (141) (178) (205) (172) (115) (262) (200) (203) (176) (223) (27) (32) (30) (48)Wars in Iraq/Afghanistn 36 57 40 23 56 12 56 23 55 16 56 19 35 63 68 58Obamas stimulus plan 20 3 10 37 4 38 2 31 2 38 3 35 4 3 3 2Bailouts for banks/auto 17 11 15 21 9 26 11 22 10 23 7 23 33 17 16 21The economic recession 10 5 14 9 7 14 8 12 8 13 8 12 5 7 1 4The Bush tax cuts 9 17 12 3 16 3 19 4 16 3 18 3 3 - 7 3Medicare Drug benefit 1 4 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 2 2 1 3 - - 1Other) 1 - 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 0 3 2 - 2All) 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 11 - - 5None) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -DK/Ref) 4 1 5 4 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 5 3 7 4 5

    Q60 Spend stimulus as planned or pay back ...

    Total answering (425) (87) (141) (178) (205) (172) (115) (262) (200) (203) (176) (223) (27) (32) (30) (48)Spend stimulus planned 52 85 64 27 80 20 86 34 79 25 81 28 67 66 60 66Cancel remain stimulus 45 13 32 71 17 78 11 64 18 73 16 70 22 27 35 29DK/Ref) 3 2 3 1 3 2 4 2 3 2 3 2 11 7 5 5

    Q61 Approach to reducing deficit: Pair ...

    Total answering (425) (81) (144) (183) (179) (190) (122) (266) (192) (213) (170) (226) (29) (32) (33) (52)st stmt strongly 22 26 20 21 24 19 18 23 23 21 22 22 20 28 26 31st stmt not strongly 21 22 26 18 21 23 20 20 22 21 20 22 23 20 12 21

    2nd stmt not strongly 21 24 19 21 21 22 24 21 20 23 23 21 15 26 24 172nd stmt strongly 27 16 30 30 25 31 28 29 25 29 26 28 21 16 25 16Both) 0 - 1 - 0 - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - 2Neither) 2 5 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 3 2 - 3 5 2DK/Ref) 6 7 2 8 6 4 8 4 7 4 6 5 20 7 8 11

    Total 1st stmt 43 48 46 39 45 42 38 43 45 42 42 43 43 48 38 52

    Total 2nd stmt 48 40 49 52 46 53 52 50 45 52 49 49 37 42 49 33

    st - 2nd -5 8 -3 -13 -1 -11 -14 -7 0 -10 -7 -6 6 6 -11 19

    age 26

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    27/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q62 Willing to pay taxes to pay down deficit ...Total answering (425) (508) (83) (338) (147) (130) (138) (194) (26) (194) (75) (109) (60) (134) (22)

    1st stmt strongly 29 27 18 30 36 35 16 43 15 17 54 33 26 13 481st stmt not strongly 18 18 17 18 22 16 17 20 36 16 21 21 21 13 32nd stmt not strongly 14 16 28 11 15 11 16 12 12 16 9 16 17 16 102nd stmt strongly 34 33 27 36 23 35 45 23 37 45 15 26 29 53 36(Both) 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 1 1 2 3 - -(Neither) 1 1 2 2 - 3 1 - - 3 - - - 4 -(DK/Ref) 2 3 7 2 2 - 3 1 - 2 - 2 4 1 2

    Total 1st stmt 47 46 35 48 59 51 33 62 51 33 74 54 48 26 51Total 2nd stmt 48 50 56 47 37 46 62 35 49 61 24 42 45 68 47

    1st - 2nd -1 -4 -20 1 22 6 -29 27 2 -28 50 12 2 -42 4

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Strongly Favor ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    65A Require offsets 34 33 26 37 18 42 43 24 33 44 17 29 53 41 26

    74A 40pct tax rate 33 34 38 34 49 34 15 51 46 14 52 51 34 7 32

    69A Payroll tax limit 31 30 27 30 37 27 28 36 31 26 30 39 27 25 38

    66B Cut 3pct/year 29 30 30 30 23 31 34 25 32 34 23 26 28 36 32

    64B Spending freeze 28 27 21 30 15 33 38 16 45 38 8 22 34 40 20

    73B Cut defense 28 26 16 29 39 28 17 42 31 14 43 39 30 7 42

    63A Deficit commission 26 27 33 27 20 30 30 26 19 28 15 31 41 24 32

    76B Financial tax 24 23 22 23 25 32 15 32 31 15 30 35 25 11 14

    68B Raise Medicare age 23 22 17 23 20 29 21 24 30 21 22 27 20 21 13

    71A SocSec stocks 21 19 9 21 9 26 28 8 24 33 2 12 28 35 8

    75A 3pct sales tax 17 17 18 19 19 18 14 19 23 14 21 17 24 11 19

    67A Raise SocSec age 13 12 7 11 15 13 14 14 7 14 11 16 17 14 4

    72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 12 12 10 13 6 14 17 6 30 16 6 7 17 16 8

    70B Medicare vouchers 11 12 12 12 13 9 13 13 5 11 9 17 15 9 8

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    28/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q62 Willing to pay taxes to pay down deficit ...

    Total answering (425) (87) (141) (178) (205) (172) (115) (262) (200) (203) (176) (223) (27) (32) (30) (48)

    st stmt strongly 29 53 28 16 42 14 47 21 39 19 46 18 12 42 34 27st stmt not strongly 18 18 24 16 19 19 21 16 21 15 21 15 28 15 18 14

    2nd stmt not strongly 14 9 17 15 11 18 10 16 13 16 13 15 13 9 18 122nd stmt strongly 34 20 25 49 24 44 17 42 24 46 17 47 42 27 22 43Both) 1 1 3 - 2 - 2 0 2 0 2 1 - - - -Neither) 1 - - 3 - 3 - 2 - 3 - 3 - - - -DK/Ref) 2 - 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 6 7 7 5

    Total 1st stmt 47 71 52 32 61 33 69 38 60 34 67 33 39 58 53 41Total 2nd stmt 48 28 42 64 35 62 27 58 37 62 30 62 55 36 40 54

    st - 2nd -1 42 10 -32 26 -29 41 -21 23 -28 37 -29 -16 22 12 -13

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Strongly Favor ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    65A Require offsets 34 16 41 37 21 44 21 42 24 44 25 40 35 31 39 32

    74A 40pct tax rate 33 52 45 16 51 15 49 26 50 18 52 16 57 46 47 44

    69A Payroll tax limit 31 28 37 26 32 27 42 26 38 24 35 26 41 34 24 37

    66B Cut 3pct/year 29 22 25 36 29 30 23 31 27 32 29 31 15 20 14 15

    64B Spending freeze 28 11 27 38 19 39 18 34 19 39 21 37 9 16 11 12

    73B Cut defense 28 43 33 15 42 12 44 18 41 14 46 15 22 37 33 26

    63A Deficit commission 26 16 35 23 25 29 22 26 27 26 28 26 25 35 32 27

    76B Financial tax 24 29 31 17 32 16 33 20 32 17 34 16 26 26 35 22

    68B Raise Medicare age 23 21 22 26 26 22 20 26 22 25 19 27 14 29 23 38

    71A SocSec stocks 21 4 20 30 9 30 10 26 10 32 10 30 7 7 15 11

    75A 3pct sales tax 17 23 17 14 24 10 17 14 23 12 22 11 35 4 19 17

    67A Raise SocSec age 13 10 17 14 13 13 12 14 12 14 14 13 12 16 11 12

    72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 12 8 9 18 8 17 9 16 7 19 7 17 12 11 3 11

    70B Medicare vouchers 11 11 7 16 14 10 13 11 14 9 14 9 16 19 4 18

    age 28

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    29/52

    March 15-18, 2010 Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets Greenberg Quinlan Ro

    ELECTORATE 2-3-2 PARTY ID 3-1-3 PARTY ID PARTY/IDEO

    Drop Mod Lib2008 off Core Lib Cons Mod Cons

    Total voter voter voter Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Dem Rep Rep DK

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Total Favor ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)

    65A Require offsets 64 61 47 67 56 66 71 59 60 70 57 61 77 68 51

    63A Deficit commission 58 59 64 60 56 61 58 60 58 57 52 64 61 56 46

    66B Cut 3pct/year 56 57 66 56 43 57 67 44 69 65 40 49 69 63 42

    74A 40pct tax rate 54 55 59 52 70 55 36 74 68 32 75 75 57 23 44

    69A Payroll tax limit 53 53 55 52 57 53 49 57 63 47 52 60 53 45 51

    64B Spending freeze 48 46 37 52 28 55 64 29 66 65 22 36 50 72 27

    76B Financial tax 48 49 53 47 57 49 37 60 36 37 60 61 46 33 42

    73B Cut defense 46 47 48 47 63 45 30 66 46 27 71 64 43 19 53

    68B Raise Medicare age 44 43 37 46 38 51 45 42 47 47 36 48 41 49 36

    71A SocSec stocks 41 40 34 43 28 45 54 26 31 60 17 31 51 64 10

    75A 3pct sales tax 40 39 36 40 43 45 34 46 51 33 41 48 36 33 42

    67A Raise SocSec age 36 35 34 34 37 34 37 40 17 35 34 44 26 39 13

    70B Medicare vouchers 33 34 38 33 27 31 42 28 18 40 24 32 48 37 21

    72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 30 28 18 31 18 34 39 20 41 39 14 24 37 39 20

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Strongly Oppose ...Total Answering (850) (1016) (166) (683) (293) (260) (276) (389) (53) (389) (144) (231) (111) (274) (42)72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 48 48 47 49 61 49 33 60 49 37 66 54 35 37 54

    67A Raise SocSec age 46 47 55 48 43 50 42 42 59 46 40 43 52 43 61

    75A 3pct sales tax 42 42 45 42 32 42 51 32 36 53 28 34 46 54 44

    68B Raise Medicare age 38 38 43 38 46 33 33 44 40 31 46 41 35 30 46

    71A SocSec stocks 34 36 46 33 45 35 21 46 46 19 54 42 23 18 41

    73B Cut defense 32 31 27 32 18 35 45 16 32 49 13 17 31 57 22

    70B Medicare vouchers 31 29 22 33 38 30 21 37 40 23 41 32 21 23 52

    74A 40pct tax rate 31 28 13 35 18 34 43 15 18 49 12 15 26 57 44

    76B Financial tax 27 25 17 29 19 27 35 18 32 35 16 17 31 37 29

    69A Payroll tax limit 24 23 22 23 18 25 28 19 15 29 17 21 33 27 15

    66B Cut 3pct/year 22 21 18 22 24 21 20 24 22 20 28 20 15 22 27

    64B Spending freeze 21 23 31 23 35 16 11 33 27 9 42 27 9 8 19

    63A Deficit commission 20 19 16 20 16 23 20 15 28 24 20 12 29 22 18

    65A Require offsets 16 16 17 15 19 18 10 17 20 14 20 16 14 14 11

    Pa

  • 8/9/2019 Dcor031810bbk3 Likely Targets Web

    30/52

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Democracy Corps...Likely Voters...National - Targets March 15-18, 2010

    IDEOLOGY PRES 2008 DIRECTION OBAMA JOB CLEAN READ DEFECTORS

    Con Not Not NotLibe Mode serva Mc Ap Disap Opp DK ObamaCong HC

    Total ral rate tive ObamaCain Right Wrong prove prove Favor ose Ref apprv Dem ClnRd

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Total Favor ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    65A Require offsets 64 59 68 64 57 69 59 67 58 68 61 65 73 70 69 61

    63A Deficit commission 58 54 65 54 64 58 62 55 63 55 65 53 56 53 54 50

    66B Cut 3pct/year 56 44 52 65 47 64 45 60 46 65 46 63 54 46 33 49

    74A 40pct tax rate 54 77 65 35 75 31 76 40 77 31 78 32 81 64 73 67

    69A Payroll tax limit 53 54 59 46 58 47 66 48 62 46 58 48 61 49 55 62

    64B Spending freeze 48 25 44 65 30 67 31 59 31 66 30 66 18 36 30 36

    76B Financial tax 48 57 55 39 62 36 63 39 62 36 62 37 41 42 47 48

    73B Cut defense 46 67 53 30 66 23 68 33 65 28 68 29 50 58 52 55

    68B Raise Medicare age 44 36 44 49 43 47 37 48 43 47 42 48 26 40 34 44

    71A SocSec stocks 41 17 40 56 28 57 30 49 27 55 25 56 20 23 39 33

    75A 3pct sales tax 40 43 42 37 51 28 49 32 51 31 50 32 47 33 50 42

    67A Raise SocSec age 36 30 37 39 37 37 36 37 36 36 35 36 30 42 41 44

    70B Medicare vouchers 33 27 29 41 29 40 28 37 29 39 26 39 28 26 23 42

    72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 30 19 24 41 20 40 22 36 20 39 22 37 22 28 21 22

    Q63-76 Summary: Proposals to pay down deficit ... Strongly Oppose ...

    Total Answering (850) (167) (286) (360) (384) (363) (237) (528) (392) (416) (345) (449) (56) (64) (63) (100)

    72B Cut SocSec/Medicare 48 64 50 38 59 37 62 40 58 39 59 39 51 57 52 49

    67A Raise SocSec age 46 45 46 44 45 44 45 44 45 46 45 45 57 37 39 39

    75A 3pct sales tax 42 29 39 50 27 57 34 49 30 52 33 51 20 41 23 28

    68B Raise Medicare age 38 46 36 34 42 33 45 32 40 33 43 31 59 58 52 45

    71A SocSec stocks 34 54 35 23 45 22 44 29 45 25 48 24 26 52 27 42

    73B Cut defense 32 14 25 48 18 50 17 42 17 47 16 46 25 23 25 23

    70B Medicare vouchers 31 38 36 22 35 25 38 29 35 27 37 28 18 41 43 29

    74A 40pct tax rate 31 11 21 48 14 50 13 42 13 49 11 50 11 27 19 26

    76B Financial tax 27 19 23 34 17 36 15 34 15 38 15 35 36 37 23 27

    69A Payroll tax limit 24 19 21 29 21 28 13 28 18 28 19 27 17 22 23 19

    66B Cut 3pct/year 22 26 21 19 22 22 23 21 21 22 22 22 23 34 42 28

    64B Spending freeze 21 41 24 10 31 10 34 13 32 10 32 11 35 20 4