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IDV65759 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Victoria Regional Office DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Sunday, 10 January 2016. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon over the far eastern ranges. This is dependent upon how warm the upper levels are. Document 196

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

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Page 1: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Sunday, 10 January 2016.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon over the far eastern ranges. This is

dependent upon how warm the upper levels are.

Document 196

Page 2: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:01 am Sunday, 10 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Sunday, 10 January 2016.

There is a low chance of thunderstorms developing this afternoon along the Gippsland ranges. Moisture

levels are marginal.

Document 197

Page 3: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:25 pm Sunday, 10 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Monday, 11 January 2016.

There is good chance of thunderstorms over Gippsland and the Gippsland ranges during Monday

afternoon, if temperatures reach their forecast maxima and dewpoints remain high. There is also a slight

chance of high-based thunderstorms over the Wimmera and Southwest districts, which could introduce

the risk of damaging convective gusts if they eventuate.

Document 198

Page 4: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:51 am Monday, 11 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Monday, 11 January 2016.

High based thunderstorms are already occurring over southwestern Victoria with more activity just to the

west of the State. Damaging wind gusts are a risk with thunderstorms, particularly across western and

northwestern areas of the State. The risk of thunderstorms also extends further east as an upper level

trough enters western Victoria. There is also the risk of surface based thunderstorms across eastern

districts during the afternoon, mainly about the Gippsland ranges.

Document 199

Page 5: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 1:08 pm Monday, 11 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Tuesday, 12 January 2016.

High based thunderstorms are a risk across much of the State during the early hours of Tuesday, with the

risk contracting east by dawn and easing by mid morning. Storms are again possible across the eastern

ranges during Tuesday afternoon. Any thunderstorms that do occur are not expected to be severe.

Document 200

Page 6: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:08 am Tuesday, 12 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Tuesday, 12 January 2016.

There is a very slight risk (less than 10% chance) of thunderstorms developing about the far northeastern

ranges this afternoon. If storms were to develop they may result in gusty winds but are unlikely to be

severe.

Document 201

Page 7: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:50 pm Tuesday, 12 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Wednesday, 13 January 2016.

Very hot conditions across Victoria tomorrow will generate instability across the State. Thunderstorms

are possible from late morning in the west, with the risk extending to central and eastern areas during the

afternoon. The more likely area for thunderstorm development is over the southwest where instability is

greatest. Strong winds above the surface combined with the hot conditions mean that any storms that do

develop have the potential to result in damaging wind gusts. Storms will be high-based and will likely

have little, if any, rainfall associated.

Document 202

Page 8: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:01 pm Wednesday, 13 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Wednesday, 13 January 2016.

Very hot conditions will create unstable conditions across Victoria today, leading to a risk of high-based

shower and thunderstorm activity. Thunderstorms are considered most likely about western Victoria

during the afternoon and evening as a cool change moves through the area, providing a focus for storm

initiation. Strong winds in the mid-levels combined with the very hot conditions means that storms will

likely produce gusty winds with damaging gusts to around 100km/h possible. Little if any rainfall is

expected with showers/storms.

Document 203

Page 9: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:31 pm Wednesday, 13 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Thursday, 14 January 2016.

Thunderstorms are a risk over the northeast from midnight as storms continue to track eastwards with a

cool change. This storm risk should clear by dawn. A new risk of mid-level storms develops around dawn

in a line extending from the northwest towards the central district. This risk area moves eastward into

central areas during the morning and clears by afternoon.

Document 204

Page 10: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 10:39 am Thursday, 14 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Thursday, 14 January 2016.

There has been a history of thunderstorms along a band of rain across northern and eastern Victoria. Mid

based storms are possible with and east of this band but the band is expected to contract eastwards during

today. Only in the far northeast is there a risk of surface based storms and a slight risk of severe

thunderstorms. This risk should decrease from mid afternoon as cooler southwesterly winds spread

throughout.

Document 205

Page 11: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:48 am Thursday, 14 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Friday, 15 January 2016.

Document 206

Page 12: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:21 am Friday, 15 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Friday, 15 January 2016.

No thunderstorms are expected in Victoria today.

Document 207

Page 13: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:47 am Friday, 15 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Saturday, 16 January 2016.

No thunderstorms are expected in Victoria on Saturday.

Document 208

Page 14: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:35 am Saturday, 16 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Saturday, 16 January 2016.

Document 209

Page 15: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:35 am Saturday, 16 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Sunday, 17 January 2016.

Document 210

Page 16: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 9:24 am Sunday, 17 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Sunday, 17 January 2016.

Document 211

Page 17: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 9:52 am Sunday, 17 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Monday, 18 January 2016.

Document 212

Page 18: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 10:55 am Monday, 18 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Monday, 18 January 2016.

Stable atmospheric conditions across Victoria today.

Document 213

Page 19: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 1:53 pm Monday, 18 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Tuesday, 19 January 2016.

The mid to upper levels of the atmosphere remain too warm to allow deep convection to develop on

Tuesday.

Document 214

Page 20: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 10:54 am Tuesday, 19 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Tuesday, 19 January 2016.

Document 215

Page 21: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:59 am Tuesday, 19 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Wednesday, 20 January 2016.

Slight chance of mid level based thunderstorms over southwestern and central areas in the morning then a

chance of surface based thunderstorms in the afternoon both over the eastern highlands focussed on the

Gippsland side of the divide and also in the northwest of the State. While severe thunderstorms are

unlikely there is increasing moisture so heavy rainfall is a slight chance.

Document 216

Page 22: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:24 pm Wednesday, 20 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Wednesday, 20 January 2016.

A broad upper ridge will develop over the State in the wake of a band of rain which is moving to the east.

A surface trough in the south will extend slowly inland during the day while a weaker trough over eastern

parts of the Mallee and Wimmera moves slowly to the east. Higher surface temperature and humidity near

and to the northwest of the surface troughs will result in mild instability during the afternoon and early

evening, hence thunderstorms are considered to be a chance in that area. Any thunderstorms which

develop today will move steadily to the east under the influence of moderate westerly steering winds.

Severe thunderstorms are considered unlikely although any storms which develop will produce gusty

winds, with only a very small chance that these winds reach the damaging wind threshold.

Document 217

Page 23: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 2:11 pm Wednesday, 20 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Thursday, 21 January 2016.

There is a slight risk of surface based thunderstorms over the ranges in Gippsland and adjacent parts in

the afternoon and early evening due to sea breeze convergence in the area and high surface humidity.

There is a slight risk of mid-level thunderstorms over the far southwest of the State during the late

evening as an upper level jet approaches the area. The risk of severe thunderstorms is considered to be

negligible.

Document 218

Page 24: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65758

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 12:52 pm Thursday, 21 January 2016,

Valid until midnight on Thursday, 21 January 2016.

A risk of surface based pulse thunderstorms across the north of the state this afternoon. There is also a

risk of mid-level thunderstorms over the west during the evening as an upper jet approaches, however the

risk of severe thunderstorms is negligible.

Document 219

Page 25: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

IDV65759

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria Regional Office

DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST

Issued at 11:51 am Thursday, 21 January 2016,

Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on Friday, 22 January 2016.

Unstable conditions will affect the State on Friday with pulse thunderstorms likely over most of Victoria,

reducing to a chance near East Gippsland. Initially thunderstorms should be in the northeast and the

southwest due to mid-level instability, however a surface trough moving eastwards across Victoria and

day-time heating will then create favourable conditions across the remainder of the State from around

midday to early afternoon; however east Gippsland may be slightly less likely to experience storms as the

trough isn't expected to reach them until the evening when surface heating will no longer be applicable. It

is expected to be very humid, particularly in northern and central parts, and as a result heavy rainfall/flash

flooding and even large hail may be possible with any storms that form. In addition, winds above the

surface are strong (particularly in the southwest and central areas) so there may be damaging wind gusts

with potential storms. Wind shear is low/marginal for organised systems, so at this stage (as mentioned

above) pulse storms are most likely. Storms should gradually clear from the west of the State during the

afternoon/evening behind the trough as the atmosphere dries and stabilises.

Document 220

Page 26: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Saturday, 12 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0 15

-7 21 CAL

M 0 2

L-M

10

1600

23

-3 17 WS

W 17 24 H 22

Mildura AP 10 230

0

1

6 -2 29

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

8

160

0

2

4 -3 16 E 17 24 H 24

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

1

8 -5 20 NNE 7 9 H 13

L-M

3

183

0

2

5 -5 13

WS

W 11 17 H 23

183

0

2

5 -5 13

WS

W 11 17

L-M

8

Swan Hill 10 10

0 230

0 15

-6 23 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

9 L-M

1

1730

24

-6 13 WS

W 20 28

VH

29

1730

24

-6 13 WS

W 20 28 H 16

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 9 230

0 13

5 58 SSW 13 17 L-M

3

1830

23

1 23 NW 9 15 H 14

Document 221

Page 27: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

1

3 -1 38 ENE 7 9

L-M

6

L-M

2

170

0

2

2 1 25

WS

W 15 24 H 16

103

0

1

5 3 44 S 28 37

L-M

11

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0 13

6 62 S 20 30 L-M

3

1730

22

1 25 SSE 11 17 H 13

Mount William 6 230

0 6 3 81 S 13 20

L-M

1

190

0

1

2 3 54 S 13 17

L-M

3

Stawell 10 85 230

0

1

5 3 44 S 13 19

L-M

6

L-M

2

190

0

2

2 1 25

SS

W 7 11 H 13

123

0

1

7 2 36 S 20 30

L-M

4

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

1

1 6 71 SSW 6 9

L-M

2

183

0

1

6 7 55

SS

W 22 32

L-M

5

Ballarat 9 65 230

0 10

6 76 ESE 26 33 L-M

2 L-M

1

1830

18

1 32 WS

W 11 20

L-M

9

2300

10

6 76 ESE 26 33 L-M

1

Cape Nelson AWS 8 230

0

1

2 6 66 S 11 13

L-M

2

160

0

1

7 7 51 S 11 20

L-M

4

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0 9 5 76

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

150

0

1

6 6 51 W 20 28

L-M

5

Dartmoor 10 230

0 9 5 76 SE 4 4

L-M

1

1800

18

5 42 SW 19 24 L-M

8

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0 9 5 76 SSE 17 19

L-M

2

L-M

3

180

0

2

0 3 32

WS

W 13 20

L-M

10

183

0

1

9 5 39 SSE 22 28

L-M

9

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0 8 4 76 SE 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

1

143

0

1

7 4 42 SW 17 28

L-M

7

113

0

1

5 4 47 SSW 20 26

L-M

6

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 9 6 81 E 13 13

L-M

1

1700

17

3 39 SW 19 28 L-M

8

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

2 7 71 SSE 7 11

L-M

2

150

0

1

8 7 48 SW 13 20

L-M

5

Portland 9 50 230

0 7 4 81

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

160

0

1

7 6 48

WS

W 19 26

L-M

6

230

0 7 4 81

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 8 5 81 E 4 6

L-M

1

1200

16

4 44 SW 26 35 L-M

7

Westmere 10 230

0 9 5 76 SSE 11 13

L-M

2

163

0

1

9 2 32

WS

W 13 22

L-M

10

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 90 230

0

1

5 4 47 SE 17 24

L-M

6

L-M

3

173

0

2

3 1 23 SW 22 30 H 19

173

0

2

3 1 23 SW 22 30

L-M

10

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

1

5 0 36

WS

W 6 9

L-M

7

183

0

2

4 -1 19

WS

W 11 19 H 19

Shepparton 8 80 230

0

1

5 4 47 S 13 15

L-M

4

L-M

1

180

0

2

3 -2 19 S 20 28 H 18

183

0

2

3 -1 20 SW 19 32

L-M

5

Yarrawonga AWS 8 230

0 13

3 50 SSW 6 7 L-M

3

1700

24

-1 19 SW 19 30 H 19

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0 10

4 66 SE 9 15 L-M

2

1612

16

3 41 WS

W 28 48

L-M

9

Mangalore 10 85 230

0

1

4 3 47 S 11 13

L-M

5

L-M

2

163

0

2

2 0 23

SS

W 20 35 H 19

160

0

2

1 0 24 SSW 22 39

L-M

7

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

1

1 5 66 SSW 13 15

L-M

2

170

0

2

3 1 23 S 11 19 H 15

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0 11

6 71 SSE 9 11 L-M

2

0930

16

2 39 WS

W 28 39

L-M

9

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0 9 5 76

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

143

0

1

7 6 48 SE 22 32

L-M

6

Coldstream 9 60 230

0

1

1 7 76 SE 17 22

L-M

2

L-M

0

180

0

1

9 4 37 SW 17 24

L-M

9

230

0

1

1 7 76 SE 17 22

L-M

0

Ferny Creek 2 50 230

0 8 6 87 ESE 6 11

L-M

0 L-M

0

1000

11

5 66 SW 7 19 L-M

2

2300

8 6 87 ESE 6 11 L-M

0

Page 28: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Geelong Racecourse 9 75 230

0

1

1 7 76

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

123

0

1

8 3 36 SW 15 24

L-M

8

183

0

1

6 6 51 S 20 28

L-M

2

Laverton AWS 10 230

0 14

8 67 SE 11 13 L-M

2

1100

18

3 36 S 20 32 L-M

10

Melbourne AP 9 70 230

0

1

3 6 62 SE 19 22

L-M

3

L-M

1

113

0

1

8 -1 27

SS

W 22 32 H 14

163

0

1

8 4 39 SSE 26 37

L-M

2

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

1

4 7 62 SSE 9 17

L-M

3

170

0

1

7 5 45

SS

W 13 20

L-M

6

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0 11

6 71 SE 9 13 L-M

2

1700

17

6 48 SS

W 20 28

L-M

6

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

1

2 7 71 SSW 6 7

L-M

1

170

0

1

7 8 55

SS

W 15 24

L-M

4

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0 9 6 81 E 6 7

L-M

1

153

0

1

9 2 32 W 9 20

L-M

8

Viewbank AWS 8 230

0 12

7 71 S 7 11 L-M

2

1700

19

4 37 SS

W 17 24

L-M

8

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 90 230

0 16

4 44 W 11 13 L-M

6 L-M

2

1630

23

1 23 SW 17 28 H 17 190

0 23

1 23 W 17 22 L-M

7

Hunters Hill 7 70 230

0

1

2 1 47 W 7 13

L-M

3

L-M

0

163

0

1

7 0 31 NW 9 15

L-M

7

190

0

1

7 1 34 W 9 17

L-M

1

Wangaratta 9 80 230

0

1

3 5 58 SSW 9 11

L-M

3

L-M

1

170

0

2

3 0 21 SW 19 26 H 18

170

0

2

3 0 21 SW 19 26

L-M

5

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 6 75 230

0

1

1 7 76 S 4 7

L-M

1

L-M

0

143

0

1

9 5 39 W 30 41

L-M

7

123

0

1

6 3 41 W 35 46

L-M

5

Latrobe Valley 8 50 230

0 10

5 71 W 4 7 L-M

1 L-M

0

1330

16

4 44 SW 28 35 L-M

7

2300

10

5 71 W 4 7 L-M

0

Mt Moornapa 6 75 230

0

1

1 7 76 ENE 6 13

L-M

1

L-M

0

163

0

1

7 5 45 S 7 19

L-M

4

170

0

1

7 6 48 S 7 11

L-M

1

Pound Creek 9 50 230

0 7 5 87 N 2 6

L-M

1

L-M

0

160

0

1

7 6 48

WS

W 24 32

L-M

7

230

0 7 5 87 N 2 6

L-M

0

Yanakie 9 230

0 7 5 87

NN

W 2 2

L-M

1

1230

17

5 45 WS

W 32 41

L-M

9

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 6 230

0

1

2 9 82 NE 9 11

L-M

1

163

0

1

9 5 39

SS

W 28 37

L-M

8

Combienbar 7 230

0 9 6 81

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

1600

17

5 45 SS

W 4 13

L-M

4

Gabo Island 7 230

0

1

5 8 63 W 20 24

L-M

3

153

0

1

7 7 51 SW 56 65

L-M

10

Gelantipy 6 25 230

0 8 6 87

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

150

0

1

4 3 47 S 15 24

L-M

4

230

0 8 6 87

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0 13

8 71 WN

W 7 15

L-M

1

1430

18

3 36 SW 24 44 L-M

9

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 6 230

0

1

1 7 76 ENE 4 7

L-M

1

153

0

1

7 5 45 W 11 26

L-M

4

Orbost AWS 7 30 230

0

1

2 9 82 NE 6 7

L-M

1

L-M

0

140

0

1

7 5 45

WS

W 19 26

L-M

5

230

0

1

2 9 82 NE 6 7

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 4 35 230

0 6 2 75 N 13 15

L-M

1

L-M

0

073

0 4

-

15 23 SE 30 37

L-M

4

230

0 6 2 75 N 13 15

L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0 5 0 70 NW 13 17

L-M

1

180

0 9 2 61 NW 9 19

L-M

2

Mount Hotham AWS 2 230

0 5 1 75 NW 26 32

L-M

0

073

0 3

-

17 21 SSE 35 46

L-M

2

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

8 4 76 NW 0 2

Page 29: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Sunday, 13 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0 22

-5 16 SSE 9 9 H 18 193

0 32

-7 7 SW 20 26 VH

45

Mildura AP 10 230

0

2

3 -1 20 SSE 7 9 H 16

180

0

3

3 -6 8

WS

W 17 28

VH

43

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

2

4 -5 14

CAL

M 0 0 H 17

L-M

1

163

0

3

3 -7 7

WN

W 22 33

SEV

50

163

0

3

3 -7 7

WN

W 22 33

VH

29

Swan Hill 10 10

0 230

0 20

-2 22 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

11 L-M

1

1730

31

-7 8 NW 22 32 VH

45

1530

30

-5 10 NN

W 26 41

VH

31

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0 17

9 59 SE 7 11 L-M

3

1630

28

-2 14 WN

W 20 28

VH

30

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

1

8 5 42 SE 19 24

L-M

8

L-M

7

172

0

3

0 -8 8 W 28 43

SEV

50

172

0

3

0 -8 8 W 28 43

VH

38

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0

1

5 8 63 SSE 17 24

L-M

3

163

0

2

8 -6 10

WN

W 17 28

VH

31

Mount William 6 230

0 15

-2 31 W 13 15 L-M

6

1800

20

-4 19 W 20 32 H 13

Stawell 10 85 230

0

1

7 7 51 S 11 20

L-M

5

L-M

2

180

0

2

9 -7 9

WN

W 19 32

VH

36

180

0

2

9 -7 9

WN

W 19 32

L-M

11

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

1

3

1

1 88 SSW 6 9

L-M

1

143

0

2

0

1

0 52 S 13 20

L-M

5

Ballarat 9 65 230

0

1

4 7 62 SE 20 28

L-M

3

L-M

1

170

0

2

5 -4 14 NW 24 32

VH

28

193

0

2

5 -6 12 NW 19 26

L-M

2

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0 14

10

77 E 20 28 L-M

2

1730

18

10

59 SSE 15 19 L-M

4

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

3

1

0 82 NE 19 22

L-M

2

160

0

1

7

1

0 63 E 24 28

L-M

4

Dartmoor 10 230

0

1

2 9 82 SE 9 13

L-M

1

130

0

2

4 4 27

WN

W 17 24 H 16

Hamilton 9 10

0 230

0 11

7 76 ESE 17 19 L-M

2 L-M

3

1700

27

-2 15 W 24 35 VH

29

1330

25

0 19 NW 32 44 VH

29

Document 222

Page 30: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

0 7 81

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

133

0

2

7 -1 16

WN

W 24 39

VH

27

133

0

2

7 -1 16

WN

W 24 39 H 20

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 12

10

87 ENE 19 20 L-M

1

1430

26

-1 17 W 32 43 VH

30

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

4

1

1 82 ESE 11 17

L-M

1

160

0

1

9

1

1 59 SSE 20 28

L-M

4

Portland 9 50 230

0 9 7 87 ESE 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

183

0

1

7 8 55 S 15 20

L-M

4

230

0 9 7 87 ESE 7 9

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 11

10

93 E 6 7 L-M

1

1200

24

5 29 WN

W 19 30 H 13

Westmere 10 230

0

1

1 6 71 S 6 7

L-M

2

163

0

2

7 -5 12

WN

W 17 28

VH

30

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 90 230

0

1

7 -2 27

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

8

L-M

0

163

0

2

8 -5 11

WN

W 20 32

VH

33

163

0

2

8 -5 11

WN

W 20 32 H 14

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

1

9 -5 19 NW 2 6 H 13

173

0

3

0 -6 9 W 17 30

VH

37

Shepparton 9 80 230

0 17

3 39 NE 6 7 L-M

6 L-M

1

1730

28

-7 9 W 20 28 VH

32

1730

28

-7 9 W 20 28 L-M

8

Yarrawonga AWS 8 230

0

1

7 1 34 ENE 6 6

L-M

7

180

0

2

9 -1 14

WS

W 15 20 H 24

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

1

9 -4 20 NNE 11 13 H 13

160

0

2

4 -2 17 NW 17 33 H 20

Mangalore 10 85 230

0

1

6 -1 31

NN

W 9 11

L-M

9

L-M

2

183

0

2

8 -5 11 NW 19 26

VH

33

153

0

2

8 -3 13

NN

W 20 35

L-M

10

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0 15

-1 33 SSW 7 9 L-M

8

1600

28

-4 12 NW 15 28 VH

29

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

1

4 8 67 SW 6 9

L-M

2

153

0

2

7 6 26 ESE 24 35 H 20

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0

1

4

1

1 82

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

130

0

2

4 1 22 W 9 19 H 14

Coldstream 9 60 230

0

1

4 9 72

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

2

L-M

0

150

0

2

8 1 17

NN

W 19 32

VH

26

190

0

2

7 0 17 N 13 19

L-M

1

Ferny Creek 6 50 230

0 14

8 67 CAL

M 0 4

L-M

1 L-M

0

1530

24

1 22 NN

W 7 19

L-M

9

2300

14

8 67 CAL

M 0 4

L-M

0

Geelong Racecourse 9 75 230

0

1

4

1

2 88 SW 4 6

L-M

1

L-M

0

140

0

2

6 6 27 NE 17 22 H 16

160

0

2

2

1

1 49 S 26 33

L-M

3

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

1

6

1

1 72 SW 9 13

L-M

2

153

0

2

7 5 24 ESE 20 30 H 20

Melbourne AP 9 70 230

0 15

8 63 W 15 17 L-M

3 L-M

1

1530

29

-9 8 NW 22 35 VH

38

1700

28

-7 9 NW 22 33 L-M

4

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

1

8

1

2 68 SW 6 11

L-M

2

163

0

2

8 2 18 SSE 6 9 H 18

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

1 68 SSW 6 7

L-M

2

130

0

2

5 1 20 SW 19 26 H 20

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

1

6

1

2 77 SE 9 13

L-M

1

113

0

2

3

1

0 43 ENE 7 9

L-M

6

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0

1

3 8 71 ENE 4 7

L-M

2

153

0

2

7 -3 14 NW 15 28 H 23

Viewbank AWS 9 230

0

1

7 9 59

WS

W 9 17

L-M

3

170

0

2

8 -3 13

NN

W 11 22

VH

25

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 90 230

0

1

7 7 51

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

4

L-M

0

160

0

2

7 1 18

WS

W 15 26 H 22

160

0

2

7 1 18

WS

W 15 26

L-M

7

Hunters Hill 8 70 230

0 16

-2 29 W 4 4 L-M

7 L-M

0

1600

20

1 28 W 9 19 L-M

9

1730

19

1 30 WN

W 9 17

L-M

1

Page 31: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Wangaratta 9 80 230

0

1

5 2 41

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

4

L-M

0

173

0

2

8 -7 9 NW 20 32

VH

32

173

0

2

8 -7 9 NW 20 32

L-M

8

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 6 75 230

0

1

6

1

2 77 ESE 11 13

L-M

1

L-M

1

153

0

2

3 7 35 ESE 30 35

L-M

11

160

0

2

3 7 35 E 30 35

L-M

5

Latrobe Valley 8 50 230

0 14

7 62 NE 9 11 L-M

2 L-M

0

1600

26

5 26 SW 22 30 H 17 230

0 14

7 62 NE 9 11 L-M

0

Mt Moornapa 7 75 230

0

1

6 7 55 N 9 13

L-M

3

L-M

1

153

0

2

3 6 33 SSE 6 13

L-M

7

230

0

1

6 7 55 N 9 13

L-M

1

Pound Creek 9 50 230

0

1

2 9 82 ESE 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

170

0

2

3 9 41 ESE 17 22

L-M

9

230

0

1

2 9 82 ESE 7 9

L-M

0

Yanakie 9 230

0 14

11

82 E 6 7 L-M

1

1400

20

9 49 SS

W 22 30

L-M

7

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 6 230

0 17

6 48 ENE 13 17 L-M

4

1400

23

7 35 SE 22 30 L-M

9

Combienbar 7 230

0

1

4

1

0 77

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

143

0

2

2

1

0 46 SW 2 4

L-M

4

Gabo Island 7 230

0

1

8

1

5 82 N 7 11

L-M

1

150

0

2

2

1

3 56 NE 33 39

L-M

6

Gelantipy 6 25 230

0 11

8 82 NNE 6 9 L-M

1 L-M

0

1330

21

8 43 S 11 19 L-M

5

2300

11

8 82 NNE 6 9 L-M

0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

1

5

1

2 82 NW 4 7

L-M

1

113

0

2

2

1

1 49 N 11 20

L-M

5

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 6 230

0

1

7 -1 29 ENE 9 15

L-M

7

230

0

1

7 -1 29 ENE 9 15

L-M

7

Orbost AWS 7 30 230

0 15

9 67 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1 L-M

0

1230

22

8 40 NN

E 4 9

L-M

5

2300

15

9 67 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 4 35 230

0 9 -1 49 NNE 17 24

L-M

2 L-M

0

1600

13

0 41 NE 22 33 L-M

4

2300

9 -1 49 NNE 17 24 L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0 9 -4 39

NN

W 15 20

L-M

4

230

0 9 -4 39

NN

W 15 20

L-M

4

Mount Hotham AWS 3 230

0 9 -2 46

WN

W 28 33

L-M

2

230

0 9 -2 46

WN

W 28 33

L-M

2

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

14

7 62 E 7 13

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Monday, 14 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

Document 223

Page 32: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn

from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

2

8 1 17 SSE 24 35

VH

31

143

0

3

4 -2 10

WS

W 19 33

VH

43

Mildura AP 10 230

0 28

5 23 CAL

M 0 0 H 15

1600

37

-2 8 WN

W 24 35

SEV

58

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

2

9 0 15 SSE 17 24

VH

29 H 14

180

0

3

7 -1 9 SW 13 19

VH

43

180

0

3

7 -1 9 SW 13 19 H 15

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

2

5 -2 16 SE 9 11 H 21

L-M

6

140

0

3

5 -6 7

WS

W 22 41

SEV

54

140

0

3

5 -6 7

WS

W 22 41

VH

31

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

2

2 9 43 SE 17 22

L-M

8

160

0

3

1 -1 12 W 9 20

VH

28

Horsham AWS 10 10

0 230

0 24

5 29 SE 24 30 H 18 H 14 183

0 32

-1 12 SS

W 24 37

VH

42

2230

25

5 27 SE 35 43 VH

29

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0

2

0 5 37 SSE 19 24

L-M

10

160

0

3

2 -3 10

SS

W 17 32

VH

35

Mount William 6 230

0

1

5 1 38 SW 6 11

L-M

4

180

0

2

1 0 24 SW 17 32

L-M

11

Stawell 10 95 230

0 21

4 32 SW 13 17 L-M

11 L-M

5

1830

30

-3 11 S 22 37 VH

38

1830

30

-3 11 S 22 37 H 20

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0 14

11

82 SE 6 6 L-M

1

1830

19

11 59 SS

W 13 20

L-M

4

Ballarat 9 70 230

0

1

5 8 63 SE 22 28

L-M

4

L-M

1

160

0

2

9 -3 12 SW 19 30

VH

31

160

0

2

9 -3 12 SW 19 30

L-M

3

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0

1

5

1

2 82 E 28 37

L-M

2

133

0

2

0 12 60 ESE 15 20

L-M

4

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

4

1

1 82 E 20 28

L-M

2

153

0

1

8 11 63 E 19 30

L-M

4

Dartmoor 10 230

0

1

6 9 63 E 9 13

L-M

3

163

0

2

8 10 32

SS

W 24 30 H 18

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0

1

6 5 48 ESE 20 26

L-M

6

L-M

6

153

0

2

9 1 16

SS

W 17 26

VH

25

180

0

2

5 8 34 SSE 26 33 H 15

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

3 7 67 SE 6 9

L-M

2

L-M

1

173

0

2

4 2 23 S 22 32 H 19

173

0

2

4 2 23 S 22 32 H 14

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 12

10

87 E 22 26 L-M

1

1800

21

8 43 E 26 30 L-M

9

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

5

1

3 88 E 13 24

L-M

1

173

0

1

8 13 72 SE 22 30

L-M

3

Portland 9 50 230

0

1

4

1

1 82 ENE 13 17

L-M

1

L-M

0

160

0

2

0 10 52 SE 20 32

L-M

6

230

0

1

4

1

1 82 ENE 13 17

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 12

10

87 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

1530

21

9 46 S 26 33 L-M

8

Westmere 10 230

0

1

6 8 59 ESE 13 19

L-M

4

163

0

2

9 1 16

SS

W 19 26

VH

29

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 85 230

0

2

0 7 43 SSE 22 32

L-M

9

L-M

5

153

0

3

3 -4 9 W 28 41

SEV

51

153

0

3

3 -4 9 W 28 41

VH

28

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

2

5 4 25 SSE 19 26 H 19

150

0

3

4 -2 10 W 19 32

VH

44

Shepparton 9 85 230

0 22

3 28 S 17 22 H 13 L-M

5

1500

34

-3 9 WN

W 28 39

VH

49

1800

34

-3 9 WS

W 26 41 H 20

Yarrawonga AWS 8 230

0

2

3 6 33 SW 15 17

L-M

11

163

0

3

5 1 11

WS

W 26 33

VH

43

NORTH CENTRAL

Page 33: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

1

8 6 45

WS

W 6 9

L-M

5

160

0

2

9 -2 13 W 22 35

VH

32

Mangalore 10 90 230

0 19

9 52 SSW 17 24 L-M

6 L-M

4

1514

35

-3 9 WN

W 28 46

SEV

56

1514

35

-3 9 WN

W 28 46 H 22

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

1

7 6 48 SSE 13 20

L-M

6

163

0

3

3

-

10 6

WS

W 15 24

VH

42

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

1

5

1

1 77 SSE 13 17

L-M

2

160

0

2

2 10 46 S 26 33

L-M

9

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0 14

11

82 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

1800

19

8 49 ESE 17 24 L-M

6

Coldstream 10 65 230

0

1

2 8 76

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

153

0

3

1 8 24

WS

W 19 32 H 23

193

0

2

1 9 46 SSE 17 26

L-M

1

Ferny Creek 7 55 230

0

1

4 7 62 SE 6 9

L-M

2

L-M

0

143

0

2

5 9 36 S 6 17

L-M

7

230

0

1

4 7 62 SE 6 9

L-M

0

Geelong Racecourse 9 90 230

0 14

11

82 S 4 6 L-M

1 L-M

1

1630

20

11 56 SSE 26 35 L-M

6

1630

20

11

56 SSE 26 35 L-M

6

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

1

6

1

1 72 SSW 9 13

L-M

2

173

0

2

1 11 52 S 28 35

L-M

8

Melbourne AP 9 85 230

0

1

5

1

1 77

WS

W 13 17

L-M

2

L-M

1

150

0

2

5 9 36 SSE 26 33 H 14

153

0

2

3

1

1 46 SSE 28 39

L-M

7

Melbourne [Olympic Park]

9 230

0 17

11

68 SSW 4 9 L-M

2

2100

19

6 42 SSE 11 19 L-M

6

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

1 72 S 13 17

L-M

2

173

0

2

3 9 41

SS

W 26 32

L-M

11

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

1

5

1

3 88 S 9 13

L-M

1

173

0

2

1 13 60 S 15 20

L-M

4

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0 12

10

87 E 6 7 L-M

1

1530

23

9 41 SE 19 30 L-M

9

Viewbank AWS 9 230

0

1

6 9 63

WS

W 9 13

L-M

3

180

0

2

5 8 34

SS

W 19 28 H 13

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 10

0 230

0 22

6 35 N 2 6 L-M

7 L-M

1

1630

34

-1 10 W 22 33 VH

43

1630

34

-1 10 W 22 33 VH

26

Hunters Hill 8 80 230

0

2

2 -2 20

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

10

L-M

0

170

0

2

6 -2 15

WN

W 9 19 H 17

160

0

2

6 0 18

WN

W 11 24

L-M

3

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

4 5 29 S 15 17 H 13

L-M

5

163

0

3

4 -6 7 W 26 35

SEV

50

163

0

3

4 -6 7 W 26 35

VH

28

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 7 50 230

0

1

4

1

2 88 SE 6 7

L-M

1

L-M

0

113

0

2

6 10 36 E 9 17

L-M

7

153

0

2

4

1

5 57 SSE 28 41

L-M

3

Latrobe Valley 8 55 230

0 16

8 59 ENE 9 11 L-M

3 L-M

0

1430

30

3 18 WS

W 22 39

VH

26

1630

29

10

30 SW 22 30 L-M

1

Mt Moornapa 7 60 230

0

1

5

1

4 94 NNE 6 7

L-M

1

L-M

0

133

0

2

8 6 24 SE 6 13

L-M

11

153

0

2

6

1

1 39 SSE 11 28

L-M

1

Pound Creek 9 55 230

0

1

1 9 87 E 4 4

L-M

1

L-M

0

173

0

2

1 10 49 S 22 28

L-M

7

230

0

1

1 9 87 E 4 4

L-M

0

Yanakie 9 230

0

1

1 8 82 SSE 4 6

L-M

1

170

0

2

0 8 46

SS

W 22 32

L-M

7

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 6 230

3 17

15

88 SSW 7 9 L-M

1

1330

26

10 36 S 26 33 L-M

10

Combienbar 7 230

0

1

6 8 59

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

2

153

0

2

7 3 21 SE 4 9 H 12

Gabo Island 7 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 NNE 9 11

L-M

1

183

0

2

2 16 68

NN

E 30 33

L-M

4

Gelantipy 6 20 230

0 14

5 54 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

2 L-M

0

1400

27

0 17 W 9 17 H 14 230

0 14

5 54 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

0

Page 34: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

1

7

1

3 77 NW 7 9

L-M

1

103

0

2

6 16 54

NN

E 9 15

L-M

4

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0 15

14

94 W 6 11 L-M

1

1200

29

6 23 W 6 13 L-M

11

Orbost AWS 7 35 230

0 WN

W 6 9

103

0

2

7 8 30 W 6 9

L-M

9

223

0

1

7

1

6 94 NW 6 9

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 5 35 230

0

1

0 3 62 SSE 7 11

L-M

1

L-M

0

163

0

1

7 0 31

NN

E 24 41

L-M

7

230

0

1

0 3 62 SSE 7 11

L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0

1

3 4 54 W 7 11

L-M

2

170

0

1

8 -3 24 NW 13 20

L-M

9

Mount Hotham AWS 4 230

0 9 1 57 NNE 19 22

L-M

1

1600

16

0 33 WS

W 28 41

L-M

5

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable

Six[VICF]

230

0 9 5 76 NNE 0 2

Victoria Portable Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2313 EDT on Tuesday, 15 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages. Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

2

8 4 21 SE 13 19 H 21

160

0

3

5 6 16 SSW 20 32

VH

38

Mildura AP 10 230

0

2

5 5 27

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

11

153

0

3

5 0 11 SE 17 20

VH

41

Walpeup 10 10

0 230

0 29

4 20 ESE 6 7 H 19 L-M

4

1600

36

3 12 WN

W 13 22

VH

37

1600

36

3 12 WN

W 13 22 H 13

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

2

8 5 23 SE 20 30 H 23 H 14

173

0

3

5 2 12 SSW 17 30

VH

39

133

0

3

4 3 14 SSE 19 28 H 19

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

2

4 7 33 SE 13 22

L-M

11

153

0

3

3 5 17 SSE 17 26

VH

30

Document 224

Page 35: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

2

6 6 27 ESE 22 28 H 20 H 13

170

0

3

5 3 13 SSW 24 35

VH

45

170

0

3

5 3 13

SS

W 24 35

VH

28

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0 22

6 35 SSE 22 30 H 12 163

0 33

4 16 S 19 28 VH

31

Mount William 6 230

0

1

6 6 51 SSE 17 24

L-M

4

210

0

1

9 5 39 S 33 43

L-M

9

Stawell 10 95 230

0

2

3 6 33 SW 9 17

L-M

10

L-M

3

163

0

3

1 3 17 SSE 19 26

VH

30

163

0

3

1 3 17 SSE 19 26 H 14

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

5 94 SSW 9 13

L-M

1

180

0

2

0

1

3 64 S 11 19

L-M

3

Ballarat 9 70 230

0 17

10

63 SE 28 35 L-M

4 L-M

1

1530

30

5 20 SSE 22 37 VH

26

1800

27

7 28 SE 30 39 L-M

4

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

4 88 E 22 26

L-M

1

153

0

2

0

1

4 68 E 26 32

L-M

4

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

4 88 ENE 24 32

L-M

2

180

0

1

8

1

3 72 E 20 30

L-M

3

Dartmoor 10 230

0 17

11

68 ESE 20 28 L-M

3

1800

31

10

27 ESE 22 30 H 22

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0

1

8 7 48 SE 22 28

L-M

6

L-M

7

153

0

3

2 5 18 SSE 20 50

VH

28

190

0

2

9 7 25 SSE 28 35 H 23

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

8

1

0 59 E 13 20

L-M

4

L-M

3

183

0

2

9 6 23 SSE 17 24 H 20

190

0

2

7 7 28 SSE 22 28 H 14

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 14

13

94 ESE 28 32 L-M

1

1700

25

8 34 E 32 39 H 16

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 E 11 17

L-M

1

123

0

2

0

1

4 68 SE 28 37

L-M

4

Portland 9 50 230

0

1

4

1

2 88 ESE 9 13

L-M

1

L-M

0

163

0

2

3

1

0 43 ESE 19 28

L-M

8

230

0

1

4

1

2 88 ESE 9 13

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 15

12

82 ENE 6 7 L-M

1

1700

25

6 29 S 28 39 H 17

Westmere 10 230

0

1

8

1

0 59 ESE 15 20

L-M

4

160

0

3

1 5 19 S 19 28

VH

28

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 85 230

0

2

2 5 33 SSE 19 26 H 13

L-M

5

150

0

3

3 3 15 W 17 28

VH

32

183

0

3

0 5 20 SSE 24 37

L-M

11

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

2

6 6 27 ESE 15 20 H 17

190

0

3

4 3 14 SSE 22 35

VH

40

Shepparton 9 85 230

0

2

4 7 33 S 17 22 H 12

L-M

4

173

0

3

3 3 15 SSW 28 37

VH

39

173

0

3

3 3 15

SS

W 28 37 H 18

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0 25

6 29 SSW 15 20 H 13 183

0 34

4 15 SW 17 26 VH

29

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0 20

9 49 SE 15 22 L-M

6

1630

28

1 17 SW 28 46 VH

31

Mangalore 10 90 230

0

2

2

1

0 46 SSW 17 20

L-M

8

L-M

4

160

0

3

3 5 17 SSW 24 30

VH

37

173

0

3

1 5 19

SS

W 28 39 H 20

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

2

0 7 43 S 9 15

L-M

7

173

0

3

0 5 20 S 28 39

VH

33

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0 17

16

94 SW 13 15 L-M

1

1530

25

12

44 S 28 35 L-M

11

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 ENE 2 9

L-M

1

150

0

2

2

1

4 60 SE 20 28

L-M

5

Coldstream 10 65 230

0

2

0

1

4 68 S 4 13

L-M

2

L-M

0

170

0

2

9 8 26 S 17 26 H 19

193

0

2

6

1

2 41 S 15 20

L-M

1

Ferny Creek 8 55 230

0 16

13

82 ESE 6 13 L-M

1 L-M

0

1500

25

10

38 SSE 9 17 L-M

7

2300

16

13

82 ESE 6 13 L-M

0

Page 36: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Geelong Racecourse 9 90 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 S 15 22

L-M

1

L-M

2

150

0

2

4

1

2 47 SSE 20 26

L-M

8

153

0

2

2

1

2 53 S 24 33

L-M

6

Laverton AWS 10 230

0 18

15

82 SSW 9 13 L-M

2

1630

24

13

50 SSE 28 37 L-M

9

Melbourne AP 9 85 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 SW 9 13

L-M

1

L-M

1

153

0

2

7 6 26 SSE 24 32 H 20

153

0

2

7 6 26 SSE 24 32

L-M

9

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

1

9

1

7 88 W 4 11

L-M

1

153

0

2

3

1

5 60 SSW 17 28

L-M

5

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0 19

15

77 SSE 11 15 L-M

2

1730

27

13

42 SE 20 30 L-M

10

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

1

9

1

7 88 SE 15 20

L-M

1

170

0

2

1

1

6 73 SSE 20 28

L-M

3

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0

1

4

1

3 94 ESE 6 6

L-M

1

170

0

2

5 7 31 ESE 20 28 H 14

Viewbank AWS 9 230

0 19

15

77 W 9 13 L-M

2

1500

29

11

32 SW 19 30 H 16

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 10

0 230

0 25

12

44 SSE 17 20 L-M

9 L-M

7

1730

33

7 20 W 17 24 VH

26

1730

33

7 20 W 17 24 H 13

Hunters Hill 8 80 230

0

1

7

1

0 63 SSE 7 13

L-M

2

L-M

1

150

0

2

5 5 27

WS

W 6 9

L-M

10

173

0

2

3 6 33

WN

W 11 20

L-M

2

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

2 8 40 S 7 9

L-M

7

L-M

2

163

0

3

3 0 12 SW 20 32

VH

35

200

0

3

0 1 15

SS

W 22 32 H 15

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 7 50 230

0

1

9

1

8 94 ESE 9 13

L-M

1

L-M

0

153

0

2

5

1

5 53 ESE 22 32

L-M

6

230

0

1

9

1

8 94 ESE 9 13

L-M

0

Latrobe Valley 8 55 230

0 18

16

88 E 9 17 L-M

1 L-M

0

1600

29

12

35 S 11 20 L-M

11

2300

18

16

88 E 9 17 L-M

0

Mt Moornapa 7 60 230

0

1

5

1

5

10

0 ESE 2 4

L-M

0

L-M

0

170

0

2

4

1

4 53 SSE 7 17

L-M

4

230

0

1

5

1

5

10

0 ESE 2 4

L-M

0

Pound Creek 9 55 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 E 11 15

L-M

1

L-M

0

160

0

2

4

1

6 61 S 32 37

L-M

7

160

0

2

4

1

6 61 S 32 37

L-M

1

Yanakie 9 230

0 18

17

94 E 11 19 L-M

1

1530

24

15

57 ESE 13 22 L-M

5

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 7 230

0

1

6

1

6

10

0 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

0

173

0

2

3

1

5 60 SSE 20 26

L-M

4

Combienbar 8 230

0 16

15

94 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

1800

21

16

73 CAL

M 0 4

L-M

2

Gabo Island 7 230

0

1

9

1

8 94

WS

W 13 17

L-M

1

130

0

2

1

1

7 78 ESE 15 20

L-M

2

Gelantipy 6 20 230

0

1

4

1

3 94 SE 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

190

0

2

0

1

2 60 S 13 20

L-M

3

230

0

1

4

1

3 94 SE 7 9

L-M

0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0 18

17

94 W 7 11 L-M

1

1830

21

18

83 S 13 17 L-M

2

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0

1

5

1

4 94

WS

W 4 7

L-M

1

170

0

2

3

1

5 60

WS

W 6 9

L-M

3

Orbost AWS 7 35 230

0

1

6

1

5 94 N 6 6

L-M

1

L-M

0

180

0

2

2

1

5 64 S 13 19

L-M

3

230

0

1

6

1

5 94 N 6 6

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 35 230

0 9 9

10

0 SSE 20 24

L-M

0

L-M

0

153

0

1

7 5 45 NE 17 26

L-M

4

230

0 9 9

10

0 SSE 20 24

L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0

1

0 7 81 SSE 17 20

L-M

1

173

0

1

9 5 39

WS

W 17 32

L-M

6

Mount Hotham AWS 4 230

0 9 8 93 E 19 22

L-M

0

140

0

1

5 -3 29 SSW 13 22

L-M

4

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

17

15

88 E 4 13

Page 37: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Wednesday, 16 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0 27

2 20 ESE 11 15 H 20 163

0 36

2 12 S 19 28 VH

44

Mildura AP 10 230

0

2

8 5 23 E 7 9 H 17

183

0

3

8 3 11 SSE 19 32

VH

48

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

3

0 2 16 ESE 7 9 H 23

L-M

5

160

0

3

8 5 13 S 19 33

VH

44

173

0

3

7 4 13 S 19 32 H 21

Swan Hill 10 10

0 230

0 26

1 19 ESE 11 15 H 20 L-M

7

1800

36

0 10 S 22 35 SEV

50

1800

36

0 10 S 22 35 VH

28

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0 25

10

38 SSE 11 13 L-M

10

1630

36

4 13 SW 15 22 VH

36

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

2

6 6 27 ESE 32 37

VH

25

VH

25

193

0

3

4 0 11 SE 24 30

VH

47

193

0

3

4 0 11 SE 24 30

VH

30

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0

2

3 5 31 SE 13 17 H 12

183

0

3

4 -3 9 SSE 20 30

VH

42

Mount William 7 230

0 17

1 34 SSE 22 28 L-M

8

1630

25

2 22 SS

W 20 33 H 14

Stawell 10 95 230

0

2

2 8 40 S 7 9

L-M

8

L-M

2

180

0

3

3 -3 10 S 24 32

VH

46

180

0

3

3 -3 10 S 24 32

VH

26

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 SW 13 19

L-M

1

163

0

2

1

1

6 73

SS

W 15 20

L-M

3

Ballarat 9 70 230

0

1

8

1

5 82 SE 20 28

L-M

2

L-M

1

153

0

2

9 4 20 SE 22 30

VH

26

190

0

2

6 7 29

SS

E 24 32

L-M

3

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0 17

15

88 E 22 32 L-M

2

1700

20

16

78 E 24 30 L-M

3

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

6 94

EN

E 26 41

L-M

1

150

0

1

9

1

5 77 E 28 44

L-M

3

Dartmoor 10 230

0

1

8

1

3 72 ESE 13 22

L-M

3

150

0

3

4 1 12

EN

E 9 26

VH

31

Hamilton 9 10

0 230

0 21

9 46 E 20 24 L-M

7 L-M

7

1730

32

1 14 SE 17 28 VH

30

1930

29

9 28 SS

E 28 35 H 21

Document 225

Page 38: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

9

1

5 77

EN

E 19 28

L-M

2

L-M

4

183

0

3

0 5 20 ESE 19 28 H 24

183

0

3

0 5 20

ES

E 19 28 H 14

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 16

15

94 ESE 17 20 L-M

1

1530

26

7 29 ESE 33 41 H 21

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

7

1

7

10

0 ESE 13 20

L-M

1

153

0

2

1

1

7 78 SE 26 33

L-M

3

Portland 9 50 230

0

1

6

1

5 94 ESE 13 20

L-M

1

L-M

0

133

0

2

8

1

5 45 E 17 24

L-M

9

230

0

1

6

1

5 94

ES

E 13 20

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 19

12

64 EN

E 11 17

L-M

3

1730

26

13

44 SSE 30 35 L-M

11

Westmere 10 230

0

1

8

1

4 77 ESE 15 19

L-M

2

173

0

3

1 5 19 SE 20 33

VH

29

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 85 230

0

2

2

1

4 60 S 15 22

L-M

5

L-M

2

153

0

3

4 -2 10 SSE 24 48

VH

46

153

0

3

4 -2 10

SS

E 24 48 H 16

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

2

5 4 25 SE 13 17 H 17

180

0

3

6 -2 9

SS

W 17 32

VH

45

Shepparton 9 85 230

0 24

14

53 SW 15 20 L-M

6 L-M

3

1730

33

-2 10 SS

W 26 39

VH

45

1730

33

-2 10 SS

W 26 39 H 19

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0

2

3

1

2 50

EN

E 9 9

L-M

5

140

0

3

4 3 14 SW 24 35

VH

36

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

2

1

1

2 56 ESE 20 32

L-M

5

153

0

3

0 5 20

SS

W 11 28 H 20

Mangalore 10 90 230

0

2

3

1

5 60

SS

W 13 19

L-M

5

L-M

3

160

0

3

4 1 12 SSE 20 33

VH

41

183

0

3

1

1

0 27 SW 28 39 H 17

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0 21

15

68 S 26 32 L-M

4

1430

32

0 13 SE 17 32 VH

34

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

1

8

1

7 94

WS

W 11 13

L-M

1

163

0

2

7

1

6 51 S 30 39

L-M

10

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0

2

0

1

6 78

NN

E 11 19

L-M

2

153

0

2

6

1

5 50 E 24 35

L-M

8

Coldstream 10 65 230

0

2

1

1

4 64 SSE 15 22

L-M

4

L-M

0

170

0

3

1

1

1 29 SSE 19 28 H 19

223

0

2

2

1

4 60

SS

E 19 28

L-M

1

Ferny Creek 8 55 230

0 17

13

77 EN

E 6 11

L-M

1 L-M

0

1730

25

11

41 E 13 22 L-M

8

2300

17

13

77 EN

E 6 11

L-M

0

Geelong Racecourse 9 90 230

0

1

7

1

6 94

SS

W 11 17

L-M

1

L-M

1

150

0

2

4

1

6 61 SSE 26 33

L-M

6

173

0

2

3

1

7 69 S 28 41

L-M

7

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

2

1

1

5 68 SSE 11 17

L-M

3

160

0

2

7

1

5 47 S 32 43 H 12

Melbourne AP 9 85 230

0 19

16

83 W 22 30 L-M

2 L-M

3

1400

29

12

35 S 28 37 H 18 173

0 28

14

42 S 30 35 L-M

10

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

2

2

1

4 60 SSE 7 15

L-M

4

113

0

2

7

1

3 42 SSE 9 22

L-M

8

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

2

1

1

4 64 SE 24 35

L-M

4

140

0

3

0

1

3 35 SE 24 35 H 15

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

2

0

1

7 83 SE 15 22

L-M

2

143

0

2

3

1

8 73 SSE 30 39

L-M

4

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 SE 6 9

L-M

1

150

0

2

8 9 30 SE 20 28 H 16

Viewbank AWS 9 230

0

2

2

1

3 56

SS

W 6 11

L-M

4

163

0

3

0

1

5 40

WS

W 26 39 H 15

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 10

0

230

0

2

6

1

2 41 E 11 13

L-M

9

L-M

4

163

0

3

3 2 14 E 15 24

VH

31

180

0

3

3 4 16 SE 17 22 H 15

Hunters Hill 8 80 230

0 18

10

59 E 7 11 L-M

3 L-M

1

1530

26

6 27 SE 6 11 L-M

11

2300

18

10

59 E 7 11 L-M

1

Page 39: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

1 7 40 SW 7 11

L-M

7

L-M

2

180

0

3

3 0 12 S 15 22

VH

32

143

0

3

2 0 13 SE 17 26

L-M

11

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 7 50 230

0

1

9

1

7 88

EN

E 15 20

L-M

1

L-M

0

140

0

2

6

1

5 50 E 30 44

L-M

8

230

0

1

9

1

7 88

EN

E 15 20

L-M

0

Latrobe Valley 8 55 230

0 19

16

83 E 13 20 L-M

2 L-M

0

1800

26

13

44 E 24 33 L-M

10

2300

19

16

83 E 13 20 L-M

0

Mt Moornapa 7 60 230

0

1

6

1

4 88

NN

E 6 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

170

0

2

5

1

5 53 SE 9 24

L-M

4

230

0

1

6

1

4 88

NN

E 6 9

L-M

0

Pound Creek 9 55 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 E 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

173

0

2

6

1

6 54 ESE 32 46

L-M

9

183

0

2

5

1

7 61

ES

E 32 44

L-M

1

Yanakie 9 230

0 19

18

94 E 20 32 L-M

1

1130

23

17

69 EN

E 20 32

L-M

4

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 7 230

0 19

17

88 EN

E 13 17

L-M

1

1430

25

15

53 ESE 28 35 L-M

6

Combienbar 8 230

0

1

5

1

2 82

NN

E 6 7

L-M

1

160

0

2

5

1

3 47 E 4 13

L-M

5

Gabo Island 7 230

0

2

0

1

7 83 NE 24 26

L-M

2

150

0

2

3

1

7 69 E 17 20

L-M

3

Gelantipy 7 20 230

0 16

11

72 NN

E 19 30

L-M

2 L-M

0

1500

24

13

50 S 15 24 L-M

5

2300

16

11

72 NN

E 19 30

L-M

0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

1

9

1

6 83

NN

E 15 20

L-M

2

153

0

2

3

1

7 69 E 11 17

L-M

3

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0

1

7

1

4 82 E 13 20

L-M

1

190

0

2

2

1

4 60 SE 6 11

L-M

3

Orbost AWS 7 35 230

0 19

15

77 E 7 9 L-M

1 L-M

0

1730

25

13

47 ESE 13 22 L-M

6

2300

19

15

77 E 7 9 L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 35 230

0 11

11

100

SE 19 24 L-M

1 L-M

0

1800

18

5 42 SE 17 30 L-M

5

2300

11

11

100

SE 19 24 L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0

1

4 5 54 NE 7 9

L-M

2

090

0

1

5 -1 33 SSE 9 13

L-M

5

Mount Hotham AWS 5 230

0

1

0

1

0

10

0 NE 20 30

L-M

0

180

0

1

6 6 51 E 22 32

L-M

3

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

19

16

83 EN

E 15 32

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Thursday, 17 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

Document 226

Page 40: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn

from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

3

0 3 18 ENE 17 20

VH

27

160

0

4

0 2 9 SW 13 33

VH

47

Mildura AP 10 230

0 31

4 18 ENE 15 19 VH

27

1800

40

1 9 ENE 15 20 SEV

50

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

3

0 1 15 NE 9 15

VH

25

L-M

7

200

0

3

8 0 9 E 15 22

VH

46

200

0

3

8 0 9 E 15 22 H 18

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

2

8 2 18 ENE 11 13 H 22

L-M

7

170

0

3

7 0 10 SE 15 26

VH

43

170

0

3

7 0 10 SE 15 26 H 17

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

2

8

1

0 32 ESE 11 17 H 13

153

0

3

8 3 11

WS

W 13 22

VH

39

Horsham AWS 10 10

0 230

0 29

5 21 E 24 32 VH

28 H 19

1600

38

3 11 SS

W 17 28

VH

46

1600

38

3 11 SSW 17 28 H 20

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0

2

5 5 27 SE 13 15 H 14

153

0

3

7 2 11 W 15 33

VH

40

Mount William 7 230

0

2

2 2 26 ESE 20 26

L-M

11

173

0

2

9 4 20 W 9 15 H 14

Stawell 10 95 230

0 28

1 17 S 9 15 H 21 L-M

5

1630

36

2 12 SE 17 26 VH

41

1630

36

2 12 SE 17 26 H 16

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0 18

17

94 SW 9 13 L-M

1

1100

28

13

39 NW 13 24 L-M

10

Ballarat 9 70 230

0

2

3 9 41 ESE 15 19

L-M

9

L-M

1

160

0

3

4 -1 10

WN

W 17 26

VH

38

100

0

2

5

1

0 38 N 39 46

L-M

5

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

5 94 ENE 17 26

L-M

1

150

0

2

1

1

6 73 ENE 20 26

L-M

3

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

9

1

4 73 NE 24 30

L-M

3

230

0

1

9

1

4 73 NE 24 30

L-M

3

Dartmoor 10 230

0

1

9

1

4 73 ESE 6 7

L-M

2

170

0

3

6 7 17

SS

W 19 24

VH

35

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0

1

9 9 52 ESE 17 19

L-M

5

L-M

5

160

0

3

5 7 17

WS

W 17 26

VH

30

190

0

3

3

1

1 26 SSE 30 41

VH

28

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

7

1

0 63 SE 2 4

L-M

2

L-M

1

190

0

3

1 2 15 S 20 28

VH

30

190

0

3

1 2 15 S 20 28 H 18

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 22

11

49 E 15 19 L-M

6

1630

34

-2 10 W 20 33 VH

39

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

6

1

6

10

0 SE 9 13

L-M

1

190

0

2

0

1

7 83 SE 17 22

L-M

2

Portland 9 50 230

0

1

6

1

5 94 E 13 17

L-M

1

L-M

0

163

0

2

9

1

3 37 E 15 22

L-M

11

230

0

1

6

1

5 94 E 13 17

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 231

0 14

13

94 CAL

M 0 4

L-M

1

1730

28

13

39 S 22 26 H 12

Westmere 10 230

0

2

1 6 37 ESE 7 9

L-M

8

140

0

3

4 2 13

WS

W 19 32

VH

38

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 85 230

0

2

4 5 29

CAL

M 0 6

L-M

10

L-M

0

173

0

3

5 3 13 W 13 17

VH

33

203

0

3

2 4 17 NE 17 22

L-M

8

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

3

0 3 18 NE 13 20

VH

25

183

0

3

7 3 12 ESE 11 17

VH

37

Shepparton 9 85 230

0 26

9 34 NNE 9 11 L-M

10 L-M

2

1900

34

3 14 ENE 13 17 VH

30

1430

34

9 21 N 19 24 L-M

8

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0

2

2

1

1 49 NE 6 7

L-M

5

173

0

3

4 7 18 NE 11 17 H 23

NORTH CENTRAL

Page 41: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

2

5 4 25 NNE 7 9 H 13

170

0

3

1 3 17 NE 13 20 H 24

Mangalore 10 90 230

0 24

5 29 NNE 9 11 H 13 L-M

3

1830

34

5 16 NN

W 13 24

VH

31

0830

24

9 38 NNE 32 39 H 14

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

2

3 5 31 SE 2 4

L-M

10

190

0

3

3 4 16 N 9 15

VH

27

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

2

0

1

5 73 SW 13 20

L-M

2

153

0

3

5 7 17 ESE 22 28

VH

35

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0 19

15

77 S 6 7 L-M

2

1400

34

5 16 NW 19 26 VH

31

Coldstream 10 65 230

0

1

9

1

1 59 ESE 6 11

L-M

3

L-M

0

183

0

3

5 4 14 N 15 22

VH

34

183

0

3

5 4 14 N 15 22

L-M

2

Ferny Creek 8 55 230

0

2

5 5 27

CAL

M 0 2

L-M

9

L-M

0

180

0

3

1 2 15 NW 6 13 H 19

230

0

2

5 5 27

CAL

M 0 2

L-M

0

Geelong Racecourse 9 90 230

0 20

15

73 S 7 9 L-M

2 L-M

1

1430

35

13

26 SE 19 28 H 23 150

0 29

15

42 S 28 43 H 12

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

2

1

1

6 73 W 11 15

L-M

3

163

0

3

6 5 14 SSE 19 26

VH

39

Melbourne AP 9 85 230

0

2

2

1

4 60 SW 11 15

L-M

4

L-M

2

150

0

3

6 -1 9

NN

W 22 35

VH

47

100

0

2

8 8 28 N 46 59

VH

30

Melbourne [Olympic Park]

9 230

0 23

17

69 WS

W 6 15

L-M

3

1700

36

7 17 N 15 28 VH

30

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

2

2

1

8 78

WS

W 13 15

L-M

2

153

0

3

6 5 14

NN

E 22 35

VH

38

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

2

5

1

5 53 N 6 7

L-M

4

133

0

3

2

1

5 35

SS

W 4 9

L-M

10

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0 20

11

56 N 4 4 L-M

3

1600

36

-2 9 W 11 20 VH

34

Viewbank AWS 9 230

0

2

4

1

6 61 SW 11 17

L-M

4

170

0

3

6 6 15 N 15 28

VH

33

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 10

0 230

0 21

12

56 SE 6 7 L-M

4 L-M

2

1730

33

8 21 SE 13 20 H 23 150

0 33

10

24 SSE 15 20 L-M

10

Hunters Hill 8 80 230

0

2

2 5 33

WS

W 4 6

L-M

7

L-M

1

190

0

2

6 6 27 W 7 11

L-M

11

230

0

2

2 5 33

WS

W 4 6

L-M

1

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

1 9 46

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

5

L-M

0

183

0

3

3 4 16 N 13 19

VH

27

113

0

2

9 7 25 NNE 20 32

L-M

10

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 7 50 230

0

1

9

1

7 88 SE 7 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

153

0

2

9

1

4 39 SE 28 41 H 12

230

0

1

9

1

7 88 SE 7 9

L-M

0

Latrobe Valley 8 55 230

0 20

12

60 NE 9 11 L-M

3 L-M

0

1700

32

11

27 E 19 28 H 19 180

0 30

10

29 E 22 30 L-M

1

Mt Moornapa 7 60 230

0

2

2 7 38 N 7 11

L-M

6

L-M

0

140

0

3

0

1

2 33 SE 9 17

L-M

10

230

0

2

2 7 38 N 7 11

L-M

0

Pound Creek 9 55 230

0

1

8

1

3 72 E 4 7

L-M

2

L-M

0

160

0

3

1

1

2 31 ESE 24 32 H 20

190

0

2

8

1

2 37 E 28 39

L-M

1

Yanakie 9 230

0

2

1

1

6 73 E 9 15

L-M

2

133

0

2

7

1

3 42 ENE 22 30

L-M

11

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 7 230

0 17

12

72 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

1500

29

13

37 SE 22 32 L-M

11

Combienbar 8 230

0

2

1

1

5 68 NE 2 6

L-M

2

160

0

3

0 9 27

SS

W 2 6

L-M

11

Gabo Island 7 230

0

2

1

1

8 83 NNE 37 48

L-M

2

170

0

2

3

1

8 73

NN

E 50 59

L-M

5

Gelantipy 7 20 230

0 17

10

63 NNE 9 11 L-M

2 L-M

0

1600

28

11

34 SE 11 20 L-M

9

2300

17

10

63 NNE 9 11 L-M

0

Page 42: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

2

1

1

8 83 N 19 35

L-M

2

163

0

2

6

1

7 57

NN

E 24 33

L-M

6

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0 23

7 35 NN

W 11 20

L-M

7

1730

28

8 28 SSE 6 13 L-M

10

Orbost AWS 7 35 230

0

2

1 9 46

CAL

M 0 4

L-M

4

L-M

0

183

0

2

9 7 25 SSE 6 9 H 12

230

0

2

1 9 46

CAL

M 0 4

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 35 230

0

1

5 6 55 ENE 11 13

L-M

2

L-M

0

173

0

1

9 9 52

NN

E 17 30

L-M

4

230

0

1

5 6 55 ENE 11 13

L-M

0

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0

1

5 4 47

NN

W 9 13

L-M

3

190

0

1

9 4 37 NW 13 22

L-M

6

Mount Hotham AWS 5 230

0 14

5 54 WS

W 13 17

L-M

2

1900

17

7 51 W 15 20 L-M

3

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable

Six[VICF]

230

0

2

2

1

1 49 ENE 11 22

Victoria Portable Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Friday, 18 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages. Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

3

3 9 22 ENE 11 15 H 22

173

0

3

9 5 12 NW 46 91

EXT

91

Mildura AP 10 230

0

3

4 9 21 SW 22 32

VH

32

143

0

4

1 2 9 N 22 39

SEV

62

Walpeup 10 10

0 230

0 35

8 19 NNE 15 20 VH

29 H 12

1400

42

2 8 N 20 33 SEV

61

2130

35

9 20 NN

W 35 48

VH

44

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

3

3 6 18 NNE 19 22

VH

32 H 17

153

0

3

9 2 10

NN

W 19 30

SEV

52

093

0

3

3 8 21 N 35 46

VH

41

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

2

7 8 30 ESE 9 13 H 13

143

0

3

9 5 12 W 20 28

VH

47

Document 227

Page 43: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

3

0 7 23 E 17 19 H 23

L-M

11

134

7

4

1 2 9 NW 39 52

EXT

91

134

7

4

1 2 9 NW 39 52

SEV

91

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0 25

7 31 S 13 17 H 12 150

0 41

0 8 W 22 37 SEV

58

Mount William 7 230

0

2

3 7 35 ESE 13 17

L-M

8

133

0

3

1 3 17 NW 28 39

VH

26

Stawell 10 90 230

0

2

9 7 25 SW 9 13 H 17

L-M

4

143

0

4

1 1 8 NW 30 43

SEV

73

141

1

3

9 0 9 N 33 52

SEV

55

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 SW 7 13

L-M

1

180

0

2

2

1

6 68 SW 13 22

L-M

3

Ballarat 9 90 230

0 22

10

46 SE 11 15 L-M

6 L-M

3

1600

38

3 11 NN

W 35 50

SEV

65

1600

38

3 11 NN

W 35 50

VH

45

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 E 22 28

L-M

1

190

0

1

8

1

6 88 ESE 24 32

L-M

2

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

6 94 E 28 37

L-M

1

163

0

2

0

1

5 73 ENE 26 33

L-M

3

Dartmoor 10 230

0 18

15

82 ESE 15 22 L-M

2

1630

32

7 21 SE 24 33 VH

30

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0

1

8

1

3 72 SE 20 30

L-M

3

L-M

5

150

0

3

6

1

2 23

SS

W 22 35

VH

28

160

0

3

2

1

4 33 S 32 41

VH

26

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

7

1

5 88

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

173

0

3

2 6 19 S 24 32

VH

30

160

0

3

2

1

0 25 SSW 28 35 H 24

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 18

14

77 ENE 15 19 L-M

2

1500

35

10

21 ENE 24 33 VH

30

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

7

1

7

10

0 ESE 15 20

L-M

1

180

0

2

0

1

7 83 SSE 19 26

L-M

2

Portland 9 60 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 E 11 15

L-M

1

L-M

0

150

0

2

1

1

4 64 SE 20 30

L-M

4

230

0

1

7

1

5 88 E 11 15

L-M

0

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 16

15

94 ENE 4 9 L-M

1

1600

25

14

50 SSE 28 37 L-M

8

Westmere 10 230

0

2

1

1

0 49 ESE 11 13

L-M

6

150

0

4

1 3 9

NN

W 22 35

SEV

59

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 10

0

230

0

3

1 9 25 NE 13 15 H 20

L-M

8

160

0

3

9 4 11 N 26 54

SEV

56

163

0

3

8 5 13 N 28 43

VH

39

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

3

4 9 21 N 32 50

VH

40

160

0

3

9 2 10

NN

W 22 35

SEV

56

Shepparton 9 95 230

0

3

0 9 27 NNE 13 19 H 17

L-M

7

160

0

3

9 5 12

NN

W 20 33

VH

44

160

0

3

9 5 12

NN

W 20 33 H 22

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0 28

11

34 NNE 9 11 L-M

11

1700

38

8 16 NN

E 15 26

VH

32

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0 28

8 28 ESE 13 24 H 15 170

0 34

5 16 NN

E 17 43

VH

31

Mangalore 10 10

0

230

0

3

3 9 22 NE 22 30

VH

29 H 18

143

0

3

9 6 13 N 28 52

SEV

56

170

0

3

8 6 14 N 28 39

VH

38

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

2

8 9 30 N 4 6 H 12

160

0

3

9 4 11

NN

W 20 33

VH

49

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0 18

17

94 SW 15 20 L-M

1

1330

31

14

35 S 19 26 H 15

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0

1

9

1

6 83 S 7 13

L-M

1

143

0

2

9

1

5 42 S 13 17

L-M

10

Coldstream 10 80 230

0

2

2

1

6 68

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

2

L-M

0

180

0

3

9 6 13 N 26 37

SEV

52

180

0

3

9 6 13 N 26 37 H 14

Ferny Creek 8 70 230

0 25

11

41 NW 6 11 L-M

7 L-M

0

1600

35

7 17 NN

W 9 22 H 23

2000

28

14

42 WS

W 9 15

L-M

1

Page 44: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Geelong Racecourse 9 10

0

230

0

1

8

1

7 94 SSW 13 17

L-M

1

L-M

2

130

0

2

6

1

5 50 SSE 17 22

L-M

7

160

0

2

2

1

6 68 S 35 44 H 14

Laverton AWS 10 230

0 19

16

83 SW 11 17 L-M

2

1500

32

12

29 SSE 19 22 H 20

Melbourne AP 9 90 230

0

2

0

1

6 78

WS

W 9 11

L-M

2

L-M

1

111

0

3

6 3 12 N 44 56

SEV

72

111

0

3

6 3 12 N 44 56

SEV

50

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

2

1

1

8 83 S 7 11

L-M

2

103

0

3

4

1

0 23 N 20 30

VH

26

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0 19

17

88 W 11 17 L-M

1

1030

35

8 19 NN

W 30 43

VH

38

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

2

2

1

7 73 SSE 4 7

L-M

2

133

0

3

0

1

7 45 S 11 15

L-M

8

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0

1

9

1

3 68 ESE 7 11

L-M

2

110

0

3

5 5 15 NW 20 32

VH

33

Viewbank AWS 10 230

0 21

17

78 SW 11 15 L-M

2

1630

40

6 12 NN

W 19 28

VH

47

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 9 10

0 230

0 26

14

47 CAL

M 0 0

L-M

5 L-M

0

1730

36

9 19 SE 15 19 VH

29

1730

36

9 19 SE 15 19 H 13

Hunters Hill 8 70 230

0

2

4 7 33 SW 4 7

L-M

8

L-M

0

170

0

2

9 8 26 NW 6 11 H 13

160

0

2

8 7 26 N 7 11

L-M

2

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

5 8 34 ENE 6 7

L-M

9

L-M

2

183

0

3

7 3 12

NN

E 19 30

VH

40

183

0

3

7 3 12 NNE 19 30 H 16

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 8 80 230

0

2

1

1

7 78 SE 13 17

L-M

2

L-M

1

123

0

3

6

1

2 23 NW 24 35

VH

25

190

0

2

8

1

2 37 E 26 32

L-M

6

Latrobe Valley 9 65 230

0 23

11

46 ESE 6 11 L-M

5 L-M

0

1500

39

7 14 WS

W 24 37

VH

43

1900

31

13

33 ENE 24 37 L-M

2

Mt Moornapa 7 80 230

0

2

4

1

1 44 NW 7 9

L-M

5

L-M

1

140

0

3

5 8 19 NE 6 11 H 17

203

0

2

3

1

0 43 E 11 24

L-M

2

Pound Creek 9 65 230

0

2

1

1

8 83 E 17 24

L-M

2

L-M

0

143

0

3

2

1

4 33

SS

W 19 24 H 17

210

0

2

5

1

3 47 E 17 22

L-M

1

Yanakie 9 230

0 19

18

94 E 17 26 L-M

1

1430

30

13

35 SS

W 20 28 H 15

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 7 230

0

2

1

1

3 60 S 7 9

L-M

3

110

0

3

5

1

2 25 NW 20 32 H 19

Combienbar 8 230

0 24

9 38 NNE 6 17 L-M

7

1530

34

11

24 SS

W 2 4 H 14

Gabo Island 7 230

0

2

1

1

7 78 NNE 17 20

L-M

2

180

0

2

5

1

6 57

NN

E 24 30

L-M

5

Gelantipy 7 35 230

0

2

1

1

2 56 N 13 15

L-M

3

L-M

0

153

0

3

2

1

0 25

WS

W 15 20 H 15

230

0

2

1

1

2 56 N 13 15

L-M

0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0 25

14

50 NN

W 13 19

L-M

6

1930

29

11

32 NN

E 15 19 H 12

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0

2

7

1

2 39 N 13 24

L-M

8

120

0

3

4 9 21 W 7 20 H 16

Orbost AWS 8 40 230

0

2

4

1

3 50

CAL

M 0 4

L-M

4

L-M

0

113

0

3

5

1

0 21

WN

W 7 11 H 17

230

0

2

4

1

3 50

CAL

M 0 4

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 65 230

0

1

8 7 48 NNE 17 22

L-M

4

L-M

1

153

0

2

1

1

0 49

NN

E 20 37

L-M

5

230

0

1

8 7 48 NNE 17 22

L-M

1

Mount Buller AWS 6 230

0

1

9 6 42 N 26 35

L-M

7

230

0

1

9 6 42 N 26 35

L-M

7

Mount Hotham AWS 5 230

0

1

7 6 48 NW 32 37

L-M

5

230

0

1

7 6 48 NW 32 37

L-M

5

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

20

16

78 ENE 13 26

Page 45: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Saturday, 19 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

FFDR

/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

GFDR

/

GFDI

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0 34

6 17 NNE 13 17 VH

30

1300

41

4 10 NN

W 43 59

EXT

97

Mildura AP 10 230

0

3

4 4 15 NE 17 20

VH

35

160

0

4

2 2 8

NN

E 26 35

SEV

70

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

3

5 5 15 NE 17 22

VH

36 H 16

120

0

4

1 3 9 N 33 50

EXT

79

120

0

4

1 3 9 N 33 50

SEV

66

Swan Hill 10 10

0 230

0 35

5 15 NNE 17 20 VH

35 H 16

1530

41

5 11 N 32 41 SEV

71

1530

41

5 11 N 32 41 SEV

57

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0 29

10

30 ENE 6 7 H 13 131

3 41

6 12 NW 33 57 SEV

68

Horsham AWS 10 10

0

230

0

3

2

1

0 25 E 22 28

VH

25 H 17

163

1

3

8 5 13

NN

W 54 83

EXT

100

103

0

4

0 4 11

NN

W 56 69

EXT

180

Kanagulk AWS 9 230

0

2

9 8 26

CAL

M 0 0 H 13

140

0

4

2 2 8 NW 32 50

EXT

76

Mount William 7 230

0 25

7 31 NN

W 6 13

L-M

8

1314

35

5 15 NW 35 59 VH 38

Stawell 10 90 230

0

2

8

1

1 34 SSW 7 9 H 12

L-M

2

141

1

4

2 2 8

NN

W 37 56

EXT

90

133

0

4

1 2 9 NW 39 61

SEV

66

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0

2

7

1

3 42 NNE 13 20

L-M

9

143

0

4

2 6 11

NN

W 35 54

SEV

72

Ballarat 9 90 230

0

2

4

1

2 47 E 11 13

L-M

7

L-M

3

143

0

4

0 3 10

NN

W 52 70

EXT

100

143

0

4

0 3 10

NN

W 52 70

EXT

115

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0 28

14

42 N 20 30 L-M

11

1300

35

13

26 WN

W 19 26 H 22

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

3

0

1

2 33 NNE 20 24 H 15

150

0

3

4

1

0 23 SW 9 13 H 19

Dartmoor 10 230

0

2

9

1

1 32 E 6 7 H 12

133

0

4

2 6 11 NW 37 54

EXT

83

Hamilton 9 10

0 230

0 29

11

32 ENE 20 24 H 16 H 12 150

0 42

7 12 NW 44 59 EXT

87

1500

42

7 12 NW 44 59 EXT

107

Document 228

Page 46: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

2

7

1

5 47 NNE 13 17

L-M

7

L-M

5

123

0

4

1 6 12 NW 39 54

EXT

75

123

0

4

1 6 12 NW 39 54

SEV

83

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

0 27

13

42 NE 28 33 H 12 155

1 34

7 18 N 80 109 EXT

100

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

2

8

1

6 48 NNE 13 20

L-M

7

113

0

4

0

1

1 17

NN

W 26 43 VH 39

Portland 9 60 230

0

2

8

1

3 39 NNE 11 15

L-M

10

L-M

0

113

0

3

8 9 17 NW 30 46 VH 45

153

0

3

7

1

0 19 W 33 48 L-M 3

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 28

16

48 NNE 28 39 L-M

10

1331

42

8 13 WN

W 41 59

SEV

73

Westmere 10 230

0

2

8

1

1 34 NE 11 13 H 13

113

0

4

0 5 12

NN

W 41 57

EXT

82

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 10

0

230

0

3

2 9 24 ENE 13 17 H 21

L-M

8

143

0

4

0 4 11 N 43 67

EXT

88

143

0

4

0 4 11 N 43 67

EXT

101

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

3

6 6 15 N 11 17

VH

32

130

0

4

2 4 10 N 32 48

EXT

77

Shepparton 9 95 230

0 31

9 25 NNE 13 17 H 19 L-M

7

1630

41

6 12 N 30 48 SEV

60

1630

41

6 12 N 30 48 VH 44

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0

3

0 9 27 N 11 17 H 15

163

0

4

0

1

0 16 N 24 41 VH 43

NORTH CENTRAL

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

2

7 9 32

WS

W 11 19 H 12

150

0

3

5 5 15

NN

E 33 48 VH 48

Mangalore 10 10

0

230

0

3

1

1

0 27 SE 15 20 H 20

L-M

9

143

0

4

0 6 12 N 35 48

SEV

72

143

0

4

0 6 12 N 35 48

SEV

64

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0 29

12

35 ENE 9 17 H 12 143

0 40

5 12 N 32 48 SEV

66

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

FFDR

/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km

/h

Wg

km

/h

GFDR

/

GFDI

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

2

5

1

7 61 ESE 9 11

L-M

4

151

3

4

4 5 9

NN

W 50 70

EXT

100

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0

2

6

1

6 54 N 4 9

L-M

5

143

0

4

1 6 12

NN

W 24 39

SEV

52

Coldstream 10 80 230

0

2

7

1

6 51 NNE 9 15

L-M

6

L-M

1

143

0

4

0 7 13 N 33 56

SEV

63

143

0

4

0 7 13 N 33 56 H 22

Ferny Creek 8 70 230

0 27

11

36 NNE 7 15 L-M

9 L-M

1

1330

35

7 17 N 11 20 VH 25 133

0 35

7 17 N 11 20 L-M 2

Geelong Racecourse 9 10

0

230

0

2

8

1

5 45 ENE 4 7

L-M

7

L-M

2

150

0

4

3 7 11

NN

W 33 54

SEV

71

150

0

4

3 7 11

NN

W 33 54

SEV

65

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

3

0

1

4 37 NNE 26 37 H 17

160

0

4

3 5 10

NN

W 39 59

EXT

90

Melbourne AP 10 90 230

0 28

14

42 NE 24 35 H 13 L-M

9

1700

41

2 9 NW 48 76 EXT

100

1130

39

3 11 N 52 76 EXT

107

Melbourne [Olympic

Park] 9

230

0

3

0

1

4 37 NNE 13 20 H 12

163

0

4

1 8 13

NN

W 30 46

SEV

58

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

3

1

1

3 33 NNE 22 30 H 17

170

0

4

1 6 12

NN

W 41 59

EXT

77

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

2

5

1

9 69 ENE 17 20

L-M

3

153

0

3

7

1

2 22

WS

W 19 44 VH 26

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0

2

5

1

4 50 N 4 6

L-M

5

153

0

4

1 5 11

NN

W 37 57

SEV

72

Viewbank AWS 10 230

0

2

9

1

5 42 NE 4 11

L-M

8

163

2

4

1 7 13 N 33 61

SEV

65

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 10 10

0

230

0

2

9 8 26

NN

W 9 13 H 16

L-M

5

163

0

3

9 8 15 N 24 32 VH 46

163

0

3

9 8 15 N 24 32 VH 30

Hunters Hill 8 70 230

0 27

4 23 N 7 13 H 13 L-M

1

1830

31

5 19 NN

W 7 17 H 18

2300

27

4 23 N 7 13 L-M 1

Page 47: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

8 8 28 NNE 9 11 H 14

L-M

3

160

0

4

0 2 9

NN

W 22 39

SEV

53

123

0

3

7 5 14 N 28 41 VH 27

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 8 80 230

0

2

5

1

7 61 N 6 15

L-M

3

L-M

1

133

0

3

9

1

2 20

WN

W 39 48 VH 44

133

0

3

9

1

2 20

WN

W 39 48 H 24

Latrobe Valley 9 65 230

0 26

17

57 NNE 15 20 L-M

5 L-M

1

1400

41

9 14 NW 32 44 SEV

57

1400

41

9 14 NW 32 44 L-M 6

Mt Moornapa 8 80 230

0

2

4

1

4 53 S 2 6

L-M

4

L-M

0

143

0

4

0

1

1 17

NN

W 13 30 VH 27

123

0

3

7

1

1 21

NN

W 19 37 L-M 7

Pound Creek 9 65 230

0

2

7

1

6 51 NE 20 30

L-M

8

L-M

1

123

0

4

0 9 15

NN

W 35 57

SEV

61

123

0

4

0 9 15

NN

W 35 57 L-M 6

Yanakie 9 230

0 25

19

69 NE 13 20 L-M

3

1645

31

14

35 NN

W 37 65 H 23

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 7 230

0 24

17

65 WN

W 13 22

L-M

3

1230

39

13

21 NN

W 35 46 VH 36

Combienbar 8 230

0

2

6

1

3 44

CAL

M 0 4

L-M

5

163

0

3

8

1

0 18 NE 2 9 H 21

Gabo Island 8 230

0

2

5

1

5 53 N 50 65

L-M

11

172

0

3

2 7 21 NW 28 50 VH 26

Gelantipy 7 35 230

0 24

11

44 NNE 11 13 L-M

5 L-M

0

1330

33

10

24 NW 26 43 H 21 230

0 24

11

44 NN

E 11 13 L-M 0

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

2

7

1

5 47 N 20 33

L-M

8

200

0

2

9

1

4 39 N 32 43 H 15

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 7 230

0

2

6

1

5 50 SSW 13 24

L-M

5

150

0

3

9

1

1 18 NW 17 32 VH 27

Orbost AWS 8 40 230

0 29

14

39 S 7 15 L-M

8 L-M

0

1600

40

9 15 WN

W 19 33 VH 34

2300

29

14

39 S 7 15 L-M 0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 65 230

0 20

5 37 NNE 30 39 L-M

9 L-M

2

2300

20

5 37 NN

E 30 39 L-M 9

1319

20

8 46 NN

E 41 59 L-M 3

Mount Buller AWS 7 230

0

2

2 5 33 N 41 54 H 15

230

0

2

2 5 33 N 41 54 H 15

Mount Hotham AWS 6 230

0

2

0 4 34 NW 41 54

L-M

11

230

0

2

0 4 34 NW 41 54

L-M

11

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable

Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable Six[VICF]

2300

26

16

54 ENE 15 26

Victoria Portable

Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable

Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Sunday, 20 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages.

Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

Document 229

Page 48: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn

from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFD

I

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

1

8 9 55 SW 28 35

L-M

6

103

0

3

2

1

4 33

WS

W 39 48

VH

29

Mildura AP 10 230

0 21

11

52 SSW 9 15 L-M

5

0900

33

12

27 SS

W 30 43

VH

30

Walpeup 10 10

0

230

0

1

8 9 55 SW 22 35

L-M

6

L-M

7

103

0

3

3

1

3 29

WS

W 32 50

VH

29

103

0

3

3

1

3 29

WS

W 32 50

VH

29

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

2

1 9 46

WS

W 19 26

L-M

8

L-M

7

103

0

3

7 7 16 W 32 44

SEV

52

150

0

3

4

1

3 28

WS

W 48 59

SEV

69

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

1

5 9 67

WS

W 15 22

L-M

3

181

4

2

2 9 43

WS

W 32 52 H 12

Horsham AWS 10 10

0 230

0 17

8 55 SW 24 32 L-M

6 L-M

7

1102

31

14

35 W 39 57 VH

26

1102

31

14

35 W 39 57 VH

36

Kanagulk AWS 10 230

0

1

4 9 72 SW 19 33

L-M

2

173

0

2

3 9 41

WS

W 19 33

L-M

10

Mount William 7 230

1 7 7

10

0 WS

W 41 61

L-M

1

113

0

2

1

1

3 60 W 35 59

L-M

5

Stawell 10 90 230

0 16

6 51 SW 17 28 L-M

5 L-M

3

0700

30

5 20 W 20 28 VH

27

1203

30

13

35 WN

W 28 46 H 14

WESTERN

Aireys Inlet AWS 9 230

0 16

10

67 W 17 30 L-M

3

1230

31

14

35 WN

W 44 72

VH

27

Ballarat 10 90 230

0

1

4 9 72

WS

W 13 24

L-M

2

L-M

2

090

0

3

0 6 22 N 30 37

VH

30

130

0

3

1

1

2 31 W 39 52

VH

28

Cape Nelson AWS 9 230

0

1

5

1

3 88 W 37 50

L-M

2

170

0

2

0

1

3 64

WN

W 39 50

L-M

6

Cape Otway AWS 9 230

0

1

6

1

2 77 W 37 56

L-M

3

103

0

2

8

1

4 42

WN

W 26 39 H 12

Dartmoor 10 230

0

1

5

1

1 77

WS

W 15 26

L-M

2

171

9

2

2 9 43

WN

W 30 48 H 12

Hamilton 9 10

0

230

0

1

4 9 72

WS

W 28 43

L-M

3

L-M

7

170

0

2

2 9 43 W 35 50 H 13

103

0

2

4

1

4 53

WN

W 41 52

VH

25

Mortlake 9 10

0

230

0

1

5

1

0 72 W 24 39

L-M

3

L-M

6

110

0

2

8

1

5 45

WN

W 37 54 H 15

110

0

2

8

1

5 45

WN

W 37 54

VH

25

Mount Gellibrand AWS 9 230

3 14

11

82 W 33 59 L-M

2

1200

29

13

37 W 59 78 VH

34

Port Fairy AWS 8 230

0

1

5

1

2 82 W 30 46

L-M

2

173

0

2

0

1

2 60 W 43 59

L-M

7

Portland 9 60 230

6

1

4

1

3 94

WS

W 24 32

L-M

1

L-M

0

080

0

2

4

1

4 53 NW 28 41

L-M

8

160

0

1

9

1

2 64

WN

W 46 63

L-M

2

Warrnambool AWS 8 230

0 14

12

88 W 28 39 L-M

2

1730

22

10

46 W 41 56 H 12

Westmere 10 230

0

1

5 9 67

WS

W 24 43

L-M

4

113

0

3

1

1

3 33 NW 33 46 H 24

NORTHERN COUNTRY

Bendigo 10 10

0

230

0

1

9

1

2 64 SSW 7 11

L-M

3

L-M

2

110

0

3

6 7 17 NW 35 54

SEV

52

110

0

3

6 7 17 NW 35 54

SEV

50

Charlton AWS 10 230

0

1

8 9 55

WS

W 19 32

L-M

5

090

0

3

3 7 20 NW 22 39

VH

32

Shepparton 9 95 230

0 21

16

73 NW 19 26 L-M

3 L-M

4

1230

40

7 13 NW 43 65 EXT

77

1230

40

7 13 NW 43 65 SEV

83

Yarrawonga AWS 9 230

0

2

1

2

0 94 NW 13 19

L-M

1

120

0

4

1

1

0 15 N 41 57

SEV

68

NORTH CENTRAL

Page 49: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Eildon Fire Tower 9 230

0

1

5

1

3 88 W 28 37

L-M

2

123

0

3

5 6 16 NW 37 61

SEV

51

Mangalore 10 10

0 230

0 20

14

68 SSW 15 22 L-M

3 L-M

3

1130

39

8 15 NN

W 46 69

EXT

80

1130

39

8 15 NN

W 46 69

SEV

99

Redesdale AWS 10 230

0

1

6

1

1 72 SW 4 6

L-M

2

111

5

3

6 7 17 NW 33 56

SEV

50

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFD

I

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

CENTRAL

Avalon AWS 9 230

0

1

7

1

0 63 W 24 37

L-M

4

091

7

3

6 7 17 NW 43 63

SEV

59

Cerberus AWS 9 230

0 16

14

88 WS

W 6 9

L-M

1

0912

35

5 15 NN

W 28 54

VH

42

Coldstream 10 80 230

0

1

7

1

5 88 NNE 6 9

L-M

1

L-M

0

110

0

3

8 8 16

NN

W 35 57

SEV

57

100

0

3

7 8 17 N 37 59 H 22

Ferny Creek 9 70 230

0

1

3

1

2 94

CAL

M 0 0

L-M

1

L-M

0

113

0

3

5 7 17

NN

W 11 24

VH

25

113

0

3

5 7 17

NN

W 11 24

L-M

2

Geelong Racecourse 9 10

0 230

0 17

9 59 W 17 28 L-M

4 L-M

4

0900

33

9 22 W 22 35 VH

27

1200

33

14

31 WN

W 32 46

VH

28

Laverton AWS 10 230

0

1

8

1

1 63 SW 20 33

L-M

4

093

0

3

7 8 17

NN

W 44 63

SEV

64

Melbourne AP 10 90 230

0

1

7

1

1 68 SW 26 39

L-M

4

L-M

5

120

0

3

9 5 12

WN

W 39 50

SEV

71

143

0

3

5

1

0 21

WN

W 50 65

SEV

67

Melbourne [Olympic Park]

9 230

0 19

12

64 WS

W 13 28

L-M

3

1100

37

10

19 NW 24 48 VH

37

Moorabbin AWS 9 230

0

1

9

1

2 64

WS

W 26 43

L-M

4

093

0

3

6 7 17 N 43 61

SEV

58

Rhyll AWS 8 230

0

1

7

1

4 82

WS

W 9 19

L-M

1

110

0

3

3

1

3 29

WS

W 20 35 H 19

Sheoaks AWS 9 230

0 15

9 67 W 19 24 L-M

3

0830

33

6 18 NN

W 32 44

VH

38

Viewbank AWS 10 230

0

1

8

1

8

10

0 NW 7 11

L-M

1

110

0

3

8 9 17

NN

W 32 56

SEV

51

NORTHEAST

Albury AP 10 10

0 230

0 21

20

94 NNE 6 9 L-M

1 L-M

1

1432

41

7 13 NN

W 41 59

EXT

79

1432

41

7 13 NN

W 41 59

SEV

87

Hunters Hill 8 70 230

0

1

6

1

6

10

0 NW 9 15

L-M

1

L-M

0

163

0

3

2 5 18

NN

W 24 44

VH

29

163

0

3

2 5 18

NN

W 24 44

L-M

4

Wangaratta 9 90 230

0

2

1

1

9 88 NW 19 24

L-M

2

L-M

3

130

0

4

1 3 9

NN

W 44 69

EXT

94

130

0

4

1 3 9

NN

W 44 69

SEV

84

WEST and SOUTH GIPPSLAND

East Sale 8 80 230

0

1

7

1

5 88

WS

W 13 20

L-M

1

L-M

1

113

0

3

9 9 16 NW 44 65

SEV

58

113

0

3

9 9 16 NW 44 65

VH

34

Latrobe Valley 9 65 230

0 17

15

88 WS

W 17 20

L-M

1 L-M

0

1200

40

8 14 NN

W 43 61

SEV

71

1200

40

8 14 NN

W 43 61

L-M

10

Mt Moornapa 8 80 230

0

1

5

1

5

10

0 SSE 7 11

L-M

1

L-M

0

140

2

3

9 9 16 NW 30 76

VH

42

140

2

3

9 9 16 NW 30 76 H 16

Pound Creek 10 65 230

0

1

6

1

3 82 W 17 24

L-M

2

L-M

0

103

0

3

8 9 17

NN

W 39 69

SEV

60

103

0

3

8 9 17

NN

W 39 69

L-M

7

Yanakie 9 230

0

1

7

1

3 77 W 30 43

L-M

3

103

0

3

9 8 15

NN

W 48 69

EXT

77

EAST GIPPSLAND

Bairnsdale Apt 8 230

0 17

17

100

SW 15 20 L-M

1

1500

41

11

16 NW 44 63 SEV

60

Combienbar 8 230

0

1

7

1

7

10

0 NE 2 4

L-M

1

153

0

3

5 8 19

NN

W 17 43

VH

26

Gabo Island 8 230

0

2

0

1

8 88 W 20 30

L-M

1

190

0

2

5

1

6 57

WS

W 46 59

L-M

9

Gelantipy 7 35 230

0 17

17

100

NE 17 24 L-M

1 L-M

0

1500

35

6 16 NN

W 28 39

VH

32

2300

17

17

100

NE 17 24 L-M

0

Page 50: DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - Bureau of Meteorology€¦ · DAY 2 THUNDERSTORM FORECAST Issued at 11:58 am Saturday, 9 January 2016, Valid from midnight tonight until midnight on

Mallacoota AWS 8 230

0

2

1

1

7 78 W 9 17

L-M

2

153

0

3

6

1

3 25

NN

E 26 35

VH

27

Mt Nowa Nowa AWS 8 230

0 16

16

100

SSE 11 22 L-M

1

1500

39

7 14 NW 26 54 VH

39

Orbost AWS 8 40 230

0

1

8

1

8

10

0 S 4 6

L-M

1

L-M

0

120

0

3

9 7 14

NN

W 37 52

SEV

53

230

0

1

8

1

8

10

0 S 4 6

L-M

0

ALPINE AREAS

Falls Creek 6 65 230

0

1

2

1

2

10

0 NNE 32 50

L-M

1

L-M

1

130

0

2

3 5 31 N 59 87 H 24

130

0

2

3 5 31 N 59 87

L-M

9

Mount Buller AWS 7 230

0

1

2

1

2

10

0 NN

W 32 44

L-M

1

123

0

2

3 6 33 N 61 80

VH

25

Mount Hotham AWS 6 230

0 12

12

100

NW 39 50 L-M

1

1330

22

5 33 NW 65 106 H 23

Portable AWS

Victoria Portable Four[VICD]

Victoria Portable

Five[VICE]

Victoria Portable

Six[VICF]

230

0

1

7

1

1 68 W 19 35

Victoria Portable Seven[VICG]

Victoria Portable

Eight[VICH]

Victoria Portable

Nine[VICI]

Victoria Portable Ten[VICJ]

Victoria Portable

Eleven[VICK]

FIRE WEATHER BULLETIN

Bureau of Meteorology

Victoria

At 2312 EDT on Monday, 21 December 2015

Wind and FDI elements in BOLD are 10 minute averages. Wind and FDI elements in italics are averaged over less than 10 minutes. Consequently FDI values in italics should not be used in comparison with FDI

values based on a 10 minute averaging period.

GFDI observations are only available for the 25 point forecast locations within the Fire Weather Forecast. This is because the curing values here are drawn from that product and are therefore not available for other AWS locations.

Station D

F

Cu

r

%

Current Observations Max FFDI since 0730 EDT Max GFDI since 0730 EDT

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

GFD

R/

GFD

I

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

FFD

R/

FFDI

Ti

me

ED

T

T T

d

R

H Wd

Ws

km/

h

Wg

km/

h

GFD

R/

GFD

I

MALLEE

Hopetoun AP 10 230

0

2

0 5 37 SSE 24 32 H 12

163

0

2

6 4 24 SSE 24 32 H 23

Mildura AP 10 230

0

1

9 5 39 S 6 7

L-M

7

180

0

2

5 5 27 SE 17 26 H 17

Walpeup 10 10

0 230

0 21

3 30 SSE 15 22 H 13 L-M

6

1700

25

4 25 S 20 28 H 19 170

0 25

4 25 S 20 28 H 12

Swan Hill 10 10

0

230

0

2

0 5 37 SE 17 22

L-M

10

L-M

7

180

0

2

6 1 19 S 19 32 H 24

180

0

2

6 1 19 S 19 32 H 13

WIMMERA

Edenhope AP 10 230

0

1

5 6 55 SE 15 22

L-M

4

173

0

2

4 6 31 SE 20 32 H 15

Document 230