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Dark Numbers Report, Nicola Delic

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Page 1: Dark Numbers Report, Nicola Delic
Page 2: Dark Numbers Report, Nicola Delic

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Nicola Delic Dark Numbers Report

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Introduction

In this report you will be able to see my approach to trading and the

results of my research that helped me become a successful, and even

more importantly, consistently profitable trader.

When it comes to trading, I don’t leave anything to chance. My approach

is to research every idea that I think could be profitable.

After researching, my next phase is thorough testing.

The results you’ll see in this report are secret numbers that exist in all

markets and they are the result of hard work, months of research and

years of testing.

I can say now that I would never be as profitable as I am now without

knowing these numbers. I call them Dark Numbers, since they exist in

the market, yet traders are unware of them.

Knowing these numbers will give you an "unfair" advantage over almost

all other traders.

The results and conclusions in this report are based on scientific research

and that is the key to developing successful systems and being constantly

profitable.

Page 4: Dark Numbers Report, Nicola Delic

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www.elliottwavedna.com 4

Dark Numbers Report

The Forex market is becoming more and more attractive to traders

around the world every year, so it’s not a big secret why the market is

gaining a lot of volatility every single month. I’ve decided to do some

research to see what differences there might be between the markets in

the 1930s and today.

The strategy behind this research is Elliott Wave Theory, and I chose it

because it’s the only theory that has a proven track record of almost 100

years.

Elliott Wave Theory tells us that the market has only two phases that

repeat, and you can see them on every single timeframe and in every

single instrument.

You can see those phases on the image below:

Figure 1: Elliott Wave Phases

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The first phase is called the Motive Phase. This is the part of the cycle

that moves in the direction of the larger trend. You will notice on Figure 1

that there are five waves, labeled with numbers from 1 through 5.

The second phase is called the Corrective Phase. This part of the cycle

represents pullbacks that happen in the market. Within the corrective

phase we find just three waves; labeled with letters A, B, and C.

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The Main Question

Now that we’ve established the basis of our research, it’s time to ask

ourselves the main question:

Can you predict the length of each wave?

It seemed there wasn’t a way

to predict it and that is exactly

why I conducted this research.

The results were astonishing.

I’ve realized that the same

Fibonacci retracements and

extensions were found on all

timeframes and all currency

pairs.

Don’t worry if you have never heard of Fibonacci or waves before. The

main point of this report is to demonstrate that you can make money

trading without having to guess.

The probability of each wave ending at

the levels I predicted was over 80%.

Such a high probability of knowledge of where to place my entries and

targets allowed me to become much more profitable. But, it wasn’t just

that – you know that psychology plays a huge part in trading, especially

when you’re managing large amounts of money.

The research has allowed me to trade with a confidence that traders

never experience.

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Main Research Steps

To start our research, we need to select the currency pair first. I selected

EUR/USD since it’s a currency that everyone is familiar with and the pair

is volatile.

To make the study relevant, we can’t just use 1 week of data, so to

ensure that we are going to get significant amounts of patterns we are

going to use 12 weeks’ worth of data (3 months).

Starting point: 01 July, 2015

Ending point: 01 October, 2015

Finally, we need to select a timeframe. If we analyze the EUR/USD pair on

a 4 hour timeframe over the last 3 months, we can see that we had

sideways movements. So we should select a smaller time frame, and I

selected 30 minutes as the ideal timeframe for our study.

Now we are going to separate our research into two parts:

Part #1 - Spotting Patterns

Part #2 - Checking Fib Levels

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Part #1 - Spotting Patterns

Here we take on one of the wave patterns (Impulsive Waves) that I teach

in Elliott Wave DNA. The pattern is simple and has a 5-wave structure

that moves in the direction of larger trend.

What I found out in my research and years of experience is that those

waves act in a predictable manner.

Figure 2 illustrates what the five-wave bullish Impulse pattern looks like.

Figure 2: Five-wave bullish Impulse pattern

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Part #2 - Fib Levels

Elliott Wave Theory works really well with Fibonacci numbers. Fibonacci is

also something that traders have used for a long time and are still getting

good results with. So, it’s not difficult to see why the two work so well for

me.

For this research, I’ve tested all five waves with all the Fibonacci numbers

and combinations. The results gave me highly accurate predictions of

where each of the waves will start and end.

Important: Fibonacci levels are

key support and resistance levels

over 80% of the time, but in the

other 20% of cases, price can

reverse somewhere between the

two levels. In that case we use

the closest level (for example, if

the price had reversed between

50% and 61.8%, we will use

61.8% if the price was closer to

that level and 50% if the price was

close to that level). Figure 3: Selecting the closest level

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Total Motive Patterns Found

I managed to find 52 valid Impulsive patterns, so that provides just half

of the trading opportunities you could identify in last 90 days on EUR/USD

pair.

Now we are going to go and manually check Fibonacci levels for waves 2,

3, 4 and 5 to determine what the best levels are that we should use

for our entries and target points.

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Fibonacci Results

Wave 2

As I mentioned earlier, there are secret numbers in every market that

most people have no idea are there.

For example, let’s take one of the waves that I teach in Elliott Wave

DNA. This wave we will label as wave 2. I know as an absolute scientific

fact that when wave 1 forms and then pulls back, that there is a 82%

probability that it will pull back between 50% and 78.6% of the Fibonacci

Retracements of wave 1.

As you can see from the frequency histogram above, the most common

Wave 2 retracements are between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios.

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Let’s see what that looks like on a chart:

As you can see, wave 2 indeed ended between the predicted levels.

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Wave 3

I also know for a scientific fact that the market will then form wave 3 and

that there is 86% probability that it will extend between 127.2% and

261.8%, with the peak (highest probability) at 161.8% of the Fibonacci

Extensions of wave 1.

I know it might be sounding a little technical at this stage but don’t worry.

I promise you it’s not as difficult as it looks.

Wave 3 is usually the most powerful wave in the Motive phase and as you

can see from the histogram above and the example below, the most

common Wave 3 extensions are indeed between the 127.2% and 261.8%

Fibonacci ratios.

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Wave 4

Next I looked at wave 4, and my research shows me that there is an 81%

chance that it will retrace between 23.6% and 38.2% of the Fibonacci

Retracements of wave 3.

Wave 4 is usually the complex wave and the most common Wave 4

retracements are between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci ratios.

The Image below illustrates the accuracy of the prediction.

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Wave 5

The last wave is wave 5 and based on my research, I found and

scientifically proved that there is an 83% probability that it will extend

between 127.2% and 161.8% of the Fibonacci Extensions of wave 4.

Wave 5 is the final wave in our pattern and as you can see from the

histogram above, the most common Wave 5 levels are between the

inverse 127.2% and inverse 161.8% Fibonacci ratios.

On the example below, you can clearly see that our predictions were

correct.

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I have only covered some of the waves in my research for Elliott Wave

DNA, because the bulk of my research is exclusively for my private

members at Elliott Wave DNA.

If you would like to know about how I trade and how you can join me,

just go here:

www.ElliottWaveDNA.com

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Conclusion

Elliott Wave traders know where market is going to move next and this

study showed us that the market, after almost 100 years, is doing exactly

the same thing over and over again.

It doesn’t matter what time frame you trade, Elliott Wave DNA will tell

you what will happen next.

Elliott Waves have been profitable for almost 100 years and they will

continue to profitable for the next 100 year, because human emotion has

not change, and will not change any time soon.

You can see that a scientific approach to trading, including research, can

give you an advantage and more confidence when you trade.

I really hope that these hidden numbers I’ve revealed to you will help you

in your trading, as well as show you the importance of a scientific

approach to trading, that includes research and testing.

I wish you the very best in all your trading endeavors.

Trade Like A Professional

www.ElliottWaveDNA.com