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Crude Oil Export Directions from Kazakhstan Kairgeldy Kabyldin Deputy General Director Caspian Pipeline Consortium

Crude Oil Export Directions from Kazakhstan · 2017. 6. 29. · CPC Blend vs Urals crude price relationships 6 CPC blend is going to have a price discount relative to its actual refining

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  • Crude Oil Export Directions from Kazakhstan

    Kairgeldy Kabyldin

    Deputy General Director

    Caspian Pipeline Consortium

  • 2

    TransneftBaltic Sea2400 km

    TransneftPolish Border

    2600 km

    CPC Black Sea1500 km

    BTC Mediterranean

    2800 km

    Kazakhstan-China Chinese Border 2800 kmChinese coast 6000 km

    Russia/Kazakhstan border –Kazakhstan/China border

    1900 km

    Diversification of Export Routes from Kazakhstan

  • Importers of Kazakhstan Crude

    3

  • CPC – main export route

    4

  • CPC Blend value under pressure as volumes grow

    -3.500

    -3.000

    -2.500

    -2.000

    -1.500

    -1.000

    -0.500

    0.000

    0.500

    1.000

    1.500

    04 Jan 2016 04 Mar 2016 04 May 2016 04 Jul 2016 04 Sep 2016 04 Nov 2016 04 Jan 2017 04 Mar 2017 04 May 2017

    Differentials toNorth Sea Dated

    CPC Blend URALS Med (140kt) URALS Med (80kt) Sib Light Med

    5

    Increase in CPC Blend shipment volumes;

    Demand in Europe for CPC Blend is restricted by high mercaptan and aggressive components content;

    Larger Suezmax tankers used to ship CPC have restricted number of destinations in Europe as some

    European ports accept only smaller vessels;

    Demand for CPC in Asia has sharply increased but not enough to support the price of CPC Blend.

    Source: Argus

  • CPC Blend vs Urals crude price relationships

    6

    CPC blend is going to have a price discount relative to its actual refiningvalue in the Mediterranean market for some time to come.

  • China Oil Import Prices

    Daf AlashankouBrent-5,83

    Iranian LightBrent-2,0

    NB Urals (Ust-Luga)Brent-7,3

    NB CPC: Brent-6,8

    Астана

    Cif ШанхайIranian Light: Brent+3,67

    Girassol: Brent+5,8

    ESPO (Fob Козьмино)Brent+1,88

    Сковородино

    Angola GirassolBrent-0,2 7