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County Associations and State Governments: Working Together Toward Smart Justice
By Michael Thompson
October 24, 2013
• National non-profit, non-partisan membership association of state government officials
• Represents all three branches of state government
• Provides practical, nonpartisan advice informed by the best available evidence
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 2
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 3
Austin, TX
New York, NY Seattle, WA
Bethesda, MD
90 staff in 4 offices
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 4
Criminal Justice / Mental Health Consensus Project
School Discipline Consensus Project
National Reentry Resource Center
Major Initiatives Underway Regarding Youth, Mental Health, and Reentry
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 5
Justice Reinvestment in 18 States
NV
AZ
TX
WI
IN
VT
RI CT
HI
OK
KS
NH
WV
PA
ID
MI
NH
NC
OH
County data and stakeholder input enriches analysis and justice reinvestment policies
Council of State Governments
6
Require the use of a pretrial risk screen within 3 days of booking to identify those with greatest risk of
flight
42% of the regional jail population is
pretrial
25% of prison admissions
are misdemeanor offenders – with a 3-
month average length of stay
Misdemeanor offenders may be housed in a jail if:
The sheriff voluntarily accepts Bed space exists Reimbursed by new state funds
Probation violators spend lengthy periods
in jail awaiting hearings
Create a 30-day cap in statute for probationers awaiting violation
hearings
STATE FINDING POLICY
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 7
Overview
Understand the latest science and research
Improve outcomes for people with mental illnesses in contact with justice system
Reduce re-offense rates for people released from jail
Recidivism across the states
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 8
Knowledge on Improving Criminal Justice Outcomes Has Increased Dramatically Over the Last 20 Years
Academics and practitioners have contributed to this growing body of research
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 9
What are 3-4 things I need to know about what works to reduce recidivism?
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 10
“Just as helpful as pointing out commonly made mistakes are the cutting-edge practices identified in the report. … The report, in other words, should be required reading.”
-The Washington Post, February 27, 2011
1. Focus on individuals most likely to reoffend
2. Base programs on science and ensure quality
3. Implement effective community supervision policies and practices
4. Apply place-based strategies
Identify and Focus on Higher-Risk Offenders
Who?
LOW 10%
re-arrested
MODERATE 35%
re-arrested
HIGH 70%
re-arrested
Risk of Re-offending
Without Risk Assessment… With Risk Assessment…
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 11
1. Focus on individuals most likely to reoffend
TITLE (Ohio)
• Adopted a common set of risk assessment instruments across the state’s criminal justice system.
• Ensured that program placement is driven by risk assessment score. *Presentation by Latessa, “What Works and What Doesn’t in Reducing Recidivism: Applying the Principles of Effective
Intervention to Offender Reentry”
Average Difference in Recidivism by Risk for Halfway House Offenders
Low Risk
+ 3 %
Moderate Risk
- 6 %
High Risk
- 14 %
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 12
1. Focus on individuals most likely to reoffend
Target the Factors that Evidence Shows Are Most Central to Criminal Behavior
Criminal Behavior
Leisure
Family
Employment/ Education
Substance Use
Thinking
Peers
Personality
Past Criminality*
Antisocial The Big Four
(impacting these are the major drivers to reducing
criminal behavior)
Higher-risk offenders are likely to have more of the
Big Four. Programs targeting these
needs can significantly lower recidivism rates
* Past criminality cannot be changed.
Housing
What?
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 13
1. Focus on individuals most likely to reoffend
After Who and What Are Answered, Supervision and Programming Should Be Well Targeted
Low Supervision/
Program Intensity
Moderate Supervision/
Program Intensity
High Supervision/
Program Intensity
LOW 10% re-arrested
MODERATE 35% re-arrested
HIGH 70% re-arrested
Risk of Re-offending
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 14
2. Base programs on science and ensure quality
Ensure Funded Programs Are Reducing Recidivism
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 15
2. Base programs on science and ensure quality
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 16
Ensure Programs Are High Quality and Properly Implemented
Program Effectiveness (reduced recidivism)
Is the program based on principles demonstrated to be effective?
Are program staff properly trained?
Is program matched with appropriate client population?
Is program implemented as designed?
Is performance tracked and measured against expectations?
How Well?
2. Base programs on science and ensure quality
Where and How Treatment Is Delivered Impacts the Degree of Recidivism Reduction
Source: Lee, S., Aos, S., Drake, E., Pennucci, A., Miller, M., & Anderson, L. (2012). Return on investment: Evidence-based options to improve statewide outcomes, April 2012 (Document No. 12-04-1201). Olympia: Washington State Institute for Public Policy.
Impact of Treatment Intervention on Recidivism Rates
Supervision, with effective “RNR” principles, yields the biggest recidivism reduction
Source: Latessa, Lovins, and Smith, “ Follow-up Evaluation of Ohio’s Community Based Correctional Facilities, Outcome Study, February 2010
-24% -30%
-17%
Supervision with Risk Need + Responsivity
Drug Treatment in the
Community
Drug Treatment in Prison
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 17
2. Base programs on science and ensure quality
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 18
Elements of Effective Supervision
Use a graduated range of sanctions and incentives to guide specific type of response to violations and compliance.
Enable officers to respond meaningfully to violations without delay or time-consuming processes.
Prioritize the most expensive, restrictive sanctions for offenders committing the most serious violations.
Focus supervision officer time and program resources on the highest-risk offenders. Dosage/Intensity
Consistency
Swiftness
Cost-effectiveness
3. Implement effective community supervision policies and practices
Prison Admissions Hotspots Arizona, 2004
60% of the State’s prison population comes from and returns to the Phoenix-Mesa metropolitan area.
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 19
4. Apply place-based strategies
Prison Admissions Hotspots Maricopa County, 2004
South Mountain Zip Code 85041
Prison Admissions = 31.8 per 1000 adults
Jail Bookings = 96.5 per 1000 adults
Probation = 25.1 per 1000 adults
A single neighborhood in Phoenix is home to 1% of the state’s total population but 6.5% of the state’s prison population
4. Apply place-based strategies
Central City Estrella
Laveen
Encanto
Alhambra
North Mountain
Camelback East
Within high expenditure neighborhoods there are numerous, smaller area, million dollar block groups
$1.8 Million
$1.1 Million
$1.6 Million
Glendale
Maryvale
South Mountain
Prison Expenditures in Dollars Maricopa County, 2004
4. Apply place-based strategies
High Density of Probationers in South Phoenix
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 22
4. Apply place-based strategies
Reducing Criminal Behavior Requires Focusing on Risk, Need, and Responsivity
Responsivity
Risk
Need
Deliver programs the same way to every
offender
Deliver programs based on offender learning style, motivation,
and/or circumstances
Supervise everyone the same way
Assess risk of recidivism and focus supervision on the highest-risk
offenders
Assign programs that feel or seem effective
Prioritize programs addressing the needs most associated with
recidivism
Evidence-Based Practices Traditional Approach
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 23
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 24
Overview
Understand the latest science and research
Improve outcomes for people with mental illnesses in contact with justice system
Reduce re-offense rates for people released from jail
Alcohol and Drug Use Disorders: Significant Factor in Jail and Prisons
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Household Jail State Prison
Alcohol use disorder(Includes alcoholabuse anddependence)
Drug use disorder(Includes drug abuseand dependence)
2 %
47 %
54 %
44 %
53 %
Source: Abrams & Teplin (2010)
Perc
ent o
f Pop
ulat
ion
8 %
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 25
5%
95%
72%
83%
17% 28%
General Population Jail Population
Serious Mental Illness
No Serious Mental Illness
Serious Mental Illness
No Serious Mental Illness
Co-Occurring Substance Use Disorder No Co-Occurring Substance Use Disorder
Prevalence of Serious Mental Illness and Co-Occurring Disorders in Jail Populations
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 26
County Officials: “Jails are the wrong place to treat mental illnesses”
“New York City jails, like jails across the country, have disproportionately high numbers of inmates whose mental health needs present unique challenges.” -- Deputy Mayor Gibbs, Health and Human Services, New York, NY
“Our jails are increasingly a place of last resort for offenders who are mentally ill. Even as the department’s total inmate population continues to fall, this group is unable to get out or stay out.” -- Commissioner Dora Schriro, Department of Corrections, New York, NY
”I would welcome the chance to take all of our mentally ill and medically challenged inmates…and put them somewhere they could get programming, but I haven’t heard anyone stepping up to do that.” -- Sheriff David Mahoney, Dane County, WI
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 27
“In every city and state I have visited, the jails have become the de facto mental institutions…there are not enough resources out there to care for them [mentally ill].” -- Sheriff Tom Dart, Cook County, IL
Case Study: Florida Counties
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 28 St. Petersburg Times, November 2007
Ocala Star-Banner, November 2007 Lakeland Ledger, February 2001
Flowchart of select events in the Orange County Criminal Justice System
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 29 http://static.nicic.gov/Library/022134.pdf
Identification of mental health pretrial release program participants
http://static.nicic.gov/Library/022134.pdf
Entry into mental health pretrial release program 53,091 7,260
Detainees who participated in the program were released from jail and put under the MHPTR program’s supervision.
36 percent of the 1,101 detainees referred to the program did not participate because they had already been released from jail. Others did not participate because they did not meet the clinical criteria, declined to participate, had a history of violence, were not an Orange County resident, or had been referred to another program. http://static.nicic.gov/Library/022134.pdf
Completion of mental health pretrial release program 53,091 7,260
Offenders have satisfied their charges with the court system without further arrests. Time in program for successful participants varies depending on when participants satisfy their charges without further arrests
Offenders are returned to jail on an outstanding warrant, another arrest/charge, or a revocation due to noncompliance with the conditions of the MHPTR program prior to the disposition of current charges http://static.nicic.gov/Library/022134.pdf
Not all Substance Use Disorders are Alike
Abstinence
Dependence
The Substance Use Disorder Continuum
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 33
Mental Illnesses In the General Population
Diagnosable mental
disorders 16%
Serious mental
disorders 5%
Severe mental
disorders 2.5%
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 34
Not All Mental Illnesses Are Alike
Risk/Needs Assessment 101: Science Reveals New Tools to Manage Offenders, http://www.pewstates.org/uploadedFiles/PCS_Assets/2011/Pew_Risk_Assessment_brief.pdf
Criminal Justice Risk on a Continuum
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 35
• Develop a shared language around the risk of criminal activity and public health needs
• Integrate the best practices in mental health treatment, substance abuse treatment, and recidivism reduction
• Help system administrators allocate scarce resources more
wisely • Maximize the impact of interventions on public safety and
public health
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 36
Why a Framework Was Needed
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 37
The Framework
Low Criminogenic Risk
(low)
Medium to High Criminogenic Risk
(med/high)
Low Severity of Substance Abuse
(low)
Substance Dependence
(med/high)
Low Severity of Substance Abuse
(low)
Substance Dependence
(med/high)
Low Severity of
Mental Illness(low)
Serious Mental Illness
(med/high)
Low Severity of
Mental Illness(low)
Serious Mental Illness
(med/high)
Low Severity of
Mental Illness(low)
Serious Mental Illness
(med/high)
Low Severity of
Mental Illness(low)
Serious Mental Illness
(med/high)
Group 1I – L CR: lowSA: lowMI: low
Group 2II – L CR: lowSA: lowMI: med/high
Group 3III – L CR: lowSA: med/highMI: low
Group 4IV – L CR: lowSA: med/highMI: med/high
Group 5I – H CR: med/highSA: lowMI: low
Group 6II – H CR: med/highSA: lowMI: med/high
Group 7III – H CR: med/highSA: med/highMI: low
Group 8IV – HCR: med/highSA: med/highMI: med/high
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 38
NYC: Why is the number of people with mental illnesses increasing in our jail?
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 39
3,319 4,391
10,257 7,557
2005 2012
M GroupNon-M Group
76% 63%
37% 24%
13,576 Total 11,948
Total
NYC Jail Population (2005-2012) Average Daily Jail Population (ADP)
and ADP with Mental Health Diagnosis
Analyses Revealed Greatest Potential Impact by Addressing Pretrial Detainee
Population
Pretrial 62% Sentence
d 24% State Prison
Sentence 15%
ALOS for Pretrial Admissions (Days)
79
40
81 60
ALOS for Sentenced Admissions (Days)
NYC Analyses Reveal Greatest Potential Impact by Addressing Pretrial Detainee Population
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 40
20.8%
11.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Similar minimum bail amounts set but M group much less likely to make bail
% Making Bail Post-Arraignment
Lowest amount needed for release
(grouped median)
Felony Misd.
$4,784 $4,769 $1,055 $1,001
NYC Adopts Changes & Begins Implementation
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 41
City releases RFP for CIRT Provider Applications City starts development of IT infrastructure to share appropriate
information
December Spring Fall 2012 2013
Spring
2011 2013 Summer
2013
Mayor announces the allocation of nearly $10 million to create “Court-based Intervention and Resource Teams” (CIRTs) to serve over 3,000 clients with mental health needs annually
Justice Center Final Report City selects CIRT providers for each
borough and negotiates performance based contracts
Borough-specific implementation planning begins with goal of serving first clients by December 2013
Johnson County, KS
Hillsborough, NH
New York City, NY
Bexar County, TX
Mental Health Assessment
✔
✔
✔−
Substance Abuse Assessment
✔−
Risk Assessment
✔−
Significant Challenge #1: No county effectively screening and assessing, and recording in an info
system
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 42
Concerns that too much information undermines defense or prosecution strategies
Confusion about distinctions between risk and need, dangerousness, and failure to appear
Few sites using information to inform conditions of release, supervision intensity, or service package
Significant Challenge #2: Results of assessment not driving decision making
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 43
Static Risk Factors Dynamic Risk Factors
Criminal history number of arrests number of convictions type of offenses Current charges Age at first arrest Current age Gender
Anti-social attitudes Anti-social friends and peers Anti-social personality pattern Substance abuse Family and/or marital factors Lack of education Poor employment history Lack of pro-social leisure activities
Significant Challenge #3: Workforce not ready to apply these concepts/strategies
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 44
Behavioral Health
Criminal Justice
Reluctance to focus on higher risk individuals
Insufficient skillsets involving cognitive behavioral interventions targeting needs
Serious shortages in treatment capacity
Judges are skeptical (NY training example)
Community corrections, jail, and prison staff need improved understanding of mental health issues and how to serve this population effectively
Significant Challenge #3: Workforce not ready to apply these concepts/strategies
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 45
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 46
Overview
Understand the latest science and research
Improve outcomes for people with mental illnesses in contact with justice system
Reduce re-offense rates for people released from jail
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 47
Texas Counties: How do we compare rates of recidivism across counties?
County Recidivism Rate
Harris 40%
Dallas 30%
Bexar 28%
Tarrant 30%
Travis 37%
Average 33%
Comparable Recidivism Measure
Step 1: Set baseline for counties to get comparable recidivism measure
Measure recidivism of jail releases, probationers and
parolees to the county
Later steps: Track changes in recidivism over time Review why recidivism rates may vary by county Review relation of recidivism rates to county practices and programs
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 48
Recidivism is a Return to Criminal Activity after Previous Criminal Involvement
Fabelo, Tony and Nancy Arrigona. March 1991. Recommended Methodologies for State Criminal Justice Agencies. State of Texas. Accessed March 4, 2013 http://www.lbb.state.tx.us/Public_Safety_Criminal_Justice/Reports/UniRecid.pdf
Y. Outcome tracked
Rearrest Conviction
Return to Incarceration
Z. Uniform follow up period
Follow up matters – a one year rate will track offenders for 12 months
X. Released during time period
Fiscal year
Calendar year
Recidivism Rate
The number of offenders in a county under community supervision
(probation or parole) or released from custody during time period (X) with outcome (Y) within (Z) number of
months
Number of offenders under community supervision or released from custody during time period (X)
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 49
Need Standard Definition of Recidivism
Definition Re-arrest
Percent Re-arrested One Year Uniform
Tracking Period
Uniform one, two and three year follow-up Follow-up
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 50
Harris Probation “Learning Site” Report to Judicial Officials, April 18, 2012
Re-arrest Rate for Probationers in Harris County
Felons Percent Re-arrested after Three Years
1 year 2 year 3 year 36%
Misdemeanors Percent Re-arrested after Three Years
1 year 2 year 3 year 27%
Overall Recidivism Rate
30%
18% 27%
13% 21%
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 51
Need to Access Data in Multiple Storage Systems
Case Data to Be Requested – Calendar Year 2011
County Jail Releases
CSTS Probation Admissions
TDCJ Releases to Parole
Data – CY 2011-12
DPS Criminal History
SID Admission Date Release Date Release Type Offense Type Offense Level
SID Admission Date Completion Date County Offense Type Offense Level Risk Score Risk Cutoff
SID Parole Start Date Parole End Date County of Release Offense Type Offense Level Risk Score Risk Cutoff
Arrests for each SID Date of Arrest Date of Birth Gender Race/Ethnicity
Recidivism Data Collection Elements
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 52
Need to Make Rates Comparable Across Counties by Controlling for Risk
Use risk assessment from county jail data for offenders
Ideal Measure
Build a proxy risk score using static factors (age, gender,
criminal history) from the county jail and criminal history file
Working Measure If unavailable
Risk assessment in criminal justice is a systematic methodology to determine the risk of recidivism of
an offender for a variety of purposes using:
Static Factors
(cannot change)
Dynamic Factors
(can change)
Prior conviction history Age at first conviction
Employment status Treatment completion
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 53
Harris Probation “Learning Site” Report to Judicial Officials, April 18, 2012
Recidivism Probationers by Risk in Harris County
Minimum
Three Year Recidivism Rate for Felons by Wisconsin and Combined LSI-R Risk Categories
Wisconsin LSI-R
23.6% 25.2%
Medium
Wisconsin LSI-R
36.8% 34.1%
Maximum
Wisconsin LSI-R
47.9% 41.3%
Wisconsin = 11 Risk Factors LSI-R = 44 Risk Factors
Summary
Outcome Measurement
Risk Offense level
Demographics
Key Elements
Uniform Follow-Up Period Control for Risk
365 days from release for each offender
County Jail Release: Rearrest Probation and Parole: Rearrest
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 54
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 55
Determine Logistics for Extracting Data
• Houses the data? Who
• Data is available for extraction? What
• Can the data be extracted? When • Do we need to get permission for the
extraction? Where • Do we want to structure the file
extract? How
• Leverage state county association networks to offer trainings, disseminate latest information
• Coordinate closely with state county associations when we
work intensively in a state/county • Partner with state county associations to pilot concepts in
particular sites and then replicate lessons in other counties • Imbed capacity in state county associations to provide
technical assistance to county officials
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 56
Counties Are Where It’s At
Council of State Governments Justice Center | 57
Thank You Report at: www.justicecenter.csg.org [email protected]
The presentation was developed by members of the Council of State Governments Justice Center staff. The statements made reflect the views of the authors, and should not be considered the official position of the Justice Center, the members of the Council of State Governments, or the funding agency supporting the work. Citations available for statistics presented in preceding slides available on CSG Justice Center web site.