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Corporate Financial Theory. Lecture 10. Derivatives. Insurance Risk Management Lloyds Ship Building Jet Fuel Cost Predictability Revenue Certainty. Underlying Assets. Stocks ( example ) Bonds Indices Commodities ( examples for metal and ag . ) Currencies Weather Carbon emissions - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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CORPORATE FINANCIALTHEORYLecture 10
DerivativesInsuranceRisk ManagementLloydsShip BuildingJet FuelCost PredictabilityRevenue Certainty
Stocks (example) Bonds Indices Commodities (examples for metal and ag.) Currencies Weather Carbon emissions Radio bandwidth
Underlying Assets
Arbitrage Speculation Hedging
Derivative Uses
Derivatives are financial instruments whose price and value derive from the value of the underlying assets or other variables (ISDA)
Derivatives are a “zero sum game” Example: Insurance
Derivatives Definition
Derivatives & OptionsHistorical Topics (Internal to the Corp)1 - Capital Budgeting (Investment)2 - Capital Structure (Financing)
TodayWe are leaving Internal Corporate Finance
We are going to Wall St & “Capital Markets”
Options - financial and corporateOptions are a type of derivative
Options
assetbuy toObligationasset sell Right tooptionPut asset sell toObligationassetbuy Right tooption Call
ShortLong
OptionsTerminology Derivatives - Any financial instrument that is derived from
another. (e.g.. options, warrants, futures, swaps, etc.) Option - Gives the holder the right to buy or sell a security at a
specified price during a specified period of time. Call Option - The right to buy a security at a specified price
within a specified time. Put Option - The right to sell a security at a specified price within
a specified time. Option Premium - The price paid for the option, above the price
of the underlying security. Intrinsic Value - Diff between the strike price and the stock price Time Premium - Value of option above the intrinsic value
OptionsTerminologyExercise Price - (Striking Price) The price at which you buy or sell the security.Expiration Date - The last date on which the option can be exercised. American Option - Can be exercised at any time prior to and including the expiration date.European Option - Can be exercised only on the expiration date.
All options “usually” act like European options because you make more money if you sell the option before expiration (vs. exercising it). 3 vs. 70-68=2
Option ValueThe value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price.
Option ValueThe value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price.
Example - Option values given a exercise price of $85
00051525ValuePut 25155000Value Call
110100908070$60eStock Pric
OptionsCBOE Success1 - Creation of a central options market place.2 - Creation of Clearing Corp - the guarantor of all trades.3 - Standardized expiration dates - 3rd Friday4 - Created a secondary market
Option ValueComponents of the Option Price1 - Underlying stock price2 - Striking or Exercise price3 - Volatility of the stock returns (standard
deviation of annual returns)4 - Time to option expiration5 - Time value of money (discount rate)
)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
Option Value
OC- Call Option PriceP - Stock PriceN(d1) - Cumulative normal density function of (d1)PV(EX) - Present Value of Strike or Exercise price N(d2) - Cumulative normal density function of (d2)r - discount rate (90 day comm paper rate or risk free rate)t - time to maturity of option (as % of year)v - volatility - annualized standard deviation of daily returns
)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
rteEXEXPV )(
factordiscount gcompoundin continuous1
rtrt
ee
N(d1)=
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
tvtrd
vEXP )()ln( 2
1
2
Cumulative Normal Density Function
tvtrd
vEXP )()ln( 2
1
2
tvdd 12
Call Option
3070.1 d
tvtrd
vEXP )()ln( 2
1
2
3794.6206.1)( 1 dN
ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365
.3070 = .3= .00= .007
Call Option
3065.6935.1)(5056.
2
2
12
dNd
tvdd
ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365
Call Option
70.1$)40(3065.363794.
)()()()2466)(.10(.
21
C
C
rtC
OeO
eEXdNPdNO
ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365
Put - Call Parity
Put Price = Call + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div.
or
Put = Call + EX(e-rt)– Ps - Carrying Cost + Div.
Carrying cost = r x EX x t
Put - Call ParityExample
ABC is selling at $41 a share. A six month May 40 Call is selling for $4.00. If a May $ .50 dividend is expected and r=10%, what is the put price?
OP = OC + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div.
OP = 4 + 40 - 41 - (.10x 40 x .50) + .50
OP = 3 - 2 + .5
Op = $1.50
Warrants & Convertibles Review Topics (not going over in class)
Warrant - a call option with a longer time to expiration. Value a warrant as an option, plus factor in dividends and dilution.
Convertible - Bond with the option to exchange it for stock. Value as a regular bond + a call option.
Won’t require detailed valuation - general concept on valuation + new option calc and old bond calc.
Option Strategies Option Strategies are viewed via charts.
How do you chart an option?
Stock Price
Profit
Loss
• Long Stock Bought stock @ Ps = 100
P/L Ps100 11090
+10
-10
Option Strategies
Option Strategies Long Call Bought Call @ Oc = 3 S=27
Ps=30
P/L Ps30 3627
+6
-3
Option Strategies Short Call Sold Call @ Oc = 3 S=27
Ps=30
P/L Ps30 3627
-6
+3
Option Strategies Long Put = Buy Put @ Op = 2 S=15
Ps=13
P/L Ps13 1510
-2
+3
Option Strategies Short Put = Sell Put @ Op = 2 S=15
Ps=13
P/L Ps13 1510
-3
+2
Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call
@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27
P/L Ps27 3024-1.50
+1.50
Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call
@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27
P/L Ps27 3024-1.50
+1.50
Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call
@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27
P/L Ps27 3024-1.50
+1.50
Option StrategiesWhy? 1 - Reduce risk - butterfly spread 2 - Gamble - reverse straddle 3 - Arbitrage - as in synthetics
Arbitrage - If the price of a synthetic stock is different than the price of the actual stock, an opportunity for profit exists.
Recall discussion on Real Options
Dilution
NqNNqV
EXexerciseafter price Share
shares goutstandin of #shares new of #1
1factorDilution
Expanding the binomial model to allow more possible price changes
1 step 2 steps 4 steps (2 outcomes) (3 outcomes) (5 outcomes)
etc. etc.
Binomial vs. Black Scholes