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CORPORATE FINANCIAL THEORY Lecture 10

Corporate Financial Theory

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Corporate Financial Theory. Lecture 10. Derivatives. Insurance Risk Management Lloyds Ship Building Jet Fuel Cost Predictability Revenue Certainty. Underlying Assets. Stocks ( example ) Bonds Indices Commodities ( examples for metal and ag . ) Currencies Weather Carbon emissions - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Corporate  Financial Theory

CORPORATE FINANCIALTHEORYLecture 10

Page 2: Corporate  Financial Theory

DerivativesInsuranceRisk ManagementLloydsShip BuildingJet FuelCost PredictabilityRevenue Certainty

Page 3: Corporate  Financial Theory

Stocks (example) Bonds Indices Commodities (examples for metal and ag.) Currencies Weather Carbon emissions Radio bandwidth

Underlying Assets

Page 4: Corporate  Financial Theory

Arbitrage Speculation Hedging

Derivative Uses

Page 5: Corporate  Financial Theory

Derivatives are financial instruments whose price and value derive from the value of the underlying assets or other variables (ISDA)

Derivatives are a “zero sum game” Example: Insurance

Derivatives Definition

Page 6: Corporate  Financial Theory

Derivatives & OptionsHistorical Topics (Internal to the Corp)1 - Capital Budgeting (Investment)2 - Capital Structure (Financing)

TodayWe are leaving Internal Corporate Finance

We are going to Wall St & “Capital Markets”

Options - financial and corporateOptions are a type of derivative

Page 7: Corporate  Financial Theory

Options

assetbuy toObligationasset sell Right tooptionPut asset sell toObligationassetbuy Right tooption Call

ShortLong

Page 8: Corporate  Financial Theory

OptionsTerminology Derivatives - Any financial instrument that is derived from

another. (e.g.. options, warrants, futures, swaps, etc.) Option - Gives the holder the right to buy or sell a security at a

specified price during a specified period of time. Call Option - The right to buy a security at a specified price

within a specified time. Put Option - The right to sell a security at a specified price within

a specified time. Option Premium - The price paid for the option, above the price

of the underlying security. Intrinsic Value - Diff between the strike price and the stock price Time Premium - Value of option above the intrinsic value

Page 9: Corporate  Financial Theory

OptionsTerminologyExercise Price - (Striking Price) The price at which you buy or sell the security.Expiration Date - The last date on which the option can be exercised. American Option - Can be exercised at any time prior to and including the expiration date.European Option - Can be exercised only on the expiration date.

All options “usually” act like European options because you make more money if you sell the option before expiration (vs. exercising it). 3 vs. 70-68=2

Page 10: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option ValueThe value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price.

Page 11: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option ValueThe value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price.

Example - Option values given a exercise price of $85

00051525ValuePut 25155000Value Call

110100908070$60eStock Pric

Page 12: Corporate  Financial Theory

OptionsCBOE Success1 - Creation of a central options market place.2 - Creation of Clearing Corp - the guarantor of all trades.3 - Standardized expiration dates - 3rd Friday4 - Created a secondary market

Page 13: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option ValueComponents of the Option Price1 - Underlying stock price2 - Striking or Exercise price3 - Volatility of the stock returns (standard

deviation of annual returns)4 - Time to option expiration5 - Time value of money (discount rate)

Page 14: Corporate  Financial Theory

)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

Option Value

Page 15: Corporate  Financial Theory

OC- Call Option PriceP - Stock PriceN(d1) - Cumulative normal density function of (d1)PV(EX) - Present Value of Strike or Exercise price N(d2) - Cumulative normal density function of (d2)r - discount rate (90 day comm paper rate or risk free rate)t - time to maturity of option (as % of year)v - volatility - annualized standard deviation of daily returns

)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

Page 16: Corporate  Financial Theory

)()()( 21 EXPVdNPdNOC

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

rteEXEXPV )(

factordiscount gcompoundin continuous1

rtrt

ee

Page 17: Corporate  Financial Theory

N(d1)=

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

tvtrd

vEXP )()ln( 2

1

2

Page 18: Corporate  Financial Theory
Page 19: Corporate  Financial Theory

Cumulative Normal Density Function

tvtrd

vEXP )()ln( 2

1

2

tvdd 12

Page 20: Corporate  Financial Theory

Call Option

3070.1 d

tvtrd

vEXP )()ln( 2

1

2

3794.6206.1)( 1 dN

ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365

Page 21: Corporate  Financial Theory

.3070 = .3= .00= .007

Page 22: Corporate  Financial Theory

Call Option

3065.6935.1)(5056.

2

2

12

dNd

tvdd

ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365

Page 23: Corporate  Financial Theory

Call Option

70.1$)40(3065.363794.

)()()()2466)(.10(.

21

C

C

rtC

OeO

eEXdNPdNO

ExampleWhat is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365

Page 24: Corporate  Financial Theory

Put - Call Parity

Put Price = Call + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div.

or

Put = Call + EX(e-rt)– Ps - Carrying Cost + Div.

Carrying cost = r x EX x t

Page 25: Corporate  Financial Theory

Put - Call ParityExample

ABC is selling at $41 a share. A six month May 40 Call is selling for $4.00. If a May $ .50 dividend is expected and r=10%, what is the put price?

OP = OC + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div.

OP = 4 + 40 - 41 - (.10x 40 x .50) + .50

OP = 3 - 2 + .5

Op = $1.50

Page 26: Corporate  Financial Theory

Warrants & Convertibles Review Topics (not going over in class)

Warrant - a call option with a longer time to expiration. Value a warrant as an option, plus factor in dividends and dilution.

Convertible - Bond with the option to exchange it for stock. Value as a regular bond + a call option.

Won’t require detailed valuation - general concept on valuation + new option calc and old bond calc.

Page 27: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies Option Strategies are viewed via charts.

How do you chart an option?

Stock Price

Profit

Loss

Page 28: Corporate  Financial Theory

• Long Stock Bought stock @ Ps = 100

P/L Ps100 11090

+10

-10

Option Strategies

Page 29: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies Long Call Bought Call @ Oc = 3 S=27

Ps=30

P/L Ps30 3627

+6

-3

Page 30: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies Short Call Sold Call @ Oc = 3 S=27

Ps=30

P/L Ps30 3627

-6

+3

Page 31: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies Long Put = Buy Put @ Op = 2 S=15

Ps=13

P/L Ps13 1510

-2

+3

Page 32: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies Short Put = Sell Put @ Op = 2 S=15

Ps=13

P/L Ps13 1510

-3

+2

Page 33: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call

@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27

P/L Ps27 3024-1.50

+1.50

Page 34: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call

@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27

P/L Ps27 3024-1.50

+1.50

Page 35: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option Strategies• Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call

@ • Oc = 1.50 Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27

P/L Ps27 3024-1.50

+1.50

Page 36: Corporate  Financial Theory

Option StrategiesWhy? 1 - Reduce risk - butterfly spread 2 - Gamble - reverse straddle 3 - Arbitrage - as in synthetics

Arbitrage - If the price of a synthetic stock is different than the price of the actual stock, an opportunity for profit exists.

Recall discussion on Real Options

Page 37: Corporate  Financial Theory

Dilution

NqNNqV

EXexerciseafter price Share

shares goutstandin of #shares new of #1

1factorDilution

Page 38: Corporate  Financial Theory

Expanding the binomial model to allow more possible price changes

1 step 2 steps 4 steps (2 outcomes) (3 outcomes) (5 outcomes)

etc. etc.

Binomial vs. Black Scholes