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Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Future Direction of Health Care Information Technology
John Glaser, PhDCEO, Siemens Health ServicesSeptember 20, 2010
Page 2 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Increasing Growth in Healthcare Costs
Chronic Disease Under Control: Managed Care Plan Distribution, 2006
70 73
49
81
88
68
6056
30
0
25
50
75
100
Private Medicare Medicaid
Mean 90th %ile 10th %ile
Note: Diabetes includes ages 18–75; hypertension includes ages 18–85.Data: Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set (NCQA 2007).
Percent of adults with diagnosed diabetes whose HbA1c level <9.0%
Uneven Care Quality
Source: Commonwealth Fund National Scorecard on U.S. Health System Performance, 2008 3
6057
53
68 67 66
4946
39
0
25
50
75
100
Private Medicare Medicaid
Mean 90th %ile 10th %ile
Percent of adults with hypertension whose blood pressure <140/90 mmHg
Diabetes Hypertension
Page 4 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Factors Contributing to Heightened Pressure on Health Care – Particularly Costs
Relentless increases in care costs to individuals and purchasers of care
Cost increases occurring against an adverse economic backdrop Federal government deficits State government revenue shortages Lingering economic recession for businesses Slow job growth, underwater mortgages and evaporated retirement plans for
consumers Suspicion that cost increases reflect monopolistic behavior rather than the true
costs of care
Lack of comparable increases in care quality and safety Problematic data on care quality
Too much care variation Data that distinguishes no one Overall poor performance on global measures of health
Page 5 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Techniques for Limiting Growth InHealth Spending and Likely Impact
Very Limited Impact Encourage Greater Use of
Preventive Services (Short-term)
• Limited Impact Provide Better Price and
Quality Information Require Patients To Pay
More Restrict Use of Harmful
Care Reduce Expense and Waste
of Medical Mal-Practice System
Reduce Administrative Costs of Insurance
Develop and Use Government Supported “Comparative Effectiveness Studies”
Greater Impact Restructure Payment System -- (Bundled
Payment and Value Based Pricing) Restructure Delivery System (Integrated
Care) Restrict Use of Marginally Useful Care Limit Supply of Expensive Services Incentives to Use Preventive Services
(Long-Term) Expand and Restructure Primary Care ---
Create Effective “Medical Homes” for Patients
Create a Governmental “High Cost Reinsurance System” with Effective Disease Management
Systems for Chronic Conditions Greatest Potential Impact
Gov. Regulation of Payments To Providers Establish Global Budgets
Source: Discussion at The Cash Catalyst Meeting, Stuart H. Altman, 7/15/10
Page 6 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Health IT as a Critical Enabler for Health Care Transformation
TIMETIME
Transformational Change in Health Care Delivery and Population Health - ACA
Technology Adoption and Use - HITECH
20042004 2012?2012?
Page 7 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Examples of Meaningful Use
Maintain an up-to-date problem list of current and active diagnoses
At least 80% of patients seen or admitted have at least one entry
Record smoking status for patients 13 and older At least 50% of patients seen or admitted have “smoking status” recorded
Send reminders to patients per patient preference for preventive/follow-up care (M)
Reminders sent to 20% of all patients seen that are over 65 years old
Provide patients with an electronic copy of their health information
At least 50% of patients who request an electronic copy are provided it within 3 business days
Provide summary of care record for each transition of care or referral (M)
Summary provided for at least 50% of all transitions of care or referrals
Capability to provide electronic syndromic surveillance data to public health agencies (M)
Perform at least one test of capacity to provide such data
Page 8 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Crosswalk of Meaningful Use, Standards and Certification Criteria
Meaningful Use
Objectives
Meaningful Use
Objectives
Certification Criteria
Certification Criteria
StandardsStandards
E-RxE-Rx Capability to E-Rx must be includedCapability to E-Rx must be included
NCPDP SCRIPT8.1/10.6 must be used
NCPDP SCRIPT8.1/10.6 must be used
Provide Patient Summary RecordProvide Patient
Summary Record
Capability to electronically transmit a patient summary record
must be included
Capability to electronically transmit a patient summary record
must be included
Continuity of Care Document (CCD) or
Continuity of Care Record (CCR) must be used plus
vocabulary standards
Continuity of Care Document (CCD) or
Continuity of Care Record (CCR) must be used plus
vocabulary standards
Electronically Submit Data to Immunization
Registries
Electronically Submit Data to Immunization
Registries
Capability to electronically transmit
immunization data must be included
Capability to electronically transmit
immunization data must be included
HL7 2.5.1 or HL7 2.3.1and
CVX Code Set
HL7 2.5.1 or HL7 2.3.1and
CVX Code Set
Page 9 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
CMS Estimates of the Number of Providers who will be Meaningful Users in 2011
Scenario 2011 2012 2013
Eligible Professionals Low 10% 13% 15%
High 36% 40% 44%
Hospitals Low 30% 35% 46%
High 43% 58% 73%
Baselines considerations (2008):
29% of hospitals have some level of medication CPOE (AHA)
4% of eligible professionals have a full function electronic health record
Page 10 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
32 million now covered
Closes Medicare donut hole
Expands Medicaid
New private insurance regulations
85% of insurance premiums to care
Cadillac Tax on high-cost plans
Insurance industry taxed $70 billion
Pharma to contribute $84 billion
2.3% tax on medical devices
Medicare payroll tax increase to 2.35%
3.8% Medicare tax on high incomes
Comparative Effectiveness Research
Bundled Payment Program
Accountable Care Organizations
Patient Re-Admission Penalties
Value-based payments for Hospitals
32 million now covered
Closes Medicare donut hole
Expands Medicaid
New private insurance regulations
85% of insurance premiums to care
Cadillac Tax on high-cost plans
Insurance industry taxed $70 billion
Pharma to contribute $84 billion
2.3% tax on medical devices
Medicare payroll tax increase to 2.35%
3.8% Medicare tax on high incomes
Comparative Effectiveness Research
Bundled Payment Program
Accountable Care Organizations
Patient Re-Admission Penalties
Value-based payments for Hospitals
32 million now covered
Closes Medicare donut hole
Expands Medicaid
New private insurance regulations
85% of insurance premiums to care
Cadillac Tax on high-cost plans
Insurance industry taxed $70 billion
Pharma to contribute $84 billion
2.3% tax on medical devices
Medicare payroll tax increase to 2.35%
3.8% Medicare tax on high incomes
Comparative Effectiveness Research
Bundled Payment Program
Accountable Care Organizations
Patient Re-Admission Penalties
Value-based payments for Hospitals
32 million now covered
Closes Medicare donut hole
Expands Medicaid
New private insurance regulations
85% of insurance premiums to care
Cadillac Tax on high-cost plans
Insurance industry taxed $70 billion
Pharma to contribute $84 billion
2.3% tax on medical devices
Medicare payroll tax increase to 2.35%
3.8% Medicare tax on high incomes
Comparative Effectiveness Research
Bundled Payment Program
Accountable Care Organizations
Patient Re-Admission Penalties
Value-based payments for Hospitals
The Health Care Reform Legislation focused on Access but has Significant Payment Reform Provisions
Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
$940 billion over ten years
Page 11 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Changing Perspective
SpecialtyHospitals &
Clinics
Provider-centric Person-centric
Implications• Data/information/knowledge focus (not function/UI focus) • EHR focus shifts to coordination and collaboration • Open, standards-based data exchange• Move towards person controlled data access
RetailClinics
GeneralHospitals
Employers
NetworksThat Profit
From Health
FacilitatedPatient
Networks
IndependentPhysicians’Practices
AcademicMedicalCenters
Provider
Provider
Provider
Provider
ProviderProvider
Provider
Provider
Provider
Page 12 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Horizon 1 - Exchange
Horizon 2 - Orchestrate
Horizon 3 - Guide
HIT Market Evolution
2009 2013 2015 2017Low
High
Market Evolution
Exchange•Non-disruptive secure sharing of normalized patient data
•Respects privacy boundaries•Directed push dominates
Drivers•MU stages 2, 3•Physician recruitment•Federal/state grants
Orchestrate•Builds on Exchange•Actionable, supports care coordination across settings
•Driven by care guidelines, care-giver arrangements
Drivers•Payment reform, bundled payments
•ACOs, medical homes
Guide•Builds on Orchestrate•Provides care-givers with contextual knowledge at PoC
•Supports translational research
Drivers•Heightend eimbursement pressures
•Comparative effectiveness implementation
Stakeholder Value
Page 13 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Lower Altitude but Still High Altitude Ramifications
From now on Medicare/Medicaid payments will be materially based on effective use of EHRs Beginning with meaningful use And moving to payment reform
Meaningful use pressure will “snowball” Payment reform and increased care accountability assume meaningful use Commercial health plan incentives may be based on an assumption that
meaningful use has been achieved Maintenance of certification may have meaningful use requirements Will licensure and/or accreditation consider meaningful use status?
Industry EHR development agenda will be increasingly dominated by certification, interoperability, meaningful use and ACA requirements The Federal agenda will define the EHR
Page 14 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Lower Altitude but Still High Altitude Ramifications
The presence of a broadly adopted EHR will cease to be a competitive differentiator. Differentiation could occur in several areas: EHR-leveraged care improvement within the organization and with other
providers
Care analyses and secondary use of data
Superior utilization of clinical decision support
Engagement of the patient in their care
A wide variety of new “species” will enter the healthcare information technology market They will focus on secondary use of data and delivering “intelligence” to the
care process extending into the EHR
Page 15 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Health Plans (and others) are Making Moves
Page 16 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Health Plans (and others) are Making Moves
Page 17 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Near Term Ramifications for Information Technology
Electronic health record Core EHR capabilities, e.g., manage a problem list and eprescribing, remain very
relevant
Other functions increase in importance Ability to identify and track a patient across multiple organizations
Clinical decision support to deliver evidence-based guidelines, reminders, order sets and alerts
Disease registries to provide analyses of care processes and outcomes for a population
Care documentation
Some functions are new Technologies to support care coordination and care team collaboration, e.g., discussion rooms and event
messaging
Health Information Exchange Initial exchange efforts will be focused on a well defined set of clinical relationships
Enable exchange of “directed push” transactions
Support messaging of patient events, e.g., missed radiology procedure appointment
Page 18 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Near Term Ramifications for Information Technology
Data Management Business intelligence tools to support
Assessment of care quality and costs for cohorts of patients (episodes and bundles)
Analyses of practice variations
Examination of care delivery alternatives
Predictive modeling to identify high risk patients
Personal Health Records Provide patients with access to their EHR data
Support communication with care team
Enable direct entry of data
Provide access to health information and self management tools
Page 19 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Identifying a CMP Patient
Page 20 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Email and Page Alerts – Admissions and Discharges
From: Care Management Program Admit Notification [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Thu 01/01/2008 12:00 PM To: Neagle, Mary Subject: ABC Patient MRN 123456 Has Been Admitted to the ED at approx 17:26 on 07/10/2008 (AMN)
Neagle, Mary, your patient ABC Patient MRN: 123456 Has Been Admitted to the ED at approx 12:00 on 01/01/2008 (AMN) With a Chief Complaint of: CP/ SOB
*** This alert is generated when a patient is REGISTERED in the ED *** *** Clinical information may not be immediately available ***
Page 21 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
Inpatient Census – Real Time
Page 22 Copyright © 2010 Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc. All rights reserved.
We are in for a Tumultuous but Exciting Period of Time
Payment change is THE “disruptive innovation” in care delivery
The Federal agenda “defines” several aspects of the healthcare information technology industry: Conceptual models of healthcare information technology
Definition of the electronic health records
Interoperability and exchanges
Standards
Adoption and implementation support (RECs)
A wide range of new entrants with innovative ideas and diverse interests will enter the market