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© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3 COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PROTECTION OF CIVIL AVIATION FP7 Theme Security, 3 rd Call, Supporting Action Dr. Tobias Leismann, Julia Ziehm Fraunhofer Ernst-Mach-Institut, EMI Aerodays, Madrid March 30 2011

COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

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Page 1: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PROTECTION OF CIVIL AVIATION

FP7 Theme Security, 3rd Call, Supporting Action

Dr. Tobias Leismann, Julia Ziehm

Fraunhofer Ernst-Mach-Institut, EMI

Aerodays, Madrid

March 30 2011

Page 2: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

The Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft in Germany

60 Institutes

more than 18,000 employees

Budget: 1.8 bn €

München

Holzkirchen

Freiburg

Efringen- Kirchen

Freising Stuttgart

Pfinztal Karlsruhe Saarbrücken

St. Ingbert Kaiserslautern

Darmstadt Würzburg

Erlangen

Nürnberg

Ilmenau

Schkopau

Teltow

Oberhausen

Duisburg

Euskirchen Aachen St. Augustin

Schmallenberg

Dortmund

Potsdam Berlin

Rostock

Lübeck Itzehoe

Braunschweig

Hannover

Bremen

Bremerhaven

Jena

Leipzig

Chemnitz

Dresden

Cottbus Magdeburg

Halle

Fürth

Wachtberg

Ettlingen

Kandern

Oldenburg

Freiberg

Paderborn

Kassel

Gießen Erfurt

Augsburg

Oberpfaffenhofen

Garching

Straubing

Bayreuth

Bronnbach

Prien

Hamburg

Page 3: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA consortium and expert groups

COPRA brings together

• end-users: airlines, ATM, airports, air transport providers

• technology providers, industry

• policy makers

• think tanks

• research organisations

Page 4: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Motivation 1: growing threats

• Security has become a major factor in civil/commercial aviation.

• In recent decades, the number of threats to aviation security has grown significantly, especially after 9/11. This has led to ever more security regulations as the threats evolve.

Number of attacks on air transport by European country 1968-2007 (source: Fraunhofer EMI, Terrorist Event Database)

Number of terrorist attacks on air transport worldwide by year (source: Fraunhofer EMI, Terrorist Event Database)

Page 5: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Motivation 2: regulation instead of resilience

• Security procedures become exceedingly complex and invasive to passenger privacy

• Security measures/personnel and therefore costs are growing steadily.

• Passenger and cargo traffic are expected to double in the next 15 years.

• Already today, security is one of the main reasons for delayed take-off.

• The current complex security system cannot be adapted (large costs)

• It has already and will increasingly become a major market restraint.

European airlines and airports are concerned with the high costs incurred by the ever increasing security measures they have to comply with. At Frankfurt Airport, 9,500 employees work in the security sector, while up to 200,000 passengers are transported each day. This means that roughly one security person is needed for every 20 passengers each day.

Page 6: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Approach

COPRA aims to answer two main questions:

• How does the threat situation in civil aviation evolve in the future, taking into account both existing and new technologies and their continuing development and proliferation?

• Which opportunities arise from the development and proliferation of new technologies and security procedures to overcome the current complex and expensive security situation and to enable sustainable growth for the future?

Page 7: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Key Objectives

• Compilation of a comprehensive overview of end-user and customer aviation security requirements including boundary conditions like legislation and standardization issues.

• Analysis of new and emerging threats to aviation security using an all-hazard approach. Development of a hierarchy of threats reflecting factors like impact, likelihood and timescale of threats to become relevant for Europe.

• Identification of current and future security technologies taking into account new operational procedures mitigating the new threats.

• Systematic analysis and combination of technologies and procedures into holistic security concepts including organizational paradigms, social acceptability and cost-benefit aspects .

• Creation of a roadmap of the European requirements on future aviation security research and recommendations for standardization, test and certification issues.

Page 8: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Workpackages

Page 9: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Threat Analysis: objective and state of the art

Approach:

1. identification of new threats

2. vulnerability analysis

3. availability studies of technologies, methods and materials that constitute those threats.

4. discuss with expert groups

5. Prioritize according to “impact potential”, “cost of threat technology”, “availability” and “timeframe of availability”

Dimensions:

1. Aircraft (e.g. novel use of explosives, freight, Manpads, IEMI)

2. Airport (e.g. explosives, Chem/Bio)

3. Communication, IT and ATM (e.g. cyber attacks, IEMI)

Page 10: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA threat analysis for airports

Worldwide distribution of terroristic events on airports 1968 - 2007

Based on results of the german project FluSs

Page 11: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA threat analysis for airports

Based on results of the german project FluSs

Type of explosive used (Europe)

Page 12: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA threat analysis for airports

Attack locations at European airports

Based on results of the german project FluSs

Page 13: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

COPRA Summary & Outlook

• COPRA scheduled to start soon (Mai 1st 2011)

• Motivated by threat evolution and regulation based security

• Final result: a prioritized research roadmap

• Preliminary results show:

• Europe‘s airports are the second most attacked worldwide.

• Explosives remain the weapon of choice.

• First expert group workshop in October/November.

Please join the COPRA expert groups!

Page 14: COPRA: COMPREHENSIVE EUROPEAN APPROACH TO THE PR OTECTION OF CIVIL

© Fraunhofer EMI, Tobias Leismann, 2011, AERODAYS Presentation 2A3

Coordinators and contact information:

Dr. Tobias Leismann

Fraunhofer Ernst-Mach-Institut, EMI

Email: [email protected]

Phone: +49 761 2714 402

COPRA: Comprehensive European Approach to the Protection of Civil Aviation

Julia Ziehm

Fraunhofer Ernst-Mach-Institut, EMI

Email: [email protected]

Phone: +49 7628 9050 674