Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
www.alfalaval.com
www.alfalaval.com22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 2 |
Report for Q3 2020Tom Erixon
President and CEO
Alfa Laval Group
Change
picture
UPDATE PicturePicture
TBU
www.alfalaval.com
Key figures
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 3 |
Q3 2020 Q3 2019 %-change %-▲,org*
Order intake 8,935 10,728 -17 -9
Net sales 9,728 12,056 -19 -13
Adjusted EBITA** 1,710 2,141 -20
Adjusted EBITA-margin (%) 17.6 17.8
YTD 2020 YTD 2019 %-change %-▲,org*
Order intake 30,561 32,966 -7 -4
Net sales 30,773 33,553 -8 -5
Adjusted EBITA*** 5,262 5,739 -8
Adjusted EBITA-margin (%) 17.1 17.1
*) Organic growth i.e. excluding currency effects and structural changes.
**) Positive currency effect SEK 10 million (85) ***) Positive currency effect SEK 160 million (275).
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Food & Water division
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 4 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Overall demand increased somewhat compared to the
same quarter last year.
• All end markets developed better than expected,
however project business still slow.
• Service was stable in the quarter.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Strong operating profit due to good cost control,
factory productivity and improved cost of quality.
Q3 20 Q3 19 YoY %-
change
Q2 20
ORDERS 3,083 3,306 -6.7 3,396
SALES 3,291 3,763 -12.5 3,241
EBIT 638 607 533
EBIT (%) 19.4 16.1 16.4
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
Sales EBIT
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Energy division
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 5 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Energy transition drives demand in HVAC and
refrigeration.
• Overall investment activity in the hydrocarbon chain
continues on a low level, except for China.
• Service was negatively impacted by lower activity
levels in the oil and gas business.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Improved operating margin as a result from good cost
control and positive mix.
Q3 20 Q3 19 YoY %-
change
Q2 20
ORDERS 2,716 3,355 -19.0 3,279
SALES 2,922 3,515 -16.9 2,979
EBIT 454 519 476
EBIT (%) 15.5 14.8 16.0
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
Sales EBIT
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Marine division
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 6 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Order intake continued on a low level, although 6
percent up sequentially.
• Expected recovery in ship contracting expected to
be delayed.
• Service onboard negatively affected, however
spare parts stable in the quarter.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Operating margin negatively affected by lower
volume and mix, mainly driven by environmental
products.
Q3 20 Q3 19 YoY %-
change
Q2 20
ORDERS 3,136 4,006 -21.7 3,074
SALES 3,515 4,715 -25.5 4,235
EBIT 570 870 705
EBIT (%) 16.2 18.5 16.6
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
Sales EBIT
www.alfalaval.com
− Order intake Q3, share and development
Service, by division
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 7 |
ENERGY FOOD & WATER MARINE
Q320: 26%
Absolute development
YoY
Absolute development
YoY
Absolute development
YoY
= -
Q320: 32% Q320: 33%
-
= Service share of total order intake
www.alfalaval.com
Orders received
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 8 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
SEK million SEK million R 12
-17
%
-6%
+3
5%
+1
2%
-13
%
= Order intake per quarter
= Order intake per quarter “large” = Rolling twelve months value
= % development by quarter, year on year+XX%
www.alfalaval.com
− Development Q3 vs Q3 / YTD vs YTD, at fixed rates
Orders received by region
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 9 |
17%;
North America
-6% / -14%
-11% / -11%
+30% / +16%
-7% / +4%
-28% / -19%
+10% / +5%
2%;
Africa & Oceania9%; Nordic
20%;
Western Europe
7%;
Central- & Eastern
Europe
41%; Asia
4%;
Latin America
-12% / +4%
vs Q3-19 / vs YTD 2019Share %: Jan – Sep 2020
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK million at prevailing rates
Top ten markets*
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 10 |
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
France
Benelux
Japan
South East Asia
Mid Europe
Adriatic
Korea, South
Nordic
China
United States
*The order intake development of the 2019 top ten markets.= FY 2019
= LTM 2020
| www.alfalaval.com| © Alfa Laval
Report for Q3 2020 Jan Allde
CFO
Alfa Laval Group
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Sales
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 12 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20
= Sales per quarter = Rolling 12-months value
= % development year on year+XX%
-19
%
+1
9%
+2
4%
-5%
-11
%
9,728
SEK million R 12SEK million
www.alfalaval.com
− In percent of sales
Adjusted gross margin
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 13 |
30
35
40
45
Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
36.135.636.637.0
Q3 2019 35.6
Mix/price - -
Load/volume =
PPV/metals +
FX +
Structure =
Q3 2020 36.1
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
S&A Expense development
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 14 |
Q3 2020 Q3 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019
Sales costs 951 1,184 -19.7% 3,110 3,560 -12.6%
Admin costs 417 492 -15.2% 1,376 1,557 -11.6%
Total S&A costs 1,368 1,676 -18.4% 4,486 5,117 -12.3%
Excl. FX impacts and
acq./divestments
-12.9% -9.9%
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK millions and in percent of sales
Adjusted EBITA/margin*
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 15 |
* Adjusted EBITA – ”Earnings before interests, taxes, amortization of goodwill and step up values and comparison distortion items.”
10,0
11,0
12,0
13,0
14,0
15,0
16,0
17,0
18,0
19,0
20,0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2 000
2 250
2 500
Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
SEK million Percent of sales
17.617.8
17.1
16.0
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Key figures
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 16 |
Q3 2020 Q3 2019
Sales 9,728 12,056
Gross profit 3,298 4,038
Sales & Admin -1,368 -1,676
R&D -223 -267
Net other cost/income -279 -214
Operating income 1,438 1,882
Financial net -56 25
Profit before tax 1,382 1,907
Taxes -344 -460
EPS 2.46 3.43
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Cash-flow statement
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 17 |
Q3 2020 Q3 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2019
EBITDA 1,903 2,364 5,999 6,613
Other non-cash items 71 127 74 -46
Working Capital -279 -811 278 -2,317
Taxes paid -439 -433 -1,292 -1,419
Cash flow from operating activities 1,256 1,247 5,059 2,831
Capital expenditures -377 -228 -776 -834
Disposals 87 -4 218 372
Acquisitions -10 - -18 -61
Cash flow from investing activities -300 -232 -576 -523
Financial net paid -94 -25 -467 183
Cash flow 862 990 4,016 2,491
Free cash flow* 785 994 3,816 2,180
*) Incl. cash flow from operating activities, capital expenditure and financial net paid.
www.alfalaval.com
0,5x
2,5x
1,6x
1,8x
1,3x
0,9x
0.6x1
0,2x1
0,0x
0,5x
1,0x
1,5x
2,0x
2,5x
3,0x
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q3 2020
Cash flow and capital structure− Proven ability to deleverage post a sizeable acquisition
| © Alfa Laval22/10/2020 18 |
• Cash-flow from Operating activities of SEK 5.1
billion during Jan-Sept 2020
• Net debt position reduced from SEK 8.2 billion at
end of 2019 to SEK 4.3 billion at end of September
2020 (net debt excluding lease liabilities at SEK 1.9
billion).
• Leverage at level prior to acquisition of Frank Mohn
(Framo) in 2014
• Company target: In the long term, Net Debt /
EBITDA should not exceed 2.0x
Net Debt / EBITDA (excluding IFRS 16)
Source: Company filings
1) Excluding the effect of IFRS 16
www.alfalaval.com
− Estimated impact on adjusted EBITA from FX fluctuations, MSEK
Foreign exchange
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 19 |
Q3 2020 FY 2020 FY 2021*
Transaction effect 125 405 250
Translation effect -115 -225 -
Total 10 180 250
Projected FX-transaction effect for 2020 communicated with Q2 report: SEK 440 million
Note: Excludes FX effects caused by revaluation of balance items in foreign currency.
*) Based on EUR/USD 1.179 and EUR/SEK 10.495
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK billion
Order backlog as per September 30
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 20 |
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
20.7
7.7
13
.0
23.3
8.1
15
.2
book to bill0.86
= For delivery next year or later
= For delivery during the current year
0.89 1.12 0.93 0.92
www.alfalaval.com
− FY 2020, SEK billion
Sales
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 21 |
YTD Sales 30.8
Backlog, for delivery current year +7.7
Subtotal 38.5
Price
“In-for-out”*
FX translation
Acquisitions
Full year 2020
*IFO in Q4 2019 excluding acquisitions/divestments wasSEK 4.8 bln.
For you to consider:
www.alfalaval.comwww.alfalaval.com22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 22 |
“We expect demand in the fourth quarter to be somewhat higher than in the third quarter.”
Outlook for the fourth quarter:
www.alfalaval.com
www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of orders Q3 2020 (MSEK)
Activity split O&G, total
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 24 |
Marine
Alfa Laval
Share of totalAlfa Laval
Energy
Drilling Processing &Transportation
PetrochemicalsRefinery
Grand total SEQ/YOY
873 (-/-)
588 (+/+)
=1,461*(+/-)
= 16.4%3.0% 3.3%3.2%6.9%
16
252
= 268
280
336
= 616
285
0
= 285
292
0
= 292
*) incl. aftermarket
(SEQ/YoY)
www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of orders LTM, end of September
Marine Division’s industry split
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 25 |
Share
Driver
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical power
needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
Legislation &
fuel cost
29%
4%26%
10%
31%
www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of sales LTM end of September
Marine Division’s industry split
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 26 |
Share
Driver
30%
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
3%
28%
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical power
needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
32%
Legislation &
fuel cost
7%
www.alfalaval.com
− Compared with same quarter last year (%), excluding currency effects
Organic growth pace
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 27 |
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
20
30
Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
= Order intake growth
www.alfalaval.com
− Orders received excluding the “Marine Environmental”* business
Orders received
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 28 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
SEK million SEK million R 12
-17
%
+8
%
+1
3%
+8
%
-12
%
= Order intake per quarter
= Order intake per quarter “ Marine Environmental”
”
= Rolling twelve months value, excluding “Marine Environmental”
= % development by quarter, year on year, excluding “Marine Environmental”+XX%
*) Alfa Laval PureSOx and Alfa Laval PureBallast.
www.alfalaval.com
Cautionary statement
22/10/2020 | © Alfa Laval 29 |
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
current expectations of the management of Alfa Laval Group.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be
given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results
could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a
result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive
conditions, changes in the regulatory environment, other government actions and
fluctuations in exchange rates. Alfa Laval undertakes no obligation to publicly
update or revise these forward-looking statements, other than as required by law
or other regulations.
www.alfalaval.com