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THE IT VALUE NETWORK FROM IT INVESTMENT TO STAKEHOLDER VALUE TONY J. READ, PhD

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TONY J. READ has over twenty years of international IT management experience, across various industries. He is the managing partner of Read & Associates, an

international IT value–based management and project delivery consultancy practice (www.readassociates.net). Prior to establishing Read & Associates, he served as CIO and IT senior vice president within several international corporations. Dr. Read is also a visiting professor at various universities, with several published papers on the subject of IT investment value, IT strategy, and IT governance. He graduated with a bachelor’s degree in management science, and subsequently earned an MBA and an MEd in organizational change management. In 2005, he earned his PhD in information systems and was elected into the Honor Society of Computing Sciences, being awarded the Upsilon Pi Epsilon. Dr. Read is a dual U.K.-U.S. citizen, residing with his wife in Ontario, Canada; he regularly travels for speaker engagements at various conferences and corporate events.

The Vision = IT VALUE + Mission = VALUE IT

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4-COLOR GLOSSY

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TONY J. READ, PhD

READ

“This is probably the best ‘up-to-date’ executive information management resource since Strassmann’s works of fi fteen years ago. Tony Read provides a comprehensive and insightful assessment of the state of IT investment and the value of various technologies and information management in the modern enterprise. For corporate executives trying to navigate this rapidly changing landscape, this book is highly recommended.”

—Paul A. Brinkley, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (U.S.) for Business Transformation Agency

“Managing technology investments with a value-based approach just works—it has provided signifi cant stakeholder value at Indigo. This book is a must-read for both IT and business managers who want to improve the return on their IT investments.”

—Michael Serbinis, President, Shortcovers, CIO & EVP, Indigo Books & Music Inc.

“Diffi culty proving the business value of IT remains a key barrier to IT executives. IT Value Network provides a clear road map to chief information offi cers interested in moving beyond simply aligning business and technology strategies. It is a must-read for IT executives who wish to become true partners to the business.”

—Gary Beach, Publisher Emeritus, CIO magazine

“This book is a complete study of how value is derived and measured from IT investments. All IT strategy professionals should read it and have access to it. I strongly recommend it.”

—Ali Hamza, Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC)

“IT spending continues to climb, but IT value is invariably left on the table. Tony’s new book will enlighten both the practitioner and academic to new approaches and techniques for capturing and realizing stakeholder economic value—with a great perspective to sustaining competitive advantage or as the book promotes network advantage, across the fi rm’s value system.”

—Edward Lieblein, PhD, Dean and Professor, Graduate School of Computer and Information

Sciences, Nova Southeastern University

“Tony Read’s book provides excellent insight and strategies for maximizing shareholder return from IT investments. The book gives a timely response to the challenges every CIO and CFO face in the current economic environment. It is now more important than ever to demonstrate IT return on investment and this book is a valuable aid for Cx’s looking to leverage every IT dollar to secure maximum business return”

—Albert R. Hitchcock, CIO, Vodafone Group

$45.00 USA / $54.00 CAN

How much should management care about IT investment and value? A lot. Many managers see IT as just a necessity of doing business or

business enabler, not a powerful capability that can drive the business. The truth is, your organization won’t see optimal results without effective IT value-based management. It’s time to get the most bang from your IT buck.

Strategic and forward-looking, The IT Value Network: From IT Investment to Stakeholder Value offers an innovative perspective, challenging you to align IT spending more effectively to your company’s business strategy, value system, and the business network for sustained competitive and network advantage.

A true road map for value-creation, realizing bottom-line dollars and intellectual capital, The IT Value Network: From IT Investment to Stakeholder Value reveals:

• A proven framework to unlock and realize IT value, bridging the value gap between the CIO and business partners, especially the CFO and the board

• How value needs to be triangulated using various fi nancial-based and organization-based measures, applying the IT value index scorecard and the IT value portfolio

• Six degrees of IT value management to maximize stakeholder economic value

• Case studies demonstrating how four companies in the banking, fi nancial, retail, and high-tech/telecommunications industries realized IT value

• IT value maturity model, checklist, and toolkit for easy implementation

Maximize stakeholder economic value. Gain sustained competitive advantage or network advantage from IT investment and spending. Lead your entire organization to new realms of success in today’s challenging economic climate, through the visionary methods and techniques found in The IT Value Network: From IT Investment to Stakeholder Value.

ISBN: 978-0-470-42279-3

PRAISE FOR

THE IT VALUE NETWORK

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Additional praises forThe IT Value Network:

From IT Investment to Stakeholder Value

“This book is required reading for any CIO who wants to demonstrate anddrive the investment possibilities of technology. A seat at the table withbusiness awaits the reader.”

—Steve GestnerCIO & EVP, Resolve Corporation

“The IT value network is a comprehensive and excellent consolidation ofthe current thinking on IT value-based management—especially relevantin today’s current economic climate. The concepts of triangulating valueand the six degrees of IT value hit the mark, providing great managementinsights. IT and business managers wanting more from their IT investmentdollar and the ability to effectively communicate the value proposition tothe CXOs should read this book.”

—Drew McNaughtonChief Technology Officer, Axia NetMedia Corporation

“IT vendors and professional services companies wishing to improve theirvalue proposition and partnership with their CXO clients will find the ITvalue network invaluable. The concept of expanding a firm’s IT value foot-print beyond an internal perspective is enlightening. Driving stakeholdereconomic value across the firm’s value system and value network is visionaryand, as Tony states, will create network advantage—great read by Read.”

—Dale NeillyVP Sales & Marketing, Radiant Communications

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The IT Value Network

From IT Investment toStakeholder Value

Tony J. Read, Ph.D.

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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Copyright © 2009 by Tony J. Read Ph.D. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.

Published simultaneously in Canada.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, ortransmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of thePublisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to theCopyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978)750-8400, fax (978) 750-4470, or on the web at www.copyright.com. Requests to thePublisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, JohnWiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201)748-6008, or online at www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used theirbest efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties withrespect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specificallydisclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. Nowarranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials.The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. Youshould consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor authorshall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but notlimited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

For general information on our other products and services or for technical support,please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800)762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or fax (317) 572-4002.

Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content thatappears in print may not be available in electronic books. For more information aboutWiley products, visit our web site at www.wiley.com.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:

Read, Tony, 1958–The IT value network : from IT investment to stakeholder value / Tony Read.

p. cm.Includes bibliographical references and index.ISBN 978-0-470-42279-3 (cloth)

1. Information technology—Cost effectiveness—Evaluation. 2. Capitalinvestments—Evaluation. I. Title.

HD30.2.R425 2009004.068′1—dc22 2009015526

ISBN-13 978-0-470-42279-3

Printed in the United States of America

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

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To the Read family:

Rhonda LeeMartineCharliePaulineJohnGaryNickyLisaNaomiJonathan

Family Stakeholder Value

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Contents

Foreword xi

Preface xv

Acknowledgments xix

PART I STATUS QUO—WHERE’S THE VALUE? 1

CHAPTER 1 IT Investment 3

Sticker Shock 3

Six Decades of IT Investment 4

IT Investment Trends 9

IT Investment Classification: The Four “S” CategoryModel 16

Future IT Investment 22

CHAPTER 2 Conventional IT Valuation 29

Bottom Line 29

Maximizing Shareholder Value 30

Conventional Asset Valuation 33

Challenging Conventional Norms 36

Lost Value 41

CHAPTER 3 Banking Value 51

Financial Services Industry Global IT Investment 51

North American Banking Industry 52

North American Banking Market Challenges 54

Banking Industry IT Value Observations 62

NA Bank Case: IT Investment Observations 66

vii

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viii Contents

PART II TRIANGULATING THE VALUE—SOMEWHERE HERE 71

CHAPTER 4 IT Value Network Measurement 73

Identifying Investment 74

Justifying Investment 75

Prioritizing Investment 75

Selecting Investment 75

Performance of Investment 75

Realizing Value from Investment 76

CHAPTER 5 IT Value Network Measures: Financial-BasedMethods 77

Traditional Financial and Accounting Techniques 77

Emerging Financial Techniques 83

Emerging Decision-Support Techniques 86

Value-Creation Business Case 89

CHAPTER 6 IT Value Network Measures: Organization-Based Methods 93

Conventional Planning Techniques 94

Emerging Organizational Management Techniques 96

Emerging Information Economics Techniques 103

CHAPTER 7 Triangulating IT Investment Value 107

Value Index and Value Lenses 107

IT Value Portfolio 115

PART III SIX DEGREES OF IT VALUE—THERE IT IS 125

CHAPTER 8 IT Value Network Management 127

Value Capture 127

Value Enabling 128

Value Optimization 129

Value Realization 129

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Contents ix

CHAPTER 9 First Degree of IT Value 131

Value System 131

Process and System Improvement 133

CHAPTER 10 Second Degree of IT Value 137

Strategic Planning 137

Portfolio Governance 141

CHAPTER 11 Third Degree of IT Value 145

IT Systems and Infrastructure Capability and Capacity 145

Organization and People Capability and Capacity 149

CHAPTER 12 Fourth Degree of IT Value 151

Program and Project Management 151

System Management 155

CHAPTER 13 Fifth Degree of IT Value 159

Service Management 159

Information Management 163

CHAPTER 14 Sixth Degree of IT Value 167

Networked Value Management 167

PART IV IT VALUE NETWORK CLIENTS—DID IT, GOT IT 173

CHAPTER 15 NA Bank 175

Challenge: Strategic IT Investment Alignment 175

Solution: The IT Value Network 176

Impact: IT Investment Redirection for Higher ValueCapture 181

CHAPTER 16 Nortel Networks 187

Challenge: Speed of Market Change 187

Solution: The IT Value Network 188

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x Contents

Impact: IT Reorganization and Improved Capabilityfor Value Enabling 193

CHAPTER 17 Indigo Books & Music 197

Challenge: Project Management 197

Solution: The IT Value Network 198

Impact: Project Management Office for ValueOptimization 203

CHAPTER 18 NA Credit Union 209

Challenge: Credit Union Merger 209

Solution: The IT Value Network 210

Impact: Successful Bank Integration for ValueRealization 216

PART V EMERGING REALITY—DO IT, VALUE IT 225

CHAPTER 19 Forward Thinking 227

Value Networks 227

Value Systems 232

Value Options 237

Maximizing Stakeholder Economic Value 245

CHAPTER 20 Connecting the Dots 253

IT Value Network Maturity Model 254

IT Value Network Checklist 272

Collaboration for Network Advantage 275

Value IT 278

Glossary 279

Notes 291

About the Author 305

Index 307

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Foreword

Executives around the world are trying to get a clear answer to one fun-damental question when faced with significant IT investment proposals:

Where’s the value? The IT Value Network provides a framework to answerthat question. It systematically outlines effective techniques and tools for themeasurement and management of IT investments to deliver a comprehensiveand enlightening answer.

My career started in finance and I have held a number of CFO rolesaround the world, in different industries, within dynamic companies. Theindustries may have been different, but they all had the common challengeof ever-increasing IT investment demands, which required unquestionablejustification.

If I take my 10 years at FedEx as an example, customers often talkedabout the great service, the knowledgeable couriers, or the vast fleet of air-craft covering the globe overnight—but it’s the IT investment that enablesthe “experience” behind the product or service. Consider the FedEx capa-bility for you to track the movement of your precious package aroundthe world from the comfort of your own home. Justifying IT investmentrequires a strong business case, which should include quantifiable driverslike customer experience. The IT value network aptly refers to the necessityof triangulating the value through a value index, determining stakeholdereconomic value.

Justifying IT investments goes beyond cost savings; it’s fundamentalto your differentiation as a company—your strategic advantage. Considerthe FedEx IT capability to provide your business with the opportunity toreconfigure your supply chain to minimize inventory, or the offering of acustomized product from a single location, with service across the world.The decisions you make on your IT investments, sitting at the heart of yourbusiness, are one of the most important decisions you will ever have tomake as an executive—so they better be informed! The IT value networkframework enables you to make informed decisions: capturing, enabling,optimizing, and realizing business value.

xi

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xii Foreword

My past eight years have been with Vodafone, in the telecommunicationsindustry. As the CEO of Asia, Pacific, and Middle East region, I get the oppor-tunity to see markets/countries in various stages of development—frommature to emerging. I see the profound impact that mobile telephony canhave on a country’s rate of development, as a key part of the country’sinfrastructure. There is obviously a lot of interest about the mobile tech-nology evolution path, from 2G to 3G to LTE; taking us from pure voiceservices to high-speed exchange of data on the move. Consider the growthof the smartphone like the iPhone, or mobile broadband connectivity toyour corporate IT applications via your laptop. However, these technologyinvestments are just enablers.

The way telecommunication operators, and indeed most companies, willdifferentiate themselves is through their IT choices and how those choiceswill provide unique and compelling products and services. In the case ofthe operator, choices that allow customers to make the most of their time,whether in the office, at home, or on the move. IT agility and value optionsare a necessity within today’s business, driving current and future returnsand intellectual capital, which drives shareholder wealth. Bad choices makefor bad economics. Thus, the need to appropriately migrate away fromtraditional “industrial age” measures to more effective “informational age”techniques to manage and govern IT investments, as effectively coveredwithin the IT value network.

At Vodafone, we want to ensure that our customers stay connected tothe people and the information that are central to their lives—via voice,text, instant messaging, e-mail, music, communities, news, and applicationsboth social and work related—whenever, wherever. The IT value networkhelps you explore your company’s value system and value network, buildingnetwork advantage, a concept for sustained competitive advantage.

Being on various company boards, many of which have other sharehold-ers represented, I reiterate the book’s mantra: that maximizing shareholdereconomic value should be a primary consideration. The IT Value Networknot only provides guidance on how to assess the trade-offs, it also outlinesmethods of triangulation, when a single perspective is too narrow a line ofsight. The book also provides an IT investment governance model that goesbeyond the pure “industrial age” regulatory compliance, internal controlsor audit requirements, to more effective “informational age” considerations,required to run a company in today’s fast paced global economy.

The IT Value Network is a thought-provoking book that is rich in con-tent and one that will continue to be referenced beyond the first read. Ipassionately believe in IT as a key differentiator, where mistakes set youback years and can be fatal to your business and your competitiveness.Tony has brought his extensive IT management and consulting experienceto focus on addressing a real need—making an informed decision on how

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Foreword xiii

to value IT and ultimately make the right call for the future of your business.I am fortunate that I get his advice for free. You just need to pay the priceof this book—an investment with a great ROI. Enjoy the read.

Nick ReadRegional CEO Asia, Pacific, and Middle East, Vodafone Plc

Board member of China Mobile and several Vodafone subsidiaries

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Preface

The modern computing era started more than 60 years ago with theadvent of early digital technology, but debate remains about whether

organizations have seen the expected value from their information technol-ogy (IT) investments. In the current economic climate, the tendency is tofocus IT investments on short-term profitability. Yet successful firms cannotignore future business opportunities for long-term growth and competitiveadvantage and for building strategic options for agility under uncertainty.Establishing confidence in future IT value provides the impetus to investnow, despite a recession. The emerging reality is that attitudes toward ITvalue are changing to accommodate new paradigms such as value net-works and value systems, which are driving intellectual capital and companyvaluations. The goal of this book is to provide insights into IT value-based management and to maximize stakeholder economic value—beyondshareholder value. The IT value network framework presented here pro-vides current and new, multidimensional measurement and managementapproaches to gain sustained competitive advantage or network advantagefrom IT investment and spending.

As managing partner of Read & Associates, I have traveled the worldworking with various companies to capture, enable, optimize, and realizeIT value. As I journeyed through sunny days and cloudy days, periods ofboom and doom, there was always an opportunity to realign IT invest-ment and connect the dots for a higher IT value proposition. It’s amazingwhat new constellations you can configure from stargazing—but this bookis not “pie in the sky”; it’s grounded on proven techniques, as depicted invarious client cases. The IT value network approach has been deployedin many companies within the high-tech, telecommunications, computing,banking, financial, retail, and professional services industries. The book cov-ers a multitude of various financial- and organization-based tools, methods,and techniques for practical application in the real world, including an ITvalue network maturity model for current practice assessment.

The IT value network presents a business focus on IT value, bridging thevalue gap between the CIO and CXO. Thus, the book’s intended audience

xv

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xvi Preface

is for business and IT leaders and managers wanting to get more out ofthe IT dollar—and why not, given a $3 trillion annual global IT invest-ment and a 2009 economic recession with a credit crunch. The IT valuenetwork builds a comprehensive IT value proposition, extending beyondcompany boundaries and leaving nothing on the table. Academics and stu-dents engaged in the fields of IT management and the economics of ITwill also find this book valuable. It discusses multidisciplinary fields, includ-ing finance and accounting, decision support, organizational management,information economics, portfolio and project management, business strat-egy and planning, and value-based IT management. The book challengesconventional approaches to IT value measurement and management, iden-tifying lost value. The IT value network provides a comprehensive toolkitfor IT value-based management, organized as follows.

Part I: Status Quo—Where’s the Value?

Part I considers the following topics: reflecting on six decades of IT invest-ment and discussing future IT investment direction. Classifying IT investmentspending—the four “S” category model. Conventional asset valuation is con-tested, challenging traditional norms of IT investment evaluation. Lost valueis identified—no bang for the buck—providing IT value observations withinthe banking industry.

Part II: Triangulating the Value—Somewhere Here

Part II considers the following topics: how traditional and emergingfinancial-based and organization-based IT value measures are defined, creat-ing a strong value-creation business case. Financial and accounting measuresalone are just not good enough; value needs to be triangulated throughstrategic, operational, stakeholder, and agility value lenses, culminating inan IT value index scorecard. The IT value portfolio is discussed, citing starsand black holes.

Part III: Six Degrees of IT Value—There IT Is

Part III considers the following topics: IT value management, which coverscapturing, enabling, optimizing, and realizing stakeholder economic value.Six degrees of separation from IT investment to stakeholder economic valueexist; proactively managing the six degrees of IT value will unlock and real-ize stakeholder economic value. Each degree of IT value improves IT value

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Preface xvii

management, providing an iterative cycle for enhanced network advantageor sustained competitive advantage.

Part IV: IT Value Network Clients—Did IT, Got IT

Part IV considers the following topics: Four client cases are discussed, withinthe banking, financial, retail, and high-tech/telecommunications industries.Each case describes the company challenges, the IT value network solution,and the subsequent stakeholder economic value impact. Realized IT valueis discussed.

Part V: Emerging Reality—Do IT, Value IT

Part V considers the following topics: applying thought leadership, withrespect to new paradigms and emerging concepts, including social network-ing, value networks, network portfolios, value network analysis, exchangevalue, value systems, value options, risk management, collaboration, andvalue loyalty. An IT value network maturity model and implementationchecklist enables stakeholder economic value maximization for yourcompany.

IT investments are becoming more than just business enablers or assetson the books; they provide capability that can drive the business. Thoughtleadership should migrate toward information investment with the aim ofgetting a bigger bang for the buck from the “I” in IT and from the “I” in CIO,accounting for intellectual capital and 80 percent of market capitalizations.The IT value network will make a difference in the way your companymanages and measures IT investments for network advantage or sustainedcompetitive advantage. I hope you enjoy the book and resonate with the ITvalue insights that are highlighted.

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Acknowledgments

Throughout my international career as a corporate executive, consultant,and university professor, I have been fortunate to meet many wonderful

people. This book relects a journey of discovery, which could not havehappened without the contributions of many knowledgeable and insightfulcolleagues. I am blessed with my own value network.

In writing this book, I particularly want to acknowledge three groups ofterrific individuals who have provided support and encouragement, specif-ically:

■ My clients, for collaboration in the best practice cases: Heather Reisman(CEO), Michael Serbinis (CIO), Dan Leibu (VP Strategy & Planning),and the PMO team, from Indigo Books & Music. Gwyneth Edwards(CIO office) and Steven J. Bandrowczak (CIO), from Nortel Networks.NA Bank and NA Credit Union wish to remain anonymous; therefore,contributors cannot be mentioned, but thanks to many (you know whoyou are) for your insights and support.

■ My Ph.D. dissertation steering committee, assisting with the researchfoundation: Dr. Sumitra Mukherjee, Dr. Steven Zink, and Dr. EaswarNyshadham, from the Graduate School of Computer and InformationSciences, Nova Southeastern University, Florida. Thanks for direction,guidance, and the many hours of editing.

■ My book enablers, making the idea a reality: Joel Silver (Chief Merchant)and Bahram Olfati (Director Trade), from Indigo Books & Music. StaceyRivera, Timothy Burgard, Chris Gage, and Helen Cho, from John Wiley& Sons, Inc. publishers. It’s just great to have the opportunity of beingcoached and supported by leaders in the book business.

Finally, it would be remiss of me not to mention the continual supportfrom my wife, Rhonda Lee. Thanks for being at my side and accepting thecountless working weekends; now it’s time to play.

xix

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PART I

Status Quo—Where’s theValue?

IT costs typically constitute 2 percent of a company’s revenue, but itcan easily exceed 12 percent, culminating in 2008 to a $2.6–$3.0 trillion

global IT investment. But the value derived from IT is questionable at best.Part I of this book attempts to provide a better understanding of the nature ofIT investments and conventional valuation. Despite continued IT investmentgrowth, realizable shareholder value is often absent or suboptimal. Yet firmsmaintain the status quo by applying traditional approaches to measuring andmanaging IT investments or spending.

In the current economic climate, the tendency is to focus IT invest-ments on short-term profitability, starving growth because of deflationaryconcerns. However, successful firms do not ignore valuable future businessopportunities or long-term growth. Projecting confidence in future IT valueincreases the likelihood of investing now. Chapter 1 examines IT invest-ment growth and trends during the past six decades, from early computingto cloud networks. IT investments are also classified according to a four “S”category model, defining characteristics for effective evaluation. Future ITinvestment considerations are subsequently explored, providing a backdropor context for more effective valuation approaches, as discussed further onin the book.

Greater management focus is being placed on evaluating and realizingshareholder value from IT investments, especially with worsening marketconditions. Chapter 2 discusses why IT investments have not fully realizedtheir value. Conventional IT asset valuation methods are flawed, unableto effectively identify and capture value. The cost of poor IT investmentdecisions is high, whether in failed projects, lost revenues, security orprivacy exposure, or operating inefficiencies and ineffectiveness. Conven-tional organizational-based and traditional financial-based approaches to ITinvestment valuation are reviewed, identifying concerns and subsequently

1

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2 Status Quo—Where’s the Value?

challenging norms. The chapter concludes by examining lost IT investmentvalue.

The global financial services industry is under siege and has not beenin such dire straits since World War II. Yet, IT investments continue togrow within the banking industry. Chapter 3 provides specific insight tothe IT value dilemma within the banking industry. An overview of the NorthAmerican banking industry will explain the competitive landscape and bankchallenges. Subsequently, IT investment patterns will be explored, question-ing whether these investments have added value to the bottom line. VariousIT value observations are identified throughout the chapter; these arguablyapply to the global banking industry, not just to North America. A NorthAmerican bank case is also covered, exploring IT investment observations.

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CHAPTER 1IT Investment

Sticker Shock

Walking through the virtual IT “car lot,” it is not hard to see why a CXO wouldchallenge the Chief Information Officer (CIO) with respect to IT costs. Toooften an IT Ferrari would be proposed when an IT Volvo could meet therequired needs. The daunting task of justifying technology direction andspending variances, let alone the need for investment in the first place, is achallenge unto itself.

IT investments are becoming more than just business enablers or assetson the books; they are indeed a capability that can drive the business. ITthought leadership should transition from a traditional technology invest-ment model to an information investment approach, getting a bigger bangfor the buck from the “I” in IT and from the “I” in CIO. In today’s world, thebusiness impact of effective IT investments is potentially exponential andneeds to be governed accordingly, not just as cost savings enablers.

IT costs typically constitute 2 percent of a company’s revenue, but theycan be as large as 12 percent, perhaps the single most manageable cost afterlabor. According to Gartner, this culminates in a global 2008 IT investmentof some $2.6 to $3.0 trillion, with half spent on telecommunications andthe rest on IT hardware, software, and services.1 Such annual spending iscomparable to the gross national product (GNP) of the United Kingdom orFrance, or nearly thrice that of India. In other words, globally we spendon IT nearly three times what India’s 1,135 million people (20 percent ofthe world’s population) spend on consumption, gross investment, govern-ment expenditure, and exports less imports. But the value of information isinvariably unknown.

Globally, IT spending is nearly three times the gross national product ofIndia, where, unlike the case of India, the value is undetermined.

3

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4 Status Quo—Where’s the Value?

This chapter focuses on IT investment growth and trends. Six decadesof IT investment are considered, from early computing to the World WideWeb. IT investments are classified according to a four “S” category model,which will be useful for IT evaluation further on in the book. Finally, futureIT investment considerations are explored, which sets the context for ITvalue network measurement and management.

Six Decades of IT Investment

IT investment has consistently grown from the modern computing erain the early 1940s to the present information age. Spending on IT hasexpanded from fundamental computing and telecommunications infras-tructure to enterprise application systems and to information and servicemanagement. Within just 60 years, IT investment went from a select few tothe masses, from large organizational spending to individual spending.

Sixty Years of Growth

The modern computing era started more than 60 years ago with the adventof early digital technology. There is no one inventor who can lay claim tothe first modern computer, as many contributed to today’s foundation ofbasic computing. In 1941, the German technologist Konrad Zuse developedthe Z3, which become the first functional program-controlled, all-purpose,digital computer. Subsequently, the British Colossus was created in 1943;considered the first electronic computing device, it was used in decrypt-ing German World War II messages. A series of computing advancementsthen occurred in America, with the advent of the ABC, Harvard Mark I, andENIAC I computers. The latter, designed by John Presper Eckert and JohnW. Mauchly, became the first all-purpose electronic computer in 1945. Thedesign was based on John Von Neumann’s report on unified storage of dataand programs.

“It would appear that we have reached the limits of what it is possibleto achieve with computer technology, although one should be carefulwith such statements, as they tend to sound pretty silly in 5 years.”

John Von Neumann (ca. 1949)2

Arguably the first modern computer, evolved from the collective, wasFederic Williams’s and Tom Kilburn’s Baby computer, built in Manchester,England. In 1948, 60 years ago, the components or characteristics of the

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IT Investment 5

basic computer were complete, memory had been added, and programscould be stored. With a random access memory of 32 words (128 bytes)and a computer speed of just over one millisecond per instruction, it maynot have been fast, but it could perform many applications. It was a far cryfrom today’s fastest supercomputer, IBM’s BlueGene/L, which can process360 trillion transactions per second3 or a 1GB DRAM chip, which can store8 billion bits.

“Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubesand weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuumtubes and perhaps weigh 1.5 tons.”

Popular Mechanics, 19494

The Baby or Manchester Mark I eventually became the first commercialgeneral-purpose computer, named the Ferranti Mark I.5 In 1951, the UNI-VAC (Universal Automatic Computer), a derivative of the ENIAC 1, becamethe first mass-produced computer, providing a memory of 1,000 words fora sizable $1 million investment. IBM entered the arena in 1953 with the 701Electronic Data Processing Machine (EDPM)—the first mainframe. Then IBMdeveloped Fortran, the first high-level computer programming language.The first generation of computing started to gain momentum. IT invest-ment started to grow, moving from university and government institutionsto commerce. But at $10,000 per megabyte for an IBM magnetic disk sys-tem (currently, one-fiftieth of a cent per megabyte), it was an expensiveproposition. Many thought computing was for the limited few.

“I think there is a world wide market for maybe five computers.”Thomas Watson, Chairman IBM, 19436

The second generation, triggered by transistors, started a wider com-mercial interest in more affordable computing. The vacuum tube was dead.Between 1960 and 1964, the IBM 1401 captured one-third of the worldmarket, selling over 100,000 computers. The third generation, driven byintegrated circuits or the “chip,” further transformed computing application.Jack Kilby and Robert Noyce independently created the microchip, in 1958.Into the mid- to late 1960s, IBM introduced the System/360 mainframe, andData General started selling one of the first 16-bit minicomputers, the Nova,for $8,000.

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6 Status Quo—Where’s the Value?

“Moore’s Law states that the number of transistors on a chip will doubleabout every two years.”

Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, 1965Intel has kept that pace for nearly 40 years.

The fourth generation exploded onto the market with the advent of themicroprocessor, invented in 1971 by Ted Hoff, Federico Faggin, and StanleyMazor at Intel. From the late 1960s, competition grew, with mainframe andminicomputer offerings from IBM, Data General, Hewlett-Packard, SperryUnivac, Olivetti, Burroughs Machines, and ICL. In the background, theARPAnet and the original Internet were born in 1969. These were quicklyfollowed by Robert Metcalfe’s and Xerox’s Ethernet computer networking in1973. Packet switching and internetworking, using standard communicationprotocols, provided computing power across boundaries.

“There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home.”Ken Olsen, president of Digital Equipment, 1977

The personal computer revolution followed, from the early Scelbi andMark-8 Altair, in 1974–1975, to the Apple I and II, TRS-80, and CommodorePet in 1976–1977, followed by the IBM PC in 1981. Add Microsoft’s MS-DOSoperating system and Windows, and from the early 1980s computing becamea commodity for the masses. The more recent exponential computing andtelecommunication utility is, of course, associated with the growth of theWorld Wide Web. The introduction of the Mosaic Web browser in 1993 by aUniversity of Illinois team, led by Marc Andreessen, sparked the networkingrevolution. Today, voice and date have been successfully merged over thenetwork. New all-in-one handset devices are enabling mobile commerceand social networking (e.g., Facebook). Commercial applications are goingvirtual, through software as a service (SaaS) and managed services. The nextgeneration is around the corner.

“We’ve all heard that a million monkeys banging on a million typewriterswill eventually reproduce the entire works of Shakespeare. Now, thanksto the Internet, we know this is not true.”

Robert Wilensky7

IT investment grew exponentially from the late 1950s as technol-ogy significantly advanced from the first computing generation. Global IT

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IT Investment 7

1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

First Modern Computer–Manchester Baby–Memory, Storage

First Mainframe–IBM 701 EDPM–$10,000/Megabyte

First-Generation Computing–Digital/Electrical

Second-Generation Computing–Transistors

Third-Generation Computing–Integrated Circuits “Chip”

Fourth-Generation Computing–Microprocessor

IBM—1401–Captured1/3 Global Market

–100,000 Sold

First Minicomputer–Data General Nova–U.S. $8,000

UNIVAC–Mass-Produced Computer–$1 millionZ3—Digital

Computer

Birth of the Internet–ARPAnet–Xerox’s Ethernet

First Personal Computer–Scelbi, Mark-8, Altair.–Then—Apple, TRS-80,Pet

IBM PCMS-DOS

First Web Browser–Mosaic–Netscape

Voice over IPWireless

$1.0trillion

$3.0trillion

$2.0trillion

SaaSManagedServices

Commercial andSocial Networking–Facebook

EXHIBIT 1.1 Six Decades of IT Investment

investment grew from tens of millions in 1950 to $2.6 to $3.0 trillion in 2008,as depicted in Exhibit 1.1 (nonlinear). Between the 1950s and the 1990s,annual global spending growth was averaging in the double digits. Thischanged with the Internet crash in 2001; subsequent growth in the 2000shas been modest, stabilizing around 2.5 to 5 percent, but with an increas-ing pace in developing countries. However, this still means that in absolutedollar terms, global IT investment grew from just under $2 trillion at theend of the 1990s to $2.6 to $3 trillion in 2008. According to Gartner, nearlyone-third of all global IT spending is now outside North America, WesternEurope, and Japan.8 This continued growth will provide new capability andinnovation within developing markets, and more competition to developedmarkets.

Global IT investment has grown from tens of millions in the 1950s to$2.6–$3 trillion in 2008.

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8 Status Quo—Where’s the Value?

Importance of IT Investment

IT spending consists of existing and new technology investments. Costsassociated with technology hardware and software (e.g., support and ser-vices) should be included within IT investment management. Certainly froma capitalization perspective, labor costs that add value to the implementa-tion of a technology asset can be booked and depreciated. Although ongoingoperational support and services are not normally seen as an investment,our argument is that human (intellectual) capital is more important thanthe physical asset and should accordingly be treated as an IT investment.Therefore, in this book, all IT spending is considered as an investment inan organization, differentiating between existing and new.

IT investments increase both the tangible and the intangible asset valueof a company. Traditionally, IT investment has been based on tangible costsand benefits. However, it is intangible assets that now create some 85 to 90percent of shareholder value from IT investments, focusing on knowledge-based strategies, including business intelligence and database applications.9

This claim is supported by empirical evidence that up to nine-tenths of thecosts and benefits of computer capital are embedded in unseen intangibleassets.10 Intangible assets, generated by IT, can provide an explanation forexcess returns, producing higher market valuation. But the tools for manag-ing and measuring strategies have not kept up with the vision to create value.

Intuitively, we understand the importance of information, but invest-ing in information is another matter. Where does a knowledge managementsystem stack up against operational systems? The challenge is that data isunderutilized with latent potential, often not transformed into informationor knowledge creation. The past 60 years should therefore be called thedata age and not the information age, as data remains unlocked in terms ofrealizable value.11 Data can be aligned to business processes through infor-mational maps and can then be optimized or rationalized through relationaldatabase integration, but who’s the owner and sponsor of the investment?Better information behaviors will lead to improved business performance,creating visible intellectual capital and valued intangible assets.

IT investments are required both for short-term profitability, support-ing the current business operations, and for long-term shareholder value,enabling new business opportunities.12 The tendency is to focus IT invest-ments on short-term profitability, with a focus on cost containment andtight investment controls on strategic initiatives.13 Yet successful firmscannot afford to underinvest in valued future business opportunities orlong-term growth. The challenge is to reduce IT costs from operationalinfrastructure and move spending to strategic investments for businessgrowth. For instance, how can networking and computing infrastructurecosts be reduced, reinvesting in customer relationship management (CRM) or