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Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager The Pew Charitable Trusts NCSL Fiscal Leaders Seminar December 2018

Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

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Page 1: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State

Budgets, and Policymaking

Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

The Pew Charitable Trusts

NCSL Fiscal Leaders Seminar

December 2018

Page 2: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Importance of Federal-State Connection

• Federal spending spread out across the country

• Federal grants to states key part of state revenues

• Federal and state tax codes connected

Page 3: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Categories of Federal Spending

Grants

Retirement Benefits

Non-Retirement Benefits

Contracts

Salaries and Wages

Page 4: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Relative Size of Federal Spending Varies Across StatesState Examples: Types of Federal Spending Relative to State GDP, FY2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Virginia Alabama

Nonretirement

Retirement

Grants

Contracts

Salaries and Wages

29.6% 30.5%

Page 5: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Relative Size of Federal Spending Varies Across StatesState Examples: Federal Spending Relative to State GDP, FY2015

33% 32%

19%

14% 13%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

New Mexico Mississippi United States Wyoming North Dakota

Page 6: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-health

Federal Defense Dollars Are Distributed Unevenly Across the Country Per capita spending by state, federal FY 2015

Page 7: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Federal Grants as Share of States’ BudgetsPercentage of state revenue, state FY 1967-2016

Page 8: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Federal Grants Vary as a Share of State BudgetsPercentage of state revenue from federal funds, state FY 2016

Page 9: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Trends in Federal Grants to States Vary by Program AreaPercentage change from federal fiscal year 2008-17, adjusted for inflation

71%

87%

6%-7%

-11% -15%

40%

72%

-3%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Medicaid Otherhealth

Incomesecurity Transportation

EducationEverything

else

Total grants HealthNonhealth

Page 10: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

State and Federal Tax Connections

• States with income taxes link to the federal tax code

• States incorporate deductions, exclusions, and credits into their state tax codes

Page 11: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism

Current Debates

Tax Reform

Defense spending

Increases in budget caps

Health Care

Page 12: Connecting the Dots - National Conference of State Legislatures · 2018-11-30 · Connecting the Dots: Federal Funding, State Budgets, and Policymaking Rebecca Thiess, Associate Manager

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-health

Rebecca [email protected]

pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism