8
CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th , 2015

CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

CONFIDENCE INTERVALS

Feb. 18th, 2015

Page 2: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED

TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS (RANDOMLY SELECTED), 35 OF

THEM SAID THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE.

1. Find a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of the professor’s students who were registered to vote. (Just find the interval; no conclusion)

Page 3: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED

TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS (RANDOMLY SELECTED), 35 OF

THEM SAID THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE.

2. Now, interpret the confidence interval in this context (conclusion).

Page 4: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED

TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS (RANDOMLY SELECTED), 35 OF

THEM SAID THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE.

3. According to a September 2004 Gallup poll, about 73% of 18 to 29 year olds said they were registered to vote. Does this 73% figure from Gallup seem reasonable for the professor’s students? Explain.

Page 5: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED

TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS (RANDOMLY SELECTED), 35 OF

THEM SAID THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE.

4. If the professor only knew the information from the September 2004 Gallup poll and wanted to estimate the percentage of her students who were registered to vote to within ±4% with 95% confidence, how many students should she sample?

Page 6: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

ON JANUARY 30TH, 2007, FOX NEWS POLLED 900 REGISTERED VOTERS

NATIONWIDE. WHEN ASKED, “DO YOU BELIEVE GLOBAL WARMING EXISTS?” 82%

SAID “YES”.

1. Find a 90% confidence interval for the true proportion of Americans who believe global warming exists. (Just find the interval; no conclusion)

Page 7: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

ON JANUARY 30TH, 2007, FOX NEWS POLLED 900 REGISTERED VOTERS

NATIONWIDE. WHEN ASKED, “DO YOU BELIEVE GLOBAL WARMING EXISTS?” 82%

SAID “YES”.

2. Now, interpret the confidence interval in this context (conclusion).

Page 8: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, 2015. A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS

ON JANUARY 30TH, 2007, FOX NEWS POLLED 900 REGISTERED VOTERS

NATIONWIDE. WHEN ASKED, “DO YOU BELIEVE GLOBAL WARMING EXISTS?” 82%

SAID “YES”.

3. Suppose an environmental group planning a follow-up survey of voters’ opinions on global warming wants to determine a 95% confidence interval with a margin of error of no more than ±2%. How large a sample do they need?