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Communities Mobilizing for Change on Alcohol : Initial Outcomes from a Randomized Trial A. C. Wagenaar, PhD, D. M. Murray, PhD, J. P. Gehan, MPA, MA, M. Wolfson, PhD, J. Forster, PhD, T. L. Toorney, PhD, C. L. Perry, PhD, R. Jones-Webb, DrPh University of Minnesota, School of Public Health, Division of Epidemiology, 1300 S. 2nd Street, Suite 300, Minneapolis, MN 55454-1015 USA The Communities Mobilizing for Change on Alcohol (CMCA) project was a community- organizing effort to reduce underage alcohol use and resulting problems, such as traffic crashes, using a theory-based process of community activation. Objectives of this randomized community trial include; (1) reducing the availability of alcohol to youth under age 21 (the legal age for drinking in the United States), (2) reducing alcohol consumption among youth, and (3) reducing injury and other health and social problems associated with alcohol use among young people. We hypothesized that reductions in underage drinking would result from changes in community- and institutional-level policies and practices, with consequent reductions in injury morbidity and other social and health problems associated with underage drinking. Further, we expect those changes will continue beyond the project. We also expected, through involvement with CMCA, communities would develop public problem solving skills that could be used to address other health and social issues. DESIGN To assess the effects of the intervention on youth alcohol access, alcohol use, and related problems, we used a combination randomized community trial and time-series design. The randomized community trial includes seven socially and geographically distinct upper midwestern communities randomly assigned to receive the intervention program, with eight others randomly assigned to serve as controls. Baseline surveys were conducted in each community among a number of targeted groups and repeated three years later. The multiple time-series design is superimposed on the community trial such that the same outcome measures (e.g., traffic crashes) are collected from the same communities, but the outcome variables are measured at many more points in time both prior to and after the onset of the intervention program (Wagenaar et al., 1994). All school districts in Minnesota and western Wisconsin were screened for 9th grade - 885 -

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Communities Mobilizing for Change on Alcohol : Initial

Outcomes from a Randomized Trial

A . C. W agen aar, PhD , D . M . M urray, PhD , J. P. G ehan , M P A , M A , M . W olfson , PhD ,

J. F orster , P hD , T . L . Toorney, P hD , C. L. P erry , PhD , R. Jon es-W eb b , D rP h

U niversity o f M innesota, School o f Public H ealth , D ivision o f E p idem io logy , 1300 S. 2nd Street, S uite 300, M inneapolis, M N 55454-1015 U SA

T he C om m unities M obiliz ing fo r C hange on A lcohol (C M C A ) project w as a com m unity -

o rgan iz ing effo rt to reduce underage alcohol use and resu lting p roblem s, such as traffic

crashes, using a theory-based process o f com m unity activation . O bjectives o f th is random ized

com m unity trial include; (1) reducing the availability o f alcohol to youth under age 21 (the

legal age fo r d rink ing in the U nited S tates), (2) reducing alcohol consum ption am ong youth,

and (3) reducing injury and o ther health and social prob lem s associated w ith alcohol use

am ong young people. W e hypothesized that reductions in underage drink ing w ould result

from changes in com m unity - and institu tional-level policies and practices, w ith consequent

reductions in in ju ry m orb id ity and o ther social and health prob lem s associated w ith underage

d rinking. F urther, w e expect those changes w ill con tinue beyond the project. W e also

expected , th rough invo lvem ent w ith C M C A , com m unities w ould develop public p rob lem

solv ing skills that cou ld be used to address o ther health and social issues.

D E SIG N

T o assess the effec ts o f the in tervention on youth alcohol access, a lcohol use, and related

p roblem s, w e used a com bination random ized com m unity trial and tim e-series design. T he

random ized com m unity tria l includes seven socially and geograph ically d istinc t upper

m idw estern com m unities random ly assigned to receive the in tervention p rogram , w ith e ight

o thers random ly assigned to serve as contro ls. B aseline surveys w ere conducted in each

com m unity am ong a num ber o f targeted groups and repeated three years later. T he m ultip le

tim e-series design is superim posed on the com m unity tria l such that the sam e ou tcom e

m easures (e.g ., traffic crashes) are co llected from the sam e com m unities, bu t the ou tcom e

variab les are m easured at m any m ore poin ts in tim e bo th p rio r to and after the onse t o f the

in terven tion p rog ram (W agenaar et a l., 1994).

A ll school d istric ts in M inneso ta and w estern W isconsin w ere screened fo r 9 th grade

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enro llm ents o f at least 200, no participation in o ther U niversity o f M inneso ta alcoho l-related

studies, at least 25 m iles in d istance from o ther e lig ib le com m unities, and concen tra tion o f

students in three o r few er m unicipal ju risd ictions. T w enty-four d istric ts that m et these crite ria

w ere iden tified and invited to partic ipate in the study. T o participate, distric t o ffic ials had to

agree to random assignm ent and allow access to 9 th and 12th grade students fo r the baseline

and fo llow -up school surveys. F ifteen o f the 24 elig ib le d istricts agreed to partic ipate in the

study; the m ost com m on reason fo r refusal w as recent partic ipation in ano ther a lcohol-related

survey. T he 15 com m unities had an average population o f 20,836. T here w ere an average 35

“on-sa le” outlets (i.e., take-ou t liquor and grocery stores) and 14 “off-sa le” outlets (i.e ., bars,

taverns and restaurants) in each o f these com m unities.

T he 15 partic ipating d istricts w ere m atched on state, p resence o f a residential co llege o r

university , popu lation size, and on the results o f the baseline alcohol purchase survey. G iven

the odd num ber o f sites, six pairs w ere form ed, along w ith one triplet. O ne site from w ithin

each pair o r trip let w as selected at random for allocation to G roup A and the rem ain ing sites

w ere assigned to G roup B; in th is w ay, the tw o groups w ere structured so as to be sim ilar at

baseline on the m atching factors. O ne o f the tw o groups w as then assigned at random to

becom e the In terven tion G roup; the o ther becam e the C ontrol G roup (W agenaar e t al., 1994).

SO U R C E S O F D A T A A N D ST A T IST IC A L A N A L Y SE S

K ey pre- and post-in terven tion data w ere collected from a variety o f sources, including: (1)

self-adm in istered or in-school surveys o f 9 th and 12th graders, (2) te lephone surveys o f

young adults aged 18 to 20, (3) te lephone surveys o f alcohol outlet ow ners and m anagers, (4)

pseudo-underage alcohol purchase attem pts, (5) analyses o f new spaper coverage o f alcohol

issues, (6) co llection o f archival data on com m unity-level ind icators o f alcohol use and

m isuse, and (7) process evaluation data collected in the in terven tion com m unities by local

com m unity o rganizers. A ll data co llection protocols included approved prov isions fo r the

pro tection o f hum an subjects. T he first four data collection com ponents w ere conducted in

1992 as a baseline, before the com m unity w as organized for action on underage drink ing , and

again in 1995 to m easure any changes that m ay be attributable to the organ izing efforts. D ata

co llection com ponents five through seven con tinued th roughout the baseline and in tervention

phases o f the project. A ll data analyses used m ixed-m odel regression (M urray & W olfinger,

1994), tak ing into account baseline levels in both the in tervention and con tro l groups,

con tro lling fo r a variety o f relevant covariates, and accounting fo r the nesting o f indiv idual

respondents in communities.

F IN D IN G S T O D A T E

T he in tervention phase ended D ecem ber, 1995, data co llection ended m id -1996, and fo llow -

up data are now being analyzed. R esults from baseline and early fo llow -up analyses have

prov ided im portant inform ation on patterns o f alcohol availab ility am ong youth , w here it is

obtained , how it is used, and potential strategies for prevention.

W e sought to increase the p roportion o f alcohol outlets that request age iden tifica tion from

young buyers and decrease the propensity o f outlets to sell to those buyers. A lcohol purchase

attem pts assessed the degree to w hich buyers w ho appeared under the legal age could

purchase alcohol. R esults at baseline show ed that buyers w ere successful in purchasing beer

w ithout age iden tifica tion in 50% o f attem pts in “on-sale” outlets and in 52% o f attem pts in

“off-sa le” outlets (Forster e t al., 1995). In “off-sa le” businesses, buyers w ere m ore successfu l

i f the salesperson w as m ale and if the businesses w ere located in a residential area o r a m all,

“on-sale” purchase attem pts w ere m ore likely to be successful if the server appeared to be

younger than 30 years o ld , if the business w as a restauran t as opposed to a b ar a lone, and if

signs w arn ing against sales to underage persons w ere located a t checkouts. A fter the

com m unity o rganizing in tervention the p roportion o f outlets check ing age iden tifica tion

increased am ong bo th on- and “off-sa le” alcohol outlets, w ith a grea ter increase am ong “off-

sale” outlets, an effec t seen un ifo rm ly across the seven in tervention sites. A lso, the proportion

o f bo th on- and “off-sa le” outlets selling to our confederate buyers decreased (Figure 1).

In addition to testing the propensity o f alcohol outlets to check age iden tifica tion and sell to

young-appearing buyers, practices and policies o f com m ercial outlets in the 15 study

com m unities w ere exam ined v ia te lephone surveys o f ow ners and m anagers (W olfson e t al.,

1996; F igure 2). T he surveys revealed changes potentially resulting from the in tervention .

M erchants w ere asked w hether they check age iden tifica tion fo r all custom ers w ho appear

under age 30. T he proportion responding affirm atively did not change in “on-sale” outlets,

but increased am ong “off-sale” outlets in the in tervention com m unities. W e asked w hether

m erchants had ever been cited fo r sales to m inors. A m ong both on- and “off-sa le” ou tle ts the

in terven tion w as associated w ith an increase in the proportion reporting having been cited,

although the increase am ong “off-sale” outlets w as sm aller. W hile not sta tistically significant

at conventional levels, the effec t w as seen unifo rm ly across the seven in terven tion cities. W e

also assessed m erchan ts’ perceived likelihood o f being cited by law enforcem ent agents if

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they w ere to sell o r serve to m inors. A n ob jective o f the in terven tion w as to deter m erchan ts

from selling to m inors by increasing the perceived chances o f receiv ing an en fo rcem en t

consequence. In both on- and “off-sale” outlets the in tervention resu lted in h igher levels o f

perceived likelihood o f citation. F inally , a m easure o f m erchants care in p reven ting access to

alcohol by m inors is the degree to w hich they refuse sales to a 21 -year-o ld accom pan ied by a

m inor. A t post-test, outle ts in the in tervention com m unities w ere less likely to rep o rt that they

w ould sell in such situations, com pared to the con tro l group.

R esults from baseline surveys o f high school students (n= 10,391) and 18- to 20-year-o lds

(n=3,095) show ed that a person age 21 or over w as the m ost com m on source o f alcohol for

last drink ing occasion , and that direct purchase from a com m ercial ou tle t (e.g ., bar, liquor

store) w as the second m ost prevalen t source fo r those aged 18 to 20 (W agenaar e t al., 1996).

Post-test surveys o f 18- to 20-year-o lds revealed substantial declines due to the in terven tion

in the p roportion o f o lder teenagers w ho tried to buy alcoholic beverages. E igh teen to 20-

year-o lds w ere also less likely to d rink in bars o r taverns after the in tervention , and reported

increased d ifficu lty in getting alcohol from outlets (F igure 3). H igh school sen iors sim ilarly

reported increased d ifficu lty in getting alcohol from outlets after the in tervention .

T he surveys o f 18- to 20-year-o lds found that the in terven tion resu lted in a decline in the

proportion w ho prov ide alcohol to younger teens. In addition, the p roportion o f 18- to 20-

year-o lds w ho drank alcohol in the past 30 days declined, and the num ber o f d rink ing

occasions in the past m onth and the num ber o f d rinks on the last drink ing occasion declined.

T he prevalence o f binge drink ing w as not affected (Figure 3).

T he C M C A project successfully m obilized random ly selected com m unities, im proved the

practices o f alcohol m erchants, and reduced the accessibility o f alcohol to 18- to 20 -year-o lds,

traditionally a d ifficu lt segm ent o f the population to affect. W hile these initial analyses are

im portant, results should be in terpreted cautiously. T here w as a secular trend in o u r contro l

g roup that resu lted in the in tervention versus contro l g roup d ifferences being sm aller than w e

had adequate sta tistical pow er to fully assess. Investigation o f such contextual facto rs and

additional sta tistical analyses are continuing on the C M C A project. N evertheless, resu lts to

date indicate that a com m unity o rganizing approach to changing public po licy and

institu tional p ractices can be useful and effective in reducing risk and creating health ier

com m unities.

F ig u re s 1, 2

F ig ure 1: N et E ffects of the C M C A P ro jec t on A lcoho l

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F ig ure 2: N et E ffects of the C M C A P ro jec t on A lcoho l M erch an ts : S e lf-repo rted P ercep tio n s and B ehav io r

0)03CTOr.U

0)Q.

M erchan ts : O bserved B eh av io r

ID Checking ID CheckingOn-Sale Off-Sale

Buy Rate Off-Sale

F ig 3

F ig u re 3: Net Effects o f the C M C A P ro jec t on 18- to 20 -year-o lds

Bought Provided 30dayAlcohol Alcohol DfinlgngFor Last lo Youth Prevalence Drinking Occasion

f of Drinking • of Drinks BingeOccasions on Las) Drinking

in Last Occasion Prevalencemonth

-15

LastDrinking

Occasion in Barrtavem

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R E F E R E N C E S

F orster J.L ., M urray D .M ., W olfson M ., W agenaar A.C. C om m ercial availability o f alcohol

to young people in the upper m idw est: R esult o f alcohol purchase attem pts. Prev Med,

24:342-347, 1995.

M urray, D .M ., W olfinger, R .D . A nalysis issues in the evaluation o f com m unity trials:

P rogress tow ard solu tions in SA S/STA T M IX ED . J Comm Psychol, C SA P S pecial Issue,

140-154, 1994.

W agenaar, A .C ., M urray , D .M ., W olfson, M ., Forster, J.L ., F innegan, J.R . C om m unities

m obiliz ing fo r change on alcohol: D esign o f a random ized com m unity trial. J Comm Psych

(C SA P Special Issue):79-101 , 1994.

W agenaar, A .C ., T oom ey, T .L ., M urray, D .M ., Short, B .J., W olfson, M ., Jones-W ebb, R.

Sources o f alcohol fo r underage drinkers. J Stud Alcohol, 57(3):325-333 , 1996

W olfson, M ., T oom ey, T ., Forster, J.L , W agenaar, A .C ., M cG overn , P .G ., Perry , C .L .

C haracteristics, policies, and practices o f alcohol outlets and sales to underage persons. J Stud

Alcohol, 57(6), 670-674 , 1996.

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