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Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester [email protected]

Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester [email protected]

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Page 1: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants

Robert FordCCSR, University of

[email protected]

Page 2: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Key Findings

Prejudice against ethnic minorities is declining in Britain

This decline is primarily a generational process: slow overall change masks dramatic shifts between generations

The British discriminate in favour of white and culturally British immigrants

This discrimination is principally (though not only) due to racial prejudice and authoritarianism

Younger generations discriminate much less

Page 3: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Mass immigration and ethnic diversity are recent developments

Pre WWII Britain was ethnically homogenous but ruled over a diverse empire. Net emigration from Britain to Empire 1870-1950

Privileged status of Commonwealth migrants 1948-83

Mass migration from Commonwealth began in early 1950s, avg 50,000 p.a. since: British EM population 1951: 80,000 British EM population 2001: 4,635,000

Further boost to migration from international commitments (EU, asylum conventions)

Page 4: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Why do attitudes towards ethnic minorities and immigrants matter?

Disadvantages EMs suffer due to discrimination Worse outcomes in employment, education, health,

housing Hostility to minorities could undermine

community cohesion and social capital (Putnam, 2007)

Immigration has been a potent political issue: Mainstream: Powell, Thatcher, Howard? Far right: Nat Front, BNP

Large scale immigration is likely to continue Population ageing; International commitments

Page 5: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Existing research

Most research has focussed on EM disadvantage and effects of

discrimination British attitudes to immigration (in general);

support for the far-right Virtually no work on

General prevalence of prejudice Attitudes to specific immigrant groups

Page 6: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Two studies: ethnic minorities and immigrants

Both use British Social Attitudes data 1983-1996

1.Ethnic minorities “social distance” indicators Attitudes to black and Asian minority

groups 2. Immigrants

“Reduce immigration” question Attitudes to immigrants from four regions

Page 7: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Ethnic minorities: hypotheses

Prejudice against ethnic minorities is falling Biological racism no longer legitimate Elites more tolerant More contact with EMs: indirect (media) and

direct (school, work, neighbourhood) This fall will be primarily generational…

…because racism is more like a value (Inglehart, 1997) than an attitude (Zaller, 1992)

This fall will be more rapid among the educated, the middle class and women Internalised new tolerant norms more quickly Less economically threatened by EMs

Page 8: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

More prejudice against Asian minorities?

Early researchers argued racial difference most important source of prejudice:

“Ain’t No Black in the Union Jack” More recently some have argued that race is

no longer the most salient source of prejudice. Cultural differences now matter more (Modood, 2005)

Asian minorities, esp Muslims, suffer more from this “cultural prejudice”

Page 9: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Methods

Ordered logistic regression analysis of the pooled (7 survey) dataset

Effects estimated for attitudes to black and Asian groups separately

Controls for class, education, gender, unemployment, council tenure, lifecycle events

Interactions to test for variation in generational shifts for different social groups. Significant interactions found for gender, class and

education

Page 10: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Racial prejudice is declining

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996

Year

% m

ind

so

cial

co

nta

ct

Mind Asian spouse totalMind Asian spouse a lotMind black spouse totalMind black spouse a lot

Page 11: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

There is a strong generational shift towards acceptance of EMs

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975

Cohort birth year

% m

ind

so

cial

co

nta

ct

Mind Asian spouse total

Mind Asian spouse a lot

Mind black spouse total

Mind black spouse a lot

Page 12: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

This generational shift is the main driver of attitude change

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1983 1984 1986 1989 1991 1994 1996

Survey Year

% m

ind

a b

lack

sp

ou

se

1920s

1930s

1940s

1950s

1960s

Page 13: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Generational shifts are not the same for everyone

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975

Cohort birth year

% w

ho m

ind

Graduate woman: Mind Asian spouse

Unqualified man: Mind Asian spouse

Graduate woman: Mind black spouse

Unqualified man: Mind black spouse

Page 14: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

To summarise…

White British are becoming less hostile to EMs This is a generational shift, and is likely to

continue… Hostility to white-Muslim intermarriage in 2003: 27%

However, significant prejudices remain, and are likely to decline only slowly

Reactions to both minorities very similar; little evidence of “cultural racism”.

Attitudes are more polarised among the young: Prejudice virtually unknown among highly qualified and

women; remains common among the unqualified and men

Page 15: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Immigrants: hypotheses The perceived threat immigrants pose to

cultural unity is the most important factor driving European opposition to immigrants (Ivarflaten, 2006; Sides and Citrin, 2007)

Groups that are more different will be perceived as more threatening and will be more opposed

There will therefore be an “ethnic hierarchy” in immigration preferences, with two dimensions: Race: White immigrants preferred Culture: Immigrant groups with more “British”

culture (language, religion) preferred

Page 16: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Hypotheses 2 Racial prejudice will be a major explanation for

these immigration preferences Authoritarianism will be a second major

explanation: Authoritarians value cultural unity and are more likely

to perceive difference as threatening (Altemeyer, 2007) Racial prejudice and authoritarianism are in

generational decline (Tilley, 2005) Therefore younger cohorts will be less opposed to

immigration in general and will discriminate less against less favoured immigrant groups

Page 17: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Methods

Binary logistic regression analysis of opposition to immigration from four regions Australasia, Europe, West Indies, India

Effects of period, cohort, prejudice and authoritarianism estimated

Controls for education, class, unemployment, council tenure, newspaper readership, and partisan identification

Page 18: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

There is a consistent ethnic hierarchy in immigration preferences

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996

Year

% o

pp

os

ed

to

im

mig

rati

on

Australasia

Western Europe

West Indies

Indian Subcontinent

Page 19: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Younger generations oppose immigration less, and discriminate less

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

pre-1910

1914 1919 1924 1929 1934 1939 1944 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974

Cohort birth year

% o

pp

osed

to

im

mig

rati

on

AustralasiaEuropeWest IndiesIndian Subcontinent

Page 20: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Race and culture both matter, but race matters more

% oppose immigration

1983 1984 1986 1989 1994 1996 Total

White average

36 43 41 37 37 36 38

Nonwhite average

70 73 68 66 60 54 64

Difference 34 30 27 29 23 18 26

“British” average

48 53 51 48 44 41 47

Non “British” average

58 62 58 56 52 49 55

Difference 10 9 7 8 8 8 8

Page 21: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Discriminatory opposition is very pronounced among the prejudiced…

% oppose immigration

1983 1984 1986 1989 1994 1996 Total

Australasian Immigration

26 37 38 33 38 37 34

EU immigration

46 56 55 45 54 55 52

West Indian immigration

77 82 80 78 75 75 78

Indianimmigration

81 86 83 83 82 78 83

Diff EU-Aus 20 19 17 12 16 18 18

Diff WI-Aus 51 45 42 45 37 38 44

Diff Ind-Aus 55 49 45 50 44 41 49

Page 22: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

…but the ethnic hierarchy holds for the unprejudiced too

% oppose immigration

1983 1984 1986 1989 1994 1996 Total

Australasian Immigration

29 34 34 33 28 27 30

EU immigration 43 44 42 40 35 34 39West Indian

immigration58 59 55 51 47 42 50

Indian immigration

61 63 58 55 52 46 55

Diff EU-Aus 14 10 8 7 7 7 9

Diff WI-Aus 29 25 21 18 19 15 20

Diff Ind-Aus 32 29 24 22 24 19 25

Page 23: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Authoritarianism has a similar effect

25.9

33.2

49.5

55.5

37

50.9

71.9

77.9

11.1

17.7

22.4 22.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Australian immigration European immigration West Indian immigration Indian immigration

% o

pp

ose

d

Page 24: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Summary of findings White Britons discriminate in favour of

immigrants like themselves. Racial similarity matters more than culture

Prejudice and authoritarian values are the most important drivers of general opposition to immigration and of discrimination against non-white, non-British groups

Generational decline in these attitudes means discrimination is weaker among younger generations, though it is still very significant

Page 25: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Overall summary

Britain is becoming more tolerant of ethnic minorities and more open to immigration...

…but this is happening slowly… …because prejudice and discrimination,

once fixed, are hard to remove… …so change is primarily generational… …large changes between cohorts… …but cohorts stick around a long time

Page 26: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Discussion points: race What has happened since 1996? No

comparable data… Are the measures of racial prejudice accurate?

Social desirability bias (Kuklinski et al, 1997) Need inobtrusive measures of prejudice: implicit

attitude tests; survey experiments; vignettes (Sniderman and Hagendoorn, 2007)

Why is prejudice falling more slowly for men than women? Some mechanisms offered for this finding (values,

gender roles) but no systematic investigation of it as yet

Page 27: Coming to terms with diversity: British attitudes to ethnic minorities and immigrants Robert Ford CCSR, University of Manchester Rob.ford@manchester.ac.uk

Discussion points: immigration

Where the public thinks “immigrants” are coming from will matter enormously for their opinions on immigration So where do the public think immigrants are

coming from? What determines this? Does the generational decline in racial

prejudice mean race and immigration are less potent political issues? Much higher rates of all forms of immigration in

2000-2008 than in 1970s; more muted public response