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Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the kinematic of a slow moving landslide The case of the Maca landslide, Colca Valley, Peru Bontemps Noélie Larose Eric Lacroix Pascal Taipe Edu Jara Jorge

Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

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Page 1: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the kinematic

of a slow moving landslideThe case of the Maca landslide, Colca Valley, Peru

Bontemps NoélieLarose EricLacroix Pascal

Taipe EduJara Jorge

Page 2: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Why studying slow moving landslides ?

• displacement of the ground due to the gravity

• One of the major threat in mountainous area

• Kinematic driven by different forcings

rapid landslides (m/s)

slow moving landslides (m/an)

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Page 3: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Zerathe et al. , 2016

Lacroix et al. , 2014

Days since the earthquake

Cu

mu

lati

ve d

isp

lace

men

t(c

m)

Me

anve

loci

ty(c

m)

Dai

ly r

ain

fall

(mm

)

10

20

30

10

30

50

Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14

Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14

Date

Date

Landslide forcing

0

2

4

6

-2

-40 0 40 80 120

earthquake

Human activitiesRiver

rainfall

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Page 4: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

problematic

• To better understand the different mechanisms impacting landslide kinematics in active seismic region where both earthquake and rainfall can combine

Use of in-situ data

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Page 5: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Site of study

Bontemps et al. 2018

• Colca river contributing to erosion of lacustrine deposits

• Precipitation follows a season cycle

• intense seismic activity

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Page 6: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

The Maca Landslide monitoring

Zerathe et al., 2016

Recording continuously since the beginning of 2016

MAC 3

MAC 2

MAC 1

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6

Page 7: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Weaver (Phys. Rev. Lett. 2001; Science 2005)

𝑉𝑠 =𝜇

𝜌

In rigidity (𝜇)Increase in density (𝜌)

Vs

Method Ambient noise correlation

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=> Monitoring of tiny changes in the soil properties

Page 8: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Earthquake recorded between 2016 and 2017

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Effective precipitation recorded between 2016 and 2017

Page 9: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

GPS measurements

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• Combined effect of precipitation and earthquake observable with GPS

Page 10: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

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• Co-seismic drop of the seismic surface wave velocity => decrease of the rigidity

• Long term effect of precipitation following a strong shaking event

Page 11: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

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Small magnitude earthquake impact (Ml<4)Distance source –landslide :

Ml 3.9 => 7kmMl 3.6 => 3.5 km

Page 12: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

• Keefer (1984) and Keefer and Wilson (1989).

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Small magnitude earthquake impact (Ml<4)

Page 13: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Conclusions

• We can see a combination of earthquake and precipitation from GPS time-series

• acceleration of the landslide following low magnitude earthquakes (Ml<4)

• One possible mechanism at the origin is the damage of the soil that ease the way of precipitation into the ground

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Page 14: Combined effect of precipitation and earthquakes on the ... · •One of the major threat in mountainous area •Kinematic driven by different forcings rapid landslides (m/s) slow

Thank you for your attention

Wegener 2018 14