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www.risk-technologies.com ; www.stw.de
Projekat: Saradnja sa Naftnom industrijom Srbije Collaboration with Petroleum Industry of Serbia
STEINBEIS Foundation (www.stw.de)
NIS-NAFTNA INDUSTRIJA SRBIJE (www.nis.yu)
Project:
RiskNIS: Risk management and use of risk-based approaches in inspection, maintenance and HSE analyses
of NIS a. d. plants (http://www.risknis.risk-technologies.com/)
RBI
Risk-Based Inspection Qualitative Risk Assessment
Unit level
Version 2.0,
Status: Intermediate Draft
Risk before
Risk after
Novi Sad, Beograd, Stuttgart
August 2007
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 2
Contacts
Prof. Dr. A. S. Jovanovic, Director Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies Haus der Wirtschaft, Willi-Bleicher-Straße 19, D- 70174 Stuttgart, Germany Phone: +49 (711) 1839-781, +49 (172) 635 9190 Fax: +49 (711) 677 0605 E-mail: [email protected] www: www.risk-technologies.com
Prof. dr Petar Stanojević, R&D Director, NIS-Petroleum Industry of Serbia Narodnog fronta 12, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia Phone: +381 (21) 481-2202, +381 ( Fax: +381 (21) 481 4485 E-mail: [email protected] www: www.nis.yu
Ms. Radmila Guntrum, dipl. ing, Local Steinbeis office Milentija Popovica 2, Novi Beograd Phone: +381 (11) 311 2121, +381 (63) 889 1328 E-mail: [email protected]
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 3
Executive Summary
The purpose of this document is to present the results of the Qualitative RISK Assessment on the level of units of 3 NIS Plants (Pančevo, Novi Sad, Elemir), thus giving an overview of the overall criticality of units and benchmarking the units among themselves. The RBI analysis has covered 60 process and auxiliary units. This report gives an overview of the results that are still subject to verification.
Applied methodology used for this purpose is API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS, extended to environmental, business and reputation consequences categories.
This document gives the description of methodology applied, performed activities, results and conclusions and recommendations.
The results given are in DRAFT status, subject to further verification from the plants. Some of the assessment is clearly to be judged as unconfirmed, therefore, the relatively high levels of risks associated with number of units is more due to the unknown data and conservatism in the approach then to the real situation in the field.
5
4 5 10, 11
13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,
46
12, 52
3 16, 43 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 44, 49, 55, 56, 57
19, 23, 24, 26, 27, 29, 42, 53,
54
8, 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58
2 48, 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40, 59
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14 33 15
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 1 Preliminary results of API Qualitative Analysis with 60 units
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 4
Executive summary (Serbian)
Namena ovog dokumenta je da prezentira rezultate kvalitativne analize rizika na nivou postrojenja na 3 lokacije NIS-a (Pančevo, Novi Sad, Elemir), da da pregled kritičnosti postrojenja i da omogući međusobno poređenje postrojenja. Analizom je obuhvaćeno ukupno 60 procesnih i pomoćnih postrojenja.
Primenjena metodologija se zasniva na API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS, proširena sa procenom posledica po okolinu, poslovanje i reputaciju firme.
Dokument sadrži opis primenjene metodologije, pregled sprovedenih aktivnosti, rezultate analiza i zaključke i preporuke za dalji rad.
Dati rezultati imaju status DRAFT, odnosno podaci su nepotvrđeni, a potvrda je planirana sa predstavnicima postrojenja. Zbog ovih činjenica, relativno visoki nivoi rizika određenih za veći broj postrojenja je više rezultat nedostupnosti podataka i konzervativnosti kvalitativnog pristupa nego što predstavlja realnu situaciju na terenu.
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 5
Status of the current document
Draft, after first round of evaluation.
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 6
Table of Contents
Contacts 2
Executive Summary............................................... 3
Executive summary (Serbian) ................................. 4
Status of the current document ............................... 5
Table of Contents .................................................. 6
List of Figures ....................................................... 7
List of Tables ........................................................ 8
List of Acronyms.................................................... 9
Introduction.........................................................10
Performed activities ..............................................11
Results ...........................................................15
Conclusions and recommendations..........................27
References ..........................................................28 Annex 1 Example of Qualitative Workbook in Serbian........ 29
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 7
List of Figures
Figure 1 Preliminary results of API Qualitative Analysis with 60 units........................................................................3
Figure 2 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (English)........................................... 11
Figure 3 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (Serbian) .......................................... 12
Figure 4 Project web-site Member area.............................. 12 Figure 5 Overall Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP,
RNS, RGE) ....................................................... 16 Figure 6 NIS Overall Damage matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS,
RGE) ............................................................... 16 Figure 7 NIS Overall Health matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
...................................................................... 17 Figure 8 NIS Overall Environmental matrix for all three units (RNP,
RNS, RGE) ....................................................... 17 Figure 9 NIS Overall Business Consequences matrix for all three units
(RNP, RNS, RGE) .............................................. 18 Figure 10 NIS Overall Reputation consequences matrix for all three
units (RNP, RNS, RGE)....................................... 18 Figure 11 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP ........................... 21 Figure 12 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS........................... 24 Figure 13 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE........................... 26
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 8
List of Tables
Table 1 Unit Grouping and responsibility matrix .................. 13 Table 2 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS
Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE) ..................................... 19 Table 3 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP ..... 22 Table 4 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS..... 24 Table 5 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE..... 26
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 9
List of Acronyms
Acronyms referred in the document are given below. Explanation of these acronyms can be found from the text, where it is referred. Symbols used in the document are explained in the text.
Term Definition
API American Petroleum Institute
CoF Consequence of failure
MTBF Mean Time Between Failure
NFPA National Fire Protection Association, USA
NDT Non-destructive testing/inspection
P&ID Process and Instrumentation Diagram
PoF Probability of failure
QRA Quantitative Risk Analysis
RBI Risk Based Inspection: methods to plan, implement and evaluate inspections using risk based approach
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 10
Introduction
In the scope of the “Contract for the extension of the project (Phase II), Risk management and use of risk-based approaches in inspection, maintenance and HSE analyses of NIS a.d. plants”, the Basic Package (see Annex 6 and Annex 7) contains RBI analysis for 200 pieces of equipment on the qualitative level (level 1), 80 equipment on the semi-quantitative level (level 2) and 20 pieces of equipment on the quantitative level (level 3). Compared with the initial equipment count of about 20.000 pieces of equipment (se Annex 7 of the contract), and in order to maximize the benefit for the client, it has been decided to perform benchmarking of units on the qualitative level in order to determine the best candidates for RBI implementation.
To this goal, the methodology described in the API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition, APPENDIX A-WORKBOOK FOR QUALITATIVE RISK-BASED INSPECTION ANALYIS has been applied.
The workbook presents the details of the qualitative RBI analysis procedure,.and is used to determine the Likelihood and Consequence Category for a given unit. Depending on the nature of the chemicals in a unit, the Consequence Category can be determined based on the flammable or toxic hazards for the unit. Within the workbook, flammable consequences are represented by the Damage Consequence Category, since the primary impact of a flammable event (fire or explosion) is to damage equipment. Toxic consequences fall under the Health Consequence Category, since their impact is usually limited to adverse health effects.
The workbook is subdivided as follows:
• Part A: Likelihood Category
• Part B: Damage Consequence Category
• Part C: Health Consequence Category
In cases when the unit has a number of different process fluids, the workbook exercise is applied to the worst case from both Damage Consequence Category and Health Consequence Category, meaning that it is not necessary that in both parts of the analysis same amounts and natures of fluids have been considered.
An example of the offline workbook (in Serbian) is given in Annex 1.
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 11
Performed activities
In order to be able to perform the given analysis, the following activities have taken place:
1. Training in RBI methodology and presentation of qualitative methods during the Training RBI from October 30 to November 3 2006
2. First Certification RBI on November 27, 2006
3. Complete implementation of the RBI Qualitative Workbook in a form of Web-based software tool (see Figure 2)
4. Complete translation of the software version to Serbian (see Figure 3)
5. Integration of the software tool in the project web site (Figure 4) http://www.risknis.risk-technologies.com
6. Export facility in the software in order to allow offline completion of the questionnaire (example of offline questionnaire is given in Annex 1)
7. Definition of units to be covered by RBI analysis and their grouping in Unit Groups to be distributed for answering, performed during the kick-off meeting for Feasibility Study on February 23, 2006 and on separate dedicated meetings with RGE on May 22, 2006, RNP on May 24, 2006 and RNS on May 25, 2006 (See for exact grouping of data Table 1)
8. Case studies with the team leaders for RGE (May 22, 2006), RNP (May 24, 2006) and RNS (May 25, 2006), where one unit was completely analyzed for RGE and RNP, and for all expected inputs and clarifications explained.
9. Data collection and extension of the consequences assessment beginning of July 2007
10. Individual data assessment with RNP plant unit representatives, mid-July 2007
Figure 2 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (English)
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 12
Figure 3 Web-based tool implementing API 581 Qualitative RBI Workbook (Serbian)
Figure 4 Project web-site Member area
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 13
Table 1 Unit Grouping and responsibility matrix
Loc. Group summary
Group description Responsible Delegated
RGE RGE - Procesno Postrojenje
RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje (Process unit) Zdravko Umićević
RNP Energana Energana Zorić
RNP
RNP- S - 300 RNP- S - 500 RNP- S - 550 RNP- S - 570 RNP- S - 650 RNP- S - 1300 RNP- S - 1520 RNP-Velika kompresornica
S-300 Kataliticki reforming sa HDS (Catalytic reforming with HDS) S-500 Obrada gasa (Gas concentration unit) S-550 Meroks TNG (LPG Merox) S-570 Frakcionacija TNG (LPG separation) S-650 Meroks lakog benzina (Straight run naphtha Merox) S-1300 Sistem pare i kondenzata (Steam and condensate) S-1520 Lozivi sistem (Fuel gas) Velika kompresornica (Compressors)
Miloš Nedić
RNP
RNP- S - 2300 RNP- S - 2500 RNP- S - 2550 RNP- S - 2950
S-2300 Katalitički kreking vakuum gasnog ulja (FCC) S-2500 Obrada gasova sa frakcionacijom (Gas treatment with fractionation) S-2550 Meroks TNG (LPG Merox) S-2950 Regeneracija amina (Amine regeneration)
Stevan Košarić
RNP
RNP- S - 200 RNP - S- 900 RNP - S - 1500 RNP - S - 1550
S-200 Visbreaking S-900 Obrada otpadnih kiselih voda (Waste water treatment) S-1500 Vazduh (Air) S-1550 Sistem zapornog ulja (Oil)
Vladimir Jokić
RNP
RNP- S – 2400 RNP- S – 2450 RNP- S - 2600 RNP- S – 2750 RNP- S – 2850 RNP- S - 2900
S-2400: HDS dizela (Distillate Hydrotreating - Diesel) S-2450: Klaus (Sulphur Recovery Unit) S-2600: Alkilacija (Alkylation - ASA) S-2750: Meroks lakog krekovanog benzina (Light Cracked Naphtha MEROX) S-2850 Meroks teskog krekovanog benzina (Heavy Cracked Naphtha MEROX) S-2900 Striper kisele vode
Nićiforović
RNP RNP- S - 3600 Solventna ekstrakcija aromata (Aromatic solvent extraction / LLED) (Sulfolane)
Mirjana Kojić Petit
RNP RNP- S – 0250 RNP- S - 0290
Bitumen & Polimer Bitumen Zoran Todorov
RNP RNP- S - 2200 S-2200: Vakuumska destilacija (Vacuum distillation) Zoran Prole
RNP
RNP- S – 400 RNP- S – 620 RNP- S – 1700 RNP- S – 2700 RNP- S - 1000
S-400: HDS dizela ili mlaznog goriva ili pirolitickog benzina (Diesel or jet fuel or pyrolysis gasoline HDS) S-620: Ekstrakcija aromata (Aromatic solvent extraction) S-1700/2700: Mala i velika baklja (Flares) S-1000: Rekuperacija gasa baklje (Flare gas recovery)
Jovan Jović
RNP
RNP- S – 2100 RNP- S – 2650 RNP- S – 100 RNP- S – 600 RNP- S – 750 RNP- S – 850 RNP- S - 1800
S -2100: Velika atmosferska destilacija S-2650: Meroks lakog benzina S-100: Mala atmosfreska destilacija S-600: Redestilacija S-750: Meroks mlaznog goriva 1 S-850: Meroks mlaznog goriva 4 S-1800: Sistem luzine
D. Ivanović
RNS RNS - U-2300 RNS - U-2400 RNS – U2700
Goriva - Sekundarno (Fuel - Secondary) U-2300: Postrojenje hodrotriting sa pripadajućim rezervoarom T-1 (Hydrotreating and tank T-1) U-2400: Postrojenje platforming sa pripadajućim
Mile Zorić
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 14
Loc. Group summary
Group description Responsible Delegated
rezervoarom T-2 (Platforming and tank T-2) U-2700: Pomoćni sistem (Auxiliary system)
RNS RNS - U-2500 RNS – U-2600 RNS - 5800
Goriva - Sekundarno (Fuel - secondary) U-2500 Postrojenje za proizvodnja TNG sa pripadajucim rezervoarima (LPG production and tanks) U-2600 Postrojenje Unibon - Desulfurizacija (Unibon - HDS) U-5800 Postrojenje za obradu sulfidnih voda (Sulphur water treatment)
Mile Zorić Boris Bošković
RNS RNS - U-2100 RNS – U2200
Goriva - Primarno (Fuel - Primary) U-2100: Atmosferska destilacija sa stabilizacijom (Atmospheric distillation with stabilization) U-2200: Vakuum destilacija (Vacuum distillation)
Mile Zorić
RNS RNS - U-100 RNS – U-200
Uljara 1 (Oil section 1) U-100: Atmosferska destilacija (Atmospheric distillation) U-200: Vakuum destilacija (Vacuum distillation)
Goran Ristović
RNS RNS - HF-400 RNS - HFH-400 RNS - KRB-400
Uljara 2 (Oil section 2) HF-400: Hidrofinišing (Hydrofiniching) HFH - 400: Postrojenje za proizvodnju vodonika (Hydrogen production) KRB-400: Sistem baklje sa pripadajućim cevovodima i opremom (Flare with piping and equipment)
Goran Ristović
RNS RNS - U-300 RNS – U-900
Proizvodnja i dorada bitumena (Coking - Bitumen production and treatment) U-300: Proizvodnja bitumena sa sirovinskim rezervoarima (G10 i V1 do V6) (Bitumen production with feed tanks G10 and V1 to V6) U-900: Pomoćni sistemi (sistem toplog ulja) (Auxiliary system - Hot oil)
Mihajlo Delari
RNS RNS – 0300 RNS - 30
Proizvodnja tehnološke pare i distribucija pare i gasa (Steam production and steam and gases distribution) 0300: Pogon proizvodnje tehnološke pare - kotlarnica (Steam production - boiler) 30: Postrojenje pare i kondenzata - reducir stanica (Steam and condensate)
Petar Vidović
RNS RNS - 0200 Pogon pripreme vode (Water treatment) 0200: HPV Petar Vidović
RNS RNS - Novolin Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama (Oil blending with piping and pumping)
Dragan Bubnjević
RNS
RNS - Obrada otpadnih voda (Waste water treatment)
Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja (Waste water treating with separation and mud furnace)
Miroljub Cekić
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 15
Results
Preliminary results of the analysis are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 5) and in Table 2.
Furthermore, single risk matrices for various consequence categories are shown as follows:
1. Damage consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 6
2. Health consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 7
3. Environmental consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 8
4. Business consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 9
5. Reputation consequence Risk Matrix - Figure 10
The summary results for RNP are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 11) and in Table 3
The summary results for RNS are shown in the Risk Matrix (seeFigure 12) and in Table 4
The summary results for RGE are shown in the Risk Matrix (see Figure 13) and in Table 5.
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 16
5
4 5 10, 11
13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,
46
12, 52
3 16, 43 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 44, 49, 55, 56, 57
19, 23, 24, 26, 27, 29, 42, 53,
54
8, 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58
2 48, 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40, 59
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14 33 15
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 5 Overall Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE)
5
4 5, 12, 13
10, 11, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 41, 45, 46,
52
17 39
3 0, 31, 32, 42, 43,
49
16, 19, 23, 24, 26, 29, 44, 50,
51, 56
1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 18, 27, 47, 53, 54, 55, 57, 58
2 34, 48 28, 38, 40, 59,
60, 61
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14, 15 33
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 6 NIS Overall Damage matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 17
5
4 5, 11 10
13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 35, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45,
46, 52
12
3 2, 6, 23, 43, 56,
57 16, 49, 53 1, 3, 4, 27, 44,
54, 55 8, 19, 24, 26, 29,
42 18, 30, 31, 32, 47, 50, 51, 58
2 34, 48, 60, 61 28 38, 40, 59
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14, 15, 33
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 7 NIS Overall Health matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
5
4 5, 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 36, 37, 39, 41, 46
11, 45 10 35 52
3
2, 6, 16, 18, 19, 24, 26, 27, 29, 30, 31, 32, 43,
44, 49
4, 23, 42 1, 3, 50, 55, 56,
57 51, 53, 54, 58 8, 47
2 28, 34, 38, 40,
48, 61 59, 60
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14, 33 15
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 8 NIS Overall Environmental matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies – R-TECH
RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 18
5
4 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 37,
39, 41 5
10, 11, 35, 36, 45, 46, 52
3 2, 3, 4, 16, 19, 24, 26, 29, 30,
31, 32, 49
6, 42, 43, 44, 47, 56, 57
1, 8, 27, 50, 51, 53, 54, 55, 58 18, 23
2 48, 59 60, 61 28, 34 38, 40
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14 15, 33
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 9 NIS Overall Business Consequences matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
5
4 12, 13, 17, 20, 21, 22, 25, 37,
39
5, 10, 11, 35, 36, 41, 45, 46, 52
3 2, 3, 4, 16, 19, 24, 26, 29, 30,
31, 32
6, 42, 43, 44, 47, 50, 51, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58
1, 8, 18, 23, 49 27
2 38, 40 28, 48, 60, 61 34, 59
L I K E L I H O O D
1 7, 9, 14 33 15
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 10 NIS Overall Reputation consequences matrix for all three units (RNP, RNS, RGE)
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 19
Table 2 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for all three NIS Plants (RNP, RNS, RGE)
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
1 RGE -RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje
3 C C C C C C Medium
2 RNP -S-100 3 C A A A A C Medium
3 RNP -S-1800 3 C C C A A C Medium
4 RNP -S-2100 3 C C B A A C Medium
5 RNP -S- 600 4 A B A B B B Medium
6 RNP -S- 750 3 C A A B B C Medium
7 RNP -S- 850 1 A A A A A A Low
8 RNP -S-2650 3 C D E C C E Very High
9 RNP -RNP - Energana 1 A A A A A A Low
10 RNP -S-0250 4 B C C C B C High
11 RNP -S-0290 4 B B B C B C High
12 RNP -S-200 4 A E A A A E Very High
13 RNP -S-900 4 A D A A A D High
14 RNP -S-1500 1 A A A A A A Low
15 RNP -S-1550 1 A A B B C C Medium
16 RNP -S-2200 3 B B A A A B Low
17 RNP -S-2300 4 C D A A A D High
18 RNP -S-2500 3 C E A D C E Very High
19 RNP -S-2550 3 B D A A A D High
20 RNP -S-2950 4 B D A A A D High
21 RNP -S-2400 4 B D A A A D High
22 RNP -S-2450 4 B D A A A D High
23 RNP -S-2600 3 B A B D C D High
24 RNP -S-2750 3 B D A A A D High
25 RNP -S-2850 4 B D A A A D High
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 20
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
26 RNP -S-2900 3 B D A A A D High
27 RNP -S- 300 3 C C A C D D High
28 RNP -S- 500 2 B B A C B C Medium
29 RNP -S-550 3 B D A A A D High
30 RNP -S-570 3 A E A A A E Very High
31 RNP -S-650 3 A E A A A E Very High
32 RNP -S-1300 3 A E A A A E Very High
33 RNP -S- 1520 1 B A A B B B Low
34 RNP -Velika kompresornica 2 A A A C C C Medium
35 RNP -S-3600 4 B D D C B D High
36 RNP -S-400 4 B D A C B D High
37 RNP -S-620 4 B D A A A D High
38 RNP -S-1700 2 B E A D A E High
39 RNP -S-1000 4 D D A A A D High
40 RNP -S-2700 2 B E A D A E High
41 RNS -0200 4 B D A A B D High
42 RNS -0300 mazut 3 A D B B B D High
43 RNS -30 3 A - A B B B Low
44 RNS -0300 prirodni gas 3 B C A B B C Medium
45 RNS -HF-400 4 B D B C B D High
46 RNS -HFH-400 4 B D A C B D High
47 RNS -KRB-400 3 C E E B B E Very High
48 RNS -Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama
2 A A A A B B Low
49 RNS -Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja
3 A B A A C C Medium
50 RNS -U-100 3 B E C C B E Very High
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RiskNIS RBI Qualitative Unit-Based page 21
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
51 RNS -U-200 3 B E D C B E Very High
52 RNS -U-2100 4 B D E C B E Very High
53 RNS -U-2200 3 C B D C B D High
54 RNS -U-2300 3 C C D C B D High
55 RNS -U-2400 3 C C C C B C Medium
56 RNS -U-2700 3 B A C B B C Medium
57 RNS -U-2500 3 C A C B B C Medium
58 RNS -U-2600 3 C E D C B E Very High
59 RNS -U-5800 2 B E B A C E High
60 RNS -U-300 2 B A B B B B Low
61 RNS -U-900 2 B A A B B B Low
5
4 4 9, 10 12, 16, 19, 20, 21, 24, 34, 35,
36, 38 11
3 15 1, 2, 3, 5 18, 22, 23, 25,
26, 28 7, 17, 29, 30, 31
2 27, 33 37, 39
L I K E L I H O O D
1 6, 8, 13 32 14
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 11 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP
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Table 3 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNP
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
1 RNP -S-100 3 C A A A A C Medium
2 RNP -S-1800 3 C C C A A C Medium
3 RNP -S-2100 3 C C B A A C Medium
4 RNP -S- 600 4 A B A B B B Medium
5 RNP -S- 750 3 C A A B B C Medium
6 RNP -S- 850 1 A A A A A A Low
7 RNP -S-2650 3 C D E C C E Very High
8 RNP -RNP - Energana
1 A A A A A A Low
9 RNP -S-0250 4 B C C C B C High
10 RNP -S-0290 4 B B B C B C High
11 RNP -S-200 4 A E A A A E Very High
12 RNP -S-900 4 A D A A A D High
13 RNP -S-1500 1 A A A A A A Low
14 RNP -S-1550 1 A A B B C C Medium
15 RNP -S-2200 3 B B A A A B Low
16 RNP -S-2300 4 C D A A A D High
17 RNP -S-2500 3 C E A D C E Very High
18 RNP -S-2550 3 B D A A A D High
19 RNP -S-2950 4 B D A A A D High
20 RNP -S-2400 4 B D A A A D High
21 RNP -S-2450 4 B D A A A D High
22 RNP -S-2600 3 B A B D C D High
23 RNP -S-2750 3 B D A A A D High
24 RNP -S-2850 4 B D A A A D High
25 RNP -S-2900 3 B D A A A D High
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ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
26 RNP -S- 300 3 C C A C D D High
27 RNP -S- 500 2 B B A C B C Medium
28 RNP -S-550 3 B D A A A D High
29 RNP -S-570 3 A E A A A E Very High
30 RNP -S-650 3 A E A A A E Very High
31 RNP -S-1300 3 A E A A A E Very High
32 RNP -S- 1520 1 B A A B B B Low
33 RNP -Velika kompresornica
2 A A A C C C Medium
34 RNP -S-3600 4 B D D C B D High
35 RNP -S-400 4 B D A C B D High
36 RNP -S-620 4 B D A A A D High
37 RNP -S-1700 2 B E A D A E High
38 RNP -S-1000 4 D D A A A D High
39 RNP -S-2700 2 B E A D A E High
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5
4 1, 5, 6 11
3 3 4, 9, 14, 15, 16 2, 12, 13 7, 10, 17, 21
2 8, 19, 20 18
L I K E L I H O O D
1
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 12 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS
Table 4 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RNS
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
1 RNS -0200 4 B D A A B D High
2 RNS -0300 mazut 3 A D B B B D High
3 RNS -30 3 A - A B B B Low
4 RNS -0300 prirodni gas 3 B C A B B C Medium
5 RNS -HF-400 4 B D B C B D High
6 RNS -HFH-400 4 B D A C B D High
7 RNS -KRB-400 3 C E E B B E Very High
8 RNS -Blending ulja sa pripadajućim cevovodima i pumparnicama
2 A A A A B B Low
9 RNS -Pogon obrade otpadnih voda sa separatorima i peći za spaljivanje mulja
3 A B A A C C Medium
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ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
10 RNS -U-100 3 B E C C B E Very High
11 RNS -U-2100 4 B D E C B E Very High
12 RNS -U-2200 3 C B D C B D High
13 RNS -U-2300 3 C C D C B D High
14 RNS -U-2400 3 C C C C B C Medium
15 RNS -U-2700 3 B A C B B C Medium
16 RNS -U-2500 3 C A C B B C Medium
17 RNS -U-2600 3 C E D C B E Very High
18 RNS -U-5800 2 B E B A C E High
19 RNS -U-300 2 B A B B B B Low
20 RNS -U-900 2 B A A B B B Low
21 RNS -U-200 3 B E D C B E Very High
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5
4
3 1
2
L I K E L I H O O D
1
A B C D E
C O N S E Q U E N C E S
Figure 13 Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE
Table 5 Unit overview for Qualitative Risk Matrix for RGE
ID Unit name LoF Cat.
Damage CoF Cat.
Health CoF Cat.
Env. CoF
Business COF
Reputation Cons.
Overall CoF
Risk Rank
1 RGE-1 Procesno postrojenje
3 C C C C C C Medium
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Conclusions and recommendations
Presented results so far have DRAFT status, and show considerable number of units being in the high or critical risk zones. The results are still subject to further verification.
Furthermore, it has been noted that reluctance by assessing the business or reputation consequences has given unrealistic results, especially in RNP.
Also, relatively low damage matrix picture should be revised.
It is to be expected that after the complete data is provided for all 60 units, the situation will change.
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References
[1] Contract No: 45/609 of September 8, 2006
[2] API PUBL 581, Risk-Based Inspection Base Resource Document, 2000 Edition
[3] CEN/WS 24 RIMAP draft CWA August 2007