Cohort Graduation and Annual Dropout Rates: 2014 Statewide Results and Highlights of Worcester Public Schools College and Career Readiness Webinar Series

Cohort Graduation andAnnual Dropout Rates: 2014 Statewide Results and Highlights of Worcester Public Schools

College and Career Readiness Webinar SeriesMarch 3, 2015

Welcome!

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PowerPoint slides will be sent to all registered participants, and will be posted to the CCR website 2

Agenda

• Part I: Statewide Cohort Graduation and Annual Dropout Rates: Highlights of results for 2014 Presented by Rob Curtin, Director of Education Data Services, ESE

• Part II: Highlights of a District Making Progress: - Presented by Worcester Public Schools staff

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2013-14 Dropout and Graduation Rate Data

Robert CurtinDirector, Education Data Services

Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

5

Goals for Today

Gain a common understanding of graduation and dropout rate methodologies

Present most recent and longitudinal graduation and dropout rate data to illustrate successes and areas for improvement

Answer any questions and take suggestions for additional analyses

MassGrad Schools

Selected as a result of having a dropout rate higher than the state average in 2008-09

76 Districts and 133 Schools; including 8 charter schools

30.7% of all enrolled students in grade 9-12


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Calculating Graduation Rates in MA


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# of students in cohort who graduate within 4 years

[# of 1st time 9th graders 4 yrs earlier] – transfers out + transfers in

What percent graduate by summer ‘14?

Transfer out/deceased

Transfer In

Oct 1, 2010 9th grade first time

4 Year Rate – 2014 Cohort

Calculating Graduation Rates in MA


8

# of students in cohort who graduate within 5 years

[# of 1st time 9th graders 5 yrs earlier] – transfers out + transfers in

What percent graduate by summer ‘14?

Transfer out/deceased

Transfer In

Oct 1, 2009 9th grade first time

5 Year Rate – 2013 Cohort

Cohort Identification


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9th 10th 11th 12th

2002-03 2006

2003-04 2007 2006

2004-05 2008 2007 2006

2005-06 2009 2008 2007 2006

2006-07 2010 2009 2008 2007

2007-08 2011 2010 2009 2008

2008-09 2012 2011 2010 2009

2009-10 2013 2012 2011 2010

2010-11 2014 2013 2012 2011

2011-12 2015 2014 2013 2012

2012-13 2016 2015 2014 2013

2013-14 2017 2016 2015 2014

Graduation RatesMassachusetts and MassGrad


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Cohort

State 4yr

MassGrad 4yr

State 5yr

MassGrad5yr

2008 81.2 66.9 84.2 72.4

2009 81.5 67.3 84.0* 71.1*

2010 82.1* 67.2* 84.7 71.4

2011 83.4 69.0 86.3 73.7

2012 84.7 71.7 87.5 75.8

2013 85.0 73.0 87.7 76.7

2014 86.1 74.5 NA NA

MA Public Schools = 4.6 percentage point increase since 2009Non–MassGrad Grantees = 1.9 percentage point increase since 2009MassGrad Grantees = 7.2 percentage point increase since 2009

*New CD requirements

MassGrad 2014 Cohort 4-Year Profile

N = 23,34074.5% graduated (+1.5 from 2013)

11.4% dropped out (-1.7)

9.2% are still enrolled (-0.2)

2.1% received a GED (-0.4)

2.5% completed but did not graduate (+0.7)

0.2% were permanently excluded (+0.1)


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MassGrad 2013 Cohort 5-Year Profile

N =24,323


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76.7% graduated (+0.9 from 2012 cohort 5-year)

13.8% dropped out (-1.7)

3.3% received a GED (-0.8)

3.1% are still enrolled (+0.1)

0.2% transferred in their 5th year

2.9% completed but did not graduate (+0.3)

0.1% were permanently excluded (-0.1)

Calculating Annual Dropout Rates


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Summer Dropouts:Students determined to be a dropout over the summer before the start of the current school year.

School Year Dropouts:• Students determined to be a dropout during the

current school year. · Check against all other districts’ data to see if

dropout is enrolled or graduated from another district (i.e. “found” students)

Returned Dropouts:· Check if any Summer Dropouts or School Year

Dropouts are reported in the following school year’s October 1 SIMS.

· Students reported as enrolled, graduated or received an high school equivalency in any district are removed from the total dropout count.

High School Enrollment:• The High School Enrollment is based

on this October 1 SIMS collection. This is the denominator when calculating dropout rates.

(1) 2012-13 EOY SIMS (2) October 1, 2013 SIMS (3) 2013-14 EOY SIMS -------- (4) October 1, 2014 SIMS

The final dropout rate = [(Summer Dropouts + School Year Dropouts) – Returned Dropouts] / High School Enrollment


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Annual Dropouts 2007-2014All Students


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Annual Dropout Rate 2007-2014All Students

Gap decrease from 3.4 points to 1.9 since implementation


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Annual Dropout Rate 2007-2012Selected Populations - MassGrad


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Major Findings

Dropout rates in the aggregate and in all subgroups are the lowest in 12 years since using SIMS and lowest in decades by any measure

A 48.1% reduction in the number of dropouts in MassGrad schools since 2007 and 9.9% since last year

“Dropout Gap” between state and MassGrad districts has decreased since implementation

MassGrad schools account for 60.7% of all dropouts while having 30.7% of the high school enrollment

Dropout and Graduation Rate Information

MA Student Information Management System:http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/data/sims/

MA Graduation Rates:http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/

MA Dropout Rateshttp://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout/


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http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/data/sims/

http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/

Contact Information

Robert CurtinDirector, Education Data [email protected]


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A Look at Worcester Public Schools


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4-year Graduation Rates by SchoolChange from 2013 & 2014

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Worcester Public School Presenters

• Kristen Leo, Senior Systems Analyst• Bruce O’Connell, Assistant Principal, North

High School• Carmen Melendez, Head Guidance

Counselor, South High School• Jane Dowd, Head Guidance Counselor,

Burncoat High School• Dolores Gribouski, Ed.D, Manager of

Curriculum, Instruction and School Leadership:

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District-wide Initiatives

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Graduation Improvement Teams• Membership

• Guidance Counselor• School Adjustment Counselor• Administrator• Focused Instructional Coach• Faculty Members

• Activities• Data Analysis and strategic planning for off-track

students.• Transition Planning/ Programming for 8th grades

moving into high school.

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Alternative Pathways• Collaborate with comprehensive high schools for

referral and learning plans• Flexible schedules• Smaller class size• Additional social-emotional support• Collaborate with agencies

Returnee• Conduct outreach and re-engagement efforts focused

on recent dropouts• Computer-based credit recovery• personalized learning support

College & Career Readiness Network Computer-based Credit Recovery Attendance Buy-Back 26

Systematic use of DataFocus on student success

• Segmentation Study• Monthly Baseline Data• EWIS• Course Completion report• MassCore Progression • Data Monitoring Chart

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North High School

Mass Grad Coalition

Restorative Justice

9th Grade Teams

Buy-back28

South High School

College-going Culture

Service Learning

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Burncoat High School

Summer Transition Program

Paving the Path for Our At-risk Students:

Middle School to High School Transition Collaboration

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On the horizon…

• Currently working with middle school to establish graduation improvement teams

• Establish coalitions at each high school• Increase elementary, middle school, high

school vertical communication opportunities

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For more information…

Graduation rate data: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrat

es/ http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/gradrates.as

px

Dropout rate data: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout

/

Annual dropout vs. cohort graduation rates: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/dropoutvsg

rad.html

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http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/gradrates.aspx

http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/gradrates.aspx

http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout/

http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout/

http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/dropoutvsgrad.html

http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/dropoutvsgrad.html


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Month Webinar Title

3/10/15 Career Development Education: Career Awareness, Exploration and Immersion

4/14/15 Summer Transition Programs5/12/15 Individual Learning Plans

6/09/15 MA Model for Comprehensive School Counseling Programs

Thank you!

http://www.doe.mass.edu/conference/?ConferenceID=4906










Documents

Cohort Graduation and Annual Dropout Rates: 2014 Statewide Results and Highlights of Worcester Public Schools College and Career Readiness Webinar Series