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Page 1
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Wabco India’s (WIL) annual report for FY16 presents even-toned commentary a) on efforts to grow revenue from the
domestic CV segment through increasing vehicle content led by introduction of new products b) WIL’s increasing
importance in the Wabco group’s overall scheme of things marked by its ascent up the manufacturing value chain (towards
global system/product development) c) concerted efforts to improve the distribution network with an eye on the fast growing
aftermarket segment. Additionally, management commentary clearly suggests increasing emphasis on cost reduction
through quality and cost optimisation measures, which are critical in the light of the recent hike in royalty rates.
Introduction of new products leading to increasing content per vehicle: WIL has introduced/focussed on increasing the
penetration of technologies/products like wiring harness, pole wheels, lift axle control systems, AMT, automatic slack adjusters, air
disc brakes, higher capacity compressors etc. This has enabled an strong increase in content per vehicle and hence, revenue
outperformance (compared to underlying CV volume growth) particularly in the last two years through FY16. Per a recently
released company presentation, the content per vehicle for WIL stands at ~$500 compared to an estimated ~$ 320 in FY11.
WIL’s steady progress up the value chain from being a mere supplier of braking systems to domestic OEMs to designing
and mfg. of subsystems for global OEMs: WIL’s parent, in a bid to make the best use of WIL’s frugal engineering prowess, has
made concerted efforts in developing WIL’s technical capabilities, leading to WIL now aiding global development of vehicle control
sub-systems for global OEMs. In FY16, WIL has initiated "Lean Equipment Development center" for frugal, high quality, low cost
capital investments in new projects which conceptualizes designs and builds manufacturing lines for WABCO global locations. WIL
also opened a new facility in Chennai to expand capability for software engineering to support local design of new products,
applications and systems. The software talent pool in India has nearly doubled to ~250 engineers since 2010.
Leading to strong growth prospects for exports: Exports of both components and services have been on a strong footing,
growing at a CAGR of ~37% each (FY11-FY16). Given the above efforts, we believe that these will continue to grow meaningfully
going forward.
Increased focus on improving customer reach through increased touch points and new products – an important moat:
WIL is exploring further potential in retro fitment of advanced products like Air Disc Brakes, Electronically Controlled Air
Suspension. Also, distributor branches are increasing their presence in B & C towns, resulting in availability of genuine parts in
remote locations. WIL’s authorized service center network is also being expanded with ~200 service centers currently.
Focus on cost optimisation: The company has initiated several cost reduction and quality improvement activities during the year
including deploying global best practices like "VDA 6.3" standards, upgradation of 24 production lines for making them robust
enough to prevent generation of defects, usage of new-gen cutting to improve productivity and so on. In FY16, ‘other expenses’
saw a reduction despite the increase in royalty rates on the back of such cost reduction/quality optimisation measures, combined
with improved operating leverages.
1
MUKESH SARAF [email protected] +91 44 4344 0041
RAMAKRISHNAN SESHAN [email protected] +91 44 4344 0020Find Spark Research on Bloomberg (SPAK <go>),
Thomson First Call, Reuters Knowledge and Factset
Stock performance (%)
1m 3m 12m
WIL 0% -4% 4%
Sensex 5% 8% -2%
BSEAUTO 6% 9% 8%
Date July 18, 2016
Market Data
SENSEX 27837
Nifty 8541
MC IN WIL IN
Shares o/s 19mn
Market Cap Rs. 107bn
52-wk High-Low Rs. 7,450-5,166
3m Avg. Daily Vol Rs. 30mn
Index member BSE 200
Latest shareholding (%)
Promoters 75.0
Institutions 10.4
Public 14.6
Company Update
WIL – Key takeaways from the FY16 Annual Report
Financial Summary
Year Revenues (Rs. mn) EBITDA (Rs. mn) EBITDA Margin Adj. PAT (Rs. mn) Adj. EPS (Rs.) P/E(x) EV/EBITDA(x)
FY16 18,383 2,929 15.9% 2,046 107.9 53.4 36.6
FY17E 25,072 4,203 16.8% 2,864 151.0 38.2 25.2
FY18E 32,676 5,515 16.9% 3,877 204.4 28.2 18.8
Page 2
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Details of finished goods sold% of FY16
revenueFY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 CAGR
Air assist and full air actuation systems 36.5% 5,615 6,728 5,114 4,166 5,835 6,713 3.6%
Spares 11.8% 1,391 1,450 1,689 1,800 1,990 2,170 9.3%
Exports of automotive components 30.3% 1,157 1,481 1,988 4,176 4,317 5,568 36.9%
Anti lock braking system 16.0% 545 421 382 316 574 2,947 40.1%
Sub-total (Net of excise duty) 94.6% 8,709 10,081 9,174 10,458 12,715 17,399 14.8%
Details of services rendered
Software services 2.3% 138 220 239 286 328 424 25.2%
Research and development services 0.7% 38 57 83 165 160 120 25.5%
Global business services 1.1% - 16 30 69 113 193 87.4%*
Test track usage and other service income 0.7% - - 56 54 78 122 30.1%*
Sub-total 4.7% 176 293 408 574 678 859 37.3%
Scrap Sales and others
Scrap Sales 0.4% 65 82 78 75 86 74 2.7%
Others 0.3% 0 0 0 0 0 51
Sub-total 0.7% 65 82 78 75 86 125
Total operating revenue 100.0% 8,950 10,456 9,659 11,107 13,480 18,383
Exports to Wabco Group companies and ABS applications have exhibited tremendous growth
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Note: * CAGR for Global business services and Test track usage/other service income is for 5 years and 4 years respectively
Page 3
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
ABS implementation in Oct15 has given further impetus to WIL’s content per vehicle,
significantly accentuating its revenue growth over MHCV production growth
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
21%27%
41% 52%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
MHCV production YoY Growth % WIL OEM revenue (incl ABS) YoY Growth %
WIL has exhibited growth rates surpassing the underlying CV volume growth led by increasing content per vehicle
Redacted from the Annual report for FY16:
The implementation of the ABS legislation from the third quarter of 2015-16resulted in
increased business. Overall revenue from ABS for FY16 stood at Rs.2,947mn, a 413%
YoY growth compared to FY15.
Additionally, the company focussed on increasing the content per vehicle by introducing
new systems / technologies like wiring harness, pole wheels and Lift axle control
system.
The company has also expanded into new segments like off- highway, defense,
luxury bus, car and trailers.
Wabco has introduced/focussed on
increasing the penetration of
technologies/products like wiring
harness, pole wheels, Lift axle
control systems, AMT, Automatic
Slack Adjusters, Air Disc Brake,
higher capacity compressors etc.
This has enabled an strong increase
in content per vehicle and hence,
revenue outperformance in the past
two years
We understand that WIL’s first mover
advantage along with strong
distribution network for replacement
segment gives it an edge over its
major competitor – Knorr Bremse.
Page 4
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
In line with increasing capabilities, exports of components to Wabco entities globally has grown
strongly over the last five years
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
WIL meaningful ascent up the value chain aided by concerted efforts by the parent
WIL has progressed significantly up the value chain from being a supplier to domestic OEMs to
designing and mfg. of subsystems for global OEMs
Source: Wabco Investor Presentation July 2016, Spark Capital Research
“WIL has also commenced
supplies of slack adjusters
and double diaphragm spring
brake actuators to global
markets through the other
WABCO sites”
Source: WIL FY16 Annual report
1,181 1,548
1,988
4,112 4,333
5,542
0%
50%
100%
150%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Exports (Rs. Mn) YoY Growth (%)
• Per management, the
parent has played a
critical role in improving
the capabilities of WIL.
• The implementation of a
new mfg. philosophy,
“WABCO 2.0” helped WIL
to benchmark itself to
global requirements.
• Exports have helped in
building manufacturing
capabilities to meet global
standards.
Page 5
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
WIL occupies an important position in the Group’s overall scheme of things
Source: Wabco Investor Presentation July 2016, Spark Capital Research
Per mgmt. Indian engineers have played an important role in recently developed
products in terms of contributing the designing the assembly systems and
products. .
Significant portion of the coding work is done from India; also, 85% of global
software requirements are done through India.
WIL now enjoys an exalted status of being engaged in global /local product and system development
Page 6
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Revenue from services rendered (primarily to group companies) have exhibited strong growth
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Details of services
rendered
% of FY16
revenueFY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 CAGR
Software services 2.3% 138 220 239 286 328 424 25.2%
R&D services 0.7% 38 57 83 165 160 120 25.5%
Global business
services1.1% - 16 30 69 113 193 87.4%*
Test track usage/
others0.7% - - 56 54 78 122 30.1%*
Total 4.7% 176 293 408 574 678 859 37.3%
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Note: * CAGR for Global business services and Test track usage/other service income is for 4years and 5 years respectively
“In 2015, WABCO also opened a new facility
in Chennai to expand capability for software
engineering.
In India, software engineers also support
local design of new products, applications
and systems to meet the technical and
economic needs of customers in emerging
markets around the world. At the same
time, they continue to contribute to global
development of WABCO’s advanced
technologies.
WABCO (India) has more than doubled its
world-class software talent pool in India to
nearly 250 engineers since 2010”
Source: Wabco Holdings Inc., 10K
“During the year the Company has
initiated "Lean Equipment
Development center" for frugal, high
quality, low cost capital investments
in new projects. This centre also
conceptualizes designs and builds
manufacturing lines to be shipped to
various WABCO global locations”
Source: WIL, AR 16
176
293
408
574 678
859
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Revenue from services (Rs.mn) YoY Growth (%)
WIL increasingly becoming an important centre for R&D and software services for the group
Page 7
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
WIL focused intently on growing its touch point network; this imparts an invaluable edge over competition
Growth in AM revenue aided by growing touch point penetration
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Redacted from the Annual report for FY16:
In the Aftermarket, the company is exploring further potential in retro fitment of advanced products like Air Disc Brakes, Electronically
Controlled Air Suspension.
The company has indicated that its efforts in the Trailer segment have boosted the sales growth considerably and Trailer Anti-Lock Brake
Systems (TABS) and Trailer Electronic Brake Systems (TEBS) are also continued to be explored in this segment.
Distributor branches are increasing their presence in B & C towns and that is resulting in availability of genuine parts in remote locations.
WIL’s authorized service center network is expanding and currently WIL has 200 service centers with Pan India presence to cater to the
customer requirements
WIL believes that these initiatives would result in improved service practices, availability of genuine parts and generate additional and
thereby generate additional revenue for the company
1,525 1,609
1,934 2,040
2,326
2,623 25%
6%
20%
5%
14%13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Aftermarket revenue (Rs. Mn) YoY Growth (%)
Page 8
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
The impact of the increase in steel prices was offset by the reduction in employee costs and other expenses
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Page 8
15.1%
15.9%
-100 bps
119 bps
66 bps
2015 EBITDA % Delta in raw material costs % Delta in employee costs % Delta in other expenses % 2016 EBITDA %
Impacted by the increase in
steel prices consequent to the
levy of import duties and MIP by
the government
The count of on-roll employees increased to 1515 as at Mar16 from 1,109 as at Mar15.
Also, the % increase in median remuneration of employees for FY16 was 16.07%.
However, details of casual employees is not available.
We believe that the reduction in employee costs as % of revenue is on account of improved
operating leverages.
Reduction in other expenses as % of revenue was led by reduction in stores and
spares, packing and forwarding and exchange losses which cumulatively reduced
by ~210 bps YoY. This was partially offset by an increase in royalty and provision
for bad debts which cumulatively increased by ~170bps in FY16
FY16 margin favorably impacted by cost reduction efforts and improved operating leverages
Page 9
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Page 9
The impact of the increase in Royalty rates and provision for doubtful debts was offset by reduction in packing and stores/spares expenses
Break down of other expenses FY15 FY16 FY15 FY16 Variance
Consumption of stores and spares 510 581 3.8% 3.2% -0.6%
Packing and Forwarding 473 525 3.5% 2.9% -0.7%
Other expenses 270 361 2.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Royalty 85 255 0.6% 1.4% 0.8%
Power and fuel 199 209 1.5% 1.1% -0.3%
Provision for doubtful debts and advances - 164 0.0% 0.9% 0.9%
Travel and Conveyance 132 135 1.0% 0.7% -0.2%
Machinery Repairs 73 103 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Rent 63 88 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Bad debts written off - 72 0.0% 0.4% 0.4%
Building repairs 47 63 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Data processing 37 43 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Rates and Taxes 19 40 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Research and development 28 38 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Exchange differences (net) 114 - 0.8% 0.0% -0.8%
Others 32 42 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Total 2,082 2,718 15.4% 14.8% -0.7%
Other significant cost reduction projects during FY16 included:
Usage of new generation cutting tools, thereby improving the productivity levels.
Undertaking energy saving projects like introducing
Adiabatic cooling systems for chillers &utilizing third party power to reduce
energy cost.
Replacing cartons with 100% returnable packing for delivery of materials to key
customers.
Truck load optimization, production optimization for voluminous parts at Pant
Nagar, Lucknow.
Quality improvement efforts initiated during the year
Rigorous usage of poka-yokes, utilization of statistical tools for process
optimization and control also contribute towards improving the product quality.
Deploying global best practices like "8 steps of Quality Fundamental", "VDA 6.3"
standards, helped WIL reduce the defects significantly.
60% of WIL’s assembly lines are certified for 8 steps of Quality fundamentals,
24 assembly lines were upgraded for making them robust enough to prevent
generation of defects. Also new warranty process to do level zero inspection at
customer end helped in speedy analysis and resolution of failures.
FY16 margin favorably impacted by cost reduction efforts and improved operating leverages
Page 10
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Royalty (Rs. Mn) Royalty as % of total revenue
Sharp increase in royalty payments in FY16 in line with the revision
in royalty rates beginning Jan 16
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Wabco Inc WIL
Forex fluctuations have not had a material impact in margin
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
WIL maintained its total R&D expenditure at ~ 1% of revenue in
FY16
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
7
62
22
103
(114)
84
0.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0.9%
1.0%
(150)
(100)
(50)
-
50
100
150
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Forex gain (Loss) (Rs. Mn) % of revenue (RHS)
75
43
76
119
28 31 18
29
1.1%
0.7%
0.7%
0.8%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
R&D Exp. Rs. Mn (Revenue) R&D Exp. Rs. Mn (Capital)
Total R&D exp. as % of revenue
Movement in other key elements of cost
R&D expenditure (INR mn)
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Page 11
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
CFO exhibited a strong improvement led by reduction in NWC days
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Investments in fixed assets comprised primarily of investments in
P&M
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Improvement in WC days led by increase in payable days and other liabilities
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Page 11
5,378 5,976
4,728 536 35 41 38
507 44 47
FY
14 G
ross
Blo
ck P&
M
So
ftw
are
/Lic
en
ses
Offic
e E
quip
.
Oth
ers
FY
15 G
ross
Blo
ck P&
M
So
ftw
are
/Lic
en
ses
Offic
e E
quip
.
Oth
ers
47 41 31 29
66 69 72 73
21 22 23 20 41 41 47
62
10 9 8 7
83 81 71
53
-
20
40
60
80
100
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Inventory days Debtor days
Loans and Advances (days) Creditor and other payables (days)
Provisions (days) Net working capital
While the major items of working
capital have remained largely
stable in FY16 (YoY), there has
been an increase in the creditor
and other liability days.
This has been led by an increase
in sundry creditors to Rs. 3.4bn
as at Mar 16 from Rs.1.8bn as at
Mar15 and also by the increase in
other current liabilities to Rs,
624mn as at Mar16 from
Rs.157mn as at Mar15.
However, a break down of these
other current liabilities is not
available.
902
1,430 1,242
2,465
677 608 725
881
225
822
516
1,584
83 81
71
53
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
CFO (Rs. Mn) Capex (Rs. Mn) FCFF (Rs. Mn) NWC days
Improvement in WC days also contributed to an improvement in CFO in FY16
Page 12
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Efforts on technology absorption and benefits derived
1. Efforts made towards technology
absorption
a. Development of weather resistance PP
material for palm coupling shutter application
b. Development of surface protection for car
compressor bracket application
c. Development of Polyethylene coating for
(Dual Air Over Hydraulic) DAOH application
d. Development of surface protection for
ProVia Tristop
e. Development of O-ring for ProVia application
f. Durability test rig with active functionality on
control algorithm.
g. Development of accelerated durability tests
for Aftermarket Product Range
1. Efforts made towards technology
absorption
a. Mathematical model for NLC II 230
cc compressor.
b. Development of PE coating.
c. Development of Cataphoretic electro
coating process.
d. Development of Laser forming.
e. Automatic data acquisition for SBA
endurance.
f. Rubber parts for wider temperature
applications in VBV.
1. Specific areas in which R & D is carried out by the Company.
Existing activities:
a. Products launched
Higher capacity compressors, Lift axle control valve, New
actuators and brake chambers, Type 22, 24 brake chamber,
Integral pedal unit, 3" clutch servo, Automatic slack adjuster,
D2 Governor valve, Air tanks
b. New high speed test track formed to facilitate commercial
vehicle homologation of ABS;
c. Pune Engineering Centre established to support customers in
the western part of the country;
d. New test facilities added to support product validations;
e. Hydraulic booster performance facility is commissioned to
augment hydraulic testing capabilities.
FY16 FY15 FY14
2. Benefits derived
a. Improved sales and market share with
localized products
b. Improved competency for designing
products for global market.
c. Enhanced skillset and knowledge in new
technology for safety and fuel saving.
d. Reduction in lead time for products to reach
the market.
e. Enhanced corrosion resistance & surface
protection, leading to better Product life.
2. Benefits derived
a. Market expansion and improved
competitive position through
significantly improved products for
new markets.
b. New opportunity in global market by
introducing new range of foot brake
valve and relay valves.
c. Improved competency for designing
products for global market.
d. Acquiring competency in new areas
like exhaust pressure modulator.
2. Benefits derived as a result of R & D:
i. Design & development of cost competitive and value added
products for emerging markets to acquire new business
opportunities.
ii. Innovative products for entering into global market.
iii.Exclusive design and development of cost competitive global
aftermarket products to improve profitability.
iv. Acquiring competency in new areas like Hydraulic Brake
Boosters.
Page 13
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
US29.8%
EU49.8%
Asia19.1%
Others1.3%
Exports to group companies see a pronounced shift towards US based Wabco entities
Source: Company, Spark Capital Research
Exports to group companies FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
WABCO Europe BVBA, Belgium 159 288 726 1,534 1,241 1,976
WABCO North America L.L.C - - 4 365 596 806
WABCO Compressor Mfg. Co, USA 299 491 476 697 698 797
Meritor WABCO Vehicle Control Systems, USA 20 48 154 632 714 676
WABCO Automotive B.V, Netherlands - - - - 107 190
WABCO Japan Inc. Japan - - 4 82 114 109
WABCO Polska sp.z.o.o, Poland 132 256 238 165 167 109
WABCO China Co Ltd, China 196 98 61 118 92 93
WABCO Logistics GmbH, Germany 109 68 50 109 139 51
WABCO do Brasil Industria e Comercio.de Freios Ltda, Brazil 12 20 23 40 48 46
WABCO (Thailand) Limited, Thailand - - - 13 44 43
WABCO France S.A.S, France 88 126 137 210 145 25
Others 53 50 39 102 94 48
1,068 1,446 1,912 4,067 4,201 4,970
US45.9%
EU47.6%
Asia5.4%
Others1.1%
US47.8%
EU43.2%
Asia7.7%
Others1.2%
FY11 FY15 FY16
Exports to US based Wabco entities has been on the rise
Page 14
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Nature of services FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Software services
WABCO Development Gmbh, Germany 157 262 239 286 349 424
Global business service
WABCO Europe BVBA, Belgium - - - - 91 193
Research and development services
WABCO Europe BVBA, Belgium 21 57 83 165 149 120
Shandong Weiming Automotive Product Co. Ltd, China - - - - 11 -
WABCO Development Gmbh, Germany 17 - - - - -
Sub total 38 57 83 165 160 120
Shared services
WABCO Europe BVBA, Belgium - 16 30 69 - -
Test Rig Income
WABCO Logistics (Qingdao) Co. Ltd - - - - - -
WABCO Reman Solutions - - - 1 - -
WABCO Asia Private Ltd,, Singapore - - - - 0 -
WABCO (Thailand) Limited, Thailand - - - - 0 -
WABCO Compressor Mfg. Co, USA - - 4 - 1 -
Sub total - - 4 1 1 -
Tool development
WABCO Japan Inc - - - - - 0
WABCO Logistics GmbH - - - 2 - -
WABCO Polska sp.z.o.o, Poland - - 1 - - -
WABCO do Brasil Industria e Comercio.de Freios Ltda, Brazil - - - - - -
Meritor WABCO Vehicle Control Systems, USA - - 9 1 - 2
WABCO France S.A.S, France - - - 25 5 -
Sub total - - 10 28 5 2
Travel expenses
WABCO (Thailand) Limited, Thailand - - - - 0 -
Other service income
Meritor WABCO Vehicle Control Systems, USA - - - - - 11
196 335 366 548 607 749
WIL becoming a hub for R&D and software services for the Wabco group
Page 15
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Financial Summary
Abridged Financial Statements Key metrics
Rs. mn FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E
Profit & Loss Growth ratios
Income from operations 12,715 17,399 23,987 31,391 Revenues 21% 36% 36% 30%
Other operating income 764 984 1,085 1,285 EBITDA 12% 44% 43% 31%
Total Income 13,480 18,383 25,072 32,676 PAT 3% 70% 40% 35%
Total operating expenses 11,446 15,453 20,869 27,161 Margins
EBITDA 2,034 2,929 4,203 5,515 EBITDA 15.1% 15.9% 16.8% 16.9%
EBIT 1,567 2,367 3,617 4,858 EBIT 11.6% 12.9% 14.4% 14.9%
Profit before tax 1,766 2,712 3,966 5,351 PAT 9.0% 11.1% 11.4% 11.9%
Tax 560 665 1,102 1,474 Leverage & WC ratios
Profit after tax 1,207 2,046 2,864 3,877 Debt to equity 0.0 - - -
Balance Sheet Current ratio 2.5 2.1 2.4 2.3
Netw orth 8,630 10,540 13,152 16,778 Working capital days 49 35 45 45
Loan funds 0.3 - - - Performance & turnover ratios
Sources of funds 8,795 10,639 13,252 16,877 RoACE 13% 18% 22% 23%
Net Block 3,237 3,556 3,770 3,914 RoAE 15% 21% 24% 26%
Capital WIP 176 176 176 176 Total asset turnover 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7
Investments 392 2,202 2,202 2,202 Fixed asset turnover 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.4
Current assets, loans & advances 7,329 9,306 11,860 16,293 Valuation metrics
Current liabilities & provisions 2,340 4,602 4,757 5,708 Current price (Rs.)
Net Current Assets 4,989 4,705 7,103 10,585 Shares outstanding (mn) 19.0 19 19 19
Application of funds 8,795 10,639 13,251 16,877 Market Capitalisation (Rs.mn) 106,769 106,769 106,769 106,769
Cash Flows (Rs. mn) Enterprise value (Rs.mn) 104,538 104,638 103,176 100,880
Cash flow s from operations 1,242 2,705 2,399 3,347 EV/EBITDA (x) 51.4 35.7 24.5 18.3
Capex (727) (881) (800) (800) Per-share earnings (Rs.) 63.6 107.9 151.0 204.4
Cash flow s from investments (451) (2,691) (800) (800) P/E (x) 88.5 52.2 37.3 27.5
Free Cash Flow 515 1,824 1,599 2,547 Price to Sales 7.9 5.8 4.3 3.3
Cash flow s from financing (114) (115) (137) (251) EV/Sales (x) 7.8 5.7 4.1 3.1
Cash generated during the year 677 (101) 1,462 2,296 Dividend yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
5,629
Page 16
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Page 16
Spark Capital Advisors (India) Private Limited (Spark Capital) and its affiliates are engaged in
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registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of time.
Absolute Rating Interpretation
BUY Stock expected to provide positive returns of >15% over a 1-year horizon
ADD Stock expected to provide positive returns of >5% – <15% over a 1-year horizon
REDUCE Stock expected to provide returns of <5% – -10% over a 1-year horizon
SELL Stock expected to fall >10% over a 1-year horizon
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report.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Rs.
Price Target
WABCO India – 3 Year Price and Rating History Report Date Price Target Reco.
23/May/16 5,800 6,200 Add
12/Apr/16 5,725 6,165 Add
01/Feb/16 5,621 6,550 Buy
03/Aug/15 6,025 6,500 Add
25/May/15 5,625 5,915 Add
19/Mar/15 5,500 5,900 Add
27/Jan/15 5,000 5,223 Add
22/Oct/14 3,655 3,780 Add
23/Jul/14 3,550 3,780 Add
03/Jul/14 3,450 3,780 Add
10/Jun/14 2,656 2,700 Add
30/Jan/14 1,850 2,000 Add
Spark Disclaimer
Page 17
Wabco India CMP
Rs. 5,629
Target
Rs. 6,200
Rating
ADD
Page 17
Disclaimer (Cont’d)
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Products or services other than those above
In connection with research report
No
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