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CMBS 101 ® An Introduction To Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) Prepared by The Education/Research Committee of the Commercial Mortgage Securities Association CMBS 101 ®

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CMBS 101

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  • CMBS 101An Introduction To Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)

    Prepared by

    The Education/Research Committee of the Commercial Mortgage Securities AssociationCMBS 101

  • Joseph Franzetti, Citigroup Global MarketsGale Scott Standard & Poors 2

  • The CMBS Process

  • The Participants in a SecuritizationSecurities2 months (Loan Funding) + 2 months (Bond Issuance)577764123334

  • The Participants in a Securitization5

    1Borrower:Owns the property, has repayment and performance obligations2Mortgage Banker:Intermediary between borrower and loan originators/loan sellers3Loan Originators/Loan Sellers:Lends money to the borrower, secured by a first priority lien, enters into a mortgage loan purchase agreement (MLPA) to sell the loan to the securitization depositor4Depositor:An entity set up by the investment bank sponsoring the securitization purchases commercial mortgage loans and immediately sells loans to a trust. 4Investment Banker:Overall responsibility for structuring the securitization, selling the bonds/certificates to investors, helps maintain a liquid secondary market for trading the bonds/certificates.4Issuer:The trust is the record owner of the commercial mortgage loans, formed by the depositor pursuant to a pooling and servicing agreement (PSA).5Trustee:Responsible for administering the trust on behalf of and making payments to the investors. 6Investors:Different investors with varying risk appetites purchase certificates rated from AAA/Aaa to B/B to and unrated certificates.

  • The Participants in a Securitization6

    7Master Servicer:Responsible for servicing all mortgage loans owned by the trust. 7Primary or Sub Servicer:May be the originating mortgage bankers, often the initial point of contact for the borrower. 7 Special Servicer:Named at the issuance of the CMBS to be responsible for servicing any mortgage loans that may default in the future.8Rating Agencies:Assigns risk of loss ratings on certain bonds/certificates issued for a securitization transaction, monitors performance after securitization funds.

  • The Participants after the Securitization is Completed

    7

  • Where the Money GoesAssignments of Rents and LeasesLoan ProceedsDebt Service& EscrowsDebt ServiceLess Servicer FeePlus AdvancesMortgageNotesMonthly BondCoupon& PrincipalSecurities SaleProceeds at ClosingSecurities SaleProceeds at Closing8

  • Transaction TimetableActivity9

    12345678910111213141516

  • Build-A-Bond

  • Hypothetical Structure: Credit TranchingLast LossFirst LossLowest RiskHighest RiskLoss PositionCredit Risk$100MMPool of Mortgages$85MMInvestment GradeCMBS:Aaa/AAA

    $9MMOther Investment Grade:Aa2/AAA2/ABaa2/BBB

    $4MMNon-InvestmentGrade CMBS:Ba2/BBB2/B

    $2MMNon-Rated CMBS11

  • Basic CMBS Structure $100 MM, 10-Year, Fixed RateNR = Non-Rated12

    ClassSizeRatingCouponExpected LifeSubordinationClass A$85 MMAaa / AAA5.25%9 years15%

    Class B$9 MMAa2/AAA2/ABaa2/BBB5.50%9.5 years6%Class C$4 MMBa2/BBB2/B7.50%9.75 years2%Class D$2 MMNR10 years

  • Senior / Subordinated Structure 10 Year Security

    B

    AFirst9 yearsAfter9.5 years

    A

    ABCP + iiBC

    BCAfter9.75 yearsMortgagePoolDDDAfter10 years

    CA

    AD

    A i13

  • Basic CMBS Structure Subordination could be calculated as follows for Aaa/AAA level stress:

    Foreclosure FrequencyXLoss Severity=30%X 50%= .15 or 15% coverage or subordination14

    ClassRatingSizeSubordinationCouponAAaa/AAA$85MM15%5.25% BAa2/AAA2/ABaa2/BBB $9MM 6% 5.50%CBa2/BBB2/B$4MM2%7.50% DNR$2MM0---

  • Hypothetical Class Structure15

    RatingSizeLoss Coverage/ SubordinationLoss FrequencyLoss SeverityAaa/AAA$85MM15%=30%X50%Aa2/AA$3MM12%=30%X40%A2/A$3MM9%=30%X30%Baa2/BBB$3MM6%=20%X30%Ba2/BB$2MM4%=20%X20%B2/B$2MM2%=10%X20%NR$2MM

  • How To Decide How Much Subordination? Loss Rate Scenarios

    Equally Weighted Portfolio Loss Rate =

    Source: Morgan Stanley. Update: Commercial Mortgage Defaults: 30 Years of History. September 2004 (Cumulative loss rates for about 18,000 commercial mortgages originated by eight life insurance companies between 1972 and 2002.)(0.196)(0.55)(0.33) + 0.0356 +

    (0.196)(0.25)(.0165) + 0.008 +

    (0.196)(0.20)(0) 0 =.0436 or 4.36%16

  • Basic CMBS Structure$100 MM, 10-Year, Fixed Rate with Interest Only Strip (IO)1 For illustration purposes, the INTEREST ONLY (IO) strip collects interest of 0.25%, or 25 bp on a NOTIONAL amount of $85MM. The notional amount could be the same as the size of an associated class or the size of the entire security. Here, the interest on Classes A-1 and A-X total the coupon of Class A alone in the earlier example. 17

    ClassSizeRatingCouponAverage LifeSubordinationClass A-1$85 MMAaa / AAA5.00%9 years15%Class A-XNotional1Aaa / AAA0.25%Not Meaningful1Class B$9 MMAa2/AAA2/ABaa2/BBB5.50%9.5 years6%Class C$4 MMBa2/BBB2/B7.50%9.75 years2%Class D$2 MMNR10 years0%

  • Hypothetical Class StructureIF Y < C, then it is a premium bond (PR)IF Y = C, then it is a par bond (PAR)IF Y > C, then it is a discount bond (D)Assumptions: 5-year Treasury = 4.4% 10-year Treasury = 4.5%18

    ClassSizeRatingCoupon (C)Spread At Issue (Yield, or Y)Average LifeA-115%Aaa/AAA5.25% PR70 bp5 yearsA-270%Aaa/AAA5.30% PR7510 yearsB3%Aa2/AA5.45% PR9010 yearsC3%A2/A5.55% PR10010 yearsD3%Baa2/BBB6.00% PAR15010 yearsE2%Ba2/BB6.50% D30010 yearsF2%B2/B6.50% D70010 yearsG2%NR6.50% D120010 years

  • The CMBS Market

  • Holders of Commercial & Multifamily Mortgage Loans$626 billion of the $2.5 trillion U.S. commercial and multifamily mortgage loans outstanding are held as securities, a significant increase since 199020Source: Federal Reserve, Flow of Funds

  • CMBS Issuance: U.S. and Non-U.S.($ Billions)21Source: Commercial Mortgage Alert.

  • U.S. CMBS Issuance ($ Billions)22Source: Commercial Mortgage AlertUS only, non-agency, non-CDO.

  • U.S. CMBS Issuance and Interest Rates 23Source: Commercial Mortgage Alert and Federal Reserve

  • Multifamily Mortgage Securitization24Source: Federal Reserve, Flow of Funds

  • Commercial Mortgage Securitization25Source: Federal Reserve, Flow of Funds

  • Single Family and Commercial/Multifamily Securitization Market Penetration26Source: Federal Reserve, Flow of FundsDate through 2004, year 14 (CMBS) and year 34 (Single Family)23.7%59.6%

  • CMBS Issuance: Shift from RTC to Conduits27Source: Commercial Mortgage Alert* RTC: Resolution Trust Company

  • CMBS Spreads Over 10-Year Treasury: Investment Grade28Source :Morgan Stanley

  • CMBS Spreads Over 10-Year Treasury: Non-Investment Grade29Source: Morgan Stanley

  • CMBS Spreads and Swap Spreads30Source: Morgan Stanley

  • Market Size Comparison(as of 12/31/04)31Source : (1) NAREIT; (2) Microsoft Website; (3) World Bank; (4) Federal Reserve, Flow of FundsREITs Market Cap 1Microsoft Market Cap (largest in NYSE) 2GDP of Switzerland (17th largest) 3Commercial and Multifamily Securitizations 4

  • Market Size Comparison(as of September 30, 2005)32All Commercial + Multifamily MortgagesSource: Federal Reserve, Flow of FundsCorporate Bonds US Government Securities Single Family Securities Single Family Mortgages

  • Investors of CMBS

  • Who Buys CMBS?Institutional fixed income securities investors buy public bondsReal estate high yield investors buy private bondsVaries by class, by rating, by structure, by underlying collateral

    34

  • Investors of CMBS in 200435Source: Morgan Stanley

  • Why?Yield differential (relative value investing)Credit performanceAsset allocation (satisfy allocation to real estate debt)Non-correlated risks (compare to MBS and corporates)Comparative Credit Risk

    Remember:Credit Risk Yield

    36

  • Yield Differential(10-Year Sector; Yield over Treasury)37Source: Merrill Lynch

  • Credit PerformanceMaturity of marketsPosition in Asset ClassPast performance is no guarantee of future success

    Source: FitchRatings38

    Corporate vs. CMBS Bond Defaults: 19902003 (%)

    Cumulative Defaults

    Corporate

    CMBS

    Investment Grade

    2.10 %

    0.10%

    Below Investment Grade

    55.00%

    1.61%

    All Bonds

    11.00%

    0.19%

    Average Annual Defaults

    Corporate

    CMBS

    Investment Grade

    0.15%

    0.01%

    Below Investment Grade

    3.94%

    0.12%

    All Bonds

    0.78%

    0.01%

  • Satisfying Asset Allocation to Real Estate DebtRisk based capital treatment for insurance companies gives advantage to CMBSMortgages = 3% Risk Based Capital (depending on insurers experience)Investment Grade Public Securities = 0.3% Risk Based CapitalCost of management (direct loan vs. securities investment)Liquidity (ease of trading in and out of the portfolio)Creates diversified investment portfolio

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  • Non-Correlated Risks40

    CMBSMBSCorporatesPRIMARY RISKReal estate credit riskPrepayment riskCorporate credit riskMATURITYSome extension riskNo extension riskNo extension riskDEFAULTDSCR is a predictor of default riskLTV is a predictor of default riskCorporate credit risk a better predictor of default riskLIQUIDITYGrowing but smaller overall market than MBS and corporatesHighly liquid marketHighly liquid marketINFORMATIONDifferent for public buyers versus private buyersWidely disseminatedWidely disseminated

  • Investing in Non-Correlated Risks41

    CMBSMBSCorporatesRATING AGENCIES10 years of experience30 years of experience100 years of experienceSECURITYSet pools of assets; first priority mortgage liensSet pools of uniform assets; first priority mortgage liensUnsecured; investors exposed to future decisions at the corporationPERFORMANCEShould outperform MBS and corporates in falling rate environmentMore interest rate sensitiveInterest rate sensitiveRATINGSVolume of AAA and Non-Investment GradeAlmost all AAA and AAMostly A, BBB