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Rate Lock Strategies for. City of Stamford, Connecticut. March 5, 2007. UBS Securities LLC. The City currently has the opportunity to realize $625,000 of present value savings (or 3.4% of refunded bonds) by refunding its outstanding 1998 Issue, General Obligation Bonds. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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City of Stamford, Connecticut
March 5, 2007
Rate Lock Strategies for
UBS Securities LLC
2UBS Securities LLC
The City currently has the opportunity to realize $625,000 of present value savings (or 3.4% of refunded bonds) by refunding its outstanding 1998 Issue, General Obligation Bonds
Because of tax regulations, the City cannot realize these savings through a traditional fixed rate refunding
The City must wait until within 90 days of the call date (4/16/08) to issue the refunding bonds
By 4/16/08, the interest rate market may be higher than today, thus the City would lose out on these savings
The City can utilize either a Forward Refunding or a Rate Lock to take advantage of current low rates and lock into these savings today
Summary of Refunding Candidates Maturity Coupon Par Amount Call Date Call Price
1998 Series Bonds 7/15/09 5.00% $ 3,900,000 7/15/08 100 1998 Series Bonds 7/15/10 5.25 3,885,000 7/15/08 100 1998 Series Bonds 7/15/11 5.25 3,870,000 7/15/08 100 1998 Series Bonds 7/15/12 5.25 3,850,000 7/15/08 100 1998 Series Bonds 7/15/13 5.25 570,000 7/15/08 100 1998 Series Bonds 7/15/14 5.25 2,355,000 7/15/08 100
3UBS Securities LLC
With a forward refunding, the City can price the transaction today and deliver the bonds 12-months from now to achieve a refunding within 90 days of the call date The City would pay a relatively low forward premium today (10-12 basis points) to
attract investors to purchase the bonds today to be delivered a year from now (Investors would bear the interest rate risk)
The City would engage in a transaction process similar to a traditional refunding
The City would prepare an offering document to the investors, price the transaction, perform a paper closing and deliver the bonds
The only difference is that the actual delivery of the bonds and transfer of the proceeds would occur on 4/16/08 instead of within 3 weeks of pricing
At that time, the City would purchase an escrow to call the bonds on the 7/15/08 call date
There are some administrative, legal and time considerations with this strategy— It will take the City some time to prepare the offering document— There are also risks during such a long time period prior to closing which may cause the
transaction not to close (ie. Circular 230, world catastrophe, city’s credit downgrade etc…)— Overall, it may take at least 3 weeks to complete the process to price a deal
Today
03/15/07
**PRICING**
04/17/07
PaperClosing
05/01/07
Opening of CurrentRefunding Window**DELIVERY**
04/16/08
Interest Payment Date&
**First Optional Call Date**
07/15/08
12 month forward 90 days
Forward Refunding Mechanism
4UBS Securities LLC
The City can also utilize a Rate Lock strategy to lock in savings today
There are three types of Rate Locks to consider— AAA MMD Rate Lock— BMA Rate Lock— 67% LIBOR Rate Lock
The mechanisms of the Rate Locks are very similar
The Rate Locks preserve the City’s savings by locking in rates using today’s AAA MMD or BMA or 67% LIBOR Indices
The City would pay a rate lock premium (between 2-13 basis points depending on the type of Lock) to lock in rates today
A year from now, the City would compare that future index rate against the locked in interest rate (plus rate lock premium) to determine settlement cost (If rates are higher, UBS makes a payment to the City, if rates are lower, the City makes a payment to UBS)
Whether interest rates have increased or decreased, the City would be indifferent since it has locked into its savings already
In the case of a AAA MMD Rate Lock, the City would simply negotiate a document with UBS to identify the terms of the Rate Lock
With a BMA or 67% of LIBOR Rate Lock, the City would need to negotiate an ISDA Agreement and Credit Support Annex with UBS which also identifies the terms of the Lock
There are fewer administrative, legal and time considerations with this strategy— The City would not need to prepare an offering document, no rating agency involvement, no marketing of bonds— No time period risk since the lock does not involve any investors, but is a simple rate to rate comparison— Locks can be executed within two to three weeks depending on document negotiation
There are however, some considerations – City’s credit risk, basis risk, cash settlement, etc.
Today
03/15/07
**Rate Lock Pricing**
04/17/07 04/16/08
**First Optional Call Date**
07/15/08
12 month forward 90 days
**Rate Lock Termination**
5UBS Securities LLC
Examples of Payments to or From Stamford to UBS (AAA MMD Rate Lock)
MMD rate locks generally do not extend past one year forward
Payment at Settlement Date
Change in MMD from Today
Change in MMD from Locked Rate
Payment to/ (from) Stamford(2)
Effective “Locked-in” MMD (3)
+30 bps +17 bps $ 85,000 3.67% +20 bps +7 bps 35,000 3.67 +13 bps Hedged MMD (1) – 3.67
Today’s MMD -13 bps (65,000) 3.67 -10 bps -23 bps (115,000) 3.67
(1) Equals current MMD plus rate lock cost. (2) Approximate present value of a basis point of $5,000 on a 12-month forward. This will vary based on the amortization and market conditions. (3) Corresponds to MMD AAA scale year 2010 with a rate of 3.54%. Note: Market rates as of February 27, 2007. For illustration purposes only; actual rates will depend on future market conditions, which may vary.
6UBS Securities LLC
Examples of Payments to or From Stamford to UBS (BMA or 67% LIBOR Rate Lock)
Change in 67% LIBOR Rate from Today
Change in 67% LIBOR Rate from Rate Lock Level
Mark-to-Market Value of Rate Lock
Effective “Locked-in” Rate
+20 bps +18 bps $ 90,000 3.36%
+10 bps +8 bps 40,000 3.36
+2 bps Locked Rate – 3.36
Today’s 67% LIBOR Rate -2 bps (10,000) 3.36
-10 bps -12 bps (60,000) 3.36
_______________Note: Based on market conditions as of February 27, 2007. Current lock rate and related lock cost shown are for a
3.18-year average life 67% of LIBOR-based rate lock and a 12-month forward period. For illustration purposes only; actual rates will depend on future market conditions, which may vary.
7UBS Securities LLC
Summary of Rate Lock Alternatives
12-month rate lock costs: 13 basis points
Mechanics
Stamford locks in current MMD scale + rate lock costs
On settlement date, Stamford unwinds the rate lock and issues fixed rate bonds
If rates rise above the rate lock level, Stamford receives a cash payment on settlement of the lock which offsets higher expected cost of debt
If rates fall or rise less than the rate lock level, Stamford makes a cash payment on settlement of the lock which offsets lower expected cost of debt
Advantages
Stamford locks in today’s market environment against general interest rate movements
Disadvantages
Rate Lock does not protect Stamford against adverse movements in credit spreads
Rate Lock is cash settled regardless of whether or not the bonds are issued, potentially exposing Stamford to payment making a cash from its own funds without repayment from bond proceeds
12-month rate lock costs: 2 basis points
Mechanics
Stamford executes a forward-starting 67% of LIBOR rate lock today + rate lock costs
On the forward date, Stamford unwinds the rate lock and issues fixed rate bonds
Advantages
Stamford locks-in today’s market environment against movements in the market
67% LIBOR market reflects general interest rate movements in the tax-exempt market
Lower rate lock costs than MMD Rate Lock
Disadvantages
Same as MMD Rate Lock
Stamford is exposed to basis risk between tax-exempt bond and LIBOR markets
MMD Rate Lock 67% of LIBOR Forward Rate Lock
8UBS Securities LLC
Financing Working Group recommends that if Stamford proceeds with a strategy to preserve savings today, it should use a 67% LIBOR Rate Lock
Lowest cost strategy
Easy documentation
Can be executed within 2-3 weeks
Very transparent and easy to monitor in the market
Relatively low risk