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1 City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future Outlook October 2009

City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

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Page 1: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

1

City of OsakaThe Current Fiscal Condition andthe Future Outlook

October 2009

Page 2: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

2

Contents

Ⅰ Message to Investors・Message to Investors 3・High Bond Ratings 4

Ⅱ Overview of Osaka City・Overview of Osaka City 5・Robust Economic Activity 6・Osaka, a Major Hub in Kansai Area 7・Strengths of Osaka City (Solid Infrastructure) 8

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook・General Account Budget 9・Overall Budget (comparison between majorcities) 10

・Trends in Municipal Tax Revenue 11・Municipal Tax (comparison between majorcities) 12

・Medium-Term Fiscal Balance (July 2009) 13・City Bonds Outstanding and Debt ServicingCosts 14

・Excellent Record of Administrative and FiscalReforms 15

・Reducing Expenditures (Costs) 16・Staff Reductions 17・Reduced Bond Issuance and Public Works 18・Cuts in City Bonds Outstanding 19

・Ordinary Account Revenues 20・Ordinary Account (Expenditures) 21・Ordinary Account and Financial Indicators 22・Operating Results of Public Enterprises 23

Ⅳ Future Approaches・Securing Income 24・Sales of Unused Land 25・Accumulated Fund Balance 26・Sinking Fund 27

Ⅴ Financial Soundness (Four Indexes)・The Law Relating to Financial Soundnessof Local Governments 28

・The Four Financial Indicators 29

Ⅵ Fund Procurement from Markets・Tax Exemption for Interest on Muni Bonds 30・Increased Fundraising on Markets 31

2

Page 3: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

333

Message to Investors

Basic policies established

Admin & Fiscal ReformsHigh ratings

provided by various agencies

High Bond Rating

Financial soundness standards met

Sound Fiscal ManagementBoast talented population, advanced technologies,

wide array of cultural assets

A Highly Creative City

You can invest in Osaka City Bonds with confidence as redemption of our bonds takes top priority.

We are taking steps to further enhance investor relations and improve the market’s assessment of Osaka City Bonds.

For a Stronger Osaka Policy Adopted

Mayor Hiramatsu Vision

Mayor Kunio Hiramatsu

Page 4: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

Ⅰ Message to Investors 444

High Bond Ratings

4

Japan Credit Rating Agency (2nd highest on 20-tier scale)Rating indicates very high capacity to honor debt obligations. AA+

Standard & Poor’s (4th highest on 20-tier scale)AA rating category means entity has very little risk of default. (Little difference between this and AAA category).

AA-Moody’s (Local Currency Rating) (3rd highest on 21-tier scale)

Rating suggests entity has very good creditworthiness and creditrisks are extremely low. Aa2

The City of Osaka’s debt burden is on par with other government ordinance cities, but heavy when compared to foreign cities. The City of Osaka, however, has a solid tax base, and our administrative and financial reforms are starting to bear fruit. We are confident that the city will be able to maintain its debt-servicing capacity even if recurring expenses rise and non-recurring expenses arise.The City of Osaka will strive to maintain its high bond ratings with steps taken to improve its finances.

Page 5: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

Ⅱ Overview of Osaka City 5

Overview of Osaka City

Area: 222.11km2

Population: 2,628,811GDP: 21.86 trillion yen Total Annual Income of All Households: 8.82 trillion yenNo. of Plants and Outlets: 201,462 Workforce: 2,216,895 Sister Cities

San Francisco (USA)Sao Paulo (Brazil)Chicago (USA)Shanghai (China)Melbourne (Australia)St. Petersburg (Russia)Milan (Italy)Hamburg (Germany)

(Source: 2005 National Census, 2005 Osaka Economic Statistics, 2006 Business Statistics)

Tokyo

Osaka

Page 6: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

6

Robust Economic Activity

Notes: ①Figures for Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka are based on the fiscal year starting April 1.②The figures for Japan, Metropolitan Tokyo and the City of Osaka are based on exchange rates of 113.26 JPY/USD for fiscal 2005 and 110.16 JPY/USD for calendar 2005 (figures taken from simple monthly averages on the Tokyo forex market).

Source: Cabinet Office Monthly Foreign Economic Situation Data; Cabinet Office National Accounts for Japan, Prefectural Accounts for Metropolitan Tokyo, and Economic Statistics for City of Osaka.

Nominal GDP by Country (2005)

117

178

193

355

738

809

815

1,132

1,770

2,136

2,229

2,280

2,791

4,558

12,376

Singapore

Hong Kong

Osaka

Taiwan

Australia

India

Tokyo

Canada

Italy

France

UK

China

Germany

Japan

USA

1 billion USD

GDP Per Capita

713

1,766

25,947

26,968

30,053

33,718

33,861

35,071

35,675

36,321

36,954

41,347

64,779

73,417

India

China

Spain

Singapore

Italy

Germany

France

Canada

Japan

Australia

UK

USA

Tokyo

Osaka

USD

Source: MIC World Statistics 2008Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyoand City of Osaka from National Census 2005 data.

The Population of Major Cities

12,57711,510

8,008

3,6952,913 2,629 2,548 2,125

1,562

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Tok

yo

Bei

jing

New

Yor

k

Los

Ang

eles

Mad

rid

Osa

ka

Rom

e

Par

is

Vie

nna

Source:MIC World Statistics 2008;data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo

and City of Osaka from National Census 2005 data.

thousand

The City of Osaka boasts a higher GDP than both Hong Kong and Singapore, also enjoyingvery high per capita GDP.

Ⅱ Overview of Osaka City

Page 7: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

7777

Kyoto Prefecture

58,000

Hyogo Prefecture

266,000

Other

Prefectures

46,000

Nara Prefecture

119,000

Osaka, a Major Hub in Kansai Area

Osaka Prefecture

750,000

100 100 100 100 100

138 135.1

90.4

114.7 113.4

40

60

80

100

120

140

Osaka Tokyo Yokohama Nagoya Fukuoka

Nighttime Daytime

Daytime Population Comparisons (nighttime population = 100)

(2005 National Census)

Osaka is a major hub in the greater Osaka region. Many workers and students commute to the city from OsakaPrefecture and neighboring prefectures during the day, swelling the daytime population to approximately 1.4 timesthe night-time population.

Ⅱ Overview of Osaka City

Page 8: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

88

Strengths of Osaka City(Solid Infrastructure)

SubwaySubway129.9 km of publicly-operated

subway (tops in Japan)

Sewage SystemSewage SystemOnly government ordinance

city with sewage system covering 100% of city

Central Wholesale Central Wholesale MarketMarket

2nd largest annual transaction

volume in Japan

City HospitalsCity HospitalsOnly government

ordinance city to have hospital with 1,000 plus beds

City Parks City Parks Parks account for 4.18% of

the city area – 4th among government-

designated cities

Railway Network

WaterworksWaterworksFirst gov’t ordinance city

to boast 100% purified water

supply

The City of Osaka got an early start in building roads, sewers, subways and other vital infrastructure needed to support growingeconomic activity in the region.

Existing infrastructure already serves large percentage of population, so the City of Osaka should be able to rein in fiscal spending.

Ⅱ Overview of Osaka City

Page 9: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

9

General Account Budget

Revenues Expenditures

City of Osaka FY2009 General Account Budget (initial) at 1.6278 trillion yen

InvestmentExpenses,3,710(22.9)

Special AccountTransfers,etc.,

2,458(15.1)

Normal OperatingExpenses,1,434(8.8)

Debt Servicing,2,167(13.3)

Social welfareexpenses,4,102(25.2)

PersonnelExpenses,2,397(14.7)

Unit:100 mil yen(% of total)

Includes:Retirementallowances 295 (1.8)Other 2,102 (12.9)

Municipal Taxes6,410(39.4)

Local Allocation Tax380(2.3)

TransferTax/Special Local Grants

655(4.0)

・Inter-budget ransfers (funds, etc)  1,985(12.2) ・Usage Fees /Handling Charges   613(3.8) ・Various Revenues  1,797(11.0)

National/Prefecture Disbursements

3,153(19.4)

Local Special Grant77(0.5)

City Bonds1,208(7.4)

Unit:100 mil yen(% of total)

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Others4,395(27.0)

Page 10: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

1010

Overall Budget (comparison between major cities)

The City of Osaka’s overall budget for FY2009 is the third largest among municipalities, follow after the Tokyo metropolitan government and Osaka Prefecture.

Size of Budget (overall / FY2009)

38,399

13,581

32,591

25,960

16,518 18,083 18,539

128,338

42,168

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

Osaka Sapporo Yokohama Nagoya Kyoto Kobe Fukuoka Tokyo Osaka Pref

100 mil yen

Osaka City Budget (overall):The overall budget consists of the general account and 19 special accounts.Special accounts are arranged into four categories based on their characteristics: Government Ordinance Special Account, Quasi-Public Enterprise Account, Public Enterprises Account and Debt Servicing Account.

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

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11

Trends in Municipal Tax Revenue

Municipal tax revenue is expected to reach 641 billion yen in FY2009, down 6.7% from a year earlier. Overall municipal tax revenue is projected to decline as taxes from corporate inhabitants and other sources should fall due to the rapid deterioration in the economy.

100mil yen

1,294 1,038 1,006 1,051 1,156 1,357 1,400 1,368

1,643

1,128 1,289 1,3821,680

1,697 1,5441,238

540 529530

532

3,1603,3243,3503,420

4,296

3,199 3,2423,295

509

543

544

522

6,7086,4106,2866,1856,130

7,776

6,5266,785

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

1996 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Est.

2009

budget

Tax Revenue

FY

Other

Fixed assets/city planning

Corporate

Individual

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 12: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

1212

Municipal Tax (comparison between major cities)

The City of Osaka is expected to collect 641 billion yen in municipal taxes, which is the second largest amount as compared with other government-designated cities. Corporate Inhabitants Tax accounts for a meaningful proportion of total tax revenue and should improve once the economy picks up again.

Municipal Tax Revenue Components (Budget FY2009)

2135

4433 32 35 32

97

14 15 13

52 4844 46 47 50 48

198

7767588

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Osa

ka

Sapp

oro

Yoko

ham

a

Nag

oya

Kyot

o

Kobe

Fuku

oka

OtherFixed Assets/City PlanningCorporate Inhabitants TaxIndividual TaxTotal Municipal Tax Revenue

(Budget FY2009)

2,6902,6962,624

5,000

7,255

2,780

6 , 4 1 0

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

Os

ak

a

Sa

pp

oro

Yoko

ham

a

Na

goy

a

Ky

oto

Ko

be

Fuku

oka

1 0 0 mil yen

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 13: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

13

(100 mil yen)

FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018

28,087 27,925 27,879 27,798 27,740 27,205 26,336 25,225 24,527 23,853 23,235

Target: 20% decrease from FY2008 levels by FY2018.

13

Medium-Term Fiscal Balance (July 2009)

(100 mil yen)

(General Account) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018

Overall annual fiscal balance 0 0 0 △ 212 △ 610 △ 563 △ 474 △ 275 △ 222 △ 246

Accumulated balance 0 0 0 △ 212 △ 822 △ 1,385 △ 1,859 △ 2,134 △ 2,356 △ 2,602

No shortfalls as reform takes hold

Annual Deficit

Build a financially sound balance sheet through not only reducing expenditures, but also by developing new revenue sources ofsecuring revenues.

Max. accumulated deficit of 260 billion yen

Estimated Outstanding Balance of City Bonds (General Account)

Worsened economic outlook following the global financial crisis reflectedNo financial shortfall before FY2011.Maximum accumulated deficit of 260 billion yen between FY2012 and FY2018.The City of Osaka plans to address these funding shortages by:

Reflecting these shortfalls when formulating next Administrative and Financial Reform PlanPerforming a thorough review of administrative expenditures and implementing necessary restructuring measuresStudying additional measures to secure revenue (including distribution of retained earnings from public enterprises and improved overdue debt collection)Pressing for sweeping reform of policies at national level, including public assistance and National Health Insurance schemes.

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 14: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

Estimated Outstanding Balance of City Bonds and Debt Servicing Costs(General Account)

23,23523,85324,527

25,22526,336

27,20527,740

27,79827,87927,925

28,0872,3182,3322,345

2,409

2,4882,5082,495

2,402

2,234

2,1672,104

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

2,600

2008

(budget)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 201810,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

30,000Year-end outstanding

Debt Servicing

Debt Servicing

Costs

(100 mil yen)

Balance at FY-end

(100 mil yen)

20% decrease

1414

City Bonds Outstanding and Debt Servicing Costs

Having used bond proceeds to finance city infrastructure building and economic stimulus projects, the City of Osaka must now address significant redemptions, which will peak around FY2013. Thereafter, city bonds outstanding and debt servicing costs should fall (based on July 2009 fiscal balance estimate).

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 15: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

1515

Excellent Record of Administrative and Fiscal Reforms

Achivement : 70.4 billion reduction in FY2006-FY2009 budgets

■Reduction of Municipal Bond Issuance

Goal: Reduce bond issuance by 71.4 billion yen by FY2010

99% Achieved

To respond to rapid changes in socioeconomic environments resulting from the low birthrate and a greying population, the City of Osaka is undertaking administrative and fiscal actions based on its guidelines for reforms. These moves should enable it to reach numerical targets linked to strengthening its finances.

BreakdownPerformance

Target Period Target (% Achieved)

OperatingExpenses

20% reduction (468.4 billion yen) from the initial FY2005 budget(1.0395 trillion yen), by making a 291.4 billion yen cut inpersonnel expenses and a 177 billion yen cut in normaloperating expenses, excluding obligatory expenses such associal assistance and debt servicing (571.1 billion yen).

FY2006~FY2010 90 billion yen63.6 billion yen

(71%)

InvestmentExpenses

25% reduction (438.3 billion yen) from the initial FY2005 budget. FY2006~FY2010 110 billion yen 115.7 billion yen(achieved goal)

Special AccountTransfers

30% reduction (83 billion yen) from the FY2005 initial budget(250.7 billion yen), excluding those items dif f icult to reducesuch as payments for debt servicing and insurance burdens.

FY2006~FY2008 25 billion yen 33.0 billion yen(achieved goal)

Total 225 billion yen 212.3 billion yen(94%)

Cost Reduction Targets

■Cost Reductions

Achiev ement : 212.3 billion y en in cost reductions between FY2006 and FY2009

Goal: 225 billion yen decrease in budget by FY2010

94% Achieved

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

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16

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

2005(budget) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

100 mil yen

(▲539)

(▲383)

(▲832)

11,574

FY

161616

Reducing Expenditures (Costs)

Reducing Expenditures (General Account)(Operating Expenses [excluding Social Assistance and Debt Servicing], Investment Expenses, Special Account Transfers)

Target (FY2006-2010) → Achievement and % of Target (FY2006-2009)・Operating Expenses: -90 billion yen → -63.6 billion yen (71%)・Investment Expenses: -110 billion yen → -115.7 billion yen (105%)・Special Account Transfers: -25 billion yen → -33.0 billion yen (132%)

(Total) -225 billion yen → -212.3 billion yen (94%)

From FY2006-2009,costs reduced by212.3 billion yen(94% of target)

(▲369)

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 17: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

17

47,608

32,500

35,000

37,500

40,000

42,500

45,000

47,500

50,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

(▲2,064)

(▲1,804)

(▲2,592)

FY

171717

Staff Reductions

FY2006-2009Approx. 7,500

(98% of target)

Target: Less than 40,000 employees in FY2010

Headcount reductionof over 8,700

Includes reduction of 2,000 positions from the creation of independent administrative institutions

Note: FY2005-2008 figures as of October 1; FY2009 figures based on budget

Staff Reductions

Staff hiring kept to absolute minimum

Staff

(▲1,033)

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 18: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

18

City Bond Issuance and Public Works (general account)

2,7772,495

2,205 2,247 2,401 2,306 2,1211,831

1,325 1,315 1,316810

800 700

4,4374,189

3,855 3,841

3,129

2,315

2,0181,890

1,508 1,5271,374

1,252

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2,007 2008

Est.

2009

budget

2010 2,015FY

100 million yen

Municipal Bonds

Public Works Spending

18

Reduced Bond Issuance and Public Works

Public works have been reduced and strict steps are being taken to hold down the issuance of city bonds.The goal is to reduce city bond issuance to 80 billion yen in FY2010 and 70 billion yen in FY2015 (excludingExtraordinary Financial Measure Bonds and Tax-Cut Compensation Bonds).

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 19: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

19191919

Cuts in City Bonds Outstanding

Balance of City Bonds Outstanding

55,022 54,253 53,058 52,539 51,577

29,124 28,932 28,170 28,087 27,92523,235

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2005 2006 2007 2008(forecast) 2009(budget) 2018 FY

100 mil yen

All accounts General account

By strictly curbing city bond issuance in accordance with targets detailed in the Basic Guidelines for Management Reform, city bonds outstanding in both General & All Accounts have decreased.

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 20: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

20

7 ,387 7 ,130 6 ,865 6 ,655 6 ,350 6 ,130 6 ,185 6 ,286 6 ,526 6 ,785 6708

905 1 ,066 1 ,036 867 879 974 1 ,019 1 ,079 774 734

588 767 799844 805 728 607 472 105 169

2 ,508 2 ,788 2 ,478 2 ,548 2 ,503 2 ,636 2 ,737 2 ,736 2 ,527 2 ,574 2582

3 ,167 1 ,960 2 ,060 1 ,8301 ,694 1 ,332 1 ,212 1 ,172 903

680 649

906668 386 495

817 1 ,097 966 698730 802

4 ,8745 ,065 5 ,075 5 ,258

4 ,8314 ,348 4 ,237 4 ,146

3 ,880 4125 3907

863

152

519

0

5 ,000

10 ,000

15 ,000

20 ,000

25 ,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008FY

100 mi l yenOthersMun ic ipal bonds (spec ial )Mun ic ipal bonds (general )Nat ional Government DisbursementsLocal Al locat ion TaxLocal Transfer Tax/Spec ial Local GrantsLocal Tax

15,905 15,77317,03917,22717,907

18,62118,69619,10319,856

20

Ordinary Account Revenues

Ordinary Account Revenues (FY2008)

16,664

Ordinary Account・・・ Classification used by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications for local government accounting statistics. Refers to all accounts other than accounts for public enterprises. Allows for comparisons among local governments as well as time series comparisons.

15,551

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 21: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

2121

Ordinary Account (Expenditures)

3,440 3,446 3,436 3,421 3,286 3,242 3,121 2,958 2,785 2,756 2,565

2,469 2,648 2,554 2,754 2,963 3,278 3,467 3,563 3,631 3,746 3,849

1,665 1,894 1,992 2,100 2,338 2,188 2,176 2,104 2,075 2,074 2,138

5,556 4,078 3,902 3,573 2,879 2,197 1,850 1,668 1,505 1,621 1,242

6,5856,994 6,725 6,729 6,413 6,294 6,405 6,354 5,879 5,536 5,735

0

5 ,000

10 ,000

15 ,000

20 ,000

25 ,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008FY

100 mi l yen Others

Investment expenditures

Debt servic ing

Soc ial assistance

Personne l expenditures

Ordinary Account Expenditures (FY2008)

15,87616,64717,02017,20017,88018,57718,60919,06019,715

15,733

Mandatory expenditures for social assistance and debt servicing have been rising. However, investment spending has been decreasing. Total expenditures have also shrunk, thanks to staff reductions and reviews of operating and administrative expenditures.

15,529

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

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22

Ordinary Account and Financial Indicators

(million yen)

FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008

Total Revenues 1,722,657 1,703,865 1,666,375 1,590,506 1,577,285 1,555,121

Total Expenditures 1,719,987 1,701,951 1,664,689 1,587,643 1,573,282 1,552,859

Revenues Minus Expenditures 2,670 1,914 1,686 2,863 4,003 2,262

Real Balance 192 229 254 366 434 449

Single FY Balance ▲ 54 37 25 112 180 15

Real Single FY Balance ▲ 54 37 25 112 68 15

Standard Fiscal Scale 714,466 709,669 716,450 715,432 717,085 742,722

Fiscal Power Index 0.86% 0.86% 0.87% 0.89% 0.93% 0.96%

Real Revenue-Expenditure

Ratio- - - 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Ordinary Balance Ratio 102.5% 103.6% 101.7% 99.7% 99.9% 99.2%

Contract Authorization Amount(Scheduled Expenditure)

245,822 215,164 214,120 183,444 146,545 127,729

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

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2323

Operating Results of Public Enterprises

(100 mil yen)

Total Revenues Total Expenses Net Profit / Loss Accumulated Losses /Retained Earnings

City BondsOutstanding

521 426 95 -29 562

76 89 -13 -127 736

178 163 15 222 1,876

782 749 33 157 5,686

218 223 -5 -11 210

1,696 1,572 124 354 7,142

769 644 125 298 2,516

20 17 3 33 27

Account Name

Qua

si-P

ublic

Ent

erpr

ises

Port Operations

Sewage

Central Wholesale Market

Subway

Bus

City Hospitals

Pub

lic E

nter

pris

es

Waterworks

Industrial Waterworks

FY2008

The operating performance of public and quasi-public enterprises is favorable. The subway, waterworks and sewage systems are all profitable, as the City of Osaka got off to an early start in building up such infrastructure.

Ⅲ Fiscal Conditions & Outlook

Page 24: City of Osaka The Current Fiscal Condition and the Future ... · Source: MIC World Statistics 2008 Note: Data pertaining to population of Metropolitan Tokyo and City of Osaka from

Ⅳ Future Approaches 24

Total

799535

327 308

261

194 176

275213

End FY2005 End FY2006 End Mar 2007 End Jan 2009

(100 mil yen)

Taxes levied in and before FY2005

799 796 796 697

Taxes levied inFY2006

Securing Income

Municipal Tax Collection Rate

93.9 94.4 95.1 95.4 95.4

70

80

90

100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2012FY

(Forecast)

Target

96.5%+

The City of Osaka has stepped up efforts to improve overdue tax receivables collection, which include holding regular “(Osaka City Government) Meetings on Measures against Delinquent Tax Receivables” and forming the “Delinquent Tax Receivables Special Collection Team.”

Taxes levied in

FY2007

Delinquent Tax Receivables

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Sales of Unused Land

To ease a financial burden for the City of Osaka, efforts are underway to sell as much unused land as possible while also taking into account the need to maintain public land ownership where necessary.

Total Revenue from Land Sales (Cumulative)

574495

659

772

250

200

290350

0

200

400

600

800

2006 2007

(Cumulative Total)

2008(budget)

(Cumulative Total)

2009(budget)

(Cumulative Total)

100 mil yen

0

100

200

300

400

thous ㎡

Proceeds

Area

221 sites, or664 thousand ㎡

(under consideration, as of June 2009)

Ⅳ Future Approaches

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Accumulated Fund Balance

1,069 989 1,114 1,265 1,010

3,164 3,003 3,010 2,912 3,111

133 103 123 165 150

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

2005 2006 2007 2008Est.

2009Planed

FY

100 million yen

General Account Debt Service Account Others

26

Portfolio Composition(End-March 2009)

Fund Balance

4,3424,2474,095

4,366 4,271

(100mil yen)

Short-term deposits218,14150.2%

Securities171,07839.4%

Medium-to-Long-termdeposits45,00010.4%

Short-term deposits Medium-to long-term deposits Securities

In accordance with municipal ordinances, the City of Osaka has established various funds that aim for stable, optimum returns, combining both short-term and medium-/long-term investments.

Bonds: Includes muni bonds (158,302 million yen) and government-guaranteed bonds (10,000 million yen).

Shares: Kansai Electric Power (24,425 million yen)

Ⅳ Future Approaches

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2727

Sinking Fund

Sinking Fund for Bullet Bonds (General Account)

1,677

2,278

2,640 2,6882,546 2,462 2,512

2,646 2737

1,122

667

323

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 FY

100mi l yen

In accordance with national government stipulations, the City of Osaka has established a sinking fund to ensure adequate funding for redemption of all city bonds at maturity. There is never any borrowing from this fund for day-to-day operations.

FY 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Est

2009 Budget

Accumulated Amount 211 344 455 555 669 730 726 685 696 756 852 920

Withdrawal - - - - 68 368 678 827 791 706 718 829Balance 323 667 1,122 1,677 2,278 2,640 2,688 2,546 2,462 2,512 2,646 2,737

Ⅳ Future Approaches

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The Law Relating to Financial Soundness of Local Governments

The Law Relating to Financial Soundness of Local Governments was enacted on June 15, 2007.

The Law requires municipalities to establish and disclose financial indicators and aims for them to recover

financial soundness at the earliest possible date.

Every fiscal year, auditors examine four key indicators of financial health [(1) Real Deficit Ratio,

(2) Consolidated Real Deficit Ratio, (3) Real Debt Servicing Ratio, and (4) Future Burden Ratio]. These figures are

presented to the City Council before being released to the public.

If a local government does not meet requirements for any of the four ratios, plans to restore financial soundness

must be drawn up by the City Council and announced publicly.

The City of Osaka intends to further strengthen its finances to meet the indicator requirements.

Ⅴ Financial Soundness (Four Indexes)

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The Four Financial Indicators

The City of Osaka is working to ensure that it meets the requirement for each of the four indicators outlined by the Law Relating to the Financial Soundness of Local Governments.

1. Ratios marked with [-] indicate that City of Osaka has no real deficit or consolidated real deficit.2. Financial Restoration Standards for the Consolidated Real Deficit Ratio have been gradually tightened over a three-year period (40% in FY2007;

raised to 35% in FY2008 and 30% in FY2009).

Early Financial WarningStandards

Financial RestorationStandards City of Osaka

Strengthen finances throughvoluntary improvement measures

Seek help from nationalgovernment (End FY2007)

 Real Deficit Ratio ―

(General Account) Real Surplus of 400million yen

 Consolidated Real DeficitRatio ―

(Overall Account) Consolidated Surplus of36.5 billion yen

Real Debt Servicing Ratio

(Real debt servicing expense includingspecial factors)

Future Burden Ratio

(Real debts including special accounts,subsidiaries, etc.)

245.7%

More than 11.25% More than 20%

More than 30%More than 16.25%

More than 35%More than 25%

More than 400%

10.7%

Ⅴ Financial Soundness (Four Indexes)

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Under the Act on Special Measures Concerning Taxation (covering non-residents and foreign corporations, including trust banks working as custodians for foreign mutual funds), interest on municipal bonds (LGB) held by non-residents or foreign corporations and settled by the electronic book-entry system are exempt from withholding tax, as with JGBs. The exemption applies to interest paid after January 1, 2008 and is subject to the conditions below.

ConditionsNon-JGB securities are required to be settled through Japan Securities Depository Center

(JASDEC )—Japan’s central securities custody and book-entry transfer system.Non-resident investors can enjoy tax exemption only when they hold LGBs through a

member of JASDEC (i.e., local sub-custodian in Japan) or via a designated FIAMI/QFI (i.e., global custodian) and submit the appropriate paperwork.

In case the beneficiary holds LGBs through a global custodian, it must have FIAMI/QFI status. Entities exempted for JGBs are also eligible for the tax exemption on local government bonds,

under certain conditions.

Tax Exemption for Interest on Muni Bonds

Ⅵ Fund Procurement from Markets

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3131

Increased Fundraising on Markets

The City of Osaka has increasingly been financing its activities with the issue of public bonds, which now account for approximately 70% of all funds raised.

※Based on face value, including refinancing bonds※※Figures have been rounded and hence may not sum to totals.

Bond Issues (All Accounts)

1,500 1,800 1,500 1,970 2,144 2,557 3,199 2,777 2,7633,330 3,300

1,092 896 997942

1,3581,259

692755 1,046

1,0504001,832 1,536 1,556

1,6181,258 958 1,128

627 350350

600

4,424 4,232 4,0544,530 4,760 4,774 5,020

4,159 4,1584,730

4,300

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

(planned)

FY

100mil yen

Government purchases

Underwriting by banks

Public bonds

Ⅵ Fund Procurement from Markets

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Inquiries about materials:Financing Section Finance DepartmentOsaka City Finance Bureau

TEL: 06-6208-7730~2/FAX: 06-6202-6952E-mail:da0005@city.osaka.lg.jp

Osaka City Homepage http://www.city.osaka.lg.jp/contents/wdu020/english/

Inquires about fiscal conditions:Osaka City Finance Bureau Homepagehttp://www.zaisei.city.osaka.jp/public/english/index.html

This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for bonds issued by the City of Osaka. The information contained herein may be completed and supplemented at any time; it does not constitute an investment recommendation nor should it serve as a basis for investment decision.The City of Osaka assumes no responsibility for any action taken based on the information contained herein.

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