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Cotlook A Index - Cents/lb (Change from previous day)
10-06-2019 76.35 (-3.00)
12-06-2018 100.65
11-06-2017 87.00
New York Cotton Futures (Cents/lb) As on 12.06.2019 (Change from
previous day)
July 2019 65.46 (-0.19)
Oct 2019 65.02 (-0.44)
Dec 2019 65.10 (-0.47)
12th June
2019
ITF urges textiles ministry to organise engagement events
Cut taxes to boost investments, growth, CII’s Kirloskar tells govt
13 RCEP nations oppose India’s strict country of origin norms
Transition plan to the new GST Return
Cotton and Yarn Futures
ZCE - Daily Data (Change from previous day)
MCX (Change from previous day)
June 2019 21190 (+10)
Cotton 13600 (+115) July 2019 21320 (0)
Yarn 21010 (+100) Aug 2019 21340 (+100)
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2 CITI-NEWS LETTER
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ITF urges textiles ministry to organise engagement events
Cut taxes to boost investments, growth, CII’s Kirloskar tells govt
Australia urges India to play a greater role in shaping regional trade order
13 RCEP nations oppose India’s strict country of origin norms
Transition plan to the new GST Return
Indian, Chinese officials hold dialogue to break deadlock in RCEP trade negotiations
IL&FS case: After auditors, credit rating agencies face govt heat
India-Colombia set bilateral trade target $ 10 bn by 2030; Indian two-wheelers have a huge presence
GDP growth overestimated during 2011-17, says former CEA Arvind Subramanian
What’s India’s true growth rate? Govt stands by its estimates as former CEA questions GDP data
After 12 revenue officers, more may face the heat
India-UK Sports Alliance to encourage greater bilateral trade
Sitharaman holds pre-Budget consultation with industry, trade representatives
New textile processing cluster with zero-discharge units
Labour dept warns employers over seating for staff
Gail moves appellate court to challenge Alok Industries resolution plan
Govt planning new labour legislation by merging 44 laws under 4 categories
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Will respond firmly if US raises trade tension: Chinese foreign ministry
Apparel buying houses asked to get registered with DoT
Pakistan:Rs100mn allocated for Commerce, Rs202.828mn for Textile in PSDP
Tintex Textiles joins United Nations Global Compact
Old bread becomes new textiles
----------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL
---------------------
GLOBAL
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3 CITI-NEWS LETTER
NATIONAL:
ITF urges textiles ministry to organise engagement events
(Source: Fibre2Fashion, June 11, 2019)
In view of rising textile imports from Bangladesh,
Indian Texpreneurs Federation (ITF) has
requested the ministry of textiles to facilitate a
meeting of key brands and retailers with selective
manufacturing industry stakeholders at clusters
like Coimbatore and Tiruppur. ITF said it can act
as a platform to bring clusters and brands
together in Tamil Nadu.
In fiscal 2018-19, India’s textile and garment imports from Bangladesh increased by 53
per cent year-on-year to $1.07 billion (₹7,500 crore). If the products were not imported
and produced domestically, the ₹7,500 crore business would have created 1.5 lakh job
opportunities within the country, the Coimbatore-based organisation said in a letter
sent to textiles minister Smriti Irani.
As per ITF analysis, based on the data sourced form DGCI&S, cotton based readymade
garments falling under HS codes 62034200, 62052000, 62046200, and 61091000 are
the top four imported items.
“After witnessing a big jump in cotton-based textile product imports, now synthetic-
based textile product imports are also catching up with a much faster growth rate. These
products (both cotton and synthetic-based textile products) are commonly
manufactured in textile clusters like Tiruppur, Chennai, Surat and Ichalkaranji,” the
letter said.
The letter also mentions that job creation and lower level of participation of women in
the workforce are the twin challenges faced by the country. “By developing textile
manufacturing sector, we can address these two challenges. For example, ₹500 crore
investment in a heavy engineering factory can create 1,000 to 1,500 jobs; whereas textile
and apparel sector can create 40,000 jobs for the same investment.”
As a starting point, ITF convenor Prabhu Dhamodharan requested the newly formed
Narendra Modi-led NDA government and the textiles ministry to facilitate a meeting
with the brands and domestic manufacturers so that all clusters can benefit.
Home
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4 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Cut taxes to boost investments, growth, CII’s Kirloskar tells govt
(Source: Live Mint, June 11, 2019)
The Confederation of Indian Industries (CII) has called upon the government to lower a
broad range of taxes to encourage equity investments by both individuals as well as
corporates.
CII president Vikram Kirloskar said while a strong government gives confidence and
boosts investment sentiment, bringing India back on the high growth trajectory will
require rationalization of taxes, with special emphasis on equity creation.
“There is a debt overhang. One cannot grow GDP (gross domestic product) on debt
alone. We have to encourage equity and grow the equity," Kirloskar said in an interview.
He sought lowering of various types of taxes such as corporate tax and capital gains tax.
“Our request to the government is to look at reduction in tax on equity and not to do
anything that will sentimentally hurt equity growth. If you are talking about reaching 8-
10% GDP growth, we have to make equity highly viable. That is what will encourage
people to invest," Kirloskar said.
The comments of the business lobby group’s chief come at a time when India grew at its
slowest pace in five years at 5.8% in the March quarter. The growth rate during 2018-19
slowed to 6.8% from 7.2% a year earlier. Besides, the banking regulator said last week
that a sharp slowdown in investment and moderation in private consumption is a matter
of concern.
Since January, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cut benchmark interest rates three
times by a cumulative 75 basis points, a move to ease lending rates and boost
consumption. However, banks are yet to fully transmit the rate cuts to retail consumers.
Keeping with the trend of an economic slowdown, domestic automobile sales have also
been on a decline in the past few months. Kirloskar, who is also vice chairman of Toyota
Kirloskar Motor, said one of the reasons behind the fall in automobile sales is financing
costs and the liquidity squeeze in non-banking financial companies (NBFCs). The Lok
Sabha polls also impacted car sales as potential buyers deferred purchases.
“Secondly, there is also some structural change. Metro traffic has increased across the
country. It (metro) was only in two cities. Now, it is all across the country. Shared
mobility has increased dramatically…That could be having a structural affect, which is
good for the country," he said.
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5 CITI-NEWS LETTER
At a time when the government could not meet its direct tax collection target for 2018-
19, Kirloskar believes that there is still scope for a lowering of corporate taxes in the
federal budget that will be presented by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on 5 July.
“The only reason we are talking about corporate tax reduction and saying 18% with zero
exemptions because we see it as revenue neutral. So, it may not affect the overall
collection," he said, adding the reduction in tax could be gradual.
On indirect taxes, Kirloskar said he expects rationalization of rates under the Goods and
Services Tax (GST) with fewer items on the bottom and top tax slabs. Without naming
the items, he said more items could come under the ambit of GST.
As far as job creation is concerned, the government needs to look at sectors such as
tourism, agriculture, food processing and textiles that could be big employment
generators. For this, a separate panel or an official can study the hurdles in the process
of job creation. Much like what Nandan Nilekani did for the government’s unique
identification programme, Kirloskar said.
Nilekani is former chairman of the Unique Identification Authority of India and
architect of the biometric-based Aadhaar identification number.
Home
Australia urges India to play a greater role in shaping regional trade order
(Source: Elizabeth Roche, Live Mint, June 11, 2019)
Australia on Tuesday urged India to play a greater role in shaping the economic
architecture of the Indo-Pacific region and help successfully conclude talks to forge a
new regional trade bloc, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).
India and Australia have developed mutual trust over the past decade to work together
on strategic issues in the Indo-Pacific region, Australia’s high commissioner to India
Harinder Sidhu said on Tuesday. The two countries could now work together to
strengthen the economic order in the region, Sidhu told the Indian Association of
Foreign Affairs Correspondents.
If India plays its part to successfully conclude the RCEP, it would help New Delhi
integrate into the economic landscape of the Indo-Pacific, the high commissioner said.
“India is a leader and an Asian and Indo-Pacific powerhouse. So, for that reason, I think
it’s important that India plays a greater role in shaping the regional trading order,"
Sidhu said.
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6 CITI-NEWS LETTER
“Successfully concluding the RCEP, which includes India, China, and Asean (Association
of Southeast Asian Nations) countries, as well as Australia and New Zealand, will help
shape the regional rules and the norms governing trade," she said.
India has been going slow on RCEP negotiations as it is wary of China’s presence in the
grouping, with which New Delhi already has a massive $60 billion trade deficit. Indian
industry apprehends greater market access to China could harm key manufacturing
sectors such as steel and textiles. It has also been worried about giving greater market
access to other non-free trade area partners, including Australia and New Zealand.
Another area in which Australia and India could work together was financing the
infrastructure in the Indo-Pacific region, Sidhu said. The high commissioner did not
mention any country by name, but the statement comes against the backdrop of China
unveiling its ambitious Belt and Road Initiative, which looks to connect Asia, Europe
and Africa through a series of roads, ports and railway lines.
Australia has announced plans to help investment in the Pacific, South-East Asia and
South Asia, Sidhu said.
This is the result of India and Australia “shaking off our own hesitations of history" and
working together in far more forums at the Indo-Pacific level, she added.
The quadrilateral grouping of the US, Australia, India, and Japan, known as the “Quad",
was a manifestation of this cooperation, she said, pointing to other formats of dialogue
such as the Australia-India-Japan talks and the Australia-India-Indonesia talks, besides
larger fora such as the East Asia Summit. On the bilateral front, the “tempo" of activity
was growing with both countries having concluded a major naval exercise recently,
which was the “largest and most complex of its kind". Activities in the defence arena had
shown a fourfold rise from 11 events in 2014 to 38 in 2018.
One area that was performing below potential though was bilateral trade, Sidhu said.
Australian exports to India had doubled between 2013 and 2018 from 11 billion
Australian dollars to 22 billion Australian dollars. India is now Australia’s third largest
export market after China and the US, she said, but added that despite all these
numbers “our two-way trade with India is the same as our two-way trade with New
Zealand". “So, that gives you a sense of the scope for expansion." The Australian
government had commissioned an India Economic Strategy, which looks at ways to
improve trade. It had set up a trade target of $100 billion by 2035, Sidhu said.
India, too, on its part, had commissioned an Australia Economic Strategy and this was a
welcome move, given that a strong economic relationship forms the “glue" in any
relationship, Sidhu said.
Home
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7 CITI-NEWS LETTER
13 RCEP nations oppose India’s strict country of origin norms
(Source: Kritika Suneja, Economic Times, June 11, 2019)
India wants strict rules of origin to prevent Chinese goods from flooding the country
through member countries that may have lower or no duty levels. At least 13 countries
including Australia, Japan and New Zealand have opposed India’s proposal for strict
criteria to determine the source country of a product, based on which they get tariff
concessions or duties, in the 16-nation Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
(RCEP) trade pact.
The 10-member ASEAN bloc too has opposed India’s proposal, an official said. India
wants strict rules of origin to prevent Chinese goods from flooding the country through
member countries that may have lower or no duty levels. Chinese garments are making
their way into India through the duty-free route under the South Asia Free Trade Pact
and the Duty-Free Quota-Free window from Bangladesh. This was a key issue at the
intersessional meeting of RCEP countries in Bangkok last month. “We want clearly
defined rules of origin to ensure integrity and sanctity of tariff differentiation. Led by
Australia, most others want liberal rules of origin,” said the official familiar with the
details. India has said the highest value addition with the help of indigenous inputs
must be done in the country from which a product is exported. Globally, the average
threshold for domestic content to get originating status for a product is 40-60%.
“These countries don’t have the kind of resources and manufacturing like us except
Japan, which is into large-scale value addition and exports. So, they want lenient rules,”
the official said. Strict origin norms are crucial for India, which had a trade deficit with
11 RCEP members including China, South Korea and Australia in 2018-19. The gap with
China alone was $53.6 billion. India’s aluminium and copper industries are worried
about China’s presence in the grouping and anticipate widening of the trade deficit due
to an “alarming” spike in imports and a potential threat to the Make in India initiative.
Niti Aayog said in a study that “if duty is further cut under RCEP, domestic aluminium
industry will be severely hit.” “However, China is conservative and not on either side,”
the official added. The issue will be taken up again at a meeting in Australia during June
28-July 3, followed by a meeting in China at the end of July. A ministerial meeting is
slated in China in August as members try to conclude the mega-trade agreement this
year. “RCEP will not benefit us vis-a-vis China...We already have a deficit with most of
the member-countries,” said a New Delhi-based expert on trade issues. “The Chinese are
already taking advantage of our liberal rules of origin with neighbouring least developed
countries including Bangladesh,” said Biswajit Dhar, professor at the Centre for
Economic Studies and Planning in the School of Social Sciences at Jawaharlal Nehru
University. RCEP is a proposed regional economic integration agreement among the 10
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8 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Asean countries and its six free-trade agreement partners—Australia, New Zealand,
Japan, China, South Korea and India.
Home
Transition plan to the new GST Return
(Source: PIB, June 11, 2019)
The GST Council in its 31st meeting decided that a new GST return system will be
introduced to facilitate taxpayers. In order to ease transition to the new return system, a
transition plan has been worked out. The details of the indicative transition plan are as
follows: -
i. In May, 2019 a prototype of the offline tool has already been shared on the
common portal to give the look and feel of the tool to the users. The look and feel
of the offline tool would be same as that of the online portal. Taxpayers may be
aware that there are three main components to the new return – one main
return (FORM GST RET-1) and two annexures (FORM GST ANX-1 and
FORM GST ANX-2).
ii. From July, 2019, users would be able to upload invoices using the FORM GST
ANX-1 offline tool on trial basis for familiarisation. Further, users would also be
able to view and download, the inward supply of invoices using the FORM GST
ANX-2 offline tool under the trial program. The summary of inward supply
invoices would also be available for view on the common portal online. They
would also be able to import their purchase register in the Offline Tool and match
it with the downloaded inward supply invoices to find mismatches from August
2019.
iii. Between July to September, 2019 (for three months), the new return system
(ANX-1 & ANX-2 only) would be available for trial for taxpayers to make
themselves familiar. This trial would have no impact at the back end on the tax
liability or input tax credit of the taxpayer. In this period, taxpayers shall
continue to fulfil their compliances by filing FORM GSTR-1 and FORM GSTR-
3B i.e. taxpayers would continue to file their outward supply details in FORM
GSTR-1 on monthly / quarterly basis and return in FORM GSTR-3B on
monthly basis. Non-filing of these returns shall attract penal provisions under the
GST Act.
iv. From October, 2019 onwards, FORM GST ANX-1 shall be made compulsory
and FORM GSTR-1 would be replaced by FORM GST ANX-1. The large
taxpayers (i.e. those taxpayers whose aggregate annual turnover in the previous
financial year was more than Rs. 5 Crore) would upload their monthly FORM
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9 CITI-NEWS LETTER
GST ANX-1 from October, 2019 onwards. However, the first compulsory
quarterly FORM GST ANX-1 to be uploaded by small taxpayers (with aggregate
annual turnover in the previous financial year upto Rs. 5 Crore) would be due
only in January, 2020 for the quarter October to December, 2019. It may be
noted that invoices etc. can be uploaded in FORM GST ANX-1 on a continuous
basis both by large and small taxpayers from October, 2019 onwards. FORM
GST ANX-2 may be viewed simultaneously during this period but no action
shall be allowed on such FORM GST ANX-2.
v. For October and November, 2019, large taxpayers would continue to file FORM
GSTR-3B on monthly basis. They would file their first FORM GST RET-01 for
the month of December, 2019 by 20th January, 2020.
vi. The small taxpayers would stop filing FORM GSTR-3B and would start
filing FORM GST PMT-08 from October, 2019 onwards. They would file their
first FORM GST-RET-01 for the quarter October, 2019 to December, 2019 from
20th January, 2020.
vii. From January, 2020 onwards, all taxpayers shall be filing FORM GST RET-
01 and FORM GSTR-3B shall be completely phased out.
Separate instructions shall be issued for filing and processing of refund applications
between October to December, 2019.
Home
Indian, Chinese officials hold dialogue to break deadlock in RCEP trade
negotiations
(Source: Amiti Sen, The Hindu Business Line, June 12, 2019)
Member nations keen to conclude parleys by year-end
In a renewed attempt to break the stalemate in the ongoing Regional Comprehensive
Economic Partnership (RCEP) negotiations involving 16 countries, senior officials from
India and China met in New Delhi this week to try and reach a common ground on
market opening commitments.
“We are trying to reduce the gap between the market access being demanded by China
and what India has to offer. Till this matter is resolved it will be difficult to make
progress in the overall RCEP negotiations,” a government official told BusinessLine. The
Indian and Chinese delegations that participated in the meeting on June 10-11 were
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10 CITI-NEWS LETTER
headed by Commerce Secretary Anup Wadhawan and Chinese Vice-Minister of
Commerce Wang Shouwen, respectively.
The RCEP, being negotiated between the 10-member ASEAN, India, China, Japan,
South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, once implemented, would result in one of the
largest free trade bloc accounting for 45 per cent of the world's population, and a
combined GDP of about $21.3 trillion and 40 per cent of world trade. India, however, is
not comfortable with the steep commitments on opening markets in goods being pushed
by most members, especially China. New Delhi wants to offer much lower market access
in goods to China compared to other members such as the ASEAN, Japan and South
Korea, but Beijing is not willing to accept it.
“In the two-day meeting, discussions happened on goods, services as well as
investments. While there was some positive movement in services with China paring its
demand, a lot more progress needs to be achieved in goods and investments,” the
official said.
India, which has so far offered to eliminate tariffs for 70-80 per cent of goods for China
over an extended period of time, is unwilling to give more as the Indian industry is
apprehensive of being adversely hit due to it. “China already runs a trade surplus of over
$60 billion with India and the domestic industry is reeling under heavy competition
from Chinese goods. The government can't let the situation go out of hand,” the official
said.
A decision, however, has to be taken by the new Commerce & Industry Minister Piyush
Goyal soon on how much more flexible India could get. China is already hinting at going
in for a free trade agreement between the ASEAN, China, Japan and South Korea if the
RCEP talks take too long. The ASEAN, too, is putting pressure on India to move fast so
that the negotiations could be completed by the year-end.
“There are a number of technical discussions scheduled in Melbourne at the end of the
month. By then, India should be clear on its negotiating flexibilities,” the official said.
Home
IL&FS case: After auditors, credit rating agencies face govt heat
(Source: Business Standard, June 11, 2019)
MCA may invoke Section 447 of Companies Act to slap penalty and suspend some of the
rating agencies
The Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA) is planning to act tough against some of the top
credit rating agencies in relation to the IL&FS case, according to sources in the know.
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11 CITI-NEWS LETTER
These agencies had rated the debt instruments of IL&FS Financial Services (IFIN),
which went bust.
The ministry may invoke Section 447 of the Companies Act for imposing penalty and
suspending these firms and their executives, one of the sources said. The development
follows the government moving the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) on
Monday to ban the auditors of IFIN for five years over failure in ...
Home
India-Colombia set bilateral trade target $ 10 bn by 2030; Indian two-
wheelers have a huge presence
(Source: Financial Express, June 11, 2019)
Colombian economy’s growth is set to climb this year on acceleration in exports. The
investment should surge on infrastructure and oil sector investments; although the
government’s fiscal consolidation efforts could cause domestic demand to decelerate
slightly.
Aiming to increase bilateral trade from the present level of around $1.5 billion to at least
$10 billion by 2030, India and South American nation Colombia will soon finalize terms
of reference of Partial Scope Agreement.
Talking to Financial Express Online, a top Indian diplomat at the Indian Embassy in
Bogota, Colombia said that achieving the target of $ 10 billion by 2030, may seem a
herculean task but should not be difficult. “As Colombia continues to improve its trade
and investment climate, Indian companies should surely look at expanding and entering
this lucrative market.”
Colombian economy’s growth is set to climb this year on acceleration in exports. The
investment should surge on infrastructure and oil sector investments; although the
government’s fiscal consolidation efforts could cause domestic demand to decelerate
slightly.
However, downside risks stem from uncertainties over the pace of fiscal reforms,
challenging external environment, the Venezuelan refugee crisis.
How has India fared in this market?
This year the two countries are celebrating 60 years of diplomatic relations. “The
bilateral trade has now stabilized because in the past it fluctuated at around $ 1.5 -2
billion when Indian exports to Colombia in 2015 were $ 1.19 billion dropped to $ 945
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12 CITI-NEWS LETTER
million in 2016. Since then have recovered and maintained over $ 1billion,” the
diplomat said.
Adding, a number of Indian companies have made serious efforts in accessing this
market. All Indian two-wheeler brands have a presence in Colombia including — Bajaj,
Hero, TVS and Royal Enfield which race past Suzuki, Yamaha, AKT, KTM, etc., on the
Colombian roads.
“Bajaj and TVS three-wheelers can also be sighted in small towns- this mainly on
account of Colombian law which restricts such vehicles to ferry passengers in areas with
a population of less than 55,000. This rule has no scientific basis. Mahindra and
Mahindra pickup trucks are popular in “Eje Cafétero” – Coffee producing region- due to
their robustness. And, its crossovers and SUVs are attracting attention due to design
and price advantage. This is significant as they face stiff competition from the US,
European, Japanese, Korean, Chinese automakers.”
India also has a growing share in pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, textiles – fabrics,
accessories to make the Colombia textile sector more attractive and competitive. The
Indian IT companies have earned a good name and employ thousands of Colombians in
Bogota and Medellin.
According to the diplomat, the new drivers of Indian exports to this market could be e-
vehicle, undertake EPCs projects and add financing the incentive to make the bids
attractive, biotech, solar energy, the services sector- invest in hospitality and tourism.
What about the Hydrocarbons sector?
Colombia is a member of the OECD since June last year. The current regional oil
production situation remains uncertain and demands that India scale up existing
hydrocarbon investments in Colombia. And the Indian investors will find a welcoming
environment.
Home
GDP growth overestimated during 2011-17, says former CEA Arvind
Subramanian
(Source: The Hindu, June 11, 2019)
In a research paper, Arvind Subramanian attributes the overestimation to a change in
methodology for calculating the Gross Domestic Product
Former Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Arvind Subramanian has said India’s GDP
growth in the period 2011-12 to 2016-17 is likely to have been over-estimated, and the
tag of fastest-growing major economy may not hold.
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13 CITI-NEWS LETTER
In a research paper, ‘India’s GDP Mis-estimation: Likelihood, Magnitudes, Mechanisms,
and Implications’, published by Harvard University, Mr. Subramanian has argued that
GDP growth during that period was actually 4.5% rather than the 7% presented by the
official data.
“India changed its data sources and methodology for estimating real gross domestic
product (GDP) for the period since 2011-12,” he writes in his paper, ‘India’s GDP Mis-
estimation: Likelihood, Magnitudes, Mechanisms, and Implications’, published by the
Center for International Development at Harvard University.
“This paper shows that this change has led to a significant overestimation of growth,”
the paper adds. “Official estimates place annual average GDP growth between 2011-12
and 2016-17 at 7%. We estimate that actual growth may have been about 4.5%, with a
95% confidence interval of 3.5-5.5%.”
Responding to Mr Subramanian's paper, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation late on Tuesday evening reiterated its stance that the methodology
adopted was in line with international standards as set by the United Nations and was as
such robust.
17 indicators
Mr Subramanian, whose term as CEA from October 2014 to June 2018 coincided in part
with this period of "overestimation", stressed that his paper deals with the technical
origins of the GDP overestimation and not the political aspects of it.
He argued that one of the problems with the new methodology for calculating GDP
growth since 2011 was that the growth numbers no longer correlated with other
indicators of economic growth such as electricity consumption, two-wheeler sales,
airline passenger traffic, index of industrial production, and export figures, to name a
few.
One of the problems highlighted by the former CEA was that growth numbers no longer
correlated with other indicators of economic growth such as electricity consumption,
two-wheeler sales, airline passenger traffic, index of industrial production, and export
figures, to name a few.
In total, Mr Subramanian looked at 17 such indicators and found that “the correlations
between most indicators and GDP growth broke down in the post-2011 period”.
Methodological issues
Former Chief Statistician of India and expert on India’s GDP calculations Pronab Sen
countered Mr. Subramanian’s thesis, arguing that it is the result largely of the
methodology.
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14 CITI-NEWS LETTER
“If you think about GDP growth, it can come from three distinct factors,” Dr. Sen
explained. “One is growth in volumes, the amount that is produced. The second is
growth in productivity, and the third is improvement in product quality. What Arvind
has done is that the indicators he has used are all volume indicators, and having done
that, he has said they were very strongly correlated prior to 2011 but not after that
period.”
The reason for this breakdown in correlation, Dr. Sen explained, is precisely because the
shift in methodology in 2011 meant that the value of goods and services were now
considered to estimate growth and not their volume.
“In estimating the growth of the high-frequency indicators pre-2011, he has in a sense
replicated the method in which the GDP growth was calculated during that period, and
then said that there is a correlation between these indicators and GDP growth,” Dr. Sen
said. “Post 2011, when we moved to value indicators from volume indicators, the
relationship is weaker because the other two drivers would start getting picked up by the
values.”
“If he had made the statement that in the post-2011 growth, only 4.5% came from
volumes and the remaining 2.5% came from other factors which we don’t know, then
that would have been correct,” Dr Sen added.
Impact of prices
Mr Subramanian also argued that the shift in 2011 to using values rather than volumes
meant that price changes, especially in important inputs such as oil, would have started
to have a big impact on the final growth number.
“Under the old, establishment-based GDP estimates, price changes mattered less
because real growth numbers were largely based on volumes not values,” Mr.
Subramanian says. “Under the new system, however, values had to be deflated by prices
to get real magnitudes. And this mattered crucially for the manufacturing sector where
the often-dramatic changes in oil prices can heavily influence input costs”
Dr Sen also acknowledged that this problem with the new methodology should be
addressed. However, he pointed out that while price changes did have an effect now, the
direction of that impact was not evident. So, to say that there was only an over-
estimation of GDP growth would not be correct. Gauging the effect of price changes on
GDP growth using the new methodology would be a different exercise, separate from the
one Mr Subramanian has conducted, Dr Sen said.
“Earlier, prices didn’t matter, as he said,” Dr. Sen said. “But it’s not obvious that the
direction of error is constant. When oil prices are falling, then you would be over-stating
GDP, but when they are rising, you would be under-stating GDP.”
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15 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Mr Subramanian’s paper also points towards the fact that the way the informal sector in
India was measured was using formal sector proxies, which was an increasingly
inaccurate approach. This, too, is a correct assessment, according to Dr Sen, who said
this problem has become even more acute post-demonetisation, when the informal
sector’s growth fell away.
“But remember that the period Arvind is talking about is pre-demonetisation, so this
argument I don’t think applies with as much force then,” Dr. Sen said.
Mr. Subramanian derives several implications from the findings of his paper. The first is
that growth needed to be restored to high levels. The second that the quality and
integrity of data in India needs to be improved, something called for by several other
economists. And the third is that “India must restore the reputational damage suffered
to data generation in India across the board”.
He also called for the creation of a taskforce to revisit the entire methodology and
implementation of GDP estimation.
Home
What’s India’s true growth rate? Govt stands by its estimates as former CEA
questions GDP data
(Source: Money Control, June 12, 2019)
In the paper, Subramanian, who quit as the CEA in June last year, seeks to
estimate the Indian economy’s growth by posing some basic questions: how
often are people buying cars? Are companies and individuals borrowing
more or less during a given period?
The government on June 11, 2019, stoutly defended India’s official growth estimates,
strongly arguing that these were backed by a statistically rigorous method that both the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank has validated.
“GDP (gross domestic product) growth projections brought out by various national and
international agencies are broadly in line with the estimates released by MOSPI
(Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation). The GDP estimates released by
the Ministry are based on accepted procedures, methodologies and available data and
objectively measure the contribution of various sectors in the economy,” MOSPI said in
a late evening statement.
MOSPI’s statement came after former chief economic adviser (CEA) Arvind
Subramanian in a new research paper suggested that India’s “real” or inflation-adjusted
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16 CITI-NEWS LETTER
GDP may have grown at an average 4.5 percent in the years between 2011-12 and 2016-
17, instead of about the 7 percent average as shown by official data.
These six years are evenly spread between two regimes, with three years each falling
between the Manmohan Singh-led UPA 2 government (2009-14) and the Narendra
Modi-led NDA 2 government (2014-19).
The Indian economy probably grew at an annual average of 4.5 percent during 2011-12
to 2016-17, and not sizzled at 7 percent as the government’s number crunchers had put
out.
“The results in the paper suggest that the heady narrative of a guns-blazing India must
cede to a more realistic one of an economy growing solidly but not spectacularly,” he
said in the paper.
Hours later, the government, rebutted Subramanian’s claims stating that “the
methodology of compilation of macroaggregates has been discussed in detail by the
Advisory Committee on National Accounts Statistics (ACNAS) comprising experts from
academia, National Statistical Commission, Indian Statistical Institute (ISI), Reserve
Bank of India (RBI), Ministries of Finance, Corporate Affairs, Agriculture, NITI Aayog
and selected State Governments."
The decisions taken by these committees are unanimous and collective after taking into
consideration the data availability and methodological aspects before recommending
the most appropriate approach, it said.
Subramanian’s paper added a fresh round to an ongoing controversy surrounding
India’s national income calculations.
Gross Domestic Product or GDP, by definition, represents the total value of all the final
goods and services that are produced within a country's borders within a particular time
period, typically a year or a quarter.
It can be calculated by using three methods—the supply or production method, the
income method and the demand or expenditure method and by definition the value of
GDP should be identical, irrespective of the method used.
This is because one person’s or entity’s income is another person’s spending on
expenditure. For instance, what households spend in buying provisions at a local store is
the shop owner’s income. Likewise, an employee’s salary is what his/her company
spends. In the final national income calculations, the income of all individuals will be
equivalent to the spending of all.
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17 CITI-NEWS LETTER
The base year of the national accounts is chosen to enable inter-year comparisons. It
gives an idea about changes in purchasing power and allows calculation of inflation-
adjusted growth estimates.
The new series has changed the base to 2011-12 from 2004-05. Every national accounts
dataset gives GDP calculations for two years: 2011-12 and the current year.
A decision to change the GDP calculation method was taken during the UPA-II years.
The NDA government launched the first set of data, giving out levels of GDP and growth
rates from 2011-12.
The key points of dispute, including those raised by Subramanian, have arisen only after
the new method was adopted effective from 2011-12.
In the previous method, the index of industrial production (IIP) or factory output was
the main measure to calculate manufacturing and trading activity.
The limitation was, that this only counted volume and did not give an idea about value.
For instance, in the old method, the number of motorcycles produced in the plant was
counted, as opposed to the motorcycles’ value that the plant rolled out.
In the communication sector, telecom subscriber base was used in the old sector as
compared to minutes of usage in the new formula.
Previously, the first GDP estimates were based on IIP data. It was updated every two
years factoring in data from the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI). ASI only gave out
goods’ value produced by firms registered under the Factories Act.
Now, the corporate affairs ministry’s MCA 21 records a wide-ranging compilation of
balance sheet data of lakhs of firms.
The use of MCA 21 records for national income calculations have brought to light a
segment of organised activity, which was earlier, for the most part, invisible. This is the
lower end of the corporate segment. These are companies not listed on stock exchanges
and virtually left out of national income calculations.
The new method adopts a gross value added (GVA)-based approach as compared to a
pre-dominantly volume-based calculation previously.
GVA, which is GDP minus taxes, serves as a more realistic proxy to measure changes in
the aggregate value of goods and services produced in the economy.
Earlier, the IIP served as the primary metric to gauge manufacturing and trading
activity. The problem was, it only counted the number of units produced and did not
distinguish, between, say the value of a luxury car and an entry-level hatchback. It is
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18 CITI-NEWS LETTER
possible that factory output would have remained stagnant over a period of time, but its
value would have multiplied.
One can keep selling the same number of cars, but keep improving the quality so the
value goes up. An even better example than cars is computers. A purely output-based
method would not be able to capture the innovations and the value additions in such
products and industrial activity.
The GVA method also factors in value addition and economic action carried out by
activities such as marketing. Such activity can be of very high value in case of large
FMCG companies.
Subramanian’s main question is about the correlation between say growth in bank credit
and car sales weakening considerably after 2011-12, raising questions about the
statistical robustness of the new model.
Simply put, Subramanian’s argument raises a basic question: How come India is still
growing at 7 percent though bank credit has been growing only at 9 percent since 2014?
Subramanian’s view about a weak correlation among proxy indicators such as car sales
and bank borrowing after 2011-12, however, runs contrary to some other experts’
opinion who point out evidence to the opposite.
Such an argument assumes that India’s growth is highly credit-dependent, almost one
for one.
In an article in Mint, Apoorva Javadekar, an assistant professor of finance at the Indian
School of Business (ISB), has contended such an argument was deeply flawed for several
reasons.
Javadekar has produced evidence where bank credit and GDP growth diverged during
multiple periods even using the older GDP calculation method.
“Between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the corresponding quarter of 2009, bank
credit growth tumbled from 26 percent year-on-year to 11 percent, but GDP growth rose
from around 3 percent in the first quarter of 2009 to 11 percent in the same quarter of
2010,” Javadekar pointed out.
Importantly, the correlation between bank credit and corporate and individual finance
has been weakening also because of the rise in the shadow banks of non-banking finance
companies (NBFCs).
According to Javadekar, more than 50 percent of new corporate funding is coming from
non-bank sources—either equity, non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) or foreign
debt. “Hence, one cannot expect a very strong link between bank lending and corporate
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19 CITI-NEWS LETTER
investment. The bottom line is that bank credit is not a great variable to smell the level
of GDP growth,” he said in the article.
The government has responded to Subramanian’s paper by saying that as with any
international standard, the data requirements are immense and diverse economies like
India take time to evolve the relevant data sources before they can be fully aligned with
the System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA) requirements.
SNA is the latest version of the international statistical standard for the national
accounts, adopted by the United Nations.
“In absence of data, alternate proxy sources or statistical surveys are used to estimate
the contribution of various sectors to the GDP/GVA,” the MOSPI statement said.
The SNA also prescribes that the base year of the estimates may be revised at periodic
intervals so that changes in the economic environment, advances in methodological
research and the needs of users are appropriately captured.
Base year revisions, MOSPI said, not only use latest data from censuses and surveys, but
they also incorporate information from administrative data that have become more
robust over time.
Home
After 12 revenue officers, more may face the heat
(Source: Economic Times, June 11, 2019)
Allegations against some of the officers who were compulsorily retired on Monday range
from extortion and forging a will to helping late godman Chandraswami.
The government, which compulsorily retired 12 revenue service officers for misconduct
and corruption, hasn’t ruled out more action under similar provisions. Allegations
against some of the officers who were compulsorily retired on Monday range from
extortion and forging a will to helping late godman Chandraswami. On the other hand,
Reserve Bank of India board member S Gurumurthy on Tuesday tweeted in support of
one officer, SK Srivastava, who he said was one of the “very few capable investigators
and legal brains” in the Income Tax Department. Action taken against the 12 officers on
Monday afternoon was prompted by the government’s resolve to clean up the system
and send a strong message that it will not spare those who are tainted or not
performing. “Further action under this provision is not ruled out,” a government official
said. The government has taken measures to improve tax administration and reduce the
scope for discretion in decisions to lessen corruption and harassment of taxpayers.
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20 CITI-NEWS LETTER
The government invoked clause ‘j’ of Rule 56 of the Fundamental Rules to retire the 12
officers The rules allow if deemed in public interest the appropriate authority absolute
right to retire any government servant by giving notice of less than three months in
writing or three months’ pay and allowances in lieu. Gurumurthy said in his tweet, “If
reports I hear are true that Sanjay Shrivastava a totally honest, courageous IT
commissioner who exposed the NDTV fraud & fought PC Chidambaram for 15 yrs, bore
all persecution, is being compulsory retired, it means Lutyens, PC & NDTV lobbies are
still at work in this govt.” He also tweeted, “Since Shrivastava has been sacked PC,
NDTV have got hopes to escape. He had been behind most action against them. IT dept
has very few capable investigators & legal brains like him. To club Shrivastava with
corrupt is the biggest joke. Great injustice.” However, finance ministry officials
defended their action, saying the officers faced serious charges. Some have been under
the scanner of the Central Bureau of Investigation for holding disproportionate assets
and others face criminal cases for forgery. One senior revenue service officer has been
charged with lapses and irregularities in his administrative work and has been accused
of sexually harassing two senior lady revenue service officers. This officer was known to
threaten senior officers and level unsubstantiated allegations against them, using
slanderous language, said a ministry official who did not wish to be identified.
Home
India-UK Sports Alliance to encourage greater bilateral trade
(Source: Business Standard, June 11, 2019)
The UK government on Tuesday brought together business leaders from high-profile
sporting companies based in India and the UK to showcase international trade
opportunities in London as part of a new India-UK Sports Alliance.
The UK's Department for International Trade said the India-UK sports delegation will
showcase opportunities for British sporting exporters during the ongoing 2019
Cricket World Cup in England.
Latest data released by DIT shows exports of sporting goods to India increased by 30.6
per cent in 2018, with overall exports of British sporting equipment at an all-time high
and rising by 10 per cent to 500 million pounds last year.
The UK wants to be India's partner in delivering world class sporting events using our
experience and expertise gained from delivering some of the biggest global sports events
in the world, UK's Secretary of State for International Trade Liam Fox said.
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21 CITI-NEWS LETTER
There are significant benefits of hosting large sporting events to local economies. By
showcasing the success of British business at the Cricket World Cup, the UK stands
ready and able to help our Indian sporting partners realise their own success, he said.
The DIT noted that India is already the UK's 11th largest export market outside of the
EU and accounts for 7.5 billion pounds of existing investment in the UK.
Bilateral trade is valued at more than 20.5 billion pounds per year and estimates show
that the Indian sports market can become a USD 10 billion industry by 2026.
This means there is exponential potential for growth in British sports exports to the
region, DIT said.
Representatives from Indian commercial giant Reliance Industries, part of the Indian
sports delegation, welcomed the India-UK Sports Alliance organised by the DIT
in London and said that it would help broaden the scope of our relationships in the UK
with both the wider sports sector and policymakers.
Sundar Raman, Chief Executive Officer of Reliance Sports, said: Reliance Sports has had
strong connections with the UK since inception particularly the partnership between
the Indian Super League and the Premier League, which was renewed again earlier this
year.
This is an exciting time of exponential growth in India's sports sector, and I am pleased
that the UK government and businesses are engaging with us to strengthen bilateral
trading relationships, Raman said.
Premier League Interim Chief Executive, Richard Masters, said that the
English football league is keen to develop existing relationships in India and identify
new ones.
He also highlighted that the Premier League has worked extremely closely with
the Indian Super League (ISL) and other organisations for more than a decade to
support the growth of football in India.
Earlier this year we brought the first Football Development Week to Mumbai, in
conjunction with the ISL, the DIT and Star Sports. This provided a great opportunity for
our clubs to share their knowledge with coaches and young players from across India,
Masters said.
Home
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22 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Sitharaman holds pre-Budget consultation with industry, trade
representatives
(Source: Business Standard, June 11, 2019)
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday started her pre-Budget
consultations here with different stakeholder groups in connection with the
forthcoming General Budget 2019-20.
After her first meeting with the stakeholder groups from agriculture and rural
development sectors, Sitharaman met with representatives from industry, trade and
services sectors in the second meeting.
In her opening remarks, Sitharaman said that the central government has taken several
industry specific initiatives since 2014 that had significantly improved the overall
business environment, read a statement from the ministry.
She said that the emphasis was given to simplification and rationalisation of the existing
rules and introduction of Information Technology to make governance more efficient
and effective. As a result, the Finance Minister said that India has considerably
improved its ranking to 77th position among 190 countries and has kept 23 ranks over
its rank of 100 in the Doing Business Report 2018 as per the World Bank Doing
Business (DB) Report, 2019, the statement from the ministry added.
Sitharaman also mentioned that since 24 per cent of the total work force in India is in
the industrial sector, in order to reap the benefits of demographic dividend, industry
should be able to accommodate more work force.
The meeting was also attended by Anurag Thakur, Minister of State for Finance and
Corporate Affairs, Subhash C Garg, Finance Secretary, Girish Chandra Murmu,
Expenditure Secretary, Ajay Narayan Pandey, Revenue Secretary, Rajeev Kumar,
Secretary, DFS, Atanu Chakraborty, Secretary, DIPAM, Yogendra Tripathi, Secretary,
Ministry of Tourism, Amit Khare, Secretary, Ministry of Information and Broadcasting,
Ramesh Abhishek, Secretary, Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal
Trade, Anup Wadhawan, Secretary, Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce
and Industry, Pramod Chandra Mody, Chairman, CBDT, PK Das, Chairman, CBIC, KV
Subramanian, CEA and other senior officials of the Ministry of Finance.
With a view to give boost to the Indian economy, the representatives of industry,
services and trade sectors submitted several suggestions concerning industrial sector,
land reforms, special economic zones, industrial policy, investment in research and
development, simplification of tax regimes, tapping potential in tourism sector, Foreign
Direct Investment (FDI), Goods and Services Tax (GST), Capital Gains Tax, Corporate
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23 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Tax, MSME Sector, e-commerce, skill development, education and healthcare sectors,
start-ups, media and entertainment sector and food manufacturing industry.
Representatives of industry, services and trade sectors included Vikram S Kirloskar,
President, Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), Balkrishan Goenka, President,
ASSOCHAM, Sandip Somany, President, FICCI, Pramod Agrawal, chairman, Gem &
Jewellery Export Promotion Council, Animesh Saxena, president, Federation of Indian
Micro and Small & Medium Enterprises (FISME), Ajit Kumar, Director, Hinduja Group,
Rajni Aggarwal, President, Federation of Indian Women Entrepreneurs (FIWE),
Panaruna Aqeel Ahmed, Chairman, Council for Leather Exports, Florence Shoe Co. Pvt.
Ltd, Rahul Bothra, CFO, Swiggy, Bundl Technologies Pvt. Ltd, Ajay
Sahai, Director General and CEO, Federation of Indian Export Organisations, Raj Nair,
President, IMC Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Gopal Srinivasan, Chairman, TVS
Capital Fund Pvt. Ltd, PR Venketrama Raja, Vice Chairman, MD and CEO, Ramco
Systems, Sachin Taparia, Chairman and CEO, local Circles India Pvt Ltd.
Home
New textile processing cluster with zero-discharge units
(Source: The Hindu, June 11, 2019)
To boost eco-friendly trade, especially with other countries
A textile processing cluster is all set to be established at a private industrial estate at
Thamaraipatti in Virudhunagar district to reduce environmental impact of textile
processing.
“Everyone loves bright white shirts and coloured fabrics but the environmental impact
that comes with the process of manufacturing them is damaging,” Project Director of
Southern Districts Textile Processing Cluster K. R. Gnanasambandam told The Hindu.
To promote more inclusive and eco-friendly garment production, 36 textile processing
units had agreed to be part of the cluster that would spread over 104 acres, he added.
The cluster would comprise textile units where 96% of the water used for processing
would be recycled. “The remaining water, which is primarily dye-based, will evaporate.
Steam will not pollute the environment. Sediments, which contain a large amount of
limestone, will be shipped to cement factories,” he said.
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24 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Primary operations at the processing units would include bleaching, dyeing and
spinning different types of yarn. The units would deal with a variety of fabrics, but
primarily focus on cotton, silk and jute, he said.
A sum of ₹ 200 crore had been allocated for the projected under the Ministry of
Textile’s Integrated Processing Development Scheme (IPDS). While the Centre would
bear 50% of the cost, the State and private industry promoters would contribute 25%
each, he added.
Mr. Gnanasambandam said more textile processing industries were moving towards
environment-friendly means of conducting business, because the European Union, one
of the largest importers of Indian textile, expected a certification stating that the
garments were produced without causing environmental damage.
The units’ zero waste design also had the approval of researchers at the Indian Institute
of Technology – Madras, he said, adding, “The foundation stone for the cluster will be
laid in a month.”
Office-bearers of different organisations, including Madurai District Tiny and Small-
Scale Industries Association president K. P. Murugan, welcomed the project and said
such initiatives would lead to more job creation.
Home
Labour dept warns employers over seating for staff
(Source: The Hindu, June 11, 2019)
The Labour Department has warned of stringent action against employers who fail to
provide seating arrangements for their staff as per the directions issued earlier.
Labour officers in Ernakulam inspected nine textile and commercial establishments in
the district on Tuesday to ascertain whether employees had been provided with
adequate seating arrangements.
K. Sreelal, Regional Joint Labour Commissioner, said directives had been issued to the
employers who were found to have not provided seating arrangements. “We will initiate
prosecution steps against the violators, if the fail to implement the directives,” he said.
The government had made it clear that employees cannot be forced to stand for long
hours during their work and employers should make arrangements to ensure seating
arrangements for their staff.
Home
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25 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Gail moves appellate court to challenge Alok Industries resolution plan
(Source: Economic Times, June 11, 2019)
Gail has opposed the resolution plan because it did not consider the government-owned
gas and petrochemical company’s claims.
A joint resolution plan submitted by JM Financial NSE 0.45 % Asset Reconstruction Co
Ltd and Reliance Industries NSE 0.76 % to take over distressed textiles company Alok
Industries NSE -3.95 % has hit a roadblock after Gail NSE -0.39 % India, an operational
creditor to Alok, challenged the plan before an appellate court.
In a petition filed before the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) in
Delhi on May 27, Gail has opposed the resolution plan because it did not consider the
government-owned gas and petrochemical company’s claims, people familiar with the
development said. The appellate tribunal will hear the matter on July 16. The
development is likely to further delay the resolution plan for the Mumbai-based fully
integrated textile company that was in the Reserve Bank of India’s first list of 12 large
corporate debtors to be referred for insolvency proceedings, released in 2017. “Gail was
not in the picture when the resolution plan was finalised,” a banker involved in the
process said. “It came in late and has filed a petition to be considered. It has claimed
outstanding dues of Rs 506 crore, but the total amount that operational creditors got
was just Rs 4.3 crore in the approved plan so it remains to be seen whether Gail gets
anything.” In March, National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), Ahmedabad had
approved the sole JMRIL joint bid. The bid amount was Rs 5,000 crore, just above the
Rs 4,500 crore liquidation value of Alok. The company owes lenders a total of Rs 30,000
crore, which means they are taking a haircut of a whopping 83%.
State-run GAIL India has argued that while submitting the revival plan the resolution
applicant didn’t give equal weightage to the operational creditors. Bankers however said
the amount of recovery is too small to consider anything for non-financial creditors.
“The resolution plan submitted by the resolution applicant (JM Financial-RIL) is totally
silent towards the operational creditors and that is against the spirit of the law,” said
one of the persons privy to the development. “Gail has challenged the resolution plan,
approved by the National Company Law Tribunal.” Gail has made Ajay Joshi, resolution
professional (RP) of Alok Industries, as one of the respondents of the case. Joshi did not
respond to messages on his mobile phone as of press time Monday. The banker quoted
earlier said, “Operational creditors below Rs 3 lakh were accommodated in the plan.
GAIL was a large supplier and so it wasn’t on the list.” Nishant Awana, partner at law
firm NMA Law Chambers, who is advising Gail India in the matter, declined to
comment since the matter is sub judice.
Home
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26 CITI-NEWS LETTER
Govt planning new labour legislation by merging 44 laws under 4 categories
(Source: Economic Times, June 12, 2019)
The Modi government is planning a new labour legislation that would merge 44 labour
laws under four categories.
Aimed at helping investors and accelerating growth, the Modi government is planning a
new labour legislation that would merge 44 labour laws under four categories-- wages,
social security, industrial safety & welfare, and industrial relations. The decision has
been taken at an interministerial meeting chaired by Home Minister Amit Shah and
attended by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, Labour Minister Santosh Gangwar,
Commerce and Railway Minister Piyush Goyal among others. "A new Labour Bill will be
introduced in the coming session of the Parliament," Gangwar told reporters Tuesday
after the hour-long meeting. Gangwar said the draft bill will be placed before the Union
Cabinet after which it will be introduced in Lok Sabha, possibly in the second week of
the coming Parliament session. "All major labour unions in the country were consulted
by the government for the new labour laws," he said. The four categories will deal with
wages, social security, industrial safety and welfare, and industrial relations, an official
said.
It is expected that the laws related to social security, including the Employees' Provident
Fund and Miscellaneous Provisions Act, Employees' State Insurance Corporation Act,
Maternity Benefits Act, Building and Other Construction Workers Act and the
Employees' Compensation Act will be merged to create a single social security law or
code. Several industrial safety and welfare laws such as the Factories Act, the Mines Act
and the Dock Workers (Safety, Health and Welfare) Act, will be merged to create a
single category on industrial safety and welfare. The Minimum Wages Act, the Payment
of Wages Act, the Payment of Bonus Act, the Equal Remuneration Act and a few others
are likely to be merged. The Labour Code on Industrial Relations will combine
Industrial Disputes Act, 1947, the Trade Unions Act, 1926, and the Industrial
Employment (Standing Orders) Act, 1946. The proposed new labour law will help
investors and is expected to accelerate growth, another official said.
Home
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27 CITI-NEWS LETTER
GLOBAL:
Will respond firmly if US raises trade tension: Chinese foreign ministry
(Source: Reuters, June 12, 2019)
On Monday, Trump said he was ready to impose another round of punitive tariffs on
Chinese imports if he cannot make progress in trade talks with Xi in Osaka
China will respond firmly if the United States insists on escalating trade tensions,
the foreign ministry said on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said further
tariffs were ready to kick in if no deal was reached at a G20 summit this month.
Trump has repeatedly said he is getting ready to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping at
the Osaka summit at the end of June, but China has not confirmed it.
Trump said last week he would decide after the meeting of the leaders of the world's
largest economies whether to carry out a threat to impose tariffs on at least $300 billion
in Chinese goods.
On Monday, Trump said he was ready to impose another round of punitive tariffs on
Chinese imports if he cannot make progress in trade talks with Xi in Osaka.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang again would not be drawn on
confirming a Xi-Trump meeting at G20, saying information would be released once it
was available to the ministry.
"China does not want to fight a trade war, but we are not afraid of fighting a trade war,"
he said, adding China's door was open to talks based on equality.
"If the United States only wants to escalate trade frictions, we will resolutely respond
and fight to the end." U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Tuesday downplayed
this month's summit in Japan, saying it would not be "a place where anyone makes a
definitive deal." "At the G20, at most it will be ... some sort of agreement on a path
forward, but certainly it's not going to be a definite agreement," Ross told CNBC in a
television interview.
Tensions between Washington and Beijing rose sharply in May after the Trump
administration accused China of having reneged on promises to make structural
economic changes during months of trade talks.
The United States is seeking sweeping changes, including an end to forced technology
transfers and theft of US trade secrets. It also wants curbs on subsidies for Chinese
state-owned enterprises and better access for U.S. firms in Chinese markets.
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28 CITI-NEWS LETTER
On May 10, Trump raised tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods up to 25% and took
steps to levy duties on an additional $300 billion in Chinese imports. Beijing retaliated
with tariff hikes on a revised list of $60 billion in US goods.
The US government has also angered China by putting Huawei Technologies Co Ltd on a
blacklist that effectively bans US companies from doing business with the Chinese firm,
the world's biggest telecoms equipment maker.
Investors worry China will retaliate by putting US companies on a blacklist or banning
exports to the United States of rare earth metals, which are used in products such as
memory chips, rechargeable batteries and cell phones.
President Donald Trump said he’s personally holding up a trade deal with China, and
that he won’t complete the agreement unless Beijing returns to terms negotiated earlier
in the year.
“It’s me right now that’s holding up the deal,” Trump said. “And we’re going to either do
a great deal with China or we’re not going to do a deal at all.”
Last month, the US accused China of reneging on provisions of a tentative trade deal,
bringing talks to a halt. “We had a deal with China and unless they go back to that deal I
have no interest,” Trump said. Trump’s comments came a day after he threatened to
raise tariffs on China if President Xi Jinping doesn’t meet with him at the upcoming
Group of 20 summit in Japan.
Home
Apparel buying houses asked to get registered with DoT
(Source: New Age Business, June 12, 2019)
The government has recently directed all the buying houses in the garment and textile
sector in Bangladesh to get registered with the Department of Textiles to run business in
the country.
In a gazette notification issued on May 28, the textiles and jute ministry said that as per
the section 14 of Textile Act 2018, all the buying houses must have to be registered with
the DoT within 60 days of the issuance of the notification.
The ministry also said that if any buying house sought time extension with valid reasons,
the registrar could allow 60 more days.
If any buying house fails to obtain registration on time, the government will take legal
action against the company as per law.
According to the Textile Act 2018, the Department of Textiles is the sponsoring
authority of all textile and clothing industries. The buying houses will have to get
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29 CITI-NEWS LETTER
registered with the department for running their business in the country.
Earlier, on April 1, the ministry issued a gazette notification detailing what would be the
procedure for the registration of buying houses with the DoT.
It said that the buying houses would have to file application with the DoT with the
documents of updated trade licence, income tax certificate, certificate of incorporation
as limited company, estimated yearly turnover and bank solvency certificate.
The ministry has set Tk 20,000 as fee for the registration and it would have to be paid
through bank draft or pay order.
Subject to receiving documents and if necessary, inspection report, the registrar would
give registration within 60 days of submitting application and the validity of the
registration certificate would be three years.
‘All the buying houses with local and foreign investment and liaison offices of buyers
and brands will have to come under registration and it is a good initiative to bring the
sector under regulation,’ Bangladesh Garment Buying House Association president Kazi
Iftequer Hossain told New Age on Monday.
Many of the buying houses are running their business in the country unregulated and
the government does not know how many companies are working in the sector, he said.
‘There are some foreign buyers who work with Bangladeshi readymade garment
factories through their liaison offices and if they use any unfair means, we cannot take
any action against them as they remain outside the purview of regulations,’ Iftequer
said.
He said that all the companies who were working in the sector would have to comply
with the laws of land and the government initiative to bring buying houses under
registration would ensure accountability of the companies.
According to the Bangladesh Garment Buying House Association, there are more than
1,200 buying houses operating in the country. Of them, around 400 are members of the
association.
Since April 1 this year, 10 buying houses got registered with the DoT.
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Pakistan:Rs100mn allocated for Commerce, Rs202.828mn for Textile in
PSDP
(Source: Business Recorder, June 11, 2019)
The government has allocated Rs 100 million for one new scheme of the Ministry
of Commerce and Rs. 202. 828 million for Textiles Industry Division in one on-
going and two new schemes in Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) 2019-
20 for the promotion of trade and commerce in the country.
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According to the details, the government has allocated Rs 100 million for re modeling
and expansion of Karachi Expo Centre, Component -1 to develop and promote the local
industry and to attract the foreign and local investment in the country.
The total estimated cost of the Karachi Expo Centre, Component -1 Rs 2677.430 million.
Meanwhile, Rs 2.828 million has been earmarked for Faisalabad garments city training
Centre, Faisalabad and also Rs 100 million for 1000 Industrial stitching Units (All over
Pakistan) in two on-going schemes in PSDP-2019-20.
The government has also allocated Rs. 202.828 million in PSDP 2019-20 for the
establishment of Faisalabad garments city (Phase-II) Faisalabad in one new scheme.
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Tintex Textiles joins United Nations Global Compact
(Source: Fibre2Fashion, June 11, 2019)
Sharing the responsibility to achieve a better world, Tintex Textiles has joined the
United Nations Global Compact initiative. By sharing common conviction with
thousands of like-minded companies Tintex – as a business reality constantly striving
for a responsible change in textiles – is concretely contributing to a more stable and
inclusive global market.
The United Nations Global Compact initiative is a voluntary leadership platform for the
development, implementation and disclosure of responsible business practices. It is a
real demonstration of the 'Naturally Advanced' ongoing commitment to responsible
business action. Expertly controlled processing, and advanced dyeing and finishing
solutions drive material innovation to create responsible supply chains to transform
fashion systems.
“Being part of the UN Global Compact means to publically commit with all the
principles that are the basis of our business," Ana Silva Tavares, head of sustainability.
Tintex's department of sustainability optimises fashion solutions that not only provide
high performance nature based textiles, but enable Tintex to rise as a global leader
striving towards superior responsible fashion systems that are transparent and fully
traceable throughout the supply chain.
"We strongly believe that transparency and traceability are paramount in today’s
business landscape, indeed, we have established a framework for the entire complex
supply chain, products, processes and suppliers. To achieve qualitatively better and less
impactful results is crucial to implement a structured strategical plan that foresees
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31 CITI-NEWS LETTER
innovative approach, smart sourcing and ongoing research and development continuous
experimentation, shared and interconnected internal actions and the ability to move and
to react faster to the market needs," Tintex said in a press release.
“Working and challenging ourselves every day we get to know that a real change can
only start from a mindset change – which is clearly the most difficult thing to do for a
company but definitely the most important for a long-term success," continued Tavares.
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Old bread becomes new textiles
(Source: Physics.org, June 11, 2019)
Is it possible to create textiles from old bread? Akram Zamani, senior lecturer in
resource recycling at the University of Borås, wants to find out. And she has already
come a long way. "We have seen that much of the food waste from grocery storesis
from bread and therefore we wanted to see how we could turn it into a new product,"
says Akram Zamani. Filamentous fungi will be grown on bread waste in bioreactors, and
will then be used in two different processes to create yarn and to produce nonwoven
textiles (see fact box). "When the bread has become a biomass of fungi, we remove the
protein which in turn can be used as food or animal feed. We use the cell wall fibres that
remain of the fungi partly to spin a yarn, and partly to create nonwoven fabrics."
"We have done a large part of the cultivation already, and it has worked well, so now we
are working on a wet spinning process to create yarn, and test different methods to
improve the yarn's properties," she says.
It is hoped that the fungus will be able to be transformed and used for clothing, medical
applications, or furniture textiles. During the first two years, the product will be made
on a smaller scale, in order to be scaled up during the third and fourth years.
Unique research
"There is no previous research on this; therefore it is difficult to know what to expect,"
says Akram Zamani and continues: "We get the bread from a local grocery store, and we
are able to collect as much as we need, which gives us the opportunity to test different
things and make sure it becomes a good product."
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