33
Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10- 20 Years Matthew J. Seidel, MD Patrick P. Lin, MD Valerae O. Lewis, MD Christopher P.Cannon, MD Alan W. Yasko, MD

Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

  • Upload
    morton

  • View
    30

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years. Matthew J. Seidel, MD Patrick P. Lin, MD Valerae O. Lewis, MD Christopher P.Cannon, MD Alan W. Yasko, MD. Literature. Goal of Study. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis

Prognostic Factors and Survival

Analysis at 10-20 Years

Matthew J. Seidel, MD

Patrick P. Lin, MD

Valerae O. Lewis, MD

Christopher P.Cannon, MD

Alan W. Yasko, MD

Page 2: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Literature

Author/Yr #Pts Follow-up 10-Yr Surv Pelvic only?

Comment

Pring 2001 64 12 yr med97% (gr1), 75%(gr2), 14%(DD)

YFew High-Grade (1-gr 3, 7-DD)

Berg 2001 69 13 yr mean 67% NNot all resected; sacrum, spine included

Mochizuki 2000

135 3.9 yr mean 65% NShort f/u, data by stage, sacrum included

Ozaki 1997 31 5.5 yr med 45% YShort f/u, small #pts, data by stage

Sheth 1996 67 9.6 yr med -- YRecurrent tumors included

Page 3: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Goal of Study

• Define long-term oncologic outcome and prognostic factors for chondrosarcoma arising in the pelvic bones

Page 4: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Study Design

• Pelvic chondrosarcoma • Surgically treated with curative intent• Minimum 5 year f/u for living patients

– 5 year potential f/u for deceased patients

• Exclusion:– Sacral epicenter– Recurrent presentation– Metastatic presentation– Prior resection/surgery (other than biopsy)

Page 5: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Data Collection

• Retrospective medical record review including operative, pathology, and radiology reports– Demographics

– Tumor grade, size, location, physical characteristics

– Surgical type and margins

– Timing and location of local recurrence and metastasis

• Long-term data from clinical follow-up, phone call, or letter

Page 6: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Statistics

• Kaplan-Meier survival– Disease-specific survival

– Local recurrence-free survival

– Distant relapse-free survival

• Log rank (determine difference between KM curves)

• Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test

Page 7: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

101 Patients

• Collection period: 1948-2000

• Follow-up: 5 to 45 years– Overall median 6 year

follow-up

– Living patients: median 13 year follow-up

• 31 female, 70 male

Page 8: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Overall Survival

• Status At Last Follow-up– 41 NED

– 1 AWD

– 45 DOD

– 13 DOC

– 1 DUC

Page 9: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Grade

• 34 Low

• 24 Intermediate

• 27 High

• 16 Dedifferentiated

Page 10: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Epicenter

• Ilium: 57

• Pubis: 24

• Acetabulum: 10

• Ischium: 10

Page 11: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Tumor Characteristics

• Mean Size: 18.5 cm– Range 3 to 25 cm

• Extra-osseous extension in 91 (90%)

Page 12: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Surgical

• Surgery Type– Amputation: 37– Limb salvage: 64

• Surgical Margins– Negative: 56– Positive: 42– Not Specified: 3

Page 13: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Disease-Specific Survival

5-Year 10-year 20-Year

Low 88% 85% 72%

Intermediate 70% 45% 45%

High 42% 39% 35%

Page 14: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Disease-Specific Survival

5-Year 10-year 20-Year

Low 88% 85% 72%

Intermediate 70% 45% 45%

High 50% 45% 38%

DD31%(15 mo)

31% ---

Page 15: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

DSS: Prognostic VariablesVariable Prognostic P-value

Dedifferentiated Y <.0001

High Grade Y .0001

Cross Midline Y .0004

Displace Bladder Y .001

Local Recurrence Y .007

Intermediate Grade Marginal .07

Size >=10 cm Marginal .08

Amputation (vs. LSS) Marginal .08

Extra-osseous extension

N .11

Positive Margin N .13

Epicenter N .45

Page 16: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Effect of LR On DSS

• Significant decrease in survival for patients with LR

• P=.007

Follow-up (months)

6005004003002001000

Survival

1.0

.8

.6

.4

.2

0.0

No LR

LR

Page 17: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Effect of LR On DSSLow Grade

• Significant survival difference

• P=.003

Page 18: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Effect of LR On DSS Intermediate Grade

• Marginal significance• P=.08

Page 19: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Effect of LR On DSSHigh Grade

• Not Significant • P=0.42

Page 20: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Results – Local Recurrence

• 35 Local Recurrences– Mean time 29 months– Range 3 to 120 months

• 91% (32/35) occurred within five years• 3 Local Recurrence after five years

– 84 months (low-grade)– 108 months (intermediate-grade)– 120 months (low-grade)

Page 21: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Results – Local Recurrence

• 68% of LR (23/34) associated with positive resection margins

Negative Margin

(56)

Positive Margin

(42)

LR 10 (17.9%) 23 (54.8%)P=.002

No LR 46 (82.1%) 19 (45.2%)

Page 22: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Local Recurrence-Free Survival

5-Year 10-year 20-Year

Low 73% 66% 66%

Intermediate 49% 37% 37%

High 63% 63% 63%

Page 23: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

LR – Prognostic VariablesVariable Prognostic P-Value

Positive Margin Y .0002

Cross Midline Y .007

Displace Bladder Y .001

Size >= 10cm Marginal .06

Pubis Epicenter Marginal .06

Non-Pubis Epicenter N .12

High-Grade N .19

Extra-osseous extension N .25

Dedifferentiated N .35

Surgery (Amp vs LSS) N .91

Page 24: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Results - Metastasis

• 28 Metastasis– Mean time 22 months– Range 1-114 months

• Location– Lung most common (27)– Other locations: liver (4), brain (2), spine (2),

kidney (1), heart (1), pericardium (1), humerus (1), lymph node (1), scalp (1)

Page 25: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Results - Metastasis

• 93% (26/28) metastasis occurred in first four years

• Two metastasis occurred after four years– 74 months (low-grade; LR at 23, 36, 41

months)– 114 months (intermediate-grade; LR at 108

months)

Page 26: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Results - Metastasis

• 26/28 (93%) DOD at last follow-up– Median time 9 months

• 2/28 (7%)– DOC (1): NED 5 years after wedge resection at 24 mo

– AWD(1): alive 4 years, wedge resection pending

• Metastasis has a significant negative effect on DSS (p<.0001)

Page 27: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Distant Relapse-Free Survival

5-Year 10-year 20-Year

Low 91% 88% 88%

Intermediate 76% 61% 61%

High 51% 46% 46%

Page 28: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

DR-Prognostic Variables

Variable Prognostic (Y/N) P-Value

Amputation Y .0004

Dedifferentiated Y .002

High-Grade Y .002

Displaced Bladder Y .02

Size >= 10 cm Marginal .08

Local Recurrence N .19

Positive Margin N .30

Extra-osseous extension N .43

Cross Midline N .55

Location N .68

Page 29: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Study Limitations

• Diminishing number of patients at 20 years– 39% >10 yr f/u– 17% >20 yr f/u

• Changes in mode and quality of radiographic imaging over study period

• Vagaries of histological grading

• Limited long-term radiographic imaging

Page 30: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Conclusions

• Long term follow-up data show LR or metastasis can occur beyond five years

• No first LR or metastasis was seen after 10 years

Page 31: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Conclusions

• Local Recurrence has a significant negative effect on long term survival – Most pronounced for low and intermediate

grade tumors.

• Metastasis overwhelmingly resulted in death

Page 32: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Conclusions

• Significant prognostic factors at late follow-up are unchanged from short-term follow-up data– Disease-specific survival– Local recurrence-free survival– Distant relapse-free survival

Page 33: Chondrosarcoma of the Pelvis Prognostic Factors and Survival Analysis at 10-20 Years

Conclusions

• Evidence-based post-operative surveillance strategy should include at least 10 year follow-up after initial resection